FinalWin Prob.pScore
264%106
84
736%101
88
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
89.49484.9
HOU logo HOU
93.694106.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS84
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup84
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Leonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot84
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)84
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0HOUMISS Capela 5' Jump Shot84
10.5%
88
89.5%
Q4 - 1:22SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)84
10.2%
88
89.8%
Q4 - 1:41HOUTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 1:41HOUTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 1:41SASTerry STEAL (3 STL)81
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q4 - 1:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q4 - 1:44HOUMISS Harden 15' Jump Shot81
12.3%
86
87.7%
Q4 - 1:59HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 181
13.5%
86
86.5%
Q4 - 2:00SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)81
9.0%
86
91.0%
Q4 - 2:00SASAldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot (18 PTS)81
9.0%
86
91.0%
Q4 - 2:01SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot79
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 2:14SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)79
8.1%
86
91.9%
Q4 - 2:14HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 279
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 2:14HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 279
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q4 - 2:19HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 2:20SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot79
5.3%
86
94.7%
Q4 - 2:29SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
8.4%
86
91.6%
Q4 - 2:29HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 279
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 2:29HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 279
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 2:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 2:34SASDuncan 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)79
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 2:35SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot77
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 2:46SASSpurs Rebound77
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 2:46HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 2:51SASTerry STEAL (2 STL)77
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 3:13HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 3:13HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 3:21SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)77
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 3:36HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)75
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q4 - 4:00SASDuncan 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)75
12.0%
81
88.0%
Q4 - 4:19HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q4 - 4:34SASDuncan 6' Driving Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)73
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q4 - 4:54HOUTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q4 - 4:54HOUTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q4 - 4:54SASTerry STEAL (1 STL)71
15.8%
76
84.2%
Q4 - 5:08HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
26.5%
76
73.5%
Q4 - 5:08HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
29.4%
75
70.6%
Q4 - 5:08SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
32.9%
74
67.1%
Q4 - 5:08SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
31.3%
74
68.7%
Q4 - 5:28HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q4 - 5:28HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
27.1%
73
72.9%
Q4 - 5:31HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
32.8%
72
67.2%
Q4 - 5:32SASMISS Parker 7' Running Jump Shot69
35.2%
72
64.8%
Q4 - 5:40SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
41.0%
72
59.0%
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot69
35.1%
72
64.9%
Q4 - 6:05SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q4 - 6:05HOUROCKETS Rebound69
36.1%
72
63.9%
Q4 - 6:05HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 269
43.2%
72
56.8%
Q4 - 6:05HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 269
40.1%
72
59.9%
Q4 - 6:05HOUROCKETS Rebound69
36.1%
72
63.9%
Q4 - 6:06SASMISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot69
38.6%
72
61.4%
Q4 - 6:28HOUHoward 2' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)69
44.1%
72
55.9%
Q4 - 6:40SASDuncan 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)69
50.6%
70
49.4%
Q4 - 6:55SASSpurs Rebound67
44.0%
70
56.0%
Q4 - 6:55SASCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)67
38.3%
70
61.7%
Q4 - 6:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
44.0%
70
56.0%
Q4 - 6:58SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot67
38.2%
70
61.8%
Q4 - 7:16SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
46.7%
70
53.3%
Q4 - 7:17HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
44.4%
70
55.6%
Q4 - 7:36SASLeonard 1' Running Dunk (17 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)67
39.2%
70
60.8%
Q4 - 7:41SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
33.4%
70
66.6%
Q4 - 7:42HOUMISS Harden 15' Step Back Jump Shot65
31.3%
70
68.7%
Q4 - 7:56SASAldridge 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS)65
26.9%
70
73.1%
Q4 - 8:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
24.6%
70
75.4%
Q4 - 8:10HOUMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot63
23.2%
70
76.8%
Q4 - 8:27SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)63
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q4 - 8:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
24.4%
70
75.6%
Q4 - 8:52HOUMISS Lawson 10' Pullup Jump Shot63
23.0%
70
77.0%
Q4 - 9:08HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
22.4%
70
77.6%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q4 - 9:18HOULawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)63
27.0%
70
73.0%
Q4 - 9:32SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)63
22.3%
70
77.7%
Q4 - 9:53HOUJones 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)60
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q4 - 10:07SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)60
20.2%
68
79.8%
Q4 - 10:15HOUTerry 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q4 - 10:26HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)60
28.4%
66
71.6%
Q4 - 10:27SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
30.0%
66
70.0%
Q4 - 10:42HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)60
33.6%
66
66.4%
Q4 - 10:48HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
44.0%
63
56.0%
Q4 - 10:49SASMISS Diaw 3' Layup60
45.8%
63
54.2%
Q4 - 11:13HOUBrewer Foul Turnover (P4.T16)60
50.3%
63
49.7%
Q4 - 11:16HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
44.7%
63
55.3%
Q4 - 11:17SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
46.4%
63
53.6%
Q4 - 11:35HOUJones 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)60
50.3%
63
49.7%
Q4 - 11:46SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)60
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU60
60.9%
61
39.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)60
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
57.9%
61
42.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0HOUTerry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)60
61.2%
61
38.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOULawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
56.2%
61
43.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
57.8%
61
42.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOULawson 11' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)60
61.2%
61
38.8%
Q3 - 1:05SASDiaw 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)60
66.1%
59
33.9%
Q3 - 1:05HOUCapela Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)58
61.8%
59
38.2%
Q3 - 1:08HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
56.9%
59
43.1%
Q3 - 1:09SASMISS West 6' Jump Shot58
58.4%
59
41.6%
Q3 - 1:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
61.8%
59
38.2%
Q3 - 1:14SASMISS Diaw 4' Jump Shot58
58.4%
59
41.6%
Q3 - 1:31SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
61.7%
59
38.3%
Q3 - 1:32SASMISS Leonard 14' Jump Shot58
58.4%
59
41.6%
Q3 - 1:38SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
61.7%
59
38.3%
Q3 - 1:39HOUMISS Capela 2' Tip Layup Shot58
60.3%
59
39.7%
Q3 - 1:42HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)58
56.8%
59
43.2%
Q3 - 1:44HOUMISS Capela 1' Layup58
60.3%
59
39.7%
Q3 - 1:54HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
56.8%
59
43.2%
Q3 - 1:55SASMISS Diaw 4' Jump Shot58
58.4%
59
41.6%
Q3 - 2:11SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 2:12HOUMISS Harden 15' Pullup Jump Shot58
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 2:39SASDiaw 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (West 1 AST)58
57.1%
59
42.9%
Q3 - 2:52SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
52.8%
59
47.2%
Q3 - 2:54HOUMISS Brewer 18' Pullup Jump Shot56
51.3%
59
48.7%
Q3 - 3:17HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
48.9%
59
51.1%
Q3 - 3:18SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup56
50.3%
59
49.7%
Q3 - 3:28HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P4.T13)56
53.7%
59
46.3%
Q3 - 3:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
48.8%
59
51.2%
Q3 - 3:32SASMISS Diaw 9' Fadeaway Jumper56
50.3%
59
49.7%
Q3 - 3:54HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
53.6%
59
46.4%
Q3 - 3:54HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
54.1%
58
45.9%
Q3 - 4:05SASLeonard 9' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)56
58.0%
57
42.0%
Q3 - 4:23HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)54
54.4%
57
45.6%
Q3 - 4:32HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
58.0%
55
42.0%
Q3 - 4:32SASMISS Ginobili 1' Reverse Layup54
59.4%
55
40.6%
Q3 - 4:47HOUJones 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)54
62.7%
55
37.3%
Q3 - 5:01SASMills 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)54
66.1%
53
33.9%
Q3 - 5:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
58.7%
53
41.3%
Q3 - 5:08HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
57.4%
53
42.6%
Q3 - 5:26HOUROCKETS Rebound51
54.3%
53
45.7%
Q3 - 5:26SASMISS Leonard 13' Floating Jump Shot51
55.7%
53
44.3%
Q3 - 5:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
58.8%
53
41.2%
Q3 - 5:46HOUMISS Brewer 3' Running Layup51
57.4%
53
42.6%
Q3 - 5:50HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)51
54.3%
53
45.7%
Q3 - 5:51SASMISS Aldridge 16' Jump Shot51
55.6%
53
44.4%
Q3 - 6:12HOUHoward 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)51
59.3%
53
40.7%
Q3 - 6:37SASAldridge 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
62.7%
51
37.3%
Q3 - 6:54HOUCapela 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)49
59.3%
51
40.7%
Q3 - 7:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
62.7%
49
37.3%
Q3 - 7:15SASHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)49
63.9%
49
36.1%
Q3 - 7:21HOUBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)49
66.6%
49
33.4%
Q3 - 7:27SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)49
62.7%
49
37.3%
Q3 - 7:46HOUHoward Cutting Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)49
66.6%
49
33.4%
Q3 - 7:55SASLeonard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)49
69.6%
47
30.4%
Q3 - 8:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
73.3%
47
26.7%
Q3 - 8:16HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
72.3%
47
27.7%
Q3 - 8:30SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)49
69.8%
47
30.2%
Q3 - 8:48HOUHarden 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)49
73.3%
47
26.7%
Q3 - 8:53SASBeverley STEAL (2 STL)49
75.7%
45
24.3%
Q3 - 9:04HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)49
78.2%
45
21.8%
Q3 - 9:10SASLeonard 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS)49
75.6%
45
24.4%
Q3 - 9:35HOUHarden 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
73.0%
45
27.0%
Q3 - 9:46SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)47
75.6%
43
24.4%
Q3 - 10:04HOUHarden 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)45
73.2%
43
26.8%
Q3 - 10:19HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)45
75.7%
41
24.3%
Q3 - 10:23SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q3 - 10:23SASMISS Aldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot45
76.5%
41
23.5%
Q3 - 10:24SASMISS Parker 7' Floating Jump Shot45
76.5%
41
23.5%
Q3 - 10:40HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)45
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q3 - 10:47HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
82.6%
38
17.4%
Q3 - 10:48SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot45
83.2%
38
16.8%
Q3 - 11:00SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
84.6%
38
15.4%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMISS Harden 4' Jump Shot45
84.0%
38
16.0%
Q3 - 11:26SASAldridge 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)45
82.6%
38
17.4%
Q3 - 11:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
80.8%
38
19.2%
Q3 - 11:45HOUMISS Harden 16' Step Back Jump Shot43
80.1%
38
19.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU43
78.4%
38
21.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound43
78.4%
38
21.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Brewer 1' Running Layup43
79.5%
38
20.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)43
78.5%
38
21.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
80.0%
38
20.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot43
79.6%
38
20.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
78.5%
38
21.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
78.1%
38
21.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
75.6%
38
24.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
74.4%
38
25.6%
Q2 - 1:10HOUCapela Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)41
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 1:11HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
73.9%
38
26.1%
Q2 - 1:12HOUMISS Harden 16' Jump Shot41
74.8%
38
25.2%
Q2 - 1:20SASBeverley STEAL (1 STL)41
73.9%
38
26.1%
Q2 - 1:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 1:24SASMISS Leonard 2' Putback Layup41
74.3%
38
25.7%
Q2 - 1:26SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 1:27SASMISS Aldridge 21' Jump Shot41
74.3%
38
25.7%
Q2 - 1:41SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
75.2%
38
24.8%
Q2 - 1:42HOUMISS Beverley 14' Fadeaway Jumper41
74.8%
38
25.2%
Q2 - 2:03SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
73.2%
38
26.8%
Q2 - 2:03SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 240
72.6%
38
27.4%
Q2 - 2:23HOUCapela Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
73.1%
38
26.9%
Q2 - 2:45SASAldridge 13' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)40
70.8%
38
29.2%
Q2 - 3:06HOUAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)38
68.6%
38
31.4%
Q2 - 3:13SASLeonard 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
65.6%
38
34.4%
Q2 - 3:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 3:18SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
61.0%
38
39.0%
Q2 - 3:33HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
63.3%
38
36.7%
Q2 - 3:33HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
63.8%
37
36.2%
Q2 - 3:52SASLeonard Running Dunk (9 PTS)36
65.5%
36
34.5%
Q2 - 3:56HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)34
63.3%
36
36.7%
Q2 - 4:20SASLeonard 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)34
60.6%
36
39.4%
Q2 - 4:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
58.0%
36
42.0%
Q2 - 4:33HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
57.1%
36
42.9%
Q2 - 4:48HOUROCKETS Rebound32
55.0%
36
45.0%
Q2 - 4:49HOUMISS Harden 2' Running Layup32
57.1%
36
42.9%
Q2 - 4:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)32
55.0%
36
45.0%
Q2 - 4:53SASMISS Leonard 3' Driving Layup32
55.9%
36
44.1%
Q2 - 5:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
58.6%
36
41.4%
Q2 - 5:10HOUMISS Beverley 1' Driving Layup32
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 5:24HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
55.7%
36
44.3%
Q2 - 5:25SASMISS Green 19' Jump Shot32
56.6%
36
43.4%
Q2 - 5:38HOUMotiejunas 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)32
58.5%
36
41.5%
Q2 - 5:54HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
61.1%
34
38.9%
Q2 - 5:55SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot32
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q2 - 6:02SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
64.5%
34
35.5%
Q2 - 6:03HOUMISS Ariza 7' Running Jump Shot32
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 6:13HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
61.2%
34
38.8%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot32
62.2%
34
37.8%
Q2 - 6:28HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)32
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 6:44SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
61.2%
34
38.8%
Q2 - 6:50SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 6:51HOUMISS Motiejunas 4' Hook Shot32
63.4%
34
36.6%
Q2 - 7:16SASGreen 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)32
61.8%
34
38.2%
Q2 - 7:35HOUMotiejunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)30
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 7:52HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
61.8%
32
38.2%
Q2 - 7:53SASMISS West 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot30
62.6%
32
37.4%
Q2 - 8:20HOUBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
64.5%
32
35.5%
Q2 - 8:32SASSimmons 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)30
62.0%
32
38.0%
Q2 - 8:38SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
59.6%
32
40.4%
Q2 - 8:39HOUMISS Brewer Dunk28
58.9%
32
41.1%
Q2 - 8:45HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
57.1%
32
42.9%
Q2 - 8:46SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
57.9%
32
42.1%
Q2 - 9:03SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
60.2%
32
39.8%
Q2 - 9:03HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 228
59.9%
32
40.1%
Q2 - 9:03HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
58.8%
32
41.2%
Q2 - 9:12SASWest 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)28
59.8%
31
40.2%
Q2 - 9:18SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
57.8%
31
42.2%
Q2 - 9:19HOUMISS Motiejunas Layup26
56.9%
31
43.1%
Q2 - 9:46SASGinobili 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)26
54.9%
31
45.1%
Q2 - 9:54HOUBrewer 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)24
52.8%
31
47.2%
Q2 - 10:05HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
54.7%
29
45.3%
Q2 - 10:06SASMISS West 17' Jump Shot24
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q2 - 10:24HOUBrewer 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)24
57.7%
29
42.3%
Q2 - 10:33HOULawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
59.6%
27
40.4%
Q2 - 10:34SASMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot24
60.5%
27
39.5%
Q2 - 10:44HOUBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
62.5%
27
37.5%
Q2 - 11:00SASDiaw 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
59.6%
27
40.4%
Q2 - 11:13SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q2 - 11:14HOUMISS Jones 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot22
56.8%
27
43.2%
Q2 - 11:28SASJones STEAL (1 STL)22
55.1%
27
44.9%
Q2 - 11:43HOULawson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)22
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q2 - 11:51HOUMISS Terry Free Throw Technical22
59.8%
25
40.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
59.8%
25
40.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
62.2%
25
37.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot22
61.5%
25
38.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)22
60.4%
25
39.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)20
57.5%
25
42.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
62.6%
22
37.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
63.1%
22
36.9%
Q1 - 1:05HOUJones 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)20
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q1 - 1:18SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)20
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 1:44HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
64.4%
20
35.6%
Q1 - 1:44HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
65.1%
19
34.9%
Q1 - 2:02SASSimmons Foul Turnover (P1.T3)18
67.1%
18
32.9%
Q1 - 2:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
68.9%
18
31.1%
Q1 - 2:06HOUMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot18
68.4%
18
31.6%
Q1 - 2:19SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
67.1%
18
32.9%
Q1 - 2:19SASAldridge 2' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)18
67.1%
18
32.9%
Q1 - 2:21SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
64.9%
18
35.1%
Q1 - 2:21SASMISS Aldridge 3' Tip Layup Shot16
63.5%
18
36.5%
Q1 - 2:24SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
63.5%
18
36.5%
Q1 - 2:40HOUJones 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)16
64.9%
18
35.1%
Q1 - 2:54SASDiaw 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)16
67.1%
16
32.9%
Q1 - 3:20HOULawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)14
65.4%
16
34.6%
Q1 - 3:27HOULawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
69.1%
13
30.9%
Q1 - 3:28HOUMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot14
70.6%
13
29.4%
Q1 - 3:44SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)14
69.1%
13
30.9%
Q1 - 3:53HOUHarden Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)11
65.4%
13
34.6%
Q1 - 4:09SASDiaw Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
63.3%
13
36.7%
Q1 - 4:23HOUJones Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)11
65.6%
13
34.4%
Q1 - 4:36SASDiaw 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
67.2%
11
32.8%
Q1 - 5:04HOUAriza 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)9
65.6%
11
34.4%
Q1 - 5:29SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
67.4%
9
32.6%
Q1 - 5:29SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
67.1%
9
32.9%
Q1 - 5:39HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)7
65.6%
9
34.4%
Q1 - 5:43HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
69.2%
6
30.8%
Q1 - 5:44HOUMISS Beverley 9' Floating Jump Shot7
70.5%
6
29.5%
Q1 - 5:54HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
69.2%
6
30.8%
Q1 - 5:55SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot7
69.7%
6
30.3%
Q1 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
71.0%
6
29.0%
Q1 - 6:06HOUMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot7
70.4%
6
29.6%
Q1 - 6:22SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)7
69.2%
6
30.8%
Q1 - 6:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 6:42HOUMISS Ariza 13' Jump Shot4
65.3%
6
34.7%
Q1 - 6:55SASAldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
63.9%
6
36.1%
Q1 - 7:11SASSpurs Rebound2
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 7:12HOUMISS Beverley 8' Floating Jump Shot2
62.0%
6
38.0%
Q1 - 7:28SASParker 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 7:49HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 8:02HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 8:03SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot0
58.2%
6
41.8%
Q1 - 8:23HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)0
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 8:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 8:43SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot0
61.8%
4
38.2%
Q1 - 9:04HOUHarden 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
63.5%
4
36.5%
Q1 - 9:17SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 9:41SASSpurs Rebound0
66.9%
2
33.1%
Q1 - 9:42HOUMISS Capela 5' Jump Shot0
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 9:46HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 9:47HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 10:02HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 10:03SASMISS Green 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
65.5%
2
34.5%
Q1 - 10:20HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
66.9%
2
33.1%
Q1 - 10:20HOUCapela Putback Dunk (2 PTS)0
66.9%
2
33.1%
Q1 - 10:21HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup0
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 10:28HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)0
68.2%
0
31.8%
Q1 - 10:29SASMISS Leonard 8' Fadeaway Jumper0
68.8%
0
31.2%
Q1 - 10:46SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 10:46HOUMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot0
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 10:57HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)0
68.2%
0
31.8%
Q1 - 10:59HOUMISS Howard 2' Layup0
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 11:00HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
68.2%
0
31.8%
Q1 - 11:01HOUMISS Harden 17' Jump Shot0
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 11:11HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
68.5%
0
31.5%
Q1 - 11:12SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Hook Shot0
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:31HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
69.9%
0
30.1%
Q1 - 11:41HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Aldridge 6' Turnaround Jump Shot0
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
69.9%
0
30.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.88 43.8%
HOU
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
26
58%
HOU
13
28
46%
Midrange
SAS
16
42
38%
HOU
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
HOU
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
SAS
7
8
88%
HOU
17
26
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2050%10.0 / 20
L. Aldridge1853%9.0 / 17
T. Duncan1354%6.5 / 12
B. Diaw1045%5.0 / 11
M. Ginobili956%4.5 / 8
D. Green542%2.5 / 6
P. Mills330%1.5 / 5
T. Parker214%1.0 / 7
D. West225%1.0 / 4
J. Simmons250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2042%10.0 / 24
T. Jones1458%7.0 / 12
J. Terry12120%6.0 / 5
D. Howard1155%5.5 / 10
T. Ariza770%3.5 / 5
T. Lawson770%3.5 / 5
C. Capela638%3.0 / 8
C. Brewer433%2.0 / 6
D. Motiejunas450%2.0 / 4
P. Beverley319%1.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+16
-15
95
HOU
77
+11
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.88 43.8%
HOU
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
108.1
SAS 89.4
HOU 93.6 +4.3
Pace
94.0
97.9
SAS 84.9
HOU 106.7 +21.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.2
SAS 17.0
HOU 13.5 +3.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
51.6%
SAS 43.8%
HOU 48.0% +4.2%
TO %
13.3%
15.5%
SAS 15.7% +0.9%
HOU 16.6%
ORB %
22.9%
25.7%
SAS 29.2% +9.7%
HOU 19.5%
FTrt
24.6
35.2
SAS 9.1
HOU 35.1 +26.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
58.9%
SAS 66.7%
HOU 71.9% +5.2%
STL %
8.8%
10.2%
SAS 11.7% +3.2%
HOU 8.5%
BLK %
9.6%
9.0%
SAS 6.8% +3.9%
HOU 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
53.7%
SAS 43.8%
HOU 49.4% +5.6%
Rim FG%
62.8%
58.5%
SAS 57.7% +11.3%
HOU 46.4%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.9%
SAS 38.1%
HOU 38.7% +0.6%
3P %
37.5%
34.7%
SAS 25.0%
HOU 46.7% +21.7%
FT %
80.3%
69.5%
SAS 87.5% +22.1%
HOU 65.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
40.0%
SAS 29.5%
HOU 37.8% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
23.0%
SAS 47.7%
HOU 41.9% +5.8%
3P Att. %
22.3%
37.0%
SAS 22.7% +2.5%
HOU 20.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes26.621.1
Points8488
Rebounds4742
Assists2423
Steals118
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)34 (2)
Field Goals36-8832-74
At-the-Rim FG15-2613-28
Midrange FG16-4212-31
2-Point FG31-6825-59
3-Point FG5-207-15
Free Throws7-817-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
39.0
20
50%
8
4
5
3
1
4
4
4
2-2
100%
6-14
43%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 260 · 30
35.5
18
53%
9
2
0
0
1
3
5
4
0-0
-
9-17
53%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 40
32.0
13
54%
11
3
0
0
3
4
2
9
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
29.0
2
14%
2
3
1
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
22.4
5
42%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 38
25.6
9
56%
6
3
1
0
3
3
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
19.0
3
30%
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
16.0
10
45%
0
2
1
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
12.5
2
25%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 195 · 26
9.0
2
50%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
C · 7'3" 290 · 27
#18 · F · 6'7" 215 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
44%
47
24
11
4
15
0
14
33
7-8
88%
31-68
46%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.