FinalWin Prob.pScore
2712%96
98
288%112
109
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
103.295104.1
SAS logo SAS
117.29385.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS98
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASMISS Diaw 17' Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENMISS Faried 20' Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04SASMISS Mills 19' Pullup Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40SASMISS Aldridge 4' Layup96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42SASMISS Aldridge 5' Jump Shot96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05SASSPURS Rebound96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS Mudiay 10' Jump Shot96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41SASParker 10' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DENJokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)96
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 3:18DENJokic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19SASMISS Leonard 19' Jump Shot93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29DENDuncan BLOCK (6 BLK)93
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)93
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 3:54DENLeonard STEAL (2 STL)93
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 4:05SASParker Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T10)93
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 4:21DENGallinari 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mudiay 7 AST)93
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 4:33SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)91
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 4:37SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 4:39DENGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)91
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 4:41DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 4:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)91
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 4:44SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup91
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 4:46SASMISS Leonard 1' Layup91
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 4:54SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 4:55DENMISS Mudiay 19' Jump Shot91
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 5:13SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)91
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 5:34DENJokic 4' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)91
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 5:46DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 5:47SASMISS Leonard 10' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot89
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:04DENNelson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Faried 3 AST)89
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:19SASLeonard 1' Layup (17 PTS) (West 2 AST)87
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 6:30SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 6:31DENMISS Foye 19' Jump Shot87
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 6:45SASWest 8' Pullup Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)87
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 7:02DENFaried 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 7:15DENJokic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)85
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Anderson 14' Pullup Jump Shot85
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 7:30SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 7:31DENButler BLOCK (2 BLK)85
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 7:36SASWest Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)85
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 7:52DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)85
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 8:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 8:10SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 8:26SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 8:26DENMISS Barton Free Throw 2 of 282
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 8:26DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 8:35DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 8:37SASMISS West 15' Jump Shot81
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 8:43SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 8:44DENMISS Barton 18' Step Back Jump Shot81
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 9:11SASAnderson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)81
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 9:32SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 9:32DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 9:40DENArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 9:41DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 9:49DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 9:50SASMISS Mills 7' Driving Bank Shot81
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 10:07DENDiaw STEAL (1 STL)81
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 10:18SASWest Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)81
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 10:28DENNelson 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barton 4 AST)81
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 10:47DENJokic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)79
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 279
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 279
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 10:50SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 10:51DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 11:15SASMills 20' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)79
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 11:22SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 11:24DENButler BLOCK (1 BLK)79
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 11:40DENJokic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)79
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN79
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASWest 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)79
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENNelson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)79
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q3 - 1:03SASMills 18' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (West 1 AST)79
2.5%
91
97.5%
Q3 - 1:22DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q3 - 1:22DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q3 - 1:28SASLeonard Dunk (15 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)77
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 1:34SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q3 - 1:35DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q3 - 1:46DENNuggets Rebound77
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q3 - 1:46DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q3 - 1:52DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q3 - 1:52SASMISS Mills 2' Layup77
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q3 - 2:11DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)77
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q3 - 2:17DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q3 - 2:17SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q3 - 2:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q3 - 2:29DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Bank Shot74
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q3 - 2:40SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)74
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q3 - 2:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)74
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q3 - 2:46DENJokic 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)74
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 3:03DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 3:04SASMISS Parker 16' Turnaround Jump Shot72
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q3 - 3:28DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q3 - 3:28DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 3:28DENJokic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)70
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 3:29DENMISS Arthur 2' Layup70
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 3:43DENNuggets Rebound70
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 3:44SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 4:04DENArthur 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)70
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 4:18SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 4:18SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 4:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 4:18SASMISS Aldridge 16' Turnaround Jump Shot68
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 4:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 4:33DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 4:52SASAldridge 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)68
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 5:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 5:04DENLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)68
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 5:17DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 5:18SASMISS Leonard 18' Jump Shot68
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 5:38DENHarris Dunk (15 PTS)68
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 5:42SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)66
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 5:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 5:45SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot66
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 6:02SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 6:02DENMISS Faried 18' Jump Shot66
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 6:14SASParker Driving Layup (21 PTS)66
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 6:30DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)66
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q3 - 6:40SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)66
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 6:51SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 6:52DENMISS Hickson 7' Jump Shot66
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 7:06SASLeonard 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)66
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 7:21DENHickson 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)66
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 7:40SASParker 8' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)64
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 7:57SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 7:58DENMISS Faried 7' Running Jump Shot64
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 8:16SASParker 1' Layup (17 PTS)64
5.1%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 8:25SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 8:26DENMISS Harris 13' Floating Jump Shot64
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q3 - 8:34DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 8:36DENDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)64
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q3 - 8:42DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 8:43SASMISS Aldridge 1' Alley Oop Layup64
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 8:59DENFaried 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)64
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 9:13SASLeonard 1' Running Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Green 4 AST)62
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 9:29SASSPURS Rebound62
5.8%
69
94.2%
Q3 - 9:30DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 9:48DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 9:49SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 262
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 9:49SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 10:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 10:05DENDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)62
6.9%
68
93.1%
Q3 - 10:21DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 10:22SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 10:36DENFaried 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)62
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 10:51DENNuggets Rebound60
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Aldridge 1' Layup60
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 10:56SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 10:57SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot60
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 11:17DENHarris 7' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)60
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 11:28SASGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)58
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 11:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
5.7%
65
94.3%
Q3 - 11:40DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 11:40DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)58
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 11:41DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 11:41DENMISS Hickson 1' Layup58
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 11:43DENMISS Mudiay Reverse Layup58
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN58
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENMudiay 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)58
7.7%
63
92.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASParker 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
6.5%
63
93.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENFaried 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)56
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q2 - 1:21SASParker 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q2 - 1:42DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q2 - 1:42DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
7.7%
59
92.3%
Q2 - 1:47DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q2 - 1:48SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Jump Shot52
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q2 - 1:55SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 1:56DENMISS Mudiay 15' Jump Shot52
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q2 - 2:07DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q2 - 2:08SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot52
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q2 - 2:23DENFaried Dunk (4 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)52
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q2 - 2:34SASDuncan 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)50
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q2 - 2:49DENFaried 6' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)50
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q2 - 3:06SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q2 - 3:06SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 248
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 3:14DENHickson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 3:30DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 3:32DENAldridge BLOCK (2 BLK)46
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q2 - 3:39DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot46
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q2 - 4:00DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q2 - 4:00DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 4:10SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)44
4.0%
56
96.0%
Q2 - 4:31DENBarton 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q2 - 4:37SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)42
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 4:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
3.5%
54
96.5%
Q2 - 4:47DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)42
3.7%
54
96.3%
Q2 - 5:10SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)42
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 5:18DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)42
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 5:33SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 5:50DENJokic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)42
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q2 - 5:50DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (12 PTS)42
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q2 - 5:51DENMISS Barton 7' Jump Bank Shot40
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 6:05SASLeonard 24' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 3 AST)40
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 6:35DENArthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)40
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 7:02SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)37
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 7:11SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)37
6.3%
44
93.7%
Q2 - 7:22DENBarton 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
6.9%
43
93.1%
Q2 - 7:30DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 7:32SASMISS Mills 20' Jump Shot35
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 7:52DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)35
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 7:52DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)35
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 7:54DENMISS Nelson 5' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot33
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 8:02DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
5.2%
43
94.8%
Q2 - 8:03SASMISS Leonard 15' Jump Shot33
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q2 - 8:19SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
4.7%
43
95.3%
Q2 - 8:20DENMISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot33
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 8:34SASWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)33
5.2%
43
94.8%
Q2 - 8:56DENBarton Dunk (4 PTS)33
6.3%
40
93.7%
Q2 - 9:00SASMills Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)31
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 9:06DENBarton 2' Layup (2 PTS)31
5.1%
40
94.9%
Q2 - 9:08DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
4.7%
40
95.3%
Q2 - 9:09DENMISS Barton 8' Floating Jump Shot29
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 9:21SASWest 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)29
4.7%
40
95.3%
Q2 - 9:42DENNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)29
5.1%
38
94.9%
Q2 - 10:01SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)26
4.4%
38
95.6%
Q2 - 10:18SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
5.2%
35
94.8%
Q2 - 10:19DENMISS Foye 23' Jump Shot26
5.4%
35
94.6%
Q2 - 10:34SASDiaw 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
5.9%
35
94.1%
Q2 - 10:50SASWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
6.3%
33
93.7%
Q2 - 10:51DENMISS Jokic 3' Layup26
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q2 - 11:01DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)26
7.0%
33
93.0%
Q2 - 11:02SASMISS Mills 17' Jump Shot26
6.8%
33
93.2%
Q2 - 11:12SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
6.4%
33
93.6%
Q2 - 11:13DENMISS Barton 16' Jump Shot26
6.6%
33
93.4%
Q2 - 11:22SASMills 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)26
7.0%
33
93.0%
Q2 - 11:41DENArthur 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)26
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS24
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound24
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 62' 3PT Running Jump Shot24
6.8%
31
93.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENArthur Layup (2 PTS)24
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot22
5.6%
31
94.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
5.9%
30
94.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0DENMills STEAL (1 STL)22
6.5%
29
93.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMills 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
6.9%
29
93.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)20
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENMISS Arthur 7' Jump Bank Shot20
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.5%
27
93.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0DENMISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot20
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q1 - 1:09DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 1:10SASMISS Green 18' Jump Shot20
6.8%
27
93.2%
Q1 - 1:41DENJokic 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)20
6.5%
27
93.5%
Q1 - 1:59SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)18
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q1 - 2:15DENJokic 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)18
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 2:30SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
6.4%
24
93.6%
Q1 - 2:30SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
6.5%
23
93.5%
Q1 - 2:30SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
7.0%
22
93.0%
Q1 - 2:30SASMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot16
7.4%
22
92.6%
Q1 - 2:45DENJokic 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)16
7.0%
22
93.0%
Q1 - 3:01SASButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)14
6.4%
22
93.6%
Q1 - 3:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
7.5%
19
92.5%
Q1 - 3:23DENMills BLOCK (1 BLK)14
7.7%
19
92.3%
Q1 - 3:24DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 3:25DENMISS Jokic 1' Layup14
7.7%
19
92.3%
Q1 - 3:26DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 3:27DENMISS Mudiay 7' Jump Shot14
7.7%
19
92.3%
Q1 - 3:37SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)14
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 3:57SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
9.6%
16
90.4%
Q1 - 3:58DENMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup14
9.9%
16
90.1%
Q1 - 4:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
10.3%
16
89.7%
Q1 - 4:22SASMISS Leonard 11' Turnaround Jump Shot14
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 4:41DENHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)14
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 4:49DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
8.2%
16
91.8%
Q1 - 4:50DENAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)11
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 4:51DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
8.2%
16
91.8%
Q1 - 4:52DENMISS Gallinari 2' Putback Layup11
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 4:53DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
8.2%
16
91.8%
Q1 - 4:54DENMISS Gallinari 5' Jump Shot11
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 5:02DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
8.1%
16
91.9%
Q1 - 5:03SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot11
7.9%
16
92.1%
Q1 - 5:18DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
7.5%
16
92.5%
Q1 - 5:22SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
6.4%
16
93.6%
Q1 - 5:33SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
5.9%
16
94.1%
Q1 - 5:34DENMISS Mudiay 15' Jump Shot8
6.1%
16
93.9%
Q1 - 5:42SASParker 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
6.4%
16
93.6%
Q1 - 5:56DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
6.9%
14
93.1%
Q1 - 5:56DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
6.8%
14
93.2%
Q1 - 6:08SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)6
6.5%
14
93.5%
Q1 - 6:24DENHarris 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)6
6.9%
12
93.1%
Q1 - 6:36SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
6.5%
12
93.5%
Q1 - 6:36SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
6.5%
11
93.5%
Q1 - 6:53SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
6.9%
10
93.1%
Q1 - 6:54DENMISS Mudiay 17' Jump Shot4
7.1%
10
92.9%
Q1 - 7:11SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)4
7.4%
10
92.6%
Q1 - 7:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
7.9%
8
92.1%
Q1 - 7:27SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot4
8.4%
8
91.6%
Q1 - 7:39SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.9%
8
92.1%
Q1 - 7:40DENMISS Gallinari 14' Step Back Jump Shot4
8.1%
8
91.9%
Q1 - 7:55SASLeonard 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
8.6%
8
91.4%
Q1 - 8:07SASSPURS Rebound4
8.8%
6
91.2%
Q1 - 8:08DENMISS Hickson 12' Step Back Jump Shot4
9.1%
6
90.9%
Q1 - 8:22DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
9.6%
6
90.4%
Q1 - 8:23SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
8.8%
6
91.2%
Q1 - 8:23SASMISS Aldridge 3' Putback Layup4
9.3%
6
90.7%
Q1 - 8:24SASMISS Parker 6' Floating Jump Shot4
9.3%
6
90.7%
Q1 - 8:34SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8.9%
6
91.1%
Q1 - 8:35DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)4
9.1%
6
90.9%
Q1 - 8:46SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
9.6%
6
90.4%
Q1 - 8:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
8.9%
6
91.1%
Q1 - 8:51SASMISS Aldridge 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
9.4%
6
90.6%
Q1 - 9:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.7%
6
91.3%
Q1 - 9:03DENMISS Hickson 5' Driving Bank Shot4
8.9%
6
91.1%
Q1 - 9:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.5%
6
90.5%
Q1 - 9:15SASMISS Parker 2' Running Layup4
9.2%
6
90.8%
Q1 - 9:34DENHarris 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
8.7%
6
91.3%
Q1 - 9:52SASAldridge 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)2
8.3%
6
91.7%
Q1 - 10:09DENHarris 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)2
8.8%
4
91.2%
Q1 - 10:29SASAldridge 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)0
8.3%
4
91.7%
Q1 - 10:50SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 10:51DENMISS Faried 7' Jump Shot0
9.0%
2
91.0%
Q1 - 11:02DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 11:03SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot0
9.1%
2
90.9%
Q1 - 11:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.7%
2
91.3%
Q1 - 11:09DENMISS Mudiay 4' Jump Shot0
8.9%
2
91.1%
Q1 - 11:24DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 11:26DENMISS Hickson 12' Jump Shot0
8.9%
2
91.1%
Q1 - 11:46SASDuncan 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
9.3%
2
90.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Hickson: Tip to Parker0
10.0%
0
90.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.4%
SAS
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
38
42%
SAS
13
25
52%
Midrange
DEN
17
45
38%
SAS
20
43
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
SAS
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
Free Throws
DEN
17
18
94%
SAS
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2372%11.5 / 16
K. Faried1563%7.5 / 12
G. Harris1568%7.5 / 11
D. Gallinari941%4.5 / 11
W. Barton941%4.5 / 11
D. Arthur950%4.5 / 9
J. Nelson744%3.5 / 8
J. Hickson627%3.0 / 11
E. Mudiay521%2.5 / 12
R. Foye0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2569%12.5 / 18
K. Leonard2063%10.0 / 16
P. Mills1757%8.5 / 15
T. Duncan1267%6.0 / 9
L. Aldridge1134%5.5 / 16
D. West990%4.5 / 5
D. Green857%4.0 / 7
R. Butler3150%1.5 / 1
B. Diaw220%1.0 / 5
K. Anderson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
89
+18
-6
107
SAS
83
+11
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.4%
SAS
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
110.2
DEN 103.2
SAS 117.2 +14.0
Pace
95.3
94.0
DEN 104.1 +18.6
SAS 85.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.2
DEN 13.8 +3.0
SAS 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
52.6%
DEN 41.3%
SAS 54.1% +12.8%
TO %
14.8%
13.3%
DEN 5.4% +4.1%
SAS 9.5%
ORB %
25.8%
22.9%
DEN 29.8% +6.5%
SAS 23.3%
FTrt
28.2
24.6
DEN 18.4
SAS 23.3 +4.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
61.1%
DEN 65.8%
SAS 78.6% +12.8%
STL %
7.7%
8.8%
DEN 7.4% +2.0%
SAS 5.4%
BLK %
8.1%
9.6%
DEN 7.4%
SAS 15.7% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
54.9%
DEN 45.4%
SAS 56.2% +10.8%
Rim FG%
54.8%
62.8%
DEN 42.1%
SAS 52.0% +9.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.2%
DEN 37.8%
SAS 46.5% +8.7%
3P %
33.8%
37.5%
DEN 33.3%
SAS 50.0% +16.7%
FT %
76.6%
80.3%
DEN 94.4% +14.4%
SAS 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
32.7%
DEN 38.8% +9.7%
SAS 29.1%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
44.9%
DEN 45.9% +4.1%
SAS 50.0%
3P Att. %
27.7%
22.3%
DEN 15.3%
SAS 20.9% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points98109
Rebounds5050
Assists2533
Steals75
Blocks513
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)40 (3)
Field Goals38-9842-86
At-the-Rim FG16-3813-25
Midrange FG17-4520-43
2-Point FG33-8333-68
3-Point FG5-159-18
Free Throws17-1816-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
30.9
9
41%
8
3
0
1
0
2
3
5
4-4
100%
1-7
14%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
28.8
15
63%
7
3
1
0
0
2
0
7
1-1
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 21
27.0
15
68%
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
26.8
5
21%
3
7
0
0
2
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-12
17%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 242 · 27
16.1
6
27%
7
1
1
0
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 284 · 21
31.9
23
72%
12
0
2
3
0
2
6
6
6-6
100%
7-12
58%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25
21.7
9
41%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 34
21.2
7
44%
2
4
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
18.3
9
50%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 218 · 32
16.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · C · 7'0" 290 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#77 · C · 6'11" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
45%
50
25
7
5
6
0
17
33
17-18
94%
33-83
40%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.