FinalWin Prob.pScore
2637%98
89
1963%102
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.79391.4
CHI logo CHI
89.49495.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI89
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
99.1%
84
0.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 289
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)89
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHIGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)88
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS)88
93.9%
84
6.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
83.5%
84
16.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0CHIMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot86
79.5%
84
20.5%
Q4 - 1:02MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)86
65.2%
84
34.8%
Q4 - 1:14CHIGasol 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
51.0%
84
49.0%
Q4 - 1:22CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
62.0%
82
38.0%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot84
66.2%
82
33.8%
Q4 - 1:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
71.4%
82
28.6%
Q4 - 1:53CHIMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
68.2%
82
31.8%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWinslow Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)84
58.3%
82
41.7%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
51.2%
82
48.8%
Q4 - 2:34CHIMISS Snell 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
46.3%
82
53.7%
Q4 - 2:40CHIBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
35.4%
82
64.6%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper82
40.1%
82
59.9%
Q4 - 2:57MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
49.6%
82
50.4%
Q4 - 2:59CHIMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot82
45.3%
82
54.7%
Q4 - 3:05CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)82
35.7%
82
64.3%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
39.9%
82
60.1%
Q4 - 3:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
50.0%
82
50.0%
Q4 - 3:16CHIMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
45.6%
82
54.4%
Q4 - 3:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)82
37.1%
82
62.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
35.3%
82
64.7%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
37.7%
82
62.3%
Q4 - 3:49CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 281
36.4%
82
63.6%
Q4 - 3:49CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
31.4%
82
68.6%
Q4 - 4:05MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)81
36.9%
81
63.1%
Q4 - 4:15CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
29.3%
81
70.7%
Q4 - 4:15CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
30.4%
80
69.6%
Q4 - 4:36MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)79
36.8%
79
63.2%
Q4 - 4:51CHIBrooks 11' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
22.0%
79
78.0%
Q4 - 5:02CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)76
29.3%
77
70.7%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 5:17CHIGasol 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Brooks 6 AST)76
37.2%
77
62.8%
Q4 - 5:46MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
44.7%
75
55.3%
Q4 - 6:04CHIMcDermott 2' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Brooks 5 AST)74
37.1%
75
62.9%
Q4 - 6:08MIABrooks STEAL (3 STL)74
43.3%
73
56.7%
Q4 - 6:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
51.9%
73
48.1%
Q4 - 6:22CHIMISS McDermott 19' Pullup Jump Shot74
49.3%
73
50.7%
Q4 - 6:36CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
43.4%
73
56.6%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot74
46.0%
73
54.0%
Q4 - 6:47MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
51.9%
73
48.1%
Q4 - 6:49CHIMISS Gasol 12' Turnaround Jump Shot74
49.3%
73
50.7%
Q4 - 7:13MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)74
42.7%
73
57.3%
Q4 - 7:18CHIGibson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)71
30.5%
73
69.5%
Q4 - 7:20CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
24.5%
73
75.5%
Q4 - 7:21CHIMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot71
28.6%
73
71.4%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (24 PTS)71
24.5%
73
75.5%
Q4 - 7:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q4 - 7:49CHIMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
18.7%
73
81.3%
Q4 - 8:22MIAGreen Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)69
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
20.9%
73
79.1%
Q4 - 8:48CHIMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot69
19.7%
73
80.3%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
18.1%
73
81.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q4 - 9:05CHIMcDermott Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)67
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q4 - 9:20CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
12.0%
73
88.0%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup67
12.8%
73
87.2%
Q4 - 9:37MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
14.8%
73
85.2%
Q4 - 9:38CHIMISS Mirotic 1' Driving Reverse Layup67
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q4 - 9:52MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q4 - 9:52MIAStoudemire 2' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)67
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot65
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q4 - 10:24CHIMirotic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Snell 2 AST)65
10.5%
73
89.5%
Q4 - 10:43MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)65
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q4 - 11:07CHIPortis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q4 - 11:07CHIPortis 3' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)63
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q4 - 11:08CHIMISS Brooks 5' Jump Shot63
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q4 - 11:17MIAStoudemire Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T10)63
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q4 - 11:18MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q4 - 11:19CHIMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS)63
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA61
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Snell 11' Jump Shot61
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (18 PTS)61
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0CHIMISS McDermott 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Green 6' Driving Hook Shot59
8.6%
68
91.4%
Q3 - 1:07CHIMirotic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)59
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 1:14CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot59
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 1:31MIAHeat Rebound59
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot59
9.2%
68
90.8%
Q3 - 1:45CHIMcDermott Foul Turnover (P1.T9)59
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 2:03MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T9)59
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 2:29CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q3 - 2:29CHIMirotic Putback Dunk (12 PTS)59
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q3 - 2:30CHIMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot59
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 2:46CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 259
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 259
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 2:55CHIMirotic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q3 - 2:55CHIMirotic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q3 - 3:03CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
19.2%
64
80.8%
Q3 - 3:16CHIButler 12' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
21.4%
64
78.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)59
24.2%
62
75.8%
Q3 - 3:48MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
21.3%
62
78.7%
Q3 - 3:49CHIMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot57
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q3 - 4:16MIAJohnson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)57
18.5%
62
81.5%
Q3 - 4:34CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q3 - 4:34CHIButler 2' Putback Layup (9 PTS)55
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q3 - 4:36CHIMISS Brooks 1' Driving Layup55
20.7%
60
79.3%
Q3 - 4:50CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Green 22' Jump Shot55
19.4%
60
80.6%
Q3 - 5:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 5:07CHIMISS Snell 2' Driving Layup55
21.0%
60
79.0%
Q3 - 5:17MIABrooks STEAL (2 STL)55
18.9%
60
81.1%
Q3 - 5:34MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 5:36CHIMISS Gasol 2' Driving Layup55
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 5:48MIAGreen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)55
18.9%
60
81.1%
Q3 - 5:57MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q3 - 5:58CHIMISS Snell 21' Jump Shot53
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 6:06CHIBULLS Rebound53
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 6:06CHIMISS Gasol 2' Putback Layup53
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 6:06CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)53
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 6:07CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)53
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 6:07CHIMISS Gasol 1' Tip Layup Shot53
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 6:09CHIMISS Snell 6' Jump Shot53
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 6:41MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q3 - 6:42CHIMISS Snell 17' Jump Shot51
12.5%
60
87.5%
Q3 - 6:55MIABrooks STEAL (1 STL)51
11.2%
60
88.8%
Q3 - 7:14CHISnell 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 7:23CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot51
15.8%
58
84.2%
Q3 - 7:34MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 7:35CHIMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot51
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 7:48CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
15.1%
58
84.9%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Udrih 15' Jump Shot51
15.7%
58
84.3%
Q3 - 8:08CHIBrooks Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)51
17.6%
58
82.4%
Q3 - 8:21MIADeng 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)51
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 8:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
19.9%
55
80.1%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot49
18.1%
55
81.9%
Q3 - 8:38CHISnell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
19.9%
55
80.1%
Q3 - 8:38CHISnell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)49
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q3 - 8:50CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Stoudemire 11' Jump Shot49
22.9%
53
77.1%
Q3 - 9:11CHIBrooks 14' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
24.9%
53
75.1%
Q3 - 9:18CHIBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
28.6%
51
71.4%
Q3 - 9:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q3 - 9:27CHIMISS Gasol 2' Cutting Layup Shot49
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q3 - 9:34CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup49
28.6%
51
71.4%
Q3 - 9:47MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
30.8%
51
69.2%
Q3 - 9:48CHIMISS Butler 10' Pullup Jump Shot49
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q3 - 9:55CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q3 - 9:56MIAGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)49
28.6%
51
71.4%
Q3 - 10:20CHISnell Foul Turnover (P1.T8)49
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q3 - 10:28CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)49
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Bosh 12' Floating Jump Shot49
28.5%
51
71.5%
Q3 - 10:49CHIGasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
30.6%
51
69.4%
Q3 - 11:18MIAUdrih Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6)49
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q3 - 11:36CHISnell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
36.6%
49
63.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI49
39.6%
47
60.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIABosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
40.0%
47
60.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
35.9%
47
64.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHIMISS Butler 3' Layup47
35.3%
47
64.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
33.8%
47
66.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0CHIButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)45
30.2%
47
69.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
28.2%
47
71.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot45
28.8%
47
71.2%
Q2 - 1:10CHIButler 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q2 - 1:25MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)45
34.2%
45
65.8%
Q2 - 1:43CHIGibson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)45
35.7%
45
64.3%
Q2 - 2:05MIADeng 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)45
39.0%
43
61.0%
Q2 - 2:17MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
36.1%
43
63.9%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot43
34.2%
43
65.8%
Q2 - 2:37CHIBrooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)43
36.1%
43
63.9%
Q2 - 2:51CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)43
42.1%
40
57.9%
Q2 - 2:52MIAMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
43.0%
40
57.0%
Q2 - 3:06CHIGibson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)43
44.6%
40
55.4%
Q2 - 3:26MIAStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)43
41.2%
40
58.8%
Q2 - 3:48CHIGibson Dunk (2 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)41
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 3:59CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)41
41.3%
38
58.7%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup41
42.3%
38
57.7%
Q2 - 4:11MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
43.7%
38
56.3%
Q2 - 4:13CHIMISS McDermott 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
42.8%
38
57.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIAStoudemire 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)41
40.8%
38
59.2%
Q2 - 4:57CHIButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)39
38.3%
38
61.7%
Q2 - 5:09MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)39
43.3%
35
56.7%
Q2 - 5:18MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
46.2%
35
53.8%
Q2 - 5:19CHIMISS Rose 1' Driving Layup39
45.3%
35
54.7%
Q2 - 5:26CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
43.3%
35
56.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot39
44.2%
35
55.8%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
46.2%
35
53.8%
Q2 - 5:49CHIMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot39
45.3%
35
54.7%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)39
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 6:18CHIGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
40.8%
35
59.2%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWade 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
37.5%
35
62.5%
Q2 - 6:37CHIButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
35.7%
35
64.3%
Q2 - 6:51MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 6:51MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 7:11CHIRose 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
30.7%
35
69.3%
Q2 - 7:17CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper33
33.5%
33
66.5%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
35.3%
33
64.7%
Q2 - 7:30CHIMISS Mirotic 16' Jump Shot33
34.6%
33
65.4%
Q2 - 7:46MIAWade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)33
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 8:08CHIMirotic 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
30.6%
33
69.4%
Q2 - 8:10CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q2 - 8:11CHIMISS McDermott 2' Layup31
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 8:12CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q2 - 8:14CHIMISS McDermott 12' Floating Jump Shot31
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 8:17CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q2 - 8:18CHIMISS Rose 16' Floating Jump Shot31
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 8:30MIAWinslow 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)31
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q2 - 8:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 8:41CHIMISS Mirotic 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot29
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 8:58CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot29
29.0%
31
71.0%
Q2 - 9:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
30.5%
31
69.5%
Q2 - 9:08CHIMISS McDermott 17' Pullup Jump Shot29
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 9:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
28.1%
31
71.9%
Q2 - 9:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 9:37CHIMcDermott 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)27
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 9:51MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (4 PTS)27
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 10:00CHIBrooks Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)25
26.4%
29
73.6%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
24.4%
29
75.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAHeat Rebound23
22.9%
29
77.1%
Q2 - 10:28CHIMISS Mirotic 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 10:36CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 10:45MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22.9%
29
77.1%
Q2 - 10:46CHIMISS Portis 22' Jump Shot23
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 11:00MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)23
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 11:17CHIBrooks 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mirotic 2 AST)20
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 11:30MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
21.1%
26
78.9%
Q2 - 11:41CHIMcDermott 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)18
19.6%
26
80.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound18
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Green 41' 3PT Jump Shot18
23.3%
23
76.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHIMirotic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIABosh 2' Cutting Layup Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)18
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIGasol 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Mirotic 1 AST)16
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0CHIMISS Mirotic Layup16
24.0%
21
76.0%
Q1 - 1:03MIAWinslow 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)16
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 1:37CHIMirotic Dunk (6 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)14
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 1:48MIAGreen 16' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 1:55CHIMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot12
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 1:58CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)12
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 2:00CHIMISS McDermott 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 2:14CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)12
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 2:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 2:25CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot12
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 2:39MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 2:39MIAHeat Rebound12
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 3:08CHIButler 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 3:25MIAGreen 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
23.1%
17
76.9%
Q1 - 3:40CHIGasol 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (McDermott 1 AST)10
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 3:49CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)10
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMirotic BLOCK (1 BLK)10
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 4:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.0%
15
75.0%
Q1 - 4:07CHIMISS Mirotic Free Throw 1 of 110
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMirotic STEAL (1 STL)10
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 4:27CHIMirotic 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)10
28.4%
13
71.6%
Q1 - 4:36CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)10
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Green 17' Pullup Jump Shot10
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 4:54CHIRose 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)10
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 4:59CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)10
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Deng 4' Jump Shot10
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 5:16CHIGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)10
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 5:16CHIMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 210
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 5:34MIADeng Driving Dunk (2 PTS)10
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 5:39MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 5:40CHIMISS Snell 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 5:57CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot8
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 6:25CHIGibson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 6:36CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Udrih 21' Pullup Jump Shot8
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 6:59CHIGasol 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)8
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 7:11CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
34.6%
6
65.4%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Deng 7' Hook Shot8
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 7:37CHIGasol 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Snell 1 AST)8
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWade 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)8
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 8:18CHIGasol 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)6
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 8:26CHISnell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 8:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Layup Shot6
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Layup6
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 8:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 8:35CHIMISS Rose 1' Driving Layup6
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 8:41CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Deng 2' Putback Layup6
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 8:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 9:06MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 9:08CHIMISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot6
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 9:21CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup6
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 9:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 9:38CHIMISS Snell 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 9:42CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 9:44CHIMISS Snell 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 9:55MIAUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST)6
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 10:05CHIMISS Gasol 22' Jump Shot3
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)3
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:21MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 10:23MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)1
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 10:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 10:32CHIMISS Butler 18' Turnaround Jump Shot1
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:55MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 20
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 11:11CHIGasol 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)0
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:39MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:40CHIMISS Rose 8' Pullup Jump Shot0
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:46CHIGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:47MIAMISS Udrih 2' Driving Layup0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Gasol vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Bosh0
32.5%
0
67.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.4%
CHI
0.88 44.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
25
56%
CHI
16
29
55%
Midrange
MIA
20
42
48%
CHI
14
41
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
CHI
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
12
17
71%
CHI
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2856%14.0 / 25
C. Bosh1850%9.0 / 18
L. Deng945%4.5 / 10
G. Green938%4.5 / 12
A. Stoudemire850%4.0 / 8
J. Winslow880%4.0 / 5
T. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
B. Udrih325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol1950%9.5 / 19
N. Mirotic1563%7.5 / 12
J. Butler1341%6.5 / 16
A. Brooks1354%6.5 / 12
D. McDermott735%3.5 / 10
T. Snell625%3.0 / 12
T. Gibson563%2.5 / 4
D. Rose433%2.0 / 6
B. Portis250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+9
-11
91
CHI
81
+14
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.4%
CHI
0.88 44.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
105.7
MIA 95.7 +6.3
CHI 89.4
Pace
93.7
95.2
MIA 91.4
CHI 95.7 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
MIA 15.8
CHI 15.0 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
48.7%
MIA 47.5% +4.9%
CHI 42.6%
TO %
14.0%
13.9%
MIA 11.9% +0.3%
CHI 12.2%
ORB %
23.9%
24.5%
MIA 14.0%
CHI 23.1% +9.1%
FTrt
28.2
24.0
MIA 21.0 +7.4
CHI 13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
59.1%
MIA 56.8% +5.4%
CHI 51.4%
STL %
7.2%
6.3%
MIA 7.5% +2.2%
CHI 5.3%
BLK %
10.3%
8.6%
MIA 4.3%
CHI 4.5% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.2%
MIA 48.4% +4.2%
CHI 44.2%
Rim FG%
62.3%
53.9%
MIA 56.0% +0.8%
CHI 55.2%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.5%
MIA 47.6% +13.5%
CHI 34.1%
3P %
33.6%
37.1%
MIA 21.4%
CHI 27.8% +6.4%
FT %
74.4%
78.7%
MIA 70.6%
CHI 75.0% +4.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
36.2%
MIA 30.9%
CHI 33.0% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
39.4%
MIA 51.9%
CHI 46.6% +5.3%
3P Att. %
22.1%
24.4%
MIA 17.3%
CHI 20.5% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points8984
Rebounds4649
Assists2118
Steals75
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)37 (0)
Field Goals37-8135-88
At-the-Rim FG14-2516-29
Midrange FG20-4214-41
2-Point FG34-6730-70
3-Point FG3-145-18
Free Throws12-179-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
35.9
18
50%
7
3
1
0
0
3
1
6
1-4
25%
7-12
58%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
34.0
28
56%
7
5
0
1
1
2
1
6
6-8
75%
11-21
52%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
31.2
9
45%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
25.6
8
50%
10
2
1
1
1
1
2
8
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
20.6
3
25%
2
1
2
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
34.7
8
80%
9
4
2
0
1
4
1
8
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
27.4
6
60%
3
3
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
24.9
9
38%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
5.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
46
21
7
3
11
0
6
40
12-17
71%
34-67
51%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.