FinalWin Prob.pScore
2138%103
94
1062%107
104
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
100.09493.7
MIA logo MIA
110.69494.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHEAT Rebound94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)94
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)94
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHALin 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)94
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)92
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)92
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)91
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHAHornets Rebound90
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup90
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 1:05CHAWalker Driving Layup (19 PTS)90
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 1:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup88
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:36CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 1:36CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:36CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Green 19' Pullup Jump Shot86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:57CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:57CHAMISS Lin Free Throw 1 of 285
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:18MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)85
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 2:36CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot85
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 2:51CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 3:14CHAWalker 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)85
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 3:31MIAGreen 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)83
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 3:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 3:38CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 3:46CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 3:47MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup83
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 4:03CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)83
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 4:03CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 1 of 282
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 4:14MIAGreen Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)82
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 4:34CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 4:34CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)81
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 4:42CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot80
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 5:01CHAZeller 1' Layup (5 PTS)80
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 5:02CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)78
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 5:03CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)78
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 5:34CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 5:34CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 6:06MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)76
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 6:16CHAMISS Lin 10' Jump Bank Shot76
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 6:33CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS Green 2' Driving Layup76
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 7:01CHAZeller 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)76
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 7:21MIAWade 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)74
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 7:49CHALin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)74
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 7:56CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Dragic 10' Driving Bank Shot71
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 8:25CHABatum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)71
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 8:41MIAGreen 14' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)68
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 9:01CHABatum 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lin 2 AST)68
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 9:20MIAGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T12)65
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 9:27CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 9:27CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 9:49MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)63
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 9:49MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 10:09CHARoberts 21' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 10:26MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Green 1 AST)61
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:41CHAHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 10:41CHAMISS Hawes Free Throw 1 of 260
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 11:02MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)60
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 11:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 11:20CHAMISS Lin 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 11:44MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)60
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA60
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot60
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0CHAMISS Roberts 10' Floating Jump Shot60
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot60
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHALin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHALin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 1:00MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 1:01CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 258
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 1:01CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 1:17MIAWinslow Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)57
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 1:24CHAMISS Lin 17' Jump Shot57
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 1:40MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)57
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 1:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q3 - 1:45CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 1:48CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 1:50CHAMISS Roberts 11' Floating Jump Shot57
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 2:10CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup57
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 2:31CHAWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)57
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 2:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)57
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 2:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)57
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 2:48MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)57
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 3:05CHAMISS Lin 18' Step Back Jump Shot57
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 3:27MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
10.6%
67
89.4%
Q3 - 3:44CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)57
8.9%
67
91.1%
Q3 - 4:01CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot54
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 4:11MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 4:12CHAMISS Jefferson 7' Hook Shot54
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 4:28CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot54
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 4:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 4:40CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup54
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 5:05CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper54
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 5:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 5:21CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot54
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 5:42MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)54
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 5:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 5:58CHAMISS Hairston 1' Driving Layup54
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 6:04CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 6:05CHAMISS Batum 22' Jump Shot54
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 6:20MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)54
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 6:29MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q3 - 6:30CHAWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)54
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q3 - 6:37CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 6:38CHADragic BLOCK (2 BLK)54
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q3 - 6:51MIADeng Foul Turnover (P1.T9)54
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 7:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 7:04CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 254
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q3 - 7:04CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
15.8%
62
84.2%
Q3 - 7:17MIADeng Dunk (4 PTS)53
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q3 - 7:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot53
17.7%
60
82.3%
Q3 - 7:41CHABatum Foul Turnover (P3.T8)53
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 7:45CHABatum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot53
17.7%
60
82.3%
Q3 - 8:12CHAHairston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)53
16.3%
60
83.7%
Q3 - 8:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 8:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q3 - 8:37CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
14.4%
58
85.6%
Q3 - 8:37CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
14.0%
58
86.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)48
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 9:10CHAWilliams 2' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)48
14.8%
56
85.2%
Q3 - 9:11CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q3 - 9:12CHAMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot46
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q3 - 9:27MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)46
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q3 - 9:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 9:35CHADragic BLOCK (1 BLK)46
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 9:38MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)46
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q3 - 9:51MIAHEAT Rebound46
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q3 - 9:52CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 10:01CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
13.5%
56
86.5%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Hook Shot46
12.9%
56
87.1%
Q3 - 10:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q3 - 10:16CHAMISS Hairston 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q3 - 10:34MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)46
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 10:54CHAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)46
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q3 - 10:58CHAHornets Rebound44
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q3 - 10:59CHAWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)44
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q3 - 11:10CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot44
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q3 - 11:37CHAMISS Batum 13' Fadeaway Jumper44
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0CHAMISS Batum 3PT Jump Shot41
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0CHABatum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHAMISS Hairston 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
10.1%
54
89.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0CHAMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot41
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 1:12MIAGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)41
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 1:28CHAJefferson 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)41
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 1:43MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)39
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q2 - 2:07CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 2:12CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q2 - 2:13CHAMISS Batum 16' Jump Shot39
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 2:22CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q2 - 2:23CHAMISS Walker 19' Step Back Jump Shot39
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q2 - 2:36MIAGreen Driving Dunk (2 PTS)39
22.7%
45
77.3%
Q2 - 2:52CHAWalker 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)39
25.1%
43
74.9%
Q2 - 2:58MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 3:03CHAChalmers STEAL (2 STL)37
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 3:24MIAWinslow Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)37
23.2%
43
76.8%
Q2 - 3:36CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)37
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
27.7%
41
72.3%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
32.2%
38
67.8%
Q2 - 3:57CHAMISS Batum 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup37
33.2%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHaslem 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)37
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 4:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
37.4%
36
62.6%
Q2 - 4:45CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
38.3%
36
61.7%
Q2 - 4:56CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot37
39.5%
36
60.5%
Q2 - 5:20CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)37
37.4%
36
62.6%
Q2 - 5:30MIAWade 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)35
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup35
39.3%
34
60.7%
Q2 - 5:42MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 5:43CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup35
38.2%
34
61.8%
Q2 - 5:59MIADragic 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)35
40.1%
34
59.9%
Q2 - 6:05CHAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)35
42.2%
32
57.8%
Q2 - 6:19CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
45.6%
32
54.4%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Haslem 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
44.5%
32
55.5%
Q2 - 6:31CHADeng STEAL (1 STL)35
42.2%
32
57.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIADeng 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)35
45.6%
32
54.4%
Q2 - 6:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
47.6%
30
52.4%
Q2 - 6:53CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Jump Shot35
48.6%
30
51.4%
Q2 - 7:12MIAHaslem Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)35
50.2%
30
49.8%
Q2 - 7:34CHAHawes 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)35
52.6%
28
47.4%
Q2 - 7:42CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
50.3%
28
49.7%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot33
49.4%
28
50.6%
Q2 - 7:57CHAHawes 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)33
47.4%
28
52.6%
Q2 - 8:04CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
44.5%
28
55.5%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup31
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 8:23CHAWilliams 2' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)31
41.9%
28
58.1%
Q2 - 8:25CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
39.5%
28
60.5%
Q2 - 8:26CHAMISS Roberts 18' Jump Shot29
37.8%
28
62.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIADragic 3' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (6 PTS)29
39.5%
28
60.5%
Q2 - 8:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
41.9%
26
58.1%
Q2 - 9:00CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.7%
26
57.3%
Q2 - 9:22CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
44.2%
26
55.8%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
43.3%
26
56.7%
Q2 - 9:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q2 - 9:31CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q2 - 9:46CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
44.2%
26
55.8%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot29
43.3%
26
56.7%
Q2 - 10:02CHABosh STEAL (1 STL)29
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q2 - 10:13MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
44.2%
26
55.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 229
44.6%
25
55.4%
Q2 - 10:20MIAHEAT Rebound29
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot29
45.7%
25
54.3%
Q2 - 10:34MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q2 - 10:35CHAMISS Hawes 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
44.6%
25
55.4%
Q2 - 10:50MIABosh 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
46.6%
25
53.4%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
48.2%
23
51.8%
Q2 - 11:05CHAMISS Roberts 11' Floating Jump Shot29
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q2 - 11:18CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
50.7%
23
49.3%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot29
49.9%
23
50.1%
Q2 - 11:35CHALin 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
48.2%
23
51.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
46.0%
23
54.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAHawes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)27
43.5%
23
56.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
40.5%
23
59.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)25
43.5%
21
56.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0CHAHornets Rebound25
45.2%
21
54.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHAMISS Lin 20' Jump Shot25
44.0%
21
56.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
45.2%
21
54.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
45.7%
20
54.3%
Q1 - 1:01CHALin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
47.8%
19
52.2%
Q1 - 1:16MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
42.7%
19
57.3%
Q1 - 1:29CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 1:46CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
36.0%
19
64.0%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 2:07CHALin 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
34.4%
19
65.6%
Q1 - 2:12CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Green 20' Jump Shot17
31.6%
19
68.4%
Q1 - 2:28MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 2:29CHAMISS Hawes 18' Jump Shot17
30.9%
19
69.1%
Q1 - 2:45MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)17
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 3:05CHAZeller Foul Turnover (P1.T1)17
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 3:21MIAHaslem 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)17
38.3%
16
61.7%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
40.3%
14
59.7%
Q1 - 3:34CHAMISS Hairston 3PT Jump Shot17
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 3:54CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
42.6%
14
57.4%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
41.9%
14
58.1%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
39.9%
14
60.1%
Q1 - 4:14CHAMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot17
40.6%
14
59.4%
Q1 - 4:28CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot17
41.6%
14
58.4%
Q1 - 4:32MIAHEAT Rebound17
39.9%
14
60.1%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Layup17
41.6%
14
58.4%
Q1 - 4:49CHAJefferson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)17
39.9%
14
60.1%
Q1 - 5:06MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
37.6%
14
62.4%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHEAT Rebound15
35.6%
14
64.4%
Q1 - 5:15CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
36.2%
14
63.8%
Q1 - 5:27MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
37.6%
14
62.4%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
39.5%
12
60.5%
Q1 - 5:40CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 215
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 5:40CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)15
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
39.6%
12
60.4%
Q1 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 5:57CHAMISS Walker 16' Pullup Jump Shot14
38.2%
12
61.8%
Q1 - 6:19CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 6:40CHAJefferson 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)14
37.1%
12
62.9%
Q1 - 6:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 6:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
35.8%
11
64.2%
Q1 - 7:07CHABatum 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 7:09CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 7:10CHADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)10
33.9%
10
66.1%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 7:40CHAWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Hairston 2 AST)10
36.8%
8
63.2%
Q1 - 7:45CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot8
34.7%
8
65.3%
Q1 - 8:02CHAJefferson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Hairston 1 AST)8
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 8:03CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot6
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 8:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 8:20CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 16
30.2%
8
69.8%
Q1 - 8:38MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 8:50MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 8:51CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 9:02CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot4
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 9:18CHAJefferson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 9:34MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.6%
8
74.4%
Q1 - 9:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 9:51CHAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)2
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 10:04MIADragic 1' Layup (4 PTS)2
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 10:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 10:09CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot2
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 10:24MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
28.7%
6
71.3%
Q1 - 10:39CHAJefferson 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 11:01MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 11:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 11:27CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 11:45MIABosh 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)0
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Jefferson: Tip to Bosh0
33.2%
0
66.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.95 47.5%
MIA
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
16
24
67%
MIA
17
25
68%
Midrange
CHA
11
36
31%
MIA
7
28
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
MIA
12
18.0
20
60%
90%
Free Throws
CHA
22
29
76%
MIA
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker1948%9.5 / 20
A. Jefferson1757%8.5 / 15
J. Lin1765%8.5 / 13
M. Williams1045%5.0 / 11
N. Batum935%4.5 / 13
C. Zeller758%3.5 / 6
S. Hawes758%3.5 / 6
B. Roberts542%2.5 / 6
P. Hairston330%1.5 / 5
F. Kaminsky0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2158%10.5 / 18
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
G. Green1963%9.5 / 15
L. Deng1381%6.5 / 8
G. Dragic850%4.0 / 8
M. Chalmers880%4.0 / 5
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
J. Winslow5125%2.5 / 2
H. Whiteside450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
86
+13
-8
99
MIA
81
+4
-13
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.95 47.5%
MIA
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
106.0
CHA 100.0
MIA 110.6 +10.6
Pace
95.4
93.7
CHA 93.7
MIA 94.3 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.0
CHA 15.4
MIA 15.3 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
50.8%
CHA 42.9%
MIA 57.5% +14.6%
TO %
12.3%
14.0%
CHA 8.5% +5.1%
MIA 13.6%
ORB %
20.1%
23.9%
CHA 22.0% +16.1%
MIA 5.9%
FTrt
28.0
28.2
CHA 34.5 +5.7
MIA 28.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
54.3%
CHA 48.5%
MIA 63.9% +15.4%
STL %
7.6%
7.2%
CHA 4.3%
MIA 5.3% +1.0%
BLK %
9.0%
10.3%
CHA 1.9%
MIA 11.7% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.8%
CHA 47.5%
MIA 60.5% +13.0%
Rim FG%
56.9%
62.3%
CHA 66.7%
MIA 68.0% +1.3%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.5%
CHA 30.6% +5.6%
MIA 25.0%
3P %
36.2%
33.6%
CHA 25.0%
MIA 60.0% +35.0%
FT %
79.0%
74.4%
CHA 75.9%
MIA 95.2% +19.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
37.0%
CHA 28.6%
MIA 34.2% +5.7%
Mid Att. %
33.9%
40.9%
CHA 42.9%
MIA 38.4% +4.5%
3P Att. %
34.8%
22.1%
CHA 28.6% +1.2%
MIA 27.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points94104
Rebounds4341
Assists1623
Steals45
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)2 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)39 (3)
Field Goals33-8436-73
At-the-Rim FG16-2417-25
Midrange FG11-367-28
2-Point FG27-6024-53
3-Point FG6-2412-20
Free Throws22-2920-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 237 · 29
37.9
10
45%
10
3
0
0
1
1
2
8
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-5
0%
G · 6'1" 184 · 25
34.7
19
48%
4
4
2
1
0
2
1
3
8-9
89%
4-12
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'8" 230 · 27
32.5
9
35%
6
3
0
0
3
3
2
4
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 280 · 31
21.8
17
57%
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
1-3
33%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 230 · 23
18.4
3
30%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23
30.0
7
58%
12
0
1
0
1
2
4
8
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
27.0
17
65%
1
2
0
0
2
3
0
1
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27
18.3
7
58%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 173 · 30
13.3
5
42%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
· 6'9" 250 · 30
G · 6'5" 185 · 23
G · 6'6" 210 · 21
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · G · 6'4" 205 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
48%
43
16
4
1
8
0
11
32
22-29
76%
27-60
45%
6-24
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.