FinalWin Prob.pScore
749%106
105
1851%107
116
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
109.496100.2
DET logo DET
120.89692.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDET
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU105
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)105
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETPISTONS Rebound105
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)105
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)105
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Thornton 1' Layup105
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)105
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 2 of 2105
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)105
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)105
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Baynes Free Throw 2 of 2105
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)105
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0HOUThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)105
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 1:09DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)102
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 1:09DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)102
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 1:21HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)102
0.9%
110
99.1%
Q4 - 1:21HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)101
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 1:31DETJackson 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Marc Morris 6 AST)100
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 1:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)100
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 1:56HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 2100
1.7%
108
98.3%
Q4 - 1:56HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)100
2.4%
108
97.6%
Q4 - 2:10DETJackson 1' Layup (27 PTS)99
2.3%
108
97.7%
Q4 - 2:28HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)99
3.0%
106
97.0%
Q4 - 2:28HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)98
2.8%
106
97.2%
Q4 - 2:33DETCaldwell-Pope Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)97
2.4%
106
97.6%
Q4 - 2:56HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)97
1.7%
106
98.3%
Q4 - 3:15DETBaynes 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)93
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 3:18DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)93
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 3:19DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 3:43HOUThornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)93
1.5%
104
98.5%
Q4 - 3:57DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)90
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 3:57DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 290
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 4:07DETPISTONS Rebound90
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 4:07DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 290
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 4:07DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 290
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 4:09DETPISTONS Rebound90
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 4:09HOUMISS Harden 5' Floating Jump Shot90
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 4:22HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)90
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 4:23DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 190
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 4:35HOUThornton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)90
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 4:57DETJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Marc Morris 5 AST)90
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 5:19HOUThornton 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)90
5.7%
98
94.3%
Q4 - 5:33DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)87
3.1%
98
96.9%
Q4 - 5:33DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 5:41HOUThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)87
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 5:41HOUThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 5:48DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (22 PTS)85
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 5:51DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 5:52DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
5.2%
94
94.8%
Q4 - 6:05DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q4 - 6:05HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
6.1%
94
93.9%
Q4 - 6:11HOURockets Rebound85
7.6%
94
92.4%
Q4 - 6:11HOUDrummond BLOCK (3 BLK)85
6.1%
94
93.9%
Q4 - 6:32DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
7.5%
94
92.5%
Q4 - 6:32DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 285
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 6:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
7.2%
93
92.8%
Q4 - 6:47HOUMISS Capela 6' Jump Shot85
7.9%
93
92.1%
Q4 - 7:07DETJackson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (21 PTS)85
11.7%
93
88.3%
Q4 - 7:23HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)85
14.5%
91
85.5%
Q4 - 7:23HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)84
14.1%
91
85.9%
Q4 - 7:23HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 383
13.6%
91
86.4%
Q4 - 7:45DETDrummond 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)83
11.6%
91
88.4%
Q4 - 8:09HOUHarden 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)83
16.4%
89
83.6%
Q4 - 8:19DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)80
10.4%
89
89.6%
Q4 - 8:39HOUCaldwell-Pope STEAL (2 STL)80
8.3%
89
91.7%
Q4 - 8:51HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
10.4%
89
89.6%
Q4 - 8:51DETMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot80
9.7%
89
90.3%
Q4 - 8:57DETPISTONS Rebound80
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 8:57DETMISS Jackson 2' Layup80
9.7%
89
90.3%
Q4 - 9:09DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
9.6%
89
90.4%
Q4 - 9:09HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 9:16HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
12.0%
89
88.0%
Q4 - 9:18HOUDrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)80
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 9:39DETJackson 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)80
11.9%
89
88.1%
Q4 - 9:39DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
14.6%
87
85.4%
Q4 - 9:39HOUMISS Harden 15' Jump Shot80
15.5%
87
84.5%
Q4 - 10:07DETDrummond Tip Layup Shot (18 PTS)80
19.2%
87
80.8%
Q4 - 10:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
22.7%
85
77.3%
Q4 - 10:11DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q4 - 10:20HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)80
22.7%
85
77.3%
Q4 - 10:33DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
27.2%
85
72.8%
Q4 - 10:33DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 280
28.3%
84
71.7%
Q4 - 10:33DETPISTONS Rebound80
26.9%
84
73.1%
Q4 - 10:33DETMISS Marc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
30.3%
84
69.7%
Q4 - 10:45HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
26.9%
84
73.1%
Q4 - 10:45HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
26.4%
84
73.6%
Q4 - 10:46HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
22.9%
84
77.1%
Q4 - 10:46DETMISS Marc Morris 28' 3PT Jump Shot78
21.6%
84
78.4%
Q4 - 11:16HOULawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)78
19.9%
84
80.1%
Q4 - 11:21HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
14.0%
84
86.0%
Q4 - 11:22HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
12.2%
84
87.8%
Q4 - 11:30HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
14.0%
84
86.0%
Q4 - 11:31DETMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
13.2%
84
86.8%
Q4 - 11:45HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
11.5%
84
88.5%
Q4 - 11:45HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
11.0%
84
89.0%
Q4 - 11:46DETJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)73
9.5%
84
90.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET73
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound73
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Baynes 3' Jump Shot73
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0HOUThornton 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
7.2%
84
92.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot71
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)71
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q3 - 1:14DETBaynes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)69
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q3 - 1:28HOUThornton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)69
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q3 - 1:39DETJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Baynes 2 AST)66
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q3 - 1:53HOUBrewer 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)66
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 1:59HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)64
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 2:00DETMISS Baynes Layup64
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q3 - 2:13HOULawson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)64
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 2:42DETJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)61
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q3 - 2:49DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 2:50HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q3 - 2:58HOULawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q3 - 2:58HOUMISS Lawson 1' Layup61
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q3 - 3:08DETTolliver 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)61
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q3 - 3:26HOULawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q3 - 3:48DETIlyasova 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)58
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 4:12HOUBrewer 5' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)58
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q3 - 4:31DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 256
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 4:31DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)56
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 4:47DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 4:47DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 254
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 4:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
4.0%
72
96.0%
Q3 - 4:49HOUMISS Lawson 10' Jump Shot54
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 4:58HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 5:00DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 254
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 5:00DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 254
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q3 - 5:03HOUDrummond STEAL (3 STL)54
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 5:09HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 5:11DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 254
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 5:11DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 254
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 5:17HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)54
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 5:23HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 5:23DETMISS Jackson 2' Layup52
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 5:28DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 5:29HOUMISS Ariza 11' Jump Shot52
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 5:54HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 5:55DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 252
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 5:55DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 5:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 5:57HOUMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot52
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 6:15HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 6:16DETMISS Drummond Layup52
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 6:32HOUDrummond STEAL (2 STL)52
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 6:47HOURockets Rebound52
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 6:48DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 252
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 6:48DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 252
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 7:04DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 7:04HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Jump Shot52
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 7:13HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)52
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 7:14DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 7:33HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)52
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 7:39DETMarc Morris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)49
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 7:55HOUHarden 6' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 8:16HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 8:17DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 8:30HOUHoward Dunk (6 PTS)47
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 8:33HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)45
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 8:35HOUMISS Beverley 1' Driving Layup45
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 8:48DETIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 8:48DETIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 9:06HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T11)45
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 9:11DETMarc Morris 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)45
3.2%
69
96.8%
Q3 - 9:33HOUHarrell Dunk (2 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)45
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 9:38HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 9:45DETMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 10:05DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 10:05HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.2%
67
96.8%
Q3 - 10:23DETDrummond 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)43
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 10:36DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 10:37HOUMISS Capela 1' Layup43
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 10:49DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)43
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 11:04HOUBeverley 4' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)43
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 11:18DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 11:18DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 241
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 11:33DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 11:34HOUMISS Beverley 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.1%
64
95.9%
Q3 - 11:43DETJump Ball Jackson vs. Beverley: Tip to Capela41
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET41
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound41
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Blake 31' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUHarden Driving Layup (11 PTS)41
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETIlyasova 1' Layup (9 PTS)39
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETMISS Marc Morris 16' Jump Shot39
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0HOUCapela Layup (9 PTS)39
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)37
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Beverley 6' Jump Shot37
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q2 - 1:04HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q2 - 1:05DETMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot37
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q2 - 1:22HOUCapela 1' Layup (7 PTS)37
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 1:29HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)35
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q2 - 1:30HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 235
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q2 - 1:30HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q2 - 1:44DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)34
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q2 - 2:03HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 2:03HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q2 - 2:14DETJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)32
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 2:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q2 - 2:31HOUMISS Capela 1' Layup32
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q2 - 2:50DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)32
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q2 - 3:08HOUAriza 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)32
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q2 - 3:21DETDrummond 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (10 PTS)30
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 3:37DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)30
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup30
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 3:52HOUJones Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)30
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 3:53HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 3:54HOUMISS Capela 2' Tip Layup Shot28
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 3:55HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)28
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 3:56HOUMISS Harden 1' Tip Layup Shot28
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 3:58HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 4:00HOUMISS Capela 4' Jump Shot28
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 4:12HOURockets Rebound28
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 4:12HOUJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)28
5.9%
52
94.1%
Q2 - 4:24DETCaldwell-Pope 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)28
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 4:28DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
7.1%
50
92.9%
Q2 - 4:29DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3' Jump Shot28
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q2 - 4:36DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
7.0%
50
93.0%
Q2 - 4:37HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 5:03DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)28
8.4%
50
91.6%
Q2 - 5:19HOUAriza Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)28
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 5:21HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)28
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 5:23DETBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 5:33HOUAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T9)27
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q2 - 5:50DETDrummond 1' Layup (6 PTS)27
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 5:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q2 - 5:54DETMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot27
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 6:12HOUHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)27
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 6:19HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
12.1%
46
87.9%
Q2 - 6:20DETMISS Drummond Layup27
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 6:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 6:26DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup27
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 6:44HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)27
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 6:52HOURockets Rebound27
12.1%
46
87.9%
Q2 - 6:52HOUBlake BLOCK (1 BLK)27
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 7:02HOURockets Rebound27
12.7%
46
87.3%
Q2 - 7:03DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 127
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 7:06DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)27
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 7:06DETMISS Johnson Layup27
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 7:25DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 7:25HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 7:35DETJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)27
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 7:49DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 7:49DETMISS Drummond 5' Jump Shot27
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 7:55DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)27
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 7:56HOUMISS Capela 1' Layup27
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 7:57HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 7:58HOUDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)27
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 8:03HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)27
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 8:03HOUMISS Thornton 1' Layup27
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 8:24DETJohnson 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)27
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 8:43HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
20.1%
40
79.9%
Q2 - 8:46DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 9:03DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 9:03HOUMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot24
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 9:14DETDrummond 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Marc Morris 4 AST)24
17.6%
40
82.4%
Q2 - 9:36HOUThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 9:36HOUThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 9:36HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 9:37HOUMISS Thornton Layup22
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 9:40HOURockets Rebound22
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 9:40HOUJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 9:45HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 9:46DETMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot22
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 9:53DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 9:53HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 10:03DETMarc Morris Putback Dunk (9 PTS)22
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 10:06DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot22
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 10:24DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 10:25HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 222
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q2 - 10:25HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
20.0%
36
80.0%
Q2 - 10:35DETJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marc Morris 3 AST)21
19.4%
36
80.6%
Q2 - 10:46DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)21
22.3%
33
77.7%
Q2 - 10:47HOUMISS Brewer 11' Jump Shot21
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 11:13DETBaynes Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)21
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 11:24DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 11:24HOUMISS Thornton 12' Jump Shot21
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 11:36DETMarc Morris 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 11:46DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q2 - 11:47HOUMISS Jones 1' Layup21
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU21
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound21
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Jones 46' 3PT Jump Shot21
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Jackson 2' Layup21
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0HOUJackson STEAL (2 STL)19
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)19
32.4%
27
67.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
35.0%
25
65.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup19
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
36.6%
25
63.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot19
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q1 - 1:08HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
36.9%
25
63.1%
Q1 - 1:09DETMISS Baynes 5' Turnaround Jump Shot19
36.4%
25
63.6%
Q1 - 1:23DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
35.3%
25
64.7%
Q1 - 1:23HOUMISS Harden 5' Jump Shot19
35.8%
25
64.2%
Q1 - 1:33HOULawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
36.9%
25
63.1%
Q1 - 1:34DETMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot19
36.4%
25
63.6%
Q1 - 1:53HOULawson 2' Layup (2 PTS)19
35.3%
25
64.7%
Q1 - 2:00DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q1 - 2:04DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q1 - 2:05HOUMISS Ariza 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q1 - 2:12HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q1 - 2:12DETMISS Ilyasova 4' Jump Shot17
32.6%
25
67.4%
Q1 - 2:18DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q1 - 2:20HOUBaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)17
31.9%
25
68.1%
Q1 - 2:34DETJackson 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS)17
33.1%
25
66.9%
Q1 - 2:43DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.4%
23
64.6%
Q1 - 2:44HOUMISS Ariza Layup17
36.0%
23
64.0%
Q1 - 2:58DETIlyasova 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)17
37.3%
23
62.7%
Q1 - 3:03DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
39.8%
21
60.2%
Q1 - 3:04HOUIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)17
40.5%
21
59.5%
Q1 - 3:17HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
42.2%
21
57.8%
Q1 - 3:18DETMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot17
41.4%
21
58.6%
Q1 - 3:31HOUHarden 1' Layup (4 PTS)17
39.8%
21
60.2%
Q1 - 3:55DETJackson 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
37.9%
21
62.1%
Q1 - 4:10DETPISTONS Rebound15
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 4:10HOUMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
40.6%
19
59.4%
Q1 - 4:14HOULawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
42.3%
19
57.7%
Q1 - 4:17HOUMISS Harden 4' Jump Bank Shot15
40.6%
19
59.4%
Q1 - 4:29DETBaynes 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)15
42.3%
19
57.7%
Q1 - 4:34DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
44.1%
17
55.9%
Q1 - 4:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot15
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 4:55HOUJackson STEAL (1 STL)15
44.1%
17
55.9%
Q1 - 5:08DETBaynes 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)15
46.5%
17
53.5%
Q1 - 5:22DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 5:22HOUMISS Beverley 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
49.1%
15
50.9%
Q1 - 5:51DETMarc Morris Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 5:56DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 5:57HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
55.3%
12
44.7%
Q1 - 6:14DETMarc Morris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)15
56.4%
12
43.6%
Q1 - 6:16HOUCapela 1' Layup (4 PTS)15
54.3%
12
45.7%
Q1 - 6:20HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 6:22HOUMISS Harden 12' Turnaround Jump Shot13
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 6:36HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 6:36DETMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 6:49HOUBeverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)13
50.4%
12
49.6%
Q1 - 6:59HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
46.5%
12
53.5%
Q1 - 6:59DETMISS Marc Morris 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 7:11HOUHoward 1' Layup (4 PTS)10
44.5%
12
55.5%
Q1 - 7:16HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
42.9%
12
57.1%
Q1 - 7:16HOUMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot8
41.4%
12
58.6%
Q1 - 7:35DETIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)8
42.9%
12
57.1%
Q1 - 7:57HOUHarden 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)8
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 8:04DETMarc Morris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 8:17HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 8:21DETBaynes 1' Layup (2 PTS)6
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 8:25DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 8:26DETMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup6
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 8:32HOUCaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)6
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 8:41HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 8:42DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
48.2%
7
51.8%
Q1 - 8:56HOUHoward 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)6
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 9:19DETJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)4
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 9:31HOUCapela Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 9:52DETIlyasova 18' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)4
50.8%
4
49.2%
Q1 - 10:01HOUDrummond STEAL (1 STL)4
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 10:14HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 10:14DETMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
53.7%
2
46.3%
Q1 - 10:34HOUBeverley 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 10:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 10:45DETMISS Drummond 4' Hook Shot2
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 11:05HOUCapela 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 11:35DETMarc Morris 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Howard: Tip to Jackson0
48.6%
0
51.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.0%
DET
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
21
47
45%
DET
24
42
57%
Midrange
HOU
3
14
21%
DET
13
20
65%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
DET
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
HOU
24
28
86%
DET
18
37
49%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2966%14.5 / 22
M. Thornton1860%9.0 / 15
C. Capela1146%5.5 / 12
T. Lawson1169%5.5 / 8
P. Beverley1042%5.0 / 12
C. Brewer964%4.5 / 7
D. Howard857%4.0 / 7
M. Harrell4200%2.0 / 1
T. Jones325%1.5 / 6
T. Ariza211%1.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson3174%15.5 / 21
A. Drummond2452%12.0 / 23
S. Johnson1973%9.5 / 13
E. Ilyasova1354%6.5 / 12
M. Morris1250%6.0 / 12
A. Baynes1161%5.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope425%2.0 / 8
A. Tolliver250%1.0 / 2
S. Blake0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+21
-16
101
DET
85
+19
-11
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.04 52.0%
DET
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.0
HOU 109.4
DET 120.8 +11.5
Pace
97.9
95.3
HOU 100.2 +8.1
DET 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.1
HOU 14.4 +1.3
DET 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
49.1%
HOU 46.0%
DET 57.6% +11.6%
TO %
15.5%
13.5%
HOU 13.8%
DET 10.6% +3.2%
ORB %
25.7%
27.0%
HOU 33.3% +0.7%
DET 32.6%
FTrt
35.2
29.6
HOU 31.8
DET 43.5 +11.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.9%
51.2%
HOU 54.3% +5.4%
DET 48.9%
STL %
10.2%
7.3%
HOU 11.5% +3.2%
DET 8.3%
BLK %
9.0%
5.8%
HOU 11.3%
DET 13.1% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
50.8%
HOU 52.0%
DET 55.8% +3.8%
Rim FG%
58.5%
55.8%
HOU 44.7%
DET 57.1% +12.4%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.7%
HOU 21.4%
DET 65.0% +43.6%
3P %
34.7%
34.5%
HOU 40.7% +5.9%
DET 34.8%
FT %
69.5%
66.8%
HOU 85.7% +37.1%
DET 48.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
36.0%
HOU 53.4% +4.0%
DET 49.4%
Mid Att. %
23.0%
33.7%
HOU 15.9% +7.6%
DET 23.5%
3P Att. %
37.0%
30.3%
HOU 30.7% +3.6%
DET 27.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsHOUDET
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points105116
Rebounds4546
Assists1922
Steals118
Blocks78
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (5)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals35-8845-85
At-the-Rim FG21-4724-42
Midrange FG3-1413-20
2-Point FG24-6137-62
3-Point FG11-278-23
Free Throws24-2818-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
42.4
29
66%
9
7
2
0
5
4
1
8
15-17
88%
4-11
36%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
35.9
2
11%
4
2
0
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
31.2
8
57%
10
2
1
4
3
5
4
6
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
28.2
10
42%
0
3
1
2
1
6
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 256 · 22
22.3
11
46%
5
1
4
0
2
3
5
0
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28
21.8
18
60%
6
1
2
0
2
2
2
4
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
4-8
50%
G · 5'11" 195 · 28
18.7
11
69%
3
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
3-3
100%
F · 6'9" 186 · 30
15.9
9
64%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 252 · 24
15.1
3
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22
7.8
4
200%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
#7 · F · 6'9" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
52%
45
19
11
7
16
0
16
29
24-28
86%
24-61
39%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.