FinalWin Prob.pScore
651%108
89
1349%107
109
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
91.89798.0
MIA logo MIA
113.59695.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU89
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)89
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUBrewer 2' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)89
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)87
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23HOUMISS Brewer 7' Driving Hook Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (25 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18HOURockets Rebound84
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:19HOUWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAJohnson 2' Layup (8 PTS)84
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:02HOUWinslow STEAL (2 STL)84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:19HOURockets Rebound84
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 3:22HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 2 of 284
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:22HOUHarrell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)83
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 3:58MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 3:59HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)83
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 4:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 4:22HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 4:48MIAJohnson 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)83
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 4:52HOUWhiteside STEAL (3 STL)83
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 5:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
11.1%
90
88.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 283
11.8%
89
88.2%
Q4 - 5:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)83
10.8%
89
89.2%
Q4 - 5:30HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
11.9%
89
88.1%
Q4 - 5:43HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
14.7%
89
85.3%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Winslow Dunk83
13.4%
89
86.6%
Q4 - 5:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
10.8%
89
89.2%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot83
13.4%
89
86.6%
Q4 - 6:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)83
13.1%
89
86.9%
Q4 - 6:02HOUMISS Harden 18' Step Back Jump Shot83
14.3%
89
85.7%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWinslow 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)83
17.3%
89
82.7%
Q4 - 6:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)83
21.3%
87
78.7%
Q4 - 6:35HOUMISS Thornton 3' Jump Shot83
23.1%
87
76.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)83
27.5%
87
72.5%
Q4 - 7:00HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)83
21.2%
87
78.8%
Q4 - 7:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
29.5%
87
70.5%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot83
27.6%
87
72.4%
Q4 - 7:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
23.5%
87
76.5%
Q4 - 7:34HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
25.2%
87
74.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIABosh Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)83
29.4%
87
70.6%
Q4 - 7:54HOUChalmers STEAL (2 STL)83
34.8%
85
65.2%
Q4 - 8:11MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)83
42.4%
85
57.6%
Q4 - 8:27MIAHEAT Rebound83
55.2%
82
44.8%
Q4 - 8:27HOUMISS Brewer 12' Hook Shot83
57.1%
82
42.9%
Q4 - 8:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
61.4%
82
38.6%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 183
60.6%
82
39.4%
Q4 - 8:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
67.4%
80
32.6%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup83
71.1%
80
28.9%
Q4 - 9:02HOUBrewer 6' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)83
66.3%
80
33.7%
Q4 - 9:14MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)81
61.0%
80
39.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
54.9%
80
45.1%
Q4 - 9:20HOUJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)81
56.8%
80
43.2%
Q4 - 9:27MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)81
61.0%
80
39.0%
Q4 - 9:51HOUHarrell 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)81
66.4%
78
33.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)79
60.5%
78
39.5%
Q4 - 10:28HOUBrewer 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)79
70.4%
75
29.6%
Q4 - 10:40HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
65.8%
75
34.2%
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot77
64.2%
75
35.8%
Q4 - 11:04HOUHarrell Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)77
59.5%
75
40.5%
Q4 - 11:13HOURockets Rebound75
54.4%
75
45.6%
Q4 - 11:14HOUMISS Beverley 21' Jump Shot75
50.5%
75
49.5%
Q4 - 11:38HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
54.5%
75
45.5%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot75
52.7%
75
47.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
48.8%
75
51.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
48.8%
75
51.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
50.7%
75
49.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
54.2%
75
45.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
52.7%
75
47.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
49.1%
75
50.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
50.7%
75
49.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)75
54.2%
75
45.8%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
63.5%
72
36.5%
Q3 - 1:14HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
64.9%
72
35.1%
Q3 - 1:38HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
68.1%
72
31.9%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot75
66.7%
72
33.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
63.5%
72
36.5%
Q3 - 1:46HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
65.0%
72
35.0%
Q3 - 1:55HOURockets Rebound75
68.1%
72
31.9%
Q3 - 1:56HOUBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)75
65.0%
72
35.0%
Q3 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)75
67.0%
72
33.0%
Q3 - 2:12HOURockets Rebound75
71.0%
71
29.0%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot75
69.7%
71
30.3%
Q3 - 2:25HOUBeverley Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)75
66.8%
71
33.2%
Q3 - 2:45MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
71.1%
71
28.9%
Q3 - 2:45MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
71.6%
70
28.4%
Q3 - 2:48HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)75
74.5%
69
25.5%
Q3 - 2:57MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)75
78.1%
69
21.9%
Q3 - 3:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)75
82.8%
66
17.2%
Q3 - 3:08HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
83.6%
66
16.4%
Q3 - 3:24HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
85.4%
66
14.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 175
85.0%
66
15.0%
Q3 - 3:47HOUThornton 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)75
87.3%
64
12.7%
Q3 - 3:55HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
85.4%
64
14.6%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup73
84.6%
64
15.4%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
81.7%
64
18.3%
Q3 - 4:03HOUMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
82.6%
64
17.4%
Q3 - 4:09HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
84.5%
64
15.5%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
83.7%
64
16.3%
Q3 - 4:27HOUBeverley Driving Dunk (9 PTS)73
81.8%
64
18.2%
Q3 - 4:41MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
79.5%
64
20.5%
Q3 - 4:41MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
80.1%
63
19.9%
Q3 - 4:44MIAHEAT Rebound71
81.8%
62
18.2%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Dragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot71
83.8%
62
16.2%
Q3 - 4:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
81.8%
62
18.2%
Q3 - 4:53HOUMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot71
82.7%
62
17.3%
Q3 - 4:58HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
84.6%
62
15.4%
Q3 - 4:59HOUMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
82.7%
62
17.3%
Q3 - 5:20MIADeng 3' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)71
83.5%
62
16.5%
Q3 - 5:25HOUDragic STEAL (1 STL)71
85.4%
60
14.6%
Q3 - 5:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
87.6%
60
12.4%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Pullup Jump Shot71
87.0%
60
13.0%
Q3 - 5:58HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)71
85.5%
60
14.5%
Q3 - 6:17MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)71
86.7%
60
13.3%
Q3 - 6:31HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)71
89.8%
57
10.2%
Q3 - 6:31HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)70
89.7%
57
10.3%
Q3 - 6:31HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 369
89.4%
57
10.6%
Q3 - 6:40MIAWade 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
88.5%
57
11.5%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
89.8%
55
10.2%
Q3 - 6:48HOUWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)69
90.3%
55
9.7%
Q3 - 6:55HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
91.3%
55
8.7%
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot69
90.9%
55
9.1%
Q3 - 7:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
89.0%
55
11.0%
Q3 - 7:08HOUMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup69
89.5%
55
10.5%
Q3 - 7:32MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)69
90.6%
55
9.4%
Q3 - 7:57HOUCapela Dunk (10 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)69
92.8%
52
7.2%
Q3 - 8:12MIADeng 2' Layup (9 PTS)67
91.5%
52
8.5%
Q3 - 8:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
92.4%
50
7.6%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot67
93.2%
50
6.8%
Q3 - 8:30HOUWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)67
92.4%
50
7.6%
Q3 - 8:48MIAWhiteside Dunk (17 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)67
93.6%
50
6.4%
Q3 - 8:59HOUWade STEAL (2 STL)67
94.3%
48
5.7%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)67
94.6%
48
5.4%
Q3 - 9:48HOULawson 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)67
95.3%
46
4.7%
Q3 - 9:54HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
94.6%
46
5.4%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot65
94.4%
46
5.6%
Q3 - 10:07HOUThornton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)65
93.3%
46
6.7%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
94.2%
46
5.8%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
94.4%
45
5.6%
Q3 - 10:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
94.9%
44
5.1%
Q3 - 10:43HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
95.1%
44
4.9%
Q3 - 11:07MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)65
95.2%
44
4.8%
Q3 - 11:33HOUCapela Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)65
94.5%
44
5.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU63
93.8%
44
6.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound63
93.8%
44
6.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Thornton 48' 3PT Jump Shot63
93.2%
44
6.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
94.0%
42
6.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
94.1%
42
5.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
94.5%
42
5.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Layup63
94.3%
42
5.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)63
94.0%
42
6.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
92.1%
42
7.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup60
91.9%
42
8.1%
Q2 - 1:08HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)60
90.9%
42
9.1%
Q2 - 1:08HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 359
90.8%
42
9.2%
Q2 - 1:08HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)59
91.7%
42
8.3%
Q2 - 1:26MIAJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS)58
89.3%
42
10.7%
Q2 - 1:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
91.0%
40
9.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
91.3%
40
8.7%
Q2 - 1:48HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)58
91.0%
40
9.0%
Q2 - 2:12MIADragic 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)55
87.6%
40
12.4%
Q2 - 2:15HOUWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)55
88.9%
38
11.1%
Q2 - 2:20HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
90.0%
38
10.0%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
89.7%
38
10.3%
Q2 - 2:30MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
89.0%
38
11.0%
Q2 - 2:31HOUMISS Ariza 16' Turnaround Jump Shot55
89.3%
38
10.7%
Q2 - 2:47MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)55
90.1%
38
9.9%
Q2 - 2:47MIAHEAT Rebound55
89.0%
38
11.0%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup55
89.8%
38
10.2%
Q2 - 3:11HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)55
88.1%
38
11.9%
Q2 - 3:15HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
89.5%
38
10.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
89.1%
38
10.9%
Q2 - 3:33HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)55
88.2%
38
11.8%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
85.7%
38
14.3%
Q2 - 4:15MIAHEAT Rebound52
86.1%
36
13.9%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
87.1%
36
12.9%
Q2 - 4:37HOUThornton 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)52
86.1%
36
13.9%
Q2 - 4:43HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
83.3%
36
16.7%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Hook Shot49
82.8%
36
17.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
81.6%
36
18.4%
Q2 - 5:01HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
81.6%
36
18.4%
Q2 - 5:24HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
82.8%
36
17.2%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 149
82.6%
36
17.4%
Q2 - 5:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
84.3%
34
15.7%
Q2 - 5:40HOUMISS Thornton 2' Driving Layup49
84.8%
34
15.2%
Q2 - 5:59MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)49
85.8%
34
14.2%
Q2 - 6:15HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
86.3%
32
13.7%
Q2 - 6:15HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
86.1%
32
13.9%
Q2 - 6:27HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
85.3%
32
14.7%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot47
84.8%
32
15.2%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
83.6%
32
16.4%
Q2 - 6:42HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
84.1%
32
15.9%
Q2 - 6:50MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)47
85.4%
32
14.6%
Q2 - 7:03HOUThornton 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
83.0%
32
17.0%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade 13' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
81.7%
32
18.3%
Q2 - 7:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
83.1%
30
16.9%
Q2 - 7:44HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
83.5%
30
16.5%
Q2 - 7:50HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
84.6%
30
15.4%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
84.2%
30
15.8%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
83.1%
30
16.9%
Q2 - 8:00HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper45
83.6%
30
16.4%
Q2 - 8:23MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T9)45
83.9%
30
16.1%
Q2 - 8:43HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)45
82.5%
30
17.5%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
79.4%
30
20.6%
Q2 - 9:17HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)42
77.0%
30
23.0%
Q2 - 9:28HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
73.6%
30
26.4%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot39
72.9%
30
27.1%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
71.3%
30
28.7%
Q2 - 9:39HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
72.0%
30
28.0%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
73.6%
30
26.4%
Q2 - 10:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
70.9%
30
29.1%
Q2 - 10:16HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
71.6%
30
28.4%
Q2 - 10:26MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
73.3%
30
26.7%
Q2 - 10:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
70.9%
30
29.1%
Q2 - 10:35HOUMISS Lawson 6' Jump Shot39
71.6%
30
28.4%
Q2 - 10:50HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
73.3%
30
26.7%
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot39
72.6%
30
27.4%
Q2 - 11:15HOUBeverley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
70.5%
30
29.5%
Q2 - 11:23HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
68.5%
30
31.5%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot37
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 11:41HOUHarrell Putback Dunk (2 PTS)37
66.3%
30
33.7%
Q2 - 11:42HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
64.2%
30
35.8%
Q2 - 11:43HOUBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)35
62.6%
30
37.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU35
64.2%
30
35.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
63.5%
30
36.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot35
63.0%
30
37.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
61.9%
30
38.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAWinslow 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
63.5%
30
36.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOULawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
66.2%
28
33.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOULawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
65.8%
28
34.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
63.5%
28
36.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)33
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)32
61.6%
28
38.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)31
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q1 - 1:07MIAGreen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
56.7%
28
43.3%
Q1 - 1:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
59.6%
26
40.4%
Q1 - 1:14HOUMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot30
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q1 - 1:23MIADeng 3' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)30
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q1 - 1:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q1 - 1:27MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot30
65.0%
24
35.0%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
65.0%
24
35.0%
Q1 - 1:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q1 - 1:51HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q1 - 1:59MIAChalmers 2' Layup (2 PTS)30
65.5%
24
34.5%
Q1 - 2:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
68.1%
22
31.9%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Deng 1' Tip Layup Shot30
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q1 - 2:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup30
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q1 - 2:10HOUChalmers STEAL (1 STL)30
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 2:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
69.7%
22
30.3%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Deng 8' Hook Shot30
69.1%
22
30.9%
Q1 - 2:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 2:32HOUMISS Brewer 5' Jump Shot30
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q1 - 2:42MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
69.7%
22
30.3%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 230
70.1%
21
29.9%
Q1 - 3:02HOUBrewer 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)30
69.2%
21
30.8%
Q1 - 3:06MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
67.5%
21
32.5%
Q1 - 3:26HOUBrewer 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)28
65.3%
21
34.7%
Q1 - 3:35HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot26
62.8%
21
37.2%
Q1 - 3:58HOUBeverley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
61.2%
21
38.8%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWhiteside Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)24
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
60.9%
19
39.1%
Q1 - 4:35HOUMISS Harden 16' Jump Shot24
61.6%
19
38.4%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
63.3%
19
36.7%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
66.9%
16
33.1%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Bank Shot24
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 5:02HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)24
66.1%
16
33.9%
Q1 - 5:09MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)21
62.4%
16
37.6%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
60.4%
16
39.6%
Q1 - 5:12HOUMISS Thornton 14' Jump Shot21
61.0%
16
39.0%
Q1 - 5:25MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
62.4%
16
37.6%
Q1 - 5:41HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
64.3%
14
35.7%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
58.4%
14
41.6%
Q1 - 5:44HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot18
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 5:50MIADragic 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
60.5%
14
39.5%
Q1 - 6:12HOUThornton 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
61.8%
12
38.2%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)16
60.0%
12
40.0%
Q1 - 6:39HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)16
61.8%
10
38.2%
Q1 - 6:54HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
60.0%
10
40.0%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot14
59.4%
10
40.6%
Q1 - 6:59HOUWinslow STEAL (1 STL)14
58.0%
10
42.0%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
59.9%
10
40.1%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
60.3%
9
39.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
61.4%
8
38.6%
Q1 - 7:18HOUMISS Harrell 8' Turnaround Hook Shot14
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:37MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
63.5%
8
36.5%
Q1 - 7:37MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
63.9%
7
36.1%
Q1 - 7:54HOUCapela 3' Layup (6 PTS)14
65.0%
6
35.0%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
63.7%
6
36.3%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
64.0%
5
36.0%
Q1 - 8:30HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)12
65.2%
4
34.8%
Q1 - 8:51MIADeng 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)9
61.9%
4
38.1%
Q1 - 9:13HOUCapela Dunk (4 PTS)9
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 9:14HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 9:15HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup7
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 9:27MIADeng Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 9:41HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 9:41HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
59.4%
2
40.6%
Q1 - 9:44HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 10:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 10:02HOUMISS Ariza 23' Jump Shot5
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWhiteside 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)5
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 10:17HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)5
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 10:26HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
61.5%
0
38.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup5
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 10:47HOUThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)5
59.5%
0
40.6%
Q1 - 10:53HOURockets Rebound2
56.1%
0
43.9%
Q1 - 10:54HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 11:05HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Bosh 17' Turnaround Jump Shot2
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 11:27HOUCapela 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)2
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 11:42HOURockets Rebound0
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
51.6%
0
48.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Capela: Tip to Dragic0
50.4%
0
49.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
26
69%
MIA
27
38
71%
Midrange
HOU
4
17
24%
MIA
6
26
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
10
15.0
36
28%
42%
MIA
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
HOU
15
18
83%
MIA
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Thornton2166%10.5 / 16
J. Harden1640%8.0 / 20
C. Capela10100%5.0 / 5
C. Brewer1038%5.0 / 13
T. Ariza935%4.5 / 13
P. Beverley964%4.5 / 7
M. Harrell770%3.5 / 5
T. Lawson450%2.0 / 4
J. Terry350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2583%12.5 / 15
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
L. Deng1450%7.0 / 14
T. Johnson1179%5.5 / 7
C. Bosh1045%5.0 / 11
J. Winslow1063%5.0 / 8
G. Dragic850%4.0 / 8
G. Green744%3.5 / 8
M. Chalmers450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+10
-17
90
MIA
84
+14
-12
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.0
HOU 91.8 +21.8
MIA 113.5
Pace
97.9
93.7
HOU 98.0 +3.0
MIA 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.0
HOU 14.7 +0.5
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
50.8%
HOU 46.8%
MIA 54.1% +7.3%
TO %
15.5%
14.0%
HOU 17.2%
MIA 13.6% +3.6%
ORB %
25.7%
23.9%
HOU 7.5%
MIA 26.2% +18.7%
FTrt
35.2
28.2
HOU 22.8
MIA 24.4 +1.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.9%
54.3%
HOU 62.5% +5.4%
MIA 57.1%
STL %
10.2%
7.2%
HOU 9.3%
MIA 11.5% +2.2%
BLK %
9.0%
10.3%
HOU 4.7%
MIA 11.6% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
52.8%
HOU 49.4%
MIA 55.6% +6.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.3%
HOU 69.2%
MIA 71.1% +1.9%
Mid FG%
38.9%
40.5%
HOU 23.5% +0.4%
MIA 23.1%
3P %
34.7%
33.6%
HOU 27.8%
MIA 40.9% +13.1%
FT %
69.5%
74.4%
HOU 83.3% +7.1%
MIA 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
37.0%
HOU 32.9%
MIA 44.2% +11.3%
Mid Att. %
23.0%
40.9%
HOU 21.5% +8.7%
MIA 30.2%
3P Att. %
37.0%
22.1%
HOU 45.6% +20.0%
MIA 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points89109
Rebounds3448
Assists2024
Steals911
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)12 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (7)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)37 (1)
Field Goals32-7942-86
At-the-Rim FG18-2627-38
Midrange FG4-176-26
2-Point FG22-4333-64
3-Point FG10-369-22
Free Throws15-1816-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
40.8
9
35%
7
4
3
0
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
0-5
0%
3-8
38%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
39.1
16
40%
6
7
3
1
5
2
0
6
12-14
86%
2-5
40%
0-10
0%
G · 5'11" 195 · 28
37.5
4
50%
4
4
1
0
3
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'4" 205 · 28
30.9
21
66%
2
2
0
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
5-9
56%
C · 6'10" 256 · 21
14.1
10
100%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22
22.3
7
70%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 30
21.3
10
38%
1
3
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
19.8
9
64%
3
0
0
0
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
5.0
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
#6 · F · 6'9" 252 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
34
20
9
3
17
0
3
31
15-18
83%
22-43
51%
10-36
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.