| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TOR | 84.4 | 90 | 99.2 |
 MIA | 107.9 | 89 | 81.4 |
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
74
+10
-16
84
MIA
79
+17
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.90 45.2%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | TOR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 76 0% | 96 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 76 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | TOR | MISS Powell 1' Layup | 76 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Deng 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 76 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:48.0 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | TOR | MISS Wright 4' Layup | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | TOR | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:33 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 8' Hook Shot | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:57 | MIA | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:58 | TOR | MISS Powell 20' Jump Shot | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:13 | TOR | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:14 | TOR | MISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:14 | TOR | MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:39 | TOR | Nogueira Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 76 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:46 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11) | 73 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:00 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 73 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:01 | TOR | MISS Lowry 4' Driving Layup | 73 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | TOR | Joseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 73 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:12 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:27 | TOR | Scola 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST) | 73 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:33 | TOR | Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:34 | MIA | MISS McRoberts 6' Jump Shot | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:35 | MIA | McRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | MIA | MISS McRoberts 2' Driving Layup | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | TOR | Raptors Turnover: Backcourt (T#17) | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:16 | MIA | Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10) | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | TOR | MISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | MIA | Winslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 71 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | MIA | MISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 2 | 71 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 71 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:57 | TOR | MISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 | 71 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:57 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 71 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | MIA | Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 70 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:35 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 70 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:36 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 0.2% | 89 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | MIA | Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 70 0.2% | 89 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | TOR | DeRozan Foul Turnover (P6.T16) | 70 0.6% | 86 99.4% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 70 0.9% | 86 99.1% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | MIA | MISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 0.8% | 86 99.2% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | TOR | Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 70 0.6% | 86 99.4% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 69 0.6% | 86 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | MIA | Bosh 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS) | 69 0.9% | 86 99.1% |
| Q4 - 7:28 | MIA | Winslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 69 1.2% | 84 98.8% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | TOR | MISS Joseph 20' Jump Shot | 69 1.3% | 84 98.7% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | TOR | Joseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 69 1.6% | 84 98.4% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | MIA | MISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 1.4% | 84 98.6% |
| Q4 - 8:08 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 69 1.7% | 84 98.3% |
| Q4 - 8:08 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 68 1.6% | 84 98.4% |
| Q4 - 8:08 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw Technical | 67 1.3% | 84 98.7% |
| Q4 - 8:28 | MIA | Winslow Running Dunk (8 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST) | 67 1.3% | 84 98.7% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | TOR | McRoberts STEAL (3 STL) | 67 1.6% | 82 98.4% |
| Q4 - 8:41 | MIA | Chalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9) | 67 2.1% | 82 97.9% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 67 1.6% | 82 98.4% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | TOR | Chalmers BLOCK (1 BLK) | 67 1.8% | 82 98.2% |
| Q4 - 9:12 | MIA | McRoberts Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 67 2.7% | 82 97.3% |
| Q4 - 9:17 | TOR | Winslow STEAL (1 STL) | 67 3.4% | 80 96.6% |
| Q4 - 9:40 | MIA | Johnson Dunk (10 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST) | 67 4.3% | 80 95.7% |
| Q4 - 9:46 | TOR | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 67 5.3% | 78 94.7% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | MIA | Winslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 67 6.7% | 78 93.3% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | MIA | Winslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 67 7.0% | 77 93.0% |
| Q4 - 10:00 | TOR | McRoberts STEAL (2 STL) | 67 8.3% | 76 91.7% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | TOR | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 67 11.5% | 76 88.5% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | MIA | MISS Winslow 16' Jump Shot | 67 10.7% | 76 89.3% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 67 9.2% | 76 90.8% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | TOR | MISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 9.8% | 76 90.2% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | TOR | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 67 11.4% | 76 88.6% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot | 67 9.8% | 76 90.2% |
| Q4 - 10:44 | TOR | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 67 11.4% | 76 88.6% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | TOR | MISS Bennett 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 9.8% | 76 90.2% |
| Q4 - 11:02 | MIA | Winslow 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST) | 67 12.3% | 76 87.7% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | TOR | Joseph 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 67 14.7% | 74 85.3% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | TOR | Joseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 65 12.2% | 74 87.8% |
| Q4 - 11:34 | MIA | MISS Winslow 1' Driving Layup | 65 11.5% | 74 88.5% |
| Q4 - 11:47 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 65 10.0% | 74 90.0% |
| Q4 - 11:47 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 64 9.7% | 74 90.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 63 8.3% | 74 91.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 63 6.7% | 74 93.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 62 6.5% | 74 93.5% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS) | 61 6.3% | 74 93.7% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS) | 61 6.6% | 73 93.4% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS) | 61 6.9% | 72 93.1% |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | TOR | Lowry 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) | 61 9.2% | 71 90.8% |
| Q3 - 0:17.0 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 59 7.6% | 71 92.4% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | TOR | Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 59 6.3% | 71 93.7% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | TOR | Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 58 5.8% | 71 94.2% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | TOR | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 57 5.2% | 71 94.8% |
| Q3 - 0:35.0 | TOR | MISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 4.5% | 71 95.5% |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST) | 57 5.1% | 71 94.9% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 57 7.5% | 68 92.5% |
| Q3 - 1:00 | TOR | MISS Ross 13' Jump Shot | 57 8.0% | 68 92.0% |
| Q3 - 1:27 | MIA | Chalmers 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 57 10.0% | 68 90.0% |
| Q3 - 1:36 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 57 11.8% | 66 88.2% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 12.5% | 66 87.5% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | TOR | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 57 14.1% | 66 85.9% |
| Q3 - 1:51 | MIA | MISS McRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 | 57 13.8% | 66 86.2% |
| Q3 - 1:51 | MIA | McRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 57 12.4% | 66 87.6% |
| Q3 - 1:52 | TOR | McRoberts STEAL (1 STL) | 57 14.0% | 65 86.0% |
| Q3 - 2:03 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 57 17.6% | 65 82.4% |
| Q3 - 2:03 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 18.1% | 64 81.9% |
| Q3 - 2:20 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 57 17.4% | 64 82.6% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | TOR | MISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot | 57 18.3% | 64 81.7% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | TOR | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 57 20.4% | 64 79.6% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot | 57 19.4% | 64 80.6% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | TOR | Lowry Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 57 18.2% | 64 81.8% |
| Q3 - 3:14 | TOR | Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 21.3% | 64 78.7% |
| Q3 - 3:15 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot | 57 20.3% | 64 79.7% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 57 18.2% | 64 81.8% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | MIA | MISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 20.3% | 64 79.7% |
| Q3 - 3:38 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 57 18.2% | 64 81.8% |
| Q3 - 3:38 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 56 17.8% | 64 82.2% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | MIA | Whiteside 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 55 15.8% | 64 84.2% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 18.7% | 62 81.3% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 12' Step Back Jump Shot | 55 19.7% | 62 80.3% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | MIA | Whiteside Tip Layup Shot (18 PTS) | 55 21.9% | 62 78.1% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5) | 55 24.5% | 60 75.5% |
| Q3 - 4:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 15' Jump Shot | 55 27.2% | 60 72.8% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 55 24.5% | 60 75.5% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 18' Jump Shot | 55 25.7% | 60 74.3% |
| Q3 - 5:04 | MIA | Whiteside Tip Layup Shot (16 PTS) | 55 28.7% | 60 71.3% |
| Q3 - 5:05 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 55 31.9% | 58 68.1% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | MIA | MISS Wade 1' Layup | 55 34.6% | 58 65.4% |
| Q3 - 5:07 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 55 31.9% | 58 68.1% |
| Q3 - 5:08 | MIA | MISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 34.6% | 58 65.4% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 55 31.8% | 58 68.2% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | TOR | Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 54 31.3% | 58 68.7% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | MIA | Winslow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 53 28.7% | 58 71.3% |
| Q3 - 5:46 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 25.1% | 58 74.9% |
| Q3 - 5:47 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot | 53 26.2% | 58 73.8% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 53 29.2% | 58 70.8% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 53 29.9% | 57 70.1% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | Winslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 53 32.2% | 56 67.8% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | TOR | Whiteside BLOCK (6 BLK) | 53 33.4% | 56 66.6% |
| Q3 - 6:32 | MIA | Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST) | 53 36.1% | 56 63.9% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | TOR | Raptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 53 43.3% | 53 56.7% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 53 47.7% | 53 52.3% |
| Q3 - 6:51 | TOR | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 53 44.6% | 53 55.4% |
| Q3 - 6:55 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 53 47.7% | 53 52.3% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | TOR | Whiteside BLOCK (5 BLK) | 53 44.6% | 53 55.4% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIA | Dragic 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 53 47.3% | 53 52.7% |
| Q3 - 7:24 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 53 50.7% | 51 49.3% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 52.0% | 51 48.0% |
| Q3 - 7:32 | TOR | Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 53 54.9% | 51 45.1% |
| Q3 - 7:33 | MIA | MISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 53.6% | 51 46.4% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | TOR | DeRozan 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST) | 53 50.5% | 51 49.5% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 51 47.3% | 51 52.7% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | MIA | MISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 46.0% | 51 54.0% |
| Q3 - 8:32 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 51 43.1% | 51 56.9% |
| Q3 - 8:33 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 44.4% | 51 55.6% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 51 47.3% | 51 52.7% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | MIA | Whiteside Putback Dunk (14 PTS) | 51 47.3% | 51 52.7% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Layup | 51 53.5% | 49 46.5% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 51 50.3% | 49 49.7% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | TOR | Whiteside BLOCK (4 BLK) | 51 51.4% | 49 48.6% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 51 54.0% | 49 46.0% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | MIA | MISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 55.4% | 48 44.6% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 51 53.9% | 48 46.1% |
| Q3 - 9:35 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot | 51 56.5% | 48 43.5% |
| Q3 - 9:46 | TOR | Whiteside STEAL (1 STL) | 51 53.9% | 48 46.1% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 51 57.2% | 48 42.8% |
| Q3 - 10:03 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot | 51 56.1% | 48 43.9% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | TOR | DeRozan 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST) | 51 53.5% | 48 46.5% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | MIA | Bosh 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 49 50.2% | 48 49.8% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | TOR | DeRozan 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Scola 1 AST) | 49 53.3% | 46 46.7% |
| Q3 - 11:34 | MIA | Bosh 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST) | 47 50.1% | 46 49.9% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 47 53.3% | 44 46.7% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 47 56.9% | 44 43.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 54.4% | 44 45.6% |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 47 55.8% | 44 44.2% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Jump Shot | 47 55.1% | 44 44.9% |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | TOR | DeRozan Foul Turnover (P3.T7) | 47 53.6% | 44 46.4% |
| Q2 - 0:42.0 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 47 55.9% | 44 44.1% |
| Q2 - 0:42.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 55.2% | 44 44.8% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | TOR | DeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6) | 47 53.6% | 44 46.4% |
| Q2 - 1:11 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 47 55.3% | 44 44.7% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | MIA | MISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 | 47 55.1% | 44 44.9% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | MIA | Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 47 52.9% | 44 47.1% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | TOR | Deng STEAL (1 STL) | 47 56.8% | 43 43.2% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 47 58.5% | 43 41.5% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 47 59.1% | 42 40.9% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | TOR | Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST) | 47 59.9% | 42 40.1% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | TOR | Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 44 52.2% | 42 47.8% |
| Q2 - 2:00 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup | 44 51.7% | 42 48.3% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | TOR | DeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 44 49.6% | 42 50.4% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | TOR | Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 44 52.5% | 42 47.5% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot | 44 51.6% | 42 48.4% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | TOR | Valanciunas 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 44 49.6% | 42 50.4% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | MIA | Whiteside 7' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST) | 42 46.6% | 42 53.4% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | TOR | Valanciunas 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST) | 42 49.1% | 40 50.9% |
| Q2 - 3:30 | TOR | Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 46.6% | 40 53.4% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 40 45.6% | 40 54.4% |
| Q2 - 3:57 | TOR | Johnson Driving Dunk (7 PTS) | 40 43.2% | 40 56.8% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 38 40.6% | 40 59.4% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 38 41.7% | 39 58.3% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 38 43.2% | 38 56.8% |
| Q2 - 4:15 | MIA | MISS Deng 2' Layup | 38 45.3% | 38 54.7% |
| Q2 - 4:39 | TOR | Valanciunas 5' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 38 43.2% | 38 56.8% |
| Q2 - 4:57 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 36 40.6% | 38 59.4% |
| Q2 - 5:14 | TOR | Valanciunas 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 36 37.9% | 38 62.1% |
| Q2 - 5:31 | TOR | Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 35.5% | 38 64.5% |
| Q2 - 5:32 | MIA | MISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 34 34.6% | 38 65.4% |
| Q2 - 5:56 | TOR | Joseph 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 34 32.8% | 38 67.2% |
| Q2 - 6:17 | MIA | Johnson 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 32 31.2% | 38 68.8% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 32 33.0% | 36 67.0% |
| Q2 - 6:28 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 9' Turnaround Hook Shot | 32 33.9% | 36 66.1% |
| Q2 - 6:56 | MIA | Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 1 AST) | 32 36.0% | 36 64.0% |
| Q2 - 7:01 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 32 40.9% | 33 59.1% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot | 32 42.8% | 33 57.2% |
| Q2 - 7:24 | TOR | Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST) | 32 40.8% | 33 59.2% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | TOR | Joseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 36.1% | 33 63.9% |
| Q2 - 7:36 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 29 35.3% | 33 64.7% |
| Q2 - 7:45 | MIA | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 33.5% | 33 66.5% |
| Q2 - 7:46 | TOR | MISS Scola 2' Layup | 29 34.3% | 33 65.7% |
| Q2 - 8:06 | MIA | Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 29 36.1% | 33 63.9% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 29 40.8% | 30 59.2% |
| Q2 - 8:18 | MIA | MISS Johnson 1' Layup | 29 42.6% | 30 57.4% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 40.8% | 30 59.2% |
| Q2 - 8:25 | TOR | MISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 41.6% | 30 58.4% |
| Q2 - 8:39 | MIA | Chalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 29 43.4% | 30 56.6% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | TOR | Biyombo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 29 45.9% | 28 54.1% |
| Q2 - 8:53 | MIA | Winslow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 29 48.5% | 28 51.5% |
| Q2 - 8:57 | MIA | Winslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 29 45.9% | 28 54.1% |
| Q2 - 8:58 | TOR | MISS Lowry 12' Jump Shot | 29 46.7% | 28 53.3% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 29 48.4% | 28 51.6% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 29 48.9% | 27 51.1% |
| Q2 - 9:27 | MIA | Winslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 29 50.6% | 26 49.4% |
| Q2 - 9:28 | TOR | MISS Lowry 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 29 51.4% | 26 48.6% |
| Q2 - 9:39 | MIA | Winslow 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS) | 29 53.4% | 26 46.6% |
| Q2 - 9:40 | MIA | Winslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 55.6% | 24 44.4% |
| Q2 - 9:41 | MIA | MISS Winslow 1' Driving Layup | 29 57.5% | 24 42.5% |
| Q2 - 9:57 | TOR | Patterson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST) | 29 55.6% | 24 44.4% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4) | 27 53.3% | 24 46.7% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | MIA | McRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 27 50.4% | 24 49.6% |
| Q2 - 10:23 | MIA | MISS McRoberts 5' Jump Shot | 27 52.4% | 24 47.6% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | MIA | McRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 27 50.4% | 24 49.6% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | MIA | MISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 52.4% | 24 47.6% |
| Q2 - 10:41 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 27 50.4% | 24 49.6% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup | 27 52.4% | 24 47.6% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 50.4% | 24 49.6% |
| Q2 - 10:46 | TOR | MISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 51.3% | 24 48.7% |
| Q2 - 11:01 | MIA | Chalmers 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 27 52.6% | 24 47.4% |
| Q2 - 11:09 | TOR | Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 27 55.0% | 22 45.0% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | MIA | McRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 24 50.3% | 22 49.7% |
| Q2 - 11:26 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 24 47.8% | 22 52.2% |
| Q2 - 11:27 | TOR | MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 48.6% | 22 51.4% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 24 50.3% | 22 49.7% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | MIA | MISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 24 49.5% | 22 50.5% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 24 47.8% | 22 52.2% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 24 47.8% | 22 52.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 24 49.6% | 22 50.4% |
| Q1 - 0:13.0 | TOR | DeRozan 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 24 48.0% | 22 52.0% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 22 45.0% | 22 55.0% |
| Q1 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 50.3% | 19 49.7% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot | 22 50.8% | 19 49.2% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | MIA | McRoberts 4' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 22 51.9% | 19 48.1% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | TOR | Ross Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 22 54.9% | 17 45.1% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | TOR | Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 56.5% | 17 43.5% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 22 56.0% | 17 44.0% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | TOR | Johnson 3' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST) | 22 54.6% | 17 45.4% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 20 52.1% | 17 47.9% |
| Q1 - 2:33 | MIA | MISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 51.5% | 17 48.5% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 20 50.1% | 17 49.9% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | TOR | Whiteside BLOCK (3 BLK) | 20 50.7% | 17 49.3% |
| Q1 - 2:59 | MIA | Deng 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 20 52.1% | 17 47.9% |
| Q1 - 3:17 | TOR | DeRozan 1' Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) | 20 54.0% | 15 46.0% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 18 52.1% | 15 47.9% |
| Q1 - 3:49 | TOR | Valanciunas Dunk (8 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST) | 18 54.1% | 13 45.9% |
| Q1 - 4:00 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 16 52.1% | 13 47.9% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | TOR | Valanciunas 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 16 53.7% | 11 46.3% |
| Q1 - 4:23 | MIA | Dragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2) | 14 51.8% | 11 48.2% |
| Q1 - 4:27 | MIA | Dragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 49.3% | 11 50.7% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | TOR | MISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 50.1% | 11 49.9% |
| Q1 - 4:35 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 14 51.9% | 11 48.1% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | MIA | MISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot | 14 51.1% | 11 48.9% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | TOR | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 14 49.3% | 11 50.7% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | TOR | MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 13 48.7% | 11 51.3% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 13 49.7% | 11 50.3% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | MIA | MISS Winslow 5' Hook Shot | 13 48.9% | 11 51.1% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 13 46.9% | 11 53.1% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 8' Jump Shot | 13 47.5% | 11 52.5% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | TOR | Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 13 49.0% | 11 51.0% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | TOR | Whiteside BLOCK (2 BLK) | 13 47.5% | 11 52.5% |
| Q1 - 5:20 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 49.1% | 11 50.9% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | MIA | MISS Deng 18' Jump Shot | 13 48.4% | 11 51.6% |
| Q1 - 5:36 | TOR | Johnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST) | 13 46.9% | 11 53.1% |
| Q1 - 5:59 | MIA | Whiteside 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 11 45.0% | 11 55.0% |
| Q1 - 6:01 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 11 46.6% | 9 53.4% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot | 11 48.1% | 9 51.9% |
| Q1 - 6:24 | TOR | Scola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 11 46.6% | 9 53.4% |
| Q1 - 6:42 | MIA | Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 11 48.7% | 9 51.3% |
| Q1 - 6:54 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 52.5% | 6 47.5% |
| Q1 - 6:55 | TOR | MISS Scola 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 53.2% | 6 46.8% |
| Q1 - 7:09 | MIA | Dragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 11 54.4% | 6 45.6% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | MIA | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 11 52.1% | 6 47.9% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 11 53.7% | 6 46.3% |
| Q1 - 7:32 | TOR | Valanciunas 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 11 52.1% | 6 47.9% |
| Q1 - 7:54 | MIA | Whiteside 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 9 50.5% | 6 49.5% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 52.3% | 4 47.7% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | TOR | MISS Lowry 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 9 52.9% | 4 47.1% |
| Q1 - 8:21 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 9 54.4% | 4 45.6% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | MIA | MISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot | 9 53.7% | 4 46.3% |
| Q1 - 8:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 52.2% | 4 47.8% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | TOR | Whiteside BLOCK (1 BLK) | 9 52.9% | 4 47.1% |
| Q1 - 8:43 | MIA | Bosh Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 9 54.4% | 4 45.6% |
| Q1 - 9:12 | TOR | Scola 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST) | 9 55.7% | 2 44.3% |
| Q1 - 9:43 | MIA | Wade 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 6 52.3% | 2 47.7% |
| Q1 - 9:53 | MIA | Whiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 53.9% | 0 46.1% |
| Q1 - 9:54 | TOR | MISS Valanciunas 2' Layup | 6 54.6% | 0 45.4% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | MIA | Jump Ball Whiteside vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Scola | 6 55.8% | 0 44.2% |
| Q1 - 10:17 | MIA | MISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 55.1% | 0 44.9% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | TOR | Valanciunas 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 6 53.7% | 0 46.3% |
| Q1 - 10:32 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 4 52.1% | 0 47.9% |
| Q1 - 10:33 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 5' Driving Layup | 4 50.6% | 0 49.4% |
| Q1 - 10:48 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 52.1% | 0 47.9% |
| Q1 - 10:49 | MIA | MISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot | 4 51.4% | 0 48.6% |
| Q1 - 11:07 | TOR | Scola 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST) | 4 49.8% | 0 50.2% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | TOR | Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 47.9% | 0 52.1% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | MIA | MISS Deng 12' Jump Shot | 2 47.4% | 0 52.6% |
| Q1 - 11:36 | TOR | Lowry 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 2 46.2% | 0 53.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Whiteside vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Johnson | 0 44.4% | 0 55.6% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.90 45.2%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
15
26
58%
MIA
20
32
63%
Midrange
TOR
10
26
38%
MIA
7
31
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
3
4.5
19
16%
24%
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
TOR
17
22
77%
MIA
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Valančiūnas | 17 | 65% | 8.5 / 13 | |
| D. DeRozan | 16 | 47% | 8.0 / 17 | |
| K. Lowry | 15 | 39% | 7.5 / 19 | |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 50% | 3.5 / 7 | |
| L. Scola | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| B. Biyombo | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| C. Joseph | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| L. Nogueira | 3 | 150% | 1.5 / 1 | |
| P. Patterson | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| T. Ross | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 | |
| A. Bennett | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| N. Powell | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 | |
| D. Wright | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bosh | 23 | 72% | 11.5 / 16 | |
| H. Whiteside | 20 | 59% | 10.0 / 17 | |
| D. Wade | 12 | 40% | 6.0 / 15 | |
| T. Johnson | 10 | 100% | 5.0 / 5 | |
| J. Winslow | 9 | 45% | 4.5 / 10 | |
| M. Chalmers | 9 | 50% | 4.5 / 9 | |
| L. Deng | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| J. McRoberts | 5 | 31% | 2.5 / 8 | |
| G. Dragic | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| U. Haslem | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
74
+10
-16
84
MIA
79
+17
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
0.90 45.2%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 110.2 106.0 | TOR 84.4 +23.4 MIA 107.9 |
| Pace | 92.8 93.7 | TOR 99.2 +17.8 MIA 81.4 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.1 16.0 | TOR 14.5 +3.2 MIA 17.7 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.4% 50.8% | TOR 41.5% MIA 47.0% +5.5% |
| TO % | 13.0% 14.0% | TOR 18.2% MIA 10.5% +7.7% |
| ORB % | 24.7% 23.9% | TOR 16.7% MIA 29.5% +12.8% |
| FTrt | 32.8 28.2 | TOR 31.0 +0.9 MIA 30.1 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 51.1% 54.3% | TOR 60.7% +9.3% MIA 51.4% |
| STL % | 8.3% 7.2% | TOR 8.9% MIA 9.0% +0.1% |
| BLK % | 9.3% 10.3% | TOR 7.9% MIA 15.4% +7.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.4% 52.8% | TOR 45.2% MIA 49.0% +3.8% |
| Rim FG% | 57.2% 62.3% | TOR 57.7% MIA 62.5% +4.8% |
| Mid FG% | 38.7% 40.5% | TOR 38.5% +15.9% MIA 22.6% |
| 3P % | 37.0% 33.6% | TOR 15.8% MIA 40.0% +24.2% |
| FT % | 77.7% 74.4% | TOR 77.3% +5.3% MIA 72.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.1% 37.0% | TOR 36.6% MIA 38.6% +1.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 34.2% 40.9% | TOR 36.6% +0.7% MIA 37.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 28.7% 22.1% | TOR 26.8% +2.7% MIA 24.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | TOR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 90 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 21.8 | 26.2 |
| Points | 76 | 96 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 48 |
| Assists | 17 | 18 |
| Steals | 8 | 8 |
| Blocks | 5 | 8 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (2) | 10 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 7 (3) | 13 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 31 (2) | 35 (0) |
| Field Goals | 28-71 | 35-83 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-26 | 20-32 |
| Midrange FG | 10-26 | 7-31 |
| 2-Point FG | 25-52 | 27-63 |
| 3-Point FG | 3-19 | 8-20 |
| Free Throws | 17-22 | 18-25 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.