for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, December 9, 2015
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Heat
43%101
81
13
Hornets
57%103
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
85.39589.2
CHA logo CHA
105.394100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHARoberts 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00CHAMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAHeat Rebound78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Johnson 55' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34CHAHansbrough 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37CHAHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38CHAMISS Daniels 31' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21CHAHansbrough Running Layup (2 PTS)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIADaniels STEAL (1 STL)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57CHADaniels 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kaminsky 6 AST)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36CHADaniels 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 3:50MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)72
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:05CHAHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05CHAMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 269
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAJohnson 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)69
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23CHARoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)67
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39CHAMISS Roberts 19' Jump Shot65
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 264
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56CHAKaminsky Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T16)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16CHAMISS Hansbrough 7' Jump Shot64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37MIAHarrison STEAL (1 STL)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50CHAMISS Harrison Free Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50CHAHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIAUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03CHARoberts Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T9)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14CHAHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16CHARoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42CHAMISS Hansbrough 6' Turnaround Bank Shot60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03CHAHansbrough Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08CHAHORNETS Rebound58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08CHAMISS Kaminsky 2' Reverse Layup58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20CHAHORNETS Rebound58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Winslow 18' Step Back Jump Shot58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34CHAHawes 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57CHAMISS Lamb 10' Jump Shot56
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)56
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35CHAMISS Lin Free Throw 2 of 254
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35CHAMISS Lin Free Throw 1 of 254
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Winslow 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:08CHABatum Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)54
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIALin BLOCK (1 BLK)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27CHAHawes 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:56CHAMISS Lin 2' Layup54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:09CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:32CHALamb 6' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Kaminsky 5 AST)54
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 10:51CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot54
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 11:08CHAMISS Lamb 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 11:34CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 254
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 254
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 11:42CHAMISS Lamb 21' Jump Shot54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot54
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHAWalker 1' Layup (18 PTS)54
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWalker STEAL (5 STL)54
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 254
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 254
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0CHAMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot54
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 1:13CHAHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)54
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 1:13CHAHORNETS Rebound54
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 1:13CHAMISS Kaminsky 21' Jump Shot54
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 1:38MIAWinslow 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 1:42MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 2:00CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 2:00CHAMISS Kaminsky Free Throw 1 of 252
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 2:15CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)52
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 2:33MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 2:35CHAMISS Batum 14' Jump Shot52
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 2:44CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot52
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 3:03CHABatum Foul Turnover (P3.T4)52
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 3:14CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot52
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 3:26CHAZeller Dunk (9 PTS) (Batum 11 AST)52
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 3:32CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)52
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot52
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound52
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 3:44CHAMISS Zeller 17' Jump Shot52
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 3:56MIAWalker STEAL (4 STL)52
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 4:10CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 4:10CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 252
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 4:19MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P6.T11)52
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 4:43CHABatum 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 4:57CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)52
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup52
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 5:03MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 5:05MIABatum BLOCK (1 BLK)52
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 5:25CHAWilliams 1' Cutting Layup Shot (18 PTS) (Batum 10 AST)52
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 5:33CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)52
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 5:53CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 5:53CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 252
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 6:02CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot52
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 6:24CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)52
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 6:36MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T10)52
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 6:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 6:39CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 6:56MIAGreen 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 7:19CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)50
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 7:36MIABosh 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)50
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 7:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 7:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 7:59CHAMISS Hairston 18' Jump Shot48
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 8:24MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 8:45MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 8:47CHAMISS Walker 19' Pullup Jump Shot46
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 9:19CHAWalker 1' Running Layup (13 PTS)44
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 9:25MIAWalker STEAL (3 STL)44
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 9:42CHAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)44
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 9:56MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)44
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 10:08MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 10:10CHAMISS Batum 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 10:35MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)41
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 10:52CHAHairston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)38
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q3 - 11:06MIAGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)38
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 11:30CHAHairston 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Batum 9 AST)38
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 11:49MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)38
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA36
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot36
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0CHAWalker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWade 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)36
6.3%
54
93.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)34
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q2 - 1:36CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q2 - 1:36CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q2 - 1:48CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)32
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot32
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 2:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q2 - 2:05CHAMISS Lin 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q2 - 2:25CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 2:46CHAWalker 9' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)32
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 3:02MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)32
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 3:17CHALamb 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Batum 8 AST)32
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q2 - 3:21CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 3:23MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)32
9.6%
48
90.4%
Q2 - 3:35CHAWalker 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Batum 7 AST)32
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 3:40CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 4:02CHALamb 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)32
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 4:21MIAWade 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)32
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 4:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
13.4%
44
86.6%
Q2 - 4:28CHAMISS Lamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 4:47MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS)30
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 5:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
10.9%
44
89.1%
Q2 - 5:01CHAMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 5:18MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 5:18MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 5:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 5:28CHAMISS Kaminsky 28' 3PT Jump Shot26
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 5:41CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
8.4%
44
91.6%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Hook Shot26
8.6%
44
91.4%
Q2 - 5:56CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kaminsky 4 AST)26
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 6:12CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
11.8%
41
88.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q2 - 6:32CHALamb 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kaminsky 3 AST)26
13.2%
41
86.8%
Q2 - 6:46CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot26
14.7%
39
85.3%
Q2 - 6:58CHAHawes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)26
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 7:08CHALamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q2 - 7:09CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 7:18CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot26
19.8%
36
80.2%
Q2 - 7:43CHAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kaminsky 2 AST)26
21.1%
36
78.9%
Q2 - 7:52CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
22.7%
34
77.3%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Green 1' Driving Layup26
23.3%
34
76.7%
Q2 - 8:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
25.0%
34
75.0%
Q2 - 8:06CHAMISS Lamb Free Throw 1 of 126
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 8:14CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.9%
32
73.1%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS McRoberts 1' Driving Layup26
27.5%
32
72.5%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
29.1%
32
70.9%
Q2 - 8:25CHAMISS Hawes 2' Layup26
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 8:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
26.9%
32
73.1%
Q2 - 8:53MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 8:55CHAMISS Williams 2' Layup23
22.6%
32
77.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 9:17MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q2 - 9:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 9:24CHAMISS Hawes 1' Layup21
19.5%
32
80.5%
Q2 - 9:47MIAJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
18.3%
32
81.7%
Q2 - 10:08CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)19
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 10:23CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot19
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 10:36MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q2 - 10:37CHAMISS Lamb 15' Jump Shot19
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q2 - 10:46CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 10:48MIALamb BLOCK (1 BLK)19
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 11:11CHAKaminsky 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)19
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q2 - 11:36MIAWinslow 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)19
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Bosh 6' Fadeaway Jumper17
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dragic 7' Running Jump Shot17
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0CHAKaminsky 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Batum 6 AST)17
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot17
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0CHALin Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)17
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q1 - 1:06CHALin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Batum 5 AST)17
25.7%
25
74.3%
Q1 - 1:26CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 1:27MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 1:35MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q1 - 1:36CHAMISS Batum 6' Floating Jump Shot17
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 1:59MIABatum STEAL (1 STL)17
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 2:12CHABatum Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)17
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 2:18MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)17
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 2:33MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 2:35CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot17
31.1%
22
68.9%
Q1 - 2:46MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)17
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 2:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Green 16' Jump Shot17
30.4%
22
69.6%
Q1 - 3:17CHALin 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q1 - 3:36MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)17
33.8%
20
66.2%
Q1 - 3:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 3:48CHAMISS Batum 28' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.5%
20
70.5%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 4:38CHAWalker 1' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Batum 4 AST)12
26.7%
20
73.3%
Q1 - 4:53MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 5:10CHAZeller 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)9
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 5:16MIAKaminsky STEAL (1 STL)9
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 5:32CHAZeller 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
28.7%
16
71.3%
Q1 - 5:43CHAHORNETS Rebound9
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 5:43CHAMISS Walker 3' Layup9
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 6:00CHAMISS Zeller 1' Layup8
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 6:12CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Turnaround Hook Shot8
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 6:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 6:33CHAMISS Batum 16' Step Back Jump Shot8
30.2%
14
69.8%
Q1 - 6:58MIAGreen Driving Dunk (4 PTS)8
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 7:13CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)6
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 7:16CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 7:18CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 7:23CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot6
31.3%
11
68.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
32.7%
11
67.3%
Q1 - 7:47CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 7:53CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
31.3%
11
68.7%
Q1 - 8:08CHAWilliams 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)6
32.7%
11
67.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 8:41CHAZeller Dunk (2 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)6
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 8:49MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)6
37.8%
7
62.2%
Q1 - 9:11CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)6
39.8%
7
60.2%
Q1 - 9:19CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot6
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 9:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
45.3%
4
54.7%
Q1 - 9:32CHAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot6
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 9:54CHAHORNETS Rebound6
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 9:54MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)6
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 10:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
45.2%
4
54.8%
Q1 - 10:10CHAMISS Zeller 6' Turnaround Hook Shot6
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 10:24MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS)6
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Green 20' Jump Shot4
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 10:40CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 10:40CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 1 of 24
41.8%
3
58.2%
Q1 - 10:53MIADragic 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
41.2%
3
58.8%
Q1 - 11:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.4%
3
60.6%
Q1 - 11:04CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
38.9%
3
61.1%
Q1 - 11:16MIAGreen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)2
37.8%
3
62.2%
Q1 - 11:30CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)0
36.1%
3
63.9%
Q1 - 11:37CHAHORNETS Rebound0
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 11:37CHAMISS Zeller 16' Jump Shot0
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Zeller vs. Whiteside: Tip to Williams0
39.5%
0
60.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.0%
CHA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
21
62%
CHA
16
24
67%
Midrange
MIA
10
33
30%
CHA
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
CHA
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
17
24
71%
CHA
8
17
47%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson2067%10.0 / 15
D. Wade1146%5.5 / 12
G. Green1150%5.5 / 11
C. Bosh744%3.5 / 8
J. Winslow744%3.5 / 8
H. Whiteside660%3.0 / 5
G. Dragic536%2.5 / 7
L. Deng536%2.5 / 7
J. Richardson550%2.5 / 5
B. Udrih375%1.5 / 2
U. Haslem113%0.5 / 4
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker1864%9.0 / 14
M. Williams1882%9.0 / 11
N. Batum1045%5.0 / 11
J. Lamb1042%5.0 / 12
C. Zeller950%4.5 / 9
P. Hairston6100%3.0 / 3
F. Kaminsky536%2.5 / 7
J. Lin542%2.5 / 6
S. Hawes563%2.5 / 4
T. Daniels563%2.5 / 4
T. Hansbrough450%2.0 / 4
B. Roberts250%1.0 / 2
A. Harrison250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+10
-17
88
CHA
84
+7
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.0%
CHA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
107.5
MIA 85.3 +20.1
CHA 105.3
Pace
93.7
95.4
MIA 89.2
CHA 100.5 +11.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.3
MIA 16.1
CHA 14.3 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
50.2%
MIA 42.7%
CHA 56.2% +13.5%
TO %
14.0%
12.3%
MIA 17.4%
CHA 11.1% +6.3%
ORB %
23.9%
20.1%
MIA 15.9% +8.2%
CHA 7.7%
FTrt
28.2
28.0
MIA 32.0 +11.0
CHA 21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
58.6%
MIA 58.6%
CHA 67.5% +8.9%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
MIA 3.2%
CHA 9.6% +6.4%
BLK %
10.3%
9.0%
MIA 14.8% +5.5%
CHA 9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.0%
MIA 46.0%
CHA 53.8% +7.8%
Rim FG%
62.3%
56.9%
MIA 61.9%
CHA 66.7% +4.8%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.7%
MIA 30.3%
CHA 43.3% +13.0%
3P %
33.6%
36.2%
MIA 28.6%
CHA 40.7% +12.1%
FT %
74.4%
79.0%
MIA 70.8% +23.7%
CHA 47.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
31.3%
MIA 28.0%
CHA 29.6% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
33.9%
MIA 44.0%
CHA 37.0% +7.0%
3P Att. %
22.1%
34.8%
MIA 28.0%
CHA 33.3% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points8199
Rebounds4340
Assists1727
Steals39
Blocks85
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals29-7540-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2116-24
Midrange FG10-3313-30
2-Point FG23-5429-54
3-Point FG6-2111-27
Free Throws17-248-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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18 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
24.8
11
46%
2
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
24.4
5
36%
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
Gerald Green
F · 6'7" 205 · 30
24.3
11
50%
3
0
0
2
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
22.9
6
60%
8
1
0
3
6
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
21.5
7
44%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
29.1
20
67%
2
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
7-8
88%
5-7
71%
1-5
20%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
26.0
7
44%
8
1
1
0
0
2
2
6
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
24.5
5
36%
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
16.2
1
13%
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
15.4
5
50%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
7.3
3
75%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
Amar'e Stoudemire
#5 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Jarnell Stokes
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
46%
43
17
3
8
17
0
7
36
17-24
71%
23-54
43%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.