FinalWin Prob.pScore
2816%99
105
584%113
85
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
109.49687.4
HOU logo HOU
85.999110.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN105
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENBarton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Green 1 AST)105
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENJokic 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)100
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)100
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29DENAriza STEAL (3 STL)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)97
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:15DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 296
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:26HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)96
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:35DENGallinari 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59HOULawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 2:59HOULawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 3:15DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)93
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 3:34DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
98.1%
77
1.9%
Q4 - 3:34HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 290
98.0%
77
2.0%
Q4 - 3:34HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 290
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 3:34DENBrewer STEAL (2 STL)90
97.2%
77
2.8%
Q4 - 3:43DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)90
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 3:43HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 190
98.1%
77
1.9%
Q4 - 3:44HOUJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)90
98.7%
75
1.3%
Q4 - 3:45HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot90
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 3:53HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)90
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 3:53DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 290
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 3:53DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 3:59HOULawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 3:59HOUMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 289
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 4:06DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 4:06DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 4:24DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 4:25HOUMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 4:37DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P9.T19)87
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 4:59DENNuggets Rebound87
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 5:00HOUMISS Jones 2' Layup87
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 5:21DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (17 PTS)87
95.7%
74
4.3%
Q4 - 5:22DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q4 - 5:23DENHarden BLOCK (2 BLK)85
92.8%
74
7.2%
Q4 - 5:36DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q4 - 5:37HOUMISS Brewer 3' Driving Layup85
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q4 - 5:54HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
92.2%
74
7.8%
Q4 - 5:55DENMISS Mudiay 20' Pullup Jump Shot85
93.0%
74
7.0%
Q4 - 6:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
91.5%
74
8.5%
Q4 - 6:11HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot85
90.7%
74
9.3%
Q4 - 6:18HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
88.6%
74
11.4%
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Nelson 4' Driving Layup85
89.6%
74
10.4%
Q4 - 6:33HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
91.7%
74
8.3%
Q4 - 6:33HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
91.9%
73
8.1%
Q4 - 6:42HOUROCKETS Rebound85
93.5%
72
6.5%
Q4 - 6:42DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot85
94.1%
72
5.9%
Q4 - 6:59DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
95.3%
72
4.7%
Q4 - 7:00HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
94.8%
72
5.2%
Q4 - 7:06HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
90.7%
72
9.3%
Q4 - 7:08DENMISS Barton 10' Pullup Jump Shot85
91.5%
72
8.5%
Q4 - 7:22HOUAriza Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)85
93.0%
72
7.0%
Q4 - 7:32DENBrewer STEAL (1 STL)85
90.9%
72
9.1%
Q4 - 7:47DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
93.1%
72
6.9%
Q4 - 7:48HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
92.5%
72
7.5%
Q4 - 8:02DENMudiay 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
88.4%
72
11.6%
Q4 - 8:23HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)83
85.6%
72
14.4%
Q4 - 8:23HOUCapela Putback Dunk (9 PTS)83
85.6%
72
14.4%
Q4 - 8:24HOUMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup83
90.2%
70
9.8%
Q4 - 8:34DENMudiay 10' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)83
88.5%
70
11.5%
Q4 - 8:58DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
85.7%
70
14.3%
Q4 - 8:58HOUMISS Brewer 3' Driving Layup81
84.7%
70
15.3%
Q4 - 9:07DENBarton Dunk (8 PTS) (Mudiay 9 AST)81
78.9%
70
21.1%
Q4 - 9:22HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)79
75.0%
70
25.0%
Q4 - 9:41DENMudiay 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
82.8%
67
17.2%
Q4 - 10:04DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
72.0%
67
28.0%
Q4 - 10:06HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
70.5%
67
29.5%
Q4 - 10:14HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
67.0%
67
33.0%
Q4 - 10:14DENMISS Nelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot76
68.6%
67
31.4%
Q4 - 10:31HOUBrewer Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)76
72.2%
67
27.8%
Q4 - 10:35HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
76.3%
65
23.7%
Q4 - 10:35DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
77.6%
65
22.4%
Q4 - 10:53HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)76
80.4%
65
19.6%
Q4 - 11:04HOUROCKETS Rebound76
74.0%
65
26.0%
Q4 - 11:04HOUMISS Lawson 9' Jump Bank Shot76
76.8%
65
23.2%
Q4 - 11:24HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
74.1%
65
25.9%
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
75.4%
65
24.6%
Q4 - 11:37DENNuggets Rebound76
78.2%
65
21.8%
Q4 - 11:37DENCapela BLOCK (3 BLK)76
75.4%
65
24.6%
Q4 - 11:48HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)76
78.2%
65
21.8%
Q4 - 11:48HOUCapela Putback Dunk (7 PTS)76
78.2%
65
21.8%
Q4 - 11:50HOUMISS Brewer 1' Layup76
83.8%
63
16.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU76
81.6%
63
18.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENNelson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)76
78.8%
63
21.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOULawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)74
75.3%
63
24.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
71.3%
63
28.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENMISS Barton 12' Jump Shot74
72.6%
63
27.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
75.4%
63
24.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot74
74.2%
63
25.8%
Q3 - 1:17DENBarton Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)74
68.4%
63
31.6%
Q3 - 1:21HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)72
64.2%
63
35.8%
Q3 - 1:38DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)72
59.5%
63
40.5%
Q3 - 1:50HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
50.0%
63
50.0%
Q3 - 1:50HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
50.5%
62
49.5%
Q3 - 1:51HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
54.7%
61
45.3%
Q3 - 1:53DENAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)69
56.2%
61
43.8%
Q3 - 1:57DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
59.7%
61
40.3%
Q3 - 1:59HOUMISS Capela 1' Layup69
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 2:17DENBarton Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)69
51.4%
61
48.6%
Q3 - 2:21HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)67
47.1%
61
52.9%
Q3 - 2:46DENGallinari Driving Dunk (15 PTS)67
42.3%
61
57.7%
Q3 - 3:02DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q3 - 3:04HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 3:09HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 3:11HOUMISS Brewer 2' Layup65
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 3:14HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 3:16DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)65
33.9%
61
66.1%
Q3 - 3:31HOUJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)65
37.0%
61
63.0%
Q3 - 3:35HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 3:36HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 3:44HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 3:45HOUMISS Brewer 28' 3PT Jump Shot65
35.7%
61
64.3%
Q3 - 3:50HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 3:51HOUMISS Beverley 2' Layup65
35.7%
61
64.3%
Q3 - 4:13HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q3 - 4:13HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
34.2%
61
65.8%
Q3 - 4:32HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 4:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 4:34DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Layup Shot65
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 4:35DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot65
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 4:46HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
35.7%
61
64.3%
Q3 - 4:46HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
36.1%
60
63.9%
Q3 - 5:11DENLauvergne Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
37.6%
59
62.4%
Q3 - 5:11DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 5:27HOUAriza 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)63
34.2%
59
65.8%
Q3 - 5:43DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
37.6%
57
62.4%
Q3 - 5:43DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
37.2%
57
62.8%
Q3 - 5:58HOUHarden 2' Running Layup (14 PTS)61
34.3%
57
65.7%
Q3 - 6:04DENHarden STEAL (2 STL)61
35.8%
55
64.2%
Q3 - 6:13DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q3 - 6:15HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot61
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 6:21HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q3 - 6:22DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
37.2%
55
62.8%
Q3 - 6:25DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
40.1%
55
59.9%
Q3 - 6:25DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot61
37.2%
55
62.8%
Q3 - 6:50HOUJones 2' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)61
40.2%
55
59.8%
Q3 - 7:03DENMudiay Traveling Turnover (P7.T16)61
41.7%
53
58.3%
Q3 - 7:10DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
46.0%
53
54.0%
Q3 - 7:12HOUMISS Jones 2' Layup61
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 7:22DENMudiay 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q3 - 7:39HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q3 - 7:39HOUJones 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)59
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q3 - 7:39HOUMISS Harden 6' Floating Jump Shot59
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q3 - 8:02DENJones STEAL (1 STL)59
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 8:10DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
44.6%
51
55.4%
Q3 - 8:11HOUMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
43.3%
51
56.7%
Q3 - 8:28HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
40.5%
51
59.5%
Q3 - 8:29DENCapela BLOCK (2 BLK)59
41.7%
51
58.3%
Q3 - 8:52HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)59
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q3 - 8:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
40.5%
51
59.5%
Q3 - 8:57DENMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot59
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q3 - 9:10HOUAriza Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)59
42.5%
51
57.5%
Q3 - 9:17DENHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)59
38.9%
51
61.1%
Q3 - 9:19HOULawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)59
42.5%
51
57.5%
Q3 - 9:25HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
38.9%
51
61.1%
Q3 - 9:26DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
40.0%
51
60.0%
Q3 - 9:32DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
42.6%
51
57.4%
Q3 - 9:34HOUMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot59
41.5%
51
58.5%
Q3 - 9:45DENFaried 2' Cutting Layup Shot (15 PTS) (Mudiay 8 AST)59
39.0%
51
61.0%
Q3 - 10:07DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q3 - 10:08HOUMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
33.2%
51
66.8%
Q3 - 10:20DENFaried 9' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (13 PTS)57
31.0%
51
69.0%
Q3 - 10:41HOUCapela 1' Putback Layup (5 PTS)55
28.3%
51
71.7%
Q3 - 10:42HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)55
31.1%
49
68.9%
Q3 - 10:43HOUMISS Lawson 4' Floating Jump Shot55
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q3 - 10:53DENGallinari Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)55
31.1%
49
68.9%
Q3 - 11:10HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)53
26.8%
49
73.2%
Q3 - 11:34HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
24.1%
49
75.9%
Q3 - 11:34DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 253
24.5%
49
75.5%
Q3 - 11:34DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 253
26.0%
49
74.0%
Q3 - 11:38HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)53
26.9%
49
73.1%
Q3 - 11:44DENHarden STEAL (1 STL)53
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN53
27.0%
49
73.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUHarden 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)53
31.8%
46
68.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0HOULawson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)50
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mudiay 7 AST)50
29.1%
44
70.9%
Q2 - 1:09HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)47
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q2 - 1:21DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)47
29.0%
41
71.0%
Q2 - 1:30DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
30.4%
41
69.6%
Q2 - 1:32HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot47
30.0%
41
70.0%
Q2 - 1:46DENGallinari 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)47
29.0%
41
71.0%
Q2 - 2:17HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)45
25.1%
41
74.9%
Q2 - 2:26DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)45
30.2%
38
69.8%
Q2 - 2:45HOUJones 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (6 PTS)42
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 3:07DENLauvergne 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)42
26.3%
36
73.7%
Q2 - 3:17DENNuggets Rebound39
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 3:17HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
21.6%
36
78.4%
Q2 - 3:33HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
20.0%
36
80.0%
Q2 - 3:36HOUMISS Brewer 4' Driving Layup39
21.6%
36
78.4%
Q2 - 3:47DENFaried Cutting Dunk Shot (11 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)39
20.0%
36
80.0%
Q2 - 3:52DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 3:52HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 3:57HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q2 - 3:59DENCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)37
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q2 - 4:04DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
17.8%
36
82.2%
Q2 - 4:05HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
17.3%
36
82.7%
Q2 - 4:09HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 4:11HOUMISS Harden 3' Layup37
17.3%
36
82.7%
Q2 - 4:26HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 4:27DENMISS Mudiay 9' Fadeaway Jumper37
16.7%
36
83.3%
Q2 - 4:50HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)37
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 4:59HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
19.5%
34
80.5%
Q2 - 5:00DENMISS Gallinari 16' Turnaround Jump Shot37
20.1%
34
79.9%
Q2 - 5:21HOUBeverley 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
21.0%
34
79.0%
Q2 - 5:39HOUROCKETS Rebound37
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 5:40HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 237
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q2 - 5:40HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
23.6%
32
76.4%
Q2 - 5:54DENFaried 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)37
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q2 - 6:15HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 6:23HOUJump Ball Terry vs. Mudiay: Tip to Capela35
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 6:37DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 6:38DENMISS Harris 22' Pullup Jump Shot35
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 6:56HOUCapela Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q2 - 7:00DENCapela STEAL (2 STL)35
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 7:13HOUJones Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)35
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 7:18DENAriza STEAL (2 STL)35
23.8%
29
76.2%
Q2 - 7:38HOUJones 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)35
26.0%
29
74.0%
Q2 - 7:49HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q2 - 7:51DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot35
28.5%
27
71.5%
Q2 - 8:04DENNuggets Rebound35
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q2 - 8:04DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q2 - 8:14DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q2 - 8:16HOUMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot35
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q2 - 8:29DENArthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)35
27.2%
27
72.8%
Q2 - 8:49HOULawson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)32
23.4%
27
76.6%
Q2 - 9:00DENArthur 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)32
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 9:12DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
19.4%
27
80.6%
Q2 - 9:13HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot30
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q2 - 9:34HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q2 - 9:36DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q2 - 9:36DENMISS Arthur 2' Tip Layup Shot30
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q2 - 9:37DENMISS Mudiay 16' Jump Shot30
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q2 - 9:48DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q2 - 9:50HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot30
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q2 - 10:15DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q2 - 10:15DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 229
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q2 - 10:20DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 10:23HOUMISS Lawson 10' Fadeaway Jumper29
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 10:47HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q2 - 10:48DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
16.9%
27
83.1%
Q2 - 11:05HOULawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harrell 1 AST)29
17.7%
27
82.3%
Q2 - 11:20DENFoye Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)29
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q2 - 11:35HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)29
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q2 - 11:46DENNelson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)29
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU27
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)27
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUHarrell 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)27
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENBeverley STEAL (2 STL)27
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0HOUHarden 2' Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS)27
26.9%
19
73.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENBarton Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)27
29.3%
17
70.7%
Q1 - 1:02HOUHarrell 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)25
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 1:17HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
28.7%
15
71.3%
Q1 - 1:19DENMISS Gallinari 4' Finger Roll Layup25
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 1:35DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
30.2%
15
69.8%
Q1 - 1:36DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 1:57HOUHarrell Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)25
30.2%
15
69.8%
Q1 - 2:05DENArthur Foul Turnover (P1.T6)25
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 2:08DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 2:14HOUMISS Brewer 3' Layup25
33.4%
13
66.6%
Q1 - 2:16HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 2:18DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 2:18DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup25
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 2:20DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 2:27HOUBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 2:41HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 2:41DENMISS Barton 23' Jump Shot25
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 2:54DENNuggets Rebound25
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 2:54HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot25
33.4%
13
66.6%
Q1 - 3:09DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)25
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 3:22HOULawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
27.3%
13
72.7%
Q1 - 3:22HOUMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 222
27.7%
12
72.3%
Q1 - 3:29DENLauvergne Foul Turnover (P1.T5)22
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 3:31DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
29.2%
12
70.8%
Q1 - 3:33HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup22
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 4:00DENLauvergne 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)22
27.2%
12
72.8%
Q1 - 4:10DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
25.0%
12
75.0%
Q1 - 4:12HOUMISS Brewer 3' Layup20
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 4:27DENMudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)20
23.1%
12
76.9%
Q1 - 4:42DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 4:43HOUMISS Brewer 10' Floating Jump Shot17
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 4:58HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 4:59HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot17
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 5:03HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 5:06DENBrewer BLOCK (1 BLK)17
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 5:09DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 5:10HOUMISS Harden 4' Jump Shot17
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 5:19DENBeverley STEAL (1 STL)17
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 5:38HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)17
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 5:51DENMudiay Foul Turnover (P2.T3)17
22.3%
9
77.7%
Q1 - 6:03HOUHarrell 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)17
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 6:18DENLauvergne 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)17
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 6:21DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.9%
7
77.1%
Q1 - 6:26HOUMISS Ariza Running Dunk15
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 6:31HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 6:33HOUMISS Lawson 12' Running Jump Shot15
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 6:42DENFaried 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)15
21.5%
7
78.5%
Q1 - 7:04HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)13
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 7:11DENCapela STEAL (1 STL)13
22.0%
4
78.0%
Q1 - 7:17DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 7:17DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 213
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 7:17DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 7:28HOULawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)12
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 7:49DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
24.8%
1
75.2%
Q1 - 7:49DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
24.7%
1
75.3%
Q1 - 8:03DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
23.0%
1
77.0%
Q1 - 8:05HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.6%
1
77.4%
Q1 - 8:16DENFaried Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)10
21.6%
1
78.4%
Q1 - 8:20HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
20.4%
1
79.6%
Q1 - 8:22DENAriza STEAL (1 STL)8
19.1%
1
80.9%
Q1 - 8:32DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
20.4%
1
79.6%
Q1 - 8:33HOUMISS Harden 20' Step Back Jump Shot8
20.0%
1
80.0%
Q1 - 8:42HOUROCKETS Rebound8
19.1%
1
80.9%
Q1 - 8:42HOUMISS Jones 2' Layup8
20.0%
1
80.0%
Q1 - 8:57DENLauvergne 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
19.1%
1
80.9%
Q1 - 8:58DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
18.1%
1
81.9%
Q1 - 8:59DENMISS Gallinari 23' Jump Shot6
17.2%
1
82.8%
Q1 - 9:16DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.8%
1
82.2%
Q1 - 9:16HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 26
17.6%
1
82.4%
Q1 - 9:16HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
16.8%
1
83.2%
Q1 - 9:32DENGallinari Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Lauvergne 1 AST)6
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 9:40DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 9:42HOUMISS Capela Putback Dunk4
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 9:43HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 9:44HOUMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot4
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 10:12DENFaried 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)4
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 10:21DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 10:21HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
14.4%
0
85.6%
Q1 - 10:29HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 10:29DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot2
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 10:47HOUJones Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 10:59DENHarris Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)2
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:16DENNuggets Rebound0
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:17DENMISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 11:32DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:33HOUMISS Ariza 15' Jump Shot0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 11:38HOUROCKETS Rebound0
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 11:38HOUMISS Capela 4' Cutting Layup Shot0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Lauvergne: Tip to Harden0
11.9%
0
88.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.17 58.3%
HOU
0.83 41.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
28
61%
HOU
21
42
50%
Midrange
DEN
10
24
42%
HOU
1
10
10%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
HOU
8
12.0
35
23%
34%
Free Throws
DEN
12
18
67%
HOU
17
26
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2364%11.5 / 18
K. Faried1869%9.0 / 13
E. Mudiay1757%8.5 / 15
J. Lauvergne1192%5.5 / 6
W. Barton1155%5.5 / 10
J. Nelson1056%5.0 / 9
G. Harris550%2.5 / 5
D. Arthur550%2.5 / 5
R. Foye325%1.5 / 6
N. Jokić2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2244%11.0 / 25
T. Jones1550%7.5 / 15
T. Lawson1246%6.0 / 13
C. Capela956%4.5 / 8
P. Beverley844%4.0 / 9
M. Harrell8100%4.0 / 4
T. Ariza627%3.0 / 11
C. Brewer519%2.5 / 13
J. Terry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
75
+12
-21
87
HOU
83
+19
-16
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.17 58.3%
HOU
0.83 41.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
108.1
DEN 109.4
HOU 85.9 +23.5
Pace
95.3
97.9
DEN 87.4
HOU 110.6 +23.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.2
DEN 16.5
HOU 13.0 +3.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
51.6%
DEN 58.9% +19.8%
HOU 39.1%
TO %
14.8%
15.5%
DEN 19.5%
HOU 14.7% +4.8%
ORB %
25.8%
25.7%
DEN 23.7%
HOU 27.3% +3.6%
FTrt
28.2
35.2
DEN 22.8
HOU 29.9 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.9%
DEN 65.0% +8.3%
HOU 56.7%
STL %
7.7%
10.2%
DEN 9.4%
HOU 13.1% +3.7%
BLK %
8.1%
9.0%
DEN 19.2% +3.8%
HOU 15.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
53.7%
DEN 58.3% +16.6%
HOU 41.7%
Rim FG%
54.8%
58.5%
DEN 60.7% +10.7%
HOU 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.9%
DEN 41.7% +31.7%
HOU 10.0%
3P %
33.8%
34.7%
DEN 48.1% +25.2%
HOU 22.9%
FT %
76.6%
69.5%
DEN 66.7% +1.3%
HOU 65.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
40.0%
DEN 35.4%
HOU 48.3% +12.8%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
23.0%
DEN 30.4%
HOU 11.5% +18.9%
3P Att. %
27.7%
37.0%
DEN 34.2%
HOU 40.2% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9699
Possession Minutes26.421.5
Points10585
Rebounds4944
Assists2617
Steals913
Blocks108
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (3)29 (1)
Field Goals40-7930-87
At-the-Rim FG17-2821-42
Midrange FG10-241-10
2-Point FG27-5222-52
3-Point FG13-278-35
Free Throws12-1817-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
37.9
17
57%
5
9
0
0
11
4
0
5
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
3-5
60%
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
35.6
23
64%
8
3
1
3
0
1
2
6
6-6
100%
4-10
40%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
30.8
18
69%
9
1
1
3
2
5
3
6
2-6
33%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 21
29.5
5
50%
5
5
3
1
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 260 · 24
21.6
11
92%
7
1
0
1
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 190 · 34
24.5
10
56%
5
3
1
0
3
6
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25
19.6
11
55%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 218 · 32
18.0
3
25%
4
2
2
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-6
17%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
15.7
5
50%
2
1
0
2
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 284 · 21
3.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 185 · 24
1.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · C · 7'0" 290 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
58%
49
26
9
10
21
0
9
40
12-18
67%
27-52
52%
13-27
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.