FinalWin Prob.pScore
1447%103
93
1653%104
92
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.18686.2
MIA logo MIA
108.28584.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound93
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot93
97.9%
92
2.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)93
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 293
96.1%
92
3.9%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)93
98.6%
92
1.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot93
92.6%
92
7.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)93
59.0%
92
41.0%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
67.9%
92
32.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
77.7%
92
22.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper93
72.3%
92
27.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0DETCaldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)93
56.3%
92
43.7%
Q4 - 1:18MIAWhiteside Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)91
42.8%
92
57.2%
Q4 - 1:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
54.6%
90
45.4%
Q4 - 1:26DETMISS Marc Morris 2' Driving Layup91
59.3%
90
40.7%
Q4 - 1:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
67.4%
90
32.6%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 291
69.6%
89
30.4%
Q4 - 2:01DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)91
65.6%
89
34.4%
Q4 - 2:07DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
46.3%
89
53.7%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup88
41.7%
89
58.3%
Q4 - 2:16MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
31.7%
89
68.3%
Q4 - 2:17DETGreen BLOCK (3 BLK)88
36.1%
89
63.9%
Q4 - 2:23DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
46.9%
89
53.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot88
42.1%
89
57.9%
Q4 - 2:43DETCaldwell-Pope 12' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)88
31.7%
89
68.3%
Q4 - 3:07MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)86
27.0%
89
73.0%
Q4 - 3:15MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
32.6%
87
67.4%
Q4 - 3:16DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
36.7%
87
63.3%
Q4 - 3:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
45.0%
87
55.0%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
42.0%
87
58.0%
Q4 - 3:56MIAHEAT Rebound86
35.2%
87
64.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot86
41.8%
87
58.2%
Q4 - 4:21DETJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
34.9%
87
65.1%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)83
20.6%
87
79.4%
Q4 - 4:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)83
14.7%
87
85.3%
Q4 - 4:42DETGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)83
16.3%
87
83.7%
Q4 - 4:50MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)83
20.6%
87
79.4%
Q4 - 4:50MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)83
21.8%
86
78.2%
Q4 - 5:11MIAHEAT Rebound83
29.1%
85
70.9%
Q4 - 5:12DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot83
31.4%
85
68.6%
Q4 - 5:19DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
36.9%
85
63.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper83
34.4%
85
65.6%
Q4 - 5:45DETDrummond 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)83
29.0%
85
71.0%
Q4 - 6:06DETPistons Rebound81
25.4%
85
74.6%
Q4 - 6:07DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot81
21.1%
85
78.9%
Q4 - 6:24DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
25.3%
85
74.7%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
23.3%
85
76.7%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
19.3%
85
80.7%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
21.0%
85
79.0%
Q4 - 7:00MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
25.1%
85
74.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
26.7%
84
73.3%
Q4 - 7:15DETBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
32.0%
83
68.0%
Q4 - 7:33MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)78
21.7%
83
78.3%
Q4 - 7:54DETTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)78
26.2%
81
73.8%
Q4 - 8:03DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
18.8%
81
81.2%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Green 20' Jump Shot75
17.7%
81
82.3%
Q4 - 8:13MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
15.3%
81
84.7%
Q4 - 8:14DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q4 - 8:31MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
18.7%
81
81.3%
Q4 - 8:54DETBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)75
23.0%
79
77.0%
Q4 - 9:12MIARichardson 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)72
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q4 - 9:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q4 - 9:26DETMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
21.4%
77
78.6%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWhiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)72
24.4%
77
75.6%
Q4 - 10:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
29.8%
75
70.2%
Q4 - 10:12DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot72
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q4 - 10:28DETPistons Rebound72
35.0%
75
65.0%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup72
33.4%
75
66.6%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)72
29.7%
75
70.3%
Q4 - 10:39DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 7' Jump Bank Shot72
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q4 - 10:52DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
35.0%
75
65.0%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot72
33.3%
75
66.7%
Q4 - 10:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)72
29.7%
75
70.3%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
33.3%
75
66.7%
Q4 - 11:02MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
30.4%
75
69.6%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Green 12' Jump Shot72
33.8%
75
66.2%
Q4 - 11:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)72
30.4%
75
69.6%
Q4 - 11:20DETMISS Baynes 6' Turnaround Hook Shot72
31.8%
75
68.2%
Q4 - 11:38DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
35.3%
75
64.7%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot72
33.8%
75
66.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
30.3%
75
69.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
30.3%
75
69.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
34.4%
75
65.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0DETDrummond 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)72
31.2%
75
68.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIABosh 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)70
27.0%
75
73.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0DETMarc Morris Traveling Turnover (P5.T16)70
31.2%
73
68.8%
Q3 - 1:12MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Green 1 AST)70
36.4%
73
63.6%
Q3 - 1:21MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
45.6%
70
54.4%
Q3 - 1:22DETMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
47.2%
70
52.8%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWinslow Running Dunk (2 PTS)70
50.7%
70
49.3%
Q3 - 1:52DETWinslow STEAL (3 STL)70
55.4%
68
44.6%
Q3 - 2:11MIABosh 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)70
59.4%
68
40.6%
Q3 - 2:21DETDrummond 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T14)70
63.5%
66
36.5%
Q3 - 2:30DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
68.0%
66
32.0%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot70
66.6%
66
33.4%
Q3 - 2:58DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
63.6%
66
36.4%
Q3 - 2:58DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 1 of 269
62.5%
66
37.5%
Q3 - 3:09DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
63.3%
66
36.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
62.0%
66
38.0%
Q3 - 3:36DETIlyasova 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)69
58.7%
66
41.3%
Q3 - 3:44DETJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
54.7%
66
45.3%
Q3 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup67
53.2%
66
46.8%
Q3 - 3:49MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
49.9%
66
50.1%
Q3 - 3:50DETWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)67
51.4%
66
48.6%
Q3 - 3:53DETJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
54.7%
66
45.3%
Q3 - 3:54DETMISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot67
51.4%
66
48.6%
Q3 - 4:03DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)67
54.4%
66
45.6%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
52.9%
66
47.1%
Q3 - 4:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
49.4%
66
50.6%
Q3 - 4:12DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
50.9%
66
49.1%
Q3 - 4:20DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)67
54.4%
66
45.6%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot67
52.9%
66
47.1%
Q3 - 4:44DETJackson 5' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
49.5%
66
50.5%
Q3 - 4:58MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
45.9%
66
54.1%
Q3 - 5:19DETDrummond Driving Dunk (7 PTS)65
49.3%
64
50.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
45.6%
64
54.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
46.4%
63
53.6%
Q3 - 5:55DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
49.3%
62
50.7%
Q3 - 5:55DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)62
48.4%
62
51.6%
Q3 - 6:20MIAUdrih 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)61
45.6%
62
54.4%
Q3 - 6:25DETDeng STEAL (5 STL)61
49.1%
60
50.9%
Q3 - 6:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)61
53.5%
60
46.5%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
52.1%
60
47.9%
Q3 - 6:59DETMarc Morris 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)61
49.1%
60
50.9%
Q3 - 7:15MIAWade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
45.4%
60
54.6%
Q3 - 7:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
48.7%
58
51.3%
Q3 - 7:34DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 259
49.3%
58
50.7%
Q3 - 7:34DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
50.6%
58
49.4%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWhiteside Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)58
49.2%
58
50.8%
Q3 - 8:16DETIlyasova 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)58
52.5%
56
47.5%
Q3 - 8:17DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)56
49.3%
56
50.7%
Q3 - 8:18DETMISS Drummond Tip Layup Shot56
46.3%
56
53.7%
Q3 - 8:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
49.3%
56
50.7%
Q3 - 8:20DETMISS Ilyasova 4' Jump Shot56
46.3%
56
53.7%
Q3 - 8:21DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
49.3%
56
50.7%
Q3 - 8:22DETMISS Drummond Dunk56
46.3%
56
53.7%
Q3 - 8:28DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
49.2%
56
50.8%
Q3 - 8:29DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
46.3%
56
53.7%
Q3 - 8:36DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
49.2%
56
50.8%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot56
48.0%
56
52.0%
Q3 - 9:00DETMarc Morris Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)56
45.0%
56
55.0%
Q3 - 9:15MIAUdrih 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)56
48.7%
56
51.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)56
52.2%
54
47.8%
Q3 - 9:28DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 10' Jump Shot56
53.4%
54
46.6%
Q3 - 9:48DETPistons Rebound56
56.0%
54
44.0%
Q3 - 9:49DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot56
53.4%
54
46.6%
Q3 - 10:06MIAUdrih 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q3 - 10:28DETCaldwell-Pope 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marc Morris 3 AST)56
59.0%
52
41.0%
Q3 - 10:38DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
55.7%
52
44.3%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot54
54.6%
52
45.4%
Q3 - 10:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q3 - 10:48DETMISS Drummond 12' Turnaround Hook Shot54
53.2%
52
46.8%
Q3 - 11:08DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
55.6%
52
44.4%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup54
54.5%
52
45.5%
Q3 - 11:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)54
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot54
54.5%
52
45.5%
Q3 - 11:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q3 - 11:41DETWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)54
53.1%
52
46.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
55.6%
52
44.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETJackson 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)54
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
48.2%
52
51.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
47.5%
52
52.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETMarc Morris 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)52
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)50
41.8%
52
58.2%
Q2 - 1:00DETMarc Morris 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (3 PTS)50
39.5%
52
60.5%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWhiteside 1' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)48
35.7%
52
64.3%
Q2 - 1:40DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
40.1%
50
59.9%
Q2 - 1:40DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
38.5%
50
61.5%
Q2 - 1:51DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
35.7%
50
64.3%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
35.3%
50
64.7%
Q2 - 2:14DETJackson 4' Driving Bank Shot (11 PTS)46
33.9%
50
66.1%
Q2 - 2:25DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
31.1%
50
68.9%
Q2 - 2:26DETMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot44
29.4%
50
70.6%
Q2 - 2:33DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
31.1%
50
68.9%
Q2 - 2:35DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
29.4%
50
70.6%
Q2 - 2:41DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
31.0%
50
69.0%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot44
30.3%
50
69.7%
Q2 - 3:00DETJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)44
28.7%
50
71.3%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
31.9%
50
68.1%
Q2 - 3:36DETDrummond 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
34.0%
48
66.0%
Q2 - 3:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
31.9%
48
68.1%
Q2 - 3:40DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q2 - 3:47DETJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
31.8%
48
68.2%
Q2 - 3:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
31.8%
48
68.2%
Q2 - 3:48DETMISS Drummond Dunk42
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q2 - 3:50DETMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q2 - 4:09MIADeng 1' Running Layup (7 PTS)42
32.1%
48
67.9%
Q2 - 4:14MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 4:15DETWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)42
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q2 - 4:26DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
37.3%
46
62.7%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
36.4%
46
63.6%
Q2 - 4:49DETJohnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 5:03MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)40
32.5%
46
67.5%
Q2 - 5:14MIAHEAT Rebound40
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot40
36.7%
44
63.3%
Q2 - 5:30DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q2 - 5:46MIAGreen 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 6:07DETJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)37
32.6%
42
67.4%
Q2 - 6:34MIABosh Driving Dunk (9 PTS)34
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 6:48MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
30.2%
40
69.8%
Q2 - 6:49DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q2 - 7:10DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
33.4%
40
66.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot34
32.6%
40
67.4%
Q2 - 7:39DETJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)34
30.9%
40
69.1%
Q2 - 7:49DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 8:05DETBlake 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)31
25.0%
40
75.0%
Q2 - 8:24MIAJump Ball Richardson vs. Drummond: Tip to Blake28
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup28
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 8:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
19.7%
40
80.3%
Q2 - 8:37DETMISS Johnson 3' Layup28
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 8:56DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
21.4%
40
78.6%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Bosh 5' Driving Layup28
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 9:14DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)28
20.0%
40
80.0%
Q2 - 9:28DETBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot25
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 9:35DETWinslow STEAL (2 STL)25
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 9:54DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 9:55MIAMISS Haslem 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 10:10DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 10:16DETBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 10:17DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 10:44MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)22
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 10:46MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Bosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot22
17.0%
37
83.0%
Q2 - 11:03DETBlake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)22
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 11:23MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)19
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 11:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 11:45DETMISS Baynes Free Throw 2 of 219
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q2 - 11:45DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
17.4%
34
82.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET18
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound18
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)18
15.4%
34
84.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)18
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)18
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIADeng Running Dunk (5 PTS)15
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETDeng STEAL (4 STL)15
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q1 - 1:18MIAUdrih 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)15
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q1 - 1:37MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q1 - 1:38DETMISS Baynes 7' Jump Bank Shot15
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 1:53DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot15
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q1 - 2:00DETDeng STEAL (3 STL)15
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q1 - 2:14MIABosh Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)15
23.2%
27
76.8%
Q1 - 2:26DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q1 - 2:26DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 1 of 214
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q1 - 2:42MIADeng 8' Hook Shot (3 PTS)14
24.9%
25
75.1%
Q1 - 3:05DETJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)14
27.1%
23
72.9%
Q1 - 3:18MIAUdrih 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 3:29DETMarc Morris Foul Turnover (P2.T7)11
25.4%
21
74.6%
Q1 - 3:45MIAWade 2' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)11
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 3:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Whiteside 14' Jump Shot11
30.3%
19
69.7%
Q1 - 4:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
28.9%
19
71.1%
Q1 - 4:01DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 13' Jump Shot11
29.7%
19
70.3%
Q1 - 4:14DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
31.2%
19
68.8%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot11
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 4:30DETJackson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)11
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 4:38MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)9
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)9
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot9
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q1 - 4:58DETWade STEAL (1 STL)9
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 5:10MIADeng Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)9
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)9
26.5%
19
73.5%
Q1 - 5:22DETMISS Marc Morris 19' Jump Shot9
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 5:33DETWinslow STEAL (1 STL)9
26.4%
19
73.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAUdrih 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
29.7%
17
70.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup9
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 6:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)9
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Deng 3' Reverse Layup9
31.6%
17
68.4%
Q1 - 6:12DETDeng STEAL (2 STL)9
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 6:31MIAWhiteside Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)9
32.2%
17
67.8%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot9
35.1%
15
64.9%
Q1 - 6:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
35.1%
15
64.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup9
35.1%
15
64.9%
Q1 - 6:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 6:48DETMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot9
34.3%
15
65.7%
Q1 - 6:58DETPistons Rebound9
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 6:59DETWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)9
34.3%
15
65.7%
Q1 - 7:14MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 29
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 7:16DETDeng STEAL (1 STL)9
35.7%
14
64.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)9
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 7:43DETJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)9
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 7:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 7:48MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 8:06DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)9
39.6%
12
60.4%
Q1 - 8:26MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
36.2%
12
63.8%
Q1 - 8:43DETJackson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
36.4%
10
63.6%
Q1 - 9:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 9:14DETMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot4
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 9:32MIAUdrih 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 9:54DETIlyasova 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 9:55DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
39.9%
6
60.1%
Q1 - 9:56DETMISS Marc Morris 14' Jump Shot2
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)2
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)2
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 10:32DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 10:41DETPistons Rebound2
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup2
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 10:55DETJackson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 11:18MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)0
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 11:27DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 11:44MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Drummond: Tip to Udrih0
45.2%
0
54.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.08 54.1%
MIA
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
11
25
44%
MIA
18
30
60%
Midrange
DET
9
23
39%
MIA
17
40
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
15
22.5
30
50%
75%
MIA
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
Free Throws
DET
8
14
57%
MIA
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson1856%9.0 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope1450%7.0 / 14
S. Johnson1470%7.0 / 10
S. Blake12120%6.0 / 5
A. Drummond1137%5.5 / 15
A. Tolliver990%4.5 / 5
M. Morris844%4.0 / 9
E. Ilyasova643%3.0 / 7
A. Baynes113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2048%10.0 / 21
D. Wade1941%9.5 / 23
H. Whiteside1657%8.0 / 14
B. Udrih1464%7.0 / 11
L. Deng945%4.5 / 10
G. Green867%4.0 / 6
J. Richardson440%2.0 / 5
J. Winslow250%1.0 / 2
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
70
+16
-16
86
MIA
80
+15
-5
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.08 54.1%
MIA
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.0
DET 108.1
MIA 108.2 +0.1
Pace
95.3
93.7
DET 86.2 +1.4
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.0
DET 16.7 +0.3
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.8%
DET 54.5% +7.9%
MIA 46.6%
TO %
13.5%
14.0%
DET 16.0%
MIA 5.1% +10.9%
ORB %
27.0%
23.9%
DET 29.3% +3.1%
MIA 26.2%
FTrt
29.6
28.2
DET 17.9 +4.3
MIA 13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
54.3%
DET 45.7% +12.4%
MIA 33.3%
STL %
7.3%
7.2%
DET 3.5%
MIA 10.6% +7.1%
BLK %
5.8%
10.3%
DET 4.3%
MIA 14.6% +10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.8%
DET 54.1% +6.7%
MIA 47.4%
Rim FG%
55.8%
62.3%
DET 44.0%
MIA 60.0% +16.0%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.5%
DET 39.1%
MIA 42.5% +3.4%
3P %
34.5%
33.6%
DET 50.0% +27.8%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
66.8%
74.4%
DET 57.1%
MIA 83.3% +26.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
37.0%
DET 32.1%
MIA 34.1% +2.0%
Mid Att. %
33.7%
40.9%
DET 29.5% +16.0%
MIA 45.5%
3P Att. %
30.3%
22.1%
DET 38.5% +18.0%
MIA 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9392
Rebounds4340
Assists1613
Steals39
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)29 (1)
Field Goals35-7839-88
At-the-Rim FG11-2518-30
Midrange FG9-2317-40
2-Point FG20-4835-70
3-Point FG15-304-18
Free Throws8-1410-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 204 · 23
40.1
14
50%
1
3
0
0
1
4
1
0
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 279 · 22
34.3
11
37%
12
1
0
2
1
3
4
8
3-6
50%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
33.1
8
44%
5
3
0
0
5
1
0
5
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 208 · 26
30.8
18
56%
5
3
1
0
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-11
55%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
24.0
6
43%
8
0
1
1
2
0
4
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 31
23.9
9
90%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
F · 6'7" 245 · 20
22.9
14
70%
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
G · 6'3" 172 · 36
17.2
12
120%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-5
80%
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
13.7
1
13%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 170 · 26
C · 6'9" 245 · 33
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25
#8 · G · 6'5" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
54%
43
16
3
3
16
0
12
31
8-14
57%
20-48
42%
15-30
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.