FinalWin Prob.pScore
278%109
91
2722%99
80
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
98.99281.3
DEN logo DEN
87.092106.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN91
100%
80
0%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENFoye 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)91
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T18)91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMcCallum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENMISS Papanikolaou 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16SASMISS McCallum 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35DENJokic 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)91
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50SASSimmons Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T17)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02DENJokic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14SASMISS McCallum 18' Jump Shot91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34DENMISS Mudiay 1' Running Layup91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41SASMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08DENFoye 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32SASDiaw 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 4:07SASDiaw 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)89
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 4:27DENBarton Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)87
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 4:34DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 4:34SASMISS Leonard 28' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 4:57DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)87
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 5:14SASMills 1' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)87
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 5:20DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)85
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 5:24SASHarris STEAL (1 STL)85
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 5:43DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 5:43DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 5:53SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)85
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:53SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 6:16DENNelson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)83
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 6:22DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)83
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 6:22SASMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:33SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:35DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:52DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 6:52SASMISS Diaw 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot83
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 7:15DENNelson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)83
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 7:30SASSimmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 6 AST)83
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 7:46DENFoye 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)80
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 7:50SASFoye STEAL (2 STL)80
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:04SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:05DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 8:15DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 8:40DENArthur 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)80
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 9:00DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 9:01SASMISS West 18' Jump Shot80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 9:14SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 9:16DENMISS Nelson 22' Step Back Jump Shot80
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 9:36DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 9:37SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 280
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 9:37SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 10:00SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 10:01DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 10:22SASSimmons Foul Turnover (P4.T14)79
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 10:28DENNelson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)79
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 10:39SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)79
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q4 - 10:51DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)76
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q4 - 11:08SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 1 AST)76
99.0%
59
1.0%
Q4 - 11:11SASWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q4 - 11:12SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
98.3%
59
1.7%
Q4 - 11:22SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q4 - 11:23DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
98.4%
59
1.6%
Q4 - 11:45SASGreen 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)73
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS70
97.2%
59
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound70
97.2%
59
2.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Simmons 31' 3PT Floating Jump Shot70
96.8%
59
3.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
96.9%
59
3.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Barton Free Throw 1 of 270
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0DENNUGGETS Rebound70
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
97.1%
58
2.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)70
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASFoye STEAL (1 STL)70
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENBarton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)70
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASMills 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 1:15SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
96.0%
58
4.0%
Q3 - 1:16DENMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
95.7%
58
4.3%
Q3 - 1:34SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)68
95.1%
58
4.9%
Q3 - 1:37SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
93.0%
58
7.0%
Q3 - 1:38DENMISS Nelson 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot65
92.6%
58
7.4%
Q3 - 1:49DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
91.6%
58
8.4%
Q3 - 1:50SASMISS West 19' Jump Shot65
92.0%
58
8.0%
Q3 - 1:59SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
93.0%
58
7.0%
Q3 - 2:00DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
92.6%
58
7.4%
Q3 - 2:10DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
91.1%
58
8.9%
Q3 - 2:11SASMISS West 8' Hook Shot65
91.6%
58
8.4%
Q3 - 2:30DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
92.6%
58
7.4%
Q3 - 2:30DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
93.0%
57
7.0%
Q3 - 2:32DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
93.7%
56
6.3%
Q3 - 2:33DENMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot65
94.5%
56
5.5%
Q3 - 2:49SASLeonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)65
93.7%
56
6.3%
Q3 - 3:09DENMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T12)63
92.4%
56
7.6%
Q3 - 3:22SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)63
90.9%
56
9.1%
Q3 - 3:34SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 3:35DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot60
87.0%
56
13.0%
Q3 - 3:46SASAnderson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
85.4%
56
14.6%
Q3 - 4:10DENHickson Cutting Dunk Shot (7 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)58
83.3%
56
16.7%
Q3 - 4:31SASSimmons 3' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)58
85.2%
54
14.8%
Q3 - 4:49DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)56
83.3%
54
16.7%
Q3 - 4:52SASMiller STEAL (2 STL)56
80.4%
54
19.6%
Q3 - 5:11SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
83.1%
54
16.9%
Q3 - 5:12DENMISS Gallinari 2' Finger Roll Layup56
82.3%
54
17.7%
Q3 - 5:27SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)56
80.4%
54
19.6%
Q3 - 5:40SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
78.0%
54
22.0%
Q3 - 5:41DENMISS Arthur 4' Hook Shot54
77.0%
54
23.0%
Q3 - 5:58DENArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
74.7%
54
25.3%
Q3 - 5:59DENMISS Mudiay 9' Fadeaway Jumper54
77.0%
54
23.0%
Q3 - 6:11DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
75.3%
54
24.7%
Q3 - 6:12SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot54
76.3%
54
23.7%
Q3 - 6:25DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
78.4%
54
21.6%
Q3 - 6:47SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (McCallum 1 AST)54
83.0%
51
17.0%
Q3 - 7:00DENMudiay 2' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)52
80.9%
51
19.1%
Q3 - 7:06DENGallinari Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)52
83.0%
49
17.0%
Q3 - 7:20DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 7:21SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 252
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 7:21SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 252
86.5%
48
13.5%
Q3 - 7:28DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)52
87.1%
48
12.9%
Q3 - 7:32SASArthur STEAL (1 STL)52
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 7:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
87.1%
48
12.9%
Q3 - 7:43DENMISS Gallinari 3' Running Layup52
86.5%
48
13.5%
Q3 - 7:50DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)52
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 7:51SASMISS Diaw 3' Hook Shot52
85.7%
48
14.3%
Q3 - 8:12DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)52
87.3%
48
12.7%
Q3 - 8:29SASLeonard 15' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)52
90.1%
45
9.9%
Q3 - 8:52SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
88.8%
45
11.2%
Q3 - 8:53DENMISS Mudiay 2' Layup50
88.3%
45
11.7%
Q3 - 9:02DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
87.1%
45
12.9%
Q3 - 9:03SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot50
87.6%
45
12.4%
Q3 - 9:15SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q3 - 9:18DENMISS Gallinari 3' Running Layup50
88.2%
45
11.8%
Q3 - 9:24DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
87.1%
45
12.9%
Q3 - 9:25SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
87.6%
45
12.4%
Q3 - 9:40DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)50
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q3 - 10:00SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)50
91.2%
42
8.8%
Q3 - 10:16DENHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)48
90.1%
42
9.9%
Q3 - 10:20DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
88.7%
42
11.3%
Q3 - 10:21SASMISS Aldridge 3' Hook Shot48
89.1%
42
10.9%
Q3 - 10:30SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
90.1%
42
9.9%
Q3 - 10:31DENMISS Mudiay 16' Step Back Jump Shot48
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q3 - 10:48SASLeonard 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)48
88.7%
42
11.3%
Q3 - 11:02SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
87.8%
42
12.2%
Q3 - 11:04DENMISS Arthur 8' Turnaround Jump Shot46
87.3%
42
12.7%
Q3 - 11:27SASLeonard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)46
86.1%
42
13.9%
Q3 - 11:28SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
87.7%
42
12.3%
Q3 - 11:29SASMISS Aldridge 15' Jump Shot46
86.6%
42
13.4%
Q3 - 11:45DENJokic Foul Turnover (P2.T8)46
87.7%
42
12.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN46
86.1%
42
13.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASParker 18' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)46
86.3%
42
13.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
84.2%
42
15.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)44
82.9%
42
17.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
78.3%
42
21.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENMISS Barton 22' Jump Shot41
77.8%
42
22.2%
Q2 - 1:03SASParker 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
77.0%
42
23.0%
Q2 - 1:21SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
73.5%
42
26.5%
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot39
73.1%
42
26.9%
Q2 - 1:40SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)39
72.2%
42
27.8%
Q2 - 1:51SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
65.5%
42
34.5%
Q2 - 1:53DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
64.0%
42
36.0%
Q2 - 1:53DENMISS Mudiay 4' Jump Shot36
65.0%
42
35.0%
Q2 - 1:53DENMISS Arthur 2' Layup36
65.0%
42
35.0%
Q2 - 2:01DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
64.2%
42
35.8%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup36
65.0%
42
35.0%
Q2 - 2:10SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
66.9%
42
33.1%
Q2 - 2:12DENMISS Gallinari 2' Finger Roll Layup36
66.1%
42
33.9%
Q2 - 2:23DENNUGGETS Rebound36
64.2%
42
35.8%
Q2 - 2:24DENMISS Arthur 2' Layup36
66.0%
42
34.0%
Q2 - 2:38SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
64.2%
42
35.8%
Q2 - 3:01DENBarton 20' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q2 - 3:09DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q2 - 3:10SASMISS Green 2' Cutting Layup Shot34
66.2%
40
33.8%
Q2 - 3:35DENMudiay 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)34
68.2%
40
31.8%
Q2 - 3:50DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
70.3%
38
29.7%
Q2 - 3:51SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot34
71.2%
38
28.8%
Q2 - 4:09DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
73.6%
38
26.4%
Q2 - 4:09DENBarton Putback Dunk (9 PTS)34
73.6%
38
26.4%
Q2 - 4:12DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup34
77.2%
36
22.8%
Q2 - 4:22SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)34
75.7%
36
24.3%
Q2 - 4:26SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q2 - 4:27DENMISS Mudiay 21' Step Back Jump Shot31
70.6%
36
29.4%
Q2 - 4:42SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)31
68.8%
36
31.2%
Q2 - 4:59SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
71.3%
36
28.7%
Q2 - 5:01DENMISS Hickson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot31
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q2 - 5:17SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)31
69.7%
36
30.3%
Q2 - 5:43DENGallinari Putback Dunk (7 PTS)29
67.3%
36
32.7%
Q2 - 5:44DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
69.6%
34
30.4%
Q2 - 5:45DENMISS Hickson 1' Driving Layup29
71.3%
34
28.7%
Q2 - 5:49DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
69.6%
34
30.4%
Q2 - 5:50SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
70.4%
34
29.6%
Q2 - 5:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
72.0%
34
28.0%
Q2 - 5:59DENMISS Gallinari 16' Jump Shot29
71.3%
34
28.7%
Q2 - 6:08SASLeonard 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
70.1%
34
29.9%
Q2 - 6:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q2 - 6:27DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 227
68.0%
34
32.0%
Q2 - 6:27DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
66.8%
34
33.2%
Q2 - 6:35SASBarton STEAL (2 STL)27
67.8%
33
32.2%
Q2 - 6:46DENBarton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)27
70.6%
33
29.4%
Q2 - 6:49SASBarton STEAL (1 STL)27
67.8%
33
32.2%
Q2 - 6:52DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
70.6%
33
29.4%
Q2 - 7:11SASSimmons 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)27
68.7%
33
31.3%
Q2 - 7:38DENHickson Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)25
66.6%
33
33.4%
Q2 - 7:49SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
68.6%
31
31.4%
Q2 - 7:59SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
66.6%
31
33.4%
Q2 - 8:00DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
65.8%
31
34.2%
Q2 - 8:15SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)23
64.6%
31
35.4%
Q2 - 8:30DENBarton 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
59.9%
31
40.1%
Q2 - 8:44DENNUGGETS Rebound20
62.2%
29
37.8%
Q2 - 8:45SASHickson BLOCK (2 BLK)20
63.0%
29
37.0%
Q2 - 9:10DENNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
65.8%
29
34.2%
Q2 - 9:21SASWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
69.8%
26
30.2%
Q2 - 9:21SASWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q2 - 9:34DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Bank Shot (3 PTS)18
67.9%
26
32.1%
Q2 - 9:40SASMiller STEAL (1 STL)18
71.8%
23
28.2%
Q2 - 9:53DENMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)18
74.1%
23
25.9%
Q2 - 10:12SASWest Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)18
77.2%
20
22.8%
Q2 - 10:27DENBarton Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)18
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q2 - 10:35DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
77.2%
20
22.8%
Q2 - 10:36SASMISS Anderson 22' Jump Shot18
77.8%
20
22.2%
Q2 - 10:43SASSpurs Rebound18
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q2 - 10:44SASHickson BLOCK (1 BLK)18
77.8%
20
22.2%
Q2 - 11:00DENHickson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)18
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q2 - 11:12SASDiaw 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)18
80.5%
18
19.5%
Q2 - 11:36DENBarton 4' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)16
79.0%
18
21.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN16
80.5%
16
19.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound16
80.5%
16
19.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Hickson 22' Turnaround Jump Shot16
81.6%
16
18.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
80.9%
16
19.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
80.4%
16
19.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
78.9%
16
21.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
78.6%
16
21.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASSimmons 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)14
77.7%
16
22.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASSpurs Rebound14
78.9%
16
21.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot14
78.1%
16
21.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENBarton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)14
78.9%
16
21.1%
Q1 - 1:10DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
82.4%
13
17.6%
Q1 - 1:13DENMISS Barton 15' Jump Shot14
83.1%
13
16.9%
Q1 - 1:32SASMills Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
82.4%
13
17.6%
Q1 - 1:49SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
83.4%
13
16.6%
Q1 - 1:50DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
83.1%
13
16.9%
Q1 - 1:58DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
82.4%
13
17.6%
Q1 - 1:59SASMISS Anderson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot14
82.7%
13
17.3%
Q1 - 2:08SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
83.7%
13
16.3%
Q1 - 2:09DENMISS Barton 20' Jump Shot14
83.3%
13
16.7%
Q1 - 2:23DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
82.5%
13
17.5%
Q1 - 2:24SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
82.9%
13
17.1%
Q1 - 2:30DENBarton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
83.7%
13
16.3%
Q1 - 2:51SASAldridge 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)14
82.5%
13
17.5%
Q1 - 2:55SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
81.0%
13
19.0%
Q1 - 2:56SASMISS Leonard 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot12
80.1%
13
19.9%
Q1 - 3:07SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
81.5%
13
18.5%
Q1 - 3:08DENMISS Mudiay 8' Fadeaway Jumper12
81.0%
13
19.0%
Q1 - 3:25SASMills Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)12
79.9%
13
20.1%
Q1 - 3:33SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
78.6%
13
21.4%
Q1 - 3:34DENMISS Gallinari 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup10
78.1%
13
21.9%
Q1 - 3:56SASLeonard 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
76.9%
13
23.1%
Q1 - 4:10DENGallinari Dunk (5 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)8
75.9%
13
24.1%
Q1 - 4:21DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
77.2%
11
22.8%
Q1 - 4:22SASMISS Aldridge 2' Layup8
77.7%
11
22.3%
Q1 - 4:29SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
78.9%
11
21.1%
Q1 - 4:31DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Reverse Layup8
78.4%
11
21.6%
Q1 - 4:54DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
77.2%
11
22.8%
Q1 - 4:54SASMISS Aldridge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot8
77.7%
11
22.3%
Q1 - 5:08DENJokic Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
79.1%
11
20.9%
Q1 - 5:25SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)8
77.7%
11
22.3%
Q1 - 5:45DENJokic 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)6
76.2%
11
23.8%
Q1 - 6:05SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
78.0%
9
22.0%
Q1 - 6:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
79.5%
9
20.5%
Q1 - 6:26DENMISS Mudiay 3' Finger Roll Layup6
79.0%
9
21.0%
Q1 - 6:43DENNUGGETS Rebound6
78.0%
9
22.0%
Q1 - 6:44SASMISS Green 5' Hook Shot6
78.5%
9
21.5%
Q1 - 6:49SASSpurs Rebound6
79.4%
9
20.6%
Q1 - 6:50SASMISS Leonard 17' Fadeaway Jumper6
78.5%
9
21.5%
Q1 - 7:10SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
79.9%
9
20.1%
Q1 - 7:10DENMISS Jokic 2' Layup6
79.5%
9
20.5%
Q1 - 7:34SASLeonard Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)6
78.4%
9
21.6%
Q1 - 7:53DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
79.9%
9
20.1%
Q1 - 7:53DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
80.2%
8
19.8%
Q1 - 8:13SASAldridge 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
81.6%
7
18.4%
Q1 - 8:32DENGallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)4
80.5%
7
19.5%
Q1 - 8:38DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
82.7%
4
17.3%
Q1 - 8:39SASMISS Leonard 21' Jump Shot4
83.0%
4
17.0%
Q1 - 9:02DENHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
84.0%
4
16.0%
Q1 - 9:22SASAldridge 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Marjanovic 1 AST)4
82.8%
4
17.2%
Q1 - 9:38SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 9:39DENMISS Mudiay 12' Floating Jump Shot2
81.5%
4
18.5%
Q1 - 9:59DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
80.5%
4
19.5%
Q1 - 10:00DENMISS Gallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
81.5%
4
18.5%
Q1 - 10:06DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
80.5%
4
19.5%
Q1 - 10:06DENMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot2
81.4%
4
18.6%
Q1 - 10:23SASMarjanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
80.5%
4
19.5%
Q1 - 10:23SASMarjanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 10:24SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
79.5%
4
20.5%
Q1 - 10:25SASMISS Green 16' Fadeaway Jumper0
78.5%
4
21.5%
Q1 - 10:48DENHarris 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
79.5%
4
20.5%
Q1 - 10:51DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
80.5%
2
19.5%
Q1 - 10:53SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot0
80.9%
2
19.1%
Q1 - 11:03SASMarjanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
81.9%
2
18.1%
Q1 - 11:04SASMISS Aldridge 12' Fadeaway Jumper0
81.2%
2
18.8%
Q1 - 11:30DENJokic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)0
81.9%
2
18.1%
Q1 - 11:36DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
83.0%
0
17.0%
Q1 - 11:37SASMISS Aldridge 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
83.2%
0
16.8%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Jokic vs. Marjanovic: Tip to Parker0
83.9%
0
16.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.10 54.8%
DEN
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
20
60%
DEN
18
35
51%
Midrange
SAS
16
33
48%
DEN
6
22
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
DEN
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
SAS
11
14
79%
DEN
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2569%12.5 / 18
T. Parker1381%6.5 / 8
J. Simmons1267%6.0 / 9
D. Green950%4.5 / 9
P. Mills964%4.5 / 7
L. Aldridge836%4.0 / 11
B. Diaw660%3.0 / 5
K. Anderson550%2.5 / 5
B. Marjanovic2100%1.0 / 1
D. West220%1.0 / 5
R. McCallum0-0.0 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari1650%8.0 / 16
W. Barton1255%6.0 / 11
J. Nelson1260%6.0 / 10
E. Mudiay930%4.5 / 15
J. Hickson956%4.5 / 8
N. Jokić675%3.0 / 4
R. Foye675%3.0 / 4
G. Harris563%2.5 / 4
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
D. Arthur217%1.0 / 6
K. Papanikolaou0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+9
-18
83
DEN
74
+10
-18
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.10 54.8%
DEN
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
106.2
SAS 98.9 +12.0
DEN 87.0
Pace
94.0
95.3
SAS 81.3
DEN 106.0 +24.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.9
SAS 17.7
DEN 13.6 +4.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
48.9%
SAS 53.3% +8.5%
DEN 44.8%
TO %
13.3%
14.8%
SAS 19.0%
DEN 17.9% +1.1%
ORB %
22.9%
25.8%
SAS 14.7%
DEN 17.8% +3.1%
FTrt
24.6
28.2
SAS 18.7 +1.8
DEN 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
60.1%
SAS 61.1% +6.3%
DEN 54.8%
STL %
8.8%
7.7%
SAS 12.0% +3.3%
DEN 8.7%
BLK %
9.6%
8.1%
SAS 12.3% +8.5%
DEN 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
51.7%
SAS 54.8% +7.7%
DEN 47.1%
Rim FG%
62.8%
54.8%
SAS 60.0% +8.6%
DEN 51.4%
Mid FG%
43.2%
38.8%
SAS 48.5% +21.2%
DEN 27.3%
3P %
37.5%
33.8%
SAS 36.4% +1.4%
DEN 35.0%
FT %
80.3%
76.6%
SAS 78.6%
DEN 84.6% +6.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
42.5%
SAS 26.7%
DEN 45.5% +18.8%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
29.8%
SAS 44.0%
DEN 28.6% +15.4%
3P Att. %
22.3%
27.7%
SAS 29.3% +3.4%
DEN 26.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes27.220.8
Points9180
Rebounds4237
Assists2217
Steals118
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (0)29 (3)
Field Goals36-7531-77
At-the-Rim FG12-2018-35
Midrange FG16-336-22
2-Point FG28-5324-57
3-Point FG8-227-20
Free Throws11-1411-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
31.9
25
69%
7
6
4
5
2
1
1
6
1-1
100%
9-14
64%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
27.1
9
50%
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 34
24.7
13
81%
1
5
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-2
0%
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 260 · 30
18.4
8
36%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
C · 7'3" 290 · 27
6.3
2
100%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
28.6
5
50%
4
3
0
0
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 195 · 26
26.6
12
67%
2
1
2
0
5
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34
22.7
6
60%
5
2
0
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
21.3
9
64%
3
1
1
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
19.2
2
20%
6
1
2
0
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 24
6.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 215 · 37
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36
3.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
55%
42
22
11
7
18
0
5
37
11-14
79%
28-53
53%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.