FinalWin Prob.pScore
2131%103
109
1469%110
116
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
112.497111.7
MIA logo MIA
119.69785.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA109
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)109
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0SACMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)109
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)109
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0SACRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)109
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)106
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)106
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)106
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0SACCasspi 7' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)106
0.7%
112
99.3%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)104
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2104
0.6%
111
99.4%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0SACMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 1:07MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)104
1.3%
111
98.7%
Q4 - 1:07MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)104
1.5%
110
98.5%
Q4 - 1:20SACRondo 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)104
2.8%
109
97.2%
Q4 - 1:28SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)102
2.0%
109
98.0%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
1.7%
109
98.3%
Q4 - 1:53SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 1:54SACMISS Rondo 14' Jump Shot100
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 2:04MIAHEAT Rebound100
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 2:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)100
1.3%
109
98.7%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2100
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 2:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 2:16SACMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 2:34SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
2.2%
108
97.8%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot100
1.8%
108
98.2%
Q4 - 2:57SACBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Rondo 18 AST)100
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 3:03SACRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup97
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 3:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 3:18SACMISS Rondo 7' Floating Jump Shot97
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 3:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)97
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 3:40SACBelinelli Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)97
2.6%
105
97.4%
Q4 - 3:40SACBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)96
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 3:40SACBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)95
2.4%
105
97.6%
Q4 - 3:59MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Green 1 AST)94
1.2%
105
98.8%
Q4 - 4:21SACBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 17 AST)94
2.4%
102
97.6%
Q4 - 4:29MIAGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)91
1.2%
102
98.8%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)91
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS McRoberts 1' Tip Layup Shot91
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot91
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 4:51SACBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 4:51SACMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 290
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 4:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 4:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 5:13SACRondo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T18)90
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 5:15SACRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup90
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 5:31SACCasspi Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)90
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 5:39MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)90
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 5:52SACCasspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 16 AST)90
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 6:12SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
1.3%
100
98.7%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup87
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 6:32SACMcLemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 15 AST)87
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)84
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 7:00SACRondo 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)84
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 7:05SACRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 7:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 7:28SACMISS Casspi 5' Jump Bank Shot81
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 7:50MIAWinslow Dunk (6 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)81
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 7:54SACMcRoberts STEAL (2 STL)81
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 8:08SACRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Step Back Jump Shot81
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)81
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 8:34SACMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot81
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 8:49MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 9:00SACMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)81
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 9:10MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)81
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 9:22SACCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)81
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 9:30MIADragic 5' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)78
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 9:51SACRondo 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)78
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 10:03SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot76
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 10:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)76
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 10:22SACMISS McLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 10:33SACKings Rebound76
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q4 - 10:34SACMISS Collison 8' Floating Jump Shot76
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 10:47MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)76
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q4 - 11:02MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q4 - 11:03SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 2 of 276
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q4 - 11:03SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 1 of 276
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 11:09SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot76
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q4 - 11:17SACMISS McLemore 6' Hook Shot76
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q4 - 11:39MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound76
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot76
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0SACMISS Cauley-Stein Free Throw 2 of 276
12.0%
82
88.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0SACCauley-Stein Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
13.2%
82
86.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0SACKings Rebound75
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0SACCasspi Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)75
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWinslow Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)75
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
11.1%
82
88.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0SACMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
10.3%
82
89.7%
Q3 - 1:12MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)75
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 1:30SACCauley-Stein 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)75
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q3 - 1:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q3 - 1:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q3 - 2:03SACRondo 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q3 - 2:12MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q3 - 2:12MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
9.7%
79
90.3%
Q3 - 2:14SACCasspi 3' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)71
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q3 - 2:21MIADragic 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q3 - 2:35SACCauley-Stein 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)69
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q3 - 3:00SACBelinelli Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)67
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q3 - 3:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 3:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q3 - 3:08SACWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)66
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS)66
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 3:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Wade 18' Pullup Jump Shot66
14.5%
72
85.5%
Q3 - 3:44SACCauley-Stein 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)66
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 4:08SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot64
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 4:28SACBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)64
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAWade 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (21 PTS)61
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 4:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 4:53SACMISS Belinelli 4' Floating Jump Shot61
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 5:03MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)61
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 5:16SACWinslow STEAL (2 STL)61
11.7%
68
88.3%
Q3 - 5:23SACRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 5:24SACWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)61
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 5:35MIAJohnson 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 5:55SACWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)61
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 5:59SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup61
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot61
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q3 - 6:13SACCasspi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)61
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)61
18.2%
66
81.8%
Q3 - 6:41SACWade STEAL (2 STL)61
20.3%
64
79.7%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)61
23.3%
64
76.7%
Q3 - 7:09SACGay 3' Layup (13 PTS)61
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 7:10SACGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)59
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 7:11SACWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)59
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 7:16MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 7:41SACMcLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)59
25.7%
60
74.3%
Q3 - 7:48SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
19.8%
60
80.2%
Q3 - 8:10SACCasspi 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)56
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q3 - 8:25SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)54
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 154
15.8%
60
84.2%
Q3 - 8:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 8:33SACMISS Koufos 6' Hook Shot54
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 8:40SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot54
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 9:01SACMcLemore 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)54
18.0%
58
82.0%
Q3 - 9:07SACKings Rebound52
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 9:11SACMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot52
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)52
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 9:45SACCasspi Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)52
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 9:48SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)50
16.1%
56
83.9%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot50
15.5%
56
84.5%
Q3 - 10:08SACRondo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
14.2%
56
85.8%
Q3 - 10:22SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Dragic 2' Hook Shot48
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 10:29SACDeng STEAL (2 STL)48
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 10:41SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot48
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 11:01SACMcLemore 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)48
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 11:07SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q3 - 11:08MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot46
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q3 - 11:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q3 - 11:37SACWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)46
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q3 - 11:49SACKings Rebound46
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q3 - 11:50SACWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)46
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SACGay 1' Layup (11 PTS)46
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0SACMISS Gay 12' Jump Shot44
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Step Back Jump Shot44
8.0%
56
92.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0SACMISS Rondo 21' Jump Shot44
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAHEAT Rebound44
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0SACDeng BLOCK (2 BLK)44
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)44
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)44
10.0%
54
90.0%
Q2 - 1:29SACBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)44
10.2%
54
89.8%
Q2 - 1:36MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)44
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q2 - 1:45MIAHEAT Rebound44
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot44
13.0%
52
87.0%
Q2 - 2:11SACMcLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)44
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 2:25MIAWade Dunk (11 PTS)41
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 2:31SACWade STEAL (1 STL)41
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 2:47SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
12.0%
50
88.0%
Q2 - 3:03MIAHEAT Rebound41
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 3:03SACMISS McLemore Free Throw Technical41
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 3:03SACCauley-Stein Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (McLemore 3 AST)41
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWinslow Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)39
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup39
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q2 - 3:12MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 3:14SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
12.7%
48
87.3%
Q2 - 3:14SACMISS Cauley-Stein 1' Tip Layup Shot39
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 3:17SACMISS Rondo 2' Running Layup39
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 3:24SACRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
12.7%
48
87.3%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot39
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q2 - 3:43SACMcLemore Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)39
11.2%
48
88.8%
Q2 - 3:54MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
10.3%
48
89.7%
Q2 - 4:18SACGay 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)37
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q2 - 4:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)35
11.5%
44
88.5%
Q2 - 4:47SACMISS Casspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
11.9%
44
88.1%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)35
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 5:15SACCauley-Stein Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)35
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 5:16SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 5:17SACMISS Gay Driving Layup33
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 5:33SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS McRoberts Free Throw 2 of 233
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS McRoberts Free Throw 1 of 233
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 5:50SACCasspi 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McLemore 2 AST)33
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 6:07MIABosh Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)31
11.1%
42
88.9%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
13.1%
39
86.9%
Q2 - 6:17SACMISS Acy 3PT Jump Shot31
13.6%
39
86.4%
Q2 - 6:39MIABosh Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)31
14.7%
39
85.3%
Q2 - 6:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)31
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 6:50SACMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 7:03SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 20' Step Back Jump Shot31
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 7:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 7:22SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 2 of 231
16.3%
37
83.7%
Q2 - 7:22SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 1 of 231
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 7:24SACAcy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 7:25SACMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 7:44MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)31
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 8:04SACCollison 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)31
20.9%
34
79.1%
Q2 - 8:12MIAGreen Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)29
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q2 - 8:13MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot29
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q2 - 8:38SACCasspi 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
20.9%
32
79.1%
Q2 - 8:56MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
17.8%
32
82.2%
Q2 - 9:26SACCollison 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWinslow 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 10:02SACBelinelli Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)24
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 10:02SACBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)23
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 10:02SACBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)22
16.0%
30
84.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 10:30MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 10:32SACMISS Cauley-Stein 9' Hook Shot21
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q2 - 10:47SACCauley-Stein REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18.0%
27
82.0%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q2 - 10:55SACMISS Collison 3' Driving Layup21
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q2 - 11:10MIAJohnson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)21
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q2 - 11:27SACMISS Collison 2' Layup21
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q2 - 11:33SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Winslow 1' Running Layup21
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 11:40SACWinslow STEAL (1 STL)21
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC21
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0SACJohnson STEAL (1 STL)21
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAStoudemire 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)21
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
27.1%
21
72.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0SACDeng STEAL (1 STL)21
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAStoudemire Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
27.5%
21
72.5%
Q1 - 1:04SACKoufos Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 1:23MIAStoudemire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)21
31.3%
19
68.7%
Q1 - 1:40SACGay 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
29.8%
19
70.2%
Q1 - 2:00MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
27.4%
19
72.6%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 219
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 2:00MIAHEAT Rebound19
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 2:00SACMISS Belinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.4%
18
71.6%
Q1 - 2:23MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)19
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 2:41SACCollison 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
31.6%
16
68.4%
Q1 - 2:56SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 117
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 3:17SACBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)17
31.0%
14
69.0%
Q1 - 3:33SACBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot14
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 3:46SACBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)14
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 4:05SACRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot11
21.9%
14
78.1%
Q1 - 4:22SACCauley-Stein 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)11
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWade 1' Layup (4 PTS)11
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup11
25.0%
12
75.0%
Q1 - 4:48MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 4:49SACMISS Gay 13' Jump Shot11
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 5:07MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)11
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 5:31SACGay 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)11
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 5:38SACKings Rebound9
26.8%
9
73.2%
Q1 - 5:40SACMISS Rondo 20' Step Back Jump Shot9
25.7%
9
74.3%
Q1 - 5:54SACGay Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)9
26.9%
9
73.1%
Q1 - 6:15MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 6:28SACRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 6:37SACRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 6:38SACMISS Casspi 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup8
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 6:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 7:03SACGay Dunk (2 PTS) (McLemore 1 AST)8
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 7:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 7:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIAHEAT Rebound6
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Dragic 14' Step Back Jump Shot6
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 7:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
27.6%
4
72.4%
Q1 - 7:41SACDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)6
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 7:52MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)6
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 8:03MIAHEAT Rebound6
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 8:04SACMISS Koufos 10' Hook Shot6
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 8:17SACKings Rebound6
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 8:18MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 8:38SACKoufos 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)6
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 8:48SACRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot4
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 9:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 9:03SACMISS Gay 10' Jump Shot4
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 9:19SACKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot4
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 9:38SACMcLemore 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)4
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 9:43SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 10:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:05SACMISS Koufos Free Throw 2 of 22
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 10:05SACMISS Koufos Free Throw 1 of 22
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 10:19SACKings Rebound2
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Hook Shot2
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 10:33SACMISS Casspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:41SACGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup2
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 10:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot2
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 11:16SACKoufos 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:38MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Koufos: Tip to Bosh0
24.3%
0
75.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.18 59.2%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
16
28
57%
MIA
21
31
68%
Midrange
SAC
15
33
45%
MIA
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
MIA
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
SAC
11
20
55%
MIA
25
33
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Belinelli2382%11.5 / 14
B. McLemore1771%8.5 / 12
O. Casspi1662%8.0 / 13
R. Rondo1454%7.0 / 13
R. Gay1350%6.5 / 13
W. Cauley-Stein1169%5.5 / 8
D. Collison964%4.5 / 7
K. Koufos633%3.0 / 9
Q. Acy0-0.0 / 1
C. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2446%12.0 / 26
C. Bosh2382%11.5 / 14
T. Johnson1995%9.5 / 10
H. Whiteside1267%6.0 / 9
A. Stoudemire10100%5.0 / 5
G. Dragic941%4.5 / 11
L. Deng836%4.0 / 11
J. Winslow633%3.0 / 9
G. Green542%2.5 / 6
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
79
+13
-18
92
MIA
90
+16
-7
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.18 59.2%
MIA
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
106.0
SAC 112.4
MIA 119.6 +7.2
Pace
99.9
93.7
SAC 111.7 +25.9
MIA 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
16.0
SAC 12.9 +3.9
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.0%
50.8%
SAC 58.3% +7.2%
MIA 51.1%
TO %
15.5%
14.0%
SAC 16.2%
MIA 6.3% +9.9%
ORB %
23.8%
23.9%
SAC 23.7%
MIA 26.7% +3.0%
FTrt
29.5
28.2
SAC 23.8
MIA 37.1 +13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
54.3%
SAC 58.1%
MIA 59.5% +1.4%
STL %
8.9%
7.2%
SAC 3.1%
MIA 11.3% +8.2%
BLK %
7.5%
10.3%
SAC 4.6%
MIA 11.5% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
52.8%
SAC 59.2% +4.5%
MIA 54.7%
Rim FG%
57.9%
62.3%
SAC 57.1%
MIA 67.7% +10.6%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.5%
SAC 45.5% +4.3%
MIA 41.2%
3P %
35.9%
33.6%
SAC 52.2% +23.0%
MIA 29.2%
FT %
72.5%
74.4%
SAC 55.0%
MIA 75.8% +20.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.5%
37.0%
SAC 33.3%
MIA 34.8% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
33.5%
40.9%
SAC 39.3%
MIA 38.2% +1.1%
3P Att. %
26.0%
22.1%
SAC 27.4% +0.4%
MIA 27.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes20.927.1
Points109116
Rebounds4241
Assists2525
Steals311
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)29 (4)
Field Goals43-8442-89
At-the-Rim FG16-2821-31
Midrange FG15-3314-34
2-Point FG31-6135-65
3-Point FG12-237-24
Free Throws11-2025-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 186 · 30
40.3
14
54%
9
18
1
0
3
5
2
7
0-0
-
4-10
40%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
38.5
16
62%
6
0
1
1
4
5
0
6
0-4
0%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 195 · 23
32.2
17
71%
1
3
0
0
4
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 230 · 29
24.7
13
50%
12
2
1
0
1
3
2
10
1-1
100%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
24.7
6
33%
7
0
0
0
1
3
2
5
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30
26.1
23
82%
1
1
0
0
2
3
0
1
8-9
89%
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
C · 7'0" 240 · 22
22.5
11
69%
5
0
0
2
3
6
2
3
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
20.7
9
64%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 25
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 36
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
#25 · F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#26 · F · 6'9" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
59%
42
25
3
3
18
0
9
33
11-20
55%
31-61
51%
12-23
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.