FinalWin Prob.pScore
2823%101
88
1077%111
101
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
94.693104.7
MIA logo MIA
107.49484.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL88
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0LALBass Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Huertas 4 AST)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0LALKelly 6' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02LALLakers Rebound84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Johnson Running Dunk84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09LALDeng STEAL (3 STL)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43LALDeng STEAL (2 STL)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47LALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06LALMISS Kelly 1' Driving Layup84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAWinslow 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32LALBass Dunk (4 PTS) (Huertas 3 AST)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54LALMISS Randle Free Throw 2 of 282
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54LALRandle Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32LALBass 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Young 2 AST)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58LALMISS Clarkson 12' Floating Jump Shot79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:31LALWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:31LALWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:33MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46LALMISS Williams 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:57MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 277
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 5:25LALWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Young 1 AST)77
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 5:52MIABosh Dunk (29 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)74
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11LALWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 6:11LALWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 6:24MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 6:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 6:29LALMISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 6:47MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:07LALMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)72
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMcRoberts Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)72
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 7:25LALRichardson STEAL (1 STL)72
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWinslow 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)72
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 7:55MIAHEAT Rebound72
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 7:56LALMISS Young 20' Jump Shot72
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 8:11LALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot72
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 8:30LALMISS Williams 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup72
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMcRoberts Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)72
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 8:54MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q4 - 8:55LALMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 9:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)72
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 9:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)72
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 9:30LALHuertas 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 9:48MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)70
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 10:01LALNance Jr. Running Dunk (6 PTS)70
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 10:07LALYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHEAT Rebound68
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q4 - 10:30LALMISS Huertas 17' Jump Shot68
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q4 - 10:48MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)68
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q4 - 11:01LALWilliams 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)68
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q4 - 11:02LALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q4 - 11:03LALMISS Williams 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup66
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q4 - 11:11LALYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot66
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q4 - 11:27LALMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 11:34LALLakers Rebound66
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q4 - 11:35LALMISS Nance Jr. 21' Jump Shot66
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 11:44LALBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot66
5.3%
75
94.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL66
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALLakers Rebound66
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALMISS Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
7.4%
73
92.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0LALMISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0LALBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup66
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0LALWinslow STEAL (1 STL)66
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0LALBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
8.9%
73
91.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot66
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 1:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 1:06LALMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q3 - 1:15LALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Dragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot66
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 1:38LALYoung 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)66
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 1:59MIAWinslow 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)63
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 2:10LALWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)63
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 2:23LALBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 263
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 263
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHEAT Rebound63
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 2:25LALMISS Williams 12' Floating Jump Shot63
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)63
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q3 - 3:14LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Randle 4 AST)63
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)60
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 3:55LALRandle Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)60
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)60
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 4:13MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 4:14LALWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)60
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 4:33MIAWade 12' Step Back Bank Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 4:54LALClarkson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)60
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 5:04MIAWhiteside 8' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)60
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q3 - 5:22LALRussell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)60
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 5:25LALRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
17.9%
63
82.1%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot60
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 5:44LALWorld Peace Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)60
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 5:59LALLakers Rebound60
17.9%
63
82.1%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Wade 18' Step Back Jump Shot60
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 6:17LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Russell 4 AST)60
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)57
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 6:44MIAHEAT Rebound57
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 6:45LALMISS Clarkson 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup57
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 7:04MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)57
11.9%
63
88.1%
Q3 - 7:18LALDeng STEAL (1 STL)57
15.2%
60
84.8%
Q3 - 7:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 7:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q3 - 7:33MIAHEAT Rebound57
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot57
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)57
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 7:47LALMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot57
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q3 - 8:05MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)57
22.1%
58
77.9%
Q3 - 8:21LALClarkson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Randle 3 AST)57
19.3%
58
80.7%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 9:03LALRussell 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q3 - 9:21LALRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q3 - 9:22MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.4%
56
83.6%
Q3 - 9:44LALClarkson 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Russell 3 AST)53
15.0%
56
85.0%
Q3 - 9:56MIABosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS)51
13.3%
56
86.7%
Q3 - 10:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)51
14.8%
54
85.2%
Q3 - 10:12LALMISS Randle 16' Jump Shot51
15.4%
54
84.6%
Q3 - 10:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q3 - 10:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)51
17.2%
53
82.8%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)51
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 10:44LALMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot51
19.4%
52
80.6%
Q3 - 11:07MIABosh 12' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q3 - 12:00LALRandle 17' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Russell 2 AST)51
22.7%
50
77.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
20.6%
50
79.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0LALMISS Randle 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
20.1%
50
79.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0LALClarkson 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)49
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0LALRandle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
20.1%
48
79.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup47
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q2 - 1:12LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)47
19.0%
48
81.0%
Q2 - 1:26LALRandle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.4%
48
85.6%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)44
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 144
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 1:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)44
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 1:38LALMISS Clarkson 8' Floating Jump Shot44
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 1:41LALClarkson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 1:42LALMISS Clarkson 18' Jump Shot44
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 1:47LALRandle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot44
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q2 - 1:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)44
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Turnaround Hook Shot44
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q2 - 2:11MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 2:12LALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)44
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 2:42MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
18.3%
46
81.7%
Q2 - 2:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)44
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q2 - 2:56LALMISS Russell 19' Jump Shot44
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 3:07LALClarkson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
22.0%
44
78.0%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS Dragic 3' Running Layup44
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 3:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 3:13LALMISS Randle 12' Fadeaway Jumper44
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q2 - 3:35MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 3:51LALRussell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
26.0%
41
74.0%
Q2 - 3:52LALRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
28.8%
41
71.2%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup44
27.9%
41
72.1%
Q2 - 4:01LALRandle Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 4:04LALRandle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
27.8%
41
72.2%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Step Back Jump Shot44
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 4:30LALWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Randle 2 AST)44
25.5%
41
74.5%
Q2 - 4:39LALRandle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot41
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
19.5%
41
80.5%
Q2 - 4:57LALMISS Randle Free Throw 1 of 141
19.8%
41
80.2%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)39
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 5:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
19.4%
39
80.6%
Q2 - 5:27LALMISS Russell 15' Jump Shot39
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 5:34LALLakers Rebound39
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 5:36LALJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)39
19.9%
39
80.1%
Q2 - 5:48MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 5:48MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
21.8%
38
78.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup39
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)39
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 6:05LALMISS Young 14' Step Back Jump Shot39
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q2 - 6:13LALNance Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
25.2%
37
74.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot39
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 6:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)39
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 6:37LALMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot39
23.4%
37
76.6%
Q2 - 6:50MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
25.2%
37
74.8%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)39
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot39
28.1%
35
71.9%
Q2 - 7:19LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)39
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 7:19LALHuertas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 7:20LALJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)39
27.2%
35
72.8%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
28.8%
35
71.2%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)39
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS McRoberts Driving Dunk39
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 7:59LALJohnson STEAL (1 STL)39
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q2 - 8:07LALNance Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
32.6%
33
67.4%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot39
31.9%
33
68.1%
Q2 - 8:21LALYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)39
30.3%
33
69.7%
Q2 - 8:27LALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
26.3%
33
73.7%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS McRoberts 6' Hook Shot36
25.6%
33
74.4%
Q2 - 8:52LALNance Jr. 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Huertas 2 AST)36
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q2 - 9:09LALNance Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot34
21.5%
33
78.5%
Q2 - 9:24LALYoung 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)34
20.2%
33
79.8%
Q2 - 9:42MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
18.9%
33
81.1%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 232
19.1%
32
80.9%
Q2 - 9:52LALYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 10:14MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 229
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q2 - 10:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 10:21LALMISS Nance Jr. 17' Jump Shot29
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 10:30LALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
17.6%
31
82.4%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q2 - 10:52LALYoung 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Huertas 1 AST)29
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 10:55LALHuertas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 10:56LALWinslow BLOCK (1 BLK)26
12.7%
31
87.3%
Q2 - 11:08MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)26
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 11:32LALYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q2 - 11:36LALBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q2 - 11:37LALMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot23
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0LALWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0LALClarkson Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T3)20
9.0%
29
91.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0LALBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
9.4%
29
90.6%
Q1 - 1:12LALClarkson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q1 - 1:41MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)18
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q1 - 2:02LALNance Jr. Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)18
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMcRoberts 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)16
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q1 - 2:36LALWilliams Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)16
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q1 - 2:36LALWilliams Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS)15
9.0%
25
91.0%
Q1 - 2:36LALMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 314
8.9%
25
91.1%
Q1 - 2:44MIAWinslow 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)14
8.3%
25
91.7%
Q1 - 2:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
9.1%
23
90.9%
Q1 - 2:48LALMISS Clarkson 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q1 - 3:05LALBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot14
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 3:31LALClarkson Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
9.0%
23
91.0%
Q1 - 3:41MIAJohnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 4:03LALClarkson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
10.6%
21
89.4%
Q1 - 4:18MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)12
9.9%
21
90.1%
Q1 - 4:49LALBlack Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 5:02MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)10
8.6%
21
91.4%
Q1 - 5:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Winslow 2' Tip Layup Shot10
10.6%
18
89.4%
Q1 - 5:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Dragic 1' Running Layup10
10.6%
18
89.4%
Q1 - 5:09MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 5:11LALMISS Russell 3PT Jump Shot10
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 5:25MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (9 PTS)10
10.8%
18
89.2%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup10
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHEAT Rebound10
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 5:40LALMISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot10
11.8%
16
88.2%
Q1 - 5:51LALRussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot10
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 6:14LALHibbert Dunk (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)10
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 6:31LALHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 6:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 6:46LALWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)8
10.3%
16
89.7%
Q1 - 7:05LALHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 28
10.8%
16
89.2%
Q1 - 7:06MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)8
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 7:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 7:18LALRandle Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
10.8%
15
89.2%
Q1 - 7:18LALRandle Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 7:23LALRandle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.2%
15
89.8%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Hook Shot6
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 7:46LALClarkson 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Randle 1 AST)6
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 7:51LALRandle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.9%
15
91.1%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup4
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 8:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 8:02LALMISS Russell 17' Jump Shot4
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 8:15MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 8:22LALMISS Clarkson 1' Layup4
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 8:29MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 8:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
10.0%
12
90.0%
Q1 - 8:35LALWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)4
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)4
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 9:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.4%
10
88.6%
Q1 - 9:05LALMISS Randle 18' Jump Shot4
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 9:18MIADragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 9:42LALWorld Peace 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)4
13.0%
8
87.0%
Q1 - 9:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 9:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
12.4%
7
87.6%
Q1 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper2
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 10:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.1%
6
86.9%
Q1 - 10:14LALMISS Clarkson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 10:29MIAWhiteside 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)2
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 10:46LALHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 11:00MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
16.0%
4
84.0%
Q1 - 11:19LALRussell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)2
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:38MIAWhiteside 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 4' Layup0
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Hibbert: Tip to Bosh0
16.7%
0
83.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
12
23
52%
MIA
19
33
58%
Midrange
LAL
11
32
34%
MIA
14
31
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
LAL
9
12
75%
MIA
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Young1765%8.5 / 13
M. World Peace14100%7.0 / 7
L. Williams1450%7.0 / 14
J. Clarkson1238%6.0 / 16
J. Randle744%3.5 / 8
L. Nance660%3.0 / 5
B. Bass6100%3.0 / 3
D. Russell433%2.0 / 6
R. Hibbert233%1.0 / 3
M. Huertas233%1.0 / 3
T. Black250%1.0 / 2
R. Kelly250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3068%15.0 / 22
H. Whiteside1963%9.5 / 15
L. Deng1478%7.0 / 9
D. Wade1240%6.0 / 15
T. Johnson945%4.5 / 10
J. Winslow850%4.0 / 8
G. Dragic420%2.0 / 10
J. McRoberts440%2.0 / 5
J. Richardson125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
76
+8
-17
84
MIA
84
+16
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
106.0
LAL 94.6 +12.8
MIA 107.4
Pace
95.4
93.7
LAL 104.7 +20.2
MIA 84.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.0
LAL 13.8 +3.3
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.0%
50.8%
LAL 51.3% +3.1%
MIA 48.2%
TO %
13.6%
14.0%
LAL 17.9%
MIA 11.1% +6.8%
ORB %
23.1%
23.9%
LAL 13.5%
MIA 32.6% +19.1%
FTrt
29.2
28.2
LAL 15.6
MIA 32.1 +16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.3%
54.3%
LAL 61.8% +1.3%
MIA 60.5%
STL %
7.5%
7.2%
LAL 7.5% +0.1%
MIA 7.4%
BLK %
6.7%
10.3%
LAL 10.9%
MIA 12.7% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.7%
52.8%
LAL 51.8% +1.3%
MIA 50.5%
Rim FG%
54.3%
62.3%
LAL 52.2%
MIA 57.6% +5.4%
Mid FG%
37.8%
40.5%
LAL 34.4%
MIA 45.2% +10.8%
3P %
31.7%
33.6%
LAL 50.0% +25.0%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
78.1%
74.4%
LAL 75.0% +0.9%
MIA 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
37.0%
LAL 29.9%
MIA 39.3% +9.4%
Mid Att. %
38.5%
40.9%
LAL 41.6%
MIA 36.9% +4.7%
3P Att. %
29.0%
22.1%
LAL 28.6% +4.8%
MIA 23.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes21.326.7
Points88101
Rebounds3647
Assists2123
Steals77
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)32 (5)
Field Goals34-7738-84
At-the-Rim FG12-2319-33
Midrange FG11-3214-31
2-Point FG23-5533-64
3-Point FG11-225-20
Free Throws9-1220-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 194 · 23
31.0
12
38%
2
0
2
0
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-14
43%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 21
25.6
7
44%
7
4
0
0
2
3
0
7
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 29
24.0
2
33%
2
3
0
3
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 36
22.5
14
100%
0
1
1
2
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-4
100%
G · 6'3" 193 · 20
21.1
4
33%
4
4
1
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 29
26.1
14
50%
4
3
0
0
2
3
1
3
6-7
86%
1-6
17%
2-5
40%
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30
25.5
17
65%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
5-9
56%
F-C · 6'8" 245 · 23
20.0
6
60%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 32
15.0
2
33%
2
4
1
0
3
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24
13.5
2
50%
7
0
0
1
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 31
10.5
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 224 · 23
2.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 25
2.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#24 · F-G · 6'6" 212 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
52%
36
21
7
7
17
0
5
31
9-12
75%
23-55
42%
11-22
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.