FinalWin Prob.pScore
1539%102
105
1461%106
95
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
110.59598.1
MIA logo MIA
102.29390.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS105
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0BOSThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)104
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)103
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)103
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)103
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0BOSTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)101
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0BOSTurner 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)101
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
98.1%
93
1.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0BOSMISS Turner Free Throw 2 of 299
96.6%
93
3.4%
Q4 - 0:58.0BOSTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)99
97.7%
93
2.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
96.4%
93
3.6%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot98
95.5%
93
4.5%
Q4 - 1:08MIAHEAT Rebound98
91.9%
93
8.1%
Q4 - 1:09BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
93.2%
93
6.8%
Q4 - 1:32BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
93.5%
93
6.5%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup98
92.2%
93
7.8%
Q4 - 1:47BOSCrowder Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)98
87.4%
93
12.6%
Q4 - 1:47BOSCrowder Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)97
86.3%
93
13.7%
Q4 - 2:02MIABosh 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)96
81.6%
93
18.4%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)96
86.0%
91
14.0%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Winslow 1' Tip Layup Shot96
90.4%
91
9.6%
Q4 - 2:06MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
85.9%
91
14.1%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
90.4%
91
9.6%
Q4 - 2:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)96
85.8%
91
14.2%
Q4 - 2:14BOSMISS Thomas 1' Driving Layup96
88.0%
91
12.0%
Q4 - 2:29BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
92.0%
91
8.0%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
90.4%
91
9.6%
Q4 - 2:40BOSWade STEAL (5 STL)96
85.6%
91
14.4%
Q4 - 2:54BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
89.7%
91
10.3%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot96
88.0%
91
12.0%
Q4 - 3:04BOSBradley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)96
83.3%
91
16.7%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (30 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)96
90.0%
91
10.0%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
92.2%
89
7.8%
Q4 - 3:31BOSMISS Crowder 15' Jump Shot96
89.8%
89
10.2%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T19)96
92.2%
89
7.8%
Q4 - 3:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)96
89.2%
89
10.8%
Q4 - 3:50BOSMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
90.4%
89
9.6%
Q4 - 4:10MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)96
92.8%
89
7.2%
Q4 - 4:40BOSSullinger 2' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Bradley 3 AST)96
89.8%
89
10.2%
Q4 - 4:49BOSCeltics Rebound94
86.2%
89
13.8%
Q4 - 4:50BOSMISS Thomas 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup94
82.5%
89
17.5%
Q4 - 5:00MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (28 PTS)94
86.3%
89
13.7%
Q4 - 5:08MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
86.2%
87
13.8%
Q4 - 5:09BOSMISS Sullinger 8' Jump Shot94
87.4%
87
12.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (26 PTS)94
90.0%
87
10.0%
Q4 - 5:33MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
92.4%
85
7.6%
Q4 - 5:34BOSMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
93.2%
85
6.8%
Q4 - 5:54MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)94
94.6%
85
5.4%
Q4 - 6:07BOSSullinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Thomas 9 AST)94
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 6:24BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
90.5%
83
9.5%
Q4 - 6:25BOSMISS Johnson 8' Floating Jump Shot91
88.3%
83
11.7%
Q4 - 6:43BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
90.6%
83
9.4%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot91
89.7%
83
10.3%
Q4 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
84.8%
83
15.2%
Q4 - 7:03BOSMISS Sullinger 12' Jump Shot91
86.0%
83
14.0%
Q4 - 7:23BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
88.4%
83
11.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot91
87.5%
83
12.5%
Q4 - 7:42BOSJohnson 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Turner 3 AST)91
85.0%
83
15.0%
Q4 - 7:50MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)89
81.6%
83
18.4%
Q4 - 8:06BOSBradley Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T14)89
74.4%
83
25.6%
Q4 - 8:18BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
78.9%
83
21.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
77.6%
83
22.4%
Q4 - 8:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
74.5%
83
25.5%
Q4 - 8:29BOSMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)89
75.9%
83
24.1%
Q4 - 8:41BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
79.0%
83
21.0%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Bosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper89
77.7%
83
22.3%
Q4 - 9:03BOSCrowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sullinger 3 AST)89
72.4%
83
27.6%
Q4 - 9:23MIAWinslow Foul Turnover (P4.T16)86
62.2%
83
37.8%
Q4 - 9:40BOSBradley 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Sullinger 2 AST)86
56.2%
83
43.8%
Q4 - 9:55MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)84
50.4%
83
49.6%
Q4 - 10:08BOSBradley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)84
60.5%
80
39.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)81
49.7%
80
50.3%
Q4 - 10:47BOSJohnson STEAL (1 STL)81
60.6%
77
39.4%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMcRoberts Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)81
66.3%
77
33.7%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
59.4%
77
40.6%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot81
63.1%
77
36.9%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
59.5%
77
40.5%
Q4 - 11:25BOSBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)81
61.1%
77
38.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)81
64.8%
77
35.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS81
69.4%
75
30.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound81
74.0%
75
26.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Olynyk 6' Jump Shot81
69.2%
75
30.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIABosh 2' Layup (11 PTS)81
72.3%
75
27.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
76.2%
73
23.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Dragic 19' Jump Shot81
78.7%
73
21.3%
Q3 - 1:01BOSOlynyk 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)81
74.5%
73
25.5%
Q3 - 1:04BOSLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
70.8%
73
29.2%
Q3 - 1:05BOSMISS Bradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
67.8%
73
32.2%
Q3 - 1:14BOSLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
70.8%
73
29.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Winslow 5' Jump Shot79
69.5%
73
30.5%
Q3 - 1:17MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
66.5%
73
33.5%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot79
69.5%
73
30.5%
Q3 - 1:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
66.5%
73
33.5%
Q3 - 1:40BOSMISS Bradley 19' Fadeaway Jumper79
67.9%
73
32.1%
Q3 - 1:50MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)79
70.9%
73
29.1%
Q3 - 2:07BOSBradley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)79
64.5%
73
35.5%
Q3 - 2:27MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)76
56.0%
73
44.0%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q3 - 2:36BOSWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)76
61.7%
71
38.3%
Q3 - 2:48BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
64.9%
71
35.1%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 276
64.3%
71
35.7%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 276
62.3%
71
37.7%
Q3 - 2:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
60.3%
71
39.7%
Q3 - 2:59BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
61.8%
71
38.2%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)76
64.0%
71
36.0%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
67.7%
69
32.3%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
70.5%
69
29.5%
Q3 - 3:52BOSDragic STEAL (1 STL)76
67.7%
69
32.3%
Q3 - 3:54BOSLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
71.8%
69
28.2%
Q3 - 3:55BOSMISS Bradley 3PT Jump Shot76
69.0%
69
31.0%
Q3 - 4:10BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
70.4%
69
29.6%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 8' Fadeaway Jumper76
69.1%
69
30.9%
Q3 - 4:21BOSWade STEAL (4 STL)76
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 4:37MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)76
70.5%
69
29.5%
Q3 - 4:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
73.5%
67
26.5%
Q3 - 4:52BOSMISS Sullinger Free Throw 2 of 276
74.0%
67
26.0%
Q3 - 4:52BOSSullinger Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
76.0%
67
24.0%
Q3 - 4:53BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
74.0%
67
26.0%
Q3 - 4:54BOSWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)75
71.2%
67
28.8%
Q3 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)75
72.4%
67
27.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
73.0%
66
27.0%
Q3 - 5:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
75.2%
65
24.8%
Q3 - 5:19BOSMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
76.3%
65
23.7%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)75
78.5%
65
21.5%
Q3 - 5:45BOSWade STEAL (3 STL)75
80.9%
63
19.1%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWade Driving Reverse Dunk Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)75
83.6%
63
16.4%
Q3 - 6:08MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
84.1%
61
15.9%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot75
85.7%
61
14.3%
Q3 - 6:37BOSBradley 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)75
84.2%
61
15.8%
Q3 - 6:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)73
82.3%
61
17.7%
Q3 - 6:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)73
82.7%
60
17.3%
Q3 - 7:21BOSThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
83.0%
59
17.0%
Q3 - 7:29MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Crowder: Tip to Sullinger70
78.5%
59
21.5%
Q3 - 7:45BOSBradley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Thomas 8 AST)70
75.5%
59
24.5%
Q3 - 8:02MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)67
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q3 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
71.8%
57
28.2%
Q3 - 8:08BOSWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)67
72.8%
57
27.2%
Q3 - 8:24MIAWade Driving Dunk (14 PTS)67
75.1%
57
24.9%
Q3 - 8:30BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)67
77.4%
55
22.6%
Q3 - 8:43MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)67
80.3%
55
19.7%
Q3 - 8:43MIAHEAT Rebound67
77.5%
55
22.5%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Green 33' 3PT Jump Shot67
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q3 - 9:14BOSBradley 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)67
76.2%
55
23.8%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)65
73.6%
55
26.4%
Q3 - 9:28MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
70.7%
55
29.3%
Q3 - 9:29BOSMISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot65
71.6%
55
28.4%
Q3 - 9:39BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
73.7%
55
26.3%
Q3 - 9:40BOSMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
71.6%
55
28.4%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)65
73.7%
55
26.3%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
70.7%
55
29.3%
Q3 - 9:57BOSMISS Bradley 17' Jump Shot65
71.7%
55
28.3%
Q3 - 10:10MIAWade 7' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)65
72.6%
55
27.4%
Q3 - 10:34BOSJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thomas 7 AST)65
75.2%
53
24.8%
Q3 - 10:55MIAGreen 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)62
69.8%
53
30.2%
Q3 - 11:08BOSSullinger Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)62
71.3%
51
28.7%
Q3 - 11:09BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
65.6%
51
34.4%
Q3 - 11:09BOSMISS Thomas 7' Hook Shot59
63.3%
51
36.7%
Q3 - 11:15BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
65.6%
51
34.4%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot59
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q3 - 11:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
62.3%
51
37.7%
Q3 - 11:26BOSMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot59
63.4%
51
36.6%
Q3 - 11:27BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
65.7%
51
34.3%
Q3 - 11:28BOSMISS Crowder 1' Tip Layup Shot59
63.4%
51
36.6%
Q3 - 11:29BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
65.7%
51
34.3%
Q3 - 11:30BOSMISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot59
63.4%
51
36.6%
Q3 - 11:33MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)59
65.7%
51
34.3%
Q3 - 11:47BOSBradley 7' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Thomas 6 AST)59
62.4%
51
37.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS57
59.4%
51
40.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
57.8%
51
42.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
57.1%
51
42.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0BOSTurner 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sullinger 1 AST)57
55.6%
51
44.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
51.4%
51
48.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
52.2%
50
47.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
55.6%
49
44.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Bank Shot55
57.2%
49
42.8%
Q2 - 1:16BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
55.4%
49
44.6%
Q2 - 1:16BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
55.1%
49
44.9%
Q2 - 1:26MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)53
50.8%
49
49.2%
Q2 - 1:46BOSSullinger 2' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)53
55.5%
47
44.5%
Q2 - 1:53BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
50.8%
47
49.2%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup51
50.3%
47
49.7%
Q2 - 2:14BOSThomas 3' Running Layup (9 PTS)51
47.9%
47
52.1%
Q2 - 2:19MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)49
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q2 - 2:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q2 - 2:28BOSMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot49
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
45.4%
46
54.6%
Q2 - 3:01BOSJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
47.0%
45
53.0%
Q2 - 3:01BOSMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 248
46.1%
45
53.9%
Q2 - 3:01BOSCeltics Rebound48
47.5%
45
52.5%
Q2 - 3:01BOSMISS Turner 12' Jump Shot48
45.1%
45
54.9%
Q2 - 3:20MIABosh 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)48
47.5%
45
52.5%
Q2 - 3:39BOSBradley Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)48
50.0%
43
50.0%
Q2 - 3:39BOSBradley Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)47
49.4%
43
50.6%
Q2 - 3:39BOSBradley Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)46
48.8%
43
51.2%
Q2 - 3:47BOSSullinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
44.6%
43
55.4%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot45
43.5%
43
56.5%
Q2 - 4:05MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
40.9%
43
59.1%
Q2 - 4:06BOSMISS Turner 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 4:23BOSCeltics Rebound45
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 245
43.4%
43
56.6%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 245
41.6%
43
58.4%
Q2 - 4:25BOSWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)45
40.9%
43
59.1%
Q2 - 4:53MIADragic 7' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)45
43.9%
43
56.1%
Q2 - 5:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 5:09BOSMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot45
47.1%
41
52.9%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T7)45
49.2%
41
50.8%
Q2 - 5:46BOSJohnson 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)45
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)43
43.6%
41
56.4%
Q2 - 6:20BOSThomas 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 6:31BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
38.4%
41
61.6%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot41
37.5%
41
62.5%
Q2 - 6:57BOSSullinger 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
35.3%
41
64.7%
Q2 - 7:16BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
33.3%
41
66.7%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 239
33.0%
41
67.0%
Q2 - 7:17MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
31.6%
41
68.4%
Q2 - 7:38BOSSullinger Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)39
33.1%
40
66.9%
Q2 - 7:44MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)39
35.7%
40
64.3%
Q2 - 7:51MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
40.4%
37
59.6%
Q2 - 7:52BOSMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 7:55BOSLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
43.2%
37
56.8%
Q2 - 7:56BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 8:10MIAGreen 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)39
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 8:24BOSOlynyk Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)39
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 8:47MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 9:05BOSThomas 13' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
52.0%
32
48.0%
Q2 - 9:19MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
49.9%
32
50.1%
Q2 - 9:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
50.4%
31
49.6%
Q2 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound37
52.1%
30
47.9%
Q2 - 9:31BOSMISS Jerebko 3' Layup37
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMcRoberts 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)37
55.0%
30
45.0%
Q2 - 9:59BOSLee 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)37
57.1%
28
42.9%
Q2 - 10:04BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
54.8%
28
45.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
53.9%
28
46.1%
Q2 - 10:17BOSOlynyk Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)35
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 10:29MIAJohnson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)35
54.8%
28
45.2%
Q2 - 10:39BOSOlynyk Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
56.7%
26
43.3%
Q2 - 10:39BOSOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
56.2%
26
43.8%
Q2 - 10:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
54.8%
26
45.2%
Q2 - 11:00BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
51.8%
26
48.2%
Q2 - 11:00BOSMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 232
51.5%
26
48.5%
Q2 - 11:15MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)32
51.5%
26
48.5%
Q2 - 11:25MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q2 - 11:26BOSGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)32
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 11:36BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
58.7%
23
41.3%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Layup32
57.9%
23
42.1%
Q2 - 11:49BOSLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
58.7%
23
41.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSThomas 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
56.3%
23
43.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)30
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSTurner 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
56.0%
21
44.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAJohnson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)28
53.0%
21
47.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0BOSBosh STEAL (1 STL)28
56.0%
19
44.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0BOSLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
57.7%
19
42.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS McRoberts 9' Jump Bank Shot28
57.2%
19
42.8%
Q1 - 1:21BOSLee 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)28
55.6%
19
44.4%
Q1 - 1:29BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
52.7%
19
47.3%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup26
52.2%
19
47.8%
Q1 - 1:53BOSTurner 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 2:01BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
48.2%
19
51.8%
Q1 - 2:02BOSMISS Lee 2' Driving Layup24
46.7%
19
53.3%
Q1 - 2:14BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
48.2%
19
51.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
47.5%
19
52.5%
Q1 - 2:28BOSBradley 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
46.1%
19
53.9%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMcRoberts 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)22
43.6%
19
56.4%
Q1 - 2:56BOSCrowder Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 2:56BOSCrowder Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
45.7%
17
54.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
43.4%
17
56.6%
Q1 - 3:26BOSCrowder 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)20
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 3:27BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
39.1%
17
60.9%
Q1 - 3:28BOSMISS Turner 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup18
37.5%
17
62.5%
Q1 - 3:32MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
39.1%
17
60.9%
Q1 - 3:47BOSSullinger 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
36.8%
17
63.2%
Q1 - 3:57BOSBradley Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)16
35.0%
17
65.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWade 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS)15
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)15
34.5%
15
65.5%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot15
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 4:42BOSTurner 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)15
34.5%
15
65.5%
Q1 - 4:47MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
32.9%
15
67.1%
Q1 - 5:04BOSBradley 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
30.8%
15
69.2%
Q1 - 5:12BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot11
28.6%
15
71.4%
Q1 - 5:36BOSCrowder 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 6:03BOSCeltics Turnover: Backcourt (T#2)9
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 6:16MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
26.1%
15
73.9%
Q1 - 6:16MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot9
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 6:38BOSSullinger 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)9
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 6:51BOSBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
25.6%
13
74.4%
Q1 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
24.6%
13
75.4%
Q1 - 7:03BOSMISS Thomas 19' Pullup Jump Shot7
25.1%
13
74.9%
Q1 - 7:14MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 27
26.6%
12
73.4%
Q1 - 7:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 7:18BOSMISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot7
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 7:36MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)7
27.8%
12
72.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
30.7%
9
69.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
32.0%
9
68.0%
Q1 - 8:23BOSCrowder 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)7
30.7%
9
69.3%
Q1 - 8:30MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 8:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.7%
7
69.3%
Q1 - 8:43BOSMISS Thomas 18' Pullup Jump Shot5
31.3%
7
68.7%
Q1 - 8:49BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
32.6%
7
67.4%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup5
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 9:06BOSJohnson 8' Hook Shot (5 PTS)5
30.6%
7
69.4%
Q1 - 9:28MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)3
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 9:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
30.6%
5
69.4%
Q1 - 9:52BOSMISS Bradley 20' Step Back Jump Shot3
31.2%
5
68.8%
Q1 - 10:11BOSCeltics Rebound3
32.5%
5
67.5%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot3
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 10:26BOSJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)3
30.7%
5
69.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIADragic 6' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
27.9%
5
72.1%
Q1 - 10:51MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.1%
3
70.9%
Q1 - 10:52BOSMISS Sullinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.7%
3
70.3%
Q1 - 11:17MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
30.7%
3
69.3%
Q1 - 11:25BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)0
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 11:37BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup0
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Johnson: Tip to Green0
33.9%
0
66.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.3%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
13
25
52%
MIA
19
27
70%
Midrange
BOS
17
35
49%
MIA
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
BOS
21
25
84%
MIA
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bradley2578%12.5 / 16
J. Sullinger1777%8.5 / 11
I. Thomas1640%8.0 / 20
A. Johnson1365%6.5 / 10
J. Crowder1365%6.5 / 10
E. Turner1350%6.5 / 13
D. Lee450%2.0 / 4
K. Olynyk440%2.0 / 5
J. Jerebko0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3056%15.0 / 27
C. Bosh2158%10.5 / 18
T. Johnson10100%5.0 / 5
G. Green950%4.5 / 9
G. Dragic938%4.5 / 12
H. Whiteside650%3.0 / 6
J. McRoberts675%3.0 / 4
J. Winslow440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
80
+15
-15
95
MIA
75
+12
-18
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.3%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.8
106.0
BOS 110.5 +8.4
MIA 102.2
Pace
98.5
93.7
BOS 98.1 +8.0
MIA 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
16.0
BOS 14.7 +1.3
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
50.8%
BOS 52.5% +1.2%
MIA 51.3%
TO %
13.6%
14.0%
BOS 15.0% +3.2%
MIA 18.2%
ORB %
25.1%
23.9%
BOS 30.8% +2.6%
MIA 28.2%
FTrt
26.4
28.2
BOS 31.3
MIA 32.0 +0.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.6%
54.3%
BOS 60.5% +2.2%
MIA 58.3%
STL %
9.3%
7.2%
BOS 15.8% +6.1%
MIA 9.7%
BLK %
6.9%
10.3%
BOS 5.2%
MIA 10.0% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
52.8%
BOS 55.3% +1.3%
MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%
57.7%
62.3%
BOS 52.0%
MIA 70.4% +18.4%
Mid FG%
37.6%
40.5%
BOS 48.6% +9.9%
MIA 38.7%
3P %
33.5%
33.6%
BOS 40.0% +10.6%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
78.8%
74.4%
BOS 84.0% +9.0%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.0%
BOS 31.3%
MIA 36.0% +4.7%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
40.9%
BOS 43.8%
MIA 41.3% +2.4%
3P Att. %
29.3%
22.1%
BOS 25.0% +2.3%
MIA 22.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points10595
Rebounds4038
Assists2321
Steals159
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals38-8036-75
At-the-Rim FG13-2519-27
Midrange FG17-3512-31
2-Point FG30-6031-58
3-Point FG8-205-17
Free Throws21-2518-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 180 · 25
39.3
25
78%
2
3
3
1
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
3-6
50%
C · 6'9" 260 · 24
33.8
17
77%
6
3
1
0
2
3
2
4
2-3
67%
6-8
75%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 240 · 29
33.1
13
65%
10
2
1
2
3
4
3
7
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
G · 5'9" 185 · 27
32.0
16
40%
1
9
1
0
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
4-12
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'6" 235 · 25
31.8
13
65%
5
1
4
0
2
5
2
3
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27
32.0
13
50%
6
3
3
0
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33
13.8
4
50%
5
0
0
0
2
3
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25
9.5
4
40%
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 231 · 29
9.5
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 22
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 22
C · 7'0" 250 · 26
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20
#55 · C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#36 · G · 6'3" 220 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
40
23
15
3
15
0
12
28
21-25
84%
30-60
50%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.