FinalWin Prob.pScore
2714%93
86
286%108
101
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
96.68995.9
SAS logo SAS
117.48680.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS86
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASSPURS Rebound86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMISS Harris 12' Pullup Jump Shot86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASLeonard 6' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMISS Barton 2' Running Reverse Layup86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28DENMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52SASDiaw 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DENMISS Foye 4' Jump Shot86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:09DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:10SASMISS West 19' Jump Shot86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:23DENFoye 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:41SASWest 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:54DENMISS Jokic Free Throw 1 of 184
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 3:03SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DENJokic 2' Putback Layup (20 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DENMarjanovic BLOCK (4 BLK)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41SASDiaw 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:05DENJokic 3' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Foye 4 AST)80
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:19SASAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)78
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:27SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28DENMISS Papanikolaou 16' Pullup Jump Shot78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:49SASGreen 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)78
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 4:51SASMISS Mills 13' Pullup Jump Shot78
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 5:07DENBarton 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)78
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 5:24SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 5:24SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 5:32SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:33DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:47DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 5:49SASMISS Green 13' Pullup Jump Shot76
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 6:06DENJokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)76
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 6:19DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 6:21SASMISS Diaw 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 6:45SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 6:47DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 6:58SASMarjanovic Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T11)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:15SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:19DENMISS Jokic 2' Reverse Layup73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:21DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 7:24DENMarjanovic BLOCK (3 BLK)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:35DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 7:36SASMISS Green 18' Jump Shot73
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 7:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:53DENMISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot73
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:06SASMarjanovic Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)73
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 8:20DENBarton 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)73
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 8:29DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 8:30SASMISS Leonard 3' Hook Shot71
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 8:54DENJokic Cutting Dunk Shot (13 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)71
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:07SASDiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)69
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:28DENJokic 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)69
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 9:46SASMarjanovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)67
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 10:01DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 10:09DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 10:11SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot67
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 10:23DENDiaw STEAL (1 STL)67
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:40SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)67
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 10:58DENArthur 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)67
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 11:01DENNuggets Rebound65
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 11:01DENMarjanovic BLOCK (2 BLK)65
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 11:15SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 11:15SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 11:25SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 11:27DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot65
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 11:42SASDiaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)65
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN65
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound65
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Barton 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot65
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENAldridge BLOCK (3 BLK)65
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)65
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENBarton Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Jokic 5 AST)65
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot63
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENJokic 6' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)63
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 1:14SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)61
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 1:14SASSPURS Rebound61
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 1:14SASMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot61
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 1:41DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)61
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 1:58SASAnderson 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)58
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 2:26DENJokic 9' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)58
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 2:36DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 2:37SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot56
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 2:53DENSimmons STEAL (2 STL)56
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 3:08DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 3:09DENMISS Jokic 8' Floating Jump Shot56
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 3:20SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P2.T7)56
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 3:28DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)56
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 3:50SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 3:50SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q3 - 3:59SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 4:01DENMISS Jokic 13' Step Back Jump Shot53
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 4:21SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)53
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 4:34DENBarton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)53
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 4:49SASMills 13' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 4:55SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 4:56SASMISS Aldridge 5' Jump Shot50
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 5:18DENBarton 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 5:23DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 5:25SASMISS Mills 20' Jump Shot48
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 5:43DENWest STEAL (1 STL)48
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 6:02DENNuggets Rebound48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 6:02SASMISS Leonard 4' Driving Hook Shot48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 6:25DENLeonard STEAL (2 STL)48
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 6:42SASAldridge 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 6:58SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 7:00DENMISS Lauvergne 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 7:08DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 7:10SASMISS Aldridge 3' Layup48
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q3 - 7:26DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T11)48
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 7:32SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 7:32SASAldridge 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)48
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 7:36SASMISS Aldridge 3' Layup48
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q3 - 7:56DENHarris 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)48
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q3 - 8:13SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Green 1 AST)46
1.5%
64
98.5%
Q3 - 8:31SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
2.0%
61
98.0%
Q3 - 8:32DENMISS Faried 17' Pullup Jump Shot46
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 8:42DENNuggets Rebound46
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 8:42DENWest BLOCK (4 BLK)46
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 8:53DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 8:55DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 9:02DENNuggets Rebound46
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 9:02DENWest BLOCK (3 BLK)46
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 9:12SASLeonard 15' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
2.4%
61
97.6%
Q3 - 9:31DENLauvergne 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)46
2.8%
59
97.2%
Q3 - 9:41SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot44
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q3 - 9:41DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
2.4%
59
97.6%
Q3 - 9:59DENHarris 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lauvergne 1 AST)44
2.1%
59
97.9%
Q3 - 10:09DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q3 - 10:09SASMISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot42
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q3 - 10:23SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)42
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q3 - 10:24DENAldridge BLOCK (2 BLK)42
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q3 - 10:38DENNuggets Rebound42
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q3 - 10:38DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
1.7%
59
98.3%
Q3 - 10:54SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 6 AST)42
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q3 - 11:09SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
2.5%
56
97.5%
Q3 - 11:11DENMISS Harris 7' Driving Hook Shot42
2.6%
56
97.4%
Q3 - 11:26DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
2.9%
56
97.1%
Q3 - 11:27SASMISS West 1' Reverse Layup42
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q3 - 11:45SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
2.5%
56
97.5%
Q3 - 11:46DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot42
2.6%
56
97.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN42
2.9%
56
97.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (West 5 AST)42
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENNelson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASMISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot40
3.3%
53
96.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENFaried 1' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)40
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASGreen 1' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)38
2.6%
53
97.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENParker STEAL (2 STL)38
3.1%
51
96.9%
Q2 - 1:08DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
3.5%
51
96.5%
Q2 - 1:10SASMISS Parker 9' Pullup Jump Shot38
3.5%
51
96.5%
Q2 - 1:18SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 1:19DENMISS Lauvergne 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup38
3.4%
51
96.6%
Q2 - 1:42SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)38
3.5%
51
96.5%
Q2 - 2:00DENLauvergne 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Papanikolaou 2 AST)38
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 2:19SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)35
3.3%
49
96.7%
Q2 - 2:31SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
3.7%
47
96.3%
Q2 - 2:32DENGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)35
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 2:45DENNuggets Rebound35
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 2:47DENMISS Lauvergne 7' Hook Shot35
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 3:03SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 3:21DENFaried 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)35
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 3:42SASWest 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)33
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 4:03DENLauvergne 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)33
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 4:21SASParker 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)31
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q2 - 4:24DENParker STEAL (1 STL)31
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 4:37SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 4 AST)31
5.4%
41
94.6%
Q2 - 4:59DENBarton Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)31
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 5:09DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 5:10SASMISS Aldridge 19' Pullup Jump Shot31
6.5%
39
93.5%
Q2 - 5:21SASSPURS Rebound31
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 5:23DENWest BLOCK (2 BLK)31
6.2%
39
93.8%
Q2 - 5:28DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 5:31DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
6.2%
39
93.8%
Q2 - 5:55SASAldridge 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 3 AST)31
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 6:08SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
7.4%
37
92.6%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Foye 8' Floating Jump Shot31
7.7%
37
92.3%
Q2 - 6:27SASWest 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)31
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 6:46DENFoye 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
9.0%
35
91.0%
Q2 - 6:57SASGreen 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)29
8.4%
35
91.6%
Q2 - 7:08SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 7:09DENMISS Barton 11' Floating Jump Shot29
9.4%
33
90.6%
Q2 - 7:17DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 7:18SASMISS Marjanovic 5' Jump Shot29
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 7:33SASSPURS Rebound29
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q2 - 7:33SASMISS Anderson 2' Running Finger Roll Layup29
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 7:36SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q2 - 7:39DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 7:39DENMarjanovic BLOCK (1 BLK)29
9.4%
33
90.6%
Q2 - 7:41DENMISS Jokic 7' Floating Jump Shot29
9.4%
33
90.6%
Q2 - 7:52SASAnderson 4' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 7:54SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q2 - 7:56SASMISS West 17' Pullup Jump Shot29
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q2 - 8:13DENBarton 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)29
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q2 - 8:28SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 8:28SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q2 - 8:37SASSPURS Rebound27
11.0%
29
89.0%
Q2 - 8:38SASMISS Anderson 6' Turnaround Hook Shot27
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q2 - 8:58DENJokic Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)27
11.0%
29
89.0%
Q2 - 9:18SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 9:18SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q2 - 9:26DENMarjanovic STEAL (1 STL)27
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 9:36DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q2 - 9:38SASMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 227
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q2 - 9:38SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
13.2%
27
86.8%
Q2 - 9:46DENJokic 6' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)27
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q2 - 10:04SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
13.2%
26
86.8%
Q2 - 10:04SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q2 - 10:19SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q2 - 10:20SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot25
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q2 - 10:44DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q2 - 10:44DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q2 - 10:46SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)23
13.1%
24
86.9%
Q2 - 10:56SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
11.8%
24
88.2%
Q2 - 10:56DENMISS Jokic 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot23
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q2 - 11:13SASDiaw 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)23
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q2 - 11:37DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN20
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0SASMISS Marjanovic Tip Layup Shot20
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASMISS Mills 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup20
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASSPURS Rebound20
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENMISS Jokic 4' Floating Jump Shot20
11.1%
22
88.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASMISS Diaw 1' Tip Layup Shot20
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Diaw 1' Tip Layup Shot20
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup20
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 1:07DENHarris 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)20
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 1:34SASAldridge Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)18
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 1:39DENMills STEAL (1 STL)18
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 1:42SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)18
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 1:56DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Papanikolaou 1 AST)18
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 2:11DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 2:13SASMISS Simmons 10' Driving Bank Shot16
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 2:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 2:23DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 2:27DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 2:28DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot16
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 2:48DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.8%
20
90.2%
Q1 - 2:49SASMISS Leonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot16
9.6%
20
90.4%
Q1 - 3:08DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)16
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 3:19SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)14
8.3%
20
91.7%
Q1 - 3:29DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)14
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 3:34SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 3:53SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 3:54DENMISS Nelson 12' Step Back Jump Shot14
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 4:03DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 4:04SASMISS Aldridge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot14
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 4:14SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 4:15DENMISS Lauvergne 6' Floating Jump Shot14
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 4:28SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 4:46SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 4:47DENMISS Harris 14' Floating Jump Shot14
9.8%
17
90.2%
Q1 - 5:02SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)14
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 5:08DENSimmons STEAL (1 STL)14
11.9%
14
88.1%
Q1 - 5:20SASAldridge 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 5:43DENFaried Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)14
13.8%
12
86.2%
Q1 - 5:51DENNuggets Rebound12
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 5:52DENAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)12
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 5:58DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12.9%
12
87.1%
Q1 - 5:59SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup12
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 6:15DENPapanikolaou 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)12
11.7%
12
88.3%
Q1 - 6:20SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
11.0%
12
89.0%
Q1 - 6:40DENFaried Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)10
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 7:02SASLeonard 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 1 AST)8
9.4%
12
90.6%
Q1 - 7:14DENHarris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)8
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 7:29DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 7:30SASMISS Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot6
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 7:54DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)6
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 8:01SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 8:01SASLeonard 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)6
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 8:03SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
9.7%
8
90.3%
Q1 - 8:03SASMISS Leonard 1' Putback Layup6
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 8:05SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup6
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 8:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:27DENMISS Papanikolaou 1' Running Layup6
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 8:34DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.5%
8
89.5%
Q1 - 8:35SASMISS Leonard 2' Driving Layup6
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 8:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:43DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 8:57SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)6
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 8:57SASSPURS Rebound6
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:58SASMISS Aldridge 15' Jump Bank Shot6
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 9:21SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 9:21DENMISS Papanikolaou 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot6
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 9:46SASWest 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 9:55SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 9:56DENWest BLOCK (1 BLK)6
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 10:19SASLeonard 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
11.9%
6
88.1%
Q1 - 10:33DENNelson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 10:42DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 10:43SASMISS Parker 15' Pullup Jump Shot4
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 10:58DENLauvergne Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
11.1%
4
88.9%
Q1 - 11:16SASWest 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
10.2%
4
89.8%
Q1 - 11:31DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
11.0%
2
89.0%
Q1 - 11:31DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
10.8%
2
89.2%
Q1 - 11:45SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
10.3%
2
89.7%
Q1 - 11:45SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
10.3%
1
89.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Aldridge vs. Lauvergne: Tip to0
11.0%
0
89.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.95 47.3%
SAS
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
35
49%
SAS
16
33
48%
Midrange
DEN
16
33
48%
SAS
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
SAS
7
10.5
10
70%
105%
Free Throws
DEN
5
6
83%
SAS
16
17
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2258%11.0 / 19
W. Barton1657%8.0 / 14
G. Harris1045%5.0 / 11
J. Lauvergne950%4.5 / 9
R. Foye945%4.5 / 10
K. Faried857%4.0 / 7
D. Arthur650%3.0 / 6
J. Nelson429%2.0 / 7
K. Papanikolaou220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2067%10.0 / 15
B. Diaw1673%8.0 / 11
T. Parker1354%6.5 / 12
L. Aldridge1243%6.0 / 14
D. West1063%5.0 / 8
B. Marjanovic1071%5.0 / 7
D. Green857%4.0 / 7
P. Mills850%4.0 / 8
K. Anderson440%2.0 / 5
J. Simmons0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
74
+15
-15
89
SAS
75
+14
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.95 47.3%
SAS
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.2
DEN 96.6 +20.8
SAS 117.4
Pace
95.3
94.0
DEN 95.9 +15.7
SAS 80.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.2
DEN 15.0 +2.9
SAS 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
52.6%
DEN 47.1%
SAS 52.5% +5.4%
TO %
14.8%
13.3%
DEN 14.5%
SAS 12.8% +1.7%
ORB %
25.8%
22.9%
DEN 20.5%
SAS 26.3% +5.8%
FTrt
28.2
24.6
DEN 7.0
SAS 21.0 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
61.1%
DEN 65.8% +12.0%
SAS 53.8%
STL %
7.7%
8.8%
DEN 6.7%
SAS 12.8% +6.1%
BLK %
8.1%
9.6%
DEN 4.2%
SAS 17.6% +13.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
54.9%
DEN 47.3%
SAS 54.9% +7.6%
Rim FG%
54.8%
62.8%
DEN 48.6% +0.1%
SAS 48.5%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.2%
DEN 48.5% +6.4%
SAS 42.1%
3P %
33.8%
37.5%
DEN 27.8%
SAS 70.0% +42.2%
FT %
76.6%
80.3%
DEN 83.3%
SAS 94.1% +10.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
32.7%
DEN 40.7%
SAS 40.7% +0.0%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
44.9%
DEN 38.4% +8.5%
SAS 46.9%
3P Att. %
27.7%
22.3%
DEN 20.9% +8.6%
SAS 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions8986
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points86101
Rebounds3641
Assists2521
Steals611
Blocks312
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (7)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals38-8639-81
At-the-Rim FG17-3516-33
Midrange FG16-3316-38
2-Point FG33-6832-71
3-Point FG5-187-10
Free Throws5-616-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 21
33.7
10
45%
2
5
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
25.4
2
20%
4
2
3
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
23.6
8
57%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 24
21.9
9
50%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 34
20.8
4
29%
5
3
0
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25
28.0
16
57%
5
3
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 218 · 32
27.3
9
45%
1
5
1
0
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 284 · 21
26.1
22
58%
7
5
1
1
3
4
5
2
1-2
50%
9-17
53%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
20.1
6
50%
1
1
0
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36
13.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
C · 7'0" 290 · 21
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
36
25
6
3
15
0
8
28
5-6
83%
33-68
49%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.