FinalWin Prob.pScore
2033%99
100
967%105
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.59382.4
ATL logo ATL
91.796110.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL100
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLMillsap Putback Layup (18 PTS)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Schroder 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Horford 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)97
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 1:19ATLBazemore Foul Turnover (P2.T13)95
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 1:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Green 2' Driving Layup95
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 1:36ATLBazemore 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Schroder 7 AST)95
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 1:42MIASchroder STEAL (4 STL)95
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 1:58ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)95
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 2:10MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T16)95
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 2:28ATLBazemore 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)95
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:43MIAGreen 19' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06ATLBazemore 1' Cutting Layup Shot (22 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)93
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 3:20MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 3:37ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 3:43ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Bosh 22' Fadeaway Jumper90
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 4:10ATLMillsap Cutting Dunk Shot (16 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)90
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 4:24MIABosh Running Dunk (19 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)90
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 4:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 4:29ATLMISS Teague 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot88
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 4:46MIAGreen 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)88
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 4:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 5:01ATLMISS Schroder 22' Pullup Jump Shot86
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 5:10ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
96.4%
74
3.6%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot86
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 5:23ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T12)86
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 5:30ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup86
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 5:54MIAHeat Rebound86
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 5:54ATLMISS Bazemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 6:10ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
94.8%
74
5.2%
Q4 - 6:13ATLMISS Bazemore 3' Running Layup86
95.9%
74
4.1%
Q4 - 6:19ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)86
94.9%
74
5.1%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot86
95.4%
74
4.6%
Q4 - 6:40ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q4 - 6:40ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
96.6%
73
3.4%
Q4 - 6:49MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)86
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 7:14ATLMillsap Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)83
93.4%
72
6.6%
Q4 - 7:23ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
95.2%
70
4.8%
Q4 - 7:50ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q4 - 7:50ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
96.4%
69
3.6%
Q4 - 7:58MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)83
97.0%
68
3.0%
Q4 - 8:22ATLHorford Running Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)81
94.8%
68
5.2%
Q4 - 8:27MIAHorford STEAL (2 STL)81
96.0%
66
4.0%
Q4 - 8:42ATLHorford Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T11)81
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q4 - 8:58MIAGreen 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)81
96.0%
66
4.0%
Q4 - 9:14ATLBazemore Running Layup (18 PTS)79
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q4 - 9:21ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
94.8%
64
5.2%
Q4 - 9:23MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
95.9%
64
4.1%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Dragic Tip Layup Shot79
95.2%
64
4.8%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot79
95.2%
64
4.8%
Q4 - 9:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
95.9%
64
4.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot79
95.2%
64
4.8%
Q4 - 9:52ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)79
96.0%
64
4.0%
Q4 - 10:00ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot79
96.9%
61
3.1%
Q4 - 10:09MIAHeat Rebound79
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMISS Green 16' Jump Shot79
97.0%
61
3.0%
Q4 - 10:25ATLSefolosha Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)79
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q4 - 10:40MIAGreen 12' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
96.8%
61
3.2%
Q4 - 10:50MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
96.0%
61
4.0%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper77
95.4%
61
4.6%
Q4 - 11:16ATLSefolosha Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T9)77
95.2%
61
4.8%
Q4 - 11:30MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)77
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q4 - 11:39ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
90.7%
61
9.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL74
89.3%
61
10.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIASchroder STEAL (3 STL)74
89.3%
61
10.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
89.7%
61
10.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Dragic 18' Step Back Jump Shot74
88.3%
61
11.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
89.2%
61
10.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIADragic 2' Running Layup (12 PTS)74
87.8%
61
12.2%
Q3 - 1:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
83.7%
61
16.3%
Q3 - 1:03ATLMISS Splitter Hook Shot72
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 1:21MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T13)72
80.8%
61
19.2%
Q3 - 1:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)72
83.8%
61
16.2%
Q3 - 1:29ATLMISS Schroder 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot72
82.9%
61
17.1%
Q3 - 1:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)72
80.9%
61
19.1%
Q3 - 1:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)71
80.1%
61
19.9%
Q3 - 1:40ATLSchroder Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)70
77.8%
61
22.2%
Q3 - 1:47ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
74.1%
61
25.9%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Udrih 15' Pullup Jump Shot70
75.2%
61
24.8%
Q3 - 2:06ATLBazemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)70
75.3%
61
24.7%
Q3 - 2:15MIAUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
81.4%
58
18.6%
Q3 - 2:15MIAUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
81.0%
58
19.0%
Q3 - 2:30ATLBazemore 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)68
78.8%
58
21.2%
Q3 - 2:43MIAUdrih 17' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
81.6%
56
18.4%
Q3 - 2:52ATLTeague Driving Layup (7 PTS)66
78.8%
56
21.2%
Q3 - 3:11MIAGreen 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)66
80.1%
54
19.9%
Q3 - 3:27ATLSplitter 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)64
77.4%
54
22.6%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWinslow Foul Turnover (P3.T12)64
80.2%
52
19.8%
Q3 - 4:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
81.5%
52
18.5%
Q3 - 4:05ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
80.5%
52
19.5%
Q3 - 4:26ATLHAWKS Rebound64
78.4%
52
21.6%
Q3 - 4:26MIASplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)64
79.4%
52
20.6%
Q3 - 4:40ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
81.6%
52
18.4%
Q3 - 4:40ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
82.0%
51
18.0%
Q3 - 4:55MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS) (Green 2 AST)64
83.7%
50
16.3%
Q3 - 5:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)62
79.8%
50
20.2%
Q3 - 5:13ATLMISS Millsap 9' Floating Jump Shot62
78.9%
50
21.1%
Q3 - 5:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
76.8%
50
23.2%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
77.8%
50
22.2%
Q3 - 5:38ATLSchroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bazemore 2 AST)62
79.9%
50
20.1%
Q3 - 5:51MIAUdrih 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (5 PTS)62
84.5%
47
15.5%
Q3 - 5:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
82.5%
47
17.5%
Q3 - 6:01MIAHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)60
78.8%
47
21.2%
Q3 - 6:17ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)60
80.8%
47
19.2%
Q3 - 6:29MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)60
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q3 - 6:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
85.3%
45
14.7%
Q3 - 7:01ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
83.2%
45
16.8%
Q3 - 7:12MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T10)60
81.5%
45
18.5%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)60
83.9%
45
16.1%
Q3 - 7:21ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot60
83.2%
45
16.8%
Q3 - 7:33MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)60
81.5%
45
18.5%
Q3 - 7:53ATLTeague 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)57
76.8%
45
23.2%
Q3 - 8:18ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
80.6%
42
19.4%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
81.4%
42
18.6%
Q3 - 8:32MIAWade Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)57
83.1%
42
16.9%
Q3 - 8:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
80.9%
42
19.1%
Q3 - 8:45ATLMISS Horford 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
80.1%
42
19.9%
Q3 - 8:57MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
78.2%
42
21.8%
Q3 - 9:15ATLHorford Cutting Dunk Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)53
71.2%
42
28.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIADeng 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)53
74.1%
40
25.9%
Q3 - 9:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
71.3%
40
28.7%
Q3 - 9:44ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup51
70.4%
40
29.6%
Q3 - 9:50ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
68.2%
40
31.8%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 21' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot51
69.2%
40
30.8%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
71.4%
40
28.6%
Q3 - 9:59ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot51
70.4%
40
29.6%
Q3 - 10:11ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
66.7%
40
33.3%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 251
67.2%
40
32.8%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 251
68.6%
40
31.4%
Q3 - 10:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
70.0%
40
30.0%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Bosh 19' Pullup Jump Shot51
67.7%
40
32.3%
Q3 - 10:35ATLBazemore 14' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)51
70.0%
40
30.0%
Q3 - 10:48MIAWhiteside 2' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)51
72.7%
38
27.3%
Q3 - 11:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)49
68.4%
38
31.6%
Q3 - 11:07ATLMISS Korver 17' Pullup Jump Shot49
67.4%
38
32.6%
Q3 - 11:16ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
65.2%
38
34.8%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot49
66.2%
38
33.8%
Q3 - 11:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)49
68.5%
38
31.5%
Q3 - 11:33ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
67.5%
38
32.5%
Q3 - 11:45MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)49
65.3%
38
34.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford 1' Running Reverse Layup47
61.4%
38
38.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIABosh 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)47
58.2%
38
41.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)45
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Teague 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot45
53.4%
38
46.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIADeng Running Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)45
51.8%
38
48.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
47.6%
38
52.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Millsap 4' Jump Shot43
46.9%
38
53.1%
Q2 - 1:01ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot43
45.7%
38
54.3%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
46.9%
38
53.1%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMISS Deng 21' Pullup Jump Shot43
45.7%
38
54.3%
Q2 - 1:44ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
46.9%
38
53.1%
Q2 - 1:44ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 1:45ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
51.6%
36
48.4%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup43
52.1%
36
47.9%
Q2 - 2:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)43
52.8%
36
47.2%
Q2 - 2:09ATLMISS Bazemore 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
51.9%
36
48.1%
Q2 - 2:16ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
49.9%
36
50.1%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 1' Running Layup43
50.8%
36
49.2%
Q2 - 2:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
52.8%
36
47.2%
Q2 - 2:25ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup43
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 2:32MIADragic 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)43
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 2:49ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
45.9%
36
54.1%
Q2 - 3:03MIADragic 18' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)41
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 3:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 3:10ATLMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot39
39.3%
36
60.7%
Q2 - 3:23MIABazemore STEAL (1 STL)39
37.0%
36
63.0%
Q2 - 3:31ATLSefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)39
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 3:38MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
37.1%
36
62.9%
Q2 - 3:38MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
36.5%
36
63.5%
Q2 - 3:54ATLBazemore 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)37
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 4:00ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
37.1%
34
62.9%
Q2 - 4:02ATLMISS Teague 18' Pullup Jump Shot37
38.5%
34
61.5%
Q2 - 4:10ATLHAWKS Rebound37
36.5%
34
63.5%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup37
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 4:26ATLMillsap Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)37
39.4%
34
60.6%
Q2 - 4:34ATLPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
42.0%
32
58.0%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)37
45.0%
32
55.0%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Whiteside Tip Layup Shot37
42.9%
32
57.1%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 5' Pullup Jump Shot37
42.9%
32
57.1%
Q2 - 4:55ATLSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T6)37
45.1%
32
54.9%
Q2 - 5:04MIAWade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)37
41.6%
32
58.4%
Q2 - 5:19ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
39.0%
32
61.0%
Q2 - 5:28MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)35
36.3%
32
63.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAHeat Rebound35
39.1%
32
60.9%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
37.1%
32
62.9%
Q2 - 6:02ATLMillsap 2' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)35
39.0%
32
61.0%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWade Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)35
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot33
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 6:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)33
39.0%
30
61.0%
Q2 - 6:35ATLMISS Bazemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
38.0%
30
62.0%
Q2 - 6:50MIADeng 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)33
35.8%
30
64.2%
Q2 - 6:55MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
34.0%
30
66.0%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot31
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 7:11ATLPatterson 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Muscala 1 AST)31
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 7:30MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)31
35.7%
28
64.3%
Q2 - 7:30MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
35.3%
28
64.7%
Q2 - 7:55ATLHorford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)29
33.6%
28
66.4%
Q2 - 8:05ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
37.8%
25
62.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot29
38.5%
25
61.5%
Q2 - 8:17ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 8:29ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
37.8%
25
62.2%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot29
38.6%
25
61.4%
Q2 - 8:41MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 8:42ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
39.6%
25
60.4%
Q2 - 8:53MIASchroder STEAL (2 STL)29
37.8%
25
62.2%
Q2 - 9:11ATLKorver 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)29
39.8%
25
60.2%
Q2 - 9:22ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot29
42.8%
23
57.2%
Q2 - 9:35ATLSchroder Foul Turnover (P1.T3)29
44.7%
23
55.3%
Q2 - 9:45MIAUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)29
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q2 - 10:08ATLSchroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)26
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q2 - 10:31MIAGreen 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)26
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q2 - 10:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
39.9%
20
60.1%
Q2 - 10:47ATLMISS Korver 16' Pullup Jump Shot24
39.0%
20
61.0%
Q2 - 11:02MIAGreen 14' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)24
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q2 - 11:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 11:24ATLMISS Patterson 1' Driving Layup22
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q2 - 11:31ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
32.5%
20
67.5%
Q2 - 11:32ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot22
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q2 - 11:42MIASchroder STEAL (1 STL)22
32.5%
20
67.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound22
32.5%
20
67.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford 28' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot22
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot22
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Schroder Free Throw 2 of 222
33.9%
20
66.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
34.6%
19
65.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Udrih 15' Pullup Jump Shot22
35.1%
19
64.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLHorford 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)22
38.7%
17
61.3%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 1:14ATLMISS Bazemore 1' Running Layup22
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 1:19MIAHorford STEAL (1 STL)22
38.8%
17
61.2%
Q1 - 1:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 1:35ATLMISS Schroder 20' Pullup Jump Shot22
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 1:43MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
38.8%
17
61.2%
Q1 - 1:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
33.9%
17
66.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Green Driving Dunk19
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 2:01ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
34.0%
17
66.0%
Q1 - 2:10MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
36.3%
15
63.7%
Q1 - 2:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
35.9%
15
64.1%
Q1 - 2:25ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 2:25ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 2:40MIAGreen 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)17
36.3%
13
63.7%
Q1 - 2:56ATLSefolosha Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)14
32.0%
13
68.0%
Q1 - 3:10ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 3:12MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot14
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 3:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
31.9%
13
68.1%
Q1 - 3:36ATLMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot14
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 3:42ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 3:44MIABazemore BLOCK (1 BLK)14
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 3:49ATLBazemore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
31.9%
13
68.1%
Q1 - 4:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)14
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 4:00MIAWhiteside Tip Dunk Shot (4 PTS)14
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 4:01MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Reverse Layup12
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 4:19MIAHeat Rebound12
28.0%
13
72.0%
Q1 - 4:20ATLMISS Millsap 6' Fadeaway Jumper12
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 4:34MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 4:43ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
28.0%
13
72.0%
Q1 - 4:43ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
28.4%
12
71.6%
Q1 - 4:50ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
29.5%
11
70.5%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Dragic 14' Turnaround Jump Shot12
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound12
31.6%
11
68.4%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup12
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 5:22MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 5:23ATLMISS Sefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 5:30ATLHAWKS Rebound12
29.3%
11
70.7%
Q1 - 5:30ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup12
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 5:34MIADragic 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)12
29.3%
11
70.7%
Q1 - 5:50MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 5:51ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 6:00ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 6:01MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 6:08MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 6:09ATLMISS Muscala Putback Layup10
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 6:10ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 6:14ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup10
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 6:37MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 6:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 6:48ATLMISS Horford 3PT Jump Shot8
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 7:00ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
22.9%
11
77.1%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot8
23.3%
11
76.7%
Q1 - 7:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Deng 13' Driving Floating Jump Shot8
23.3%
11
76.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 7:27ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 7:40MIADragic 1' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)8
22.8%
11
77.2%
Q1 - 7:43MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.7%
11
78.3%
Q1 - 7:45ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Layup6
21.2%
11
78.8%
Q1 - 7:52ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot6
20.6%
11
79.4%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot6
20.5%
11
79.5%
Q1 - 8:20ATLMillsap 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)6
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 8:30MIAWhiteside Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)6
22.7%
9
77.3%
Q1 - 8:55ATLBazemore 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)4
21.5%
9
78.5%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 9:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 9:33ATLMISS Korver 1' Hook Shot4
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 9:46MIADeng 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 10:01ATLBazemore 1' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)2
21.6%
7
78.4%
Q1 - 10:04ATLHAWKS Rebound2
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 10:04ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup2
23.8%
5
76.2%
Q1 - 10:21MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 10:29ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Driving Layup0
21.2%
5
78.8%
Q1 - 10:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.2%
5
79.8%
Q1 - 10:40MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)0
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup0
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 11:08ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)0
21.5%
5
78.5%
Q1 - 11:22MIABosh Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.8%
3
77.2%
Q1 - 11:46ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
24.0%
3
76.0%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Whiteside: Tip to Millsap0
26.8%
0
73.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
ATL
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
34
56%
ATL
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIA
14
39
36%
ATL
7
18
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
ATL
8
12.0
33
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
13
15
87%
ATL
14
15
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2480%12.0 / 15
G. Green2071%10.0 / 14
L. Deng1869%9.0 / 13
G. Dragic1243%6.0 / 14
B. Udrih975%4.5 / 6
H. Whiteside833%4.0 / 12
D. Wade722%3.5 / 16
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
J. Winslow0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bazemore2874%14.0 / 19
P. Millsap1860%9.0 / 15
A. Horford1354%6.5 / 12
D. Schröder1354%6.5 / 12
J. Teague727%3.5 / 13
K. Korver521%2.5 / 12
T. Splitter250%1.0 / 2
L. Patterson250%1.0 / 2
M. Muscala0-0.0 / 1
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+18
-15
96
ATL
82
+11
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
ATL
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
105.5
MIA 107.5
ATL 91.7 +15.9
Pace
93.7
96.8
MIA 82.4
ATL 110.2 +27.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.6
MIA 17.5
ATL 13.1 +4.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.6%
MIA 48.9% +4.9%
ATL 44.0%
TO %
14.0%
14.9%
MIA 15.8%
ATL 13.4% +2.4%
ORB %
23.9%
19.2%
MIA 33.3% +18.1%
ATL 15.2%
FTrt
28.2
23.7
MIA 16.9
ATL 17.9 +1.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
66.3%
MIA 65.0%
ATL 75.8% +10.8%
STL %
7.2%
9.3%
MIA 6.5%
ATL 7.3% +0.8%
BLK %
10.3%
9.6%
MIA 9.8% +4.3%
ATL 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.1%
MIA 50.5% +3.7%
ATL 46.8%
Rim FG%
62.3%
58.9%
MIA 55.9% +1.4%
ATL 54.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.2%
MIA 35.9%
ATL 38.9% +3.0%
3P %
33.6%
35.0%
MIA 43.8% +19.6%
ATL 24.2%
FT %
74.4%
78.3%
MIA 86.7%
ATL 93.3% +6.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
37.6%
MIA 38.2%
ATL 39.3% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
28.8%
MIA 43.8%
ATL 21.4% +22.4%
3P Att. %
22.1%
33.6%
MIA 18.0%
ATL 39.3% +21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9396
Possession Minutes27.120.9
Points10088
Rebounds5437
Assists2625
Steals67
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (3)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals40-8933-84
At-the-Rim FG19-3418-33
Midrange FG14-397-18
2-Point FG33-7325-51
3-Point FG7-168-33
Free Throws13-1514-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
36.2
24
80%
10
3
0
0
2
1
2
8
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
4-6
67%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
35.9
18
69%
9
4
2
0
1
2
1
8
3-3
100%
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
34.7
12
43%
7
8
2
2
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
29.1
7
22%
6
6
0
0
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
3-15
20%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
25.9
8
33%
13
0
0
3
2
4
5
8
0-2
0%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
31.4
20
71%
3
2
1
0
2
2
2
1
1-1
100%
8-12
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
19.2
9
75%
2
1
0
0
2
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
14.8
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
12.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
#1 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
51%
54
26
6
5
15
0
15
39
13-15
87%
33-73
45%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.