FinalWin Prob.pScore
2435%102
98
1065%107
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
105.493100.3
HOU logo HOU
109.79386.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL98
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)98
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)98
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bayless 6 AST)98
4.0%
100
96.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUROCKETS Rebound95
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Jones 5' Driving Layup95
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 295
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)95
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)94
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 1:12MILAntetokounmpo Dunk (18 PTS) (Monroe 3 AST)94
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 1:19HOUBrewer Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T11)92
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 1:45HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 1:45MILMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 192
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 1:58MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 1:58HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 290
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:58HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)90
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 2:19MILCarter-Williams 10' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)90
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 2:38HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 4 AST)88
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 2:55HOUROCKETS Rebound88
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 2:57MILMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot88
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 3:06MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 3:07HOUMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot88
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 3:27HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 3:27MILMISS Carter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 188
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 3:32MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 3:33HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 3:58MILAntetokounmpo Driving Dunk (16 PTS)86
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 4:08MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 4:09HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:14MILBrewer STEAL (2 STL)84
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:26HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)84
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 4:34HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 4:35MILMISS Antetokounmpo 3' Finger Roll Layup84
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 4:57HOUJones Cutting Dunk Shot (14 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)84
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 5:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 5:02MILMISS Middleton 12' Floating Jump Shot84
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 5:17MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)84
7.1%
91
92.9%
Q4 - 5:18HOUMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 5:43MILMonroe 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Middleton 6 AST)84
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 5:56HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)82
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q4 - 6:00HOULawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 6:01HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot82
10.1%
88
89.9%
Q4 - 6:31MILMiddleton 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
8.0%
88
92.0%
Q4 - 6:44MILMiddleton Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)80
6.3%
88
93.7%
Q4 - 7:00HOUJones 4' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)79
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 7:17MILBayless 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)79
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q4 - 7:32MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)76
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 7:33HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot76
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 7:48MILParker 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 7:52MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 7:53MILMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot74
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 8:07MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 8:08HOUMISS Thornton 6' Floating Jump Shot74
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 8:24MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 8:24MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 8:37HOUThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)72
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 8:42HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 8:44HOUMISS Thornton 17' Fadeaway Jumper72
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 9:00MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)72
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 9:07HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)72
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 9:27MILMonroe Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Middleton 5 AST)72
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 9:48MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 9:48MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 10:11HOUThornton 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)70
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 10:20HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 10:20HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 10:32HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)70
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 10:34HOUMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 10:49MILMonroe 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (O'Bryant III 1 AST)70
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 11:04HOULawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)68
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 11:15HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 11:15HOUMISS Brewer 7' Jump Shot68
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 11:24MILMonroe 4' Layup (12 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)68
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 11:48HOUSmith 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)66
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU66
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound66
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0MILMISS Bayless 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot66
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0HOUMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0HOUROCKETS Rebound66
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)66
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 1:07HOUThornton 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)66
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 1:14HOUROCKETS Rebound66
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 1:15HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Layup66
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 1:23HOUROCKETS Rebound66
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 1:24HOUMISS Thornton 21' Pullup Jump Shot66
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 1:46MILSmith STEAL (2 STL)66
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 2:05HOULawson 3' Running Layup (11 PTS)66
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 2:11HOULawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 2:12MILMISS Middleton 11' Turnaround Jump Shot66
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 2:18MILBucks Rebound66
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q3 - 2:19MILSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)66
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 2:44HOUHarden 1' Running Layup (23 PTS)66
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q3 - 2:49MILHarden STEAL (2 STL)66
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q3 - 3:10HOULawson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)66
15.0%
73
85.0%
Q3 - 3:17HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q3 - 3:18HOUMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q3 - 3:23HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q3 - 3:24HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot66
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q3 - 3:36MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q3 - 3:36MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
16.6%
71
83.4%
Q3 - 3:38MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
15.0%
71
85.0%
Q3 - 3:39MILMISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot64
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 3:44MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
14.9%
71
85.1%
Q3 - 3:46MILMISS Carter-Williams 3PT Jump Shot64
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 4:04HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)64
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q3 - 4:13HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
19.9%
68
80.1%
Q3 - 4:14MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
20.9%
68
79.1%
Q3 - 4:27HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)64
23.3%
68
76.7%
Q3 - 4:49MILAntetokounmpo 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)64
29.5%
65
70.5%
Q3 - 5:02HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)62
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 5:14MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
23.1%
65
76.9%
Q3 - 5:14MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q3 - 5:28HOUJones Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)60
20.6%
65
79.4%
Q3 - 5:32HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
23.1%
63
76.9%
Q3 - 5:33MILJones BLOCK (4 BLK)60
24.1%
63
75.9%
Q3 - 5:44HOULawson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)60
26.5%
63
73.5%
Q3 - 6:08MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)60
29.3%
61
70.7%
Q3 - 6:12MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
33.1%
61
66.9%
Q3 - 6:12HOUMISS Ariza 2' Layup60
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q3 - 6:29MILParker 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)60
29.3%
61
70.7%
Q3 - 6:37MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
26.5%
61
73.5%
Q3 - 6:37HOUMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 6:55MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
23.2%
61
76.8%
Q3 - 6:55MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 6:55MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
20.8%
61
79.2%
Q3 - 6:56MILMISS Monroe 3' Layup56
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 7:08HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)56
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q3 - 7:20MILParker Cutting Dunk Shot (7 PTS) (Middleton 4 AST)56
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 7:26HOUCapela 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)54
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 7:35HOUROCKETS Rebound54
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 7:35HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup54
20.0%
59
80.0%
Q3 - 7:49MILCarter-Williams Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)54
18.2%
59
81.8%
Q3 - 7:55MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 7:56HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 8:04HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
14.3%
59
85.7%
Q3 - 8:04HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
15.8%
59
84.2%
Q3 - 8:23MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q3 - 8:23MILMISS Carter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 251
13.8%
59
86.2%
Q3 - 8:35HOUAriza Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)51
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q3 - 8:59MILParker 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)51
16.2%
57
83.8%
Q3 - 9:19MILBucks Rebound49
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q3 - 9:20HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot49
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 9:42MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P2.T10)49
12.8%
57
87.2%
Q3 - 10:00MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q3 - 10:01HOUMISS Ariza 1' Running Layup49
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 10:07MILTerry STEAL (3 STL)49
13.1%
57
86.9%
Q3 - 10:14MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q3 - 10:15HOUMISS Terry 22' Jump Shot49
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q3 - 10:37MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 10:37MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 10:39HOUCapela Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)47
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 10:52MILMonroe 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)47
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 10:57MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 10:57MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q3 - 11:21MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q3 - 11:21HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot45
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 11:41MILTerry STEAL (2 STL)45
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL45
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound45
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot45
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0HOUJones 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)45
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
11.3%
55
88.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILMISS Middleton 18' Jump Shot45
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0MILMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot45
11.5%
55
88.5%
Q2 - 1:18HOUHarden 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)45
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q2 - 1:32MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q2 - 1:32MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 1:32MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
14.0%
52
86.0%
Q2 - 1:33MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot43
13.4%
52
86.6%
Q2 - 1:38MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
14.0%
52
86.0%
Q2 - 1:39HOUMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot43
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q2 - 1:49MILMiddleton 2' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Henson 2 AST)43
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 1:53MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q2 - 1:54HOUMISS Lawson 9' Jump Shot41
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q2 - 2:19HOUROCKETS Rebound41
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q2 - 2:19HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q2 - 2:19HOUMISS Smith 2' Tip Layup Shot41
11.4%
52
88.6%
Q2 - 2:20HOUMISS Smith 1' Layup41
11.4%
52
88.6%
Q2 - 2:38MILAntetokounmpo 2' Layup (8 PTS)41
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q2 - 3:00MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q2 - 3:01HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot39
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 3:14MILHarden STEAL (1 STL)39
8.8%
52
91.2%
Q2 - 3:19MILBucks Rebound39
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 3:19MILAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)39
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q2 - 3:36HOUHarden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)39
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 4:00HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
12.0%
49
88.0%
Q2 - 4:00MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q2 - 4:23HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)39
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q2 - 4:40MILAntetokounmpo 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Carter-Williams 4 AST)39
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 4:46MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 4:47HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
14.7%
46
85.3%
Q2 - 5:13MILMonroe 2' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Middleton 3 AST)37
14.0%
46
86.0%
Q2 - 5:33HOUJones 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)35
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 5:39HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 5:40MILJones BLOCK (3 BLK)35
14.4%
44
85.6%
Q2 - 5:54MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 5:55HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot35
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q2 - 6:07MILMiddleton 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)35
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 6:22HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)33
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 6:22HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)33
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 6:25HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
14.2%
42
85.8%
Q2 - 6:26MILJones BLOCK (2 BLK)33
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 6:28MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
16.0%
42
84.0%
Q2 - 6:28MILMISS Middleton 16' Jump Shot33
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 6:45HOUHarden 2' Running Layup (13 PTS)33
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 6:51HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
17.1%
40
82.9%
Q2 - 6:52MILMISS Carter-Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 6:56MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 6:57MILMISS Monroe 3' Layup33
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 7:10MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 7:10HOUMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 7:20HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 7:22MILCapela BLOCK (2 BLK)33
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 7:35HOULawson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Capela 2 AST)33
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 7:56HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 7:57MILMISS O'Bryant III 17' Jump Shot33
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 8:17HOUJones 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)33
22.7%
38
77.3%
Q2 - 8:32MILParker Foul Turnover (P1.T6)33
24.5%
36
75.5%
Q2 - 8:40MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 8:42MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 8:42MILMISS O'Bryant III 2' Tip Layup Shot33
25.1%
36
74.9%
Q2 - 8:44MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 8:44MILMISS Carter-Williams 3' Putback Layup33
25.1%
36
74.9%
Q2 - 8:45MILMISS Carter-Williams 4' Jump Bank Shot33
25.1%
36
74.9%
Q2 - 8:54MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 8:55HOUMISS Thornton 10' Pullup Jump Shot33
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 9:10HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
24.2%
36
75.8%
Q2 - 9:11MILMISS O'Bryant III 4' Turnaround Hook Shot33
24.9%
36
75.1%
Q2 - 9:31HOULawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)33
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 9:44HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q2 - 9:45MILMISS Bayless 21' Pullup Jump Shot33
30.9%
33
69.1%
Q2 - 10:07MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 10:07HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 233
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 10:07HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 233
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q2 - 10:07HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q2 - 10:08HOUMISS Smith 4' Driving Layup33
32.0%
33
68.0%
Q2 - 10:17HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q2 - 10:18MILMISS Henson 9' Floating Jump Shot33
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 10:40HOUBrewer 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)33
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 10:49MILVaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)33
34.5%
31
65.5%
Q2 - 10:55HOUJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q2 - 11:18MILO'Bryant III Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)30
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 11:32MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 11:33HOUMISS Thornton 2' Cutting Layup Shot28
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q2 - 11:42MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)28
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU28
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound28
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Smith 21' Pullup Jump Shot28
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0HOUROCKETS Rebound28
24.8%
31
75.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Thornton 3' Running Layup28
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0MILBrewer STEAL (1 STL)28
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Lawson 21' Pullup Jump Shot28
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILMiddleton 19' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)28
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0HOUJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)26
22.6%
31
77.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0HOULawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q1 - 1:05MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q1 - 1:16HOUSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q1 - 1:28MILHenson Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)23
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q1 - 1:41MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q1 - 1:42HOUMISS Smith 7' Turnaround Hook Shot21
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q1 - 1:53HOUROCKETS Rebound21
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q1 - 1:54MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)21
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q1 - 2:11HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)21
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q1 - 2:24MILMiddleton 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)21
21.5%
26
78.5%
Q1 - 2:34MILBucks Rebound19
19.8%
26
80.2%
Q1 - 2:34HOUMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q1 - 2:49MILMiddleton 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 2:59HOULawson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)17
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q1 - 3:04HOUROCKETS Rebound17
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q1 - 3:04MILMISS Middleton 1' Running Reverse Layup17
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 3:15MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 3:16HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot17
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 3:25HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q1 - 3:26MILJones BLOCK (1 BLK)17
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 3:41MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 3:42HOUMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 3:51HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q1 - 3:52MILMISS Antetokounmpo 4' Cutting Layup Shot17
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 4:04HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)17
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 4:04HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)17
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 4:15MILAntetokounmpo Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)17
18.6%
24
81.4%
Q1 - 4:20MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 4:21HOUMISS Harden 3' Layup15
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 4:33MILHenson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)15
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 4:50HOUHarden 3' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)13
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q1 - 4:53HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
16.1%
22
83.9%
Q1 - 4:55HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 5:07MILCarter-Williams Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)13
16.5%
22
83.5%
Q1 - 5:11MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15.5%
22
84.5%
Q1 - 5:12HOUMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot11
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 5:14HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 5:15HOUMISS Jones 3' Layup11
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 5:30HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 5:31MILMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 5:48HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 5:48HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)11
15.6%
21
84.4%
Q1 - 5:51HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 5:52MILMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot11
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 6:09HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)11
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 6:24MILMonroe 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)11
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 6:40HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 6:40HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 7:00MILAntetokounmpo 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
20.4%
15
79.6%
Q1 - 7:18HOUCapela Dunk (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)7
19.4%
15
80.6%
Q1 - 7:31MILMonroe Dunk (4 PTS)7
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 7:33MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
19.4%
13
80.6%
Q1 - 7:33MILMISS Carter-Williams 21' Jump Shot5
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 7:48HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
19.4%
13
80.6%
Q1 - 7:53HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 7:54MILCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)5
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 8:17MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 8:17HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 25
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 8:17HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 25
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 8:19MILCapela STEAL (1 STL)5
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 8:33HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)5
23.2%
10
76.8%
Q1 - 8:45MILMonroe Dunk (2 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)5
25.8%
7
74.2%
Q1 - 8:59HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)3
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 9:04MILParker 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)3
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 9:35HOUCapela 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)1
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 9:36HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 9:37HOUMISS Brewer 3' Driving Layup1
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 9:42MILTerry STEAL (1 STL)1
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 9:51MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 9:52HOUMISS Harden 14' Step Back Jump Shot1
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 10:09MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 10:09MILMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 20
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 10:17HOUBrewer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:36MILAntetokounmpo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:41MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:42HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot0
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 10:54HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:55MILMISS Monroe 13' Jump Shot0
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 11:10HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 11:23HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:24MILMISS Middleton 19' Jump Shot0
29.1%
0
70.9%
Q1 - 11:26MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 11:34HOUMISS Brewer 1' Putback Layup0
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 11:36HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:37HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Monroe: Tip to Terry0
28.7%
0
71.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.02 51.0%
HOU
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
25
42
60%
HOU
21
37
57%
Midrange
MIL
11
29
38%
HOU
2
13
15%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
HOU
15
22.5
44
34%
51%
Free Throws
MIL
17
22
77%
HOU
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton2148%10.5 / 22
G. Monroe2158%10.5 / 18
G. Antetokounmpo1864%9.0 / 14
J. Parker1155%5.5 / 10
M. Carter-Williams1142%5.5 / 13
J. Henson867%4.0 / 6
J. Bayless325%1.5 / 6
R. Vaughn3150%1.5 / 1
J. O'Bryant III225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3079%15.0 / 19
T. Ariza1959%9.5 / 16
T. Jones1450%7.0 / 14
T. Lawson1155%5.5 / 10
M. Thornton1042%5.0 / 12
C. Capela675%3.0 / 4
J. Terry633%3.0 / 9
C. Brewer429%2.0 / 7
J. Smith29%1.0 / 11
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+18
-15
96
HOU
82
+23
-11
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.02 51.0%
HOU
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
108.1
MIL 105.4
HOU 109.7 +4.3
Pace
94.1
97.9
MIL 100.3 +13.6
HOU 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.2
MIL 14.4 +2.3
HOU 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
51.6%
MIL 47.6%
HOU 48.4% +0.8%
TO %
15.4%
15.5%
MIL 13.7%
HOU 10.6% +3.1%
ORB %
25.0%
25.7%
MIL 34.1% +3.5%
HOU 30.6%
FTrt
27.6
35.2
MIL 25.9 +8.9
HOU 17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
58.9%
MIL 76.9% +5.8%
HOU 71.1%
STL %
8.6%
10.2%
MIL 7.5%
HOU 10.8% +3.3%
BLK %
10.2%
9.0%
MIL 20.0% +5.9%
HOU 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
53.7%
MIL 51.0% +2.4%
HOU 48.6%
Rim FG%
57.9%
58.5%
MIL 59.5% +2.7%
HOU 56.8%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.9%
MIL 37.9% +22.5%
HOU 15.4%
3P %
34.5%
34.7%
MIL 21.4%
HOU 34.1% +12.7%
FT %
74.7%
69.5%
MIL 77.3% +8.5%
HOU 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.2%
40.0%
MIL 49.4% +10.1%
HOU 39.4%
Mid Att. %
35.9%
23.0%
MIL 34.1%
HOU 13.8% +20.3%
3P Att. %
18.9%
37.0%
MIL 16.5%
HOU 46.8% +30.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsMILHOU
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes22.325.8
Points98102
Rebounds4842
Assists3027
Steals710
Blocks1010
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)15 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)27 (4)
Field Goals39-8538-94
At-the-Rim FG25-4221-37
Midrange FG11-292-13
2-Point FG36-7123-50
3-Point FG3-1415-44
Free Throws17-2211-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 222 · 24
42.7
21
48%
1
7
1
1
4
1
0
1
4-4
100%
7-14
50%
1-7
14%
F · 6'8" 250 · 21
39.9
11
55%
10
4
2
2
1
1
3
7
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 190 · 24
34.8
11
42%
12
5
2
0
4
3
4
8
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 243 · 21
33.5
18
64%
6
2
1
1
2
3
1
5
4-4
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
29.8
21
58%
9
3
0
4
1
3
2
7
1-3
33%
10-17
59%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
20.3
3
25%
1
6
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 229 · 25
18.2
8
67%
6
2
0
2
1
3
2
4
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23
15.6
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 202 · 19
5.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
G · 6'3" 194 · 21
C · 6'11" 249 · 27
F · 6'9" 239 · 32
#17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'6" 217 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
51%
48
30
7
10
15
0
14
34
17-22
77%
36-71
51%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.