FinalWin Prob.pScore
1546%101
108
2154%102
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
125.68679.2
ORL logo ORL
120.28491.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL108
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)108
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Vucevic 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)108
99.0%
101
1.0%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)107
98.8%
101
1.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)106
98.1%
101
1.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Payton 2' Layup106
97.5%
101
2.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)106
94.8%
101
5.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)105
94.1%
101
5.9%
Q4 - 1:06ORLPayton 2' Driving Reverse Layup (18 PTS)104
89.1%
101
10.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAWade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)104
92.2%
99
7.8%
Q4 - 1:29ORLPayton 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)102
86.5%
99
13.5%
Q4 - 1:37MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)102
90.1%
97
9.9%
Q4 - 1:52ORLPayton 12' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)99
76.5%
97
23.5%
Q4 - 2:03ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)99
82.6%
95
17.4%
Q4 - 2:04ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
87.9%
95
12.1%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWhiteside 1' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)99
82.4%
95
17.6%
Q4 - 2:40ORLPayton 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Vucevic 6 AST)97
77.8%
95
22.2%
Q4 - 2:59MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)97
80.0%
93
20.0%
Q4 - 3:34ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)95
70.4%
93
29.6%
Q4 - 3:51MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
77.3%
91
22.7%
Q4 - 4:10ORLPayton 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)93
71.0%
91
29.0%
Q4 - 4:22MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
77.6%
89
22.4%
Q4 - 4:22MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
76.6%
89
23.4%
Q4 - 4:37MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
71.2%
89
28.8%
Q4 - 4:38ORLMISS Vucevic 5' Hook Shot91
68.6%
89
31.4%
Q4 - 4:53MIAWade 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (14 PTS)91
62.1%
89
37.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
52.5%
89
47.5%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
46.4%
89
53.6%
Q4 - 5:31ORLPayton 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Vucevic 5 AST)89
52.6%
89
47.4%
Q4 - 5:48ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Deng: Tip to Frye89
60.2%
87
39.8%
Q4 - 5:49MIAHeat Rebound89
68.4%
87
31.6%
Q4 - 5:49MIAVucevic BLOCK (1 BLK)89
62.8%
87
37.2%
Q4 - 5:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
68.4%
87
31.6%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot89
62.8%
87
37.2%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
66.7%
87
33.3%
Q4 - 6:08ORLMISS Frye 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
64.4%
87
35.6%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)89
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)88
55.9%
87
44.1%
Q4 - 6:36ORLVucevic 9' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)87
52.4%
87
47.6%
Q4 - 6:57MIAGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)87
58.8%
85
41.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
45.1%
85
54.9%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMISS Vucevic 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot84
42.8%
85
57.2%
Q4 - 7:34MIABosh 1' Layup (24 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)84
37.7%
85
62.3%
Q4 - 7:48ORLVucevic 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)82
32.0%
85
68.0%
Q4 - 7:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
37.6%
83
62.4%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
39.9%
83
60.1%
Q4 - 8:19ORLVucevic 9' Hook Shot (16 PTS)82
44.8%
83
55.2%
Q4 - 8:33MIAGreen 3PT Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)82
51.3%
81
48.7%
Q4 - 8:36MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
38.6%
81
61.4%
Q4 - 8:38ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
32.8%
81
67.2%
Q4 - 8:38ORLMISS Gordon 1' Tip Layup Shot79
36.7%
81
63.3%
Q4 - 8:40ORLMISS Payton 2' Layup79
36.7%
81
63.3%
Q4 - 8:57MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)79
32.7%
81
67.3%
Q4 - 9:08ORLOladipo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)76
24.1%
81
75.9%
Q4 - 9:18ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
19.8%
81
80.2%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot76
21.0%
81
79.0%
Q4 - 9:45ORLSmith 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Oladipo 4 AST)76
23.9%
81
76.1%
Q4 - 10:00MIAUdrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)76
28.4%
79
71.6%
Q4 - 10:24ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
20.9%
79
79.1%
Q4 - 10:24ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 1 of 273
21.6%
78
78.4%
Q4 - 10:49MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)73
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q4 - 11:14ORLOladipo 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)71
18.3%
78
81.7%
Q4 - 11:19ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
21.6%
76
78.4%
Q4 - 11:20ORLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot71
24.3%
76
75.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)71
21.5%
76
78.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLOladipo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)69
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
26.5%
73
73.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
22.6%
73
77.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Oladipo 2' Driving Layup67
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
19.2%
73
80.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Fournier 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup67
21.5%
73
78.5%
Q3 - 1:11ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q3 - 1:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
23.6%
73
76.4%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup67
21.1%
73
78.9%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup67
21.1%
73
78.9%
Q3 - 1:36ORLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)67
23.5%
73
76.5%
Q3 - 1:57MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)67
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q3 - 2:20ORLHezonja Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Fournier 7 AST)64
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHarris STEAL (2 STL)64
17.9%
71
82.1%
Q3 - 2:43ORLHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)64
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 2:56ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw Technical64
27.6%
68
72.4%
Q3 - 3:05ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
28.4%
68
71.6%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot64
29.6%
68
70.4%
Q3 - 3:26ORLHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)64
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)64
28.3%
68
71.7%
Q3 - 4:00ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)64
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q3 - 4:17ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
36.1%
66
63.9%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
37.6%
66
62.4%
Q3 - 4:38ORLJump Ball Fournier vs. Wade: Tip to Whiteside64
40.9%
66
59.1%
Q3 - 4:56MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)64
36.2%
66
63.8%
Q3 - 5:12ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
33.1%
66
66.9%
Q3 - 5:12ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 262
33.7%
65
66.3%
Q3 - 5:22ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Deng 11' Hook Shot62
34.0%
65
66.0%
Q3 - 5:42ORLVucevic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)62
36.9%
65
63.1%
Q3 - 5:58MIAWade 14' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
30.1%
65
69.9%
Q3 - 6:05ORLMISS Fournier 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
29.0%
65
71.0%
Q3 - 6:16ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Dragic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot60
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
30.1%
65
69.9%
Q3 - 6:32ORLMISS Payton 11' Jump Shot60
29.0%
65
71.0%
Q3 - 6:43MIAVucevic STEAL (2 STL)60
26.5%
65
73.5%
Q3 - 7:00ORLPayton 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)60
30.1%
65
69.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIABosh 3' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)60
33.3%
63
66.7%
Q3 - 7:23ORLVucevic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)58
30.4%
63
69.6%
Q3 - 7:38MIADragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)58
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 7:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
24.3%
63
75.7%
Q3 - 7:59ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 256
23.9%
63
76.1%
Q3 - 7:59ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 256
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 8:11MIABosh 2' Layup (13 PTS)56
21.8%
63
78.2%
Q3 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)54
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 8:24ORLMISS Vucevic 11' Turnaround Hook Shot54
18.8%
63
81.2%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)54
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot51
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 8:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 8:48ORLMISS Frye 14' Jump Shot51
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q3 - 9:03MIABosh Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)51
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 9:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 9:16ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 249
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 9:16ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 249
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 9:25ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot49
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 9:54ORLVucevic 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Fournier 6 AST)49
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 10:05MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 10:26ORLPayton 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Vucevic 4 AST)46
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 10:52MIADragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)46
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q3 - 11:13ORLPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)44
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q3 - 11:19ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot44
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q3 - 11:47ORLFrye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fournier 5 AST)44
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLFournier 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)44
15.9%
56
84.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAFournier STEAL (1 STL)44
20.2%
53
79.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q2 - 1:01MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T3)44
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 1:13ORLVucevic 2' Layup (10 PTS)44
26.8%
51
73.2%
Q2 - 1:32MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
30.7%
49
69.3%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 243
30.1%
49
69.9%
Q2 - 1:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
29.4%
49
70.6%
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS Harris 3' Jump Shot43
29.0%
49
71.0%
Q2 - 1:58ORLMAGIC Rebound43
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Wade 2' Running Layup43
28.4%
49
71.6%
Q2 - 2:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
30.4%
49
69.6%
Q2 - 2:04ORLMISS Fournier 8' Jump Shot43
29.6%
49
70.4%
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
27.9%
49
72.1%
Q2 - 2:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
27.4%
49
72.6%
Q2 - 2:37ORLHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Vucevic 3 AST)41
25.3%
49
74.7%
Q2 - 2:42ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
30.5%
46
69.5%
Q2 - 2:44ORLMISS Payton 9' Jump Shot41
32.1%
46
67.9%
Q2 - 3:02MIADragic 3' Running Layup (11 PTS)41
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 3:08MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q2 - 3:10ORLMISS Hezonja 2' Alley Oop Layup39
27.7%
46
72.3%
Q2 - 3:23ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot39
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 3:28MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot39
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 3:51ORLHarris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Hezonja 4 AST)39
28.5%
46
71.5%
Q2 - 4:09MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)39
31.1%
44
68.9%
Q2 - 4:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
28.9%
44
71.1%
Q2 - 4:23ORLMISS Hezonja 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot37
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAVucevic STEAL (1 STL)37
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 4:47ORLVucevic 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Hezonja 3 AST)37
28.9%
44
71.1%
Q2 - 4:57ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
31.1%
42
68.9%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
34.1%
42
65.9%
Q2 - 5:04MIAGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)37
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 5:17ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)37
34.1%
42
65.9%
Q2 - 5:18ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
31.5%
42
68.5%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMISS Vucevic 10' Jump Shot37
33.3%
42
66.7%
Q2 - 5:43MIADeng 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)37
31.5%
42
68.5%
Q2 - 5:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 5:51ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
26.9%
42
73.1%
Q2 - 5:51ORLMISS Vucevic 2' Layup35
28.5%
42
71.5%
Q2 - 5:52ORLMISS Oladipo 3' Layup35
28.5%
42
71.5%
Q2 - 6:02ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup35
28.1%
42
71.9%
Q2 - 6:20ORLGordon 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oladipo 3 AST)35
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
31.7%
40
68.3%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
31.2%
40
68.8%
Q2 - 6:47ORLSmith 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hezonja 2 AST)33
30.0%
40
70.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
32.4%
38
67.6%
Q2 - 7:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 7:36ORLHezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Oladipo 2 AST)30
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 7:49MIAGreen 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)30
32.3%
35
67.7%
Q2 - 8:07ORLSmith 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)28
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 8:20MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 8:20MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
31.9%
33
68.1%
Q2 - 8:26ORLSmith 2' Layup (4 PTS)26
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 8:27ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 8:29ORLMISS Oladipo Dunk26
34.2%
31
65.8%
Q2 - 8:46MIAGreen 7' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)26
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 9:03ORLHezonja 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
30.8%
31
69.2%
Q2 - 9:30MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)24
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 9:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)22
32.9%
28
67.1%
Q2 - 9:52ORLMISS Oladipo 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
32.2%
28
67.8%
Q2 - 10:03ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
30.6%
28
69.4%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Winslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q2 - 10:24ORLOladipo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
33.1%
28
66.9%
Q2 - 10:37MIAStoudemire Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)22
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q2 - 10:37MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Udrih 1' Driving Layup20
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q2 - 10:51MIAHeat Rebound20
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Green 14' Pullup Jump Shot20
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q2 - 10:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 10:59ORLMISS Oladipo 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
32.3%
26
67.7%
Q2 - 11:20ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
30.9%
26
69.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot20
31.5%
26
68.5%
Q2 - 11:40ORLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oladipo 1 AST)20
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
35.1%
24
64.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound20
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
35.8%
24
64.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLOladipo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)20
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
35.6%
24
64.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)19
35.2%
24
64.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLVucevic 10' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)18
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLNicholson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Stoudemire 20' Jump Shot18
36.0%
22
64.0%
Q1 - 1:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q1 - 1:10ORLMISS Vucevic 11' Fadeaway Jumper18
36.8%
22
63.2%
Q1 - 1:31MIAGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)18
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 1:47MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
31.1%
22
68.9%
Q1 - 1:48ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
30.6%
22
69.4%
Q1 - 2:01ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot15
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 2:09MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q1 - 2:13ORLMISS Fournier 12' Jump Shot15
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 2:32ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Green 15' Pullup Jump Shot15
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 2:50ORLHarris 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)15
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q1 - 2:58ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Dragic 3' Driving Layup15
34.2%
20
65.8%
Q1 - 3:20ORLFrye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)15
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 3:37ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
40.0%
17
60.0%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Stoudemire 7' Hook Shot15
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
42.3%
17
57.7%
Q1 - 3:51ORLMISS Vucevic 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot15
41.6%
17
58.4%
Q1 - 4:19MIADragic 12' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
38.2%
17
61.8%
Q1 - 4:33ORLMISS Harris 13' Pullup Jump Shot13
37.4%
17
62.6%
Q1 - 4:49ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
35.8%
17
64.2%
Q1 - 4:50ORLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
37.4%
17
62.6%
Q1 - 5:01MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)13
36.2%
17
63.8%
Q1 - 5:16ORLFournier 3' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)11
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 5:20MIAPayton STEAL (1 STL)11
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 5:29ORLPayton 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 5:50MIADragic 13' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
40.1%
13
59.9%
Q1 - 5:57ORLPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 6:03ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
37.0%
13
63.0%
Q1 - 6:18ORLVucevic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)9
38.4%
13
61.6%
Q1 - 6:40MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
40.2%
11
59.8%
Q1 - 6:55ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 6:55ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
36.9%
10
63.1%
Q1 - 7:01ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Dragic 3' Driving Layup6
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 7:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 7:11ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot6
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 7:20ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 7:21MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot6
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 7:41ORLFrye Dunk (2 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)6
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 7:53MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)6
42.0%
7
58.0%
Q1 - 8:14ORLFournier 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)4
40.6%
7
59.4%
Q1 - 8:23ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.3%
5
57.7%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot4
42.9%
5
57.1%
Q1 - 8:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 8:50ORLMISS Fournier 28' 3PT Jump Shot4
43.7%
5
56.3%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
41.9%
5
58.1%
Q1 - 9:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 9:24ORLMISS Vucevic 15' Turnaround Jump Shot2
40.0%
5
60.0%
Q1 - 9:35ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.6%
5
61.4%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
39.2%
5
60.8%
Q1 - 9:54ORLVucevic 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)2
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 10:09ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.2%
3
57.8%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot2
42.9%
3
57.1%
Q1 - 10:38ORLFournier 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)2
44.3%
3
55.7%
Q1 - 10:54ORLMAGIC Rebound2
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot2
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:25ORLMISS Vucevic 14' Hook Shot2
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:46MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Whiteside: Tip to Wade0
45.8%
0
54.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.7%
ORL
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
21
62%
ORL
12
23
52%
Midrange
MIA
15
36
42%
ORL
22
37
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
ORL
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
22
23
96%
ORL
6
13
46%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2471%12.0 / 17
D. Wade2471%12.0 / 17
G. Dragic2265%11.0 / 17
G. Green1568%7.5 / 11
H. Whiteside758%3.5 / 6
L. Deng735%3.5 / 10
J. Winslow450%2.0 / 4
B. Udrih350%1.5 / 3
A. Stoudemire233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević2250%11.0 / 22
E. Payton1864%9.0 / 14
T. Harris1365%6.5 / 10
E. Fournier1250%6.0 / 12
J. Smith1083%5.0 / 6
C. Frye880%4.0 / 5
M. Hezonja880%4.0 / 5
V. Oladipo844%4.0 / 9
A. Gordon250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+12
-8
90
ORL
75
+9
-9
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.7%
ORL
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
105.6
MIA 125.6 +5.3
ORL 120.2
Pace
93.7
95.6
MIA 79.2
ORL 91.9 +12.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
MIA 18.2
ORL 15.7 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
50.0%
MIA 55.8%
ORL 60.1% +4.3%
TO %
14.0%
14.1%
MIA 9.4% +1.2%
ORL 10.6%
ORB %
23.9%
23.2%
MIA 26.5% +2.8%
ORL 23.7%
FTrt
28.2
23.2
MIA 29.9 +13.4
ORL 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
59.6%
MIA 57.9%
ORL 72.1% +14.2%
STL %
7.2%
8.5%
MIA 5.8%
ORL 8.3% +2.5%
BLK %
10.3%
8.7%
MIA 6.7% +3.2%
ORL 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.1%
MIA 58.7% +0.7%
ORL 58.0%
Rim FG%
62.3%
58.0%
MIA 61.9% +9.7%
ORL 52.2%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.3%
MIA 41.7%
ORL 59.5% +17.8%
3P %
33.6%
35.0%
MIA 50.0% +2.6%
ORL 47.4%
FT %
74.4%
75.7%
MIA 95.7% +49.5%
ORL 46.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
35.1%
MIA 27.3%
ORL 29.1% +1.8%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
39.3%
MIA 46.8% +0.1%
ORL 46.8%
3P Att. %
22.1%
25.5%
MIA 26.0% +1.9%
ORL 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8684
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points108101
Rebounds3834
Assists2231
Steals57
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)25 (2)
Field Goals38-7743-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2112-23
Midrange FG15-3622-37
2-Point FG28-5734-60
3-Point FG10-209-19
Free Throws22-236-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
37.2
7
58%
6
0
0
3
0
3
1
5
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
35.4
22
65%
6
4
1
0
3
3
3
3
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
34.8
24
71%
10
3
2
0
1
2
0
10
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
29.9
24
71%
2
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
10-10
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
29.8
7
35%
7
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
29.9
15
68%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
21.1
4
50%
3
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
12.7
3
50%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
9.2
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
59%
38
22
5
4
8
0
9
29
22-23
96%
28-57
49%
10-20
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.