FinalWin Prob.pScore
368%113
98
2732%106
107
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
98.0100103.9
DEN logo DEN
107.010096.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU98
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)98
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)98
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS Barton Free Throw 2 of 298
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)98
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUHarden Driving Dunk (28 PTS)98
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)96
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)96
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUHarden 3' Running Layup (26 PTS)96
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P9.T18)94
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 1:10HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 1:12DENMISS Barton 3' Layup94
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 1:37DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)94
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 1:39HOUMISS Lawson 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 1:45DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P8.T17)94
1.6%
104
98.4%
Q4 - 1:54HOUJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)94
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 2:12DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Mudiay 11 AST)91
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:29HOUJones 1' Layup (20 PTS)91
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 2:34HOUJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)89
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 2:35HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 2:45HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 2:46DENMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup89
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 3:06DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 3:09DENMISS Nelson Free Throw 3 of 389
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 3:09DENNelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)89
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 3:09DENNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)89
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 3:19DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 3:19HOUMISS Lawson 19' Fadeaway Jumper89
2.2%
99
97.8%
Q4 - 3:43DENNelson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)89
5.2%
99
94.8%
Q4 - 3:52DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)89
7.0%
97
93.0%
Q4 - 3:54HOUMISS Howard Alley Oop Dunk89
7.7%
97
92.3%
Q4 - 4:04HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
9.8%
97
90.2%
Q4 - 4:05DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup89
8.7%
97
91.3%
Q4 - 4:21DENNUGGETS Rebound89
6.6%
97
93.4%
Q4 - 4:21DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
8.6%
97
91.4%
Q4 - 4:41HOUHoward Traveling Turnover (P6.T20)89
6.5%
97
93.5%
Q4 - 4:56DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)89
9.3%
97
90.7%
Q4 - 4:56DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)89
9.8%
96
90.2%
Q4 - 5:07HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P4.T19)89
17.2%
95
82.8%
Q4 - 5:24DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P2.T16)89
22.6%
95
77.4%
Q4 - 5:34DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
16.9%
95
83.1%
Q4 - 5:35HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
18.5%
95
81.5%
Q4 - 5:45HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
22.5%
95
77.5%
Q4 - 5:46DENMISS Barton 3PT Jump Shot89
20.6%
95
79.4%
Q4 - 6:08HOUMudiay STEAL (2 STL)89
20.9%
95
79.1%
Q4 - 6:22DENMudiay Foul Turnover (P7.T15)89
26.9%
95
73.1%
Q4 - 6:31HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T17)89
20.7%
95
79.3%
Q4 - 6:44DENNelson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)89
26.7%
95
73.3%
Q4 - 7:08HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)89
36.3%
93
63.7%
Q4 - 7:28DENBarton 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Mudiay 10 AST)86
25.0%
93
75.0%
Q4 - 7:48HOUTerry Foul Turnover (P2.T16)86
36.0%
90
64.0%
Q4 - 8:08DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hickson 2 AST)86
44.8%
90
55.2%
Q4 - 8:21HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)86
57.7%
87
42.3%
Q4 - 8:42HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
44.8%
87
55.2%
Q4 - 8:43DENMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 283
43.9%
87
56.1%
Q4 - 8:43DENNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
39.5%
87
60.5%
Q4 - 8:48DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
44.9%
86
55.1%
Q4 - 8:49HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
46.8%
86
53.2%
Q4 - 9:09DENNelson 20' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)83
52.8%
86
47.2%
Q4 - 9:31HOUHoward Dunk (12 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)83
58.5%
84
41.5%
Q4 - 9:47DENPapanikolaou Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T14)81
52.7%
84
47.3%
Q4 - 9:47HOUTerry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)81
46.5%
84
53.5%
Q4 - 9:58HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
35.1%
84
64.9%
Q4 - 9:59DENMISS Nelson 8' Jump Shot78
33.4%
84
66.6%
Q4 - 10:16HOUAriza 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)78
31.7%
84
68.3%
Q4 - 10:38DENBarton Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T13)76
27.2%
84
72.8%
Q4 - 10:42DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
22.6%
84
77.4%
Q4 - 10:43HOUMISS Brewer 12' Jump Shot76
24.0%
84
76.0%
Q4 - 11:08DENNelson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)76
28.5%
84
71.5%
Q4 - 11:28HOUHoward 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)76
32.9%
82
67.1%
Q4 - 11:44HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
28.4%
82
71.6%
Q4 - 11:45DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
27.0%
82
73.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN74
24.0%
82
76.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound74
24.0%
82
76.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Papanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
27.0%
82
73.0%
Q3 - 0:18.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
26.3%
82
73.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0HOUMISS Thornton 1' Driving Layup74
27.5%
82
72.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
30.4%
82
69.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
31.0%
81
69.0%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOUBrewer Foul Turnover (P1.T15)74
34.8%
80
65.2%
Q3 - 1:01HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
41.6%
80
58.4%
Q3 - 1:02DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
40.1%
80
59.9%
Q3 - 1:20DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
36.7%
80
63.3%
Q3 - 1:21HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
38.1%
80
61.9%
Q3 - 1:32HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
41.5%
80
58.5%
Q3 - 1:34DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot74
40.0%
80
60.0%
Q3 - 1:40DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
36.6%
80
63.4%
Q3 - 1:41HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
38.1%
80
61.9%
Q3 - 2:06DENBarton Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)74
43.1%
80
56.9%
Q3 - 2:11HOUFoye STEAL (2 STL)74
47.3%
78
52.7%
Q3 - 2:32DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)74
52.2%
78
47.8%
Q3 - 2:51DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
61.0%
75
39.0%
Q3 - 2:52HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 274
61.7%
75
38.3%
Q3 - 2:52HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)74
63.8%
75
36.2%
Q3 - 2:59HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
61.3%
75
38.7%
Q3 - 3:00DENMISS Arthur 1' Layup73
59.9%
75
40.1%
Q3 - 3:14DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
57.4%
75
42.6%
Q3 - 3:16HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 173
58.0%
75
42.0%
Q3 - 3:34DENFoye 4' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)71
53.3%
75
46.7%
Q3 - 3:52HOUTerry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)71
57.3%
73
42.7%
Q3 - 4:10HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
50.1%
73
49.9%
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Mudiay 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
48.6%
73
51.4%
Q3 - 4:22HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
45.1%
73
54.9%
Q3 - 4:22HOUJones 3' Tip Layup Shot (18 PTS)68
45.1%
73
54.9%
Q3 - 4:26HOUMISS Harden 5' Jump Shot66
38.2%
73
61.8%
Q3 - 4:48DENBarton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)66
41.5%
73
58.5%
Q3 - 5:12HOUJones 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)66
50.3%
70
49.7%
Q3 - 5:17DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)64
46.6%
70
53.4%
Q3 - 5:40HOUCapela 2' Alley Oop Layup (3 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)64
42.1%
70
57.9%
Q3 - 6:00DENGallinari 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Mudiay 9 AST)62
38.5%
70
61.5%
Q3 - 6:11HOUFoye STEAL (1 STL)62
43.6%
68
56.4%
Q3 - 6:23DENMudiay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T11)62
48.0%
68
52.0%
Q3 - 6:37HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)62
43.6%
68
56.4%
Q3 - 6:37HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 261
43.1%
68
56.9%
Q3 - 6:45HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
44.0%
68
56.0%
Q3 - 6:46DENMISS Mudiay 6' Floating Jump Shot61
42.6%
68
57.4%
Q3 - 6:58DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
39.7%
68
60.3%
Q3 - 6:58HOUMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot61
41.0%
68
59.0%
Q3 - 7:20DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)61
45.0%
68
55.0%
Q3 - 7:20DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (14 PTS)61
45.0%
68
55.0%
Q3 - 7:20DENMISS Faried 1' Layup61
51.3%
66
48.7%
Q3 - 7:27DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
48.3%
66
51.7%
Q3 - 7:28HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
49.6%
66
50.4%
Q3 - 7:37HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
52.6%
66
47.4%
Q3 - 7:37DENMISS Mudiay 17' Jump Shot61
51.3%
66
48.7%
Q3 - 7:54HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)61
48.3%
66
51.7%
Q3 - 8:05HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
42.5%
66
57.5%
Q3 - 8:06DENMISS Faried 2' Layup58
41.2%
66
58.8%
Q3 - 8:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
38.4%
66
61.6%
Q3 - 8:10DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot58
41.2%
66
58.8%
Q3 - 8:34HOUHoward 1' Layup (8 PTS)58
38.3%
66
61.7%
Q3 - 8:53DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
35.2%
66
64.8%
Q3 - 8:53DENHickson Putback Dunk (10 PTS)56
35.2%
66
64.8%
Q3 - 8:54DENMISS Mudiay 2' Layup56
41.1%
64
58.9%
Q3 - 8:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
38.2%
64
61.8%
Q3 - 9:00HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
39.5%
64
60.5%
Q3 - 9:25DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)56
43.3%
64
56.7%
Q3 - 9:49HOUHarrell Putback Dunk (5 PTS)56
39.6%
64
60.4%
Q3 - 9:50HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 9:51HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup54
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 9:55DENHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)54
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 10:06HOUHarris STEAL (1 STL)54
34.5%
64
65.5%
Q3 - 10:26DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)54
37.9%
64
62.1%
Q3 - 10:40HOUHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)54
44.4%
61
55.6%
Q3 - 10:53DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)54
48.1%
61
51.9%
Q3 - 10:53DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)54
48.5%
60
51.5%
Q3 - 11:06DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
53.2%
59
46.8%
Q3 - 11:06HOUMISS Lawson 10' Jump Shot54
54.3%
59
45.7%
Q3 - 11:18HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
56.7%
59
43.3%
Q3 - 11:19DENMISS Faried 8' Hook Shot54
55.6%
59
44.4%
Q3 - 11:42HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)54
53.0%
59
47.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU51
46.4%
59
53.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound51
46.4%
59
53.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMudiay BLOCK (2 BLK)51
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
47.4%
59
52.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENMISS Mudiay Layup51
46.7%
59
53.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
45.1%
59
54.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Harden 18' Step Back Jump Shot51
45.8%
59
54.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
46.6%
59
53.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0HOUHarden Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T10)51
45.0%
59
55.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)51
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0HOUArthur STEAL (1 STL)51
45.0%
59
55.0%
Q2 - 1:12DENBarton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mudiay 8 AST)51
47.8%
59
52.2%
Q2 - 1:22DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
55.6%
56
44.4%
Q2 - 1:22HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q2 - 1:42HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
57.2%
56
42.8%
Q2 - 1:43DENMISS Faried 2' Layup51
56.7%
56
43.3%
Q2 - 1:49DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
55.6%
56
44.4%
Q2 - 1:50HOUMISS Lawson 17' Step Back Jump Shot51
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q2 - 2:03DENFaried 3' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Mudiay 7 AST)51
58.5%
56
41.5%
Q2 - 2:10DENNUGGETS Rebound51
61.5%
54
38.5%
Q2 - 2:10DENMISS Barton 3' Jump Shot51
63.4%
54
36.6%
Q2 - 2:24HOUHarden 16' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
61.5%
54
38.5%
Q2 - 2:41DENFaried Dunk (10 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)49
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q2 - 2:47DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
61.6%
52
38.4%
Q2 - 2:48HOUFaried BLOCK (2 BLK)49
62.4%
52
37.6%
Q2 - 2:58DENGallinari Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)49
64.2%
52
35.8%
Q2 - 3:14HOUJones 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)49
62.1%
52
37.9%
Q2 - 3:27DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)49
65.2%
52
34.8%
Q2 - 3:27DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
65.6%
51
34.4%
Q2 - 3:30DENNUGGETS Rebound49
67.4%
50
32.6%
Q2 - 3:30DENMISS Barton 2' Layup49
69.5%
50
30.5%
Q2 - 3:32DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
67.4%
50
32.6%
Q2 - 3:33HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot49
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q2 - 3:43HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
70.4%
50
29.6%
Q2 - 3:44DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
67.4%
50
32.6%
Q2 - 3:44DENMISS Faried 4' Hook Shot49
69.5%
50
30.5%
Q2 - 3:47DENMISS Faried Layup49
69.5%
50
30.5%
Q2 - 3:50DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
67.4%
50
32.6%
Q2 - 3:53DENMISS Foye Free Throw 2 of 249
70.0%
50
30.0%
Q2 - 3:53DENMISS Foye Free Throw 1 of 249
68.2%
50
31.8%
Q2 - 4:08HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)49
67.9%
50
32.1%
Q2 - 4:27DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)46
62.9%
50
37.1%
Q2 - 4:43HOUAriza 13' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
67.9%
47
32.1%
Q2 - 5:13DENGallinari 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS)44
66.1%
47
33.9%
Q2 - 5:29HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q2 - 5:29HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
68.1%
45
31.9%
Q2 - 5:33DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)42
66.1%
45
33.9%
Q2 - 5:55HOUJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)42
63.3%
45
36.7%
Q2 - 6:09DENHickson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
59.2%
45
40.8%
Q2 - 6:12DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
61.1%
43
38.9%
Q2 - 6:12DENMISS Faried 1' Layup39
63.3%
43
36.7%
Q2 - 6:33HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
61.1%
43
38.9%
Q2 - 6:33HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 238
60.7%
43
39.3%
Q2 - 6:35DENHickson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)38
61.7%
43
38.3%
Q2 - 6:46HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T7)38
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 6:49DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
61.7%
43
38.3%
Q2 - 7:00HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)38
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 7:17DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
54.4%
43
45.6%
Q2 - 7:17DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
55.2%
42
44.8%
Q2 - 7:20DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
56.8%
41
43.2%
Q2 - 7:20HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
57.7%
41
42.3%
Q2 - 7:38HOURockets Rebound35
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q2 - 7:38HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot35
57.6%
41
42.4%
Q2 - 8:00DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)35
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q2 - 8:04HOUBarton STEAL (2 STL)35
62.2%
39
37.8%
Q2 - 8:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
64.7%
39
35.3%
Q2 - 8:12DENMISS Hickson 2' Finger Roll Layup35
63.9%
39
36.1%
Q2 - 8:34HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
62.2%
39
37.8%
Q2 - 8:34HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
61.2%
39
38.8%
Q2 - 8:41HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
59.8%
39
40.2%
Q2 - 8:42DENMISS Hickson 15' Jump Shot33
59.1%
39
40.9%
Q2 - 9:03HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 9:03HOUHoward 2' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)33
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 9:05HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot31
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 9:23DENBarton 2' Running Layup (9 PTS)31
55.7%
39
44.3%
Q2 - 9:28HOUBarton STEAL (1 STL)31
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 9:32HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
60.6%
37
39.4%
Q2 - 9:33DENMISS Arthur 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot31
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q2 - 9:50HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T4)31
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 9:56DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)31
60.5%
37
39.5%
Q2 - 10:06HOUHarrell Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
64.6%
34
35.4%
Q2 - 10:06HOUHarrell Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)30
64.0%
34
36.0%
Q2 - 10:17DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
62.8%
34
37.2%
Q2 - 10:17DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 10:29HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
64.6%
32
35.4%
Q2 - 10:29HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 10:34DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
62.8%
32
37.2%
Q2 - 10:46DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
60.0%
32
40.0%
Q2 - 10:47HOUMISS Lawson 3' Floating Jump Shot27
60.9%
32
39.1%
Q2 - 10:59DENBarton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)27
62.9%
32
37.1%
Q2 - 11:19HOUThornton 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)27
64.9%
30
35.1%
Q2 - 11:27HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 11:28DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
62.0%
30
38.0%
Q2 - 11:44HOUThornton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)25
60.3%
30
39.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
58.1%
30
41.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Brewer 2' Running Finger Roll Layup23
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENNelson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
58.1%
30
41.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUJones 8' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)23
61.0%
28
39.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
58.1%
28
41.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENJokic 2' Putback Layup (3 PTS)21
58.1%
28
41.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENMISS Barton 1' Driving Layup21
62.1%
26
37.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
61.0%
26
39.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 221
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 221
62.3%
26
37.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
62.6%
26
37.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENMISS Jokic Free Throw 1 of 221
63.3%
25
36.7%
Q1 - 1:00DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
63.2%
25
36.8%
Q1 - 1:01DENMISS Jokic 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
64.7%
25
35.3%
Q1 - 1:10DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
63.6%
25
36.4%
Q1 - 1:12HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
65.2%
25
34.8%
Q1 - 1:12HOUMISS Jones Putback Dunk21
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q1 - 1:15HOUMISS Capela 4' Jump Shot21
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q1 - 1:24HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
65.2%
25
34.8%
Q1 - 1:25DENMISS Barton 19' Jump Shot21
64.7%
25
35.3%
Q1 - 1:42DENNUGGETS Rebound21
63.6%
25
36.4%
Q1 - 1:43HOUMISS Thornton 10' Floating Jump Shot21
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q1 - 2:04DENGallinari 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)21
65.7%
25
34.3%
Q1 - 2:13DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
67.9%
23
32.1%
Q1 - 2:14HOUMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
68.4%
23
31.6%
Q1 - 2:27DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
69.7%
23
30.3%
Q1 - 2:27DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
69.9%
22
30.1%
Q1 - 2:40DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
71.7%
21
28.3%
Q1 - 2:41HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 221
72.0%
21
28.0%
Q1 - 2:41HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q1 - 2:56DENJokic Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)20
71.5%
21
28.5%
Q1 - 2:56DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
69.9%
21
30.1%
Q1 - 2:57DENMISS Jokic 1' Layup20
71.0%
21
29.0%
Q1 - 3:21HOUHarden 9' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)20
70.0%
21
30.0%
Q1 - 3:35DENFoye 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
68.3%
21
31.7%
Q1 - 3:44DENNUGGETS Rebound18
70.0%
19
30.0%
Q1 - 3:44HOUMISS Ariza 21' Jump Shot18
70.6%
19
29.4%
Q1 - 3:53HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
72.0%
19
28.0%
Q1 - 3:53DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot18
71.4%
19
28.6%
Q1 - 4:07DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
70.1%
19
29.9%
Q1 - 4:09HOUMISS Harden 11' Step Back Jump Shot18
70.8%
19
29.2%
Q1 - 4:26DENGallinari 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)18
72.2%
19
27.8%
Q1 - 4:41HOUHarden 2' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)18
73.7%
17
26.3%
Q1 - 4:56DENMudiay 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
72.2%
17
27.8%
Q1 - 5:19HOUJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
73.8%
15
26.2%
Q1 - 5:22HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 5:25HOUMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)13
69.2%
15
30.8%
Q1 - 5:42HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 5:42DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 213
70.3%
15
29.7%
Q1 - 5:42DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 213
69.4%
15
30.6%
Q1 - 5:57HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
68.6%
15
31.4%
Q1 - 5:57HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
68.4%
15
31.6%
Q1 - 6:19DENHickson 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)11
67.4%
15
32.6%
Q1 - 6:24DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 6:24HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot11
69.5%
13
30.5%
Q1 - 6:34HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
70.7%
13
29.3%
Q1 - 6:36DENMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot11
70.2%
13
29.8%
Q1 - 6:53HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)11
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 6:53HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)10
68.7%
13
31.3%
Q1 - 6:53HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)9
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q1 - 7:03DENHickson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)8
66.2%
13
33.8%
Q1 - 7:07DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
67.6%
11
32.4%
Q1 - 7:08DENMISS Faried 2' Driving Layup8
69.0%
11
31.0%
Q1 - 7:17DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
67.6%
11
32.4%
Q1 - 7:19DENMISS Harris 6' Floating Jump Shot8
68.9%
11
31.1%
Q1 - 7:33HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
67.6%
11
32.4%
Q1 - 7:33HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)7
67.3%
11
32.7%
Q1 - 7:45HOURockets Rebound6
66.2%
11
33.8%
Q1 - 7:46DENMISS Gallinari 18' Jump Shot6
65.5%
11
34.5%
Q1 - 8:04DENNUGGETS Rebound6
65.0%
11
35.0%
Q1 - 8:04HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
65.6%
11
34.4%
Q1 - 8:17DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
66.8%
11
33.2%
Q1 - 8:17DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
67.0%
10
33.0%
Q1 - 8:32HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)6
68.3%
9
31.7%
Q1 - 8:38HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
65.1%
9
34.9%
Q1 - 8:41DENMISS Hickson 14' Jump Shot3
64.5%
9
35.5%
Q1 - 8:54HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
63.1%
9
36.9%
Q1 - 9:09DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)1
62.0%
9
38.0%
Q1 - 9:15HOUMudiay STEAL (1 STL)1
63.4%
7
36.6%
Q1 - 9:22HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)1
65.5%
7
34.5%
Q1 - 9:23HOUMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot1
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 9:28HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
65.5%
7
34.5%
Q1 - 9:32DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot1
64.8%
7
35.2%
Q1 - 9:37DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
63.4%
7
36.6%
Q1 - 9:39HOUMISS Ariza 1' Driving Layup1
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 9:49DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)1
65.4%
7
34.6%
Q1 - 10:08HOUHarrell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
68.5%
4
31.5%
Q1 - 10:08HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 1 of 20
68.1%
4
31.9%
Q1 - 10:21DENHickson Dunk (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)0
68.8%
4
31.2%
Q1 - 10:27HOUHickson STEAL (1 STL)0
70.1%
2
29.9%
Q1 - 10:31HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 10:32HOUFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)0
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 10:48DENFaried 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)0
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 10:58HOUGallinari STEAL (1 STL)0
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 11:09DENMudiay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
74.6%
0
25.4%
Q1 - 11:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.3%
0
26.7%
Q1 - 11:17HOUMISS Lawson 2' Reverse Layup0
73.7%
0
26.3%
Q1 - 11:23HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.6%
0
25.4%
Q1 - 11:24DENMISS Hickson 11' Jump Shot0
74.2%
0
25.8%
Q1 - 11:31DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
73.3%
0
26.7%
Q1 - 11:32HOUMISS Ariza 1' Running Layup0
73.7%
0
26.3%
Q1 - 11:37HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.6%
0
25.4%
Q1 - 11:38DENMISS Mudiay 10' Jump Shot0
74.2%
0
25.8%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Hickson vs. Howard: Tip to Mudiay0
73.3%
0
26.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.07 53.3%
DEN
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
16
31
52%
DEN
17
35
49%
Midrange
HOU
8
17
47%
DEN
11
26
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
DEN
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
HOU
23
31
74%
DEN
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2861%14.0 / 23
T. Jones23105%11.5 / 11
T. Ariza1346%6.5 / 14
D. Howard1267%6.0 / 9
J. Terry975%4.5 / 6
M. Harrell583%2.5 / 3
M. Thornton425%2.0 / 8
C. Capela450%2.0 / 4
T. Lawson0-0.0 / 7
C. Brewer0-0.0 / 2
P. Beverley0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2796%13.5 / 14
W. Barton2676%13.0 / 17
K. Faried1441%7.0 / 17
J. Nelson1365%6.5 / 10
J. Hickson1050%5.0 / 10
R. Foye956%4.5 / 8
G. Harris350%1.5 / 3
N. Jokić338%1.5 / 4
E. Mudiay210%1.0 / 10
D. Arthur0-0.0 / 2
K. Papanikolaou0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+11
-20
91
DEN
82
+16
-18
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.07 53.3%
DEN
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.2
HOU 98.0 +9.0
DEN 107.0
Pace
97.9
95.3
HOU 103.9 +7.5
DEN 96.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.9
HOU 13.9 +1.1
DEN 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
48.9%
HOU 48.7%
DEN 51.2% +2.5%
TO %
15.5%
14.8%
HOU 18.1%
DEN 16.7% +1.4%
ORB %
25.7%
25.8%
HOU 19.0%
DEN 27.3% +8.3%
FTrt
35.2
28.2
HOU 40.3 +0.8
DEN 39.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.9%
60.1%
HOU 57.6%
DEN 67.6% +10.0%
STL %
10.2%
7.7%
HOU 10.0%
DEN 10.0%
BLK %
9.0%
8.1%
HOU 13.1% +4.8%
DEN 8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
51.7%
HOU 53.3%
DEN 54.0% +0.7%
Rim FG%
58.5%
54.8%
HOU 51.6% +3.0%
DEN 48.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
38.8%
HOU 47.1% +4.8%
DEN 42.3%
3P %
34.7%
33.8%
HOU 31.0%
DEN 45.0% +14.0%
FT %
69.5%
76.6%
HOU 74.2%
DEN 75.0% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
42.5%
HOU 40.3%
DEN 43.2% +3.0%
Mid Att. %
23.0%
29.8%
HOU 22.1% +10.0%
DEN 32.1%
3P Att. %
37.0%
27.7%
HOU 37.7% +13.0%
DEN 24.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points98107
Rebounds4046
Assists1925
Steals1010
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)34 (3)
Field Goals33-7737-81
At-the-Rim FG16-3117-35
Midrange FG8-1711-26
2-Point FG24-4828-61
3-Point FG9-299-20
Free Throws23-3124-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
38.2
13
46%
3
3
2
0
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
37.9
28
61%
8
5
3
2
4
4
0
8
9-11
82%
8-14
57%
1-5
20%
G · 5'11" 195 · 28
34.1
0
0%
0
7
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
27.7
12
67%
10
1
1
1
6
5
3
7
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 22
12.8
5
83%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 252 · 24
20.9
23
105%
7
0
0
4
2
1
4
3
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
3-4
75%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28
17.9
4
25%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
16.2
9
75%
0
0
1
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 186 · 30
13.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 256 · 21
13.1
4
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
7.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#32 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · F · 6'9" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
40
19
10
8
20
0
8
32
23-31
74%
24-48
50%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.