FinalWin Prob.pScore
1355%108
101
2345%106
104
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.69391.2
DEN logo DEN
110.69496.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN101
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
4.5%
102
95.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETMISS Jackson 1' Driving Layup101
5.8%
102
94.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETPistons Rebound101
44.6%
102
55.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Mudiay Running Dunk101
35.6%
102
64.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
19.2%
102
80.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)101
44.7%
102
55.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Baynes 2' Tip Layup Shot101
25.9%
102
74.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup101
26.1%
102
73.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENGallinari 20' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)101
45.3%
102
54.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETBaynes 3' Hook Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Jackson 8 AST)101
61.1%
100
38.9%
Q4 - 1:03DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)99
46.5%
100
53.5%
Q4 - 1:03DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)99
50.8%
99
49.2%
Q4 - 1:16DETJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)99
59.4%
98
40.6%
Q4 - 1:27DETPistons Rebound96
35.5%
98
64.5%
Q4 - 1:28DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
26.4%
98
73.6%
Q4 - 1:47DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
37.2%
98
62.8%
Q4 - 1:48DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 296
35.6%
98
64.4%
Q4 - 1:48DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)96
27.8%
98
72.2%
Q4 - 2:02DETJackson 3' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)96
37.1%
97
62.9%
Q4 - 2:17DENJokic 8' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)94
30.7%
97
69.3%
Q4 - 2:31DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
37.2%
95
62.8%
Q4 - 2:33DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
41.9%
95
58.1%
Q4 - 2:52DENGallinari 1' Layup (27 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)94
51.7%
95
48.3%
Q4 - 3:15DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
59.0%
93
41.0%
Q4 - 3:15DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
63.2%
93
36.8%
Q4 - 3:29DETPistons Rebound94
72.3%
93
27.7%
Q4 - 3:30DETMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot94
63.3%
93
36.7%
Q4 - 3:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)94
68.5%
93
31.5%
Q4 - 3:46DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
65.8%
93
34.2%
Q4 - 4:12DENNUGGETS Rebound94
59.2%
93
40.8%
Q4 - 4:13DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
65.9%
93
34.1%
Q4 - 4:25DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
59.2%
93
40.8%
Q4 - 4:26DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 13' Pullup Jump Shot94
62.2%
93
37.8%
Q4 - 4:42DENMudiay Foul Turnover (P4.T8)94
68.7%
93
31.3%
Q4 - 4:55DENNUGGETS Rebound94
59.2%
93
40.8%
Q4 - 4:56DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 5' Floating Jump Shot94
62.2%
93
37.8%
Q4 - 5:16DENMudiay Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)94
67.1%
93
32.9%
Q4 - 5:29DETHarris STEAL (5 STL)94
58.9%
93
41.1%
Q4 - 5:54DENJokic 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)94
67.2%
93
32.8%
Q4 - 6:15DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
72.3%
91
27.7%
Q4 - 6:16DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot94
74.4%
91
25.6%
Q4 - 6:36DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)94
78.6%
91
21.4%
Q4 - 6:36DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)94
79.2%
90
20.8%
Q4 - 7:01DETBaynes Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)94
81.6%
89
18.4%
Q4 - 7:06DETJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)92
77.5%
89
22.5%
Q4 - 7:08DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup92
75.9%
89
24.1%
Q4 - 7:21DETArthur STEAL (4 STL)92
71.8%
89
28.2%
Q4 - 7:26DETJennings REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
77.6%
89
22.4%
Q4 - 7:31DETMISS Jennings 3' Driving Layup92
73.7%
89
26.3%
Q4 - 7:45DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
77.6%
89
22.4%
Q4 - 7:47DENMISS Barton 10' Floating Jump Shot92
76.0%
89
24.0%
Q4 - 8:04DETJohnson 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)92
71.0%
89
29.0%
Q4 - 8:10DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
65.3%
89
34.7%
Q4 - 8:11DENMISS Foye 6' Jump Bank Shot90
63.6%
89
36.4%
Q4 - 8:29DETMarc Morris 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
59.5%
89
40.5%
Q4 - 8:56DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)88
53.1%
89
46.9%
Q4 - 9:10DETTolliver Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)88
64.9%
86
35.1%
Q4 - 9:10DETTolliver Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)87
63.6%
86
36.4%
Q4 - 9:10DETTolliver Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)86
62.1%
86
37.9%
Q4 - 9:26DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
53.6%
86
46.4%
Q4 - 9:26DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
51.7%
86
48.3%
Q4 - 9:45DETJohnson 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)85
47.3%
86
52.7%
Q4 - 9:51DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)83
41.6%
86
58.4%
Q4 - 10:03DETBaynes 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)83
36.8%
86
63.2%
Q4 - 10:11DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
31.9%
86
68.1%
Q4 - 10:12DENMISS Foye 4' Jump Bank Shot81
30.4%
86
69.6%
Q4 - 10:33DETJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)81
26.9%
86
73.1%
Q4 - 10:38DETJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
19.1%
86
80.9%
Q4 - 10:39DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 2 of 278
16.1%
86
83.9%
Q4 - 10:39DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
18.1%
86
81.9%
Q4 - 10:54DENBarton 4' Fadeaway Bank Shot (7 PTS)77
15.8%
86
84.2%
Q4 - 10:57DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
18.9%
84
81.1%
Q4 - 10:58DENMISS Barton 1' Layup77
21.6%
84
78.4%
Q4 - 11:16DETJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)77
20.1%
84
79.9%
Q4 - 11:36DENLauvergne Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)74
14.1%
84
85.9%
Q4 - 11:45DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
11.6%
84
88.4%
Q4 - 11:46DETMISS Tolliver 1' Layup74
12.3%
84
87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET74
14.0%
84
86.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound74
14.0%
84
86.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Jennings 47' 3PT Jump Shot74
12.3%
84
87.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENKilpatrick 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lauvergne 1 AST)74
15.5%
84
84.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Cutting Layup Shot74
22.7%
81
77.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
25.2%
81
74.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Gallinari Driving Dunk74
24.1%
81
75.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
21.5%
81
78.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETMISS Baynes Free Throw 2 of 274
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
24.6%
81
75.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETPistons Rebound73
21.5%
81
78.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot73
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q3 - 1:06DENBarton 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
23.0%
81
77.0%
Q3 - 1:15DETKilpatrick STEAL (1 STL)73
30.5%
78
69.5%
Q3 - 1:36DENLauvergne 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)73
34.9%
78
65.1%
Q3 - 1:46DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
39.3%
76
60.7%
Q3 - 1:46DENMISS Barton 3PT Jump Shot73
42.7%
76
57.3%
Q3 - 1:55DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
39.3%
76
60.7%
Q3 - 1:57DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
40.8%
76
59.2%
Q3 - 2:13DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)73
44.7%
76
55.3%
Q3 - 2:13DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)73
45.2%
75
54.8%
Q3 - 2:37DETJohnson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)73
49.0%
74
51.0%
Q3 - 2:45DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
40.2%
74
59.8%
Q3 - 2:45DENMISS Mudiay 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup70
38.7%
74
61.3%
Q3 - 2:55DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
35.5%
74
64.5%
Q3 - 2:56DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
36.9%
74
63.1%
Q3 - 3:06DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
41.1%
74
58.9%
Q3 - 3:07DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
39.7%
74
60.3%
Q3 - 3:20DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
36.5%
74
63.5%
Q3 - 3:22DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 270
37.1%
74
62.9%
Q3 - 3:22DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)70
39.9%
74
60.1%
Q3 - 3:23DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
36.8%
74
63.2%
Q3 - 3:24DETMISS Ilyasova 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot69
33.7%
74
66.3%
Q3 - 3:41DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
36.8%
74
63.2%
Q3 - 3:42DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot69
35.4%
74
64.6%
Q3 - 3:51DETHarris STEAL (4 STL)69
32.4%
74
67.6%
Q3 - 4:05DENHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)69
37.7%
74
62.3%
Q3 - 4:16DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
45.3%
71
54.7%
Q3 - 4:16DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 268
44.8%
71
55.2%
Q3 - 4:40DENJokic 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)68
46.0%
71
54.0%
Q3 - 5:02DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)68
49.9%
69
50.1%
Q3 - 5:17DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
42.1%
69
57.9%
Q3 - 5:18DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
40.8%
69
59.2%
Q3 - 5:26DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
37.8%
69
62.2%
Q3 - 5:27DETMISS Ilyasova 28' 3PT Jump Shot65
39.1%
69
60.9%
Q3 - 5:48DENMudiay 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
42.1%
69
57.9%
Q3 - 6:04DETMarc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
46.3%
67
53.7%
Q3 - 6:27DENJokic 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)62
39.0%
67
61.0%
Q3 - 6:40DETJokic STEAL (2 STL)62
42.4%
65
57.6%
Q3 - 7:00DENHarris 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)62
46.7%
65
53.3%
Q3 - 7:05DETArthur STEAL (3 STL)62
50.3%
63
49.7%
Q3 - 7:24DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
54.6%
63
45.4%
Q3 - 7:36DENNUGGETS Rebound62
61.5%
60
38.5%
Q3 - 7:36DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Bank Shot62
62.8%
60
37.2%
Q3 - 7:55DENMudiay 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)62
65.5%
60
34.5%
Q3 - 8:11DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
68.5%
58
31.5%
Q3 - 8:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
72.0%
58
28.0%
Q3 - 8:12DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot62
69.6%
58
30.4%
Q3 - 8:13DETMISS Ilyasova 3' Layup62
69.6%
58
30.4%
Q3 - 8:16DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
72.0%
58
28.0%
Q3 - 8:17DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
69.6%
58
30.4%
Q3 - 8:33DENJokic 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
72.0%
58
28.0%
Q3 - 8:53DETMarc Morris 14' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)62
74.5%
56
25.5%
Q3 - 9:23DENHarris 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Arthur 3 AST)60
71.3%
56
28.7%
Q3 - 9:28DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
74.1%
54
25.9%
Q3 - 9:29DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
75.0%
54
25.0%
Q3 - 9:48DENMudiay 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)60
76.9%
54
23.1%
Q3 - 10:11DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)60
78.9%
52
21.1%
Q3 - 10:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
76.6%
52
23.4%
Q3 - 10:21DENMISS Jokic 3' Driving Layup58
75.8%
52
24.2%
Q3 - 10:40DETMarc Morris 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)58
73.8%
52
26.2%
Q3 - 10:55DENGallinari 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)56
71.2%
52
28.8%
Q3 - 11:01DETJokic STEAL (1 STL)56
73.7%
50
26.3%
Q3 - 11:17DENJokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)56
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q3 - 11:31DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)56
80.8%
47
19.2%
Q3 - 11:47DENMudiay 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)54
78.8%
47
21.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET54
80.8%
45
19.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
83.0%
45
17.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Lauvergne 3PT Jump Shot54
81.5%
45
18.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
80.5%
45
19.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
81.0%
45
19.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)54
82.0%
45
18.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
86.0%
42
14.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 2 of 254
86.1%
42
13.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
87.1%
42
12.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
85.5%
42
14.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
85.2%
42
14.8%
Q2 - 1:08DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
84.0%
42
16.0%
Q2 - 1:09DETMISS Ilyasova 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup53
84.2%
42
15.8%
Q2 - 1:28DENHarris Running Dunk (6 PTS)53
84.8%
42
15.2%
Q2 - 1:34DETHarris STEAL (3 STL)53
87.1%
40
12.9%
Q2 - 1:45DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
87.8%
40
12.2%
Q2 - 1:47DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 253
87.7%
40
12.3%
Q2 - 1:47DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
86.9%
40
13.1%
Q2 - 1:51DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
88.5%
39
11.5%
Q2 - 1:52DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
88.7%
39
11.3%
Q2 - 2:15DENHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T4)53
88.8%
39
11.2%
Q2 - 2:20DETGallinari STEAL (2 STL)53
87.6%
39
12.4%
Q2 - 2:25DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
88.8%
39
11.2%
Q2 - 2:25DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 253
87.8%
39
12.2%
Q2 - 2:25DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 253
88.2%
39
11.8%
Q2 - 2:28DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
88.8%
39
11.2%
Q2 - 2:29DENMISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot53
88.5%
39
11.5%
Q2 - 2:43DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)53
87.6%
39
12.4%
Q2 - 3:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
85.7%
39
14.3%
Q2 - 3:03DENMISS Mudiay 13' Jump Shot51
85.2%
39
14.8%
Q2 - 3:32DETMarc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)51
84.0%
39
16.0%
Q2 - 3:43DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
80.9%
39
19.1%
Q2 - 3:44DENMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
80.2%
39
19.8%
Q2 - 3:59DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
78.6%
39
21.4%
Q2 - 4:00DETMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)48
79.3%
39
20.7%
Q2 - 4:11DENGallinari 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
80.1%
39
19.9%
Q2 - 4:24DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
81.8%
37
18.2%
Q2 - 4:26DETJokic BLOCK (3 BLK)48
82.3%
37
17.7%
Q2 - 4:37DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
83.5%
37
16.5%
Q2 - 4:37DENMISS Jokic 5' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot48
83.0%
37
17.0%
Q2 - 4:57DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
81.8%
37
18.2%
Q2 - 4:58DETJokic BLOCK (2 BLK)48
82.3%
37
17.7%
Q2 - 5:02DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
83.2%
37
16.8%
Q2 - 5:03DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 248
81.7%
37
18.3%
Q2 - 5:03DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 248
82.3%
37
17.7%
Q2 - 5:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
83.2%
37
16.8%
Q2 - 5:12DETMISS Marc Morris 20' Jump Shot48
82.0%
37
18.0%
Q2 - 5:25DENJokic 11' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)48
83.2%
37
16.8%
Q2 - 5:43DETMarc Morris 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS)48
84.6%
35
15.4%
Q2 - 5:53DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
83.2%
35
16.8%
Q2 - 5:55DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup46
82.7%
35
17.3%
Q2 - 6:17DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)46
80.8%
35
19.2%
Q2 - 6:17DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
80.5%
35
19.5%
Q2 - 6:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
79.6%
35
20.4%
Q2 - 6:34DENMISS Foye 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
78.9%
35
21.1%
Q2 - 6:42DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
77.3%
35
22.7%
Q2 - 6:43DETMISS Jennings 20' Fadeaway Jumper44
78.0%
35
22.0%
Q2 - 6:53DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
79.6%
35
20.4%
Q2 - 6:55DENMISS Jokic 1' Layup44
78.9%
35
21.1%
Q2 - 7:19DETTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)44
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 7:27DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q2 - 7:28DENMISS Barton 7' Turnaround Jump Shot41
72.6%
35
27.4%
Q2 - 7:53DETJennings 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)41
71.0%
35
29.0%
Q2 - 8:00DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 8:00DENMISS Barton 19' Jump Shot39
68.3%
35
31.7%
Q2 - 8:11DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
66.2%
35
33.8%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot39
67.0%
35
33.0%
Q2 - 8:18DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
68.6%
35
31.4%
Q2 - 8:19DENMISS Kilpatrick 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 8:43DETBaynes Dunk (6 PTS) (Hilliard 2 AST)39
66.3%
35
33.7%
Q2 - 8:53DENFoye 3' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)37
64.0%
35
36.0%
Q2 - 9:16DETTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hilliard 1 AST)37
66.0%
33
34.0%
Q2 - 9:43DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
61.8%
33
38.2%
Q2 - 9:43DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
62.1%
32
37.9%
Q2 - 9:50DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
63.7%
31
36.3%
Q2 - 9:51DETMISS Hilliard 1' Cutting Layup Shot34
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 10:10DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 10:10DENMISS Lauvergne Free Throw 1 of 134
65.8%
31
34.2%
Q2 - 10:27DETHilliard Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)34
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q2 - 10:43DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)34
70.4%
29
29.6%
Q2 - 11:04DETHilliard 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)34
73.6%
26
26.4%
Q2 - 11:14DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
71.8%
26
28.2%
Q2 - 11:15DENMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
71.2%
26
28.8%
Q2 - 11:25DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
69.7%
26
30.3%
Q2 - 11:26DETMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup32
70.4%
26
29.6%
Q2 - 11:40DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
71.8%
26
28.2%
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
71.2%
26
28.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET32
69.7%
26
30.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound32
71.8%
26
28.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Johnson 22' Step Back Jump Shot32
70.2%
26
29.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
71.2%
26
28.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENMISS Foye 2' Layup32
70.8%
26
29.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETCaldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
69.8%
26
30.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)30
67.2%
26
32.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)30
67.4%
25
32.6%
Q1 - 1:15DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)30
69.7%
24
30.3%
Q1 - 1:19DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q1 - 1:22DENMISS Barton 5' Floating Jump Shot28
66.7%
24
33.3%
Q1 - 1:37DETJohnson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)28
65.6%
24
34.4%
Q1 - 1:38DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
62.9%
24
37.1%
Q1 - 1:40DENMISS Jokic 1' Cutting Layup Shot26
62.4%
24
37.6%
Q1 - 1:55DETJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)26
61.3%
24
38.7%
Q1 - 2:09DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q1 - 2:10DENMISS Mudiay 7' Jump Shot23
56.0%
24
44.0%
Q1 - 2:28DETIlyasova 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 2:37DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
52.1%
24
47.9%
Q1 - 2:37DENMISS Mudiay 2' Layup21
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q1 - 2:42DETBaynes 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
50.0%
24
50.0%
Q1 - 3:12DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)19
48.1%
24
51.9%
Q1 - 3:12DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
48.4%
23
51.6%
Q1 - 3:20DETHarris STEAL (2 STL)19
50.1%
22
49.9%
Q1 - 3:22DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
52.6%
22
47.4%
Q1 - 3:25DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
50.9%
22
49.1%
Q1 - 3:35DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
52.6%
22
47.4%
Q1 - 3:36DENMISS Gallinari 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot19
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q1 - 3:47DENNUGGETS Rebound19
50.1%
22
49.9%
Q1 - 3:48DENMISS Harris 2' Running Layup19
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q1 - 3:51DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
50.1%
22
49.9%
Q1 - 3:52DETJokic BLOCK (1 BLK)19
50.9%
22
49.1%
Q1 - 4:08DENGallinari Driving Layup (10 PTS)19
52.7%
22
47.3%
Q1 - 4:19DETArthur STEAL (2 STL)19
54.6%
20
45.4%
Q1 - 4:30DENArthur 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)19
57.1%
20
42.9%
Q1 - 4:48DETJackson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)19
58.8%
18
41.2%
Q1 - 5:02DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)17
56.9%
18
43.1%
Q1 - 5:18DETBaynes 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)17
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 5:28DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 5:29DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup15
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q1 - 5:48DENNUGGETS Rebound15
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q1 - 5:48DETMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot15
57.4%
15
42.6%
Q1 - 6:02DENArthur 1' Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)15
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 6:08DETArthur STEAL (1 STL)15
60.6%
13
39.4%
Q1 - 6:19DENHarris 1' Layup (4 PTS)15
62.7%
13
37.3%
Q1 - 6:24DETHarris STEAL (1 STL)15
64.3%
11
35.7%
Q1 - 6:25DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
66.3%
11
33.7%
Q1 - 6:26DENMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup15
65.7%
11
34.3%
Q1 - 6:31DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
64.3%
11
35.7%
Q1 - 6:33DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot15
64.9%
11
35.1%
Q1 - 6:39DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
66.3%
11
33.7%
Q1 - 6:41DENMISS Mudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
65.7%
11
34.3%
Q1 - 6:52DENNUGGETS Rebound15
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 6:54DETMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
65.0%
11
35.0%
Q1 - 7:07DENMudiay 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)15
66.2%
11
33.8%
Q1 - 7:18DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
67.6%
9
32.4%
Q1 - 7:19DETMISS Jackson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup15
68.2%
9
31.8%
Q1 - 7:26DETPistons Rebound15
69.6%
9
30.4%
Q1 - 7:26DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
68.2%
9
31.8%
Q1 - 7:44DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
69.6%
9
30.4%
Q1 - 7:44DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
69.8%
8
30.2%
Q1 - 7:57DETIlyasova 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)15
70.9%
7
29.1%
Q1 - 7:58DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
69.6%
7
30.4%
Q1 - 7:59DETMISS Marc Morris 2' Running Layup13
68.2%
7
31.8%
Q1 - 8:05DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
69.8%
7
30.2%
Q1 - 8:14DETCaldwell-Pope 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
68.0%
7
32.0%
Q1 - 8:29DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
66.5%
7
33.5%
Q1 - 8:29DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
66.8%
6
33.2%
Q1 - 8:42DETIlyasova 4' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)11
68.0%
5
32.0%
Q1 - 8:55DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
66.5%
5
33.5%
Q1 - 8:59DETMudiay STEAL (1 STL)9
64.5%
5
35.5%
Q1 - 9:16DENGallinari 21' Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
66.4%
5
33.6%
Q1 - 9:26DETGallinari STEAL (1 STL)9
67.8%
3
32.2%
Q1 - 9:44DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
69.7%
3
30.3%
Q1 - 9:44DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
70.0%
2
30.0%
Q1 - 9:44DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
71.0%
1
29.0%
Q1 - 9:45DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 29
72.6%
1
27.4%
Q1 - 9:45DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
71.5%
1
28.5%
Q1 - 10:08DETMarc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)9
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 10:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 10:20DENMISS Harris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 10:37DETIlyasova 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)6
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 10:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 10:53DENMISS Gallinari 17' Fadeaway Jumper4
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:12DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)4
64.2%
0
35.8%
Q1 - 11:18DENGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 11:39DETDrummond Dunk (2 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)2
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Jokic vs. Drummond: Tip to Marc Morris0
59.0%
0
41.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.05 52.6%
DEN
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
20
38
53%
DEN
16
34
47%
Midrange
DET
9
17
53%
DEN
12
22
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
DEN
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
DET
10
19
53%
DEN
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Morris2083%10.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope1647%8.0 / 17
A. Baynes1381%6.5 / 8
S. Johnson1260%6.0 / 10
R. Jackson1134%5.5 / 16
E. Ilyasova941%4.5 / 11
A. Tolliver9113%4.5 / 4
B. Jennings542%2.5 / 6
A. Drummond429%2.0 / 7
D. Hilliard250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari3068%15.0 / 22
E. Mudiay1853%9.0 / 17
N. Jokić1771%8.5 / 12
G. Harris1359%6.5 / 11
R. Foye857%4.0 / 7
W. Barton732%3.5 / 11
D. Arthur450%2.0 / 4
J. Lauvergne467%2.0 / 3
S. Kilpatrick375%1.5 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
77
+17
-16
94
DEN
86
+5
-8
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.05 52.6%
DEN
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.2
DET 108.6
DEN 110.6 +2.0
Pace
95.3
95.3
DET 91.2
DEN 96.6 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.9
DET 15.8
DEN 14.9 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
48.9%
DET 54.2% +2.9%
DEN 51.3%
TO %
13.5%
14.8%
DET 14.8%
DEN 8.1% +6.7%
ORB %
27.0%
25.8%
DET 27.5% +20.5%
DEN 7.0%
FTrt
29.6
28.2
DET 22.6
DEN 37.2 +14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
60.1%
DET 57.5% +7.5%
DEN 50.0%
STL %
7.3%
7.7%
DET 4.3%
DEN 16.0% +11.7%
BLK %
5.8%
8.1%
DET 8.9% +1.6%
DEN 7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
51.7%
DET 52.6%
DEN 57.1% +4.5%
Rim FG%
55.8%
54.8%
DET 52.6% +5.5%
DEN 47.1%
Mid FG%
39.7%
38.8%
DET 52.9%
DEN 54.5% +1.6%
3P %
34.5%
33.8%
DET 37.9% +1.5%
DEN 36.4%
FT %
66.8%
76.6%
DET 52.6%
DEN 82.8% +30.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
42.5%
DET 45.2% +1.6%
DEN 43.6%
Mid Att. %
33.7%
29.8%
DET 20.2% +8.0%
DEN 28.2%
3P Att. %
30.3%
27.7%
DET 34.5% +6.3%
DEN 28.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsDETDEN
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.523.4
Points101104
Rebounds5132
Assists2318
Steals415
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (6)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)29 (4)
Field Goals40-8436-78
At-the-Rim FG20-3816-34
Midrange FG9-1712-22
2-Point FG29-5528-56
3-Point FG11-298-22
Free Throws10-1924-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 204 · 23
35.2
16
47%
4
1
0
2
4
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
1-7
14%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
32.9
20
83%
2
2
1
0
2
5
0
2
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
3-4
75%
G · 6'3" 208 · 26
29.6
11
34%
1
8
1
0
3
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-9
22%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
27.8
9
41%
9
3
1
0
1
3
3
6
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 279 · 22
18.4
4
29%
8
1
0
1
1
2
2
6
0-4
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
29.6
13
81%
10
0
0
2
2
2
2
8
1-2
50%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
21.1
9
113%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
F · 6'7" 245 · 20
20.2
12
60%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
G · 6'1" 170 · 26
18.4
5
42%
10
4
1
0
1
0
2
8
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
6.9
2
50%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 172 · 36
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25
C · 6'9" 245 · 33
#8 · G · 6'5" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
53%
51
23
4
5
16
0
11
40
10-19
53%
29-55
53%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.