FinalWin Prob.pScore
1439%99
90
1261%103
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.38882.6
MEM logo MEM
116.58574.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
OT1 - 0:00.0MEM90
0%
99
100%
OT1 - 0:19.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
OT1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
99
99.9%
OT1 - 0:25.0MEMChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)90
0.1%
99
99.9%
OT1 - 0:25.0MEMChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
OT1 - 0:25.0MEMChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
OT1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.2%
97
99.8%
OT1 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Rebound90
0.5%
97
99.5%
OT1 - 0:29.0MIAGasol BLOCK (4 BLK)90
0.2%
97
99.8%
OT1 - 0:31.0MEMLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)90
0.5%
97
99.5%
OT1 - 0:31.0MEMMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 290
0.5%
96
99.5%
OT1 - 0:32.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
0.4%
96
99.6%
OT1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Johnson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot90
0.5%
96
99.5%
OT1 - 0:46.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
1.8%
96
98.2%
OT1 - 0:47.0MEMMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot90
1.5%
96
98.5%
OT1 - 1:10MIAWade 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)90
1.5%
96
98.5%
OT1 - 1:14MIAHeat Rebound88
1.1%
96
98.9%
OT1 - 1:14MIAGasol BLOCK (3 BLK)88
0.7%
96
99.3%
OT1 - 1:22MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)88
1.3%
96
98.7%
OT1 - 1:38MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)88
4.4%
93
95.6%
OT1 - 1:57MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
7.9%
93
92.1%
OT1 - 1:57MEMGreen Putback Dunk (16 PTS)88
7.9%
93
92.1%
OT1 - 1:57MEMMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
16.4%
91
83.6%
OT1 - 2:23MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)88
12.6%
91
87.4%
OT1 - 2:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)86
10.0%
91
90.0%
OT1 - 2:33MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
6.5%
91
93.5%
OT1 - 2:59MEMGreen 10' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
11.1%
91
88.9%
OT1 - 3:18MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)86
14.0%
89
86.0%
OT1 - 3:31MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
9.6%
89
90.4%
OT1 - 3:31MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
10.1%
88
89.9%
OT1 - 3:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
12.5%
87
87.5%
OT1 - 3:45MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
13.9%
87
86.1%
OT1 - 4:03MEMGasol 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)83
17.3%
87
82.7%
OT1 - 4:20MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)83
22.5%
85
77.5%
OT1 - 4:37MEMChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
30.4%
85
69.6%
OT1 - 4:37MEMChalmers 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)83
30.4%
85
69.6%
OT1 - 4:40MEMMISS Gasol 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot83
45.2%
83
54.8%
OT1 - 5:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Whiteside: Tip to Conley83
38.1%
83
61.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
57.8%
83
42.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0MEMMISS Conley 14' Pullup Jump Shot83
51.3%
83
48.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
32.6%
83
67.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Bosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot83
39.8%
83
60.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHeat Rebound83
54.9%
83
45.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot83
40.9%
83
59.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)83
53.1%
83
46.9%
Q4 - 1:04MEMMISS Gasol 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot83
47.6%
83
52.4%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T13)83
36.2%
83
63.8%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
51.1%
83
48.9%
Q4 - 1:36MEMMISS Conley 19' Jump Shot83
46.5%
83
53.5%
Q4 - 1:52MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)83
37.4%
83
62.6%
Q4 - 1:53MIAHeat Rebound83
50.0%
83
50.0%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
41.1%
83
58.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
52.3%
83
47.7%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
41.4%
83
58.6%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
52.6%
83
47.4%
Q4 - 2:31MEMMISS Allen 17' Step Back Jump Shot83
47.7%
83
52.3%
Q4 - 2:57MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)83
37.1%
83
62.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
31.1%
83
68.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot81
23.0%
83
77.0%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
31.3%
83
68.7%
Q4 - 3:31MEMMISS Lee 15' Pullup Jump Shot81
28.5%
83
71.5%
Q4 - 3:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
22.9%
83
77.1%
Q4 - 3:48MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)81
22.9%
83
77.1%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Bosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot79
13.8%
83
86.2%
Q4 - 4:13MEMRandolph 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)79
17.2%
83
82.8%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)79
12.0%
83
88.0%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 279
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 279
21.5%
83
78.5%
Q4 - 4:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q4 - 4:36MEMMISS Conley 18' Jump Shot79
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q4 - 5:02MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)79
14.1%
83
85.9%
Q4 - 5:23MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)76
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 5:43MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)76
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 5:58MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q4 - 5:58MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q4 - 5:58MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q4 - 5:58MEMMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup74
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)74
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q4 - 6:33MEMRandolph 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)72
5.4%
81
94.6%
Q4 - 6:49MIAWade 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)72
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q4 - 7:07MEMConley 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)70
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q4 - 7:21MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot70
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q4 - 7:41MEMChalmers 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)70
10.5%
77
89.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)70
13.1%
75
86.9%
Q4 - 8:11MEMRandolph 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)70
18.1%
75
81.9%
Q4 - 8:28MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
22.3%
73
77.7%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot70
23.6%
73
76.4%
Q4 - 8:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
26.9%
73
73.1%
Q4 - 8:39MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot70
25.4%
73
74.6%
Q4 - 8:54MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
23.6%
73
76.4%
Q4 - 9:08MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
27.9%
73
72.1%
Q4 - 9:08MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
28.7%
72
71.3%
Q4 - 9:22MEMLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
32.7%
71
67.3%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
34.4%
71
65.6%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
38.4%
71
61.6%
Q4 - 9:34MEMMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
36.6%
71
63.4%
Q4 - 9:56MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST)70
32.7%
71
67.3%
Q4 - 10:06MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
23.9%
71
76.1%
Q4 - 10:07MEMMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q4 - 10:45MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)67
19.8%
71
80.2%
Q4 - 10:48MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q4 - 10:57MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q4 - 10:58MEMMISS Green 17' Jump Shot64
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q4 - 11:22MIAStoudemire 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)64
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q4 - 11:26MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot62
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q4 - 11:41MEMLee 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)62
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
11.8%
69
88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound62
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Johnson 48' 3PT Running Jump Shot62
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MEMGreen 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)62
15.2%
69
84.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0MEMCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
17.9%
67
82.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0MEMMISS Gasol 15' Jump Shot62
20.1%
67
79.9%
Q3 - 1:00MEMLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
17.9%
67
82.1%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot62
19.5%
67
80.5%
Q3 - 1:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
21.8%
67
78.2%
Q3 - 1:09MEMMISS Green 1' Finger Roll Layup62
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q3 - 1:15MEMChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 1:15MEMMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot62
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q3 - 1:28MEMChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 1:29MIAGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)62
19.5%
67
80.5%
Q3 - 1:48MEMChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)62
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q3 - 1:52MEMLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 1:55MEMMISS Green 8' Running Jump Shot62
32.0%
64
68.0%
Q3 - 1:59MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 2:01MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)62
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 2:24MEMGreen Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)62
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 2:41MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound62
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot62
38.6%
62
61.4%
Q3 - 2:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
42.0%
62
58.0%
Q3 - 2:57MEMMISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot62
40.5%
62
59.5%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 3:25MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
41.9%
62
58.1%
Q3 - 3:27MEMMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot62
40.4%
62
59.6%
Q3 - 3:37MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 3:41MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)62
38.6%
62
61.4%
Q3 - 4:07MEMGasol 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
41.5%
62
58.5%
Q3 - 4:29MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T8)62
45.1%
60
54.9%
Q3 - 4:54MEMGasol 11' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 4 AST)62
50.1%
60
49.9%
Q3 - 5:01MEMLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
52.8%
58
47.2%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot62
54.2%
58
45.8%
Q3 - 5:12MEMAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)62
57.3%
58
42.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)62
52.8%
58
47.2%
Q3 - 5:58MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
45.1%
58
54.9%
Q3 - 5:58MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
45.7%
57
54.3%
Q3 - 6:20MIADragic 1' Running Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
48.0%
56
52.0%
Q3 - 6:26MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)57
44.5%
56
55.5%
Q3 - 6:58MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)57
40.2%
56
59.8%
Q3 - 7:24MEMRandolph 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)55
36.6%
56
63.4%
Q3 - 7:27MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
39.7%
54
60.3%
Q3 - 7:27MEMMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot55
42.6%
54
57.4%
Q3 - 7:36MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
39.7%
54
60.3%
Q3 - 7:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
43.9%
54
56.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot55
41.0%
54
59.0%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot55
41.0%
54
59.0%
Q3 - 8:03MEMRandolph 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)55
43.7%
54
56.3%
Q3 - 8:08MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)55
46.9%
52
53.1%
Q3 - 8:25MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
51.1%
52
48.9%
Q3 - 8:25MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
51.6%
51
48.4%
Q3 - 8:40MIABosh 1' Cutting Layup Shot (22 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)55
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q3 - 8:53MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
51.1%
50
48.9%
Q3 - 8:53MEMMISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
49.8%
50
50.2%
Q3 - 8:56MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)53
46.9%
50
53.1%
Q3 - 8:59MEMMISS Randolph 1' Driving Layup53
49.8%
50
50.2%
Q3 - 9:06MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)53
46.3%
50
53.7%
Q3 - 9:08MEMMISS Allen 1' Putback Layup53
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q3 - 9:11MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
46.3%
50
53.7%
Q3 - 9:12MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot53
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q3 - 9:33MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound53
46.4%
50
53.6%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
47.5%
50
52.5%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
50.2%
50
49.8%
Q3 - 9:54MEMMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
49.0%
50
51.0%
Q3 - 10:20MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)53
45.8%
50
54.2%
Q3 - 10:37MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)50
39.2%
50
60.8%
Q3 - 10:59MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)50
35.7%
50
64.3%
Q3 - 11:21MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)50
38.9%
50
61.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)50
45.3%
47
54.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
38.9%
47
61.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
38.9%
47
61.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
38.2%
47
61.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Floating Jump Shot47
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Bank Shot47
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAHeat Rebound47
38.3%
47
61.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0MEMMISS Conley 1' Running Layup47
37.6%
47
62.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot47
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
38.3%
47
61.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MEMMISS Conley 15' Jump Shot47
37.6%
47
62.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
35.4%
47
64.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
35.3%
47
64.7%
Q2 - 1:00MEMMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 1:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
33.6%
47
66.4%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 10' Pullup Jump Shot46
34.1%
47
65.9%
Q2 - 1:33MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)46
35.1%
47
64.9%
Q2 - 1:33MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound46
33.6%
47
66.4%
Q2 - 1:33MEMMISS Allen 3' Layup46
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)46
33.6%
47
66.4%
Q2 - 2:10MEMGreen Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)46
35.6%
47
64.4%
Q2 - 2:28MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
38.6%
45
61.4%
Q2 - 2:44MEMRandolph 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
35.5%
45
64.5%
Q2 - 3:07MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Dragic 28' 3PT Jump Shot44
39.0%
43
61.0%
Q2 - 3:33MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
41.3%
43
58.7%
Q2 - 3:33MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
41.7%
42
58.3%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)44
43.8%
41
56.2%
Q2 - 4:04MEMConley 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)44
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q2 - 4:22MIAStoudemire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)44
49.0%
39
51.0%
Q2 - 4:36MEMGasol 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)44
52.1%
39
47.9%
Q2 - 4:59MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)44
54.7%
37
45.3%
Q2 - 5:20MEMGreen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)42
51.6%
37
48.4%
Q2 - 5:42MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
54.2%
35
45.8%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 242
54.6%
35
45.4%
Q2 - 5:43MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 6:03MEMRandolph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)41
54.1%
35
45.9%
Q2 - 6:17MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
50.7%
35
49.3%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 141
51.2%
35
48.8%
Q2 - 6:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
48.7%
35
51.3%
Q2 - 6:33MEMMISS Green 2' Driving Layup39
47.7%
35
52.3%
Q2 - 6:56MIAHollins STEAL (1 STL)39
45.4%
35
54.6%
Q2 - 7:03MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 7:05MEMMISS Conley 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot39
47.2%
35
52.8%
Q2 - 7:21MIABosh 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)39
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 7:41MEMConley 13' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)37
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 7:53MEMConley Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)37
45.2%
33
54.8%
Q2 - 8:02MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)37
47.3%
32
52.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)36
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 8:16MEMAllen 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)35
44.9%
32
55.1%
Q2 - 8:33MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
47.4%
30
52.6%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot35
48.2%
30
51.8%
Q2 - 8:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
50.1%
30
49.9%
Q2 - 8:56MEMMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
49.3%
30
50.7%
Q2 - 9:02MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 9:05MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 9:05MEMMISS Green 1' Tip Layup Shot35
48.7%
30
51.3%
Q2 - 9:06MEMMISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot35
48.7%
30
51.3%
Q2 - 9:26MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)35
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 9:45MEMGreen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)33
44.6%
30
55.4%
Q2 - 10:02MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
46.5%
28
53.5%
Q2 - 10:02MEMMISS Green 18' Step Back Jump Shot33
48.6%
28
51.4%
Q2 - 10:25MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
46.5%
28
53.5%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 233
46.9%
28
53.1%
Q2 - 10:26MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
48.5%
28
51.5%
Q2 - 10:50MEMAllen 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Hollins 1 AST)32
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 10:54MEMHollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q2 - 10:55MEMMISS Carter 14' Pullup Jump Shot32
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q2 - 11:04MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound32
48.6%
26
51.4%
Q2 - 11:04MEMMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
50.3%
26
49.7%
Q2 - 11:21MIAJohnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
48.7%
26
51.3%
Q2 - 11:36MEMHollins Foul Turnover (P1.T3)30
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q2 - 11:40MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHollins BLOCK (1 BLK)30
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
46.4%
26
53.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
45.6%
26
54.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0MEMMISS Allen 1' Tip Layup Shot30
45.1%
26
54.9%
Q1 - 0:11.0MEMMISS Gasol 7' Turnaround Hook Shot30
45.1%
26
54.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
43.4%
26
56.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)28
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
41.0%
23
59.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0MEMMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup25
40.5%
23
59.5%
Q1 - 1:16MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
39.2%
23
60.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 225
39.4%
23
60.6%
Q1 - 1:17MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)25
41.0%
23
59.0%
Q1 - 1:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38.6%
23
61.4%
Q1 - 1:25MEMMISS Green 16' Jump Shot24
38.1%
23
61.9%
Q1 - 1:42MEMChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
37.0%
23
63.0%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 224
37.3%
23
62.7%
Q1 - 1:44MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
38.3%
23
61.7%
Q1 - 1:44MIAHeat Rebound23
36.4%
23
63.6%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.4%
23
64.6%
Q1 - 1:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.4%
23
63.6%
Q1 - 1:56MEMMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.0%
23
64.0%
Q1 - 2:17MIAGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)23
34.8%
23
65.2%
Q1 - 2:40MEMGasol 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)23
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 2:59MIADragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)23
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 3:17MEMAllen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)21
36.7%
21
63.3%
Q1 - 3:38MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)21
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 3:57MEMLee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)19
36.7%
19
63.3%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)19
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 4:32MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
38.6%
16
61.4%
Q1 - 4:33MEMMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot17
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q1 - 4:52MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound17
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot17
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 5:05MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
38.0%
16
62.0%
Q1 - 5:13MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 117
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 5:33MEMLee 8' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 3 AST)15
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 5:38MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 5:39MEMMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 5:57MIADragic 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 6:03MEMGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
39.6%
11
60.4%
Q1 - 6:22MIAWhiteside 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)13
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 6:37MEMGreen 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)11
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 6:49MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 7:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 7:08MEMMISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot11
38.7%
9
61.3%
Q1 - 7:33MEMMISS Green 19' Jump Shot8
33.4%
9
66.6%
Q1 - 7:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
32.0%
9
68.0%
Q1 - 7:55MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound8
32.0%
9
68.0%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
32.6%
9
67.4%
Q1 - 8:26MEMGasol 7' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)8
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 8:41MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
35.5%
7
64.5%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot8
36.1%
7
63.9%
Q1 - 8:58MEMGasol 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)8
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 9:17MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 9:33MEMConley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 9:46MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)5
37.0%
3
63.0%
Q1 - 10:11MEMRandolph 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)2
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 10:27MIADragic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
35.3%
1
64.7%
Q1 - 10:46MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
33.8%
1
66.2%
Q1 - 10:46MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.9%
1
68.1%
Q1 - 10:46MEMMISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot0
33.3%
1
66.7%
Q1 - 11:00MEMLee Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)0
31.9%
1
68.1%
Q1 - 11:09MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:36MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Whiteside: Tip to Randolph0
33.6%
0
66.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
MEM
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
19
68%
MEM
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
11
31
35%
MEM
15
43
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
MEM
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
MIA
9
18
50%
MEM
19
20
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2252%11.0 / 21
D. Wade1950%9.5 / 19
G. Dragic1673%8.0 / 11
T. Johnson1372%6.5 / 9
L. Deng638%3.0 / 8
A. Stoudemire660%3.0 / 5
H. Whiteside550%2.5 / 5
G. Green321%1.5 / 7
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gasol2357%11.5 / 20
Z. Randolph1777%8.5 / 11
M. Conley1657%8.0 / 14
J. Green1647%8.0 / 17
M. Chalmers1255%6.0 / 11
C. Lee975%4.5 / 6
T. Allen638%3.0 / 8
V. Carter0-0.0 / 3
J. Green0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+17
-14
91
MEM
77
+18
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
MEM
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.1
MIA 102.3
MEM 116.5 +14.2
Pace
93.7
92.7
MIA 82.6 +8.1
MEM 74.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.7
MIA 17.4 +1.9
MEM 19.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
47.7%
MIA 51.3% +5.3%
MEM 46.0%
TO %
14.0%
13.6%
MIA 14.7%
MEM 9.5% +5.2%
ORB %
23.9%
25.3%
MIA 23.1%
MEM 35.6% +12.5%
FTrt
28.2
29.5
MIA 22.8
MEM 23.0 +0.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
56.2%
MIA 65.7%
MEM 65.8% +0.1%
STL %
7.2%
9.5%
MIA 5.7% +1.0%
MEM 4.7%
BLK %
10.3%
8.2%
MIA 8.3%
MEM 12.0% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.1%
MIA 49.5%
MEM 51.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%
62.3%
53.6%
MIA 68.4% +2.9%
MEM 65.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.3%
MIA 35.5% +0.6%
MEM 34.9%
3P %
33.6%
33.1%
MIA 37.9% +11.2%
MEM 26.7%
FT %
74.4%
78.3%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 95.0% +45.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
39.9%
MIA 24.1%
MEM 33.3% +9.3%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
38.0%
MIA 39.2% +10.2%
MEM 49.4%
3P Att. %
22.1%
22.2%
MIA 36.7% +19.5%
MEM 17.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8885
Possession Minutes25.627.4
Points9099
Rebounds3846
Assists2325
Steals54
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (8)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)30 (4)
Field Goals35-7938-87
At-the-Rim FG13-1919-29
Midrange FG11-3115-43
2-Point FG24-5034-72
3-Point FG11-294-15
Free Throws9-1819-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
41.4
16
73%
3
5
1
0
4
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-7
86%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
40.8
22
52%
5
1
0
0
1
3
0
5
0-1
0%
5-14
36%
4-7
57%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
37.4
19
50%
5
5
3
0
2
1
3
2
1-5
20%
9-18
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
36.8
5
50%
11
1
0
5
3
6
2
9
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
33.7
6
38%
2
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
30.6
13
72%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
20.1
3
21%
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
12.6
6
60%
3
2
0
1
1
2
2
1
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
11.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
90
50%
38
23
5
6
14
0
9
29
9-18
50%
24-50
48%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.