FinalWin Prob.pScore
824%98
103
176%108
121
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
110.89397.2
SAS logo SAS
130.19389.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU103
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMarjanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)103
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beverley 7 AST)103
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASSimmons 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)100
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUBeverley 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)100
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASMISS Marjanovic 16' Jump Shot98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14HOURockets Rebound98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)98
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 1 of 297
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 297
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 297
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30HOURockets Rebound97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30HOUSimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)97
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46HOUMISS Terry 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56SASSimmons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)97
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11SASLeonard 4' Driving Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)96
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26HOUMISS Harrell 17' Turnaround Jump Shot96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52SASSimmons Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Marjanovic 1 AST)96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12HOUBeverley 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19SASMISS Marjanovic 8' Jump Shot93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43HOUHarrell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beverley 6 AST)93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Leonard 18' Step Back Jump Shot91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09SASMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39SASMISS Aldridge 16' Fadeaway Jumper91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19SASAldridge Running Dunk (24 PTS)89
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22HOUAldridge STEAL (2 STL)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34SASWest 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44HOUMISS Brewer 9' Turnaround Bank Shot89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:04SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:18HOUMISS Beverley 3' Tip Layup Shot89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:21HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:23HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:26HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:28HOUMISS Beverley Layup89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:45HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:47SASMISS Aldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:48SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 6:50SASMISS West 15' Jump Shot89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 7:16HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 7:16HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 7:35SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P3.T10)87
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 7:52HOUTerry 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01SASMISS Leonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15SASMISS Leonard 3' Driving Hook Shot84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:32HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)84
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 8:51HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)84
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 8:59HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS Diaw 1' Finger Roll Layup84
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 9:18HOUJones 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)84
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 9:37SASDiaw 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)82
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 9:53HOUHoward Running Dunk (18 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 9:55HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 9:56SASMISS Ginobili 23' Jump Shot80
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 10:18HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 10:18HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 279
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 10:26SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 10:38HOUTerry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)79
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 10:53SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 2 AST)76
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 11:07SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 11:08HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 176
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 11:20HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 11:22SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 11:41HOULawson 13' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASDiaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)72
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASGinobili 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)72
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0HOUMills STEAL (1 STL)72
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 1:00SASDiaw 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q3 - 1:19HOUBrewer 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)72
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 1:32SASGinobili 8' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)70
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 1:39SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 1:40HOUMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot70
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 1:58SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 1:58SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 2:07HOUBrewer Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T13)70
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q3 - 2:19SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)70
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 2:19SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 2:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 2:19SASMISS Aldridge 3' Layup70
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 2:35SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 2:37HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 270
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 2:37HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 2:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 2:43SASMISS Mills 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot69
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 2:48SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 2:49HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 3:01SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)69
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q3 - 3:01SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)69
3.2%
82
96.8%
Q3 - 3:14SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 3:16HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot69
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 3:24HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 3:25HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot69
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 3:40SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)69
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 3:58HOUCapela Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)69
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 4:13SASLeonard 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)67
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 4:25HOUGreen STEAL (3 STL)67
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q3 - 4:45SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)67
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 4:50HOUDiaw STEAL (2 STL)67
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 4:53SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)67
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q3 - 5:11HOUAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)67
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q3 - 5:38SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)67
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q3 - 5:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
12.0%
72
88.0%
Q3 - 5:48HOUMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot67
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q3 - 6:08SASAldridge 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)67
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q3 - 6:29HOUJones Dunk (6 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)67
15.9%
70
84.1%
Q3 - 6:37HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 6:38SASMISS Leonard 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot65
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 6:56HOUHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)65
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 7:03HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 7:04SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot65
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 7:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 7:14HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 7:18HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 7:21HOUMISS Capela 4' Jump Shot65
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 7:36SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)65
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 7:49SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
17.9%
67
82.1%
Q3 - 7:50HOUMISS Howard 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot65
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q3 - 8:09SASLeonard 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS)65
20.3%
67
79.7%
Q3 - 8:36HOUBeverley 16' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)65
22.5%
65
77.5%
Q3 - 8:49HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 8:51SASMISS Parker 16' Fadeaway Jumper63
19.5%
65
80.5%
Q3 - 9:07HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)63
17.6%
65
82.4%
Q3 - 9:18SASAldridge 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS)60
13.8%
65
86.2%
Q3 - 9:36HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)60
15.6%
63
84.4%
Q3 - 9:51HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)60
17.7%
63
82.3%
Q3 - 10:03SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)59
15.5%
63
84.5%
Q3 - 10:17SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 10:19HOUMISS Capela 4' Hook Shot59
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 10:41SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)59
15.5%
63
84.5%
Q3 - 10:59HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beverley 4 AST)59
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 11:17SASAldridge Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)56
13.6%
61
86.4%
Q3 - 11:27SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)56
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 11:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q3 - 11:36HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 2 of 256
13.7%
60
86.3%
Q3 - 11:36HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q3 - 11:43SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)55
13.6%
60
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS55
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound55
12.0%
60
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mills 40' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUBrewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)55
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
9.6%
60
90.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
8.8%
60
91.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Ariza 4' Fadeaway Jumper52
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
9.6%
60
90.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q2 - 1:12HOUJones Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)52
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q2 - 1:31SASLeonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 3 AST)52
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q2 - 1:43SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q2 - 1:44HOUMISS Jones 1' Layup52
16.3%
55
83.7%
Q2 - 1:58SASDiaw 3' Putback Layup (7 PTS)52
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q2 - 2:00SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
19.7%
53
80.3%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup52
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q2 - 2:20HOUAriza 9' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)52
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 2:35SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)50
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q2 - 2:47HOUGreen STEAL (2 STL)50
21.2%
50
78.8%
Q2 - 3:09SASLeonard Driving Dunk (9 PTS)50
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q2 - 3:27HOUAriza 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)50
24.7%
48
75.3%
Q2 - 3:48SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)48
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 3:54HOUGreen STEAL (1 STL)48
27.0%
45
73.0%
Q2 - 4:03SASLeonard Driving Dunk (7 PTS)48
28.8%
45
71.2%
Q2 - 4:14HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)48
31.1%
43
68.9%
Q2 - 4:22HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
26.6%
43
73.4%
Q2 - 4:24SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 4:29SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 4:31SASMISS Diaw 2' Driving Hook Shot45
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 4:45HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)45
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 5:05SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
22.1%
43
77.9%
Q2 - 5:05SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 243
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 5:27HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)43
22.0%
42
78.0%
Q2 - 5:37HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 5:38SASMISS Green 15' Fadeaway Jumper41
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 5:56HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 5:56HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 6:11SASDiaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)39
17.1%
42
82.9%
Q2 - 6:27HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 6:27HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 6:42SASLeonard 12' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)37
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q2 - 6:59HOUHarden 14' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)37
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 7:16SASWest 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)35
18.5%
37
81.5%
Q2 - 7:27HOUDiaw STEAL (1 STL)35
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 7:30HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 7:31SASMISS Diaw 4' Reverse Layup35
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 7:54HOUHarden 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)35
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 8:29SASWest 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 8:44SASSPURS Rebound33
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 8:45HOUMISS Jones 2' Driving Layup33
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 9:05SASWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)33
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 9:21HOUCapela Dunk (4 PTS)33
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 9:38HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 9:40SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 9:49SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q2 - 9:50HOUMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot31
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 10:01HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 10:02SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q2 - 10:15HOUBrewer 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)31
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 10:24HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 10:25SASMISS Parker 18' Pullup Jump Shot29
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 10:30HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)29
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 10:35HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 10:36SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 10:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 10:52SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 10:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 10:57HOUMISS Brewer 2' Tip Layup Shot29
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q2 - 10:59HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 11:00HOUMISS Lawson 2' Layup29
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q2 - 11:04SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)29
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q2 - 11:15HOULawson 6' Pullup Bank Shot (4 PTS)29
16.7%
31
83.3%
Q2 - 11:34SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 11:34SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 11:42SASSPURS Rebound27
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q2 - 11:44SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup27
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 11:48SASSPURS Rebound27
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q2 - 11:48SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup27
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU27
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brewer 3' Running Layup27
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0HOURockets Rebound27
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASMISS Diaw 9' Driving Hook Shot27
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)27
16.8%
29
83.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASDiaw 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)27
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q1 - 1:05SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)25
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q1 - 1:23HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
21.0%
24
79.0%
Q1 - 1:26SASSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q1 - 1:47SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 1:49HOUMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 2:06SASAldridge 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)22
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 2:13HOUAldridge STEAL (1 STL)22
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 2:38SASAldridge 17' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 2:55HOULawson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 3:13SASAldridge 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)20
20.5%
20
79.5%
Q1 - 3:18SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
21.8%
18
78.2%
Q1 - 3:22HOUMISS Harden 12' Fadeaway Jumper20
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:37SASAldridge 3' Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)20
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 3:56HOUJones 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)20
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 4:19SASWest 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)18
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 4:34SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 4:37HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 118
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 4:43HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 4:45SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot16
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 5:00HOUHarden 19' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 5:19SASGreen 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)14
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 5:24SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 5:25HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 5:32HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 5:34SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot14
23.7%
11
76.3%
Q1 - 5:39SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 5:40HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 5:40HOUMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot14
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 5:44HOUGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)14
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 6:09SASGreen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)14
23.6%
11
76.4%
Q1 - 6:22HOUHoward Dunk (2 PTS)14
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 6:42SASLeonard Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)12
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 6:46SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 6:49HOUMISS Beverley 3' Driving Layup12
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 7:03SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 7:26HOUHarden 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)12
30.5%
3
69.5%
Q1 - 7:31SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
29.2%
3
70.8%
Q1 - 7:50HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)10
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 7:57HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
24.7%
3
75.3%
Q1 - 7:58SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot7
24.2%
3
75.8%
Q1 - 8:22HOUCapela 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)7
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 8:32HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.5%
3
78.5%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup5
21.1%
3
78.9%
Q1 - 8:51HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)5
20.1%
3
79.9%
Q1 - 8:59SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot2
17.5%
3
82.5%
Q1 - 8:59HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
17.9%
3
82.1%
Q1 - 9:03SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
16.5%
3
83.5%
Q1 - 9:07SASMISS Duncan 3' Cutting Layup Shot2
17.4%
3
82.6%
Q1 - 9:28HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
16.5%
3
83.5%
Q1 - 9:28HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
16.4%
3
83.6%
Q1 - 9:38HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 9:39SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot0
15.3%
3
84.7%
Q1 - 9:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
14.5%
3
85.5%
Q1 - 9:57HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 20
14.7%
3
85.3%
Q1 - 9:57HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 20
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 10:03HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 10:05SASMISS Parker 2' Finger Roll Layup0
15.4%
3
84.6%
Q1 - 10:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
14.6%
3
85.4%
Q1 - 10:19HOUMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot0
15.0%
3
85.0%
Q1 - 10:36SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 10:48SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.6%
3
85.4%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMISS Ariza 21' Fadeaway Jumper0
14.9%
3
85.1%
Q1 - 10:59HOURockets Rebound0
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 11:00HOUMISS Ariza 11' Jump Shot0
14.9%
3
85.1%
Q1 - 11:16SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
15.5%
3
84.5%
Q1 - 11:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 11:34HOUMISS Beverley 20' Step Back Jump Shot0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Howard: Tip to Ariza0
18.6%
0
81.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.12 56.0%
SAS
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
31
58%
SAS
18
31
58%
Midrange
HOU
10
21
48%
SAS
14
31
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
SAS
13
19.5
24
54%
81%
Free Throws
HOU
20
33
61%
SAS
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2269%11.0 / 16
J. Harden1777%8.5 / 11
C. Brewer1150%5.5 / 11
P. Beverley1045%5.0 / 11
T. Ariza1050%5.0 / 10
J. Terry990%4.5 / 5
C. Capela867%4.0 / 6
T. Jones850%4.0 / 8
T. Lawson650%3.0 / 6
M. Harrell233%1.0 / 3
K. McDaniels0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2471%12.0 / 17
K. Leonard2279%11.0 / 14
B. Diaw2077%10.0 / 13
D. Green18100%9.0 / 9
D. West1083%5.0 / 6
P. Mills945%4.5 / 10
M. Ginobili857%4.0 / 7
J. Simmons675%3.0 / 4
T. Parker214%1.0 / 7
K. Anderson2100%1.0 / 1
T. Duncan0-0.0 / 3
B. Marjanovic0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
78
+13
-15
91
SAS
82
+11
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.12 56.0%
SAS
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
110.2
HOU 110.8
SAS 130.1 +19.4
Pace
97.9
94.0
HOU 97.2 +8.0
SAS 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.2
HOU 14.8 +1.3
SAS 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
52.6%
HOU 56.1%
SAS 59.9% +3.8%
TO %
15.5%
13.3%
HOU 15.3%
SAS 10.4% +4.9%
ORB %
25.7%
22.9%
HOU 20.5%
SAS 21.6% +1.1%
FTrt
35.2
24.6
HOU 44.6 +22.5
SAS 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.9%
61.1%
HOU 70.3% +1.4%
SAS 68.9%
STL %
10.2%
8.8%
HOU 7.5%
SAS 9.7% +2.2%
BLK %
9.0%
9.6%
HOU 6.5% +2.7%
SAS 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
54.9%
HOU 56.0%
SAS 64.4% +8.4%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.8%
HOU 58.1%
SAS 58.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
43.2%
HOU 47.6% +2.4%
SAS 45.2%
3P %
34.7%
37.5%
HOU 40.9%
SAS 54.2% +13.3%
FT %
69.5%
80.3%
HOU 60.6%
SAS 94.7% +34.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
32.7%
HOU 41.9% +5.8%
SAS 36.0%
Mid Att. %
23.0%
44.9%
HOU 28.4% +7.7%
SAS 36.0%
3P Att. %
37.0%
22.3%
HOU 29.7% +1.8%
SAS 27.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points103121
Rebounds3739
Assists2631
Steals79
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals37-7445-86
At-the-Rim FG18-3118-31
Midrange FG10-2114-31
2-Point FG28-5232-62
3-Point FG9-2213-24
Free Throws20-3318-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
37.3
22
69%
12
2
0
0
2
1
2
10
10-17
59%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
31.0
10
45%
5
7
1
0
0
3
2
3
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
30.4
17
77%
2
3
1
0
5
3
1
1
3-3
100%
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 256 · 22
25.9
8
67%
7
0
1
4
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
25.1
10
50%
1
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 252 · 24
26.5
8
50%
2
3
0
0
3
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 186 · 30
19.0
11
50%
2
2
0
0
2
4
1
1
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 28
18.0
6
50%
3
6
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
16.3
9
90%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22
5.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
5.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
56%
37
26
7
4
15
0
8
29
20-33
61%
28-52
54%
9-22
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.