FinalWin Prob.pScore
1355%103
81
2345%102
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.18798.0
DET logo DET
118.28880.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET81
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHaslem 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)81
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETMISS Anthony 5' Hook Shot78
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 1:01MIAAndersen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)78
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 1:06DETHilliard 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)75
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)75
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 1:33DETHilliard 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bullock 1 AST)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17DETAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS)71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20DETMISS Tolliver 1' Tip Layup Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23DETMISS Hilliard 22' Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAUdrih 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09DETMISS Marc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31DETBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIADrummond BLOCK (5 BLK)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAWhiteside 13' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47DETMarc Morris 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)67
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Johnson Putback Dunk67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39DETCaldwell-Pope 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17DETTolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 267
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01DETMISS Marc Morris 18' Jump Shot66
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:14DETPISTONS Rebound66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)66
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:33DETMISS Blake 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:53DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:05DETJohnson Layup (7 PTS)66
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:07DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 8:08DETMISS Johnson 1' Layup66
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 8:26MIAGreen Foul Turnover (P3.T12)66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 8:48DETBlake 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)66
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMarc Morris STEAL (1 STL)66
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:01MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 9:01DETMISS Marc Morris 11' Jump Shot66
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 9:22MIAJohnson Dunk (8 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)66
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 9:30DETBlake Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)64
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 9:43DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 9:43MIAMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 10:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 10:08DETMISS Johnson 1' Layup64
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 10:30DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Green 5' Jump Shot64
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 10:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 10:45DETMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot64
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 11:00DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 11:02MIABaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)64
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 11:15DETMarc Morris 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIABosh Layup (9 PTS) (Green 1 AST)64
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET62
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)62
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot62
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)62
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Blake 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAWinslow 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 1:04DETDrummond Tip Layup Shot (18 PTS)60
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 1:07DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)60
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:07DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 1:28DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 260
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:30MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 1:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)59
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot59
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 1:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)59
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 2:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)59
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 2:12DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 159
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIADragic 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 2:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)57
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 2:51DETMISS Tolliver 17' Jump Shot57
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q3 - 3:09MIAWhiteside Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T10)57
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 3:09MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)57
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 356
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 3:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 3:13DETMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q3 - 3:29MIAGreen 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)56
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 3:38DETJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)54
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 3:58MIAWhiteside Dunk (13 PTS)54
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 4:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)52
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot52
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 4:24DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)52
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 4:48MIAGreen 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)52
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 5:13MIAHeat Rebound49
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 5:13DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 5:19DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 5:20MIADrummond BLOCK (4 BLK)49
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q3 - 5:37DETDrummond 1' Layup (14 PTS)49
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 5:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)49
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 5:40DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot49
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 6:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)49
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot49
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 6:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 6:10DETMISS Drummond 9' Hook Shot49
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 6:42MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)49
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 6:56DETJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 4 AST)46
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 7:10DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot46
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 7:13MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 7:15DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Dunk46
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 7:22DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot46
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 7:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)46
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 7:41DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 15' Jump Shot46
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 245
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 8:03DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)45
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 8:08DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot45
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 8:27DETJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)45
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 8:50DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot45
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 8:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)45
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 9:00DETMISS Jackson Layup45
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)45
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 9:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)45
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 9:31DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 12' Floating Jump Shot45
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 9:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)45
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Green 11' Floating Jump Shot45
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 10:04DETIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)45
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 10:13MIAWhiteside Dunk (10 PTS)45
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 10:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)43
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot43
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 10:38DETIlyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)43
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 10:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)43
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade 6' Hook Shot43
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 11:17DETMarc Morris 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)43
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 11:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)43
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper43
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 11:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q3 - 11:39DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot43
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Drummond Tip Layup Shot43
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)43
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Drummond 2' Tip Layup Shot43
12.5%
60
87.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)43
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot43
12.5%
60
87.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (8 PTS)43
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
9.6%
60
90.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETMarc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)41
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)41
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0DETIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)39
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot39
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q2 - 1:06DETJackson 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q2 - 1:20MIAGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)39
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q2 - 1:37DETJackson 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q2 - 1:59MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
23.6%
50
76.4%
Q2 - 1:59MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
23.0%
50
77.0%
Q2 - 2:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 2:01DETMISS Drummond Alley Oop Dunk37
21.1%
50
78.9%
Q2 - 2:16MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 2:22DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)35
17.8%
50
82.2%
Q2 - 2:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)35
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 2:31DETMISS Johnson 2' Layup35
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 2:38DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 2:39DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 2:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)35
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Bank Shot35
20.2%
48
79.8%
Q2 - 3:12DETDrummond Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)35
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 3:17DETPISTONS Rebound35
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 3:17DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Layup35
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 3:26DETPISTONS Rebound35
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 3:26DETMISS Drummond 2' Layup35
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 3:30DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 3:30MIADrummond BLOCK (3 BLK)35
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 3:48MIAGreen Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)35
22.8%
48
77.2%
Q2 - 3:48MIAHeat Rebound34
20.8%
48
79.2%
Q2 - 3:48DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot34
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIAGreen 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)34
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q2 - 4:26DETDrummond 1' Layup (10 PTS)32
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q2 - 4:40MIADrummond STEAL (2 STL)32
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
21.6%
46
78.4%
Q2 - 4:55DETMISS Marc Morris 18' Jump Shot32
21.0%
46
79.0%
Q2 - 5:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
20.5%
46
79.5%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot32
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 5:30DETMarc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)32
22.4%
46
77.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (2 STL)32
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
28.8%
43
71.2%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot32
27.1%
43
72.9%
Q2 - 6:05DETBlake Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)32
29.9%
43
70.1%
Q2 - 6:05MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)32
27.1%
43
72.9%
Q2 - 6:23DETBaynes Dunk (6 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)29
23.5%
43
76.5%
Q2 - 6:32MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 6:32MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)28
23.0%
41
77.0%
Q2 - 6:49DETTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)26
21.6%
41
78.4%
Q2 - 7:01DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot26
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 7:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS McRoberts 21' Jump Shot26
26.7%
38
73.3%
Q2 - 7:35DETBaynes 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)26
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 7:41DETBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
31.0%
36
69.0%
Q2 - 7:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
32.7%
36
67.3%
Q2 - 7:51DETMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot26
31.9%
36
68.1%
Q2 - 8:05DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot26
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 8:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.1%
36
66.9%
Q2 - 8:22DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot26
32.4%
36
67.6%
Q2 - 8:44MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 8:44MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 8:57DETTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)24
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 9:13DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
33.5%
33
66.5%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS McRoberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.2%
33
65.8%
Q2 - 9:24MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
36.1%
33
63.9%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot24
34.2%
33
65.8%
Q2 - 9:45DETTolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)24
36.0%
33
64.0%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMcRoberts 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)24
40.4%
30
59.6%
Q2 - 10:18DETBaynes 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)21
36.2%
30
63.8%
Q2 - 10:29DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
38.1%
28
61.9%
Q2 - 10:30DETMISS Marc Morris 12' Jump Shot21
40.0%
28
60.0%
Q2 - 10:51MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)21
38.1%
28
61.9%
Q2 - 11:11DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
36.3%
28
63.7%
Q2 - 11:19DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.8%
25
59.2%
Q2 - 11:20MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)19
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q2 - 11:32MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 11:34DETMISS Baynes 6' Turnaround Jump Shot19
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET19
40.7%
25
59.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIADragic 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
38.5%
25
61.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0DETMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot17
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)17
36.9%
25
63.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)17
38.5%
25
61.5%
Q1 - 1:01MIADragic 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q1 - 1:16DETJohnson 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
34.6%
25
65.4%
Q1 - 1:40MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
37.3%
23
62.7%
Q1 - 1:57DETMarc Morris 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)12
32.5%
23
67.5%
Q1 - 2:17MIADragic Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)12
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 2:29MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 2:29DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
32.6%
21
67.4%
Q1 - 2:37MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)10
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 2:59DETIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 2:59DETIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 3:16DETPISTONS Rebound10
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot10
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 3:18MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 3:18DETMISS Ilyasova 6' Jump Shot10
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 3:22DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
35.8%
19
64.2%
Q1 - 3:24DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 7' Jump Shot10
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 3:44DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)10
35.8%
19
64.2%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot10
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical10
38.5%
19
61.5%
Q1 - 4:20DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)10
38.5%
19
61.5%
Q1 - 4:38DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)10
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot10
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 4:50DETDrummond Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)10
44.9%
16
55.1%
Q1 - 4:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 4:54DETMISS Ilyasova 5' Hook Shot10
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 5:05DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
47.2%
14
52.8%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Jump Shot10
47.9%
14
52.1%
Q1 - 5:22DETJackson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
51.3%
12
48.7%
Q1 - 5:49DETDrummond 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)8
49.4%
12
50.6%
Q1 - 6:06MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)8
51.5%
10
48.5%
Q1 - 6:24DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)8
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 6:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
57.4%
7
42.6%
Q1 - 6:32DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot8
58.8%
7
41.2%
Q1 - 6:47MIADrummond STEAL (1 STL)8
57.4%
7
42.6%
Q1 - 7:06DETDrummond 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)8
59.6%
7
40.4%
Q1 - 7:31MIAGreen Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
61.1%
5
38.9%
Q1 - 7:38MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
59.6%
5
40.4%
Q1 - 7:38DETMISS Marc Morris 1' Tip Layup Shot6
58.9%
5
41.1%
Q1 - 7:42DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
57.4%
5
42.6%
Q1 - 7:43DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot6
58.9%
5
41.1%
Q1 - 7:55DETPISTONS Rebound6
57.4%
5
42.6%
Q1 - 7:56DETMISS Jackson 17' Step Back Jump Shot6
58.9%
5
41.1%
Q1 - 8:07DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
57.8%
5
42.2%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
58.4%
5
41.6%
Q1 - 8:18MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
59.9%
5
40.1%
Q1 - 8:18DETMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
59.2%
5
40.8%
Q1 - 8:33MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)6
57.8%
5
42.2%
Q1 - 8:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.1%
5
43.9%
Q1 - 8:47DETMISS Marc Morris 14' Turnaround Jump Shot4
55.5%
5
44.5%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
54.0%
5
46.0%
Q1 - 9:25DETIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
56.2%
5
43.8%
Q1 - 9:25DETIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
56.6%
4
43.4%
Q1 - 9:32DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
57.7%
3
42.3%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Green 10' Jump Shot4
58.4%
3
41.6%
Q1 - 9:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
59.9%
3
40.1%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot4
58.4%
3
41.6%
Q1 - 9:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
59.9%
3
40.1%
Q1 - 9:52DETMISS Drummond 3' Jump Shot4
59.2%
3
40.8%
Q1 - 10:10MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
57.7%
3
42.3%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
56.1%
3
43.9%
Q1 - 10:28DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 29' 3PT Jump Shot2
55.5%
3
44.5%
Q1 - 10:29DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
54.0%
3
46.0%
Q1 - 10:30DETMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot2
55.5%
3
44.5%
Q1 - 10:34DETPISTONS Rebound2
54.0%
3
46.0%
Q1 - 10:35DETMISS Drummond 3' Jump Shot2
55.5%
3
44.5%
Q1 - 10:36DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
54.0%
3
46.0%
Q1 - 10:37DETMISS Ilyasova 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
55.5%
3
44.5%
Q1 - 10:47MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
54.0%
3
46.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIAHeat Rebound2
56.1%
3
43.9%
Q1 - 10:56MIADrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)2
54.7%
3
45.3%
Q1 - 11:08DETDrummond 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)2
55.9%
3
44.1%
Q1 - 11:20DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
57.8%
1
42.2%
Q1 - 11:34MIAGreen 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:35MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 11:38MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot0
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)0
56.5%
0
43.5%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to Dragic0
57.7%
0
42.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.6%
DET
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
25
48%
DET
16
36
44%
Midrange
MIA
14
34
41%
DET
9
31
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
DET
16
24.0
31
52%
77%
Free Throws
MIA
11
16
69%
DET
6
7
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Green1647%8.0 / 17
H. Whiteside1575%7.5 / 10
G. Dragic1350%6.5 / 13
C. Bosh945%4.5 / 10
T. Johnson844%4.0 / 9
U. Haslem7117%3.5 / 3
J. Winslow338%1.5 / 4
J. McRoberts325%1.5 / 6
C. Andersen3150%1.5 / 1
D. Wade211%1.0 / 9
B. Udrih250%1.0 / 2
J. Richardson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond1850%9.0 / 18
R. Jackson1875%9.0 / 12
M. Morris1454%7.0 / 13
E. Ilyasova1372%6.5 / 9
A. Tolliver1275%6.0 / 8
S. Johnson729%3.5 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope620%3.0 / 15
A. Baynes675%3.0 / 4
D. Hilliard583%2.5 / 3
S. Blake338%1.5 / 4
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+11
-13
85
DET
81
+23
-7
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.6%
DET
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
106.0
MIA 93.1 +25.1
DET 118.2
Pace
93.7
95.3
MIA 98.0 +17.8
DET 80.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.1
MIA 14.7 +3.3
DET 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
49.1%
MIA 44.3%
DET 50.0% +5.7%
TO %
14.0%
13.5%
MIA 13.1%
DET 6.5% +6.6%
ORB %
23.9%
27.0%
MIA 21.7%
DET 35.3% +13.6%
FTrt
28.2
29.6
MIA 20.3 +13.2
DET 7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
51.2%
MIA 65.6% +7.1%
DET 58.5%
STL %
7.2%
7.3%
MIA 2.3%
DET 6.8% +4.5%
BLK %
10.3%
5.8%
MIA 10.4%
DET 11.9% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.8%
MIA 47.6%
DET 50.0% +2.4%
Rim FG%
62.3%
55.8%
MIA 48.0% +3.6%
DET 44.4%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.7%
MIA 41.2% +12.2%
DET 29.0%
3P %
33.6%
34.5%
MIA 30.0%
DET 51.6% +21.6%
FT %
74.4%
66.8%
MIA 68.8%
DET 85.7% +16.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
36.0%
MIA 31.6%
DET 36.7% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
33.7%
MIA 43.0%
DET 31.6% +11.4%
3P Att. %
22.1%
30.3%
MIA 25.3%
DET 31.6% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes21.326.3
Points81104
Rebounds4354
Assists2124
Steals26
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)36 (2)
Field Goals32-7941-98
At-the-Rim FG12-2516-36
Midrange FG14-349-31
2-Point FG26-5925-67
3-Point FG6-2016-31
Free Throws11-166-7
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 205 · 30
38.3
16
47%
5
1
0
1
3
3
2
3
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
2-7
29%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
30.3
9
45%
8
4
0
0
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
30.1
13
50%
0
4
0
1
2
2
0
0
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
29.6
15
75%
13
0
0
3
3
2
5
8
1-2
50%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
23.4
2
11%
2
2
1
2
2
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-9
11%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
29.1
3
38%
8
1
0
0
1
2
1
7
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
22.1
8
44%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
13.3
3
25%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 205 · 33
9.7
2
50%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
5.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
4.2
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
4.2
7
117%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
#5 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'9" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
48%
43
21
2
7
13
0
10
33
11-16
69%
26-59
44%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.