FinalWin Prob.pScore
2133%101
83
767%107
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
83.010097.0
IND logo IND
97.099102.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMISS Ellis 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Bosh 4' Finger Roll Layup83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDStuckey 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Mahinmi 2 AST)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAHeat Rebound83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21INDMahinmi 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (George 3 AST)83
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:40MIAEllis STEAL (6 STL)83
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 2:04INDEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)83
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 2:23INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 2:36INDMISS Ellis 17' Pullup Jump Shot83
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 2:53MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)83
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 3:11INDGeorge 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)81
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 3:30INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot81
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 3:52INDEllis 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (George 2 AST)81
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 4:16INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot81
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q4 - 4:34MIAHeat Rebound81
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 4:34INDMISS George 2' Layup81
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 4:44INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Green 12' Running Jump Shot81
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 4:54INDMISS Stuckey 3PT Jump Shot81
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 5:08INDMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot81
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 5:19INDMISS Miles 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot81
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q4 - 5:36MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)81
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 6:02INDEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)79
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q4 - 6:35INDMahinmi 3' Cutting Dunk Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)77
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 6:54INDMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q4 - 6:55INDMISS G. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 7:16MIABosh Foul Turnover (P3.T18)77
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 7:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q4 - 7:23INDMISS Miles 32' 3PT Jump Shot77
10.6%
83
89.4%
Q4 - 7:49MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)77
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 7:49MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)76
8.3%
83
91.7%
Q4 - 7:58INDBudinger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)75
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q4 - 8:04INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot75
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 8:12INDMISS Miles 3' Driving Layup75
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 8:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 8:36MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q4 - 8:59INDStuckey 3' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)73
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 9:05MIAG. Hill STEAL (1 STL)73
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q4 - 9:21INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q4 - 9:41MIAGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 9:49INDStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)70
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 9:53INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMiles BLOCK (2 BLK)70
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 10:03MIAHeat Rebound70
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q4 - 10:04INDMISS Budinger Free Throw 2 of 270
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 10:04INDBudinger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 10:15INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot70
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 10:30INDMiles 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
6.2%
80
93.8%
Q4 - 10:45INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Green 16' Pullup Jump Shot70
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q4 - 11:07INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
10.1%
78
89.9%
Q4 - 11:07INDMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 270
10.5%
77
89.5%
Q4 - 11:10MIAHill STEAL (2 STL)70
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q4 - 11:18INDBudinger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)70
12.3%
77
87.7%
Q4 - 11:30MIABosh 4' Hook Shot (17 PTS)70
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q4 - 11:42INDHill Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)68
8.3%
77
91.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDMiles 1' Running Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)68
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)68
12.8%
75
87.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
18.1%
72
81.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
19.1%
72
80.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0INDEllis 14' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
21.4%
72
78.6%
Q3 - 1:15MIAGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)68
25.2%
70
74.8%
Q3 - 1:40INDMahinmi 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)65
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q3 - 1:58MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T15)65
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
25.3%
68
74.7%
Q3 - 2:00INDMISS George 24' Step Back Jump Shot65
24.1%
68
75.9%
Q3 - 2:25INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 265
22.2%
68
77.8%
Q3 - 2:25MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 2:38INDEllis 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
21.9%
68
78.1%
Q3 - 2:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
25.0%
66
75.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)64
25.0%
66
75.0%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Deng 8' Jump Shot62
19.6%
66
80.4%
Q3 - 3:14INDMiles 11' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
22.3%
66
77.7%
Q3 - 3:21INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
25.3%
64
74.7%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot62
26.4%
64
73.6%
Q3 - 3:42INDGeorge 3' Cutting Layup Shot (21 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)62
29.1%
64
70.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAEllis STEAL (5 STL)62
32.6%
62
67.4%
Q3 - 4:11INDGeorge 15' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)62
36.6%
62
63.4%
Q3 - 4:21MIAWinslow 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)62
40.0%
60
60.0%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
36.6%
60
63.4%
Q3 - 4:28INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
35.2%
60
64.8%
Q3 - 4:51MIADeng 1' Putback Layup (7 PTS)60
32.1%
60
67.9%
Q3 - 4:52MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
29.1%
60
70.9%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot58
26.3%
60
73.7%
Q3 - 5:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
28.8%
60
71.2%
Q3 - 5:10INDMISS George 15' Jump Shot58
27.7%
60
72.3%
Q3 - 5:19INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
25.2%
60
74.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot58
26.3%
60
73.7%
Q3 - 5:56INDEllis 3' Running Layup (12 PTS) (George 1 AST)58
28.8%
60
71.2%
Q3 - 6:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
31.6%
58
68.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Winslow 3' Driving Layup58
32.8%
58
67.2%
Q3 - 6:08MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q3 - 6:09INDMISS Miles 2' Running Layup58
34.3%
58
65.7%
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)58
31.6%
58
68.4%
Q3 - 6:54INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST)56
28.7%
58
71.3%
Q3 - 6:55INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
35.2%
55
64.8%
Q3 - 6:56INDMISS Allen 2' Dunk56
38.0%
55
62.0%
Q3 - 6:57INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
35.2%
55
64.8%
Q3 - 6:58INDMISS G. Hill 3' Driving Layup56
38.0%
55
62.0%
Q3 - 7:04INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup56
35.8%
55
64.2%
Q3 - 7:29INDMahinmi 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)56
38.6%
55
61.4%
Q3 - 7:38INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot56
43.1%
53
56.9%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
46.1%
53
53.9%
Q3 - 7:50INDMISS Ellis 4' Running Layup56
44.8%
53
55.2%
Q3 - 7:55MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)56
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 8:07INDAllen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)56
45.5%
53
54.5%
Q3 - 8:21INDPACERS Rebound56
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q3 - 8:21INDMISS Ellis Running Layup56
44.2%
53
55.8%
Q3 - 8:29INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
42.6%
53
57.4%
Q3 - 8:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
45.5%
53
54.5%
Q3 - 8:45INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
44.3%
53
55.7%
Q3 - 8:57INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 156
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 9:21INDG. Hill 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)54
37.4%
53
62.6%
Q3 - 9:31MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
40.7%
51
59.3%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 253
40.1%
51
59.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
40.9%
51
59.1%
Q3 - 9:47INDMISS G. Hill 15' Pullup Jump Shot53
39.8%
51
60.2%
Q3 - 9:59MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
37.3%
51
62.7%
Q3 - 10:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q3 - 10:10INDMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.7%
51
70.3%
Q3 - 10:22MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)50
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q3 - 10:43INDAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)48
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q3 - 10:52INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)48
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q3 - 11:15INDGeorge 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)48
30.3%
49
69.7%
Q3 - 11:29MIADragic Foul Turnover (P3.T12)48
33.1%
47
66.9%
Q3 - 11:37MIAHeat Rebound48
36.4%
47
63.6%
Q3 - 11:37INDMISS Mahinmi 3' Driving Layup48
35.4%
47
64.6%
Q3 - 11:46INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
33.1%
47
66.9%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot48
34.1%
47
65.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND48
36.4%
47
63.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAEllis STEAL (4 STL)48
33.6%
47
66.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
35.5%
47
64.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0INDMISS G. Hill 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup48
34.9%
47
65.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)48
33.5%
47
66.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
29.9%
47
70.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAUdrih 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)46
27.9%
47
72.1%
Q2 - 0:52.0INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)44
24.7%
47
75.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
27.9%
45
72.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
28.5%
45
71.5%
Q2 - 1:12INDGeorge Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)44
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 1:12INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)44
30.2%
44
69.8%
Q2 - 1:12INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)44
30.6%
43
69.4%
Q2 - 1:25MIADeng 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)44
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
32.5%
42
67.5%
Q2 - 1:45INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
32.0%
42
68.0%
Q2 - 2:00INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
31.0%
42
69.0%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot42
31.5%
42
68.5%
Q2 - 2:15INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
32.8%
42
67.2%
Q2 - 2:15INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
33.2%
41
66.8%
Q2 - 2:20MIAEllis STEAL (3 STL)42
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 2:37INDEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)42
38.4%
40
61.6%
Q2 - 3:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
43.3%
37
56.7%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 241
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 3:13MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
43.8%
37
56.2%
Q2 - 3:14INDMISS Stuckey 2' Cutting Layup Shot41
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 3:26MIAEllis STEAL (2 STL)41
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 3:30INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)41
43.9%
37
56.1%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWade 3' Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)41
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 3:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
38.2%
37
61.8%
Q2 - 3:54INDMISS George 15' Jump Shot39
37.2%
37
62.8%
Q2 - 4:03INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
34.5%
37
65.5%
Q2 - 4:04INDMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot39
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 4:15INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
34.5%
37
65.5%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Udrih 15' Jump Bank Shot39
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q2 - 4:38INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
37.4%
37
62.6%
Q2 - 4:45INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot39
43.6%
34
56.4%
Q2 - 5:01INDEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Budinger 3 AST)39
45.1%
34
54.9%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWade 11' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
50.5%
31
49.5%
Q2 - 5:31MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
47.9%
31
52.1%
Q2 - 5:32INDMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
47.0%
31
53.0%
Q2 - 5:44MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)37
45.0%
31
55.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
39.7%
31
60.3%
Q2 - 5:53INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Alley Oop Layup34
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 6:11MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
36.4%
31
63.6%
Q2 - 6:25INDMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)32
34.6%
31
65.4%
Q2 - 6:46MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T8)32
39.0%
28
61.0%
Q2 - 6:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q2 - 6:51INDMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 7:04MIADragic 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
38.8%
28
61.2%
Q2 - 7:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
36.6%
28
63.4%
Q2 - 7:14INDMISS Miles 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup30
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q2 - 7:29MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)30
34.0%
28
66.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
29.6%
28
70.4%
Q2 - 7:42INDMISS G. Hill 3PT Jump Shot27
28.9%
28
71.1%
Q2 - 7:58INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
28.0%
28
72.0%
Q2 - 8:21INDMahinmi 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Budinger 2 AST)27
29.4%
28
70.6%
Q2 - 8:41INDPACERS Rebound27
31.5%
26
68.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIAHill BLOCK (1 BLK)27
32.2%
26
67.8%
Q2 - 8:56INDHill 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)27
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q2 - 9:09MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)27
35.4%
24
64.6%
Q2 - 9:30INDG. Hill 2' Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)25
33.5%
24
66.5%
Q2 - 9:34MIABudinger STEAL (1 STL)25
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q2 - 9:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q2 - 9:43INDMISS G. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q2 - 10:05MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)25
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q2 - 10:12INDStuckey Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)23
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q2 - 10:12INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
31.8%
22
68.2%
Q2 - 10:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q2 - 10:27INDMISS Stuckey 13' Jump Shot23
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q2 - 10:52MIABosh Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)23
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q2 - 11:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q2 - 11:02INDMISS Hill 4' Jump Shot23
32.4%
22
67.6%
Q2 - 11:17INDBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q2 - 11:18MIABudinger BLOCK (1 BLK)23
31.6%
22
68.4%
Q2 - 11:29INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q2 - 11:29INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
33.5%
21
66.5%
Q2 - 11:43MIAGreen 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
35.3%
20
64.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
33.2%
20
66.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
31.5%
20
68.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDEllis 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)21
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
35.3%
18
64.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 1:04MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 1:04INDMISS Ellis 7' Running Jump Shot19
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 1:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 1:21MIAWinslow Putback Dunk (2 PTS)19
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup17
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 1:35MIAHeat Rebound17
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 1:35INDMISS Stuckey 15' Jump Shot17
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 1:55INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
27.2%
18
72.8%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMiles BLOCK (1 BLK)17
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot17
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 2:11INDHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 2:11INDHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
29.2%
17
70.8%
Q1 - 2:25INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
30.8%
16
69.2%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Stoudemire 4' Hook Shot17
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 2:46MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 2:47INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
32.1%
16
67.9%
Q1 - 2:56MIAGreen 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)17
30.8%
16
69.2%
Q1 - 3:03MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 3:05INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 3:14INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 3:16INDMISS Stuckey 1' Cutting Layup Shot15
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 3:30MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 214
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 3:47INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 3:47INDMiles 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)14
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 3:48INDMISS Stuckey Layup14
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 3:54MIAHill STEAL (1 STL)14
28.6%
14
71.4%
Q1 - 4:06MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 4:06INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 4:12INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 4:12MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup14
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 4:26MIAHeat Rebound14
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 4:26INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 4:32INDPACERS Rebound14
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 4:32INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot14
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 4:37MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)14
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 4:55INDMISS Miles 4' Layup14
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 5:02INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 5:20INDGeorge 2' Layup (2 PTS)14
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)14
31.6%
12
68.4%
Q1 - 5:58INDMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 5:58INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 6:11INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot12
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 6:22INDEllis Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)12
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 6:37INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot12
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 6:54INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 6:54INDMahinmi 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)12
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 6:55INDMISS George 2' Layup12
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 7:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 7:26INDGeorge Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)12
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 7:39MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)12
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 7:55INDG. Hill 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 8:03MIAWade 11' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 8:09INDG. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 8:13MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 8:28MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 8:28INDMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot6
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 8:39INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 8:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 8:50INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot6
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 9:01INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup6
27.9%
6
72.1%
Q1 - 9:24INDEllis 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 9:32MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Bosh 1' Reverse Layup4
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:50INDGeorge Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)4
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMahinmi STEAL (2 STL)4
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 10:24INDMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 10:24INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
29.8%
3
70.2%
Q1 - 10:32MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIADragic 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 10:34MIAAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)2
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 10:40INDMISS George 3' Driving Reverse Layup2
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMahinmi STEAL (1 STL)2
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 11:12INDMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 11:28MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:46INDMahinmi 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)0
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Mahinmi vs. Whiteside: Tip to Allen0
27.4%
0
72.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.1%
IND
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
26
54%
IND
20
38
53%
Midrange
MIA
16
35
46%
IND
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
IND
6
9.0
28
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
8
13
62%
IND
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2350%11.5 / 23
D. Wade2043%10.0 / 23
G. Green1365%6.5 / 10
H. Whiteside8100%4.0 / 4
L. Deng739%3.5 / 9
G. Dragic542%2.5 / 6
J. Winslow433%2.0 / 6
B. Udrih250%1.0 / 2
A. Stoudemire117%0.5 / 3
J. Richardson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2467%12.0 / 18
P. George2357%11.5 / 20
I. Mahinmi1882%9.0 / 11
C. Miles1232%6.0 / 19
G. Hill633%3.0 / 9
R. Stuckey630%3.0 / 10
J. Hill467%2.0 / 3
L. Allen250%1.0 / 2
C. Budinger117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+9
-19
90
IND
87
+9
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.1%
IND
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
104.6
MIA 83.0
IND 97.0 +14.0
Pace
93.7
96.7
MIA 97.0
IND 102.1 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.8
MIA 14.8
IND 14.1 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
49.7%
MIA 46.3% +1.0%
IND 45.3%
TO %
14.0%
14.7%
MIA 18.0%
IND 11.2% +6.8%
ORB %
23.9%
23.4%
MIA 17.4% +1.5%
IND 15.9%
FTrt
28.2
26.8
MIA 16.0
IND 23.3 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
55.4%
MIA 40.0%
IND 61.1% +21.1%
STL %
7.2%
9.3%
MIA 6.0%
IND 13.1% +7.1%
BLK %
10.3%
7.9%
MIA 13.8% +4.0%
IND 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.3%
MIA 46.1%
IND 50.0% +3.9%
Rim FG%
62.3%
60.5%
MIA 53.8% +1.2%
IND 52.6%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.9%
MIA 45.7%
IND 50.0% +4.3%
3P %
33.6%
35.1%
MIA 25.0% +3.6%
IND 21.4%
FT %
74.4%
76.4%
MIA 61.5%
IND 90.0% +28.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
33.1%
MIA 32.1%
IND 44.2% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
39.9%
MIA 43.2%
IND 23.3% +20.0%
3P Att. %
22.1%
27.0%
MIA 24.7%
IND 32.6% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points8396
Rebounds4545
Assists1422
Steals613
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (5)38 (1)
Field Goals35-8136-86
At-the-Rim FG14-2620-38
Midrange FG16-3510-20
2-Point FG30-6130-58
3-Point FG5-206-28
Free Throws8-1318-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
36.0
23
50%
10
0
1
3
4
2
2
8
6-8
75%
7-14
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
34.1
20
43%
5
5
0
0
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
10-23
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
34.0
7
39%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-6
17%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
31.5
5
42%
5
7
1
0
5
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
17.5
8
100%
10
0
0
2
1
3
2
8
0-1
0%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
29.0
4
33%
4
0
0
1
4
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
27.9
13
65%
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
14.2
2
50%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
7.1
1
17%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
46%
45
14
6
8
19
0
8
37
8-13
62%
30-61
49%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.