FinalWin Prob.pScore
1463%101
105
2837%97
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.199102.6
PHI logo PHI
101.010096.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHI
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI105
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)103
98.0%
101
2.0%
Q4 - 0:06.0PHIMISS Covington 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
93.8%
101
6.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Beasley 8 AST)103
84.6%
101
15.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHeat Rebound100
50.6%
101
49.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup100
29.5%
101
70.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0PHISampson Dunk (22 PTS)100
50.6%
101
49.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIASampson STEAL (3 STL)100
66.5%
99
33.5%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)100
84.2%
99
15.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0PHIMISS Covington 19' Jump Shot100
79.1%
99
20.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)100
65.5%
99
34.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0PHISampson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)100
79.6%
99
20.4%
Q4 - 0:54.0PHISampson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)100
82.3%
98
17.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0PHI76ERS Rebound100
87.4%
97
12.6%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
89.5%
97
10.5%
Q4 - 1:12PHICovington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Sampson 6 AST)100
92.0%
97
8.0%
Q4 - 1:26MIABeasley 1' Layup (34 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)100
96.6%
94
3.4%
Q4 - 1:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)98
93.6%
94
6.4%
Q4 - 1:45PHIMISS Sims 15' Jump Shot98
92.4%
94
7.6%
Q4 - 1:57MIABeasley 19' Step Back Jump Shot (32 PTS)98
89.2%
94
10.8%
Q4 - 2:15PHIGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)96
85.0%
94
15.0%
Q4 - 2:28PHICovington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
74.5%
94
25.5%
Q4 - 2:30PHIMISS Sampson 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
82.4%
94
17.6%
Q4 - 2:53MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)96
73.7%
94
26.3%
Q4 - 2:53MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)95
71.9%
94
28.1%
Q4 - 3:05PHISampson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
68.0%
94
32.0%
Q4 - 3:05PHISampson Putback Dunk (18 PTS)94
68.0%
94
32.0%
Q4 - 3:07PHIMISS Grant 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
80.8%
92
19.2%
Q4 - 3:14PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)94
73.6%
92
26.4%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
77.0%
92
23.0%
Q4 - 3:28PHICovington Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)94
83.6%
92
16.4%
Q4 - 3:28PHICovington Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
84.5%
91
15.5%
Q4 - 3:28PHICovington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
86.9%
90
13.1%
Q4 - 3:29PHIMISS Sims 2' Layup94
91.0%
90
9.0%
Q4 - 3:38PHISims REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)94
84.9%
90
15.1%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot94
86.4%
90
13.6%
Q4 - 4:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
89.6%
90
10.4%
Q4 - 4:05PHIMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 194
89.1%
90
10.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIADragic 2' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)94
92.5%
88
7.5%
Q4 - 4:33MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)92
89.8%
88
10.2%
Q4 - 4:35PHIMISS Thompson 17' Jump Shot92
88.6%
88
11.4%
Q4 - 4:59MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)92
85.5%
88
14.5%
Q4 - 5:03PHISampson Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)90
78.6%
88
21.4%
Q4 - 5:22MIADragic Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Beasley 7 AST)90
72.0%
88
28.0%
Q4 - 5:27PHIRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T16)88
65.5%
88
34.5%
Q4 - 5:37PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)88
57.0%
88
43.0%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Beasley 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
59.7%
88
40.3%
Q4 - 5:50PHISampson 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Sims 3 AST)88
65.5%
88
34.5%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Beasley 6 AST)88
71.5%
86
28.5%
Q4 - 6:24PHISims Dunk (10 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)85
59.1%
86
40.9%
Q4 - 6:35MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)85
65.0%
84
35.0%
Q4 - 6:35MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)84
63.5%
84
36.5%
Q4 - 6:41PHIGrant Dunk (6 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)83
59.0%
84
41.0%
Q4 - 6:44MIARobinson STEAL (2 STL)83
65.0%
82
35.0%
Q4 - 6:55PHIRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)83
72.5%
82
27.5%
Q4 - 7:00PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
65.0%
82
35.0%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
68.2%
82
31.8%
Q4 - 7:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)83
72.6%
82
27.4%
Q4 - 7:08MIASims BLOCK (1 BLK)83
68.2%
82
31.8%
Q4 - 7:14MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
72.6%
82
27.4%
Q4 - 7:16PHIMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
70.7%
82
29.3%
Q4 - 7:19PHISims REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)83
66.1%
82
33.9%
Q4 - 7:20PHIMISS Thompson 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
70.7%
82
29.3%
Q4 - 7:27PHISampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
66.1%
82
33.9%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot83
68.1%
82
31.9%
Q4 - 7:45PHIRobinson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Thompson 4 AST)83
72.6%
82
27.4%
Q4 - 7:52PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
77.2%
80
22.8%
Q4 - 7:54MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
78.8%
80
21.2%
Q4 - 8:11PHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
81.0%
80
19.0%
Q4 - 8:11PHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
82.5%
79
17.5%
Q4 - 8:12PHISims REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)83
84.6%
78
15.4%
Q4 - 8:14PHIMISS Sampson 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
86.8%
78
13.2%
Q4 - 8:39MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)83
84.7%
78
15.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
81.1%
78
18.9%
Q4 - 8:46MIASampson BLOCK (1 BLK)81
78.2%
78
21.8%
Q4 - 8:59PHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)81
81.1%
78
18.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)81
86.7%
75
13.3%
Q4 - 9:13MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
86.0%
75
14.0%
Q4 - 9:34PHIGrant 1' Layup (4 PTS)79
83.8%
75
16.2%
Q4 - 9:43PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
86.7%
73
13.3%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Ennis 19' Jump Shot79
87.6%
73
12.4%
Q4 - 9:58PHI76ERS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#14)79
89.3%
73
10.7%
Q4 - 10:10MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
85.8%
73
14.2%
Q4 - 10:10MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)78
85.2%
73
14.8%
Q4 - 10:28PHISims 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thompson 3 AST)77
83.0%
73
17.0%
Q4 - 10:41PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
85.9%
71
14.1%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
86.7%
71
13.3%
Q4 - 10:54PHIRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)77
88.5%
71
11.5%
Q4 - 10:57PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
85.9%
71
14.1%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
86.7%
71
13.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
87.5%
71
12.5%
Q4 - 11:10PHIMISS Grant 3PT Jump Shot77
86.8%
71
13.2%
Q4 - 11:20MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
84.9%
71
15.1%
Q4 - 11:20MIAEnnis 1' Tip Shot (17 PTS)77
84.9%
71
15.1%
Q4 - 11:22MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
82.1%
71
17.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Ennis 3' Layup75
79.7%
71
20.3%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot75
79.7%
71
20.3%
Q4 - 11:38MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
82.1%
71
17.9%
Q4 - 11:39PHIMISS Thompson 11' Jump Shot75
81.1%
71
18.9%
Q4 - 11:49PHISims REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
78.6%
71
21.4%
Q4 - 11:50MIAMISS Ennis 4' Jump Shot75
79.7%
71
20.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
82.1%
71
17.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound75
78.6%
71
21.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Johnson 77' 3PT Jump Shot75
79.3%
71
20.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0PHI76ERS Rebound75
78.3%
71
21.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0PHIGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)75
81.5%
71
18.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0PHIMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 275
82.5%
70
17.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)75
81.6%
70
18.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0PHISampson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)75
84.4%
70
15.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)75
86.9%
68
13.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 1:15PHIRobinson Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)75
88.5%
68
11.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIABeasley 2' Alley Oop Layup (20 PTS) (Ennis 6 AST)75
90.4%
66
9.6%
Q3 - 1:51PHISampson Foul Turnover (P4.T12)73
88.6%
66
11.4%
Q3 - 2:11PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
85.4%
66
14.6%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 273
85.8%
66
14.2%
Q3 - 2:12MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)73
87.1%
66
12.9%
Q3 - 2:34PHIRobinson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
85.6%
66
14.4%
Q3 - 2:53PHI76ERS Rebound72
87.7%
64
12.3%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup72
88.3%
64
11.7%
Q3 - 2:59PHISampson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)72
89.6%
64
10.4%
Q3 - 3:05MIAEnnis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)72
87.0%
64
13.0%
Q3 - 3:09PHIGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)72
89.0%
64
11.0%
Q3 - 3:20PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)72
87.0%
64
13.0%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Beasley 7' Jump Shot72
87.7%
64
12.3%
Q3 - 3:31PHIRobinson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T9)72
89.0%
64
11.0%
Q3 - 3:42PHI76ERS Rebound72
87.1%
64
12.9%
Q3 - 3:44MIAGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)72
87.7%
64
12.3%
Q3 - 3:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
89.1%
64
10.9%
Q3 - 3:51PHIMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot72
88.5%
64
11.5%
Q3 - 4:04PHISims REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
86.4%
64
13.6%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
87.1%
64
12.9%
Q3 - 4:24PHIThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)72
88.6%
64
11.4%
Q3 - 4:39PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
91.4%
61
8.6%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot72
91.9%
61
8.1%
Q3 - 4:59PHISims REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
92.9%
61
7.1%
Q3 - 4:59PHISims 1' Layup (6 PTS)72
92.9%
61
7.1%
Q3 - 5:02PHISims REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q3 - 5:02PHIMISS Sims 2' Layup72
94.0%
59
6.0%
Q3 - 5:03PHIMISS Thompson 5' Jump Shot72
94.0%
59
6.0%
Q3 - 5:12PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.6%
59
6.4%
Q3 - 5:22PHIRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)72
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 5:41PHI76ERS Rebound72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot72
93.6%
59
6.4%
Q3 - 5:55PHI76ERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)72
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 6:22MIABeasley 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)72
92.9%
59
7.1%
Q3 - 6:35PHIRobinson 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Sims 1 AST)70
92.0%
59
8.0%
Q3 - 6:58MIAJohnson Running Dunk (9 PTS)70
92.9%
57
7.1%
Q3 - 7:08MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
91.5%
57
8.5%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
90.5%
57
9.5%
Q3 - 7:18MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
91.5%
57
8.5%
Q3 - 7:19PHIMISS Covington Free Throw 2 of 268
91.3%
57
8.7%
Q3 - 7:19PHICovington Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
90.4%
57
9.6%
Q3 - 7:33MIAEnnis Driving Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Beasley 5 AST)68
91.4%
56
8.6%
Q3 - 7:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
90.3%
56
9.7%
Q3 - 7:48PHIMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot66
89.8%
56
10.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIAEnnis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)66
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 8:04PHISampson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)66
89.9%
56
10.1%
Q3 - 8:15MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)66
88.3%
56
11.7%
Q3 - 8:37PHICovington Reverse Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)64
86.9%
56
13.1%
Q3 - 8:41MIACovington STEAL (1 STL)64
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 8:48PHISampson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
90.0%
54
10.0%
Q3 - 8:48PHISampson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
90.3%
53
9.7%
Q3 - 9:01PHICovington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
90.7%
52
9.3%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
91.0%
52
9.0%
Q3 - 9:27PHIThompson 4' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Sampson 5 AST)64
91.9%
52
8.1%
Q3 - 9:45MIASampson STEAL (2 STL)64
92.9%
50
7.1%
Q3 - 9:58MIAHeat Rebound64
93.8%
50
6.2%
Q3 - 9:58PHIMISS Sampson 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
93.5%
50
6.5%
Q3 - 10:07PHISims REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
92.7%
50
7.3%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot64
93.0%
50
7.0%
Q3 - 10:19PHISampson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)64
93.7%
50
6.3%
Q3 - 10:33MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)64
92.7%
50
7.3%
Q3 - 11:02PHICovington Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
93.4%
50
6.6%
Q3 - 11:02PHICovington Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
93.5%
49
6.5%
Q3 - 11:07PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)64
94.2%
48
5.8%
Q3 - 11:09PHIMISS Covington 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
94.7%
48
5.3%
Q3 - 11:16PHISims REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
94.2%
48
5.8%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Ennis 6' Jump Shot64
94.4%
48
5.6%
Q3 - 11:43PHIThompson 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Sampson 4 AST)64
94.9%
48
5.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI64
95.5%
46
4.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHISampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
95.5%
46
4.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot64
95.3%
46
4.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0PHISampson 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)64
95.6%
46
4.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
96.2%
44
3.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0PHIMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot64
96.5%
44
3.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0PHISims REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
96.3%
44
3.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 164
96.3%
44
3.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
95.6%
44
4.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
95.3%
44
4.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
95.6%
44
4.4%
Q2 - 1:02PHIMISS Sampson Free Throw 1 of 162
95.2%
44
4.8%
Q2 - 1:06PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
96.0%
42
4.0%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
96.1%
42
3.9%
Q2 - 1:13MIAHeat Rebound62
96.3%
42
3.7%
Q2 - 1:13MIACovington BLOCK (2 BLK)62
96.1%
42
3.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIAHeat Rebound62
96.3%
42
3.7%
Q2 - 1:28PHIMISS Grant 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
96.2%
42
3.8%
Q2 - 1:47MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Beasley 4 AST)62
96.0%
42
4.0%
Q2 - 1:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
95.3%
42
4.7%
Q2 - 1:57PHIMISS Covington 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
95.2%
42
4.8%
Q2 - 2:04PHISampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
94.5%
42
5.5%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot60
94.7%
42
5.3%
Q2 - 2:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
95.1%
42
4.9%
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot60
94.7%
42
5.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
95.1%
42
4.9%
Q2 - 2:25PHIMISS Robinson 7' Jump Shot60
94.9%
42
5.1%
Q2 - 2:33PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
94.5%
42
5.5%
Q2 - 2:35PHIMISS Covington 2' Layup60
94.9%
42
5.1%
Q2 - 2:38PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
94.5%
42
5.5%
Q2 - 2:40PHIMISS Sampson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot60
94.9%
42
5.1%
Q2 - 2:52MIABeasley 18' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
94.6%
42
5.4%
Q2 - 3:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
93.6%
42
6.4%
Q2 - 3:13PHIMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot58
93.3%
42
6.7%
Q2 - 3:27MIAEnnis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)58
92.7%
42
7.3%
Q2 - 3:37PHISampson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
93.6%
42
6.4%
Q2 - 3:37PHISampson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
93.8%
41
6.2%
Q2 - 3:54MIAEnnis Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)58
94.2%
40
5.8%
Q2 - 3:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
93.6%
40
6.4%
Q2 - 4:01PHIMISS Covington 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
92.8%
40
7.2%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
92.3%
40
7.7%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 255
92.2%
40
7.8%
Q2 - 4:18PHICovington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)55
92.3%
40
7.7%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ennis 5 AST)55
91.4%
40
8.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
89.5%
40
10.5%
Q2 - 4:45PHIMISS Grant 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
89.2%
40
10.8%
Q2 - 5:02MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)52
88.2%
40
11.8%
Q2 - 5:15MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
85.6%
40
14.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Ennis 15' Jump Shot49
84.6%
40
15.4%
Q2 - 5:31PHISampson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
85.6%
40
14.4%
Q2 - 5:46MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)49
86.9%
38
13.1%
Q2 - 6:00PHICovington 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Sampson 3 AST)46
84.2%
38
15.8%
Q2 - 6:12MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
85.2%
36
14.8%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 1 of 245
85.0%
36
15.0%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
85.5%
36
14.5%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Johnson 3' Layup45
84.3%
36
15.7%
Q2 - 6:24PHIGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)45
85.5%
36
14.5%
Q2 - 6:24PHIMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 245
85.9%
35
14.1%
Q2 - 6:36MIAEnnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
85.2%
35
14.8%
Q2 - 6:47PHIThompson 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)42
82.6%
35
17.4%
Q2 - 7:02PHI76ERS Rebound42
83.6%
33
16.4%
Q2 - 7:03PHIMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
84.6%
33
15.4%
Q2 - 7:19PHI76ERS Rebound42
83.6%
33
16.4%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Ennis 18' Jump Shot42
84.0%
33
16.0%
Q2 - 7:23MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot42
84.0%
33
16.0%
Q2 - 7:35MIAHeat Rebound42
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 7:36PHIMISS Sampson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
84.6%
33
15.4%
Q2 - 7:48MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)42
83.6%
33
16.4%
Q2 - 7:58PHISims Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)39
80.6%
33
19.4%
Q2 - 8:14MIAWalker 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)39
78.5%
33
21.5%
Q2 - 8:34PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
74.9%
33
25.1%
Q2 - 8:34PHIRobinson Putback Dunk (4 PTS)36
74.9%
33
25.1%
Q2 - 8:35PHIMISS Sims 17' Jump Shot36
78.0%
31
22.0%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ennis 3 AST)36
76.7%
31
23.3%
Q2 - 9:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 9:13PHIMISS Sims 22' Jump Shot33
72.3%
31
27.7%
Q2 - 9:32MIAEnnis 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)33
70.7%
31
29.3%
Q2 - 9:55PHIRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)31
68.8%
31
31.2%
Q2 - 10:04MIAEnnis 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)31
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 10:18PHIRobinson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)29
64.3%
31
35.7%
Q2 - 10:36PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
66.2%
29
33.8%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot29
67.0%
29
33.0%
Q2 - 10:57PHIThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)29
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q2 - 11:18MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
72.3%
26
27.7%
Q2 - 11:36PHIThompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)29
74.3%
26
25.7%
Q2 - 11:41PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
77.8%
23
22.2%
Q2 - 11:45PHIMISS Grant 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
79.0%
23
21.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHI29
77.8%
23
22.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHISims REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
77.8%
23
22.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Beasley 3' Jump Shot29
78.1%
23
21.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0PHISims 1' Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)29
78.9%
23
21.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIABeasley Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS)29
80.8%
21
19.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0PHIThompson 14' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
78.9%
21
21.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIADragic 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)27
80.8%
19
19.2%
Q1 - 1:17PHIRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)25
78.9%
19
21.1%
Q1 - 1:31MIAEnnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)25
77.7%
19
22.3%
Q1 - 1:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
73.9%
19
26.1%
Q1 - 1:46PHIMISS Covington 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
73.5%
19
26.5%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWalker Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)22
72.4%
19
27.6%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 321
72.1%
19
27.9%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)21
73.6%
19
26.4%
Q1 - 2:21PHISampson Layup (2 PTS) (Covington 1 AST)20
70.4%
19
29.6%
Q1 - 2:41MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
72.4%
17
27.6%
Q1 - 2:55PHIRobinson 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)18
70.4%
17
29.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)18
72.3%
15
27.7%
Q1 - 3:34MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 3:36PHIMISS Covington 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
73.7%
15
26.3%
Q1 - 3:41PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
72.3%
15
27.7%
Q1 - 3:44MIACovington BLOCK (1 BLK)18
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 3:51MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
74.2%
15
25.8%
Q1 - 3:53PHIMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot18
73.7%
15
26.3%
Q1 - 4:02PHICovington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
72.3%
15
27.7%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot18
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 4:14PHIThompson Layup (2 PTS) (Sampson 2 AST)18
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 4:19MIASampson STEAL (1 STL)18
75.7%
13
24.3%
Q1 - 4:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
77.5%
13
22.5%
Q1 - 4:23PHIMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
76.9%
13
23.1%
Q1 - 4:37PHIThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
75.7%
13
24.3%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
76.2%
13
23.8%
Q1 - 4:56PHICovington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sampson 1 AST)18
77.5%
13
22.5%
Q1 - 5:18MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)18
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
76.9%
10
23.1%
Q1 - 5:26PHIMISS Grant 7' Jump Shot15
76.4%
10
23.6%
Q1 - 5:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
75.2%
10
24.8%
Q1 - 5:43MIABeasley 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)15
75.2%
10
24.8%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup13
72.6%
10
27.4%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
73.8%
10
26.2%
Q1 - 5:58PHIMISS Grant 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWalker 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
71.8%
10
28.2%
Q1 - 6:36PHIRobinson Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)10
68.6%
10
31.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)10
70.2%
8
29.8%
Q1 - 6:52PHICovington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
72.0%
8
28.0%
Q1 - 6:52PHICovington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
72.2%
7
27.8%
Q1 - 7:12MIAEnnis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
73.4%
6
26.6%
Q1 - 7:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
75.1%
6
24.9%
Q1 - 7:23PHIMISS Sampson 3' Layup10
74.6%
6
25.4%
Q1 - 7:41MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)10
73.4%
6
26.6%
Q1 - 7:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
72.1%
6
27.9%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot8
70.9%
6
29.1%
Q1 - 8:08PHIRobinson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
72.5%
6
27.5%
Q1 - 8:34MIAJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)8
73.9%
4
26.1%
Q1 - 8:44PHICovington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 8:44PHICovington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
72.7%
3
27.3%
Q1 - 9:03PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Ennis 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 9:13PHIMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
75.0%
2
25.0%
Q1 - 9:32MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 9:43PHISims 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 10:05MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)6
76.7%
0
23.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
74.0%
0
26.0%
Q1 - 10:14PHIMISS Covington 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
73.5%
0
26.5%
Q1 - 10:22PHISampson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot3
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
74.0%
0
26.0%
Q1 - 10:37PHIMISS Sampson 28' 3PT Jump Shot3
73.5%
0
26.5%
Q1 - 10:47PHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
72.9%
0
27.1%
Q1 - 11:01MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
73.9%
0
26.1%
Q1 - 11:03PHIMISS Covington 17' Jump Shot3
73.5%
0
26.5%
Q1 - 11:21MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)3
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 11:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 11:32PHIMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot0
69.0%
0
31.0%
Q1 - 11:44PHIGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.9%
0
32.1%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 12:00PHIJump Ball Sims vs. Beasley: Tip to Johnson0
69.4%
0
30.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
PHI
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
34
62%
PHI
25
32
78%
Midrange
MIA
6
24
25%
PHI
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
PHI
5
7.5
29
17%
26%
Free Throws
MIA
15
20
75%
PHI
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley3455%17.0 / 31
Z. Dragic2261%11.0 / 18
H. Walker2188%10.5 / 12
J. Ennis III1740%8.5 / 21
T. Johnson1137%5.5 / 15
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Sampson2261%11.0 / 18
R. Covington1950%9.5 / 19
H. Thompson1963%9.5 / 15
T. Robinson1381%6.5 / 8
H. Sims1050%5.0 / 10
G. Robinson III1056%5.0 / 9
J. Grant827%4.0 / 15
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+15
-16
98
PHI
84
+15
-16
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
PHI
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
95.8
MIA 106.1 +5.1
PHI 101.0
Pace
91.0
95.5
MIA 102.6 +5.9
PHI 96.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 14.0 +0.9
PHI 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
45.9%
MIA 50.6% +1.8%
PHI 48.8%
TO %
15.2%
17.6%
MIA 14.1% +2.0%
PHI 16.1%
ORB %
23.3%
25.5%
MIA 27.3%
PHI 30.2% +2.9%
FTrt
30.6
28.8
MIA 22.5
PHI 30.1 +7.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
60.9%
MIA 56.4%
PHI 68.4% +12.0%
STL %
8.6%
10.0%
MIA 10.1% +3.1%
PHI 7.0%
BLK %
8.0%
9.9%
MIA 3.7%
PHI 8.6% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
48.0%
MIA 53.6% +2.6%
PHI 51.0%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.1%
MIA 61.8%
PHI 78.1% +16.3%
Mid FG%
40.9%
32.2%
MIA 25.0%
PHI 36.4% +11.4%
3P %
33.5%
32.0%
MIA 38.7% +21.5%
PHI 17.2%
FT %
74.1%
67.6%
MIA 75.0%
PHI 80.0% +5.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
41.4%
MIA 38.2%
PHI 38.6% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
26.7%
MIA 27.0%
PHI 26.5% +0.5%
3P Att. %
26.2%
31.9%
MIA 34.8%
PHI 34.9% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.43 and 3.43.
Game TotalsMIAPHI
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points105101
Rebounds4245
Assists2226
Steals107
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)32 (6)
Field Goals39-8938-83
At-the-Rim FG21-3425-32
Midrange FG6-248-22
2-Point FG27-5833-54
3-Point FG12-315-29
Free Throws15-2020-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
48.0
17
40%
12
6
1
0
4
2
3
9
1-2
50%
5-13
38%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
48.0
11
37%
10
4
4
0
4
3
2
8
0-0
-
4-10
40%
1-5
20%
C · 6'9" 235 · 26
48.0
34
55%
11
8
2
2
3
4
2
9
10-11
91%
12-25
48%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
48.0
21
88%
4
2
1
0
2
4
2
2
3-5
60%
0-0
-
6-10
60%
G · 6'5" 200 · 26
40.7
22
61%
3
2
2
0
3
3
2
1
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
7.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
54%
42
22
10
2
16
0
12
30
15-20
75%
27-58
47%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.