FinalWin Prob.pScore
248%99
103
752%100
78
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
107.39688.4
ATL logo ATL
80.497106.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASATL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS103
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLMack 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Holiday 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASMISS Anderson 19' Pullup Jump Shot103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23SASAnderson 13' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45ATLMISS Tavares 6' Floating Jump Shot101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57SASAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T23)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20ATLMack 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)101
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)101
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMuscala 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)99
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52ATLMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05ATLPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06SASMISS Simmons 2' Driving Layup99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49ATLHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51SASMISS Simmons Driving Layup99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13SASMISS Bonner 22' Jump Shot99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:34SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35ATLMISS Tavares 17' Jump Shot99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)99
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06ATLMISS Schroder 16' Pullup Jump Shot96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:24SASButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47ATLSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59SASButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:20ATLTavares Cutting Dunk Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)90
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 6:36SASDuncan Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T22)90
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 6:44ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)90
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 6:44ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:50ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 6:52SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:09ATLMISS Tavares Free Throw 2 of 290
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:09ATLTavares Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)90
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 7:14SASPatterson STEAL (1 STL)90
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 7:27ATLPatterson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T16)90
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:39SASLeonard 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)90
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 8:02ATLMuscala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)87
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 8:24SASLeonard 19' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
99.3%
67
0.7%
Q4 - 8:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)85
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 8:30ATLMISS Patterson 14' Pullup Jump Shot85
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 8:47SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q4 - 8:47SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 8:59ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)83
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q4 - 9:01ATLPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 9:03ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q4 - 9:19SASGinobili Driving Layup (17 PTS)83
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 9:29SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q4 - 9:31ATLMISS Bazemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q4 - 9:41ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
98.1%
64
1.9%
Q4 - 9:42SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
98.3%
64
1.7%
Q4 - 10:01ATLSplitter 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)81
98.1%
64
1.9%
Q4 - 10:01ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
98.5%
62
1.5%
Q4 - 10:03ATLMISS Bazemore 3' Driving Layup81
98.7%
62
1.3%
Q4 - 10:13ATLHAWKS Rebound81
98.5%
62
1.5%
Q4 - 10:13ATLMISS Muscala 21' Jump Shot81
98.7%
62
1.3%
Q4 - 10:19ATLJump Ball Muscala vs. West: Tip to Bazemore81
98.5%
62
1.5%
Q4 - 10:20ATLPatterson 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)81
98.8%
62
1.2%
Q4 - 10:27SASBazemore STEAL (2 STL)81
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q4 - 10:34SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 10:37ATLMISS Schroder 15' Pullup Jump Shot81
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 10:46SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q4 - 10:46SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q4 - 10:54ATLPatterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 7 AST)79
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 11:12ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q4 - 11:14SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Running Jump Shot79
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q4 - 11:18SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q4 - 11:20ATLMISS Bazemore Running Finger Roll Layup79
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q4 - 11:26SASMuscala STEAL (2 STL)79
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q4 - 11:51ATLSchroder 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS79
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound79
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot79
99.4%
55
0.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLBazemore 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)79
99.3%
55
0.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mills 5 AST)79
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)76
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Bazemore 3PT Jump Shot76
99.5%
50
0.5%
Q3 - 1:18SASSimmons Dunk (7 PTS) (West 1 AST)76
99.3%
50
0.7%
Q3 - 1:23SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
99.2%
50
0.8%
Q3 - 1:25ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup74
99.1%
50
0.9%
Q3 - 1:41SASWest 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)74
99.0%
50
1.0%
Q3 - 1:52ATLMillsap 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)72
98.8%
50
1.2%
Q3 - 1:58SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
99.0%
48
1.0%
Q3 - 1:58SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
99.0%
48
1.0%
Q3 - 1:58SASMills Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)70
98.8%
48
1.2%
Q3 - 2:10ATLMillsap 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)69
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 2:19SASSimmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T17)69
98.4%
46
1.6%
Q3 - 2:28SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
98.7%
46
1.3%
Q3 - 2:29ATLMISS Muscala 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.6%
46
1.4%
Q3 - 2:41ATLPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
98.4%
46
1.6%
Q3 - 2:42SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
98.5%
46
1.5%
Q3 - 3:00ATLBazemore Running Dunk (4 PTS)69
98.7%
46
1.3%
Q3 - 3:05SASBazemore STEAL (1 STL)69
98.7%
44
1.3%
Q3 - 3:26ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
98.9%
44
1.1%
Q3 - 3:43SASDuncan 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)69
99.2%
41
0.8%
Q3 - 3:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)67
99.1%
41
0.9%
Q3 - 4:01ATLMISS Millsap 3PT Jump Shot67
98.8%
41
1.2%
Q3 - 4:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
98.7%
41
1.3%
Q3 - 4:10SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot67
98.7%
41
1.3%
Q3 - 4:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
98.9%
41
1.1%
Q3 - 4:15SASMISS Green Dunk67
98.8%
41
1.2%
Q3 - 4:19ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)67
98.9%
41
1.1%
Q3 - 4:25SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)67
98.7%
41
1.3%
Q3 - 4:27ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)65
98.5%
41
1.5%
Q3 - 4:48SASAldridge Foul Turnover (P3.T15)65
98.2%
41
1.8%
Q3 - 5:05SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
98.2%
41
1.8%
Q3 - 5:09ATLMISS Teague 17' Turnaround Jump Shot65
98.1%
41
1.9%
Q3 - 5:24SASGreen 22' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)65
97.8%
41
2.2%
Q3 - 5:39SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
97.5%
41
2.5%
Q3 - 5:41SASMISS Green 15' Jump Shot63
97.2%
41
2.8%
Q3 - 6:06ATLKorver 1' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)63
97.1%
41
2.9%
Q3 - 6:23SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)63
97.5%
39
2.5%
Q3 - 6:48ATLSefolosha 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)60
96.7%
39
3.3%
Q3 - 6:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
97.5%
36
2.5%
Q3 - 6:55SASMISS Parker 15' Pullup Jump Shot60
97.6%
36
2.4%
Q3 - 7:06SASSpurs Rebound60
97.6%
36
2.4%
Q3 - 7:06SASSefolosha BLOCK (1 BLK)60
97.3%
36
2.7%
Q3 - 7:10ATLSefolosha Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)60
97.6%
36
2.4%
Q3 - 7:13ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
97.1%
36
2.9%
Q3 - 7:14ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
97.4%
36
2.6%
Q3 - 7:24SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)60
97.1%
36
2.9%
Q3 - 7:29ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)57
96.2%
36
3.8%
Q3 - 7:47SASGreen 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)57
95.6%
36
4.4%
Q3 - 7:53ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)55
95.0%
36
5.0%
Q3 - 8:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
93.7%
36
6.3%
Q3 - 8:06SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q3 - 8:35ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)55
94.6%
36
5.4%
Q3 - 9:01SASLeonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)55
95.4%
33
4.6%
Q3 - 9:18ATLMillsap 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)53
94.8%
33
5.2%
Q3 - 9:23SASHorford STEAL (2 STL)53
95.4%
31
4.6%
Q3 - 9:42ATLSefolosha 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)53
96.1%
31
3.9%
Q3 - 9:57SASMillsap STEAL (2 STL)53
96.6%
29
3.4%
Q3 - 10:08ATLMillsap 2' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)53
96.7%
29
3.3%
Q3 - 10:20SASAldridge 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)53
97.1%
27
2.9%
Q3 - 10:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
96.7%
27
3.3%
Q3 - 10:30ATLMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
96.6%
27
3.4%
Q3 - 10:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
96.2%
27
3.8%
Q3 - 10:37SASMillsap BLOCK (2 BLK)51
96.4%
27
3.6%
Q3 - 10:48SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
96.7%
27
3.3%
Q3 - 10:50ATLMISS Korver 18' Pullup Jump Shot51
96.6%
27
3.4%
Q3 - 11:07SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
95.8%
27
4.2%
Q3 - 11:07SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
95.7%
27
4.3%
Q3 - 11:26ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
95.3%
27
4.7%
Q3 - 11:26ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
95.4%
26
4.6%
Q3 - 11:43SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
95.8%
25
4.2%
Q3 - 11:43SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
95.7%
25
4.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS47
95.3%
25
4.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound47
95.3%
25
4.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mills 57' 3PT Jump Shot47
94.8%
25
5.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
95.3%
25
4.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Millsap 8' Jump Shot47
95.1%
25
4.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0SASAldridge 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)47
94.1%
25
5.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)45
93.1%
25
6.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup45
92.9%
25
7.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)45
92.5%
25
7.5%
Q2 - 1:10SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
89.4%
25
10.6%
Q2 - 1:13ATLMISS Bazemore 3PT Jump Shot42
89.2%
25
10.8%
Q2 - 1:18ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
88.8%
25
11.2%
Q2 - 1:20SASMISS Aldridge 4' Hook Shot42
89.0%
25
11.0%
Q2 - 1:37SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
89.4%
25
10.6%
Q2 - 1:39ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
89.2%
25
10.8%
Q2 - 1:54SASMills 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
88.8%
25
11.2%
Q2 - 2:04SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 2:08ATLMISS Millsap 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot40
85.9%
25
14.1%
Q2 - 2:25SASAldridge 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)40
84.9%
25
15.1%
Q2 - 2:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 2:39ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 240
86.2%
25
13.8%
Q2 - 2:39ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
85.2%
25
14.8%
Q2 - 2:44SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
86.4%
24
13.6%
Q2 - 3:05ATLBazemore 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)38
84.2%
24
15.8%
Q2 - 3:11ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
85.5%
22
14.5%
Q2 - 3:12SASMISS Aldridge 15' Pullup Jump Shot38
86.0%
22
14.0%
Q2 - 3:37ATLMillsap Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T9)38
87.1%
22
12.9%
Q2 - 3:37ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
85.5%
22
14.5%
Q2 - 3:42ATLMISS Sefolosha 12' Jump Shot38
86.7%
22
13.3%
Q2 - 3:50SASHorford STEAL (1 STL)38
85.5%
22
14.5%
Q2 - 3:55SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
87.1%
22
12.9%
Q2 - 3:58ATLMISS Horford 3' Driving Layup38
86.7%
22
13.3%
Q2 - 4:12SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
84.6%
22
15.4%
Q2 - 4:12SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
84.4%
22
15.6%
Q2 - 4:18ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)36
83.2%
22
16.8%
Q2 - 4:31SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
81.5%
22
18.5%
Q2 - 4:53ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
79.8%
22
20.2%
Q2 - 4:53ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
80.0%
21
20.0%
Q2 - 4:57ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
81.5%
20
18.5%
Q2 - 4:59SASMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)34
82.0%
20
18.0%
Q2 - 5:18ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P3.T7)34
82.7%
20
17.3%
Q2 - 5:29SASSimmons 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)34
81.0%
20
19.0%
Q2 - 5:55ATLSplitter Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)31
77.4%
20
22.6%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
78.3%
18
21.7%
Q2 - 6:19SASMISS Simmons 2' Alley Oop Layup31
79.0%
18
21.0%
Q2 - 6:35SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
80.6%
18
19.4%
Q2 - 6:36ATLMISS Sefolosha 6' Floating Jump Shot31
79.9%
18
20.1%
Q2 - 7:01SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
77.8%
18
22.2%
Q2 - 7:01SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
77.4%
18
22.6%
Q2 - 7:08SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
76.1%
18
23.9%
Q2 - 7:11ATLMISS Teague 14' Pullup Jump Shot29
75.5%
18
24.5%
Q2 - 7:23SASLeonard 10' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)29
74.0%
18
26.0%
Q2 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
72.1%
18
27.9%
Q2 - 7:36ATLMISS Splitter 2' Hook Shot27
71.4%
18
28.6%
Q2 - 7:47SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)27
69.8%
18
30.2%
Q2 - 8:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q2 - 8:08ATLMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
64.0%
18
36.0%
Q2 - 8:29ATLHAWKS Rebound24
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q2 - 8:29SASMISS Parker 2' Turnaround Jump Shot24
63.1%
18
36.9%
Q2 - 8:34SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)24
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q2 - 8:35ATLMISS Patterson 1' Driving Layup24
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q2 - 8:54SASSplitter STEAL (2 STL)24
62.4%
18
37.6%
Q2 - 9:20ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)24
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q2 - 9:27SASSplitter STEAL (1 STL)24
68.6%
15
31.4%
Q2 - 9:39ATLSplitter Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T6)24
71.1%
15
28.9%
Q2 - 9:56SASMills 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Green 2 AST)24
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q2 - 10:00SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
66.8%
15
33.2%
Q2 - 10:02ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot22
65.7%
15
34.3%
Q2 - 10:13SASGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T8)22
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q2 - 10:23SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q2 - 10:24ATLMISS Korver 3PT Running Jump Shot22
65.7%
15
34.3%
Q2 - 10:30SASKorver STEAL (3 STL)22
63.8%
15
36.2%
Q2 - 10:49ATLSchroder 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)22
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q2 - 11:01ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
67.8%
13
32.2%
Q2 - 11:03SASMISS Diaw 12' Fadeaway Jumper22
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q2 - 11:20ATLSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
70.0%
13
30.0%
Q2 - 11:42ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
67.8%
13
32.2%
Q2 - 11:43SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup22
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
70.0%
13
30.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASKorver STEAL (2 STL)22
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)22
69.2%
13
30.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)22
71.7%
11
28.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASSpurs Rebound22
73.0%
11
27.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup22
72.1%
11
27.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
73.1%
11
26.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLHorford Tip Dunk Shot (4 PTS)22
73.1%
11
26.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Driving Layup22
76.2%
9
23.8%
Q1 - 1:01ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
75.0%
9
25.0%
Q1 - 1:02SASMISS Leonard 18' Turnaround Bank Shot22
75.3%
9
24.7%
Q1 - 1:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)22
76.2%
9
23.8%
Q1 - 1:19ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot22
75.9%
9
24.1%
Q1 - 1:30ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
75.0%
9
25.0%
Q1 - 1:31SASMISS Mills 1' Driving Layup22
75.4%
9
24.6%
Q1 - 1:41SASSpurs Rebound22
76.2%
9
23.8%
Q1 - 1:43SASMISS Diaw 15' Jump Shot22
75.4%
9
24.6%
Q1 - 1:57SASSpurs Rebound22
76.2%
9
23.8%
Q1 - 1:58ATLMISS Schroder 3' Running Layup22
75.9%
9
24.1%
Q1 - 2:04SASMuscala STEAL (1 STL)22
74.7%
9
25.3%
Q1 - 2:18SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
76.2%
9
23.8%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Driving Reverse Layup22
75.8%
9
24.2%
Q1 - 2:32SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)22
74.7%
9
25.3%
Q1 - 2:32SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)21
74.3%
9
25.7%
Q1 - 2:32SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 320
73.9%
9
26.1%
Q1 - 2:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
72.7%
9
27.3%
Q1 - 2:41ATLMISS Sefolosha 16' Pullup Jump Shot20
72.2%
9
27.8%
Q1 - 2:54SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)20
71.1%
9
28.9%
Q1 - 3:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
66.6%
9
33.4%
Q1 - 3:09ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
66.0%
9
34.0%
Q1 - 3:25SASLeonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)17
64.4%
9
35.6%
Q1 - 3:37SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
62.6%
9
37.4%
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
61.0%
9
39.0%
Q1 - 3:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)15
62.6%
9
37.4%
Q1 - 3:56ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup15
61.9%
9
38.1%
Q1 - 4:10ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
59.9%
9
40.1%
Q1 - 4:11SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot15
60.6%
9
39.4%
Q1 - 4:28ATLMillsap 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)15
62.3%
9
37.7%
Q1 - 4:39SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)15
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 4:41ATLMuscala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
66.3%
7
33.7%
Q1 - 4:56SASGinobili 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)15
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 5:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
61.3%
7
38.7%
Q1 - 5:12ATLMISS Teague 17' Floating Jump Shot13
60.7%
7
39.3%
Q1 - 5:33SASLeonard Driving Dunk (2 PTS)13
59.3%
7
40.7%
Q1 - 5:35SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
57.4%
7
42.6%
Q1 - 5:37SASMISS Leonard 19' Jump Shot11
55.9%
7
44.1%
Q1 - 5:52ATLMillsap 9' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)11
57.4%
7
42.6%
Q1 - 6:11SASAldridge 13' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
58.6%
5
41.4%
Q1 - 6:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
56.9%
5
43.1%
Q1 - 6:25ATLMISS Horford 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
56.2%
5
43.8%
Q1 - 6:39SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)9
54.8%
5
45.2%
Q1 - 6:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
51.0%
5
49.0%
Q1 - 6:55ATLMISS Millsap 3' Cutting Layup Shot6
50.3%
5
49.7%
Q1 - 7:06ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 7:08SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot6
49.4%
5
50.6%
Q1 - 7:25ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)6
50.9%
5
49.1%
Q1 - 8:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
49.0%
5
51.0%
Q1 - 8:21SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot6
53.4%
3
46.6%
Q1 - 8:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.9%
3
45.1%
Q1 - 8:36ATLMISS Korver 19' Pullup Jump Shot6
54.2%
3
45.8%
Q1 - 8:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
52.7%
3
47.3%
Q1 - 8:48SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot6
53.4%
3
46.6%
Q1 - 9:07SASSpurs Rebound6
54.8%
3
45.2%
Q1 - 9:07ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup6
54.1%
3
45.9%
Q1 - 9:30SASAldridge 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)6
52.6%
3
47.4%
Q1 - 9:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
51.1%
3
48.9%
Q1 - 9:43ATLMISS Korver 2' Cutting Layup Shot4
50.4%
3
49.6%
Q1 - 9:56SASKorver STEAL (1 STL)4
48.8%
3
51.2%
Q1 - 10:07ATLTeague Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T2)4
50.9%
3
49.1%
Q1 - 10:07ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
48.8%
3
51.2%
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Leonard 15' Step Back Jump Shot4
49.4%
3
50.6%
Q1 - 10:07ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
50.9%
3
49.1%
Q1 - 10:07SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)4
48.8%
3
51.2%
Q1 - 10:07ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
47.2%
3
52.8%
Q1 - 10:07ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 10:27SASParker 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
48.8%
1
51.2%
Q1 - 10:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
47.2%
1
52.8%
Q1 - 10:50ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 20
46.9%
1
53.1%
Q1 - 10:50ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
45.8%
1
54.2%
Q1 - 11:01ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.0%
0
53.0%
Q1 - 11:02SASMISS Green 22' Jump Shot0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 11:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 11:19SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 11:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 11:44ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Duncan: Tip to Millsap0
47.0%
0
53.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 59.9%
ATL
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
25
52%
ATL
16
30
53%
Midrange
SAS
13
29
45%
ATL
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
ATL
5
7.5
24
21%
31%
Free Throws
SAS
21
22
95%
ATL
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2269%11.0 / 16
M. Ginobili1794%8.5 / 9
L. Aldridge1365%6.5 / 10
D. Green1063%5.0 / 8
J. Simmons964%4.5 / 7
T. Parker857%4.0 / 7
P. Mills744%3.5 / 8
R. Butler6100%3.0 / 3
T. Duncan433%2.0 / 6
M. Bonner375%1.5 / 2
D. West2100%1.0 / 1
K. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
B. Diaw0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2279%11.0 / 14
A. Horford950%4.5 / 9
K. Bazemore941%4.5 / 11
D. Schröder627%3.0 / 11
K. Korver531%2.5 / 8
T. Sefolosha542%2.5 / 6
L. Patterson542%2.5 / 6
J. Teague429%2.0 / 7
T. Splitter467%2.0 / 3
S. Mack450%2.0 / 4
W. Tavares338%1.5 / 4
M. Muscala233%1.0 / 3
J. Holiday0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
73
+11
-23
84
ATL
80
+8
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.20 59.9%
ATL
0.89 44.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
105.5
SAS 107.3
ATL 80.4 +26.9
Pace
94.0
96.8
SAS 88.4
ATL 106.1 +17.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.6
SAS 16.3
ATL 13.6 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
51.6%
SAS 55.4% +14.8%
ATL 40.6%
TO %
13.3%
14.9%
SAS 21.6%
ATL 16.3% +5.3%
ORB %
22.9%
19.2%
SAS 18.8% +4.8%
ATL 14.0%
FTrt
24.6
23.7
SAS 29.7 +9.7
ATL 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
66.3%
SAS 72.2% +2.2%
ATL 70.0%
STL %
8.8%
9.3%
SAS 11.5%
ATL 15.5% +4.0%
BLK %
9.6%
9.6%
SAS 3.6%
ATL 5.6% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
54.1%
SAS 59.9% +15.6%
ATL 44.3%
Rim FG%
62.8%
58.9%
SAS 52.0%
ATL 53.3% +1.3%
Mid FG%
43.2%
41.2%
SAS 44.8% +10.2%
ATL 34.6%
3P %
37.5%
35.0%
SAS 50.0% +29.2%
ATL 20.8%
FT %
80.3%
78.3%
SAS 95.5% +14.2%
ATL 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
37.6%
SAS 33.8%
ATL 37.5% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
28.8%
SAS 39.2%
ATL 32.5% +6.7%
3P Att. %
22.3%
33.6%
SAS 27.0%
ATL 30.0% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASATL
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points10378
Rebounds4933
Assists2621
Steals1115
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)23 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)43 (2)26 (1)
Field Goals36-7430-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2516-30
Midrange FG13-299-26
2-Point FG26-5425-56
3-Point FG10-205-24
Free Throws21-2213-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
32.4
22
69%
8
4
5
0
2
2
1
7
7-7
100%
6-10
60%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 250 · 40
30.8
4
33%
10
4
1
0
4
2
0
10
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 260 · 30
27.4
13
65%
6
1
0
1
3
2
1
5
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
24.1
8
57%
3
4
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
21.1
10
63%
1
2
1
0
4
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
23.9
7
44%
3
5
1
0
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
F · 6'6" 195 · 26
19.0
9
64%
7
2
0
0
2
2
1
6
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 205 · 38
18.6
17
94%
3
1
0
0
4
1
1
2
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
3-3
100%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
13.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
11.5
2
100%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 37
7.3
6
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
5.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
5.0
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#3 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · C · 7'3" 290 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
60%
49
26
11
2
23
0
6
43
21-22
95%
26-54
48%
10-20
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.