FinalWin Prob.pScore
1042%101
87
1958%104
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.69192.1
IND logo IND
97.89290.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND87
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)87
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDMISS George Free Throw 2 of 287
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)87
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)87
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 286
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDRobinson III Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDMISS Robinson III Free Throw 1 of 286
6.1%
88
93.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot86
11.6%
88
88.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJohnson 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)86
9.4%
88
90.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDHill 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)84
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot84
17.0%
86
83.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
13.4%
86
86.6%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot84
16.5%
86
83.5%
Q4 - 1:04INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)84
26.1%
86
73.9%
Q4 - 1:04INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)84
27.9%
85
72.1%
Q4 - 1:22INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
38.2%
84
61.8%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
43.0%
84
57.0%
Q4 - 1:41MIAHeat Rebound84
53.0%
84
47.0%
Q4 - 1:41INDMISS Hill 1' Tip Layup Shot84
48.8%
84
51.2%
Q4 - 1:41INDHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
39.3%
84
60.7%
Q4 - 1:42INDMISS George 15' Jump Shot84
48.8%
84
51.2%
Q4 - 2:18MIAWinslow 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)84
39.3%
84
60.7%
Q4 - 2:30MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
32.9%
84
67.1%
Q4 - 2:31INDMISS George 2' Layup82
28.7%
84
71.3%
Q4 - 2:53MIABosh 1' Cutting Layup Shot (21 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)82
21.9%
84
78.1%
Q4 - 2:56MIAHeat Rebound80
17.4%
84
82.6%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMahinmi BLOCK (3 BLK)80
12.4%
84
87.6%
Q4 - 3:11MIAHeat Rebound80
17.6%
84
82.4%
Q4 - 3:12INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 280
16.5%
84
83.5%
Q4 - 3:12INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 280
14.3%
84
85.7%
Q4 - 3:21INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
10.5%
84
89.5%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
12.4%
84
87.6%
Q4 - 3:38INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Mahinmi 2 AST)80
19.3%
84
80.7%
Q4 - 3:52INDPACERS Rebound80
24.8%
82
75.2%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMahinmi BLOCK (2 BLK)80
27.1%
82
72.9%
Q4 - 4:08INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS)80
32.9%
82
67.1%
Q4 - 4:26INDPACERS Rebound80
40.7%
80
59.3%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot80
43.8%
80
56.2%
Q4 - 4:44INDEllis Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)80
51.0%
80
49.0%
Q4 - 5:01INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
40.8%
80
59.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 180
42.0%
80
58.0%
Q4 - 5:20INDRobinson III 2' Layup (6 PTS) (George 3 AST)78
33.7%
80
66.3%
Q4 - 5:26MIAGeorge STEAL (3 STL)78
40.9%
78
59.1%
Q4 - 5:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)78
49.7%
78
50.3%
Q4 - 5:37INDMISS Ellis 11' Running Jump Shot78
47.0%
78
53.0%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMcRoberts Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)78
40.9%
78
59.1%
Q4 - 6:04INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)78
49.2%
78
50.8%
Q4 - 6:04INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)78
50.3%
77
49.7%
Q4 - 6:27INDPACERS Rebound78
55.7%
76
44.3%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade 17' Pullup Jump Shot78
58.2%
76
41.8%
Q4 - 6:42MIAHeat Rebound78
63.9%
76
36.1%
Q4 - 6:42INDMISS Mahinmi 5' Turnaround Hook Shot78
61.5%
76
38.5%
Q4 - 6:57MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)78
55.7%
76
44.3%
Q4 - 7:03INDHill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)78
62.1%
76
37.9%
Q4 - 7:06INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
54.8%
76
45.2%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot78
57.0%
76
43.0%
Q4 - 7:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
62.2%
76
37.8%
Q4 - 7:24INDMISS Robinson III 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
60.0%
76
40.0%
Q4 - 7:37INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)78
54.8%
76
45.2%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup78
57.1%
76
42.9%
Q4 - 8:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
60.3%
76
39.7%
Q4 - 8:07INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 178
59.5%
76
40.5%
Q4 - 8:14INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
66.4%
74
33.6%
Q4 - 8:15INDMISS Hill 2' Layup78
70.2%
74
29.8%
Q4 - 8:18INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
66.4%
74
33.6%
Q4 - 8:18INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot78
70.2%
74
29.8%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)78
66.5%
74
33.5%
Q4 - 8:49INDG. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Robinson III 1 AST)75
54.2%
74
45.8%
Q4 - 9:10INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
64.9%
71
35.1%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)75
66.6%
71
33.4%
Q4 - 9:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
70.4%
71
29.6%
Q4 - 9:32INDMISS G. Hill 5' Jump Shot75
68.8%
71
31.2%
Q4 - 9:56MIAWinslow 3' Layup (8 PTS)75
65.0%
71
35.0%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
58.6%
71
41.4%
Q4 - 10:10INDMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot73
56.8%
71
43.2%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMcRoberts 4' Running Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)73
52.7%
71
47.3%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
47.3%
71
52.7%
Q4 - 10:56INDMISS Robinson III 8' Running Jump Shot71
45.5%
71
54.5%
Q4 - 11:05INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
41.3%
71
58.7%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
42.9%
71
57.1%
Q4 - 11:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
46.8%
71
53.2%
Q4 - 11:29INDMISS Hill 5' Jump Shot71
45.1%
71
54.9%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMcRoberts 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)71
41.3%
71
58.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
31.5%
71
68.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
31.5%
71
68.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
30.6%
71
69.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAWinslow Layup (6 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)68
27.6%
71
72.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0INDGeorge Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T10)66
23.7%
71
76.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
20.1%
71
79.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
21.1%
71
78.9%
Q3 - 1:07INDGeorge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)66
24.4%
71
75.6%
Q3 - 1:16INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
21.9%
71
78.1%
Q3 - 1:35INDHill 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS)66
24.4%
71
75.6%
Q3 - 1:51INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
28.0%
69
72.0%
Q3 - 1:51MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup66
29.3%
69
70.7%
Q3 - 2:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
32.5%
69
67.5%
Q3 - 2:06INDMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot66
31.1%
69
68.9%
Q3 - 2:20INDPACERS Rebound66
28.3%
69
71.7%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Dragic 19' Jump Shot66
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 2:42INDTurner 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)66
32.5%
69
67.5%
Q3 - 2:57MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)66
36.4%
67
63.6%
Q3 - 3:13INDGeorge 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)64
32.9%
67
67.1%
Q3 - 3:26INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 3:27INDMISS G. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
39.8%
65
60.2%
Q3 - 3:56MIAWinslow 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 3:59MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup62
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 4:27INDMahinmi 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST)62
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q3 - 4:38INDPACERS Rebound62
36.4%
63
63.6%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Whiteside 17' Jump Shot62
37.9%
63
62.1%
Q3 - 4:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)62
41.2%
63
58.8%
Q3 - 4:55INDMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 262
40.5%
63
59.5%
Q3 - 4:55INDMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 262
38.2%
63
61.8%
Q3 - 5:00INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
36.5%
63
63.5%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot62
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 5:16INDGeorge 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)62
40.8%
63
59.2%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)62
44.4%
61
55.6%
Q3 - 6:01INDGeorge 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)62
48.5%
61
51.5%
Q3 - 6:07INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
52.0%
59
48.0%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q3 - 6:34INDGeorge 8' Driving Bank Shot (19 PTS)62
56.4%
59
43.6%
Q3 - 6:40INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
59.9%
57
40.1%
Q3 - 6:41INDMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot62
62.8%
57
37.2%
Q3 - 7:01MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
58.8%
57
41.2%
Q3 - 7:17INDGeorge Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)59
51.8%
57
48.2%
Q3 - 7:18INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
47.5%
57
52.5%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot59
48.8%
57
51.2%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
51.8%
57
48.2%
Q3 - 7:37INDMISS G. Hill 17' Jump Shot59
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 7:51MIADragic 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)59
47.5%
57
52.5%
Q3 - 8:01INDMahinmi 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)57
44.1%
57
55.9%
Q3 - 8:18INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
40.0%
57
60.0%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
41.2%
57
58.8%
Q3 - 8:44INDEllis 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)57
44.1%
57
55.9%
Q3 - 9:02MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)57
47.0%
55
53.0%
Q3 - 9:10INDEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)54
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q3 - 9:17MIAGeorge STEAL (2 STL)54
36.5%
55
63.5%
Q3 - 9:29INDAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (George 2 AST)54
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q3 - 9:44INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup54
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q3 - 10:01INDGeorge 16' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)54
46.9%
53
53.1%
Q3 - 10:07INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
50.1%
51
49.9%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
51.3%
51
48.7%
Q3 - 10:34INDMahinmi 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)54
53.9%
51
46.1%
Q3 - 10:55MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)54
57.2%
49
42.8%
Q3 - 11:02INDGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)51
50.0%
49
50.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIABosh 13' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q3 - 11:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
43.3%
49
56.7%
Q3 - 11:37INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Alley Oop Layup49
42.2%
49
57.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
39.7%
49
60.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
43.3%
49
56.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS George 15' Turnaround Jump Shot49
42.2%
49
57.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
40.4%
49
59.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 249
40.7%
49
59.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
42.9%
49
57.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDG. Hill Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)48
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)48
40.1%
48
59.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)48
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
46.8%
46
53.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)48
46.8%
46
53.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
41.1%
46
58.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
42.7%
46
57.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot46
42.0%
46
58.0%
Q2 - 1:03MIADragic Foul Turnover (P4.T7)46
40.8%
46
59.2%
Q2 - 1:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
42.4%
46
57.6%
Q2 - 1:05INDMISS George 1' Layup46
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q2 - 1:17INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
40.8%
46
59.2%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 1:39INDAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)46
42.4%
46
57.6%
Q2 - 1:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
47.1%
44
52.9%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 245
46.5%
44
53.5%
Q2 - 2:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
45.9%
44
54.1%
Q2 - 2:03INDMISS Allen 4' Cutting Layup Shot45
45.0%
44
55.0%
Q2 - 2:13INDGeorge Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)45
43.0%
44
57.0%
Q2 - 2:26INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
46.1%
43
53.9%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q2 - 2:56INDG. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (George 1 AST)45
48.9%
43
51.1%
Q2 - 3:03INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
54.3%
40
45.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 3' Finger Roll Layup45
55.4%
40
44.6%
Q2 - 3:32INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)45
57.8%
40
42.2%
Q2 - 3:51INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
63.0%
37
37.0%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade 7' Hook Shot45
64.0%
37
36.0%
Q2 - 4:11INDHill 1' Layup (6 PTS)45
64.9%
37
35.1%
Q2 - 4:30MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)45
67.3%
35
32.7%
Q2 - 4:50INDHill 4' Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)43
65.0%
35
35.0%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
66.8%
33
33.2%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWhiteside 2' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)43
66.8%
33
33.2%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot41
62.5%
33
37.5%
Q2 - 5:27INDG. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)41
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)41
69.2%
30
30.8%
Q2 - 6:05INDRobinson III 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
66.4%
30
33.6%
Q2 - 6:12INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Winslow 3' Layup39
69.1%
28
30.9%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
71.1%
28
28.9%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot39
69.1%
28
30.9%
Q2 - 6:41INDRobinson III 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)39
71.1%
28
28.9%
Q2 - 6:54INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
72.8%
26
27.2%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Jump Shot39
73.6%
26
26.4%
Q2 - 7:12INDHill Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
74.3%
26
25.7%
Q2 - 7:26MIAWinslow 4' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)39
72.1%
26
27.9%
Q2 - 7:46INDHill 2' Layup (2 PTS)37
70.2%
26
29.8%
Q2 - 8:08INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
71.3%
24
28.7%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot37
71.9%
24
28.1%
Q2 - 8:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
73.5%
24
26.5%
Q2 - 8:30INDMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot37
72.8%
24
27.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)37
71.4%
24
28.6%
Q2 - 8:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q2 - 8:54MIAHill BLOCK (1 BLK)34
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q2 - 9:17INDStuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q2 - 9:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)34
68.4%
22
31.6%
Q2 - 9:43MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)33
68.0%
22
32.0%
Q2 - 9:48INDStuckey 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
66.5%
22
33.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIABosh 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)32
67.9%
20
32.1%
Q2 - 10:25MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q2 - 10:25INDMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
65.4%
20
34.6%
Q2 - 10:40MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)30
63.5%
20
36.5%
Q2 - 10:59INDStuckey 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
61.7%
20
38.3%
Q2 - 11:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
63.0%
18
37.0%
Q2 - 11:17MIABosh 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)28
63.0%
18
37.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot26
59.1%
18
40.9%
Q2 - 11:43INDBudinger Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)26
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q2 - 11:43INDMISS Budinger Free Throw 2 of 326
61.2%
17
38.8%
Q2 - 11:43INDBudinger Free Throw 1 of 3 (2 PTS)26
59.3%
17
40.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND26
63.0%
16
37.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound26
63.0%
16
37.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Ellis 58' 3PT Jump Shot26
64.6%
16
35.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
63.0%
16
37.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot26
63.2%
16
36.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
64.3%
16
35.7%
Q1 - 0:11.0INDMISS George 2' Layup26
63.8%
16
36.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
62.7%
16
37.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
62.3%
16
37.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0INDMISS Turner 11' Turnaround Jump Shot24
59.4%
16
40.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)24
58.2%
16
41.8%
Q1 - 1:13MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 1:14INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)24
57.9%
16
42.1%
Q1 - 1:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
52.7%
16
47.3%
Q1 - 1:43INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
52.2%
16
47.8%
Q1 - 1:55MIADragic 3' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)21
51.0%
16
49.0%
Q1 - 2:06MIAHeat Rebound19
48.3%
16
51.7%
Q1 - 2:06INDMISS Stuckey 9' Floating Jump Shot19
47.7%
16
52.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 2:38INDTurner Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q1 - 2:39INDPACERS Rebound16
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 2:39INDMISS George 4' Driving Layup16
40.9%
16
59.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIADragic 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)16
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 2:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
37.1%
16
62.9%
Q1 - 2:55INDMISS Ellis 1' Driving Reverse Layup14
36.5%
16
63.5%
Q1 - 3:06MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (4 PTS)14
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:17MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 3:18INDMISS Turner 20' Jump Shot12
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 3:28MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)12
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 3:40INDBudinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
33.2%
16
66.8%
Q1 - 3:40INDMISS Budinger Free Throw 1 of 212
33.6%
15
66.4%
Q1 - 3:47INDPACERS Rebound12
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 3:47INDMISS Stuckey 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot12
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 3:56INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot12
33.7%
15
66.3%
Q1 - 4:19INDBudinger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 4:38MIADragic 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)12
33.0%
15
67.0%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
31.4%
15
68.6%
Q1 - 4:45INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Layup10
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 4:58MIADeng 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)10
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 5:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 5:14INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 2 of 28
27.8%
15
72.2%
Q1 - 5:14INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 1 of 28
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 5:16INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
26.3%
15
73.7%
Q1 - 5:18MIAGeorge BLOCK (1 BLK)8
26.8%
15
73.2%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 5:28INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
27.5%
15
72.5%
Q1 - 5:50INDBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
26.3%
15
73.7%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot8
26.8%
15
73.2%
Q1 - 6:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 6:03INDMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
27.9%
15
72.1%
Q1 - 6:18MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)8
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 6:31INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)8
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 6:40INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
29.9%
13
70.1%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 7:04INDGeorge 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)8
31.9%
13
68.1%
Q1 - 7:18MIADeng 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 7:24INDEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
31.9%
11
68.1%
Q1 - 7:31MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)6
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 7:49INDGeorge 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)6
31.9%
11
68.1%
Q1 - 7:51INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 7:52INDMISS Mahinmi 3' Layup6
34.7%
9
65.3%
Q1 - 7:57INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 7:57INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot6
34.7%
9
65.3%
Q1 - 8:13MIADeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
33.5%
9
66.5%
Q1 - 8:33INDMahinmi 5' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)6
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWhiteside 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
35.4%
7
64.6%
Q1 - 9:06INDMISS Ellis 13' Pullup Jump Shot4
34.8%
7
65.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
33.4%
7
66.6%
Q1 - 9:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 9:37INDMISS Mahinmi 6' Hook Shot2
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 9:45INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.1%
7
69.9%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot2
30.7%
7
69.3%
Q1 - 10:05INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)2
32.1%
7
67.9%
Q1 - 10:20MIADeng Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 10:27INDMISS George 17' Pullup Jump Shot2
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 10:41INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper2
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 10:53INDEllis 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
37.1%
4
62.9%
Q1 - 11:08MIADeng 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 11:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Deng 3' Driving Layup0
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 11:30INDGeorge Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)0
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 11:41INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot0
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Mahinmi vs. Whiteside: Tip to Bosh0
40.3%
0
59.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
IND
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
33
58%
IND
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
11
28
39%
IND
18
38
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
IND
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
9
13
69%
IND
13
24
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2155%10.5 / 19
J. Winslow1365%6.5 / 10
G. Dragic1150%5.5 / 11
D. Wade928%4.5 / 16
L. Deng964%4.5 / 7
H. Whiteside840%4.0 / 10
J. McRoberts8100%4.0 / 4
T. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
M. Chalmers233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George3660%18.0 / 30
G. Hill1275%6.0 / 8
J. Hill1050%5.0 / 10
G. Robinson III758%3.5 / 6
I. Mahinmi633%3.0 / 9
R. Stuckey650%3.0 / 6
M. Ellis425%2.0 / 8
L. Allen440%2.0 / 5
C. Budinger338%1.5 / 4
M. Turner225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+8
-11
88
IND
80
+12
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
IND
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
104.6
MIA 95.6
IND 97.8 +2.2
Pace
93.7
96.7
MIA 92.1 +1.2
IND 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.8
MIA 15.6 +0.2
IND 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
49.7%
MIA 48.1%
IND 48.1%
TO %
14.0%
14.7%
MIA 12.2%
IND 11.7% +0.5%
ORB %
23.9%
23.4%
MIA 17.1%
IND 21.4% +4.3%
FTrt
28.2
26.8
MIA 16.0
IND 30.0 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
55.4%
MIA 58.3%
IND 58.3%
STL %
7.2%
9.3%
MIA 5.5% +1.2%
IND 4.3%
BLK %
10.3%
7.9%
MIA 9.2% +1.0%
IND 8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.3%
MIA 48.9%
IND 48.9%
Rim FG%
62.3%
60.5%
MIA 57.6% +9.5%
IND 48.1%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.9%
MIA 39.3%
IND 47.4% +8.1%
3P %
33.6%
35.1%
MIA 30.0%
IND 33.3% +3.3%
FT %
74.4%
76.4%
MIA 69.2% +15.0%
IND 54.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
33.1%
MIA 40.7% +7.0%
IND 33.8%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
39.9%
MIA 34.6% +12.9%
IND 47.5%
3P Att. %
22.1%
27.0%
MIA 24.7% +5.9%
IND 18.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8790
Rebounds4043
Assists2121
Steals54
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)34 (5)
Field Goals36-8136-80
At-the-Rim FG19-3313-27
Midrange FG11-2818-38
2-Point FG30-6131-65
3-Point FG6-205-15
Free Throws9-1313-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
35.2
21
55%
11
2
1
1
0
0
2
9
6-7
86%
6-11
55%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
33.1
8
40%
12
0
1
4
1
1
1
11
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
30.6
11
50%
2
4
0
0
5
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
29.7
9
28%
1
6
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
26.2
9
64%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
30.9
13
65%
8
1
0
0
0
5
2
6
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
18.9
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
18.8
6
60%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
16.6
8
100%
2
5
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
#0 · F · 6'6" 200 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
49%
40
21
5
6
11
0
7
33
9-13
69%
30-61
49%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.