FinalWin Prob.pScore
2928%98
95
1472%106
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
96.09998.2
DET logo DET
103.09999.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL95
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter-Williams 5 AST)95
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILMonroe 1' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)92
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILMISS Mayo Reverse Layup90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 290
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:19)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILMISS Middleton 29' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)90
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)90
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILMiddleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)90
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)87
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)87
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)86
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)85
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 1:13MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 1:13MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 1:22DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)82
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 1:22DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)82
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 1:24MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 1:24MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 1:36DETIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Marc Morris 3 AST)80
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 1:39DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 1:40DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot80
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 2:05MILMayo 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 2:28DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 2:28DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 2:36MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q4 - 2:36MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 2:53DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 2:53DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 3:05MILCarter-Williams 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 3:16DETJackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 3:39MILParker 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Carter-Williams 4 AST)74
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q4 - 3:47DETJackson Driving Layup (15 PTS)72
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 3:56DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:18)72
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q4 - 3:56MILMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot72
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q4 - 4:09DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q4 - 4:09DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 272
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q4 - 4:23MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)72
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q4 - 4:30MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 4:30DETMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup69
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 4:49DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 4:49MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 4:57DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 4:57DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 269
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q4 - 5:18MILHenson 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)69
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q4 - 5:19MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)67
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 5:20MILMISS Parker 2' Layup67
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 5:20MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 5:21MILTolliver BLOCK (2 BLK)67
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 5:22MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 5:23MILTolliver BLOCK (1 BLK)67
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 5:33DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)67
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q4 - 5:46DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 5:49MILMISS Middleton 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 6:07MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q4 - 6:08DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup67
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q4 - 6:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:17)67
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q4 - 6:12DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Running Layup67
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q4 - 6:40MILCarter-Williams 14' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)67
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q4 - 6:50MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q4 - 6:51DETMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 7:06DETPISTONS Rebound65
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 7:06DETMISS Marc Morris 5' Jump Shot65
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 7:06DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 7:06DETMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot65
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 7:23MILParker 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)65
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 7:38DETJohnson Layup (10 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)63
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 7:43MILBlake STEAL (1 STL)63
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q4 - 8:02DETTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)63
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q4 - 8:17MILCarter-Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)63
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q4 - 8:20DETMarc Morris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)63
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q4 - 8:26DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q4 - 8:27MILMISS Antetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot63
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q4 - 8:41MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q4 - 8:42DETMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 9:04MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P3.T13)63
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q4 - 9:07MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
7.4%
71
92.6%
Q4 - 9:08DETMISS Marc Morris 4' Jump Shot63
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q4 - 9:27MILParker Layup (4 PTS)63
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q4 - 9:31MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q4 - 9:31MILMISS Carter-Williams 22' Jump Shot61
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q4 - 10:02MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q4 - 10:02DETMISS Blake 17' Jump Shot61
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q4 - 10:05DETPISTONS Rebound61
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q4 - 10:05DETMISS Tolliver 1' Layup61
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q4 - 10:22MILCarter-Williams Driving Layup (2 PTS)61
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q4 - 10:30MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q4 - 10:30DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot59
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q4 - 10:41DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q4 - 10:41MILMISS Henson 3' Layup59
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 10:45MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q4 - 10:45MILMISS Antetokounmpo Reverse Layup59
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 11:08DETTolliver 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)59
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q4 - 11:28DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q4 - 11:28MILMISS Mayo 13' Jump Shot59
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q4 - 11:45DETMarc Morris 9' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL59
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0DETMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot59
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0MILMonroe 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)59
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILDrummond STEAL (3 STL)57
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot57
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 1:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:17)57
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 1:15MILMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 1:25MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)57
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 1:25DETMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
8.9%
65
91.1%
Q3 - 1:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)57
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 1:48MILMISS Monroe 3' Hook Shot57
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 2:03MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)57
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 2:03DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot57
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 2:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)57
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 2:10DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 2:20DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 2:20MILMISS Antetokounmpo 14' Jump Shot57
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 157
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 2:36DETDrummond 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)57
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 2:51DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)57
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 2:52MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup57
12.0%
63
88.0%
Q3 - 3:13MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
14.0%
63
86.0%
Q3 - 3:14DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 257
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 3:14DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 257
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 3:30MILMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 3:30MILMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q3 - 3:33MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)55
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 3:34DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup55
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q3 - 3:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)55
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 3:56MILMISS Carter-Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 4:20DETJackson 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 4:33DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)55
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 4:34MILMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 4:41MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 4:43DETMISS Drummond 1' Alley Oop Layup55
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 4:51DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 4:51MILMISS Middleton 6' Jump Shot55
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 5:11MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
14.4%
61
85.6%
Q3 - 5:11DETMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 5:31MILMayo 15' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)55
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 5:47DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P2.T8)53
10.8%
61
89.2%
Q3 - 5:53MILAntetokounmpo 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)53
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 6:06DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 6:06DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 6:10MILDrummond STEAL (2 STL)51
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 6:15MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 6:31DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 6:32MILMISS Middleton 5' Hook Shot51
9.9%
59
90.1%
Q3 - 6:44DETDrummond Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T7)51
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 6:44DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 6:46DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot51
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 6:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)51
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 6:50DETMISS Marc Morris 11' Jump Shot51
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 7:08DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)51
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 7:09MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 151
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q3 - 7:18MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)49
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 7:21DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot49
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 7:34MILMiddleton Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)49
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q3 - 7:48MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 7:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot47
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q3 - 8:04MILMonroe 1' Layup (10 PTS)47
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 8:06MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 8:08MILDrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)45
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 8:21MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 8:22DETMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q3 - 8:31DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Vaughn 17' Floating Jump Shot45
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 8:46MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q3 - 8:47DETMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 3 of 345
4.8%
59
95.2%
Q3 - 8:47DETIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)45
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 8:47DETIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)45
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 9:02DETPISTONS Rebound45
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q3 - 9:02MILMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 9:11DETCaldwell-Pope Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)45
6.7%
57
93.3%
Q3 - 9:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)45
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q3 - 9:27MILMISS Monroe 1' Layup45
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 9:42DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)45
6.7%
57
93.3%
Q3 - 9:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)45
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q3 - 9:47DETMISS Jackson 6' Hook Shot45
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q3 - 9:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)45
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q3 - 9:58MILMISS Monroe 2' Layup45
8.0%
55
92.0%
Q3 - 10:12MILBucks Rebound45
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 10:12DETMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot45
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 10:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)45
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q3 - 10:22MILMISS Middleton 5' Jump Shot45
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q3 - 10:34DETDrummond 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)45
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q3 - 11:05MILBayless 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)45
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 11:14MILMiddleton Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)43
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 11:27MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 11:28DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 142
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q3 - 11:38MILMiddleton 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET40
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound40
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
7.6%
51
92.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILMISS Bayless 21' Jump Shot40
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETJackson Driving Dunk (11 PTS)40
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILAntetokounmpo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)40
9.6%
49
90.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0DETDrummond 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)40
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)40
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILMISS Mayo 15' Jump Shot40
12.4%
47
87.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETMarc Morris 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)40
13.1%
47
86.9%
Q2 - 1:12MILAntetokounmpo 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)40
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q2 - 1:30DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
14.9%
44
85.1%
Q2 - 1:38MILDrummond STEAL (1 STL)38
17.4%
42
82.6%
Q2 - 1:44MILBucks Rebound38
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 1:44MILDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)38
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 1:59DETJackson 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 2:17MILMonroe 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)38
20.8%
40
79.2%
Q2 - 2:31MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 2:31DETMISS Drummond 3' Driving Layup36
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 2:49MILMayo 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Bryant III 1 AST)36
17.1%
40
82.9%
Q2 - 3:10DETTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)34
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 3:26MILAntetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 3:44DETDrummond 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)32
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 4:09MILAntetokounmpo Layup (4 PTS)32
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q2 - 4:21MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 4:21DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 4:37MILMayo 18' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)30
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 4:58DETJackson Driving Layup (7 PTS)28
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 5:09MILJackson STEAL (1 STL)28
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 5:32DETJohnson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 5:55MILHenson 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)28
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 6:09DETMarc Morris 19' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)26
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 6:17DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q2 - 6:17MILMISS Carter-Williams 3PT Jump Shot26
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q2 - 6:36MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q2 - 6:37DETMISS Baynes 10' Jump Shot26
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q2 - 7:01MILHenson 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)26
18.9%
29
81.1%
Q2 - 7:22DETJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)24
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q2 - 7:41MILHenson 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)24
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q2 - 7:59MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q2 - 7:59DETMISS Marc Morris 8' Jump Shot22
18.4%
26
81.5%
Q2 - 8:19MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (2 PTS)22
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q2 - 8:29MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q2 - 8:30MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot20
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q2 - 8:45MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q2 - 8:46DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 1 of 120
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q2 - 8:59MILBayless 1' Layup (5 PTS)20
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q2 - 9:05MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q2 - 9:05DETMISS Baynes Layup18
15.5%
24
84.5%
Q2 - 9:24MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)18
14.5%
24
85.5%
Q2 - 9:43DETJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)18
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q2 - 10:05MILHenson Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)18
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q2 - 10:05MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q2 - 10:06MILMISS Carter-Williams Driving Layup18
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q2 - 10:17DETMarc Morris 1' Layup (8 PTS)18
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q2 - 10:21MILMarc Morris STEAL (1 STL)18
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q2 - 10:24DETMarc Morris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)18
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q2 - 10:37MILO'Bryant III 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)18
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q2 - 10:51DETMarc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q2 - 10:51DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q2 - 11:08MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)16
21.9%
17
78.1%
Q2 - 11:34DETBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
23.7%
17
76.3%
Q2 - 11:44MILTolliver STEAL (1 STL)16
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET16
23.7%
17
76.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound16
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Blake 70' 3PT Jump Shot16
23.2%
17
76.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot16
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
23.3%
17
76.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETMISS Tolliver Free Throw 2 of 216
23.1%
17
76.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETMISS Tolliver Free Throw 1 of 216
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup16
22.9%
17
77.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMonroe Dunk (6 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)16
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0MILMISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot14
19.3%
17
80.7%
Q1 - 1:04MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)14
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 1:04DETMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 1:30DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 1:31MILMISS Carter-Williams 6' Jump Shot14
19.3%
17
80.7%
Q1 - 1:39MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 1:41DETMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot14
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 1:47MILJohnson STEAL (1 STL)14
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 1:56MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 1:57DETMISS Drummond 8' Hook Shot14
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 2:12MILMiddleton 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 2:28MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 2:29DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 112
17.3%
17
82.7%
Q1 - 2:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)12
18.9%
15
81.1%
Q1 - 2:35MILMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 2:46DETIlyasova 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 2:59DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 3:00MILMISS Monroe 10' Hook Shot12
22.3%
13
77.7%
Q1 - 3:17MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 3:17DETMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
22.8%
13
77.2%
Q1 - 3:28MILParker 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)12
21.6%
13
78.4%
Q1 - 3:42DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 3:56MILMonroe 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)10
18.7%
13
81.3%
Q1 - 4:07MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.5%
13
82.5%
Q1 - 4:08DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 4:26MILMayo 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 4:51DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 4:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)6
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 4:58MILMISS Mayo 28' 3PT Jump Shot6
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 5:12MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 5:12DETMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
14.9%
13
85.1%
Q1 - 5:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)6
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 5:21MILMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 5:39DETJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)6
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 5:56MILMayo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)6
17.4%
10
82.6%
Q1 - 5:56MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
16.2%
10
83.8%
Q1 - 6:05MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
17.5%
10
82.5%
Q1 - 6:06DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot5
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 6:16DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 6:17MILMISS Middleton 8' Turnaround Jump Shot5
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 6:28MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
17.5%
10
82.5%
Q1 - 6:30DETMISS Marc Morris 5' Jump Shot5
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 6:51DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 6:52MILMISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot5
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 7:08DETDrummond 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)5
17.5%
10
82.5%
Q1 - 7:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 7:12MILMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 7:16MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 6' Jump Bank Shot5
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 7:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 7:47MILMISS Bayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 8:01DETMarc Morris 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 8:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 8:12MILMISS Antetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot5
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 8:24MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 8:25DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup5
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 8:48MILBayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)5
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 9:07DETMarc Morris 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
18.4%
6
81.6%
Q1 - 9:27DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 9:27MILMISS Monroe 9' Jump Shot2
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 9:43DETIlyasova 21' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)2
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 10:06DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 10:06MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot2
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 10:14MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 10:15DETMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot2
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 10:29MILMonroe 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)2
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 10:47MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.8%
2
79.2%
Q1 - 10:47DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 11:02DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.4%
2
80.6%
Q1 - 11:03MILMISS Mayo 8' Floating Jump Shot0
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 11:24DETIlyasova 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)0
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Monroe: Tip to Jackson0
21.8%
0
78.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.00 50.0%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
29
48%
DET
13
30
43%
Midrange
MIL
21
40
53%
DET
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
DET
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
MIL
13
14
93%
DET
27
39
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton2162%10.5 / 17
G. Monroe1447%7.0 / 15
O. Mayo1346%6.5 / 14
G. Antetokounmpo1250%6.0 / 12
J. Parker1056%5.0 / 9
J. Bayless950%4.5 / 9
J. Henson880%4.0 / 5
M. Carter-Williams638%3.0 / 8
J. O'Bryant III2100%1.0 / 1
R. Vaughn0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Morris2364%11.5 / 18
R. Jackson2368%11.5 / 17
A. Drummond1737%8.5 / 23
E. Ilyasova1354%6.5 / 12
S. Johnson1050%5.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope844%4.0 / 9
A. Tolliver867%4.0 / 6
S. Blake0-0.0 / 3
A. Baynes0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
85
+10
-14
95
DET
90
+12
-9
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.00 50.0%
DET
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
106.0
MIL 96.0 +7.1
DET 103.0
Pace
94.1
95.3
MIL 98.2
DET 99.8 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.1
MIL 14.7
DET 14.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
49.1%
MIL 47.1% +1.4%
DET 45.7%
TO %
15.4%
13.5%
MIL 13.9%
DET 9.2% +4.7%
ORB %
25.0%
27.0%
MIL 19.1% +3.1%
DET 16.0%
FTrt
27.6
29.6
MIL 16.1
DET 47.6 +31.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
51.2%
MIL 53.8% +0.9%
DET 52.9%
STL %
8.6%
7.3%
MIL 6.1%
DET 8.1% +2.0%
BLK %
10.2%
5.8%
MIL 10.2% +4.4%
DET 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
50.8%
MIL 50.0% +0.5%
DET 49.5%
Rim FG%
57.9%
55.8%
MIL 48.3% +5.0%
DET 43.3%
Mid FG%
39.0%
39.7%
MIL 52.5% +4.2%
DET 48.3%
3P %
34.5%
34.5%
MIL 22.2%
DET 30.4% +8.2%
FT %
74.7%
66.8%
MIL 92.9% +23.7%
DET 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.2%
36.0%
MIL 33.3%
DET 36.6% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
35.9%
33.7%
MIL 46.0%
DET 35.4% +10.6%
3P Att. %
18.9%
30.3%
MIL 20.7%
DET 28.0% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points95102
Rebounds5146
Assists2118
Steals68
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (1)38 (1)
Field Goals39-8734-82
At-the-Rim FG14-2913-30
Midrange FG21-4014-29
2-Point FG35-6927-59
3-Point FG4-187-23
Free Throws13-1427-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 222 · 24
33.9
21
62%
5
3
0
0
1
3
0
5
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
3-7
43%
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
33.7
13
46%
5
4
1
0
2
6
0
5
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 243 · 21
33.7
12
50%
9
2
0
1
4
5
1
8
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
33.3
14
47%
13
1
2
2
1
2
2
11
0-0
-
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
26.1
9
50%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
G · 6'6" 190 · 24
26.6
6
38%
7
5
0
0
3
4
0
7
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 21
19.1
10
56%
5
0
0
0
0
5
3
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 229 · 25
14.6
8
80%
3
0
1
3
2
3
3
0
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 202 · 19
10.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23
8.6
2
100%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 194 · 21
C · 6'11" 249 · 27
F · 6'9" 239 · 32
#21 · G · 6'6" 217 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
51
21
6
6
14
0
9
42
13-14
93%
35-69
51%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.