FinalWin Prob.pScore
1422%100
103
278%110
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.09988.1
GSW logo GSW
112.199113.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0GSW103
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Green 20' Jump Shot103
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)103
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0GSWMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 2103
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)103
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWade Dunk (20 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)103
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0GSWCurry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (30 PTS)101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)101
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)100
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Layup Shot99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Layup Shot99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:01GSWThompson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)99
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 1:18GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)99
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:19GSWMISS Thompson 13' Jump Shot99
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 1:35MIAJohnson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)99
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 1:42GSWCurry 18' Pullup Jump Shot (27 PTS)97
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:51GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper97
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 2:18GSWGreen Driving Dunk (22 PTS) (Curry 6 AST)97
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 2:35MIADeng 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)97
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 2:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)94
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 2:44GSWMISS Thompson 11' Fadeaway Jumper94
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 3:06MIADeng 7' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)94
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 3:31GSWThompson 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)92
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 3:49MIADeng 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)92
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 3:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)90
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Bosh 3' Tip Layup Shot90
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Deng 5' Jump Shot90
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 4:10GSWLivingston Foul Turnover (P1.T8)90
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)90
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 4:52GSWCurry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Livingston 6 AST)88
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 5:09GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 5:10GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot88
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 5:16MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)88
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 5:27GSWThompson Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)88
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 5:27GSWThompson Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)88
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 5:27GSWThompson Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)88
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 5:43MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)88
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 6:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)85
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 6:05GSWMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 6:08GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 6:10GSWMISS Curry 7' Floating Jump Shot85
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 6:18GSWWARRIORS Rebound85
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 6:18GSWMISS Barnes 2' Driving Layup85
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 6:23GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot85
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 6:40GSWIguodala 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)85
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)85
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 7:12GSWMISS Livingston 17' Jump Shot83
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 7:31MIAJohnson 17' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)83
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 7:42GSWBarnes Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)81
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIABarnes STEAL (1 STL)81
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 7:57GSWClark 1' Layup (2 PTS)81
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 8:05GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper81
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 8:37GSWIguodala Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)81
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 8:55MIAGreen Driving Dunk (15 PTS)81
5.3%
88
94.7%
Q4 - 9:10GSWBarnes 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)79
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 9:33GSWLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Winslow 18' Jump Shot79
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 9:52GSWSpeights 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)79
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 9:53GSWSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q4 - 9:54GSWMISS Barnes 14' Jump Shot79
10.8%
84
89.2%
Q4 - 10:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 10:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q4 - 10:21MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
7.9%
84
92.1%
Q4 - 10:21GSWMISS Speights 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot77
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 10:42MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)77
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 11:00GSWSpeights 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Clark 2 AST)77
7.9%
84
92.1%
Q4 - 11:08GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q4 - 11:30GSWSpeights 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)77
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q4 - 11:45GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
14.8%
80
85.2%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup77
15.7%
80
84.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW77
17.9%
80
82.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound77
14.8%
80
85.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Curry 51' 3PT Jump Shot77
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIADragic 1' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)77
15.0%
80
85.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q3 - 0:09.0GSWMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
11.9%
80
88.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWinslow 18' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)75
10.5%
80
89.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0GSWMISS Curry 3PT Pullup Jump Shot73
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q3 - 1:07MIAGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)73
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q3 - 1:27GSWGreen 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)70
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 1:32GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup70
6.6%
78
93.4%
Q3 - 1:48GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)70
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 1:48GSWGreen 2' Tip Layup Shot (18 PTS)70
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 1:51GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q3 - 1:51GSWMISS Green 1' Tip Layup Shot70
10.2%
76
89.8%
Q3 - 1:53GSWMISS Curry 13' Jump Bank Shot70
10.2%
76
89.8%
Q3 - 2:06MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)70
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q3 - 2:18GSWThompson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q3 - 2:22GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 2:23GSWMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
10.4%
73
89.6%
Q3 - 2:27GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot67
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q3 - 2:43GSWCurry Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)67
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)67
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 3:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 3:11GSWMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 264
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q3 - 3:11GSWMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 264
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)64
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 3:33GSWIguodala 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)64
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q3 - 3:44MIACurry STEAL (1 STL)64
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q3 - 4:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 4:04GSWMISS Thompson 11' Jump Shot64
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q3 - 4:19GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)64
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper64
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 4:48GSWBogut 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Green 6 AST)64
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 5:02MIAGreen 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)64
11.4%
69
88.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 5:10GSWMISS Curry 3' Layup61
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 5:30MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)61
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q3 - 5:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 5:43GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 5:45GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 5:46GSWMISS Green 9' Jump Shot59
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 5:58GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot59
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 6:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
6.5%
69
93.5%
Q3 - 6:13GSWMISS Rush Free Throw 2 of 259
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q3 - 6:13GSWRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 6:18MIAThompson STEAL (2 STL)59
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 6:43GSWThompson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)59
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)59
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 7:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 7:14GSWMISS Curry 30' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q3 - 7:23GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot59
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 7:46GSWCurry 15' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Green 5 AST)59
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 8:04MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)59
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 8:11MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 8:12GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot59
12.6%
64
87.4%
Q3 - 8:22MIADragic 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)59
11.4%
64
88.6%
Q3 - 8:48GSWCurry 1' Driving Reverse Layup (20 PTS) (Green 4 AST)56
8.9%
64
91.1%
Q3 - 8:53MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)56
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 9:09GSWGreen 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)56
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 9:17GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Winslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q3 - 9:42GSWThompson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 3 AST)56
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 9:49GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
18.7%
57
81.3%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot56
19.4%
57
80.6%
Q3 - 10:06GSWThompson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)56
20.7%
57
79.3%
Q3 - 10:18GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
18.3%
57
81.7%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot56
19.0%
57
81.0%
Q3 - 10:26GSWGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
20.7%
57
79.3%
Q3 - 10:26GSWMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 256
21.3%
56
78.7%
Q3 - 10:35GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot56
21.3%
56
78.7%
Q3 - 10:53GSWThompson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)56
23.1%
56
76.9%
Q3 - 10:58GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot56
21.3%
56
78.7%
Q3 - 11:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q3 - 11:10GSWMISS Green 11' Jump Bank Shot56
21.6%
56
78.4%
Q3 - 11:33MIADeng 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)56
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q3 - 11:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 11:49GSWMISS Thompson 19' Pullup Jump Shot54
17.4%
56
82.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound54
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper54
16.8%
56
83.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)54
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)54
17.9%
55
82.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot54
20.7%
54
79.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0GSWBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
24.8%
52
75.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0GSWMISS Curry 5' Jump Shot54
26.0%
52
74.0%
Q2 - 1:00MIAThompson STEAL (1 STL)54
24.8%
52
75.2%
Q2 - 1:26GSWCurry 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
26.3%
52
73.7%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWade 4' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS)54
32.8%
49
67.2%
Q2 - 1:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
28.8%
49
71.2%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot52
27.9%
49
72.1%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
28.8%
49
71.2%
Q2 - 2:00GSWMISS Barnes 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot52
28.4%
49
71.6%
Q2 - 2:16MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)52
26.4%
49
73.6%
Q2 - 2:27MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
21.8%
49
78.2%
Q2 - 2:28GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot49
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 2:42MIAWinslow Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Green 2 AST)49
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 2:53GSWIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q2 - 2:53GSWIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
18.5%
48
81.5%
Q2 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
19.3%
47
80.7%
Q2 - 3:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 3:24GSWGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
17.9%
47
82.1%
Q2 - 3:24GSWGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
18.3%
46
81.7%
Q2 - 3:29GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot45
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 3:57GSWCurry 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
21.6%
45
78.4%
Q2 - 4:07MIAGreen 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)45
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 4:23MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
21.0%
43
79.0%
Q2 - 4:24GSWMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 243
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 4:24GSWGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 4:33GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 143
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 4:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 4:44GSWMISS Curry 4' Jump Shot41
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 5:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)41
17.3%
42
82.7%
Q2 - 5:14MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q2 - 5:14GSWMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 5:24MIAJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 5:31GSWGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)36
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 5:32GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper36
11.0%
42
89.0%
Q2 - 5:54GSWGreen 2' Running Layup (10 PTS)36
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 6:01GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Green 14' Pullup Jump Shot36
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 6:06GSWGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)36
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
13.0%
40
87.0%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 6:24MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
12.1%
40
87.9%
Q2 - 6:25GSWMISS Thompson 8' Jump Shot34
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 6:40MIAGreen 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)34
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 6:55GSWBogut 2' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)32
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 7:02GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot32
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 7:25MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 7:25GSWMISS Clark 1' Layup32
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 7:37GSWWARRIORS Rebound32
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 232
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 7:38MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 7:50GSWBogut 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)31
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 8:08GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Green 15' Pullup Jump Shot31
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 8:18MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot31
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 8:29GSWBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 8:29GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
13.5%
35
86.5%
Q2 - 8:48MIAStoudemire Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)31
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 9:00GSWEzeli Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 9:00GSWMISS Ezeli Free Throw 1 of 229
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 9:13GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot29
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 9:34GSWBarnes 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)29
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIAStoudemire 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)29
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 10:03MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 10:03GSWMISS Clark 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q2 - 10:19MIAStoudemire 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)27
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q2 - 10:46GSWBarnes 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q2 - 11:00GSWEzeli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot25
13.5%
29
86.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
14.4%
29
85.6%
Q2 - 11:14GSWMISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q2 - 11:24GSWEzeli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Green 20' Jump Shot25
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q2 - 11:48GSWLivingston 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
14.4%
29
85.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0GSWCurry 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)25
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)25
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
19.4%
25
80.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q1 - 1:27GSWBarnes 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 1:41GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.2%
23
78.8%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS Dragic 19' Jump Shot25
21.5%
23
78.5%
Q1 - 1:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 1:50GSWMISS Livingston 9' Turnaround Jump Shot25
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 2:02GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Bank Shot25
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 2:17MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
22.4%
23
77.6%
Q1 - 2:19GSWMISS Barnes 13' Turnaround Jump Shot25
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 2:30GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot25
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q1 - 2:45GSWThompson 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)25
22.4%
23
77.6%
Q1 - 3:01MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)25
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q1 - 3:15MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 3:15GSWMISS Curry 2' Driving Layup23
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 3:23GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot23
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 3:43GSWGreen Dunk (8 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)23
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 3:55MIABosh 11' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)23
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 4:12GSWGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 4:12GSWGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 4:24GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper21
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 4:42GSWGreen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)21
24.9%
17
75.1%
Q1 - 4:53MIAJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)21
26.3%
15
73.7%
Q1 - 5:01MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:04GSWMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 119
23.8%
15
76.2%
Q1 - 5:13MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
25.5%
13
74.5%
Q1 - 5:21GSWCurry 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)17
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
25.3%
11
74.7%
Q1 - 5:50GSWCurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
27.2%
8
72.8%
Q1 - 6:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 6:12GSWMISS Rush 3PT Pullup Jump Shot13
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 6:18GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot13
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 6:34MIAHeat Rebound13
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 6:34GSWMISS Thompson 28' 3PT Jump Shot13
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAWade 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)13
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIAHeat Rebound11
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 6:49MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)11
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 6:54GSWMISS Curry 2' Layup11
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 7:13GSWCurry Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)11
20.2%
8
79.8%
Q1 - 7:13GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup11
22.0%
7
78.0%
Q1 - 7:19MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
23.1%
7
76.9%
Q1 - 7:20GSWMISS Green 2' Layup11
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 7:30MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 7:39MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.5%
7
79.5%
Q1 - 7:40GSWMISS Thompson 11' Floating Jump Shot9
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 7:53MIADeng 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
19.0%
7
81.0%
Q1 - 8:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
17.7%
7
82.3%
Q1 - 8:05GSWMISS Curry 7' Jump Bank Shot7
17.3%
7
82.7%
Q1 - 8:28MIADragic 13' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.6%
7
84.4%
Q1 - 8:43GSWMISS Thompson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup5
15.3%
7
84.7%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)5
14.5%
7
85.5%
Q1 - 9:18GSWCurry 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)2
12.8%
7
87.2%
Q1 - 9:26GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 9:35GSWBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 9:41GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
14.4%
4
85.6%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Winslow 17' Jump Shot2
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 9:53GSWMISS Curry 22' Jump Shot2
15.2%
4
84.8%
Q1 - 10:02GSWRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.5%
4
85.5%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:18GSWThompson 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
15.5%
4
84.5%
Q1 - 10:30GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.4%
2
83.6%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot2
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 10:53GSWBogut 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)2
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 11:04GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.3%
0
80.7%
Q1 - 11:19GSWMISS Bogut 11' Turnaround Hook Shot2
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 11:37MIABosh 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Bogut vs. Bosh: Tip to Dragic0
17.2%
0
82.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.5%
GSW
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
29
66%
GSW
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
15
43
35%
GSW
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
GSW
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
14
16
88%
GSW
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2042%10.0 / 24
C. Bosh1547%7.5 / 16
G. Green1558%7.5 / 13
L. Deng1458%7.0 / 12
G. Dragic1359%6.5 / 11
T. Johnson1393%6.5 / 7
J. Winslow744%3.5 / 8
A. Stoudemire675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
J. Richardson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3153%15.5 / 29
D. Green2258%11.0 / 19
K. Thompson1753%8.5 / 16
H. Barnes1250%6.0 / 12
A. Iguodala990%4.5 / 5
A. Bogut880%4.0 / 5
M. Speights675%3.0 / 4
S. Livingston233%1.0 / 3
I. Clark233%1.0 / 3
B. Rush125%0.5 / 2
F. Ezeli150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+11
-10
100
GSW
90
+11
-9
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.5%
GSW
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
114.4
MIA 104.0
GSW 112.1 +8.1
Pace
93.7
99.5
MIA 88.1
GSW 113.0 +24.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.1
MIA 16.3
GSW 12.7 +3.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
56.3%
MIA 48.9%
GSW 51.7% +2.8%
TO %
14.0%
14.8%
MIA 10.1%
GSW 8.3% +1.8%
ORB %
23.9%
23.5%
MIA 18.4%
GSW 19.1% +0.7%
FTrt
28.2
25.0
MIA 17.6
GSW 34.9 +17.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
68.0%
MIA 75.6% +14.6%
GSW 61.0%
STL %
7.2%
8.4%
MIA 2.0%
GSW 5.1% +3.1%
BLK %
10.3%
9.2%
MIA 6.3% +4.9%
GSW 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
58.0%
MIA 51.5%
GSW 55.0% +3.5%
Rim FG%
62.3%
60.9%
MIA 65.5%
GSW 65.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.8%
MIA 34.9%
GSW 44.1% +9.2%
3P %
33.6%
41.6%
MIA 36.8% +6.4%
GSW 30.4%
FT %
74.4%
76.3%
MIA 87.5% +14.2%
GSW 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
35.2%
MIA 31.9%
GSW 33.7% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
28.6%
MIA 47.3%
GSW 39.5% +7.7%
3P Att. %
22.1%
36.2%
MIA 20.9%
GSW 26.7% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.54 and 3.54.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points103111
Rebounds4749
Assists3125
Steals25
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)40 (1)
Field Goals41-9141-86
At-the-Rim FG19-2919-29
Midrange FG15-4315-34
2-Point FG34-7234-63
3-Point FG7-197-23
Free Throws14-1622-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 32
36.3
15
47%
12
4
0
2
4
1
2
10
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
0-5
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
35.8
13
59%
5
5
0
0
3
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
32.7
14
58%
10
2
0
0
2
1
2
8
0-0
-
4-9
44%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
32.6
20
42%
7
11
0
1
0
2
4
3
8-8
100%
6-20
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
25.6
7
44%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
33.6
15
58%
2
2
1
0
0
5
0
2
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
27.9
13
93%
3
5
0
0
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
7.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
4.7
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
52%
47
31
2
4
10
0
9
38
14-16
88%
34-72
47%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.