FinalWin Prob.pScore
1654%103
98
2346%102
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.49381.4
DEN logo DEN
102.293108.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN98
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)98
94.5%
95
5.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 297
93.3%
95
6.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)97
94.7%
95
5.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot97
91.8%
95
8.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
80.9%
95
19.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot97
85.9%
95
14.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
90.6%
95
9.4%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
87.6%
95
12.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIABosh 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (23 PTS)97
73.9%
95
26.1%
Q4 - 1:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
60.5%
95
39.5%
Q4 - 1:16DENMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot95
55.6%
95
44.4%
Q4 - 1:28MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T14)95
45.2%
95
54.8%
Q4 - 1:46DENArthur 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)95
60.1%
95
39.9%
Q4 - 1:56DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
70.3%
93
29.7%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Udrih 3' Layup95
73.6%
93
26.4%
Q4 - 2:32DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)95
81.2%
93
18.8%
Q4 - 2:41DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
85.1%
91
14.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot95
87.5%
91
12.5%
Q4 - 3:03DENGallinari Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T14)95
89.6%
91
10.4%
Q4 - 3:12MIAJohnson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (15 PTS) (Udrih 11 AST)95
83.1%
91
16.9%
Q4 - 3:22MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
79.0%
91
21.0%
Q4 - 3:24DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot93
76.0%
91
24.0%
Q4 - 3:47DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
66.6%
91
33.4%
Q4 - 3:48DENMISS Faried 4' Hook Shot93
72.5%
91
27.5%
Q4 - 4:08DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
66.7%
91
33.3%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
69.5%
91
30.5%
Q4 - 4:27MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
75.3%
91
24.7%
Q4 - 4:28DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
72.8%
91
27.2%
Q4 - 4:40MIAWinslow Foul Turnover (P3.T13)93
66.8%
91
33.2%
Q4 - 4:40MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
75.3%
91
24.7%
Q4 - 4:41DENMISS Faried 2' Layup93
72.9%
91
27.1%
Q4 - 4:45DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
66.8%
91
33.2%
Q4 - 4:47DENMISS Nelson 4' Jump Shot93
72.9%
91
27.1%
Q4 - 4:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
66.8%
91
33.2%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
69.6%
91
30.4%
Q4 - 5:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
72.9%
91
27.1%
Q4 - 5:14DENMISS Harris 1' Layup93
70.7%
91
29.3%
Q4 - 5:32MIAJohnson 4' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)93
65.4%
91
34.6%
Q4 - 5:49DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
58.2%
91
41.8%
Q4 - 5:49DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
60.6%
90
39.4%
Q4 - 6:02MIAArthur STEAL (2 STL)91
64.5%
89
35.5%
Q4 - 6:17DENNelson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)91
71.9%
89
28.1%
Q4 - 6:34MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)91
76.9%
87
23.1%
Q4 - 6:54DENArthur 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
65.5%
87
34.5%
Q4 - 7:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
70.5%
85
29.5%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 288
71.3%
85
28.7%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
73.9%
85
26.1%
Q4 - 7:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)87
71.0%
85
29.0%
Q4 - 7:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)87
71.0%
85
29.0%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Tip Layup Shot87
66.5%
85
33.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
66.5%
85
33.5%
Q4 - 7:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
71.1%
85
28.9%
Q4 - 7:36DENMISS Mudiay 3' Layup87
69.1%
85
30.9%
Q4 - 7:42MIAArthur STEAL (1 STL)87
64.4%
85
35.6%
Q4 - 7:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)87
71.1%
85
28.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot87
66.5%
85
33.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)87
69.4%
85
30.6%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot87
65.7%
85
34.3%
Q4 - 8:28DENNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)87
69.6%
85
30.4%
Q4 - 8:45MIADeng 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)87
79.4%
82
20.6%
Q4 - 8:50DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)85
74.8%
82
25.2%
Q4 - 9:09MIAWinslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 10 AST)85
68.7%
82
31.3%
Q4 - 9:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)82
57.8%
82
42.2%
Q4 - 9:19DENMISS Faried 4' Hook Shot82
56.0%
82
44.0%
Q4 - 9:24DENNUGGETS Rebound82
51.7%
82
48.3%
Q4 - 9:25DENMISS Harris Driving Layup82
56.0%
82
44.0%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWinslow 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Udrih 9 AST)82
51.7%
82
48.3%
Q4 - 10:03MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
46.4%
82
53.6%
Q4 - 10:04DENMISS Mudiay 14' Fadeaway Jumper80
44.6%
82
55.4%
Q4 - 10:28MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)80
40.5%
82
59.5%
Q4 - 10:57DENMudiay 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
35.4%
82
64.6%
Q4 - 11:08MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)78
40.9%
80
59.1%
Q4 - 11:28DENBarton 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jokic 5 AST)76
36.0%
80
64.0%
Q4 - 11:42DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
40.9%
78
59.1%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
42.5%
78
57.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN76
46.4%
78
53.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound76
40.9%
78
59.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Barton 13' Floating Jump Shot76
44.7%
78
55.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Udrih 8 AST)76
41.8%
78
58.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0DENJokic Foul Turnover (P1.T12)74
36.8%
78
63.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWinslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 7 AST)74
32.2%
78
67.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)71
23.9%
78
76.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Harris 8' Floating Jump Shot71
22.8%
78
77.2%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)71
21.6%
78
78.4%
Q3 - 1:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
25.3%
78
74.7%
Q3 - 1:06DENMISS Jokic 1' Layup71
24.1%
78
75.9%
Q3 - 1:17MIAJohnson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)71
21.6%
78
78.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIAHeat Rebound69
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q3 - 1:41DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
17.6%
78
82.4%
Q3 - 1:45DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
15.7%
78
84.3%
Q3 - 1:47DENMISS Jokic 4' Hook Shot69
17.6%
78
82.4%
Q3 - 1:50DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q3 - 1:50DENMISS Harris 11' Jump Shot69
17.6%
78
82.4%
Q3 - 2:04MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
16.9%
78
83.1%
Q3 - 2:04MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q3 - 2:16DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)67
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q3 - 2:16DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 2:17DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
16.8%
76
83.2%
Q3 - 2:18DENMISS Barton 9' Jump Shot67
18.9%
76
81.1%
Q3 - 2:28DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
16.8%
76
83.2%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Hook Shot67
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q3 - 2:51DENHarris Dunk (11 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)67
19.7%
76
80.3%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWhiteside 12' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)67
23.8%
74
76.2%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
21.0%
74
79.0%
Q3 - 3:17DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q3 - 3:44MIAWhiteside 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)65
17.9%
74
82.1%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
16.7%
74
83.3%
Q3 - 4:02DENMISS Mudiay 18' Fadeaway Jumper63
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q3 - 4:15MIAWhiteside Dunk (12 PTS)63
14.1%
74
85.9%
Q3 - 4:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q3 - 4:19MIAFaried BLOCK (2 BLK)61
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 4:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
12.4%
74
87.6%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)61
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 4:44DENMudiay Driving Dunk (14 PTS)61
12.4%
74
87.6%
Q3 - 4:59MIABosh 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)61
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 5:07MIAHeat Rebound59
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 5:08MIAFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)59
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 5:11MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 5:11DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q3 - 5:20DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Step Back Jump Shot59
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 5:43DENFaried 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 6:00DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Udrih 22' Jump Shot59
16.9%
70
83.1%
Q3 - 6:29DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q3 - 6:29DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 6:31DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
20.8%
68
79.2%
Q3 - 6:32MIANelson BLOCK (1 BLK)59
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 6:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
23.8%
68
76.2%
Q3 - 6:49DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup59
22.9%
68
77.1%
Q3 - 7:05MIABosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 7:24DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
19.4%
68
80.7%
Q3 - 7:24DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
20.1%
67
79.9%
Q3 - 7:41MIABosh 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
21.5%
66
78.5%
Q3 - 7:59DENArthur Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)55
19.3%
66
80.7%
Q3 - 8:11MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
17.5%
66
82.5%
Q3 - 8:11MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
17.1%
66
82.9%
Q3 - 8:25DENNelson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)53
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 8:27MIAFaried STEAL (1 STL)53
13.6%
66
86.4%
Q3 - 8:38DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P2.T9)53
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 8:44DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
13.6%
66
86.4%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 9:02DENGallinari 22' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)53
16.4%
66
83.6%
Q3 - 9:10DENNUGGETS Rebound53
18.4%
64
81.6%
Q3 - 9:11DENMISS Faried 4' Layup53
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 9:23MIADeng 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)53
18.4%
64
81.6%
Q3 - 9:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 9:38DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot51
15.7%
64
84.3%
Q3 - 9:48MIAUdrih 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)51
14.4%
64
85.6%
Q3 - 9:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
12.7%
64
87.3%
Q3 - 10:01DENMISS Harris 12' Floating Jump Shot49
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 10:17MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)49
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 10:36MIAHeat Rebound49
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 10:37DENMISS Gallinari 20' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot49
13.0%
64
87.0%
Q3 - 10:55DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 249
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
12.8%
64
87.2%
Q3 - 11:17MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
13.0%
64
87.0%
Q3 - 11:17DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q3 - 11:28MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS)48
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 11:47DENArthur 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)46
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENBarton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)46
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#7)46
12.8%
62
87.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)46
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
17.8%
59
82.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot46
18.7%
59
81.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot46
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENBarton Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)46
19.1%
59
80.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)46
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q2 - 1:08DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)44
16.0%
59
84.0%
Q2 - 1:10DENNUGGETS Rebound44
15.2%
59
84.8%
Q2 - 1:11DENMISS Jokic 21' Jump Shot44
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q2 - 1:32MIAGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)44
15.1%
59
84.9%
Q2 - 1:38MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
16.0%
59
84.0%
Q2 - 1:40DENMISS Harris 3' Driving Layup44
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q2 - 1:57DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
15.1%
59
84.9%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 244
15.2%
59
84.8%
Q2 - 1:58MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q2 - 2:05DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
15.5%
59
84.5%
Q2 - 2:05DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
15.7%
58
84.3%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)43
17.2%
57
82.8%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot41
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q2 - 2:36DENNUGGETS Rebound41
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q2 - 2:37DENMISS Mudiay 1' Layup41
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T5)41
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q2 - 2:53MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 2:54DENMISS Faried 3' Hook Shot41
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q2 - 3:12MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
14.8%
57
85.2%
Q2 - 3:12MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q2 - 3:28MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
13.6%
57
86.4%
Q2 - 3:29DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 139
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 3:42DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot39
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q2 - 3:58DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
16.5%
55
83.5%
Q2 - 3:58DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
16.7%
54
83.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIAUdrih 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
19.0%
53
81.0%
Q2 - 4:28DENFaried 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)37
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q2 - 4:45MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (7 PTS)37
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q2 - 4:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot35
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q2 - 5:04DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q2 - 5:04DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q2 - 5:04DENGallinari Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)35
19.8%
49
80.2%
Q2 - 5:18MIAJohnson 2' Layup (6 PTS)35
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 5:36DENFaried Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)33
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q2 - 5:43DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
21.6%
46
78.4%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Richardson 4' Jump Shot33
22.2%
46
77.8%
Q2 - 6:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q2 - 6:08DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q2 - 6:25MIARichardson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)33
22.2%
46
77.8%
Q2 - 6:31DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
20.9%
46
79.1%
Q2 - 6:45MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q2 - 6:45MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q2 - 6:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
17.5%
46
82.5%
Q2 - 6:56DENMISS Barton 21' Jump Shot29
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 7:04DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot29
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 7:36DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)29
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 7:36DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
18.6%
45
81.4%
Q2 - 7:41DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Richardson 23' Jump Shot29
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 7:55MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 8:04DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup29
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 8:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 8:18DENMISS Arthur 14' Jump Shot29
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 8:28DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup29
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 8:40DENArthur 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)29
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 8:58MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 8:58MIAStoudemire 2' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)29
23.8%
42
76.2%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup27
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 9:18DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)27
22.8%
42
77.2%
Q2 - 9:43MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 9:43MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 9:43MIABarton BLOCK (1 BLK)24
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 10:03DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
21.4%
40
78.6%
Q2 - 10:03DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 10:21MIAJohnson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)24
22.7%
38
77.3%
Q2 - 10:35DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 10:35DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 10:46MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
22.7%
36
77.3%
Q2 - 11:12DENJokic 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)20
21.7%
36
78.3%
Q2 - 11:27MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)20
23.3%
34
76.7%
Q2 - 11:40DENBarton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)20
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound20
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot20
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENJokic 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)20
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAJohnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
33.7%
29
66.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)18
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAJokic BLOCK (1 BLK)18
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
37.9%
26
62.1%
Q1 - 1:13DENMISS Mudiay 3' Layup18
37.4%
26
62.6%
Q1 - 1:23DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q1 - 1:46DENHarris Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)18
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 2:14DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)18
42.8%
24
57.2%
Q1 - 2:19DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
47.5%
21
52.5%
Q1 - 2:20MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot18
48.2%
21
51.8%
Q1 - 2:42DENMudiay 10' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
49.6%
21
50.4%
Q1 - 3:01MIAUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
52.1%
19
47.9%
Q1 - 3:14DENJokic 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)15
47.9%
19
52.1%
Q1 - 3:31DENNUGGETS Rebound15
49.8%
17
50.2%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot15
50.6%
17
49.4%
Q1 - 3:50DENMudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)15
52.3%
17
47.7%
Q1 - 4:03MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
56.4%
14
43.6%
Q1 - 4:22DENGallinari Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 4:34MIADeng Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
49.9%
14
50.1%
Q1 - 4:48DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 5:00MIAUdrih 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)12
49.9%
14
50.1%
Q1 - 5:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
48.2%
14
51.8%
Q1 - 5:11DENMISS Barton 1' Layup10
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 5:23DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot10
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Green Free Throw Technical10
48.2%
14
51.8%
Q1 - 5:59DENNelson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
48.2%
14
51.8%
Q1 - 6:16MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)10
50.3%
12
49.7%
Q1 - 6:23DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 6:23DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
48.9%
11
51.1%
Q1 - 6:29DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
50.3%
10
49.7%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot8
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 6:33MIAHeat Rebound8
52.4%
10
47.6%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Layup8
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 6:48DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
52.4%
10
47.6%
Q1 - 7:07MIABosh 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)8
54.3%
8
45.7%
Q1 - 7:32DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)6
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 7:51MIAGreen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)6
56.2%
5
43.8%
Q1 - 8:12DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)4
54.9%
5
45.1%
Q1 - 8:24DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
56.6%
3
43.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot4
57.2%
3
42.8%
Q1 - 8:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.6%
3
41.4%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup4
58.0%
3
42.0%
Q1 - 8:42MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)4
56.6%
3
43.4%
Q1 - 8:55MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.6%
3
41.4%
Q1 - 8:57DENMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot4
58.0%
3
42.0%
Q1 - 9:07DENGallinari Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
56.5%
3
43.5%
Q1 - 9:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.3%
2
41.7%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot4
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 9:32DENFaried Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T2)4
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 9:48MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)4
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 10:07DENHarris 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 10:22DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot2
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 10:32DENFaried Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
60.3%
0
39.7%
Q1 - 10:41DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot2
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
60.3%
0
39.7%
Q1 - 10:51DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup2
59.7%
0
40.3%
Q1 - 11:09MIAUdrih 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 11:27DENMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot0
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 11:42DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot0
55.3%
0
44.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Faried vs. Whiteside: Tip to Udrih0
56.4%
0
43.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.3%
DEN
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
35
63%
DEN
10
28
36%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
DEN
16
32
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
DEN
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
14
19
74%
DEN
25
26
96%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2475%12.0 / 16
H. Whiteside1963%9.5 / 15
T. Johnson1544%7.5 / 17
L. Deng1246%6.0 / 13
B. Udrih1155%5.5 / 10
J. Winslow880%4.0 / 5
A. Stoudemire563%2.5 / 4
G. Green220%1.0 / 5
J. Richardson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Arthur1869%9.0 / 13
E. Mudiay1662%8.0 / 13
K. Faried1458%7.0 / 12
G. Harris1137%5.5 / 15
D. Gallinari1146%5.5 / 12
W. Barton945%4.5 / 10
N. Jokić964%4.5 / 7
J. Nelson758%3.5 / 6
R. Foye0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+12
-13
92
DEN
80
+12
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.3%
DEN
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.2
MIA 105.4 +3.2
DEN 102.2
Pace
93.7
95.3
MIA 81.4
DEN 108.4 +27.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
MIA 17.7
DEN 13.3 +4.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
48.9%
MIA 51.9% +7.0%
DEN 44.9%
TO %
14.0%
14.8%
MIA 13.5%
DEN 13.5%
ORB %
23.9%
25.8%
MIA 22.5% +7.1%
DEN 15.4%
FTrt
28.2
28.2
MIA 23.5
DEN 33.3 +9.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
60.1%
MIA 65.0%
DEN 71.9% +6.9%
STL %
7.2%
7.7%
MIA 5.4% +1.1%
DEN 4.3%
BLK %
10.3%
8.1%
MIA 21.7% +13.0%
DEN 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.7%
MIA 53.3% +1.7%
DEN 51.6%
Rim FG%
62.3%
54.8%
MIA 62.9% +27.2%
DEN 35.7%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.8%
MIA 41.2%
DEN 50.0% +8.8%
3P %
33.6%
33.8%
MIA 33.3%
DEN 33.3%
FT %
74.4%
76.6%
MIA 73.7%
DEN 96.2% +22.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
42.5%
MIA 43.2% +7.3%
DEN 35.9%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
29.8%
MIA 42.0%
DEN 41.0% +0.9%
3P Att. %
22.1%
27.7%
MIA 14.8%
DEN 23.1% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes27.420.6
Points9895
Rebounds4237
Assists2623
Steals54
Blocks136
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals40-8132-78
At-the-Rim FG22-3510-28
Midrange FG14-3416-32
2-Point FG36-6926-60
3-Point FG4-126-18
Free Throws14-1925-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
38.5
12
46%
5
2
1
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
38.5
19
63%
17
2
1
11
4
2
6
11
3-5
60%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
37.0
11
55%
3
11
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
31.6
24
75%
3
3
0
1
3
4
0
3
5-6
83%
8-11
73%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 205 · 30
23.5
2
20%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
30.7
15
44%
4
4
1
0
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
6-13
46%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
23.4
8
80%
4
1
1
1
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
10.4
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
6.4
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
42
26
5
13
13
0
9
33
14-19
74%
36-69
52%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.