FinalWin Prob.pScore
1057%110
108
2443%107
114
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
113.795101.2
DEN logo DEN
118.89690.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN108
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Howard 28' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)108
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)108
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)108
4.1%
112
95.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)108
4.7%
111
95.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)108
8.4%
110
91.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot108
11.9%
110
88.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)108
27.3%
110
72.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENMISS Barton 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
21.9%
110
78.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)108
18.0%
110
82.0%
Q4 - 1:05HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)106
12.5%
110
87.5%
Q4 - 1:06DENMISS Gallinari 7' Fadeaway Jumper106
10.5%
110
89.5%
Q4 - 1:24HOUHarden 1' Running Layup (22 PTS)106
9.1%
110
90.9%
Q4 - 1:27DENNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)104
6.3%
110
93.7%
Q4 - 1:35HOUTerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beverley 8 AST)104
4.1%
110
95.9%
Q4 - 1:43HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
3.0%
110
97.0%
Q4 - 1:43DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
2.6%
110
97.4%
Q4 - 2:01HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)102
2.3%
110
97.7%
Q4 - 2:06HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)99
1.1%
110
98.9%
Q4 - 2:06HOUMISS Harden 2' Running Layup99
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 2:15HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)99
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 2:16DENMISS Gallinari 17' Fadeaway Jumper99
0.9%
110
99.1%
Q4 - 2:39DENNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)99
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 2:39HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot99
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 2:47HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 2:47DENMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot99
1.0%
110
99.0%
Q4 - 3:03HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)99
0.9%
110
99.1%
Q4 - 3:07DENLauvergne Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)99
1.6%
110
98.4%
Q4 - 3:21DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)99
0.9%
110
99.1%
Q4 - 3:22HOUMISS Ariza 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
1.1%
110
98.9%
Q4 - 3:37DENHarris 2' Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Gallinari 7 AST)99
2.8%
110
97.2%
Q4 - 4:12HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)99
3.5%
108
96.5%
Q4 - 4:20DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)96
1.8%
108
98.2%
Q4 - 4:39HOUAriza 22' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)96
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 4:53HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)94
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 4:55DENLauvergne Dunk (14 PTS)93
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 4:59DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)93
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 5:00DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 5:04DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 5:05DENMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot93
1.9%
106
98.1%
Q4 - 5:26HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Beverley 7 AST)93
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 5:32DENPapanikolaou Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)90
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 5:50DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)90
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 5:51HOUMISS Howard 5' Floating Jump Shot90
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 6:02HOURockets Rebound90
1.3%
106
98.7%
Q4 - 6:03HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot90
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 6:12DENPapanikolaou 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)90
1.3%
106
98.7%
Q4 - 6:34HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
2.2%
103
97.8%
Q4 - 6:34HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 289
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 6:36DENBarton 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)89
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 6:44DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 6:45HOUHarris BLOCK (2 BLK)89
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 7:13DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)89
5.4%
101
94.6%
Q4 - 7:13DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)89
5.6%
100
94.4%
Q4 - 7:13DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
6.9%
99
93.1%
Q4 - 7:13DENMISS Foye 2' Layup89
8.4%
99
91.6%
Q4 - 7:17HOUPapanikolaou STEAL (1 STL)89
6.9%
99
93.1%
Q4 - 7:36DENJokic 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS)89
9.0%
99
91.0%
Q4 - 7:52DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
11.2%
97
88.8%
Q4 - 7:54HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
12.2%
97
87.8%
Q4 - 8:09DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q4 - 8:09DENPapanikolaou 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)89
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q4 - 8:13DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
23.5%
95
76.5%
Q4 - 8:32HOUMotiejunas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)89
20.5%
95
79.5%
Q4 - 8:55DENBarton Dunk (19 PTS)86
13.2%
95
86.8%
Q4 - 8:57DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
16.5%
93
83.5%
Q4 - 8:58DENMISS Barton 5' Floating Jump Shot86
19.1%
93
80.9%
Q4 - 9:25HOUMotiejunas 9' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Beverley 6 AST)86
18.4%
93
81.5%
Q4 - 9:51DENBarton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
15.1%
93
84.9%
Q4 - 9:57DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
22.3%
90
77.7%
Q4 - 9:57HOUMISS Motiejunas 7' Hook Shot84
23.6%
90
76.4%
Q4 - 10:17DENHarris 2' Cutting Layup Shot (19 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)84
28.4%
90
71.6%
Q4 - 10:23DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
32.9%
88
67.1%
Q4 - 10:24HOUMISS Brewer 6' Floating Jump Shot84
34.6%
88
65.4%
Q4 - 10:38HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
38.4%
88
61.6%
Q4 - 10:39DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot84
36.7%
88
63.3%
Q4 - 10:57DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
32.9%
88
67.1%
Q4 - 10:58HOUMISS Thornton 17' Jump Shot84
34.5%
88
65.5%
Q4 - 11:07HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
39.0%
88
61.0%
Q4 - 11:08DENMISS Papanikolaou 3PT Jump Shot84
37.4%
88
62.6%
Q4 - 11:27HOUThornton 2' Running Layup (13 PTS)84
33.7%
88
66.3%
Q4 - 11:33DENPapanikolaou Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)82
29.3%
88
70.7%
Q4 - 11:45HOUBarton STEAL (3 STL)82
24.8%
88
75.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN82
29.2%
88
70.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
24.8%
88
75.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUPapanikolaou BLOCK (1 BLK)82
27.8%
88
72.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENBarton Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T13)82
30.7%
88
69.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)82
26.4%
88
73.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENNelson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)80
22.6%
88
77.4%
Q3 - 1:01DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
27.8%
86
72.2%
Q3 - 1:01HOUMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q3 - 1:25DENBarton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)80
31.9%
86
68.1%
Q3 - 1:37DENNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
40.8%
83
59.2%
Q3 - 1:38HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot80
42.3%
83
57.7%
Q3 - 2:06DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
46.3%
83
53.7%
Q3 - 2:18HOUHoward Traveling Turnover (P4.T8)80
55.3%
80
44.7%
Q3 - 2:38DENGallinari 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)80
60.1%
80
39.9%
Q3 - 2:51DENNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
64.2%
78
35.8%
Q3 - 2:52HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup80
65.6%
78
34.4%
Q3 - 3:06DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)80
68.5%
78
31.5%
Q3 - 3:12DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
75.3%
75
24.7%
Q3 - 3:13HOUMISS Thornton 6' Floating Jump Shot80
76.4%
75
23.6%
Q3 - 3:34DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
78.8%
75
21.2%
Q3 - 3:34DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
79.4%
74
20.6%
Q3 - 3:52HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)80
81.4%
73
18.6%
Q3 - 4:07DENHarris 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Gallinari 6 AST)77
75.1%
73
24.9%
Q3 - 4:10HOUGallinari STEAL (2 STL)77
77.7%
71
22.3%
Q3 - 4:32DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
81.0%
71
19.0%
Q3 - 4:32DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
81.4%
70
18.6%
Q3 - 4:37DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
83.1%
69
16.9%
Q3 - 4:38HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot77
84.0%
69
16.0%
Q3 - 4:53DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
85.8%
69
14.2%
Q3 - 4:53DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 277
86.0%
68
14.0%
Q3 - 5:11HOUHarden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)77
84.7%
68
15.3%
Q3 - 5:33DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
80.2%
68
19.8%
Q3 - 5:33DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
80.5%
67
19.5%
Q3 - 5:36DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
82.4%
66
17.6%
Q3 - 5:37HOUMISS Motiejunas 11' Hook Shot74
83.2%
66
16.8%
Q3 - 5:57DENNelson 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS)74
84.9%
66
15.1%
Q3 - 6:01DENNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
86.0%
64
14.0%
Q3 - 6:04DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
87.4%
64
12.6%
Q3 - 6:28HOUMotiejunas 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS)74
86.1%
64
13.9%
Q3 - 6:49HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
84.3%
64
15.7%
Q3 - 6:50DENMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
83.6%
64
16.4%
Q3 - 7:09DENNUGGETS Rebound72
81.1%
64
18.9%
Q3 - 7:09HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
81.9%
64
18.1%
Q3 - 7:25DENHarris 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)72
83.6%
64
16.4%
Q3 - 7:42DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
85.4%
62
14.6%
Q3 - 7:44HOUMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot72
86.0%
62
14.0%
Q3 - 8:06DENGallinari Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)72
87.1%
62
12.9%
Q3 - 8:19HOUMotiejunas 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Beverley 5 AST)72
85.1%
62
14.9%
Q3 - 8:43DENLauvergne 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)70
83.4%
62
16.6%
Q3 - 9:07HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)70
84.6%
60
15.4%
Q3 - 9:14DENFaried 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Gallinari 5 AST)67
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 9:29HOUBeverley 1' Layup (11 PTS)67
82.6%
58
17.4%
Q3 - 9:34DENLauvergne Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)65
80.5%
58
19.5%
Q3 - 9:54HOUBeverley 21' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
78.1%
58
21.9%
Q3 - 10:18DENLauvergne Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Gallinari 4 AST)63
75.4%
58
24.6%
Q3 - 10:37HOUMotiejunas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beverley 4 AST)63
77.7%
56
22.3%
Q3 - 10:46HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
72.7%
56
27.3%
Q3 - 10:47DENMISS Lauvergne 1' Driving Reverse Layup60
71.8%
56
28.2%
Q3 - 11:12HOUAriza 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)60
69.8%
56
30.2%
Q3 - 11:27DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
67.0%
56
33.0%
Q3 - 11:27DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
67.4%
55
32.6%
Q3 - 11:27DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
69.8%
54
30.2%
Q3 - 11:28DENMISS Lauvergne 6' Hook Shot58
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q3 - 11:33DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
69.8%
54
30.2%
Q3 - 11:34DENMISS Nelson 1' Layup58
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN58
69.7%
54
30.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound58
69.7%
54
30.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Barton 63' 3PT Jump Shot58
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
69.7%
54
30.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Harden 17' Jump Shot58
70.7%
54
29.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
71.9%
54
28.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMISS Faried 4' Floating Jump Shot58
71.3%
54
28.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
70.0%
54
30.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
70.6%
54
29.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0DENGallinari 2' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)58
72.0%
54
28.0%
Q2 - 1:03HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)58
75.1%
52
24.9%
Q2 - 1:11HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
68.7%
52
31.3%
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Barton 4' Driving Reverse Layup55
68.3%
52
31.7%
Q2 - 1:35HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)55
67.3%
52
32.7%
Q2 - 1:52DENFaried 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS)52
60.1%
52
39.9%
Q2 - 1:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)52
64.5%
50
35.5%
Q2 - 1:57DENMISS Nelson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup52
65.5%
50
34.5%
Q2 - 2:07HOUHoward 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)52
63.6%
50
36.4%
Q2 - 2:13HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
60.7%
50
39.3%
Q2 - 2:15HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
58.7%
50
41.3%
Q2 - 2:21DENHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)50
60.7%
50
39.3%
Q2 - 2:45HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)50
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q2 - 2:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
51.6%
50
48.4%
Q2 - 2:52DENMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot47
50.7%
50
49.3%
Q2 - 3:00DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)47
48.8%
50
51.2%
Q2 - 3:01DENMISS Nelson 11' Fadeaway Jumper47
51.4%
50
48.6%
Q2 - 3:12DENGallinari Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)47
49.0%
50
51.0%
Q2 - 3:29HOUHarden 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)47
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q2 - 3:37HOURockets Rebound44
46.5%
49
53.5%
Q2 - 3:38HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot44
44.1%
49
55.9%
Q2 - 3:55DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)44
46.5%
49
53.5%
Q2 - 4:08HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q2 - 4:08HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
43.0%
49
57.0%
Q2 - 4:29DENFaried 2' Layup (7 PTS)42
41.2%
49
58.8%
Q2 - 4:32DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
43.9%
47
56.1%
Q2 - 4:33DENMISS Gallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
46.0%
47
54.0%
Q2 - 4:39DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
43.9%
47
56.1%
Q2 - 4:39HOUMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot42
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q2 - 4:48HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
46.9%
47
53.1%
Q2 - 4:50HOUFaried BLOCK (2 BLK)42
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q2 - 4:55HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
46.9%
47
53.1%
Q2 - 4:56DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot42
45.9%
47
54.1%
Q2 - 5:01DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
44.5%
47
55.5%
Q2 - 5:01DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
46.6%
47
53.4%
Q2 - 5:26HOUBeverley 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)42
44.5%
47
55.5%
Q2 - 5:31DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)40
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q2 - 5:45DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
39.0%
47
61.0%
Q2 - 5:46HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 240
39.4%
47
60.6%
Q2 - 5:46HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 240
41.4%
47
58.6%
Q2 - 6:00DENLauvergne 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)40
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q2 - 6:17HOUMotiejunas 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS)40
44.8%
45
55.2%
Q2 - 6:18HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
42.9%
45
57.1%
Q2 - 6:20HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup38
40.6%
45
59.4%
Q2 - 6:28HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
42.9%
45
57.1%
Q2 - 6:28DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
41.8%
45
58.2%
Q2 - 6:39HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
39.6%
45
60.4%
Q2 - 6:56DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
37.6%
45
62.4%
Q2 - 7:18DENNUGGETS Rebound36
43.1%
42
56.9%
Q2 - 7:19HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q2 - 7:27DENMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)36
45.9%
42
54.1%
Q2 - 7:31DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
50.9%
39
49.1%
Q2 - 7:32HOUMISS Beverley 2' Layup36
51.7%
39
48.3%
Q2 - 7:40HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
53.7%
39
46.3%
Q2 - 7:41DENMISS Lauvergne 3' Reverse Layup36
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 7:55HOUThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
50.8%
39
49.2%
Q2 - 7:55HOUThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
50.4%
39
49.6%
Q2 - 7:58DENJokic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)34
48.5%
39
51.5%
Q2 - 8:12HOUHoward Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)34
46.0%
39
54.0%
Q2 - 8:30DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 8:30DENMISS Foye Free Throw 1 of 232
43.9%
38
56.1%
Q2 - 8:35DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
43.4%
38
56.6%
Q2 - 8:35HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
44.2%
38
55.8%
Q2 - 8:49HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
46.1%
38
53.9%
Q2 - 8:50DENMISS Barton 15' Fadeaway Jumper32
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 9:06HOUThornton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)32
43.8%
38
56.2%
Q2 - 9:27DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
39.3%
38
60.7%
Q2 - 9:37HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 9:37HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
36.0%
38
64.0%
Q2 - 9:40HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
34.6%
38
65.4%
Q2 - 9:41DENMISS Barton 2' Running Layup27
33.8%
38
66.2%
Q2 - 9:49DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
32.0%
38
68.0%
Q2 - 9:50HOUMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 10:04DENBarton 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)27
34.8%
38
65.2%
Q2 - 10:26HOUThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)27
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 10:35HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.6%
36
67.4%
Q2 - 10:37DENMISS Barton 18' Turnaround Jump Shot24
31.8%
36
68.2%
Q2 - 11:02HOUHoward 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)24
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 11:12DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 11:32DENNUGGETS Rebound22
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 11:33DENMISS Papanikolaou 2' Driving Reverse Layup22
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 11:45DENNUGGETS Rebound22
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 11:46DENMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN22
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOULawson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
27.7%
36
72.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENBarton 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
25.3%
36
74.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUBarton STEAL (2 STL)20
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMISS Barton 15' Jump Shot20
28.6%
34
71.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T5)20
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0HOURockets Rebound20
29.0%
34
71.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot20
28.6%
34
71.4%
Q1 - 1:00HOUBarton STEAL (1 STL)20
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q1 - 1:14DENBarton 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)20
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q1 - 1:20DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q1 - 1:22HOUMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
32.5%
32
67.5%
Q1 - 1:30DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
33.5%
32
66.5%
Q1 - 1:46HOUBrewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Motiejunas 2 AST)20
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 1:59DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q1 - 2:08DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
38.6%
26
61.4%
Q1 - 2:09HOUMISS Motiejunas 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q1 - 2:21DENHarris 1' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)17
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q1 - 2:35DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
43.0%
24
57.0%
Q1 - 2:35HOUMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot17
43.6%
24
56.4%
Q1 - 2:47DENJokic 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)17
45.1%
24
54.9%
Q1 - 3:03HOUThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)17
47.9%
22
52.1%
Q1 - 3:24DENGallinari 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)14
43.7%
22
56.3%
Q1 - 3:29DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q1 - 3:31HOUMISS Motiejunas 8' Jump Shot14
46.4%
20
53.6%
Q1 - 3:46DENHarris Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)14
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 3:57HOUJokic STEAL (1 STL)14
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 4:07DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)14
52.8%
18
47.2%
Q1 - 4:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
54.6%
16
45.4%
Q1 - 4:10DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
56.3%
16
43.7%
Q1 - 4:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
54.6%
16
45.4%
Q1 - 4:21HOUMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 4:34DENFaried 2' Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)14
57.1%
16
42.9%
Q1 - 4:52HOUMotiejunas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)14
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 4:56HOURockets Rebound11
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 4:57HOUMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot11
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 5:13DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 5:13DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
55.4%
13
44.6%
Q1 - 5:30DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
56.9%
12
43.1%
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS Lauvergne 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
58.4%
12
41.6%
Q1 - 5:39DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
56.9%
12
43.1%
Q1 - 5:39HOUMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot11
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 5:50DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T4)11
59.1%
12
40.9%
Q1 - 6:05DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
57.0%
12
43.0%
Q1 - 6:06HOUMISS Harden 14' Fadeaway Jumper11
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 6:25DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
59.1%
12
40.9%
Q1 - 6:25DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 211
59.7%
11
40.3%
Q1 - 6:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
59.0%
11
41.0%
Q1 - 6:28DENMISS Nelson 21' Step Back Jump Shot11
60.4%
11
39.6%
Q1 - 6:42HOUHoward Dunk (4 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)11
59.0%
11
41.0%
Q1 - 6:58DENHarris 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lauvergne 1 AST)9
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q1 - 7:11HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)9
59.0%
9
41.0%
Q1 - 7:26DENNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)7
57.5%
9
42.5%
Q1 - 7:39HOUBeverley 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)7
60.9%
6
39.1%
Q1 - 7:45DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
59.4%
6
40.6%
Q1 - 7:59HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)5
57.1%
6
42.9%
Q1 - 8:15DENLauvergne Dunk (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)3
56.0%
6
44.0%
Q1 - 8:27DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 8:28HOUMISS Howard 6' Hook Bank Shot3
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 8:49DENLauvergne 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)3
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 9:01HOUHarris STEAL (1 STL)3
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 9:03HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 9:04DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 9:24DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 9:26HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 9:32HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 9:34DENMISS Faried Alley Oop Dunk3
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 9:39HOUGallinari STEAL (1 STL)3
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 10:01DENLauvergne 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)3
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 10:08DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 10:10HOUHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)3
65.3%
0
34.7%
Q1 - 10:29DENHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)3
66.6%
0
33.4%
Q1 - 10:50HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 11:03DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:21DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.7%
0
40.3%
Q1 - 11:23HOUFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 11:33HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:34HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Lauvergne vs. Howard: Tip to Jones0
61.3%
0
38.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.17 58.7%
DEN
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
16
25
64%
DEN
31
42
74%
Midrange
HOU
7
22
32%
DEN
3
15
20%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
18
27.0
40
45%
68%
DEN
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
HOU
8
11
73%
DEN
22
25
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2457%12.0 / 21
D. Motiejunas1979%9.5 / 12
T. Ariza1667%8.0 / 12
P. Beverley1464%7.0 / 11
D. Howard1359%6.5 / 11
M. Thornton1372%6.5 / 9
C. Brewer550%2.5 / 5
T. Lawson220%1.0 / 5
J. Terry233%1.0 / 3
T. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Barton2357%11.5 / 20
G. Harris2181%10.5 / 13
D. Gallinari1568%7.5 / 11
J. Lauvergne1464%7.0 / 11
K. Faried1161%5.5 / 9
J. Nelson1038%5.0 / 13
N. Jokić9113%4.5 / 4
K. Papanikolaou563%2.5 / 4
R. Foye330%1.5 / 5
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
84
+8
-11
92
DEN
78
+18
-18
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.17 58.7%
DEN
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.2
HOU 113.7
DEN 118.8 +5.1
Pace
97.9
95.3
HOU 101.2 +10.7
DEN 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.9
HOU 14.2 +1.7
DEN 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
48.9%
HOU 57.5% +1.4%
DEN 56.1%
TO %
15.5%
14.8%
HOU 10.7% +5.5%
DEN 16.2%
ORB %
25.7%
25.8%
HOU 11.9%
DEN 41.7% +29.8%
FTrt
35.2
28.2
HOU 12.6
DEN 30.5 +17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.9%
60.1%
HOU 63.4% +1.5%
DEN 61.9%
STL %
10.2%
7.7%
HOU 14.7% +6.4%
DEN 8.3%
BLK %
9.0%
8.1%
HOU 1.8%
DEN 10.6% +8.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
51.7%
HOU 58.7%
DEN 58.8% +0.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
54.8%
HOU 64.0%
DEN 73.8% +9.8%
Mid FG%
38.9%
38.8%
HOU 31.8% +11.8%
DEN 20.0%
3P %
34.7%
33.8%
HOU 45.0% +13.0%
DEN 32.0%
FT %
69.5%
76.6%
HOU 72.7%
DEN 88.0% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
42.5%
HOU 28.7%
DEN 51.2% +22.5%
Mid Att. %
23.0%
29.8%
HOU 25.3%
DEN 18.3% +7.0%
3P Att. %
37.0%
27.7%
HOU 46.0% +15.5%
DEN 30.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points108114
Rebounds2652
Assists2626
Steals148
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals41-8742-82
At-the-Rim FG16-2531-42
Midrange FG7-223-15
2-Point FG23-4734-57
3-Point FG18-408-25
Free Throws8-1122-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
42.1
16
67%
5
4
3
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
34.4
24
57%
3
6
3
0
2
1
1
2
1-3
33%
4-12
33%
5-8
63%
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
34.0
14
64%
1
8
0
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
32.7
13
59%
8
0
4
1
4
4
1
7
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 252 · 24
12.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
21.8
19
79%
2
2
0
0
1
5
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
3-4
75%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29
20.8
13
72%
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 186 · 30
16.0
5
50%
1
1
2
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 28
13.0
2
20%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
12.7
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 256 · 22
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
#35 · F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · F · 6'9" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
59%
26
26
14
1
11
0
5
21
8-11
73%
23-47
49%
18-40
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.