FinalWin Prob.pScore
2540%101
102
2660%105
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
115.98886.6
DEN logo DEN
118.48788.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN102
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound102
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMISS Middleton 20' Fadeaway Jumper102
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)102
10.1%
103
89.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (19 PTS)102
10.1%
103
89.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Turnaround Fadeaway Shot102
92.6%
101
7.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILAntetokounmpo 4' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Vasquez 9 AST)102
55.8%
101
44.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
37.7%
101
62.3%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)100
42.3%
100
57.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)100
53.1%
99
46.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
60.9%
99
39.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
71.3%
99
28.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 2100
68.9%
99
31.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)100
59.2%
99
40.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)100
67.9%
98
32.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MILMISS Monroe 9' Jump Shot100
72.2%
98
27.8%
Q4 - 1:18DENHickson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)100
77.6%
98
22.4%
Q4 - 1:21MILO'Bryant III 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)100
64.0%
98
36.0%
Q4 - 1:37MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)98
51.8%
98
48.2%
Q4 - 1:37DENMISS Hickson 1' Finger Roll Layup98
47.4%
98
52.6%
Q4 - 1:54MILBayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Vasquez 8 AST)98
38.1%
98
61.9%
Q4 - 1:59MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)95
19.2%
98
80.8%
Q4 - 2:00MILMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
14.1%
98
85.9%
Q4 - 2:14MILBucks Rebound95
22.1%
98
77.9%
Q4 - 2:15MILFaried BLOCK (3 BLK)95
15.3%
98
84.7%
Q4 - 2:19DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)95
22.2%
98
77.8%
Q4 - 2:37MILHarris STEAL (2 STL)95
13.0%
98
87.0%
Q4 - 2:48DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)95
22.6%
98
77.4%
Q4 - 2:48DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 295
24.4%
97
75.6%
Q4 - 3:11MILMonroe Dunk (18 PTS) (O'Bryant III 3 AST)95
20.6%
97
79.4%
Q4 - 3:33DENFaried Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)93
18.4%
97
81.6%
Q4 - 3:36DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)93
13.2%
97
86.8%
Q4 - 3:37DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper93
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q4 - 4:03MILGallinari STEAL (1 STL)93
12.6%
97
87.4%
Q4 - 4:05DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)93
17.8%
97
82.2%
Q4 - 4:07DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)93
12.6%
97
87.4%
Q4 - 4:10MILMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
14.0%
97
86.0%
Q4 - 4:29DENHickson 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mudiay 11 AST)93
17.6%
97
82.4%
Q4 - 4:53MILBayless 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Vasquez 7 AST)93
23.0%
95
77.0%
Q4 - 4:58DENGallinari Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)91
17.5%
95
82.5%
Q4 - 5:15MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
14.6%
95
85.4%
Q4 - 5:15MILMonroe 1' Putback Layup (16 PTS)91
14.6%
95
85.4%
Q4 - 5:16MILMISS Monroe 1' Layup89
8.9%
95
91.1%
Q4 - 5:30MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
11.1%
95
88.9%
Q4 - 5:31MILMISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
8.9%
95
91.1%
Q4 - 5:45MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)89
11.1%
95
88.9%
Q4 - 5:46DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
10.0%
95
90.0%
Q4 - 6:05MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)89
9.5%
95
90.5%
Q4 - 6:05MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 6:06DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 6:32MILBayless 3' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Bryant III 2 AST)86
4.0%
95
96.0%
Q4 - 6:42MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)84
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 6:43DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 7:12MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 7:12MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 7:15DENJokic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 7:31DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 7:32MILMISS Middleton 20' Step Back Jump Shot82
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 7:38MILBucks Rebound82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 7:39MILMISS Bayless 6' Floating Jump Shot82
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 7:53MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 7:54MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot82
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 8:04DENPapanikolaou Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)82
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 8:07DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 8:09DENMISS Papanikolaou 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot82
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 8:18DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 8:19DENMISS Jokic 3' Hook Shot82
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 8:37DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 8:38MILMISS Vasquez 10' Floating Jump Shot82
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 8:52MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 8:53DENMISS Jokic Free Throw 1 of 182
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 9:05MILBayless Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)82
4.5%
93
95.5%
Q4 - 9:05MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)81
4.3%
93
95.7%
Q4 - 9:05MILMISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 380
4.2%
93
95.8%
Q4 - 9:19DENFoye 23' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q4 - 9:29DENFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q4 - 9:29MILMISS Vaughn 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 9:54DENBarton 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)80
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 10:03DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 10:04MILMISS Antetokounmpo 16' Fadeaway Jumper80
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 10:14MILBucks Rebound80
9.6%
89
90.4%
Q4 - 10:14MILArthur BLOCK (2 BLK)80
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 10:30DENJokic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)80
9.6%
89
90.4%
Q4 - 10:41MILJokic STEAL (2 STL)80
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 11:02MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q4 - 11:03DENMISS Arthur 3PT Jump Shot80
9.7%
89
90.3%
Q4 - 11:07DENFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
8.4%
89
91.6%
Q4 - 11:08DENMISS Jokic 1' Finger Roll Layup80
9.7%
89
90.3%
Q4 - 11:19DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
8.4%
89
91.6%
Q4 - 11:20MILMISS Antetokounmpo 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 11:37DENFoye 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)80
10.3%
89
89.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL80
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
15.0%
87
85.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Middleton 15' Jump Shot80
13.1%
87
86.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Arthur 3 AST)80
15.8%
87
84.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILBayless Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T14)80
22.0%
84
78.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)80
25.8%
84
74.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)80
26.2%
83
73.8%
Q3 - 1:09MILO'Bryant III Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
30.1%
82
69.9%
Q3 - 1:09MILO'Bryant III Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)79
28.9%
82
71.1%
Q3 - 1:27DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
26.3%
82
73.7%
Q3 - 1:27DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 278
27.4%
81
72.6%
Q3 - 1:27DENNUGGETS Rebound78
26.2%
81
73.8%
Q3 - 1:27DENMISS Mudiay 18' Jump Shot78
29.0%
81
71.0%
Q3 - 1:47MILO'Bryant III Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)78
26.2%
81
73.8%
Q3 - 1:53DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)75
19.4%
81
80.6%
Q3 - 2:12DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q3 - 2:14MILFaried BLOCK (2 BLK)75
17.9%
81
82.1%
Q3 - 2:32DENFaried 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)75
20.0%
81
80.0%
Q3 - 2:43MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P3.T13)75
22.9%
79
77.1%
Q3 - 3:05DENFaried 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mudiay 10 AST)75
27.1%
79
72.9%
Q3 - 3:24MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)75
30.5%
77
69.5%
Q3 - 3:50DENFaried 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)75
34.7%
77
65.3%
Q3 - 3:55MILFaried STEAL (2 STL)75
38.5%
75
61.5%
Q3 - 4:13MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
42.9%
75
57.1%
Q3 - 4:15DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 275
42.2%
75
57.8%
Q3 - 4:15DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 275
39.9%
75
60.1%
Q3 - 4:19MILHarris STEAL (1 STL)75
38.1%
75
61.9%
Q3 - 4:24MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
42.9%
75
57.1%
Q3 - 4:25DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
41.4%
75
58.6%
Q3 - 4:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
38.1%
75
61.9%
Q3 - 4:35MILMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
39.5%
75
60.5%
Q3 - 4:50DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)75
42.9%
75
57.1%
Q3 - 4:50DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (10 PTS)75
42.9%
75
57.1%
Q3 - 4:53DENMISS Mudiay 3' Layup75
50.0%
73
50.0%
Q3 - 4:54DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
46.5%
73
53.5%
Q3 - 4:55DENMISS Mudiay 1' Layup75
50.0%
73
50.0%
Q3 - 5:11DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
46.0%
73
54.0%
Q3 - 5:12MILMISS Antetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
47.4%
73
52.6%
Q3 - 5:28DENMudiay 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)75
50.6%
73
49.4%
Q3 - 5:43DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
54.2%
71
45.8%
Q3 - 5:43MILMISS Bayless 17' Turnaround Jump Shot75
55.6%
71
44.4%
Q3 - 6:00DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
58.8%
71
41.2%
Q3 - 6:00DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
59.9%
70
40.1%
Q3 - 6:10MILMonroe 1' Cutting Layup Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)75
61.1%
69
38.9%
Q3 - 6:29MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
57.7%
69
42.3%
Q3 - 6:30DENMISS Mudiay 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
56.4%
69
43.6%
Q3 - 6:38DENNUGGETS Rebound73
53.4%
69
46.6%
Q3 - 6:40DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
53.4%
69
46.6%
Q3 - 6:40DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup73
56.4%
69
43.6%
Q3 - 6:41DENMISS Harris 1' Running Layup73
56.4%
69
43.6%
Q3 - 6:45MILFaried STEAL (1 STL)73
53.4%
69
46.6%
Q3 - 7:07DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)73
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q3 - 7:25MILMonroe 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 5 AST)73
63.7%
66
36.3%
Q3 - 7:41DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
60.5%
66
39.5%
Q3 - 7:41DENHickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
61.9%
65
38.1%
Q3 - 7:55MILAntetokounmpo Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)71
63.7%
64
36.3%
Q3 - 8:06MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
66.9%
64
33.1%
Q3 - 8:07DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
65.7%
64
34.3%
Q3 - 8:19DENNUGGETS Rebound71
63.0%
64
37.0%
Q3 - 8:20DENMISS Hickson 2' Layup71
65.7%
64
34.3%
Q3 - 8:31DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
63.0%
64
37.0%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Middleton 20' Jump Shot71
64.2%
64
35.8%
Q3 - 8:50MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
66.9%
64
33.1%
Q3 - 8:51DENMISS Mudiay 18' Jump Shot71
65.8%
64
34.2%
Q3 - 9:11MILMonroe 8' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)71
62.1%
64
37.9%
Q3 - 9:24MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
58.8%
64
41.2%
Q3 - 9:25MILMISS Middleton 13' Turnaround Jump Shot69
56.2%
64
43.8%
Q3 - 9:38DENMudiay 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)69
58.8%
64
41.2%
Q3 - 9:46DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
62.1%
62
37.9%
Q3 - 9:47MILMISS Monroe 15' Jump Shot69
63.2%
62
36.8%
Q3 - 10:08DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)69
64.7%
62
35.3%
Q3 - 10:16DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
70.6%
59
29.4%
Q3 - 10:17MILMISS O'Bryant III 20' Jump Shot69
71.6%
59
28.4%
Q3 - 10:38DENHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mudiay 9 AST)69
73.7%
59
26.3%
Q3 - 10:59MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)69
78.6%
56
21.4%
Q3 - 11:19DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mudiay 8 AST)66
72.6%
56
27.4%
Q3 - 11:37MILO'Bryant III 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)66
77.5%
53
22.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN64
75.3%
53
24.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound64
72.4%
53
27.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Gallinari 54' 3PT Jump Shot64
74.4%
53
25.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMiddleton 20' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)64
71.6%
53
28.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
68.0%
53
32.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0DENMISS Mudiay 10' Jump Shot62
67.5%
53
32.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILVasquez 10' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)62
66.1%
53
33.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENFaried Dunk (6 PTS) (Mudiay 7 AST)60
62.3%
53
37.7%
Q2 - 1:03MILBayless Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Vasquez 5 AST)60
65.7%
51
34.3%
Q2 - 1:10DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)58
61.4%
51
38.6%
Q2 - 1:14DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
68.5%
48
31.5%
Q2 - 1:16MILFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)58
68.9%
48
31.1%
Q2 - 1:36DENMudiay Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)58
69.9%
48
30.1%
Q2 - 1:45MILMonroe 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)58
68.5%
48
31.5%
Q2 - 2:11DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)56
64.0%
48
36.0%
Q2 - 2:30MILMiddleton 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)56
69.6%
45
30.4%
Q2 - 2:35DENGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)54
66.8%
45
33.2%
Q2 - 2:37DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
64.2%
45
35.8%
Q2 - 2:38DENMISS Harris 2' Layup54
66.0%
45
34.0%
Q2 - 3:00MILMonroe 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)54
64.3%
45
35.7%
Q2 - 3:10DENHickson 1' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)52
60.5%
45
39.5%
Q2 - 3:31MILVasquez 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
62.9%
43
37.1%
Q2 - 3:48DENGallinari 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)49
57.7%
43
42.3%
Q2 - 3:59MILBayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)49
60.1%
41
39.9%
Q2 - 4:24MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 4:25DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 246
53.3%
41
46.7%
Q2 - 4:25DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)46
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 4:36MILVasquez 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)46
53.6%
40
46.4%
Q2 - 4:59DENHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)44
50.9%
40
49.1%
Q2 - 5:10DENNUGGETS Rebound44
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 5:10MILMISS Middleton 5' Jump Shot44
48.5%
40
51.5%
Q2 - 5:18MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 5:19DENMISS Gallinari 1' Finger Roll Layup44
49.6%
40
50.4%
Q2 - 5:48MILBayless 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)44
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 5:54MILBucks Rebound41
42.2%
40
57.8%
Q2 - 5:55MILArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)41
40.2%
40
59.8%
Q2 - 6:07DENBarton Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)41
42.4%
40
57.6%
Q2 - 6:16DENPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 6:16MILMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 6:31DENBarton 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)41
42.4%
40
57.6%
Q2 - 6:37MILJokic STEAL (1 STL)41
44.4%
38
55.6%
Q2 - 7:03DENBarton 3' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
47.1%
38
52.9%
Q2 - 7:08DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
49.6%
36
50.4%
Q2 - 7:09MILMISS Antetokounmpo 6' Fadeaway Jumper41
50.4%
36
49.6%
Q2 - 7:30MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
52.4%
36
47.6%
Q2 - 7:31DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
51.6%
36
48.4%
Q2 - 7:57MILVasquez 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)41
49.6%
36
50.4%
Q2 - 8:13DENJokic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)39
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 8:30MILAntetokounmpo 3' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)39
49.1%
34
50.9%
Q2 - 8:55DENJokic 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)37
46.7%
34
53.3%
Q2 - 9:09MILMonroe 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)37
48.5%
32
51.5%
Q2 - 9:29MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
46.4%
32
53.6%
Q2 - 9:30DENMISS Barton 8' Floating Jump Shot35
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q2 - 9:47MILMiddleton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)35
43.6%
32
56.4%
Q2 - 10:08DENPapanikolaou 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)35
46.4%
32
53.6%
Q2 - 10:20DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
50.8%
29
49.2%
Q2 - 10:21MILMISS Henson 8' Hook Shot35
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 10:30DENJokic 2' Layup (2 PTS)35
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 10:34DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
55.7%
27
44.3%
Q2 - 10:35DENMISS Arthur 1' Hook Shot35
57.7%
27
42.3%
Q2 - 10:54MILVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
55.7%
27
44.3%
Q2 - 11:04MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
50.5%
27
49.5%
Q2 - 11:06DENMISS Foye 2' Reverse Layup32
49.7%
27
50.3%
Q2 - 11:13MILFoye STEAL (1 STL)32
48.0%
27
52.0%
Q2 - 11:26DENArthur 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)32
50.5%
27
49.5%
Q2 - 11:49MILVasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN32
55.4%
25
44.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)32
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0MILVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
45.6%
25
54.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
40.4%
25
59.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
39.9%
25
60.1%
Q1 - 1:17MILHenson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)26
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q1 - 1:43DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
36.0%
25
64.0%
Q1 - 1:43DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
36.2%
24
63.8%
Q1 - 1:47DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
38.7%
23
61.3%
Q1 - 1:48DENMISS Jokic 1' Layup24
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q1 - 1:55DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
38.7%
23
61.3%
Q1 - 1:55DENMISS Mudiay 17' Turnaround Jump Shot24
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q1 - 2:12MILVaughn Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)24
38.6%
23
61.4%
Q1 - 2:23MILHenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
40.5%
23
59.5%
Q1 - 2:26DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot24
39.9%
23
60.1%
Q1 - 2:39MILAntetokounmpo 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS)24
38.6%
23
61.4%
Q1 - 2:51DENMudiay 2' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)22
36.2%
23
63.8%
Q1 - 2:57MILMudiay STEAL (1 STL)22
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q1 - 3:12DENMudiay 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
40.5%
21
59.5%
Q1 - 3:25MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 3:25MILAntetokounmpo 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)22
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 3:30MILHickson BLOCK (1 BLK)20
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 3:51DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)20
40.5%
19
59.5%
Q1 - 4:09MILHenson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
44.2%
16
55.8%
Q1 - 4:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 4:27DENFaried 3' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)18
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 4:32DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
44.2%
14
55.8%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Faried Tip Layup Shot18
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Gallinari 2' Layup18
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 4:47MILEnnis 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Bryant III 1 AST)18
44.2%
14
55.8%
Q1 - 5:13MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
39.8%
14
60.2%
Q1 - 5:14DENMISS Gallinari 21' Fadeaway Jumper15
39.2%
14
60.8%
Q1 - 5:35MILAntetokounmpo Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)15
37.7%
14
62.3%
Q1 - 5:41DENHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
35.9%
14
64.1%
Q1 - 5:51DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 5:51MILMISS O'Bryant III 19' Jump Shot13
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 6:16DENHickson Dunk (6 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)13
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 6:25DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 6:26MILMISS Antetokounmpo 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
38.1%
12
61.9%
Q1 - 6:37MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.5%
12
60.5%
Q1 - 6:38DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
38.9%
12
61.1%
Q1 - 6:49MILO'Bryant III 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)13
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 7:03DENFaried Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)11
35.7%
12
64.3%
Q1 - 7:13MILHickson STEAL (1 STL)11
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 7:29MILBucks Rebound11
39.4%
10
60.6%
Q1 - 7:30DENMISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot11
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 7:51DENNUGGETS Rebound11
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 7:52MILMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
37.9%
10
62.1%
Q1 - 8:07DENHickson Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)11
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 8:12DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 8:12MILMISS O'Bryant III 2' Layup11
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 8:17MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 8:18MILMISS Antetokounmpo 4' Jump Shot11
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 8:35MILO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Gallinari 21' Step Back Jump Shot11
42.3%
8
57.7%
Q1 - 8:57MILEnnis 21' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)11
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 9:24DENGallinari 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)9
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 9:44MILEnnis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)9
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 9:57MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 9:58DENMISS Hickson 3' Floating Jump Shot7
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 10:11MILMonroe 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)7
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 10:28DENHickson 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)5
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 10:40MILMiddleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)5
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 11:01DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 11:01DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
33.8%
3
66.2%
Q1 - 11:11MILAntetokounmpo 6' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 11:37DENHarris 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)0
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Hickson vs. Monroe: Tip to Faried0
35.4%
0
64.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.21 60.7%
DEN
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
21
30
70%
DEN
21
37
57%
Midrange
MIL
11
27
41%
DEN
10
18
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
DEN
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIL
8
9
89%
DEN
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Bayless2292%11.0 / 12
G. Monroe1869%9.0 / 13
G. Vasquez1554%7.5 / 14
K. Middleton1350%6.5 / 13
G. Antetokounmpo1250%6.0 / 12
J. O'Bryant III1169%5.5 / 8
T. Ennis788%3.5 / 4
J. Henson440%2.0 / 5
R. Vaughn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2563%12.5 / 20
K. Faried1979%9.5 / 12
E. Mudiay1640%8.0 / 20
J. Hickson1267%6.0 / 9
G. Harris857%4.0 / 7
N. Jokić857%4.0 / 7
W. Barton660%3.0 / 5
R. Foye440%2.0 / 5
K. Papanikolaou375%1.5 / 2
D. Arthur233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
72
+12
-16
84
DEN
73
+18
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.21 60.7%
DEN
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
106.2
MIL 115.9
DEN 118.4 +2.5
Pace
94.1
95.3
MIL 86.6
DEN 88.5 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
MIL 16.6
DEN 16.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
48.9%
MIL 59.5% +5.1%
DEN 54.4%
TO %
15.4%
14.8%
MIL 17.0%
DEN 13.5% +3.5%
ORB %
25.0%
25.8%
MIL 26.7%
DEN 35.9% +9.2%
FTrt
27.6
28.2
MIL 11.4
DEN 30.4 +19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
60.1%
MIL 61.9%
DEN 69.2% +7.3%
STL %
8.6%
7.7%
MIL 9.1%
DEN 11.5% +2.4%
BLK %
10.2%
8.1%
MIL 7.3%
DEN 10.5% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
51.7%
MIL 60.7% +5.3%
DEN 55.4%
Rim FG%
57.9%
54.8%
MIL 70.0% +13.2%
DEN 56.8%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.8%
MIL 40.7%
DEN 55.6% +14.9%
3P %
34.5%
33.8%
MIL 45.5% +12.2%
DEN 33.3%
FT %
74.7%
76.6%
MIL 88.9% +18.1%
DEN 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
45.2%
42.5%
MIL 38.0%
DEN 46.8% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
35.9%
29.8%
MIL 34.2%
DEN 22.8% +11.4%
3P Att. %
18.9%
27.7%
MIL 27.8%
DEN 30.4% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsMILDEN
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points102103
Rebounds3336
Assists2627
Steals810
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)22 (3)
Field Goals42-7939-79
At-the-Rim FG21-3021-37
Midrange FG11-2710-18
2-Point FG32-5731-55
3-Point FG10-228-24
Free Throws8-917-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 222 · 24
42.4
13
50%
1
2
4
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
25%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 257 · 22
34.0
11
69%
9
3
0
1
0
6
4
5
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
32.6
18
69%
10
2
1
0
2
2
2
8
0-0
-
9-13
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 243 · 21
29.1
12
50%
7
5
0
2
3
5
1
6
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 194 · 21
15.2
7
88%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 217 · 29
32.8
15
54%
2
9
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-8
38%
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
28.4
22
92%
2
4
2
0
3
4
1
1
5-6
83%
4-7
57%
3-3
100%
C · 6'11" 229 · 25
15.4
4
40%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 202 · 19
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 21
F · 6'8" 246 · 20
F · 6'9" 239 · 32
C · 6'11" 249 · 27
#3 · G · 6'5" 210 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'6" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
61%
33
26
8
4
16
0
8
25
8-9
89%
32-57
56%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.