FinalWin Prob.pScore
1045%103
98
955%104
92
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.098104.6
MIA logo MIA
94.89791.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL98
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)98
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)97
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIABosh 2' Layup (9 PTS)96
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)96
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)96
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 2 of 296
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)96
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWhiteside Dunk (23 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)95
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)95
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Teague 9' Floating Jump Shot95
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIADragic 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)95
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)95
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 1:08ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup95
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 1:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 1:16ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot95
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWhiteside Dunk (21 PTS)95
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 1:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)95
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot95
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 1:52ATLTeague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)95
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 1:58ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 1:59ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 2:12ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 2:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)93
97.8%
84
2.2%
Q4 - 2:36ATLMISS Korver 17' Jump Shot93
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 2:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)93
98.3%
84
1.7%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 193
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 3:04ATLTeague 9' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)93
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 3:19ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 3:41ATLHorford Dunk (17 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)91
95.3%
82
4.7%
Q4 - 3:48MIAWade 16' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)89
93.7%
82
6.3%
Q4 - 4:01ATLMillsap 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Bazemore 3 AST)89
95.5%
80
4.5%
Q4 - 4:12MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)87
93.9%
80
6.1%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)87
91.2%
80
8.8%
Q4 - 4:22ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 187
91.6%
80
8.4%
Q4 - 4:38MIAWinslow Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T18)85
88.2%
80
11.8%
Q4 - 4:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
83.3%
80
16.7%
Q4 - 4:50ATLMISS Teague 6' Floating Jump Shot85
84.9%
80
15.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWinslow 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)85
84.8%
80
15.2%
Q4 - 5:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
88.4%
78
11.6%
Q4 - 5:18ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
89.5%
78
10.5%
Q4 - 5:34ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
91.6%
78
8.4%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 5:52MIAHEAT Rebound85
88.6%
78
11.4%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 5:55ATLJohnson STEAL (2 STL)85
88.6%
78
11.4%
Q4 - 5:57MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)85
91.7%
78
8.3%
Q4 - 6:11MIAHEAT Rebound85
86.1%
78
13.9%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Running Layup85
88.7%
78
11.3%
Q4 - 6:14ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)85
86.1%
78
13.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIABosh 2' Layup (7 PTS)85
89.8%
78
10.2%
Q4 - 6:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)85
92.0%
76
8.0%
Q4 - 6:45ATLMISS Holiday 3PT Jump Shot85
92.7%
76
7.3%
Q4 - 6:50ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
94.2%
76
5.8%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
93.6%
76
6.4%
Q4 - 7:06ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)85
90.3%
76
9.7%
Q4 - 7:14MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T16)82
84.6%
76
15.4%
Q4 - 7:30MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. Holiday: Tip to Winslow82
80.3%
76
19.7%
Q4 - 7:41ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)82
84.8%
76
15.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 282
84.2%
76
15.8%
Q4 - 7:42MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
82.0%
76
18.0%
Q4 - 8:02ATLHoliday 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)82
82.5%
75
17.5%
Q4 - 8:27MIAChalmers 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)79
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q4 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)79
78.7%
73
21.3%
Q4 - 8:34ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Hook Shot79
79.9%
73
20.1%
Q4 - 8:49MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)79
82.6%
73
17.4%
Q4 - 9:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)79
76.9%
73
23.1%
Q4 - 9:12ATLMISS Horford 1' Tip Layup Shot79
78.2%
73
21.8%
Q4 - 9:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)79
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q4 - 9:14ATLMISS Teague Driving Finger Roll Layup79
78.2%
73
21.8%
Q4 - 9:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q4 - 9:22MIAAndersen Putback Dunk (2 PTS)79
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup79
86.5%
71
13.5%
Q4 - 9:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
84.4%
71
15.6%
Q4 - 9:33ATLMISS Holiday 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
85.3%
71
14.7%
Q4 - 9:47MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)79
87.4%
71
12.6%
Q4 - 9:56ATLBosh STEAL (3 STL)79
89.7%
69
10.3%
Q4 - 10:16MIAWinslow 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)79
90.7%
69
9.3%
Q4 - 10:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
92.3%
67
7.7%
Q4 - 10:26ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
92.8%
67
7.2%
Q4 - 10:49MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)79
93.9%
67
6.1%
Q4 - 11:11MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
94.2%
65
5.8%
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Scott 12' Step Back Jump Shot79
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q4 - 11:29MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T14)79
95.3%
65
4.7%
Q4 - 11:41ATLSchroder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)79
94.2%
65
5.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
95.3%
65
4.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound79
94.2%
65
5.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot79
95.0%
65
5.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
93.3%
65
6.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
94.1%
65
5.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
93.3%
65
6.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
92.0%
65
8.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
91.5%
65
8.5%
Q3 - 1:03ATLSplitter Dunk (6 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)77
89.1%
65
10.9%
Q3 - 1:21MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)75
87.2%
65
12.8%
Q3 - 1:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
91.0%
62
9.0%
Q3 - 1:28ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
91.4%
62
8.6%
Q3 - 1:43MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)75
92.5%
62
7.5%
Q3 - 1:54ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)75
91.0%
62
9.0%
Q3 - 1:54ATLHawks Rebound75
92.5%
62
7.5%
Q3 - 1:55ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Layup75
91.5%
62
8.5%
Q3 - 2:19MIAJohnson 5' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS)75
91.3%
62
8.7%
Q3 - 2:35ATLSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
92.6%
60
7.4%
Q3 - 2:35ATLSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
92.3%
60
7.7%
Q3 - 2:35ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
91.3%
60
8.7%
Q3 - 2:36ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup73
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 2:47ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
91.4%
60
8.6%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot73
90.9%
60
9.1%
Q3 - 2:54ATLBosh STEAL (2 STL)73
89.7%
60
10.3%
Q3 - 3:07ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
90.6%
60
9.4%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
90.0%
60
10.0%
Q3 - 3:26ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)73
88.8%
60
11.2%
Q3 - 3:37MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)70
84.9%
60
15.1%
Q3 - 3:53ATLTeague 6' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)70
88.8%
57
11.2%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)68
86.1%
57
13.9%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
85.3%
57
14.7%
Q3 - 4:32MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
83.5%
57
16.5%
Q3 - 4:33ATLMISS Horford 7' Turnaround Hook Shot68
84.4%
57
15.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)68
86.1%
57
13.9%
Q3 - 5:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
82.4%
57
17.6%
Q3 - 5:06ATLDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)68
83.2%
57
16.8%
Q3 - 5:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)68
84.9%
57
15.1%
Q3 - 5:08ATLWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)68
83.2%
57
16.8%
Q3 - 5:23MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
84.9%
57
15.1%
Q3 - 5:23MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
85.3%
56
14.7%
Q3 - 5:31ATLSplitter 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)68
86.7%
55
13.3%
Q3 - 5:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)66
84.9%
55
15.1%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 266
84.6%
55
15.4%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
83.2%
55
16.8%
Q3 - 5:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)66
84.7%
54
15.3%
Q3 - 5:49ATLMISS Millsap 10' Floating Jump Shot66
85.4%
54
14.6%
Q3 - 6:07MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
85.9%
54
14.1%
Q3 - 6:34ATLHorford 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS)66
89.2%
51
10.8%
Q3 - 6:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)64
87.7%
51
12.3%
Q3 - 6:37ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Shot64
86.4%
51
13.6%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWhiteside 10' Driving Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)64
87.8%
51
12.2%
Q3 - 7:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
88.2%
49
11.8%
Q3 - 7:13ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
88.8%
49
11.2%
Q3 - 7:20ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
89.9%
49
10.1%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Deng 12' Turnaround Hook Shot64
89.4%
49
10.6%
Q3 - 7:44ATLHorford 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)64
88.3%
49
11.7%
Q3 - 7:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
86.8%
49
13.2%
Q3 - 7:48ATLMISS Bazemore 2' Finger Roll Layup62
85.4%
49
14.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (17 PTS)62
86.3%
49
13.7%
Q3 - 8:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)62
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot62
88.9%
47
11.1%
Q3 - 8:12ATLDragic STEAL (3 STL)62
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q3 - 8:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)62
89.5%
47
10.5%
Q3 - 8:26ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)62
87.7%
47
12.3%
Q3 - 8:38ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
84.4%
47
15.6%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS Bosh 14' Pullup Jump Shot59
83.7%
47
16.3%
Q3 - 8:56ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)59
82.1%
47
17.9%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
78.9%
47
21.1%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
79.4%
46
20.6%
Q3 - 9:36ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)57
81.2%
45
18.8%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)55
79.0%
45
21.0%
Q3 - 10:05ATLTeague 2' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)55
80.3%
43
19.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 253
79.1%
42
20.9%
Q3 - 10:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
78.0%
42
22.0%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Deng 1' Reverse Layup53
79.8%
42
20.2%
Q3 - 10:33ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
78.0%
42
22.0%
Q3 - 10:33ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
77.7%
42
22.3%
Q3 - 10:50ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)51
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot51
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q3 - 11:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
72.1%
42
27.9%
Q3 - 11:08ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
72.9%
42
27.1%
Q3 - 11:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q3 - 11:13ATLMISS Korver 9' Jump Shot51
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q3 - 11:18ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)51
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q3 - 11:19ATLMISS Millsap 7' Jump Bank Shot51
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q3 - 11:42MIAWhiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)51
75.0%
42
25.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL51
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound51
79.7%
40
20.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLDragic BLOCK (1 BLK)51
78.0%
40
22.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)51
78.1%
40
21.9%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLTeague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)51
76.6%
40
23.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)49
73.5%
40
26.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
78.9%
37
21.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Holiday 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
79.4%
37
20.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLMillsap Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS)49
80.4%
37
19.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 248
79.9%
37
20.1%
Q2 - 1:02ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
77.3%
37
22.7%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot48
77.0%
37
23.0%
Q2 - 1:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
76.2%
37
23.8%
Q2 - 1:20ATLMISS Teague 16' Jump Shot48
76.6%
37
23.4%
Q2 - 1:37MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)48
77.4%
37
22.6%
Q2 - 1:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
82.4%
34
17.6%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup48
83.1%
34
16.9%
Q2 - 1:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
82.4%
34
17.6%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
83.1%
34
16.9%
Q2 - 1:54MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
82.4%
34
17.6%
Q2 - 1:56ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup48
82.7%
34
17.3%
Q2 - 2:12MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)48
82.8%
34
17.2%
Q2 - 2:34ATLBazemore Reverse Dunk (10 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)48
81.1%
34
18.9%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)46
79.1%
34
20.9%
Q2 - 2:57ATLHorford 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)46
77.2%
34
22.8%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWade Putback Dunk (6 PTS)44
74.1%
34
25.9%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
75.9%
32
24.1%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup44
77.6%
32
22.4%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
75.9%
32
24.1%
Q2 - 3:20ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Layup44
76.7%
32
23.3%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
78.4%
32
21.6%
Q2 - 4:01ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)44
79.0%
30
21.0%
Q2 - 4:10ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
77.2%
30
22.8%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
75.0%
30
25.0%
Q2 - 4:34ATLMISS Millsap 13' Turnaround Jump Shot42
75.7%
30
24.3%
Q2 - 4:58ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
77.3%
30
22.7%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
76.6%
30
23.4%
Q2 - 5:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
74.5%
30
25.5%
Q2 - 5:10ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)42
75.2%
30
24.8%
Q2 - 5:21MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)42
76.7%
30
23.3%
Q2 - 5:35ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
78.5%
28
21.5%
Q2 - 5:35ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 241
78.1%
28
21.9%
Q2 - 5:35ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
78.6%
28
21.4%
Q2 - 5:36ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
77.2%
28
22.8%
Q2 - 5:44MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)41
78.6%
28
21.4%
Q2 - 6:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
79.3%
26
20.7%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 6:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
79.4%
26
20.6%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
80.0%
26
20.0%
Q2 - 6:26ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
81.5%
26
18.5%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot41
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 6:42ATLHoliday Running Dunk (4 PTS)41
79.4%
26
20.6%
Q2 - 6:44MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
78.1%
26
21.9%
Q2 - 6:55ATLKorver 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)39
75.7%
26
24.3%
Q2 - 7:05ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
73.2%
26
26.8%
Q2 - 7:06ATLWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)37
71.6%
26
28.4%
Q2 - 7:17MIAWhiteside 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)37
73.2%
26
26.8%
Q2 - 7:33ATLScott 1' Layup (5 PTS)37
75.1%
24
24.9%
Q2 - 7:34ATLScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
73.2%
24
26.8%
Q2 - 7:35ATLWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)35
71.6%
24
28.4%
Q2 - 7:55MIAWinslow Foul Turnover (P2.T6)35
73.3%
24
26.7%
Q2 - 8:14ATLKorver 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)35
70.2%
24
29.8%
Q2 - 8:26ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
68.2%
24
31.8%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Wade 15' Step Back Jump Shot33
67.5%
24
32.5%
Q2 - 8:45ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q2 - 8:59ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
61.2%
24
38.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot30
60.4%
24
39.6%
Q2 - 9:13ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)30
58.0%
24
42.0%
Q2 - 9:17ATLHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
60.8%
24
39.2%
Q2 - 9:18MIAMISS Johnson Dunk30
60.0%
24
40.0%
Q2 - 9:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
58.0%
24
42.0%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot30
60.0%
24
40.0%
Q2 - 9:58ATLHoliday 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)30
58.1%
24
41.9%
Q2 - 10:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup28
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q2 - 10:12ATLMISS Teague 11' Floating Jump Shot28
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q2 - 10:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup28
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 10:45ATLScott 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)28
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q2 - 10:53ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
47.6%
24
52.4%
Q2 - 11:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 11:04ATLMISS Scott 17' Jump Shot25
46.2%
24
53.8%
Q2 - 11:21ATLHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
47.9%
24
52.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q2 - 11:34ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)25
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q2 - 11:48ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
48.0%
24
52.0%
Q2 - 11:49MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot25
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL25
45.5%
24
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound25
48.0%
24
52.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford 9' Jump Shot25
46.2%
24
53.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
47.4%
24
52.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)25
46.2%
24
53.8%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
47.4%
24
52.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 225
48.0%
23
52.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLHorford Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)25
48.0%
23
52.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
45.1%
23
54.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Schroder 3' Driving Layup23
43.9%
23
56.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIABosh Dunk (2 PTS)23
45.1%
23
54.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Winslow Layup23
49.2%
21
50.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLMISS Schroder 18' Jump Shot23
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 1:06ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
49.2%
21
50.8%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q1 - 1:19ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot23
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWinslow Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)23
49.7%
21
50.3%
Q1 - 1:54ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)23
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q1 - 2:01ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Driving Bank Shot23
49.3%
21
50.7%
Q1 - 2:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
47.8%
21
52.2%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 223
48.1%
21
51.9%
Q1 - 2:19ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
49.6%
21
50.4%
Q1 - 2:31MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (8 PTS)22
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
50.1%
19
49.9%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup22
51.6%
19
48.4%
Q1 - 2:51ATLBazemore 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)22
50.1%
19
49.9%
Q1 - 2:57ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
47.6%
19
52.4%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
47.0%
19
53.0%
Q1 - 3:09ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
45.2%
19
54.8%
Q1 - 3:09ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
44.9%
19
55.1%
Q1 - 3:18MIAWhiteside 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
43.3%
19
56.7%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
45.3%
17
54.7%
Q1 - 3:39ATLMISS Bazemore 10' Jump Shot18
46.0%
17
54.0%
Q1 - 3:49MIADeng 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
47.7%
17
52.3%
Q1 - 3:55ATLDragic STEAL (2 STL)18
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 4:08MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
51.9%
15
48.1%
Q1 - 4:25ATLBazemore Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)18
53.7%
13
46.3%
Q1 - 4:37ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
56.2%
13
43.8%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
55.5%
13
44.5%
Q1 - 4:59ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)18
53.7%
13
46.3%
Q1 - 5:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
49.1%
13
50.9%
Q1 - 5:33MIAHEAT Rebound15
47.0%
13
53.0%
Q1 - 5:34ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)15
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 5:37MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)15
49.1%
13
50.9%
Q1 - 5:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
47.0%
13
53.0%
Q1 - 5:46ATLMISS Teague 8' Floating Jump Shot15
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 5:51ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 5:52ATLMISS Teague 8' Floating Jump Shot15
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 6:06ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 6:07ATLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)15
47.3%
13
52.7%
Q1 - 6:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Bank Shot15
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 6:34ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)15
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 6:52ATLSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 7:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.7%
13
59.3%
Q1 - 7:09ATLMISS Millsap 14' Step Back Jump Shot12
41.4%
13
58.6%
Q1 - 7:34MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)12
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 7:55ATLBazemore 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)12
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 8:08MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)9
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 8:19ATLKorver 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)9
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 8:23ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 8:24ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot7
37.9%
10
62.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAWade 9' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 8:49ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
41.6%
8
58.4%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWhiteside 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)7
43.0%
8
57.0%
Q1 - 9:29ATLHorford 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)7
44.5%
6
55.5%
Q1 - 9:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 10:04ATLBazemore 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)5
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 10:10MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 10:17MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
6
64.4%
Q1 - 10:18ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 10:30MIADragic 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
37.6%
6
62.4%
Q1 - 10:45ATLMillsap 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
39.1%
4
60.9%
Q1 - 11:00MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 11:00MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
38.0%
3
62.0%
Q1 - 11:02ATLDragic STEAL (1 STL)0
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 11:35ATLBosh STEAL (1 STL)0
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Horford: Tip to Bazemore0
44.4%
0
55.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.96 48.0%
MIA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
21
36
58%
MIA
22
34
65%
Midrange
ATL
9
33
27%
MIA
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
28
18%
27%
Free Throws
ATL
17
22
77%
MIA
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2662%13.0 / 21
A. Horford1750%8.5 / 17
P. Millsap1243%6.0 / 14
K. Bazemore1063%5.0 / 8
K. Korver941%4.5 / 11
J. Holiday750%3.5 / 7
M. Scott758%3.5 / 6
T. Splitter643%3.0 / 7
D. Schröder429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2388%11.5 / 13
D. Wade2162%10.5 / 17
G. Dragic1973%9.5 / 13
C. Bosh932%4.5 / 14
T. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
L. Deng422%2.0 / 9
J. Winslow429%2.0 / 7
C. Andersen375%1.5 / 2
M. Chalmers211%1.0 / 9
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
83
+19
-15
102
MIA
79
+16
-18
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.96 48.0%
MIA
0.97 48.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
106.0
ATL 100.0
MIA 94.8 +5.2
Pace
96.8
93.7
ATL 104.6 +13.4
MIA 91.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.0
ATL 13.8 +2.0
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
50.8%
ATL 45.0%
MIA 47.1% +2.1%
TO %
14.9%
14.0%
ATL 13.8% +3.2%
MIA 17.0%
ORB %
19.2%
23.9%
ATL 30.8% +3.7%
MIA 27.1%
FTrt
23.7
28.2
ATL 24.4 +5.8
MIA 18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.3%
54.3%
ATL 67.6% +33.4%
MIA 34.2%
STL %
9.3%
7.2%
ATL 10.2%
MIA 10.3% +0.1%
BLK %
9.6%
10.3%
ATL 1.7%
MIA 13.0% +11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
52.8%
ATL 48.0%
MIA 48.4% +0.4%
Rim FG%
58.9%
62.3%
ATL 58.3%
MIA 64.7% +6.4%
Mid FG%
41.2%
40.5%
ATL 27.3%
MIA 45.8% +18.5%
3P %
35.0%
33.6%
ATL 33.3% +15.4%
MIA 17.9%
FT %
78.3%
74.4%
ATL 77.3% +8.5%
MIA 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
37.0%
ATL 40.0% +0.5%
MIA 39.5%
Mid Att. %
28.8%
40.9%
ATL 36.7%
MIA 27.9% +8.8%
3P Att. %
33.6%
22.1%
ATL 23.3%
MIA 32.6% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points9892
Rebounds5149
Assists2513
Steals1010
Blocks19
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)36 (1)
Field Goals37-9038-86
At-the-Rim FG21-3622-34
Midrange FG9-3311-24
2-Point FG30-6933-58
3-Point FG7-215-28
Free Throws17-2211-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 31
35.6
12
43%
10
3
3
1
1
3
4
6
4-8
50%
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 212 · 35
34.5
9
41%
3
3
1
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-6
17%
G · 6'2" 189 · 27
34.4
26
62%
6
9
1
0
3
3
2
4
6-7
86%
7-16
44%
2-2
100%
C · 6'10" 245 · 29
33.7
17
50%
13
2
1
0
1
1
7
6
1-1
100%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 201 · 26
32.5
10
63%
5
3
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31
20.5
6
43%
7
1
1
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 22
16.0
4
29%
2
3
1
0
4
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 185 · 27
12.8
7
50%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 237 · 27
12.0
7
58%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 24
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24
G · 6'3" 203 · 26
#22 · C · 7'3" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'7" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
48%
51
25
10
1
15
0
16
35
17-22
77%
30-69
43%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.