FinalWin Prob.pScore
1626%105
92
374%113
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09297.9
CLE logo CLE
115.98883.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE92
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 192
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0CLEMISS Cunningham 1' Layup90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIADragic 2' Running Layup (11 PTS)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0CLEJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08CLEHarris 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cunningham 2 AST)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01CLEMISS Thompson 2' Tip Layup Shot81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02CLEMISS James 1' Reverse Layup81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIAWade 9' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35CLEMISS Love 33' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade 2' Layup (23 PTS)79
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07CLEJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09CLEJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12CLEMISS Thompson Dunk77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAWade Foul Turnover (P7.T13)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02CLEDellavedova Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02CLEDellavedova Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23CLEJames 7' Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAHeat Rebound73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIALove BLOCK (1 BLK)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)73
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:03CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 273
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:06MIADellavedova STEAL (1 STL)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19CLEJefferson Dunk (5 PTS) (Love 5 AST)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:24CLELove REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 5:25CLEMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 5:38MIADeng 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)73
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 5:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 5:47CLEMISS Thompson 3' Jump Shot71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05CLEDellavedova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:23CLEMISS Love 17' Jump Shot71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:46MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:59CLELove Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)69
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:59CLELove Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)69
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13CLEDellavedova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:28MIAHeat Rebound69
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAThompson BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 7:43CLEJames 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Dellavedova 10 AST)69
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 7:55CLELove REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)69
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 8:01MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 8:07CLEMISS Love 1' Layup69
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 8:30CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 8:31MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot69
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 8:50CLEThompson Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Dellavedova 9 AST)69
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 8:58CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Winslow 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 9:07CLEMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot69
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 9:24MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T10)69
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q4 - 9:35MIAHeat Rebound69
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 9:36CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 269
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q4 - 9:36CLEThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 9:46MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)69
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 9:57MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Winslow 4' Turnaround Bank Shot67
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 10:19MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 10:20CLEMISS Varejao 15' Jump Shot67
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 10:30CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Green 16' Jump Shot67
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 10:43CLEJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dellavedova 8 AST)67
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 10:50CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot67
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 10:58MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q4 - 11:01CLEMISS Dellavedova 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 11:09CLECAVALIERS Rebound67
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 11:09CLEMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot67
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 11:27MIAGreen Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)67
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 11:44CLECunningham 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)67
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE67
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound67
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Cunningham 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Green 1' Reverse Layup67
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0CLECunningham Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dellavedova 7 AST)67
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAChalmers 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)67
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 1:07CLEThompson 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cunningham 1 AST)65
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 1:24MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 1:24MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 1:36CLEThompson Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Dellavedova 6 AST)63
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q3 - 1:49CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 2:15CLEVarejao 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)63
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q3 - 2:46MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)63
12.6%
68
87.4%
Q3 - 3:12CLEJames 2' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Dellavedova 5 AST)60
9.6%
68
90.4%
Q3 - 3:17CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q3 - 3:17CLEMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot60
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 3:34CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 260
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 3:35MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 3:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.9%
66
90.1%
Q3 - 3:43CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)59
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)59
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 4:05CLELove 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)59
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 4:20MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)59
15.1%
63
84.9%
Q3 - 4:35CLELove 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dellavedova 4 AST)57
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 4:47CLEDellavedova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
17.4%
60
82.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot57
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 5:00CLEJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)57
20.5%
60
79.5%
Q3 - 5:15MIAWade Driving Dunk (19 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)57
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q3 - 5:28CLEMozgov Foul Turnover (P1.T7)55
15.5%
60
84.5%
Q3 - 5:50MIADeng 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)55
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 5:59MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 6:00CLEMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot53
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 6:15MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)53
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 6:27CLEMozgov Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)52
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q3 - 7:00CLEMozgov 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Love 3 AST)51
13.6%
57
86.4%
Q3 - 7:19MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)51
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 7:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q3 - 7:41CLEMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 7:58MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
10.3%
55
89.7%
Q3 - 8:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q3 - 8:09CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.8%
55
91.2%
Q3 - 8:27CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 8:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q3 - 8:33MIAMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)46
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 8:49CLELove Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)46
9.2%
55
90.8%
Q3 - 8:49CLELove Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)46
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q3 - 8:49CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
10.3%
53
89.7%
Q3 - 8:50CLEMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot46
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q3 - 9:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q3 - 9:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 9:25CLEJames Dunk (20 PTS) (Love 2 AST)44
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q3 - 9:31CLELove REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)44
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot44
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q3 - 9:43CLELove 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)44
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q3 - 10:02CLELove REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)44
13.5%
49
86.5%
Q3 - 10:02CLEMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot44
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q3 - 10:25CLELove REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)44
13.5%
49
86.5%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Dragic 8' Pullup Jump Shot44
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q3 - 10:52CLEMozgov 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)44
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q3 - 11:02CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Dragic 5' Jump Bank Shot44
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q3 - 11:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q3 - 11:14CLEMISS Williams 6' Fadeaway Jumper44
18.4%
47
81.6%
Q3 - 11:35MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)44
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
14.9%
47
85.1%
Q2 - 0:14.0CLELove REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)42
14.1%
47
85.9%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot42
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0CLEWilliams 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
17.5%
45
82.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
17.0%
45
83.0%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q2 - 1:01CLEMISS Love 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
14.1%
45
85.9%
Q2 - 1:24CLEWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)38
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 1:30CLELove REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)38
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
11.8%
45
88.2%
Q2 - 1:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 1:40CLEMISS James 5' Driving Hook Shot38
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 2:04MIAWade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)38
11.5%
45
88.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAHeat Rebound36
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot36
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 2:37CLELove 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)36
10.2%
45
89.8%
Q2 - 2:46CLELove REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)36
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot36
13.2%
42
86.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 2:59CLEMISS Mozgov 6' Turnaround Jump Shot36
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 3:23MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 3:48CLEJames 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)34
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 3:55MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)34
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 4:10CLEJames 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)34
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 4:34MIABosh 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)34
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 4:40CLESmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)32
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 4:57MIADeng Running Dunk (2 PTS)32
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 5:02CLESmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 5:22CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Wade 4' Hook Shot30
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 5:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
11.8%
38
88.2%
Q2 - 5:37CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 5:37CLEMISS James 1' Tip Layup Shot30
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 5:38CLEMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 5:53CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
10.6%
38
89.4%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot30
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 6:09CLEJames Foul Turnover (P2.T3)30
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 6:15CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup30
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 6:29MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 6:30CLEMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)30
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 7:09CLEThompson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Dellavedova 3 AST)27
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 7:27MIAStoudemire 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 7:39MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 7:40CLEMISS Dellavedova 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 7:52CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 7:54CLEMISS Dellavedova 7' Floating Jump Shot25
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 8:11CLEDellavedova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Green 12' Jump Shot25
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 8:35MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 8:35CLEMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 8:40CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 8:40CLEMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot25
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 8:53CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Bosh 12' Step Back Jump Shot25
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 9:18CLEDellavedova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)25
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 9:29CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
11.5%
33
88.5%
Q2 - 9:47CLEJames 9' Driving Bank Shot (14 PTS)25
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 9:55CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Green 11' Pullup Jump Shot25
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 10:08CLEJames 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)25
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 10:28MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 10:28MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
15.7%
29
84.3%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 10:57CLEMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
14.4%
29
85.6%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMcRoberts Foul Turnover (P1.T5)23
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q2 - 11:27MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 11:28CLEMISS Dellavedova 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
14.4%
29
85.6%
Q2 - 11:48CLECAVALIERS Rebound23
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q2 - 11:48MIAMISS Green 16' Jump Shot23
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 59' 3PT Jump Shot23
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0CLEJefferson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)23
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0CLEThompson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dellavedova 2 AST)21
12.5%
29
87.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Stoudemire 5' Turnaround Jump Shot21
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 1:06CLELove Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)21
14.7%
27
85.3%
Q1 - 1:09CLEDellavedova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 1:10CLEMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot21
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMcRoberts 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)21
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 1:52CLEThompson Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Dellavedova 1 AST)19
15.9%
24
84.1%
Q1 - 2:06CLELove REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)19
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 2:23CLELove Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 2:23CLELove Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 2:34MIAWhiteside 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)19
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 2:45MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 2:46CLEMISS Smith 6' Running Jump Shot17
18.3%
20
81.7%
Q1 - 3:02MIAWinslow 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)17
17.2%
20
82.8%
Q1 - 3:17CLESmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 3:39CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Jump Shot15
17.7%
18
82.3%
Q1 - 4:01CLEJames 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)15
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T4)15
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 4:39CLEJames 7' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
21.3%
16
78.7%
Q1 - 4:54CLELove REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)15
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 5:04CLEJames Foul Turnover (P1.T1)15
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 5:12MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 5:16CLEMISS Mozgov 2' Layup12
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 5:30CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
18.3%
14
81.7%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Dragic 8' Driving Bank Shot12
18.7%
14
81.3%
Q1 - 5:48CLEWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 6:06MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)12
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 6:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 6:21CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 210
19.4%
12
80.6%
Q1 - 6:21CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)10
19.4%
11
80.6%
Q1 - 6:42CLELove Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
20.8%
11
79.2%
Q1 - 6:42CLELove Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
21.0%
10
79.0%
Q1 - 6:43CLELove REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)10
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 6:44CLEMISS Love 6' Jump Shot10
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 6:51CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Dragic Layup10
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 6:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 7:03CLELove REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)10
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 7:03CLEMISS Love 2' Layup10
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 7:03CLEMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 7:18MIADeng Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
23.3%
9
76.7%
Q1 - 7:22CLEMISS Love 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 7:38MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 7:56CLELove Dunk (2 PTS)8
20.7%
9
79.3%
Q1 - 7:57CLELove REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
21.7%
7
78.3%
Q1 - 8:03CLEMISS James 2' Reverse Layup8
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)8
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
22.9%
7
77.1%
Q1 - 8:13CLEMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:16CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 8:18MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)8
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
23.0%
7
77.0%
Q1 - 8:34CLEMISS Love 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:48CLELove REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 8:50CLEMISS Smith 1' Reverse Layup8
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:56CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup8
21.9%
7
78.1%
Q1 - 9:22CLEMozgov Driving Dunk (2 PTS)8
22.8%
7
77.2%
Q1 - 9:35MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)8
23.9%
5
76.1%
Q1 - 9:53CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
21.5%
5
78.5%
Q1 - 10:08CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 10:30CLEJames 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Love 1 AST)5
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 10:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade 4' Floating Jump Shot3
24.3%
0
75.7%
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 11:01CLEMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:27MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)3
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:46CLEMISS Love 17' Turnaround Jump Shot0
20.8%
0
79.2%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Mozgov vs. Whiteside: Tip to Love0
20.0%
0
80.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
CLE
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
26
54%
CLE
17
29
59%
Midrange
MIA
13
30
43%
CLE
16
32
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
CLE
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIA
20
22
91%
CLE
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2566%12.5 / 19
C. Bosh1653%8.0 / 15
H. Whiteside1169%5.5 / 8
G. Dragic1150%5.5 / 11
L. Deng1056%5.0 / 9
M. Chalmers857%4.0 / 7
G. Green525%2.5 / 10
J. Winslow225%1.0 / 4
J. McRoberts250%1.0 / 2
A. Stoudemire250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2973%14.5 / 20
K. Love2463%12.0 / 19
T. Thompson1365%6.5 / 10
T. Mozgov975%4.5 / 6
M. Williams627%3.0 / 11
M. Dellavedova542%2.5 / 6
R. Jefferson536%2.5 / 7
J. Cunningham450%2.0 / 4
J. Harris3150%1.5 / 1
J. Smith213%1.0 / 8
A. Varejao250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+10
-13
89
CLE
77
+16
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
CLE
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
111.2
MIA 100.0
CLE 115.9 +15.9
Pace
93.7
93.0
MIA 97.9 +14.9
CLE 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.7
MIA 14.7 +2.6
CLE 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.4%
MIA 46.8%
CLE 48.8% +2.0%
TO %
14.0%
13.7%
MIA 13.0%
CLE 10.4% +2.6%
ORB %
23.9%
25.1%
MIA 14.6%
CLE 30.4% +15.8%
FTrt
28.2
25.9
MIA 28.6 +4.2
CLE 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
58.7%
MIA 63.6%
CLE 64.1% +0.5%
STL %
7.2%
7.2%
MIA 5.4% +0.9%
CLE 4.5%
BLK %
10.3%
6.5%
MIA 11.5% +4.4%
CLE 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.2%
MIA 51.7%
CLE 53.1% +1.4%
Rim FG%
62.3%
61.6%
MIA 53.8%
CLE 58.6% +4.8%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.7%
MIA 43.3%
CLE 50.0% +6.7%
3P %
33.6%
36.2%
MIA 28.6% +4.6%
CLE 24.0%
FT %
74.4%
74.8%
MIA 90.9% +5.2%
CLE 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
33.1%
MIA 33.8% +0.0%
CLE 33.7%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
31.6%
MIA 39.0%
CLE 37.2% +1.8%
3P Att. %
22.1%
35.2%
MIA 27.3%
CLE 29.1% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9288
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points92102
Rebounds3849
Assists2125
Steals54
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)35 (1)
Field Goals33-7739-86
At-the-Rim FG14-2617-29
Midrange FG13-3016-32
2-Point FG27-5633-61
3-Point FG6-216-25
Free Throws20-2218-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
36.0
11
69%
9
2
0
6
2
2
1
8
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
33.6
11
50%
3
6
1
0
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
33.2
16
53%
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-11
45%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
30.4
25
66%
4
3
2
1
7
4
0
4
8-8
100%
7-13
54%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
29.2
10
56%
6
2
1
0
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
18.8
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
16.1
5
25%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
14.4
8
57%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
13.4
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
12.0
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
1.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
#0 · F · 6'6" 200 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
52%
38
21
5
7
13
0
6
32
20-22
91%
27-56
48%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.