FinalWin Prob.pScore
454%107
95
1346%105
97
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
101.19496.5
MIA logo MIA
103.29491.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC95
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0OKCThunder Rebound95
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 0:01.0OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)95
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
34.7%
95
65.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
44.6%
95
55.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (26 PTS)95
64.7%
95
35.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
75.4%
93
24.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
79.4%
93
20.6%
Q4 - 1:02OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)95
84.5%
93
15.5%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
81.4%
93
18.6%
Q4 - 1:32OKCDurant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)95
70.8%
93
29.2%
Q4 - 1:45OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
48.2%
93
51.8%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
44.2%
93
55.8%
Q4 - 2:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
36.2%
93
63.8%
Q4 - 2:05OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 2 of 292
38.1%
93
61.9%
Q4 - 2:05OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)92
46.2%
93
53.8%
Q4 - 2:18OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)91
40.3%
93
59.7%
Q4 - 2:19OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot91
30.2%
93
69.8%
Q4 - 2:39MIAWade Dunk (24 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)91
40.7%
93
59.3%
Q4 - 2:43OKCDragic STEAL (2 STL)91
47.5%
91
52.5%
Q4 - 2:46OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
63.4%
91
36.6%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Layup Shot91
58.7%
91
41.3%
Q4 - 2:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
47.5%
91
52.5%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup91
58.7%
91
41.3%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
47.4%
91
52.6%
Q4 - 3:07OKCMISS Ibaka 15' Jump Shot91
51.8%
91
48.2%
Q4 - 3:20OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
62.0%
91
38.0%
Q4 - 3:21OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
51.9%
91
48.1%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)91
59.0%
91
41.0%
Q4 - 3:52OKCWinslow STEAL (2 STL)91
66.9%
89
33.1%
Q4 - 4:03OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
75.3%
89
24.7%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Green Free Throw 2 of 291
74.3%
89
25.7%
Q4 - 4:04MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)91
68.8%
89
31.2%
Q4 - 4:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
74.7%
88
25.3%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot91
79.7%
88
20.3%
Q4 - 4:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
74.7%
88
25.3%
Q4 - 4:16OKCMISS Westbrook 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
77.0%
88
23.0%
Q4 - 4:31OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
81.8%
88
18.2%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Green 6' Jump Shot91
79.8%
88
20.2%
Q4 - 4:55OKCIbaka Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)91
74.9%
88
25.1%
Q4 - 5:04OKCThunder Rebound89
66.1%
88
33.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot89
63.6%
88
36.4%
Q4 - 5:18OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)89
57.8%
88
42.2%
Q4 - 5:36OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
66.2%
88
33.8%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot89
63.7%
88
36.3%
Q4 - 5:56OKCDurant Running Dunk (21 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)89
57.9%
88
42.1%
Q4 - 6:01MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)87
51.3%
88
48.7%
Q4 - 6:11MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
42.8%
88
57.2%
Q4 - 6:12OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot87
45.4%
88
54.6%
Q4 - 6:24MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)87
51.2%
88
48.8%
Q4 - 6:43OKCWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)87
64.8%
85
35.2%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMcRoberts 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)84
52.0%
85
48.0%
Q4 - 7:18OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)84
58.2%
83
41.8%
Q4 - 7:45MIAGreen 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)84
65.4%
83
34.6%
Q4 - 8:02OKCCollison 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)84
69.9%
81
30.1%
Q4 - 8:12OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
64.2%
81
35.8%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
62.4%
81
37.6%
Q4 - 8:29MIAHEAT Rebound82
58.2%
81
41.8%
Q4 - 8:30OKCMISS Augustin 5' Jump Shot82
60.1%
81
39.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)82
64.2%
81
35.8%
Q4 - 8:57OKCMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)82
58.2%
81
41.8%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMcRoberts 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)82
63.9%
81
36.1%
Q4 - 9:39OKCWaiters 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)82
69.1%
79
30.9%
Q4 - 9:56MIAWinslow 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)80
63.9%
79
36.1%
Q4 - 10:15OKCWaiters 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
68.3%
77
31.7%
Q4 - 10:25OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
63.5%
77
36.5%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Bosh 18' Fadeaway Jumper78
61.8%
77
38.2%
Q4 - 10:52OKCWaiters 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)78
57.7%
77
42.3%
Q4 - 11:07OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
52.2%
77
47.8%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Dragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot76
50.4%
77
49.6%
Q4 - 11:21OKCAugustin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)76
46.5%
77
53.5%
Q4 - 11:39MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
52.2%
77
47.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC76
62.5%
74
37.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCThunder Rebound76
67.7%
74
32.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Durant 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
64.1%
74
35.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIADragic 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)76
67.0%
74
33.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0OKCDurant 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)76
71.4%
72
28.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)74
67.0%
72
33.0%
Q3 - 1:02OKCDurant Driving Dunk (17 PTS)74
74.6%
69
25.4%
Q3 - 1:13OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
70.8%
69
29.2%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot72
69.6%
69
30.4%
Q3 - 1:32OKCJohnson STEAL (2 STL)72
66.5%
69
33.5%
Q3 - 1:36OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
70.9%
69
29.1%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
69.6%
69
30.4%
Q3 - 1:51OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)72
66.5%
69
33.5%
Q3 - 2:03MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)72
69.9%
69
30.1%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHEAT Rebound72
73.5%
67
26.5%
Q3 - 2:25OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot72
74.6%
67
25.4%
Q3 - 2:30OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
77.2%
67
22.8%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Bank Shot72
76.1%
67
23.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
73.5%
67
26.5%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot72
76.1%
67
23.9%
Q3 - 3:02OKCKanter 1' Layup (10 PTS)72
73.0%
67
27.0%
Q3 - 3:14OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
69.6%
67
30.4%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
68.4%
67
31.6%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
65.4%
67
34.6%
Q3 - 3:27OKCMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot70
66.7%
67
33.3%
Q3 - 3:37OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
69.6%
67
30.4%
Q3 - 3:38OKCMISS Roberson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
66.7%
67
33.3%
Q3 - 3:50MIAGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)70
69.6%
67
30.4%
Q3 - 4:03OKCWestbrook 3' Driving Layup (25 PTS)70
64.7%
67
35.3%
Q3 - 4:08OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
61.4%
67
38.6%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot68
60.0%
67
40.0%
Q3 - 4:27OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
56.6%
67
43.4%
Q3 - 4:27OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
56.1%
67
43.9%
Q3 - 4:38MIAWade 18' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
53.1%
67
46.9%
Q3 - 5:03OKCDurant 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
56.6%
65
43.4%
Q3 - 5:15OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
52.9%
65
47.1%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
51.5%
65
48.5%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHEAT Rebound64
48.3%
65
51.7%
Q3 - 5:32OKCMISS Westbrook 11' Pullup Jump Shot64
49.7%
65
50.3%
Q3 - 5:42MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)64
52.9%
65
47.1%
Q3 - 6:02OKCWestbrook 2' Running Layup (23 PTS)64
56.5%
63
43.5%
Q3 - 6:08OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
53.1%
63
46.9%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup62
51.7%
63
48.3%
Q3 - 6:35OKCDurant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
48.7%
63
51.3%
Q3 - 6:41OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
41.3%
63
58.7%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot59
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 7:02OKCRoberson Putback Dunk (2 PTS)59
37.5%
63
62.5%
Q3 - 7:03OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 7:04OKCMISS Westbrook 20' Jump Shot57
31.8%
63
68.2%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)57
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 7:41OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)57
37.5%
61
62.5%
Q3 - 7:41OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)56
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q3 - 7:44OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 7:45OKCMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot55
31.7%
61
68.3%
Q3 - 8:03MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 255
36.4%
60
63.6%
Q3 - 8:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
34.6%
60
65.4%
Q3 - 8:09OKCMISS Ibaka 14' Jump Shot55
35.8%
60
64.2%
Q3 - 8:26MIABosh 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)55
38.5%
60
61.5%
Q3 - 8:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
41.6%
58
58.4%
Q3 - 8:37OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Turnaround Jump Shot55
42.9%
58
57.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIAWade 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS)55
45.8%
58
54.2%
Q3 - 9:01MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
49.3%
56
50.7%
Q3 - 9:02OKCMISS Ibaka Tip Layup Shot55
50.5%
56
49.5%
Q3 - 9:03OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
53.0%
56
47.0%
Q3 - 9:04OKCMISS Durant 9' Floating Jump Shot55
50.5%
56
49.5%
Q3 - 9:12OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
53.1%
56
46.9%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Dragic 15' Jump Shot55
51.9%
56
48.1%
Q3 - 9:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
49.3%
56
50.7%
Q3 - 9:27OKCMISS Westbrook 18' Jump Shot55
50.5%
56
49.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
53.1%
56
46.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
53.8%
55
46.2%
Q3 - 9:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
56.5%
54
43.5%
Q3 - 9:55OKCMISS Ibaka 20' Jump Shot55
57.7%
54
42.3%
Q3 - 10:03OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
60.3%
54
39.7%
Q3 - 10:04MIAMISS Green 1' Driving Layup55
59.2%
54
40.8%
Q3 - 10:31OKCAdams Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Durant 6 AST)55
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q3 - 10:44MIADragic 17' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
53.3%
54
46.7%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
56.6%
52
43.4%
Q3 - 10:55OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
57.7%
52
42.3%
Q3 - 11:10MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
60.5%
52
39.5%
Q3 - 11:36OKCWestbrook 13' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)53
63.5%
50
36.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
60.5%
50
39.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound51
56.9%
50
43.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot51
59.4%
50
40.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
57.7%
50
42.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Bosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper51
59.2%
50
40.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0OKCKanter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0OKCKanter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
56.9%
50
43.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)49
53.5%
50
46.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
57.6%
48
42.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0OKCMISS Kanter 5' Jump Shot49
58.3%
48
41.7%
Q2 - 1:11MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)49
59.5%
48
40.5%
Q2 - 1:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
64.0%
46
36.0%
Q2 - 1:24OKCMISS Westbrook 15' Fadeaway Jumper49
64.4%
46
35.6%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
65.5%
46
34.5%
Q2 - 2:03OKCDurant Driving Dunk (8 PTS)49
68.5%
44
31.5%
Q2 - 2:20OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
65.7%
44
34.3%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 247
65.4%
44
34.6%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 247
63.5%
44
36.5%
Q2 - 2:44MIAWade Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)47
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q2 - 2:44OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)47
65.9%
43
34.1%
Q2 - 2:47OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
68.4%
43
31.6%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot47
67.7%
43
32.3%
Q2 - 3:07OKCKanter 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)47
65.4%
43
34.6%
Q2 - 3:18MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T6)45
63.1%
43
36.9%
Q2 - 3:35OKCIbaka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Durant 5 AST)45
59.9%
43
40.1%
Q2 - 3:54MIABosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q2 - 4:08MIAHEAT Rebound42
57.1%
41
42.9%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot42
59.1%
41
40.9%
Q2 - 4:27OKCAdams 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)42
57.1%
41
42.9%
Q2 - 4:34MIADragic 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 4:41OKCWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)40
58.0%
39
42.0%
Q2 - 4:47OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
60.0%
39
40.0%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot40
59.1%
39
40.9%
Q2 - 5:05OKCDurant 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)40
57.2%
39
42.8%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
54.6%
39
45.4%
Q2 - 5:42OKCWestbrook Cutting Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)38
57.2%
37
42.8%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
54.6%
37
45.4%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
55.3%
36
44.7%
Q2 - 6:15OKCIbaka 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)36
57.0%
35
43.0%
Q2 - 6:24OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
55.1%
35
44.9%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Turnaround Jump Shot34
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 6:41OKCDurant Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)34
51.7%
35
48.3%
Q2 - 6:41OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 3 (3 PTS)33
51.4%
35
48.6%
Q2 - 6:41OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 332
51.0%
35
49.0%
Q2 - 6:47OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
49.7%
35
50.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Jump Shot32
48.6%
35
51.4%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
46.3%
35
53.7%
Q2 - 6:56OKCMISS Morrow 19' Jump Shot32
47.3%
35
52.7%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMcRoberts 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)32
49.7%
35
50.3%
Q2 - 7:33MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
52.1%
33
47.9%
Q2 - 7:34OKCMISS Augustin 14' Jump Shot32
53.0%
33
47.0%
Q2 - 7:57MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
55.0%
33
45.0%
Q2 - 8:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
57.2%
31
42.8%
Q2 - 8:03OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
58.0%
31
42.0%
Q2 - 8:15OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
59.8%
31
40.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot32
59.0%
31
41.0%
Q2 - 8:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 8:29OKCMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
58.0%
31
42.0%
Q2 - 8:38OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
59.8%
31
40.2%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
59.1%
31
40.9%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 8:49OKCMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
58.1%
31
41.9%
Q2 - 9:07MIABosh 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)32
59.9%
31
40.1%
Q2 - 9:26OKCWaiters 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
61.9%
29
38.1%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMcRoberts 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)30
59.9%
29
40.1%
Q2 - 9:53OKCDragic STEAL (1 STL)30
62.0%
27
38.0%
Q2 - 9:56OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
64.6%
27
35.4%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Dragic Driving Layup30
63.8%
27
36.2%
Q2 - 10:11OKCWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)30
61.6%
27
38.4%
Q2 - 10:20OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot28
58.9%
27
41.1%
Q2 - 10:36MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
56.9%
27
43.1%
Q2 - 10:37OKCMISS Waiters 12' Pullup Jump Shot28
57.8%
27
42.2%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMcRoberts 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)28
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
61.5%
25
38.5%
Q2 - 11:09OKCMISS Durant 16' Fadeaway Jumper28
62.2%
25
37.8%
Q2 - 11:19OKCThunder Rebound28
63.8%
25
36.2%
Q2 - 11:20OKCMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
62.2%
25
37.8%
Q2 - 11:43MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)28
63.9%
25
36.1%
Q2 - 11:47OKCJohnson STEAL (1 STL)28
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
68.2%
23
31.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound28
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Winslow 60' 3PT Jump Shot28
67.5%
23
32.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0OKCWinslow STEAL (1 STL)28
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWinslow Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)28
67.5%
23
32.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0OKCKanter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0OKCKanter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
65.6%
23
34.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0OKCThunder Rebound26
63.3%
23
36.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0OKCMISS Collison 6' Hook Shot26
62.2%
23
37.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIABosh 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
63.3%
23
36.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
66.0%
21
34.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0OKCMISS Morrow 15' Jump Shot26
66.5%
21
33.5%
Q1 - 1:07MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
67.5%
21
32.5%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 226
68.0%
20
32.0%
Q1 - 1:26OKCWestbrook 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)26
68.0%
20
32.0%
Q1 - 1:34OKCThunder Rebound24
65.4%
20
34.6%
Q1 - 1:35OKCMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)24
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q1 - 1:50MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
65.4%
20
34.6%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 224
65.9%
19
34.1%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
65.8%
19
34.2%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Johnson Driving Dunk24
67.1%
19
32.9%
Q1 - 2:13OKCBosh STEAL (2 STL)24
65.8%
19
34.2%
Q1 - 2:24OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
67.7%
19
32.3%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 224
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 224
66.2%
19
33.8%
Q1 - 2:37OKCWestbrook Running Dunk (13 PTS)24
65.8%
19
34.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
63.5%
19
36.5%
Q1 - 2:52OKCKanter 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)22
61.6%
19
38.4%
Q1 - 3:01OKCWestbrook Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)20
59.4%
19
40.6%
Q1 - 3:09OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
57.2%
19
42.8%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Green 20' Jump Shot19
56.5%
19
43.5%
Q1 - 3:35OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)19
54.8%
19
45.2%
Q1 - 3:35OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)18
54.5%
19
45.5%
Q1 - 3:47MIAWhiteside 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)17
52.8%
19
47.2%
Q1 - 4:02MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
54.7%
17
45.3%
Q1 - 4:03OKCMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot17
55.5%
17
44.5%
Q1 - 4:20MIAJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 4:32OKCIbaka 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)17
59.0%
15
41.0%
Q1 - 4:49OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
57.3%
15
42.7%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot15
56.5%
15
43.5%
Q1 - 5:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 5:09OKCMISS Adams Free Throw 2 of 215
55.1%
15
44.9%
Q1 - 5:09OKCAdams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
56.0%
15
44.0%
Q1 - 5:31MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)14
54.9%
15
45.1%
Q1 - 5:48OKCWestbrook 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
56.9%
13
43.1%
Q1 - 6:10OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot12
54.3%
13
45.7%
Q1 - 6:24OKCAdams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 6:24OKCAdams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 6:24OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 6:25OKCWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)10
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAGreen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)10
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 6:54OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
52.8%
11
47.2%
Q1 - 6:54OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)9
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 6:58OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Green 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup8
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 7:04OKCWestbrook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)8
49.1%
11
50.9%
Q1 - 7:08OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Shot8
50.6%
11
49.4%
Q1 - 7:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
49.0%
11
51.0%
Q1 - 7:16OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Step Back Jump Shot8
49.7%
11
50.3%
Q1 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 7:52OKCDurant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 8:13MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)6
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 8:29OKCWestbrook 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
53.3%
7
46.7%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 8:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
53.3%
5
46.7%
Q1 - 8:59OKCMISS Durant 2' Driving Layup4
54.0%
5
46.0%
Q1 - 9:14MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
55.6%
5
44.4%
Q1 - 9:26OKCBosh STEAL (1 STL)4
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 9:32MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
59.2%
3
40.8%
Q1 - 9:51OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 9:51OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
56.8%
3
43.2%
Q1 - 10:02MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
55.5%
3
44.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.0%
1
43.0%
Q1 - 10:16OKCMISS Adams 1' Tip Layup Shot2
57.6%
1
42.4%
Q1 - 10:17OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
59.1%
1
40.9%
Q1 - 10:18OKCMISS Durant 12' Jump Shot2
57.6%
1
42.4%
Q1 - 10:29MIAGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)2
59.1%
1
40.9%
Q1 - 10:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
57.0%
1
43.0%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
58.5%
1
41.5%
Q1 - 10:49OKCAdams 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
57.0%
1
43.0%
Q1 - 10:52OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
55.5%
1
44.5%
Q1 - 10:53OKCMISS Ibaka 21' Jump Shot0
54.0%
1
46.0%
Q1 - 11:12MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
55.2%
1
44.8%
Q1 - 11:22OKCWade STEAL (1 STL)0
53.6%
1
46.4%
Q1 - 11:34OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.2%
1
44.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 20
55.0%
1
45.0%
Q1 - 11:35MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
53.8%
1
46.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Adams: Tip to Green0
55.3%
0
44.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.02 51.1%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
18
25
72%
MIA
21
29
72%
Midrange
OKC
13
38
34%
MIA
16
39
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
OKC
21
24
88%
MIA
14
24
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook2557%12.5 / 22
K. Durant2552%12.5 / 24
D. Waiters1372%6.5 / 9
E. Kanter1071%5.0 / 7
S. Ibaka941%4.5 / 11
S. Adams975%4.5 / 6
A. Roberson233%1.0 / 3
N. Collison250%1.0 / 2
A. Morrow0-0.0 / 4
D. Augustin0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2856%14.0 / 25
C. Bosh1644%8.0 / 18
G. Dragic1464%7.0 / 11
J. McRoberts1275%6.0 / 8
H. Whiteside1161%5.5 / 9
T. Johnson867%4.0 / 6
G. Green525%2.5 / 10
J. Winslow225%1.0 / 4
J. Richardson150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
79
+14
-15
93
MIA
85
+9
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.02 51.1%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.7
106.0
OKC 101.1
MIA 103.2 +2.1
Pace
96.3
93.7
OKC 96.5 +5.0
MIA 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.0
OKC 14.9 +0.8
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.8%
OKC 46.8%
MIA 51.2% +4.4%
TO %
16.0%
14.0%
OKC 15.2%
MIA 8.9% +6.3%
ORB %
31.1%
23.9%
OKC 23.7% +9.1%
MIA 14.6%
FTrt
29.2
28.2
OKC 30.4 +0.8
MIA 29.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
54.3%
OKC 42.9%
MIA 62.5% +19.6%
STL %
7.6%
7.2%
OKC 5.3%
MIA 10.6% +5.3%
BLK %
9.3%
10.3%
OKC 1.5%
MIA 4.8% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.8%
OKC 51.1%
MIA 51.6% +0.5%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.3%
OKC 72.0%
MIA 72.4% +0.4%
Mid FG%
45.7%
40.5%
OKC 34.2%
MIA 41.0% +6.8%
3P %
34.9%
33.6%
OKC 25.0% +1.9%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
78.3%
74.4%
OKC 87.5% +29.2%
MIA 58.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
37.0%
OKC 31.6%
MIA 35.8% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
34.3%
40.9%
OKC 48.1% +0.0%
MIA 48.1%
3P Att. %
27.5%
22.1%
OKC 20.3% +4.2%
MIA 16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.78 and 2.78.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points9597
Rebounds4435
Assists1525
Steals510
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)29 (3)
Field Goals35-7940-81
At-the-Rim FG18-2521-29
Midrange FG13-3816-39
2-Point FG31-6337-68
3-Point FG4-163-13
Free Throws21-2414-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
34.5
25
57%
5
6
1
0
7
1
1
4
9-9
100%
8-15
53%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 240 · 27
34.3
25
52%
9
6
1
0
5
2
0
9
5-7
71%
7-14
50%
2-7
29%
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
33.3
9
41%
7
0
1
0
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
30.2
2
33%
9
0
1
1
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
20.2
9
75%
8
0
0
0
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 24
26.7
13
72%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 245 · 24
21.4
10
71%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 30
15.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 183 · 28
13.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 35
10.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 28
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 21
F · 6'10" 225 · 32
#33 · F · 6'10" 255 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G · 6'7" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
51%
44
15
5
1
15
0
9
35
21-24
88%
31-63
49%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.