FinalWin Prob.pScore
1348%100
97
2152%101
100
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
112.88687.5
MIA logo MIA
114.98785.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM97
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MEMWinslow STEAL (2 STL)97
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)97
41.4%
98
58.6%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
57.3%
96
42.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0MEMMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot97
64.7%
96
35.3%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)97
72.1%
96
27.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
79.8%
94
20.2%
Q4 - 1:12MEMMISS Conley 9' Floating Jump Shot97
82.8%
94
17.2%
Q4 - 1:31MIAGreen Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)97
86.5%
94
13.5%
Q4 - 1:31MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)97
87.3%
93
12.7%
Q4 - 1:31MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)97
88.3%
92
11.7%
Q4 - 1:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
93.8%
91
6.2%
Q4 - 1:41MEMMISS Lee 17' Jump Shot97
94.7%
91
5.3%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)97
96.0%
91
4.0%
Q4 - 1:58MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
93.5%
91
6.5%
Q4 - 2:01MEMMISS Conley 18' Jump Shot97
93.8%
91
6.2%
Q4 - 2:05MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
95.9%
91
4.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot97
95.1%
91
4.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
92.5%
91
7.5%
Q4 - 2:20MEMMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 2:34MIAGreen 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)97
95.9%
91
4.1%
Q4 - 2:53MEMConley 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)97
95.8%
89
4.2%
Q4 - 3:12MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
94.5%
89
5.5%
Q4 - 3:12MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
94.9%
88
5.1%
Q4 - 3:22MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
95.8%
87
4.2%
Q4 - 3:22MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 294
95.6%
87
4.4%
Q4 - 3:22MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
96.4%
87
3.6%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Dragic 4' Floating Jump Shot94
95.7%
87
4.3%
Q4 - 3:47MEMRandolph 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)94
91.4%
87
8.6%
Q4 - 3:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
88.4%
87
11.6%
Q4 - 3:51MEMMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot92
85.2%
87
14.8%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)92
88.7%
87
11.3%
Q4 - 4:49MEMGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)92
94.2%
84
5.8%
Q4 - 5:12MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)89
85.7%
84
14.3%
Q4 - 5:22MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)89
89.1%
82
10.9%
Q4 - 5:23MEMGrizzlies Rebound89
92.1%
82
7.9%
Q4 - 5:24MEMMISS Gasol 22' Jump Shot89
90.1%
82
9.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)89
92.2%
82
7.8%
Q4 - 6:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
94.2%
79
5.8%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Dragic 5' Floating Jump Shot89
95.4%
79
4.6%
Q4 - 6:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
94.3%
79
5.7%
Q4 - 6:21MEMMISS Green 6' Running Jump Shot89
94.8%
79
5.2%
Q4 - 6:25MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)89
95.9%
79
4.1%
Q4 - 6:39MEMChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)89
94.3%
79
5.7%
Q4 - 6:57MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)86
90.5%
79
9.5%
Q4 - 6:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
87.1%
79
12.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
89.6%
79
10.4%
Q4 - 7:13MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
85.3%
79
14.7%
Q4 - 7:14MEMMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
86.5%
79
13.5%
Q4 - 7:32MEMGrizzlies Rebound86
88.8%
79
11.2%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Udrih 12' Jump Shot86
87.9%
79
12.1%
Q4 - 7:55MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
85.5%
79
14.5%
Q4 - 7:56MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 186
86.0%
79
14.0%
Q4 - 8:11MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
79.8%
79
20.2%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot84
78.6%
79
21.4%
Q4 - 8:32MEMChalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)84
75.6%
79
24.4%
Q4 - 8:45MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
70.5%
79
29.5%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 282
69.7%
79
30.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
67.2%
79
32.8%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
70.5%
78
29.5%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot82
74.1%
78
25.9%
Q4 - 8:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
70.6%
78
29.4%
Q4 - 8:59MEMMISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot82
72.1%
78
27.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIAWade 1' Layup (10 PTS)82
74.1%
78
25.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
78.3%
76
21.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Udrih 3' Jump Shot82
81.1%
76
18.9%
Q4 - 9:19MEMGreen STEAL (1 STL)82
78.3%
76
21.7%
Q4 - 9:37MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)82
82.3%
76
17.7%
Q4 - 9:56MEMBarnes 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Randolph 4 AST)82
85.5%
74
14.5%
Q4 - 10:14MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
81.0%
74
19.0%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot80
79.8%
74
20.2%
Q4 - 10:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
77.0%
74
23.0%
Q4 - 10:30MEMMISS Green 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup80
78.3%
74
21.7%
Q4 - 10:48MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)80
81.1%
74
18.9%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
85.6%
71
14.4%
Q4 - 11:14MEMMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
86.4%
71
13.6%
Q4 - 11:20MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)80
88.2%
71
11.8%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup80
87.5%
71
12.5%
Q4 - 11:42MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
85.7%
71
14.3%
Q4 - 11:42MEMGreen 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)80
85.7%
71
14.3%
Q4 - 11:43MEMMISS Randolph 5' Hook Shot78
80.6%
71
19.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
83.0%
71
17.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
79.6%
71
20.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot78
82.0%
71
18.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0MEMDeng STEAL (1 STL)78
78.3%
71
21.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
81.7%
71
18.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
82.2%
70
17.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Rebound78
84.5%
69
15.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
86.3%
69
13.7%
Q3 - 1:00MEMGreen 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)78
84.6%
69
15.4%
Q3 - 1:21MIABosh 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)75
77.3%
69
22.7%
Q3 - 1:27MEMWinslow STEAL (1 STL)75
80.5%
67
19.5%
Q3 - 1:34MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
83.5%
67
16.5%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot75
82.6%
67
17.4%
Q3 - 1:54MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
80.5%
67
19.5%
Q3 - 1:55MEMMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot75
81.5%
67
18.5%
Q3 - 2:15MIADragic 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)75
82.0%
67
18.0%
Q3 - 2:28MEMChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T9)75
84.4%
65
15.6%
Q3 - 2:48MIADeng 3' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)75
86.9%
65
13.1%
Q3 - 3:00MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
88.8%
63
11.2%
Q3 - 3:01MEMMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot75
88.5%
63
11.5%
Q3 - 3:15MIABosh 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)75
89.8%
63
10.2%
Q3 - 3:26MEMChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)75
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)75
92.7%
61
7.3%
Q3 - 4:07MEMGreen 2' Reverse Layup (20 PTS)75
92.9%
59
7.1%
Q3 - 4:27MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
91.9%
59
8.1%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 273
92.1%
58
7.9%
Q3 - 4:43MEMBarnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Green 3 AST)73
91.7%
58
8.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)70
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 5:19MEMBarnes Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)70
89.4%
56
10.6%
Q3 - 5:38MEMGrizzlies Rebound70
91.0%
56
9.0%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
90.6%
56
9.4%
Q3 - 5:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
89.5%
56
10.5%
Q3 - 6:00MEMMISS Green 13' Fadeaway Jumper70
90.0%
56
10.0%
Q3 - 6:19MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)70
90.2%
56
9.8%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 170
90.0%
56
10.0%
Q3 - 6:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
91.4%
54
8.6%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
92.3%
54
7.7%
Q3 - 6:42MEMConley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)70
91.4%
54
8.6%
Q3 - 6:48MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
88.8%
54
11.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
88.2%
54
11.8%
Q3 - 7:02MEMGasol Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T6)67
85.9%
54
14.1%
Q3 - 7:22MIAWade 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)67
87.9%
54
12.1%
Q3 - 7:41MEMGreen 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)67
89.3%
52
10.7%
Q3 - 7:55MIAJump Ball Dragic vs. Conley: Tip to Gasol65
87.9%
52
12.1%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
86.0%
52
14.0%
Q3 - 8:01MEMMISS Green 5' Floating Jump Shot65
86.1%
52
13.9%
Q3 - 8:17MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)65
87.4%
52
12.6%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
86.9%
52
13.1%
Q3 - 8:23MIAHEAT Rebound65
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot65
86.9%
52
13.1%
Q3 - 8:37MEMGasol 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)65
85.5%
52
14.5%
Q3 - 8:56MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)63
83.8%
52
16.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot63
83.1%
52
16.9%
Q3 - 9:20MEMBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)63
80.5%
52
19.5%
Q3 - 9:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
75.7%
52
24.3%
Q3 - 9:36MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
76.2%
51
23.8%
Q3 - 9:39MEMBosh STEAL (1 STL)60
78.1%
50
21.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)60
80.6%
50
19.4%
Q3 - 10:05MEMLee 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)60
77.4%
50
22.6%
Q3 - 10:24MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
75.0%
50
25.0%
Q3 - 10:24MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
75.5%
49
24.5%
Q3 - 10:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
77.4%
48
22.6%
Q3 - 10:42MEMMISS Gasol 21' Jump Shot58
78.2%
48
21.8%
Q3 - 11:05MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
79.2%
48
20.8%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot58
78.5%
48
21.5%
Q3 - 11:39MEMLee 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
76.8%
48
23.2%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)56
74.5%
48
25.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
71.6%
48
28.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound56
71.6%
48
28.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dragic 44' 3PT Jump Shot56
73.6%
48
26.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MEMWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)56
71.2%
48
28.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound56
73.1%
48
26.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0MEMMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
71.8%
48
28.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound56
73.1%
48
26.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0MEMMISS Lee 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup56
71.8%
48
28.2%
Q2 - 1:10MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
72.3%
48
27.7%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 156
72.1%
48
27.9%
Q2 - 1:33MEMGreen 6' Driving Hook Shot (16 PTS)56
75.9%
46
24.1%
Q2 - 1:41MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
72.3%
46
27.7%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot54
71.9%
46
28.1%
Q2 - 2:02MEMGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)54
69.6%
46
30.4%
Q2 - 2:05MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
64.1%
46
35.9%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot51
63.3%
46
36.7%
Q2 - 2:24MEMGasol 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)51
61.4%
46
38.6%
Q2 - 2:38MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
58.3%
46
41.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
58.9%
45
41.1%
Q2 - 2:57MEMLee 12' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 2 AST)49
61.5%
44
38.5%
Q2 - 3:04MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
54.9%
44
45.1%
Q2 - 3:12MEMMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot47
55.9%
44
44.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)47
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 3:54MEMBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)47
60.7%
42
39.3%
Q2 - 4:07MIADeng 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS)44
54.8%
42
45.2%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
57.5%
40
42.5%
Q2 - 4:30MEMMISS Green 9' Turnaround Hook Shot44
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q2 - 4:52MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
60.4%
40
39.6%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot44
59.5%
40
40.5%
Q2 - 5:18MEMConley 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
57.3%
40
42.7%
Q2 - 5:39MIADeng 2' Layup (7 PTS)42
54.7%
40
45.3%
Q2 - 5:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
57.3%
38
42.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Udrih 22' Jump Shot42
59.3%
38
40.7%
Q2 - 6:06MEMRandolph 5' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)42
56.8%
38
43.2%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)40
54.9%
38
45.1%
Q2 - 6:47MEMRandolph 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)40
56.9%
36
43.1%
Q2 - 6:57MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
54.9%
36
45.1%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot38
53.8%
36
46.2%
Q2 - 7:24MEMBarnes 1' Layup (2 PTS)38
51.6%
36
48.4%
Q2 - 7:25MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
49.2%
36
50.8%
Q2 - 7:26MEMWinslow BLOCK (1 BLK)36
47.2%
36
52.8%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
49.2%
36
50.8%
Q2 - 7:35MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
46.4%
36
53.6%
Q2 - 7:36MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
47.2%
36
52.8%
Q2 - 7:55MIAUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
49.2%
36
50.8%
Q2 - 7:55MIAUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 8:05MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
51.4%
34
48.6%
Q2 - 8:06MEMMISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot36
52.2%
34
47.8%
Q2 - 8:25MIAUdrih 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)36
54.1%
34
45.9%
Q2 - 8:35MEMChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q2 - 8:35MEMMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 235
56.1%
32
43.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIAUdrih 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)35
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q2 - 9:16MEMUdrih STEAL (1 STL)35
58.5%
30
41.5%
Q2 - 9:29MIABosh 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)35
61.3%
30
38.7%
Q2 - 9:50MEMGreen 9' Hook Bank Shot (11 PTS)35
63.3%
28
36.7%
Q2 - 10:05MIAGreen 11' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)33
61.1%
28
38.9%
Q2 - 10:21MEMChalmers 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
63.0%
26
37.0%
Q2 - 10:32MIAHaslem 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)31
61.1%
26
38.9%
Q2 - 10:45MEMRandolph 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)31
63.0%
24
37.0%
Q2 - 11:09MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)29
60.4%
24
39.6%
Q2 - 11:24MEMGreen 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)29
64.8%
21
35.2%
Q2 - 11:40MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh 4' Driving Hook Shot27
62.0%
21
38.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM27
60.3%
21
39.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGrizzlies Rebound27
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Green 1' Tip Layup Shot27
61.1%
21
38.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Green 10' Jump Shot27
60.8%
21
39.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)27
61.9%
21
38.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0MEMChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
66.8%
18
33.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0MEMChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
66.4%
18
33.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAGreen 3' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)25
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0MEMGreen 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)25
66.8%
16
33.2%
Q1 - 1:07MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)23
63.9%
16
36.1%
Q1 - 1:34MEMRandolph 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
68.6%
13
31.4%
Q1 - 1:47MEMLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
66.0%
13
34.0%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Dragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot21
65.6%
13
34.4%
Q1 - 2:00MEMGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
64.5%
13
35.5%
Q1 - 2:08MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
59.7%
13
40.3%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Deng 4' Hook Shot18
59.1%
13
40.9%
Q1 - 2:26MEMChalmers 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)18
57.7%
13
42.3%
Q1 - 2:39MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot16
54.6%
13
45.4%
Q1 - 2:56MIAHEAT Rebound16
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper16
54.6%
13
45.4%
Q1 - 3:11MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
52.7%
13
47.3%
Q1 - 3:12MEMMISS Chalmers 3' Layup16
53.5%
13
46.5%
Q1 - 3:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot16
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 3:44MEMGasol 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)16
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 4:02MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
50.6%
13
49.4%
Q1 - 4:18MEMGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 4:18MEMGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
52.2%
11
47.8%
Q1 - 4:21MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
50.6%
11
49.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot12
49.9%
11
50.1%
Q1 - 4:42MEMGasol 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)12
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 4:59MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)10
46.3%
11
53.7%
Q1 - 5:06MEMDragic STEAL (1 STL)10
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 5:19MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot10
45.4%
11
54.6%
Q1 - 5:42MEMGreen Dunk (2 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)10
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 5:44MEMGrizzlies Rebound8
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 5:46MEMMISS Conley 14' Jump Shot8
40.5%
11
59.5%
Q1 - 5:56MEMBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
41.3%
11
58.7%
Q1 - 6:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
40.0%
11
60.0%
Q1 - 6:15MEMMISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot8
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 6:24MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 6:48MEMGasol 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)8
40.0%
11
60.0%
Q1 - 7:02MIAWhiteside 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 7:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.1%
9
59.9%
Q1 - 7:24MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 26
40.4%
9
59.6%
Q1 - 7:24MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
41.6%
9
58.4%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWhiteside 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)5
40.4%
9
59.6%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
42.0%
7
58.0%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot5
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 8:03MEMMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot5
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 8:09MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
44.3%
7
55.7%
Q1 - 8:18MEMWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)5
42.2%
7
57.8%
Q1 - 8:24MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
44.3%
7
55.7%
Q1 - 8:25MEMMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 8:40MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)5
44.3%
7
55.7%
Q1 - 8:54MEMConley 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)5
47.9%
4
52.1%
Q1 - 8:59MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)3
46.2%
4
53.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 9:12MEMMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 9:35MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)3
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 9:35MIAHEAT Rebound3
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Deng 11' Jump Shot3
45.6%
4
54.4%
Q1 - 9:59MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 10:00MEMMISS Gasol 16' Fadeaway Jumper3
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIADeng 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
46.2%
4
53.8%
Q1 - 10:43MEMLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)3
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 10:56MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 11:15MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:16MEMMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:24MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Dragic 11' Step Back Jump Shot0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:39MEMMISS Conley 20' Jump Shot0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Gasol: Tip to Green0
47.7%
0
52.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.14 57.1%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
18
25
72%
MIA
21
28
75%
Midrange
MEM
15
33
45%
MIA
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
MEM
10
14
71%
MIA
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green2662%13.0 / 21
M. Barnes1372%6.5 / 9
M. Gasol1250%6.0 / 12
Z. Randolph1267%6.0 / 9
M. Chalmers1267%6.0 / 9
C. Lee956%4.5 / 8
M. Conley941%4.5 / 11
J. Green467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2285%11.0 / 13
G. Green1673%8.0 / 11
L. Deng1568%7.5 / 11
D. Wade1444%7.0 / 16
H. Whiteside975%4.5 / 6
G. Dragic827%4.0 / 15
J. Winslow857%4.0 / 7
B. Udrih643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
73
+11
-13
84
MIA
77
+13
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.14 57.1%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
106.0
MEM 112.8
MIA 114.9 +2.2
Pace
92.7
93.7
MEM 87.5 +1.9
MIA 85.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.0
MEM 16.5 +0.4
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
50.8%
MEM 56.5% +3.9%
MIA 52.6%
TO %
13.6%
14.0%
MEM 14.4%
MIA 11.2% +3.2%
ORB %
25.3%
23.9%
MEM 15.2%
MIA 20.0% +4.8%
FTrt
29.5
28.2
MEM 18.2
MIA 29.9 +11.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
54.3%
MEM 57.5% +8.9%
MIA 48.6%
STL %
9.5%
7.2%
MEM 11.6% +1.3%
MIA 10.3%
BLK %
8.2%
10.3%
MEM 5.5% +3.8%
MIA 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.1%
52.8%
MEM 57.1% +1.5%
MIA 55.6%
Rim FG%
53.6%
62.3%
MEM 72.0%
MIA 75.0% +3.0%
Mid FG%
40.3%
40.5%
MEM 45.5% +12.2%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
33.1%
33.6%
MEM 36.8% +5.0%
MIA 31.8%
FT %
78.3%
74.4%
MEM 71.4%
MIA 82.6% +11.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
37.0%
MEM 32.5%
MIA 36.4% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
40.9%
MEM 42.9%
MIA 35.1% +7.8%
3P Att. %
22.2%
22.1%
MEM 24.7%
MIA 28.6% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points97100
Rebounds3335
Assists2318
Steals109
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (6)7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)28 (0)
Field Goals40-7737-77
At-the-Rim FG18-2521-28
Midrange FG15-339-27
2-Point FG33-5830-55
3-Point FG7-197-22
Free Throws10-1419-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
44.7
26
62%
2
3
0
1
4
3
0
2
4-4
100%
8-14
57%
2-6
33%
G · 6'5" 200 · 30
38.5
9
56%
1
2
4
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 255 · 31
36.9
12
50%
7
4
0
0
2
1
2
5
2-4
50%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 226 · 36
36.7
13
72%
13
4
2
1
3
3
1
12
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
G · 6'0" 175 · 28
26.0
9
41%
1
4
4
1
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
26.3
12
67%
6
4
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 30
22.0
12
67%
0
2
0
0
2
4
0
0
4-5
80%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 227 · 25
9.1
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
· 6'4" 213 · 34
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39
G · 6'0" 165 · 25
F · 6'10" 239 · 22
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
#34 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 209 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
57%
33
23
10
3
13
0
5
28
10-14
71%
33-58
57%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.