| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 NOP | 102.1 | 96 | 96.9 |
 DAL | 111.5 | 96 | 95.1 |
Scoring Opportunities
NOP
84
+10
-12
94
DAL
87
+9
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
NOP
1.04 52.1%
DAL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | NOP | DAL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 98 0% | 107 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 98 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | NOP | Anderson 2' Putback Layup (21 PTS) | 98 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:07.0 | NOP | MISS Douglas 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 96 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | DAL | Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 96 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | DAL | MISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 | 96 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | NOP | Douglas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 96 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | NOP | Douglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | DAL | D. Williams 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 94 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | DAL | Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 94 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | NOP | MISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | DAL | D. Williams 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 94 0.2% | 104 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | DAL | D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 94 0.4% | 102 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:14 | NOP | MISS Douglas 2' Driving Layup | 94 0.6% | 102 99.4% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | DAL | D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 94 1.0% | 102 99.0% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | DAL | D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 94 1.1% | 101 98.9% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | DAL | D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 94 2.2% | 100 97.8% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | NOP | MISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 94 2.6% | 100 97.4% |
| Q4 - 1:43 | DAL | D. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 94 4.0% | 100 96.0% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | NOP | Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Smith 7 AST) | 94 2.8% | 100 97.2% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | NOP | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 91 1.4% | 100 98.6% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | DAL | MISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 1.1% | 100 98.9% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | NOP | Davis 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Smith 6 AST) | 91 0.7% | 100 99.3% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | NOP | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 89 0.8% | 100 99.2% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | DAL | MISS Barea 3PT Jump Shot | 89 0.7% | 100 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | DAL | Powell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 89 0.4% | 100 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | DAL | MISS D. Williams 16' Step Back Jump Shot | 89 0.7% | 100 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | NOP | Douglas 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) | 89 0.9% | 100 99.1% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | DAL | Barea Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10) | 87 0.6% | 100 99.4% |
| Q4 - 3:48 | NOP | D. Williams STEAL (2 STL) | 87 0.4% | 100 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | DAL | Barea 7' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS) | 87 0.6% | 100 99.4% |
| Q4 - 4:13 | NOP | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 87 0.8% | 98 99.2% |
| Q4 - 4:13 | NOP | Davis Putback Dunk (23 PTS) | 87 0.8% | 98 99.2% |
| Q4 - 4:14 | NOP | MISS Smith Reverse Layup | 85 0.4% | 98 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 85 0.6% | 98 99.4% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | DAL | MISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 0.5% | 98 99.5% |
| Q4 - 4:58 | DAL | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 85 0.4% | 98 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:59 | NOP | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 0.4% | 98 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:10 | DAL | Powell 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Barea 2 AST) | 85 1.0% | 98 99.0% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | NOP | Smith 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 85 1.3% | 96 98.7% |
| Q4 - 5:32 | NOP | Pelicans Rebound | 83 0.9% | 96 99.1% |
| Q4 - 5:32 | NOP | Evans BLOCK (1 BLK) | 83 0.7% | 96 99.3% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | NOP | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 83 0.9% | 96 99.1% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | DAL | MISS Matthews 18' Jump Shot | 83 0.8% | 96 99.2% |
| Q4 - 5:51 | NOP | Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Davis 4 AST) | 83 0.7% | 96 99.3% |
| Q4 - 6:05 | DAL | Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST) | 80 0.6% | 96 99.4% |
| Q4 - 6:24 | NOP | Davis Foul Turnover (P4.T11) | 80 0.9% | 93 99.1% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 80 1.3% | 93 98.7% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | DAL | MISS Barea 17' Jump Shot | 80 1.2% | 93 98.8% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | NOP | Davis 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 80 0.9% | 93 99.1% |
| Q4 - 7:00 | DAL | Powell 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST) | 78 0.7% | 93 99.3% |
| Q4 - 7:06 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 78 1.3% | 91 98.7% |
| Q4 - 7:07 | NOP | Powell BLOCK (1 BLK) | 78 1.4% | 91 98.6% |
| Q4 - 7:19 | DAL | Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 78 1.7% | 91 98.3% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | NOP | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 78 2.1% | 89 97.9% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | NOP | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 77 2.0% | 89 98.0% |
| Q4 - 7:50 | DAL | Barea Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 76 1.7% | 89 98.3% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | NOP | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 76 3.6% | 86 96.4% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | NOP | MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 75 3.4% | 86 96.6% |
| Q4 - 8:14 | NOP | Babbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 75 3.5% | 86 96.5% |
| Q4 - 8:15 | DAL | MISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 1 | 75 3.4% | 86 96.6% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | DAL | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 75 4.5% | 84 95.5% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | NOP | MISS Smith 19' Pullup Jump Shot | 75 4.8% | 84 95.2% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | DAL | Nowitzki 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 75 5.7% | 84 94.3% |
| Q4 - 9:13 | DAL | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 75 8.1% | 82 91.9% |
| Q4 - 9:14 | NOP | MISS Cunningham 3PT Jump Shot | 75 8.7% | 82 91.3% |
| Q4 - 9:31 | DAL | Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harris 6 AST) | 75 10.1% | 82 89.9% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | NOP | Douglas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 75 15.3% | 79 84.7% |
| Q4 - 10:04 | DAL | Matthews Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 72 10.7% | 79 89.3% |
| Q4 - 10:11 | DAL | Harris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 15.7% | 76 84.3% |
| Q4 - 10:12 | NOP | MISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 16.7% | 76 83.3% |
| Q4 - 10:20 | DAL | Barea Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 72 19.2% | 76 80.8% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 72 15.7% | 76 84.3% |
| Q4 - 10:36 | NOP | MISS Cunningham 17' Floating Jump Shot | 72 16.7% | 76 83.3% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | DAL | Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harris 5 AST) | 72 19.2% | 76 80.8% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | DAL | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 23.2% | 74 76.8% |
| Q4 - 11:09 | NOP | MISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot | 72 24.4% | 74 75.6% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | NOP | Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 72 27.4% | 74 72.6% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | NOP | MISS Anderson 17' Step Back Jump Shot | 72 24.4% | 74 75.6% |
| Q4 - 11:30 | DAL | Matthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 72 27.4% | 74 72.6% |
| Q4 - 11:30 | DAL | Matthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 72 28.1% | 73 71.9% |
| Q4 - 11:50 | NOP | Ajinca 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST) | 72 31.7% | 72 68.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 70 27.4% | 72 72.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 70 23.1% | 72 76.9% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | NOP | MISS Douglas 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 70 24.5% | 72 75.5% |
| Q3 - 0:17.0 | NOP | Cunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 70 27.3% | 72 72.7% |
| Q3 - 0:18.0 | DAL | MISS D. Williams 3' Layup | 70 26.1% | 72 73.9% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | NOP | Douglas 4' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) | 70 23.4% | 72 76.6% |
| Q3 - 0:36.0 | DAL | Harris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 68 19.9% | 72 80.1% |
| Q3 - 0:55.0 | NOP | Anderson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 68 16.8% | 72 83.2% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | DAL | Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 66 14.6% | 72 85.4% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | DAL | Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 66 15.1% | 71 84.9% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | DAL | Harris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 66 17.1% | 70 82.9% |
| Q3 - 1:21 | NOP | MISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot | 66 18.0% | 70 82.0% |
| Q3 - 1:43 | DAL | Pachulia 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 66 20.2% | 70 79.8% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | NOP | Harris STEAL (2 STL) | 66 23.3% | 68 76.7% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | NOP | Ajinca REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 66 27.0% | 68 73.0% |
| Q3 - 2:06 | NOP | MISS Anderson 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 66 24.4% | 68 75.6% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | DAL | Powell 1' Running Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Harris 4 AST) | 66 27.0% | 68 73.0% |
| Q3 - 2:46 | NOP | Davis Foul Turnover (P3.T9) | 66 30.6% | 66 69.4% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | DAL | Pachulia 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Powell 1 AST) | 66 35.0% | 66 65.0% |
| Q3 - 3:18 | NOP | Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Davis 3 AST) | 66 38.5% | 64 61.5% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | NOP | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 63 30.8% | 64 69.2% |
| Q3 - 3:26 | DAL | MISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 29.6% | 64 70.4% |
| Q3 - 3:29 | DAL | Powell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 63 26.8% | 64 73.2% |
| Q3 - 3:31 | DAL | MISS Felton 2' Driving Layup | 63 29.6% | 64 70.4% |
| Q3 - 3:51 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10) | 63 26.8% | 64 73.2% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | DAL | MISS D. Williams 13' Jump Shot | 63 29.5% | 64 70.5% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | DAL | Powell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 63 26.5% | 64 73.5% |
| Q3 - 4:07 | NOP | MISS Smith 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot | 63 27.7% | 64 72.3% |
| Q3 - 4:27 | DAL | Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Felton 3 AST) | 63 30.5% | 64 69.5% |
| Q3 - 4:37 | NOP | Gordon 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 63 37.6% | 61 62.4% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | NOP | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 61 34.3% | 61 65.7% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | DAL | MISS D. Williams 1' Running Layup | 61 33.0% | 61 67.0% |
| Q3 - 5:02 | NOP | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 61 29.8% | 61 70.2% |
| Q3 - 5:02 | NOP | Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 60 29.4% | 61 70.6% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | DAL | Felton Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) | 59 26.8% | 61 73.2% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 59 29.8% | 59 70.2% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | NOP | MISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 31.0% | 59 69.0% |
| Q3 - 5:53 | DAL | D. Williams 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 59 33.7% | 59 66.3% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 59 41.0% | 56 59.0% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | NOP | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 42.4% | 56 57.6% |
| Q3 - 6:07 | NOP | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 59 44.4% | 56 55.6% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | DAL | MISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 43.1% | 56 56.9% |
| Q3 - 6:31 | NOP | Davis Cutting Dunk Shot (16 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST) | 59 40.2% | 56 59.8% |
| Q3 - 6:49 | NOP | Pelicans Rebound | 57 36.8% | 56 63.2% |
| Q3 - 6:51 | DAL | MISS Pachulia 2' Running Layup | 57 35.6% | 56 64.4% |
| Q3 - 6:55 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 57 32.9% | 56 67.1% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | NOP | MISS Gordon 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 57 34.1% | 56 66.0% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | DAL | Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS) | 57 36.1% | 56 63.9% |
| Q3 - 7:30 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 57 39.3% | 54 60.7% |
| Q3 - 7:31 | NOP | MISS Babbitt 3' Driving Bank Shot | 57 40.6% | 54 59.4% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | NOP | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 57 43.5% | 54 56.5% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | DAL | MISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 42.2% | 54 57.8% |
| Q3 - 7:51 | NOP | Gordon 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 57 39.3% | 54 60.7% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | NOP | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 55 35.7% | 54 64.3% |
| Q3 - 8:07 | DAL | MISS Matthews 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot | 55 34.6% | 54 65.4% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical | 55 32.0% | 54 68.0% |
| Q3 - 8:35 | NOP | Ajinca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 55 32.0% | 54 68.0% |
| Q3 - 8:35 | NOP | Ajinca 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS) | 55 32.0% | 54 68.0% |
| Q3 - 8:36 | NOP | MISS Smith 1' Driving Layup | 53 26.8% | 54 73.2% |
| Q3 - 9:03 | DAL | D. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Felton 2 AST) | 53 28.6% | 54 71.4% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | DAL | D. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 34.8% | 51 65.2% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | NOP | MISS Smith 17' Floating Jump Shot | 53 35.8% | 51 64.2% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | DAL | Matthews 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST) | 53 38.3% | 51 61.7% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | NOP | Pachulia STEAL (1 STL) | 53 45.2% | 48 54.8% |
| Q3 - 10:03 | DAL | D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 53 47.9% | 48 52.1% |
| Q3 - 10:03 | DAL | D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 53 48.4% | 47 51.6% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | NOP | Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST) | 53 51.2% | 46 48.8% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | NOP | Babbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 50 44.4% | 46 55.6% |
| Q3 - 10:34 | DAL | MISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot | 50 43.3% | 46 56.7% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 50 40.8% | 46 59.2% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | NOP | MISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 41.9% | 46 58.1% |
| Q3 - 10:55 | DAL | D. Williams 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 50 44.4% | 46 55.6% |
| Q3 - 11:02 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 50 46.4% | 44 53.6% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | NOP | MISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 47.5% | 44 52.5% |
| Q3 - 11:27 | DAL | Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST) | 50 50.1% | 44 49.9% |
| Q3 - 11:37 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 50 53.3% | 42 46.7% |
| Q3 - 11:37 | NOP | MISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 1 | 50 53.8% | 42 46.2% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | NOP | Ajinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 48 50.2% | 42 49.8% |
| Q3 - 11:41 | DAL | MISS Felton 19' Jump Shot | 48 49.0% | 42 51.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | NOP | 48 46.5% | 42 53.5% | |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | DAL | Nowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7) | 48 48.5% | 42 51.5% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | NOP | Gee Dunk (2 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST) | 48 46.2% | 42 53.8% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | NOP | Ajinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 46 42.1% | 42 57.9% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | DAL | MISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 41.4% | 42 58.6% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | NOP | Douglas 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 46 39.9% | 42 60.1% |
| Q2 - 1:23 | NOP | Gee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 44 35.5% | 42 64.5% |
| Q2 - 1:24 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 44 35.1% | 42 65.0% |
| Q2 - 1:39 | NOP | Davis 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST) | 44 34.0% | 42 66.0% |
| Q2 - 1:52 | DAL | Parsons Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 42 29.9% | 42 70.1% |
| Q2 - 2:06 | NOP | Ajinca 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 4 AST) | 42 27.8% | 42 72.2% |
| Q2 - 2:19 | DAL | Barea Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 40 25.3% | 42 74.7% |
| Q2 - 2:19 | DAL | Barea Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 40 25.7% | 41 74.3% |
| Q2 - 2:24 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 40 27.8% | 40 72.2% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | NOP | MISS Gee 3PT Jump Shot | 40 28.5% | 40 71.5% |
| Q2 - 2:35 | NOP | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 40 30.2% | 40 69.8% |
| Q2 - 2:36 | DAL | MISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot | 40 29.5% | 40 70.5% |
| Q2 - 2:45 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 40 27.9% | 40 72.1% |
| Q2 - 2:46 | NOP | MISS Davis 9' Turnaround Hook Shot | 40 28.6% | 40 71.4% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 40 30.2% | 40 69.8% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot | 40 29.5% | 40 70.5% |
| Q2 - 3:03 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 40 27.3% | 40 72.7% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | NOP | MISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 40 28.1% | 40 71.9% |
| Q2 - 3:11 | NOP | Pelicans Rebound | 40 30.1% | 40 69.9% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | NOP | MISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot | 40 28.1% | 40 71.9% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | DAL | MAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 40 30.1% | 40 69.9% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 40 27.3% | 40 72.7% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | DAL | MISS D. Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 40 29.2% | 40 70.8% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | NOP | Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 40 27.3% | 40 72.7% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | NOP | Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 39 26.9% | 40 73.1% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | DAL | D. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 38 25.4% | 40 74.6% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | NOP | Anderson Foul Turnover (P2.T7) | 38 22.8% | 40 77.2% |
| Q2 - 4:14 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 38 25.0% | 40 75.0% |
| Q2 - 4:15 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 24.3% | 40 75.7% |
| Q2 - 4:22 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 38 22.8% | 40 77.2% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | DAL | MISS Barea 2' Driving Layup | 38 24.3% | 40 75.7% |
| Q2 - 4:35 | NOP | Anderson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 38 22.8% | 40 77.2% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 36 21.0% | 40 79.0% |
| Q2 - 4:50 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 10' Jump Bank Shot | 36 20.4% | 40 79.6% |
| Q2 - 5:17 | NOP | Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 36 19.1% | 40 80.9% |
| Q2 - 5:29 | DAL | Barea Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 33 16.0% | 40 84.0% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 33 14.5% | 40 85.5% |
| Q2 - 5:39 | NOP | MISS Davis 10' Turnaround Hook Shot | 33 14.9% | 40 85.1% |
| Q2 - 5:53 | DAL | Harris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 33 16.0% | 40 84.0% |
| Q2 - 5:53 | DAL | Harris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 33 16.3% | 39 83.7% |
| Q2 - 5:59 | DAL | Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 33 17.5% | 38 82.5% |
| Q2 - 6:00 | NOP | MISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 33 18.0% | 38 82.0% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | NOP | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 33 19.6% | 38 80.4% |
| Q2 - 6:09 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot | 33 19.0% | 38 81.0% |
| Q2 - 6:30 | NOP | Davis Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST) | 33 17.5% | 38 82.5% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | DAL | Parsons Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST) | 31 16.4% | 38 83.6% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | DAL | Barea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 31 17.5% | 36 82.5% |
| Q2 - 6:54 | DAL | MISS Barea 7' Running Jump Shot | 31 18.9% | 36 81.1% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | NOP | Anderson 4' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 31 17.9% | 36 82.1% |
| Q2 - 7:24 | NOP | Cunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 16.5% | 36 83.5% |
| Q2 - 7:25 | DAL | MISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 16.0% | 36 84.0% |
| Q2 - 7:47 | DAL | Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 15.0% | 36 85.0% |
| Q2 - 7:48 | NOP | MISS Douglas 8' Driving Bank Shot | 29 15.4% | 36 84.6% |
| Q2 - 8:01 | DAL | Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST) | 29 16.6% | 36 83.4% |
| Q2 - 8:19 | NOP | Smith 14' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 29 19.5% | 33 80.5% |
| Q2 - 8:44 | DAL | Evans Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 3 AST) | 27 18.0% | 33 82.0% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | NOP | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 27 19.5% | 31 80.5% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | NOP | Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 26 19.3% | 31 80.7% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | DAL | Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 25 18.1% | 31 81.9% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | DAL | MISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 | 25 18.4% | 30 81.6% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | NOP | Anderson 20' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 25 17.8% | 30 82.2% |
| Q2 - 9:44 | DAL | Powell 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 23 16.6% | 30 83.4% |
| Q2 - 10:01 | DAL | Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 18.0% | 28 82.0% |
| Q2 - 10:02 | NOP | MISS Smith 6' Driving Bank Shot | 23 18.6% | 28 81.4% |
| Q2 - 10:11 | NOP | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 23 19.8% | 28 80.2% |
| Q2 - 10:12 | DAL | MISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 19.3% | 28 80.7% |
| Q2 - 10:26 | NOP | Harris STEAL (1 STL) | 23 18.0% | 28 82.0% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 19.8% | 28 80.2% |
| Q2 - 10:40 | DAL | MISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot | 23 19.2% | 28 80.8% |
| Q2 - 10:50 | NOP | Anderson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) | 23 18.0% | 28 82.0% |
| Q2 - 11:13 | DAL | Harris 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST) | 21 16.8% | 28 83.2% |
| Q2 - 11:26 | NOP | Gee Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5) | 21 18.1% | 26 81.9% |
| Q2 - 11:41 | NOP | Douglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 19.7% | 26 80.3% |
| Q2 - 11:42 | DAL | MISS Harris 3' Cutting Layup Shot | 21 19.2% | 26 80.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | NOP | 21 18.1% | 26 81.9% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | NOP | Pelicans Rebound | 21 19.7% | 26 80.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | NOP | MISS Douglas 49' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 18.6% | 26 81.4% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | DAL | Powell Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 21 19.5% | 26 80.5% |
| Q1 - 0:22.0 | NOP | Davis 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cunningham 1 AST) | 21 23.0% | 23 77.0% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | DAL | Powell Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST) | 19 21.0% | 23 79.0% |
| Q1 - 0:53.0 | NOP | Anderson 15' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST) | 19 23.0% | 21 77.0% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 17 21.0% | 21 79.0% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | NOP | MISS Douglas 19' Step Back Jump Shot | 17 20.2% | 21 79.8% |
| Q1 - 1:22 | DAL | Powell Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST) | 17 21.0% | 21 79.0% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | NOP | Davis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 17 23.0% | 19 77.0% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | NOP | Cunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 24.2% | 19 75.8% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | DAL | MISS Powell 2' Layup | 17 23.9% | 19 76.1% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 17 23.0% | 19 77.0% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | NOP | MISS Cunningham 3PT Jump Shot | 17 23.4% | 19 76.6% |
| Q1 - 2:13 | NOP | Cunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 24.4% | 19 75.6% |
| Q1 - 2:14 | DAL | MISS Matthews 18' Step Back Jump Shot | 17 24.0% | 19 76.0% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | NOP | Davis 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST) | 17 22.9% | 19 77.1% |
| Q1 - 3:01 | DAL | Matthews 4' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 15 21.3% | 19 78.7% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | DAL | Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 22.7% | 17 77.3% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | NOP | MISS Davis 15' Jump Shot | 15 23.2% | 17 76.8% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | NOP | Anderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 24.4% | 17 75.6% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot | 15 23.9% | 17 76.1% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | NOP | Davis Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 15 22.7% | 17 77.3% |
| Q1 - 4:03 | DAL | Parsons Driving Dunk (4 PTS) | 15 24.3% | 17 75.7% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | NOP | Gordon Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2) | 15 25.7% | 15 74.3% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | DAL | Felton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 15 27.7% | 15 72.3% |
| Q1 - 4:30 | DAL | Powell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 31.0% | 12 69.0% |
| Q1 - 4:31 | NOP | MISS Anderson Driving Finger Roll Layup | 15 31.6% | 12 68.4% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | DAL | Pachulia 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS) | 15 33.2% | 12 66.8% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 15 34.8% | 10 65.2% |
| Q1 - 4:55 | DAL | MISS Pachulia 3' Driving Layup | 15 36.5% | 10 63.5% |
| Q1 - 5:03 | DAL | Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 34.1% | 10 65.9% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | NOP | MISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 34.7% | 10 65.3% |
| Q1 - 5:19 | DAL | Parsons 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 15 36.1% | 10 63.9% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | NOP | Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST) | 15 38.0% | 8 62.0% |
| Q1 - 5:50 | NOP | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 34.3% | 8 65.7% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | DAL | MISS Powell 20' Jump Shot | 12 33.7% | 8 66.3% |
| Q1 - 6:06 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 12 31.7% | 8 68.3% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | NOP | MISS Smith 9' Driving Bank Shot | 12 32.3% | 8 67.7% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | DAL | MAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2) | 12 33.6% | 8 66.4% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | DAL | MAVERICKS Rebound | 12 31.7% | 8 68.3% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | DAL | MISS Matthews 3PT Jump Shot | 12 33.1% | 8 66.9% |
| Q1 - 6:47 | NOP | Davis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 12 31.8% | 8 68.2% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | NOP | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 30.2% | 8 69.8% |
| Q1 - 6:58 | DAL | MISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot | 10 29.7% | 8 70.3% |
| Q1 - 7:07 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 10 28.0% | 8 72.0% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | NOP | MISS Gordon 23' Pullup Jump Shot | 10 28.6% | 8 71.4% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | NOP | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 29.9% | 8 70.1% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 10 29.3% | 8 70.7% |
| Q1 - 7:32 | DAL | Matthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 28.0% | 8 72.0% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | NOP | MISS Ajinca 20' Jump Shot | 10 28.6% | 8 71.4% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | NOP | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 29.9% | 8 70.1% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | DAL | MISS Parsons 7' Floating Jump Shot | 10 29.3% | 8 70.7% |
| Q1 - 7:57 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 10 28.1% | 8 71.9% |
| Q1 - 7:58 | DAL | MISS D. Williams 22' Jump Shot | 10 29.3% | 8 70.7% |
| Q1 - 8:04 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 27.9% | 8 72.1% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | NOP | MISS Smith 1' Driving Layup | 10 28.4% | 8 71.6% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | NOP | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 29.6% | 8 70.4% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 29.1% | 8 70.9% |
| Q1 - 8:23 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 27.9% | 8 72.1% |
| Q1 - 8:24 | NOP | MISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot | 10 28.4% | 8 71.6% |
| Q1 - 8:50 | DAL | Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST) | 10 29.6% | 8 70.4% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | DAL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 32.7% | 5 67.3% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | NOP | MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot | 10 33.3% | 5 66.7% |
| Q1 - 9:16 | DAL | Nowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 10 34.3% | 5 65.7% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | NOP | Ajinca 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 10 35.7% | 3 64.3% |
| Q1 - 9:30 | NOP | Ajinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 34.3% | 3 65.7% |
| Q1 - 9:31 | NOP | MISS Davis 17' Jump Shot | 8 33.0% | 3 67.0% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | DAL | D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST) | 8 34.3% | 3 65.7% |
| Q1 - 10:13 | NOP | Davis Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 8 37.3% | 0 62.7% |
| Q1 - 10:17 | DAL | Nowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 35.8% | 0 64.2% |
| Q1 - 10:34 | NOP | Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 6 33.9% | 0 66.1% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | NOP | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 30.9% | 0 69.1% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | DAL | MISS Parsons 6' Driving Bank Shot | 3 30.3% | 0 69.7% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | NOP | Smith 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST) | 3 28.9% | 0 71.1% |
| Q1 - 11:16 | NOP | Ajinca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 25.9% | 0 74.1% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | DAL | MISS Matthews 11' Step Back Jump Shot | 0 25.6% | 0 74.4% |
| Q1 - 11:35 | NOP | D. Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 0 24.7% | 0 75.3% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | DAL | Jump Ball Pachulia vs. Davis: Tip to Ajinca | 0 26.0% | 0 74.0% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
NOP
1.04 52.1%
DAL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
15
23
65%
DAL
20
28
71%
Midrange
NOP
15
35
43%
DAL
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
DAL
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
Free Throws
NOP
11
13
85%
DAL
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pelicans| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Davis | 25 | 60% | 12.5 / 21 | |
| E. Gordon | 21 | 66% | 10.5 / 16 | |
| R. Anderson | 21 | 62% | 10.5 / 17 | |
| T. Douglas | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| A. Ajinca | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| I. Smith | 7 | 25% | 3.5 / 14 | |
| L. Babbitt | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| A. Gee | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| D. Cunningham | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Mavericks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams | 19 | 63% | 9.5 / 15 | |
| D. Nowitzki | 18 | 56% | 9.0 / 16 | |
| D. Powell | 15 | 83% | 7.5 / 9 | |
| W. Matthews | 13 | 59% | 6.5 / 11 | |
| J. Barea | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| Z. Pachulia | 9 | 50% | 4.5 / 9 | |
| C. Parsons | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| D. Harris | 6 | 50% | 3.0 / 6 | |
| R. Felton | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| J. Evans | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| J. Anderson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
NOP
84
+10
-12
94
DAL
87
+9
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
NOP
1.04 52.1%
DAL
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 105.7 106.5 | NOP 102.1 DAL 111.5 +9.4 |
| Pace | 96.8 94.5 | NOP 96.9 +1.9 DAL 95.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.4 15.6 | NOP 14.9 +0.3 DAL 15.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.8% 50.2% | NOP 50.6% DAL 53.0% +2.4% |
| TO % | 13.4% 12.8% | NOP 11.6% DAL 10.5% +1.1% |
| ORB % | 21.1% 20.7% | NOP 16.3% +1.7% DAL 14.6% |
| FTrt | 25.9 26.5 | NOP 15.1 DAL 26.2 +11.1 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.7% 59.2% | NOP 53.8% +3.8% DAL 50.0% |
| STL % | 7.9% 7.1% | NOP 7.3% +2.1% DAL 5.2% |
| BLK % | 7.1% 6.4% | NOP 10.0% +6.6% DAL 3.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.5% 53.0% | NOP 52.1% DAL 55.7% +3.6% |
| Rim FG% | 55.9% 59.3% | NOP 65.2% DAL 71.4% +6.2% |
| Mid FG% | 40.5% 41.2% | NOP 42.9% +8.5% DAL 34.4% |
| 3P % | 36.0% 34.4% | NOP 32.1% DAL 37.5% +5.4% |
| FT % | 77.6% 79.4% | NOP 84.6% +2.8% DAL 81.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 35.9% 30.5% | NOP 26.7% DAL 33.3% +6.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 36.4% 35.5% | NOP 40.7% DAL 38.1% +2.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 27.7% 33.9% | NOP 32.6% +4.0% DAL 28.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | NOP | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 96 | 96 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.8 | 24.2 |
| Points | 98 | 107 |
| Rebounds | 42 | 42 |
| Assists | 21 | 20 |
| Steals | 7 | 5 |
| Blocks | 6 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (0) | 9 (2) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 7 (3) | 6 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 35 (1) | 36 (2) |
| Field Goals | 39-86 | 40-84 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-23 | 20-28 |
| Midrange FG | 15-35 | 11-32 |
| 2-Point FG | 30-58 | 31-60 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-28 | 9-24 |
| Free Throws | 11-13 | 18-22 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.