FinalWin Prob.pScore
1960%104
88
2940%100
109
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
98.98986.6
MIL logo MIL
118.59294.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETBayless STEAL (3 STL)88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETMISS Bullock 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETPistons Rebound88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETVaughn BLOCK (1 BLK)88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILMISS Vasquez 14' Step Back Jump Shot88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETTolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)88
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00MILMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DETTolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MILVasquez 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)82
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49DETVaughn STEAL (1 STL)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MILVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Copeland 1 AST)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19DETAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19DETAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30DETMISS Bullock 2' Layup80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MILAntetokounmpo Cutting Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MILVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08DETMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MILMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39DETBlake 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MILVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13DETTolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13DETTolliver Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24MILAntetokounmpo Cutting Dunk Shot (15 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)76
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46DETMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11DETTolliver Tip Dunk Shot (5 PTS)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12DETMISS Baynes 3' Layup74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54DETBayless STEAL (2 STL)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DETPistons Rebound74
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05DETMISS Tolliver 15' Jump Shot74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:19MILMISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup74
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 6:37DETJohnson 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07MILVasquez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:09DETMISS Hilliard 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:12DETPistons Rebound72
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:13DETMISS Baynes 3' Tip Layup Shot72
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:14DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:15DETMISS Hilliard 9' Running Jump Shot72
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 7:26MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:26MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 7:48MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:49DETAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)72
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:56DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:57MILMISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 8:13MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:15DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)72
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 8:15DETMISS Baynes Tip Layup Shot72
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 8:17DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 172
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 8:20DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 8:21MILMISS O'Bryant III 19' Jump Shot70
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 8:38DETDinwiddie 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)70
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 8:44MILHenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)68
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 8:56DETJohnson Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Dinwiddie 2 AST)68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 9:07DETPistons Rebound66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 9:07MILMISS O'Bryant III 13' Jump Shot66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 9:19MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 9:21DETMISS Hilliard 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 9:34DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 9:35MILMISS Henson 3' Driving Hook Shot66
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 9:49DETHilliard Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T15)66
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 9:56MILHenson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 10:08DETBaynes 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 10:11DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:13DETMISS Dinwiddie 11' Jump Shot64
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:28MILBayless 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)64
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:37MILVasquez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:38DETMISS Hilliard 8' Jump Shot64
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:53DETPistons Rebound64
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 10:53DETMISS Hilliard 20' Jump Shot64
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 11:08MILBayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)64
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 11:25DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 11:25DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 11:28DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 11:30MILMISS Henson 1' Layup62
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 11:42DETJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)62
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET62
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILMonroe 2' Putback Layup (20 PTS)62
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)62
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0MILMISS Monroe 2' Layup62
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILMonroe Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (18 PTS)62
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILMonroe Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (17 PTS)62
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETPistons Rebound60
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILVasquez Foul Turnover (P2.T9)60
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 1:10MILVasquez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 1:11DETMISS Dinwiddie Free Throw 2 of 260
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 1:11DETMISS Dinwiddie Free Throw 1 of 260
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 1:18DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 1:20MILMISS O'Bryant III 1' Tip Layup Shot60
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 1:21MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 1:23MILMISS Monroe 1' Layup60
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 1:32MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 1:33DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 1:50MILMayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)60
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 2:01MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 2:03DETMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 2:27MILMonroe 2' Layup (16 PTS)60
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 2:37MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q3 - 2:39DETMISS Drummond 1' Driving Layup60
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 2:59MILMonroe 2' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)60
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q3 - 3:08MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 3:09DETMISS Drummond 11' Turnaround Jump Shot60
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q3 - 3:43MILAntetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Bryant III 1 AST)60
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q3 - 3:59MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 4:01DETMISS Jackson 3' Running Layup60
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 4:06MILBayless Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)60
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q3 - 4:12MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 4:13DETMISS Jackson 29' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 4:18DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)60
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q3 - 4:20DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 4:33MILCarter-Williams 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 4:51DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)60
15.1%
72
84.9%
Q3 - 4:56MILAntetokounmpo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)57
11.4%
72
88.6%
Q3 - 5:05MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q3 - 5:07DETCarter-Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)57
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 5:40MILMiddleton 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)57
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 5:53MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)57
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 5:54DETMISS Marc Morris 14' Jump Shot57
14.8%
70
85.2%
Q3 - 6:12DETPistons Rebound57
17.8%
70
82.2%
Q3 - 6:13MILMISS Middleton 17' Jump Shot57
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q3 - 6:33MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)57
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q3 - 6:35DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
16.1%
70
83.9%
Q3 - 6:50MILAntetokounmpo Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)57
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 6:57DETCarter-Williams STEAL (3 STL)57
15.3%
70
84.7%
Q3 - 7:01DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
18.8%
70
81.2%
Q3 - 7:02MILMISS Antetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot57
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 7:17DETMarc Morris Foul Turnover (P3.T12)57
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q3 - 7:31DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
18.7%
70
81.3%
Q3 - 7:32MILMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot57
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 7:56DETJackson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T11)57
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 8:00MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)57
18.7%
70
81.3%
Q3 - 8:08MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)57
17.2%
70
82.8%
Q3 - 8:12DETMISS Ilyasova 4' Tip Layup Shot57
17.9%
70
82.1%
Q3 - 8:14DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 8:14DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3' Driving Layup57
17.9%
70
82.1%
Q3 - 8:35MILMiddleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter-Williams 8 AST)57
19.6%
70
80.4%
Q3 - 8:51DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)57
24.4%
67
75.6%
Q3 - 9:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:9 Def:6)54
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q3 - 9:01MILMISS Monroe 5' Hook Shot54
19.9%
67
80.1%
Q3 - 9:10MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 9:12DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup54
18.9%
67
81.1%
Q3 - 9:32MILParker Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Carter-Williams 7 AST)54
20.5%
67
79.5%
Q3 - 9:49MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
22.9%
65
77.1%
Q3 - 9:49DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
23.7%
65
76.3%
Q3 - 10:02MILMonroe 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Carter-Williams 6 AST)54
26.9%
65
73.1%
Q3 - 10:23DETMarc Morris 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)54
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 10:35MILMonroe Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)52
26.8%
63
73.2%
Q3 - 10:46DETCaldwell-Pope 3' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)52
23.9%
63
76.1%
Q3 - 11:03MILParker Dunk (10 PTS) (Carter-Williams 5 AST)50
23.2%
63
76.8%
Q3 - 11:24DETCaldwell-Pope 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 11:42MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)48
23.1%
61
76.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL48
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
30.8%
58
69.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0MILBayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Middleton 4 AST)48
32.0%
58
68.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETBaynes 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)48
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot46
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MILAntetokounmpo 2' Layup (4 PTS)46
34.9%
55
65.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILMISS Carter-Williams 3' Layup46
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETCarter-Williams STEAL (2 STL)46
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 1:02DETJackson Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)46
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q2 - 1:18MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
38.4%
53
61.6%
Q2 - 1:18MILAntetokounmpo 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)45
38.4%
53
61.6%
Q2 - 1:19MILMISS Middleton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot45
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q2 - 1:41DETCarter-Williams STEAL (1 STL)45
42.9%
51
57.1%
Q2 - 2:03MILMonroe 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Carter-Williams 4 AST)45
45.8%
51
54.2%
Q2 - 2:14MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
49.0%
49
51.0%
Q2 - 2:16DETMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
49.8%
49
50.2%
Q2 - 2:36MILMonroe 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Middleton 3 AST)45
51.8%
49
48.2%
Q2 - 2:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)45
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q2 - 2:50DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (15 PTS)45
55.1%
47
44.9%
Q2 - 2:53DETIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
51.8%
47
48.2%
Q2 - 2:53DETMISS Ilyasova Tip Layup Shot43
49.8%
47
50.2%
Q2 - 2:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)43
51.8%
47
48.2%
Q2 - 2:54DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot43
49.8%
47
50.2%
Q2 - 2:56DETMISS Drummond Tip Layup Shot43
49.8%
47
50.2%
Q2 - 2:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)43
51.8%
47
48.2%
Q2 - 2:59DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)43
51.8%
47
48.2%
Q2 - 2:59DETMISS Drummond 2' Tip Layup Shot43
49.8%
47
50.2%
Q2 - 3:00DETMISS Ilyasova 6' Jump Shot43
49.8%
47
50.2%
Q2 - 3:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)43
52.9%
47
47.1%
Q2 - 3:16MILMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 243
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q2 - 3:16MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
50.6%
47
49.4%
Q2 - 3:22DETMonroe STEAL (2 STL)43
52.4%
46
47.6%
Q2 - 3:27MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)43
55.8%
46
44.2%
Q2 - 3:40DETJackson 12' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
52.3%
46
47.7%
Q2 - 3:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)41
49.9%
46
50.1%
Q2 - 4:01DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
48.2%
46
51.8%
Q2 - 4:18MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)41
50.3%
46
49.7%
Q2 - 4:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)41
55.8%
43
44.2%
Q2 - 4:34DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)41
55.8%
43
44.2%
Q2 - 4:35DETMISS Marc Morris 10' Turnaround Jump Shot39
51.0%
43
49.0%
Q2 - 4:53MILBayless 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)39
53.1%
43
46.9%
Q2 - 5:14DETJohnson 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)39
59.0%
40
41.0%
Q2 - 5:20DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
56.4%
40
43.6%
Q2 - 5:22DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
54.4%
40
45.6%
Q2 - 5:39MILVasquez Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
56.4%
40
43.6%
Q2 - 5:42DETMayo STEAL (2 STL)37
61.7%
37
38.3%
Q2 - 5:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
64.4%
37
35.6%
Q2 - 5:54MILMISS Vasquez 19' Jump Shot37
63.6%
37
36.4%
Q2 - 6:02MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
61.6%
37
38.4%
Q2 - 6:03MILMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot37
63.8%
37
36.2%
Q2 - 6:11MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)37
61.6%
37
38.4%
Q2 - 6:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 6:13DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot37
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 6:16DETMISS Dinwiddie 4' Jump Shot37
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 6:30DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
64.8%
37
35.2%
Q2 - 6:31MILMISS Vasquez 14' Jump Shot37
63.8%
37
36.2%
Q2 - 6:35MILVasquez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
61.6%
37
38.4%
Q2 - 6:38MILMISS Parker Layup37
63.8%
37
36.2%
Q2 - 6:48DETDinwiddie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
61.6%
37
38.4%
Q2 - 6:48DETDinwiddie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
61.2%
37
38.8%
Q2 - 7:01MILVasquez 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)35
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q2 - 7:13DETJohnson 2' Running Layup (6 PTS)35
62.0%
35
38.0%
Q2 - 7:20DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 7:22MILMISS Parker 2' Layup33
58.9%
35
41.1%
Q2 - 7:28DETMayo STEAL (1 STL)33
57.0%
35
43.0%
Q2 - 7:30DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 7:32DETMISS Hilliard 17' Jump Shot33
57.8%
35
42.2%
Q2 - 7:46MILMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)33
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 7:51MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)33
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 7:52DETMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot33
65.2%
32
34.8%
Q2 - 8:11MILParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
66.8%
32
33.2%
Q2 - 8:16MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q2 - 8:18DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot33
71.8%
29
28.2%
Q2 - 8:28DETPistons Rebound33
73.2%
29
26.8%
Q2 - 8:28MILMISS Monroe 5' Hook Shot33
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 8:59DETTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)33
71.1%
29
28.9%
Q2 - 9:06DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q2 - 9:07MILMISS Monroe 2' Layup30
66.2%
29
33.8%
Q2 - 9:13MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)30
64.4%
29
35.6%
Q2 - 9:15MILMISS Bayless 1' Layup30
66.2%
29
33.8%
Q2 - 9:24DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)30
64.4%
29
35.6%
Q2 - 9:24DETPistons Rebound30
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q2 - 9:24DETMISS Dinwiddie 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 9:51MILParker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q2 - 10:05MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
68.5%
27
31.5%
Q2 - 10:07DETMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot30
69.3%
27
30.7%
Q2 - 10:24MILMonroe 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)30
71.0%
27
29.0%
Q2 - 10:29MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q2 - 10:30MILMISS Monroe 6' Hook Shot30
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q2 - 10:45MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q2 - 10:47DETMISS Tolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
73.3%
25
26.7%
Q2 - 10:57DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
74.9%
25
25.1%
Q2 - 10:59MILMISS Monroe 1' Putback Layup30
74.2%
25
25.8%
Q2 - 11:00MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q2 - 11:02MILMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
73.8%
25
26.2%
Q2 - 11:14DETHilliard 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)30
72.4%
25
27.6%
Q2 - 11:26DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
70.5%
25
29.5%
Q2 - 11:27MILMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot28
69.9%
25
30.1%
Q2 - 11:40DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q2 - 11:40DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
67.8%
25
32.2%
Q2 - 11:42MILVasquez Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
66.4%
25
33.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL26
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0DETBayless STEAL (1 STL)26
64.4%
25
35.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILBayless 15' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)26
66.0%
25
34.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
68.6%
23
31.4%
Q1 - 1:09MILCarter-Williams 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)23
64.0%
23
36.0%
Q1 - 1:20MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
66.6%
21
33.4%
Q1 - 1:21DETMISS Baynes 16' Jump Shot23
67.1%
21
32.9%
Q1 - 1:34DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
68.1%
21
31.9%
Q1 - 1:35MILMISS Bayless 5' Floating Jump Shot23
67.7%
21
32.3%
Q1 - 1:47DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
66.6%
21
33.4%
Q1 - 1:47DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
66.0%
21
34.0%
Q1 - 2:00MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
63.9%
21
36.1%
Q1 - 2:00MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)21
64.2%
20
35.8%
Q1 - 2:21MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 2:22DETMISS Baynes 1' Hook Shot21
67.1%
19
32.9%
Q1 - 2:44MILCarter-Williams 1' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)21
68.4%
19
31.6%
Q1 - 2:58DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
70.5%
17
29.5%
Q1 - 3:04DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
68.6%
17
31.4%
Q1 - 3:07MILMISS Henson 5' Hook Shot19
68.0%
17
32.0%
Q1 - 3:19MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
66.5%
17
33.5%
Q1 - 3:20DETMISS Jackson 13' Hook Shot19
67.1%
17
32.9%
Q1 - 3:46MILHenson 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)19
68.6%
17
31.4%
Q1 - 4:01DETMarc Morris 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)19
70.2%
15
29.8%
Q1 - 4:13MILCarter-Williams Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)17
68.6%
15
31.4%
Q1 - 4:23DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)17
66.4%
15
33.6%
Q1 - 4:23DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)16
65.4%
15
34.6%
Q1 - 4:29DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)15
64.7%
15
35.3%
Q1 - 4:40MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
62.7%
15
37.3%
Q1 - 4:40MILMISS Middleton Free Throw 1 of 214
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 4:48MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 4:49DETMISS Ilyasova 3PT Jump Shot14
63.1%
14
36.9%
Q1 - 4:58DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
64.7%
14
35.3%
Q1 - 4:59MILMISS Monroe 5' Turnaround Hook Shot14
64.0%
14
36.0%
Q1 - 5:18DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)14
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 5:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
64.5%
14
35.5%
Q1 - 5:28MILMISS Carter-Williams 6' Turnaround Jump Shot14
63.9%
14
36.1%
Q1 - 5:44DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)14
62.5%
14
37.5%
Q1 - 5:44DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 213
61.5%
14
38.5%
Q1 - 5:56MILCarter-Williams 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
62.6%
14
37.4%
Q1 - 6:16MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
64.4%
12
35.6%
Q1 - 6:17DETMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot13
65.0%
12
35.0%
Q1 - 6:41MILCarter-Williams 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)13
66.3%
12
33.7%
Q1 - 6:54DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)13
68.0%
10
32.0%
Q1 - 7:27MILCarter-Williams 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)10
64.8%
10
35.2%
Q1 - 7:35DETMonroe STEAL (1 STL)10
66.2%
8
33.8%
Q1 - 7:41DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
68.2%
8
31.8%
Q1 - 7:42MILMISS Monroe 18' Jump Shot10
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 7:55DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)10
66.2%
8
33.8%
Q1 - 8:16DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
65.2%
8
34.8%
Q1 - 8:17MILMISS Antetokounmpo 6' Jump Shot8
64.6%
8
35.4%
Q1 - 8:34DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)8
63.2%
8
36.8%
Q1 - 8:47MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
61.6%
8
38.4%
Q1 - 8:47MILMonroe 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)6
61.6%
8
38.4%
Q1 - 8:48MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
63.2%
6
36.8%
Q1 - 8:48MILMISS Carter-Williams 1' Tip Layup Shot6
64.6%
6
35.4%
Q1 - 8:51MILMISS Carter-Williams 1' Layup6
64.6%
6
35.4%
Q1 - 8:55MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
63.2%
6
36.8%
Q1 - 8:56MILMISS Antetokounmpo 18' Jump Shot6
64.6%
6
35.4%
Q1 - 9:14DETDrummond 11' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)6
63.2%
6
36.8%
Q1 - 9:29DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 9:30DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup4
60.3%
6
39.7%
Q1 - 9:34DETPistons Rebound4
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 9:34DETParker BLOCK (1 BLK)4
60.3%
6
39.7%
Q1 - 9:36DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 9:38DETMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot4
60.3%
6
39.7%
Q1 - 9:52MILMonroe 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)4
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 10:08DETJackson 14' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 10:37MILMiddleton 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)2
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 10:41DETMiddleton STEAL (1 STL)2
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 11:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 11:01MILMISS Parker 3' Driving Hook Shot2
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 11:07MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
63.4%
2
36.6%
Q1 - 11:09DETMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 11:23MILParker 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)2
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 11:42DETDrummond 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)2
66.6%
0
33.4%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Monroe vs. Drummond: Tip to Jackson0
64.9%
0
35.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.85 42.7%
MIL
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
34
44%
MIL
26
46
57%
Midrange
DET
10
29
34%
MIL
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
28
21%
32%
MIL
9
13.5
13
69%
104%
Free Throws
DET
20
24
83%
MIL
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope17106%8.5 / 8
S. Johnson1647%8.0 / 17
A. Drummond1547%7.5 / 16
A. Tolliver1372%6.5 / 9
R. Jackson732%3.5 / 11
A. Baynes638%3.0 / 8
M. Morris429%2.0 / 7
S. Dinwiddie433%2.0 / 6
D. Hilliard214%1.0 / 7
S. Blake250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
E. Ilyasova0-0.0 / 7
R. Bullock0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Monroe2053%10.0 / 19
G. Antetokounmpo1771%8.5 / 12
K. Middleton1689%8.0 / 9
J. Bayless1478%7.0 / 9
J. Parker1255%6.0 / 11
M. Carter-Williams1260%6.0 / 10
G. Vasquez1063%5.0 / 8
O. Mayo6100%3.0 / 3
J. Henson225%1.0 / 4
J. O'Bryant III0-0.0 / 3
R. Vaughn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
72
+29
-17
101
MIL
80
+12
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.85 42.7%
MIL
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
104.5
DET 98.9 +19.6
MIL 118.5
Pace
95.3
94.1
DET 86.6
MIL 94.6 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
DET 16.6
MIL 15.2 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
49.9%
DET 37.4%
MIL 57.2% +19.8%
TO %
13.5%
15.4%
DET 15.1%
MIL 11.7% +3.4%
ORB %
27.0%
25.0%
DET 40.0% +8.4%
MIL 31.6%
FTrt
29.6
27.6
DET 26.4 +5.9
MIL 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.2%
60.3%
DET 61.3%
MIL 69.8% +8.5%
STL %
7.3%
8.6%
DET 7.9%
MIL 13.0% +5.1%
BLK %
5.8%
10.2%
DET 4.3%
MIL 6.3% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.3%
DET 42.7%
MIL 59.2% +16.5%
Rim FG%
55.8%
57.9%
DET 44.1%
MIL 56.5% +12.4%
Mid FG%
39.7%
39.0%
DET 34.5% +1.2%
MIL 33.3%
3P %
34.5%
34.5%
DET 21.4%
MIL 69.2% +47.8%
FT %
66.8%
74.7%
DET 83.3% +0.9%
MIL 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.0%
45.2%
DET 37.4%
MIL 55.4% +18.1%
Mid Att. %
33.7%
35.9%
DET 31.9%
MIL 28.9% +3.0%
3P Att. %
30.3%
18.9%
DET 30.8% +15.1%
MIL 15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points88109
Rebounds4845
Assists1930
Steals712
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)22 (7)12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)33 (0)
Field Goals31-9143-83
At-the-Rim FG15-3426-46
Midrange FG10-298-24
2-Point FG25-6334-70
3-Point FG6-289-13
Free Throws20-2414-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
25.8
4
29%
5
1
0
0
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 204 · 23
25.7
17
106%
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
C · 6'11" 279 · 22
24.2
15
47%
15
0
1
1
0
2
9
6
3-4
75%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
24.1
0
0%
3
2
1
1
2
2
3
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 208 · 26
23.7
7
32%
1
7
1
0
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 245 · 19
25.8
16
47%
2
2
1
0
2
3
1
1
6-7
86%
5-10
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
23.9
13
72%
4
0
1
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
18.8
6
38%
9
1
0
0
0
2
5
4
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 23
17.5
4
33%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
12.7
2
14%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 172 · 36
6.8
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 33
5.0
2
100%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'1" 170 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
43%
48
19
7
3
17
0
22
26
20-24
83%
25-63
40%
6-28
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.