FinalWin Prob.pScore
2232%96
81
768%102
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.18786.2
TOR logo TOR
114.88888.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORWright Driving Layup (2 PTS)81
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0TORBennett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Step Back Jump Shot81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAStokes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Alley Oop Layup81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAValanciunas BLOCK (3 BLK)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36TORDeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)81
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 2:32TORValanciunas Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)81
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 2:34TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 2:34TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot81
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 2:53MIABosh Free Throw 3 of 3 (26 PTS)81
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 380
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 2:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 3 (25 PTS)80
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 2:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 3:00TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Layup79
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 3:03TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 3:04TORMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 3:12TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)79
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Wade 5' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot79
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 3:35TORPatterson 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)79
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 4:07MIABosh 3' Layup (24 PTS)79
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 4:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 4:24MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 4:24TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIABosh 4' Driving Layup (22 PTS)77
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 5:14TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 5:14TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 275
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 5:15TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 5:15TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot75
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)75
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 6:02TORJohnson 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)73
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 6:08TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 6:10MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)73
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 6:17TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWade 3' Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)73
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 6:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 7:05TORScola Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)71
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)71
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 7:34TORPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T13)69
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 7:51TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Wade 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot69
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 8:03TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 8:03TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 8:18TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Haslem 19' Turnaround Jump Shot69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 8:43TORJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T12)69
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 8:45TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 8:46MIALowry BLOCK (1 BLK)69
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 9:11TORLowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)69
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 9:25TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 269
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q4 - 9:45TORRoss Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)69
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 9:49TORRAPTORS Rebound69
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 9:49TORMISS Joseph 9' Jump Shot69
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 9:58TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 10:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)69
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot69
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q4 - 10:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 10:29TORMISS Biyombo 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot69
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 10:49MIARichardson Tip Dunk Shot (6 PTS)69
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 10:52MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot67
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 11:33TORJoseph Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T10)67
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 11:47MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)67
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR67
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound67
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Patterson 41' 3PT Driving Floating Jump Shot67
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)67
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound67
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot67
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)67
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)67
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORRAPTORS Rebound67
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORMISS Joseph 3' Driving Layup67
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIABosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)67
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot65
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 1:02TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Bosh 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot65
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q3 - 1:26TORPatterson Putback Layup (2 PTS)65
4.4%
78
95.6%
Q3 - 1:30TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 1:30TORMISS DeRozan 23' Jump Shot65
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q3 - 1:51TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 1:51MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q3 - 2:02MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 2:02TORMISS Biyombo 14' Jump Shot65
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q3 - 2:27MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)65
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 2:40TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot63
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 2:53MIAWinslow 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)63
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 3:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 3:13TORMISS Ross Free Throw 2 of 260
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 3:13TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 3:16TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 3:33MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 3:34TORMISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot60
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 3:45TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 3:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 3:55TORMISS DeRozan 4' Driving Layup60
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 4:09MIAWade 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 4:25TORBiyombo Foul Turnover (P1.T9)58
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 4:36TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 158
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 4:57TORDeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)56
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 5:14MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)56
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 5:35MIAHeat Rebound56
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 5:36TORMISS DeRozan 13' Jump Bank Shot56
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 6:01MIABosh 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 6:10TORRAPTORS Turnover: 3 Second Violation (T#8)54
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 6:35MIAStoudemire 2' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)54
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 6:38MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 6:39MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)52
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 6:57TORScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 6:57TORScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 7:01MIAScola STEAL (1 STL)52
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 7:21TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)52
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 7:32TORRAPTORS Rebound52
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMISS Wade Tip Layup Shot52
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot52
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 7:48MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 7:48TORMISS Valanciunas 16' Jump Shot52
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 8:11MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)52
4.4%
67
95.6%
Q3 - 8:23TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 8:23TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 8:35TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Stoudemire Cutting Layup Shot49
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 8:52TORJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Valanciunas 3 AST)49
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 9:13MIAStoudemire 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)49
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 9:29TORRAPTORS Turnover: 3 Second Violation (T#7)47
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 9:54TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 247
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 9:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 10:07MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 10:07TORMISS Scola 5' Turnaround Jump Shot46
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T8)46
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 10:35TORJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)46
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 10:43TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 10:44MIAValanciunas BLOCK (2 BLK)46
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 11:01TORValanciunas Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)46
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 11:12MIABosh 3' Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS)46
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 11:36TORScola 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)44
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
4.4%
60
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORScola 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)44
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Hook Shot44
7.4%
57
92.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Rebound44
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0TORMISS Scola 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
7.6%
57
92.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
7.0%
57
93.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0TORScola 1' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)42
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (13 PTS)42
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q2 - 1:27TORDeRozan 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)40
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q2 - 1:37TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q2 - 1:59TORDeRozan Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)40
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)40
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 2:32TORScola 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)38
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q2 - 2:37TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 2:38TORMISS DeRozan 13' Driving Floating Jump Shot38
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 2:47TORDeRozan Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)38
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 2:51TORRAPTORS Rebound38
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Green Driving Dunk38
12.4%
47
87.6%
Q2 - 3:18TORDeRozan 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS)38
13.7%
47
86.3%
Q2 - 3:24TORRAPTORS Rebound38
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 3:24TORMISS DeRozan 3' Running Layup38
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 3:31TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup38
15.5%
45
84.5%
Q2 - 3:46MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 3:47TORMISS Johnson 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot38
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 3:58TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Wade 10' Pullup Jump Shot38
15.5%
45
84.5%
Q2 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
16.9%
45
83.1%
Q2 - 4:09TORMISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot38
16.3%
45
83.7%
Q2 - 4:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q2 - 4:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
13.9%
45
86.1%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Green 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot36
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 4:40TORRoss Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
13.9%
45
86.1%
Q2 - 4:55TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q2 - 4:56MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)36
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
14.1%
45
85.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 236
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 5:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 5:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 5:17TORMISS Lowry 28' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot35
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 5:23MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)35
11.5%
45
88.5%
Q2 - 5:35TORLowry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)35
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 5:59MIARichardson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)35
11.5%
45
88.5%
Q2 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 6:14TORMISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot33
10.6%
45
89.4%
Q2 - 6:25TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
9.7%
45
90.3%
Q2 - 6:26MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)33
10.1%
45
89.9%
Q2 - 6:44MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
10.9%
45
89.1%
Q2 - 6:45TORMISS Joseph 7' Turnaround Hook Shot33
10.5%
45
89.5%
Q2 - 7:09TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
10.1%
45
89.9%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Bosh 19' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot33
10.4%
45
89.6%
Q2 - 7:39TORRoss 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)33
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 7:54MIAJohnson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 8:15TORLowry 23' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
11.4%
43
88.6%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 8:30TORLowry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)31
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 8:50MIAWinslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)31
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 9:12TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 9:12TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 9:17MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS)28
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
12.6%
37
87.4%
Q2 - 9:32TORMISS Lowry 19' Jump Shot26
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 9:46MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
11.4%
37
88.6%
Q2 - 10:03TORJoseph 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWinslow Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)24
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 10:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
12.8%
35
87.2%
Q2 - 10:43TORMISS Lowry 20' Turnaround Jump Shot24
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 10:59MIAWade 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
11.5%
35
88.5%
Q2 - 11:16TORRoss 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)22
10.9%
35
89.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIAHaslem 2' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)22
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 11:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup20
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 11:49TORBiyombo Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)20
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR20
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound20
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 30' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot20
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)20
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAGreen Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)18
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)18
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q1 - 1:01TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Green 11' Turnaround Jump Shot18
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q1 - 1:15MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q1 - 1:17TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 218
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q1 - 1:17TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)18
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q1 - 1:22TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot18
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q1 - 1:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q1 - 1:40TORMISS Joseph 16' Pullup Jump Shot18
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q1 - 1:59TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q1 - 2:05MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
12.2%
30
87.8%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot18
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q1 - 2:29TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)18
12.2%
30
87.8%
Q1 - 2:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)18
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q1 - 2:55TORRoss 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)15
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJohnson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)15
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 3:16TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 3:21TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 3:22MIAValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)15
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 3:46TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Valanciunas 2 AST)15
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 4:02TORRAPTORS Rebound15
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 4:02TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot15
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 4:10TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Richardson 21' Step Back Jump Shot15
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 4:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 4:23TORMISS Lowry 28' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 4:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot15
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 4:54MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 4:54TORMISS Valanciunas 5' Driving Layup15
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 5:08MIABosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)15
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 5:30TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)12
15.0%
22
85.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
15.8%
20
84.2%
Q1 - 6:03TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
15.3%
20
84.7%
Q1 - 6:03TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 6:24MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)10
16.3%
18
83.7%
Q1 - 6:39TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)8
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 6:53MIAStoudemire Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)8
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 6:55MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
18.6%
15
81.4%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup8
17.8%
15
82.2%
Q1 - 7:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
18.8%
15
81.2%
Q1 - 7:10TORMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 7:23MIAStoudemire Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)8
17.4%
15
82.6%
Q1 - 7:42TORDeRozan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)8
18.8%
15
81.2%
Q1 - 7:57MIAStoudemire Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
19.8%
13
80.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Johnson 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot6
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 8:19TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)6
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 8:34MIAJohnson 20' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 9:00TORValanciunas 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)4
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 9:19TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Wade 8' Fadeaway Jumper4
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 9:38MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.1%
9
78.9%
Q1 - 9:38TORMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot4
20.6%
9
79.4%
Q1 - 9:40TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 9:40TORMISS Valanciunas 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot4
20.6%
9
79.4%
Q1 - 9:59MIAWade 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 10:13TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
18.8%
9
81.2%
Q1 - 10:23TORScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup2
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 10:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.4%
6
77.6%
Q1 - 10:34TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot2
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 10:51MIAStoudemire Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 11:03TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 11:15TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
22.3%
3
77.7%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Johnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot0
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 11:33TORJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)0
23.5%
3
76.5%
Q1 - 11:41TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh 4' Driving Layup0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Wade0
27.6%
0
72.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.5%
TOR
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
32
56%
TOR
13
24
54%
Midrange
MIA
11
32
34%
TOR
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
TOR
13
19.5
25
52%
78%
Free Throws
MIA
11
17
65%
TOR
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2659%13.0 / 22
D. Wade2248%11.0 / 23
J. Winslow956%4.5 / 8
A. Stoudemire880%4.0 / 5
J. Richardson633%3.0 / 9
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
T. Johnson429%2.0 / 7
G. Green0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3361%16.5 / 27
K. Lowry1558%7.5 / 13
T. Ross13108%6.5 / 6
L. Scola1286%6.0 / 7
J. Valančiūnas945%4.5 / 10
J. Johnson857%4.0 / 7
P. Patterson550%2.5 / 5
B. Biyombo233%1.0 / 3
C. Joseph220%1.0 / 5
D. Wright2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+15
-12
90
TOR
76
+12
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.5%
TOR
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
110.2
MIA 93.1 +21.7
TOR 114.8
Pace
93.7
92.8
MIA 86.2
TOR 88.9 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.1
MIA 16.7
TOR 16.2 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
50.4%
MIA 43.2%
TOR 55.3% +12.1%
TO %
14.0%
13.0%
MIA 12.8% +1.5%
TOR 14.3%
ORB %
23.9%
24.7%
MIA 28.6% +11.0%
TOR 17.6%
FTrt
28.2
32.8
MIA 21.0
TOR 28.0 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
51.1%
MIA 39.4%
TOR 54.3% +14.9%
STL %
7.2%
8.3%
MIA 4.6% +0.1%
TOR 4.5%
BLK %
10.3%
9.3%
MIA 4.0%
TOR 12.5% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.4%
MIA 44.5%
TOR 57.4% +12.9%
Rim FG%
62.3%
57.2%
MIA 56.3% +2.1%
TOR 54.2%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.7%
MIA 34.4%
TOR 34.6% +0.2%
3P %
33.6%
37.0%
MIA 23.5%
TOR 52.0% +28.5%
FT %
74.4%
77.7%
MIA 64.7%
TOR 85.7% +21.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
37.1%
MIA 39.5% +7.5%
TOR 32.0%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
34.2%
MIA 39.5%
TOR 34.7% +4.8%
3P Att. %
22.1%
28.7%
MIA 21.0%
TOR 33.3% +12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points81101
Rebounds4241
Assists1319
Steals44
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals33-8135-75
At-the-Rim FG18-3213-24
Midrange FG11-329-26
2-Point FG29-6422-50
3-Point FG4-1713-25
Free Throws11-1718-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
40.8
9
56%
8
2
0
0
1
3
1
7
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
38.7
26
59%
7
1
0
0
1
0
2
5
7-9
78%
8-14
57%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
36.6
22
48%
3
4
1
0
4
1
1
2
2-6
33%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
33.1
4
29%
4
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
17.8
8
80%
5
0
0
0
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
33.5
6
33%
2
4
2
1
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
22.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
15.8
6
43%
9
0
0
0
0
0
4
5
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'9" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
45%
42
13
4
2
12
0
14
28
11-17
65%
29-64
45%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.