FinalWin Prob.pScore
2433%96
93
1567%102
100
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
101.192121.3
MIA logo MIA
109.99173.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLHarkless Dunk (8 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)93
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 291
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Oladipo 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)91
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)88
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLOladipo Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)88
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Deng 11' Jump Shot88
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 1:22ORLHarris 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)88
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 1:28ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)86
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade 8' Driving Jump Shot86
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIADragic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 1:54ORLMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot86
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 2:11ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 2:42ORLFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)86
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 2:50ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Dragic 6' Driving Bank Shot83
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 3:04ORLHarkless Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)83
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 3:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)83
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 3:33MIADeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)83
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 3:57ORLHarkless Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 3:57ORLHarkless Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 4:02ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot81
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 4:11MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot81
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 4:29MIAHEAT Rebound81
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot81
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 4:50ORLPayton 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:06ORLMagic Rebound79
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Ennis Driving Dunk79
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 5:32ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)79
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:32ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)78
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)77
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 6:03MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:04ORLMISS Frye 12' Jump Hook Shot77
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)77
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 6:28MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 6:29ORLMISS Oladipo 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 6:42MIAWade 7' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)77
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 7:03ORLOladipo Foul Turnover (P3.T6)77
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 7:13ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Ennis 6' Driving Jump Shot77
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 7:39ORLHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 7:48ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot74
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 8:12ORLHarkless 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)74
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 8:18ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot72
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 8:33ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 8:33ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 271
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 8:39MIAAndersen Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)71
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 8:51MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 8:52ORLMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot71
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 9:10MIAAndersen 2' Layup (8 PTS)71
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 9:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)71
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot71
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 9:27ORLHarkless Driving Dunk (2 PTS)71
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 9:37MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)69
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 9:48MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 9:49ORLMISS Gordon 9' Jump Shot69
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 9:52ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 9:53ORLMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot69
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 10:01ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Johnson 8' Step Back Jump Shot69
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 10:21ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)69
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 10:25MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)66
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 10:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 10:30ORLMISS Gordon 5' Driving Jump Shot66
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 10:47MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)66
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 11:00ORLMISS Payton 14' Step Back Jump Shot66
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 11:20ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot66
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 11:44ORLMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Green 61' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Harkless 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot66
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)66
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWhiteside Dunk (24 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)66
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q3 - 1:27ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)66
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 1:27ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)65
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 1:38MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 1:38MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:46ORLOladipo 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)64
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)62
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)62
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 2:08MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 2:33ORLOladipo 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)62
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 2:44ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 160
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 3:03ORLGreen 10' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)60
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 3:11ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Jump Hook Shot58
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 3:34MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 3:35ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 2 of 258
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 3:35ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)58
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)57
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 4:10ORLGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)57
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)57
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q3 - 4:52ORLOladipo 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)57
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 4:58ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 5:15ORLHarris 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS)55
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 5:31ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 253
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 5:44ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)53
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 5:44ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 1 of 252
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)52
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 5:55MIAHEAT Rebound52
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup52
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 6:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 6:01ORLMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 6:11ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup52
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 6:39ORLGordon 1' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)52
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 6:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)50
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q3 - 7:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)50
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 7:08ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 2 of 250
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 7:08ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)50
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 7:21MIADragic 2' Layup (13 PTS)49
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 7:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 7:28ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)49
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 7:32ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 7:33ORLMISS Oladipo 13' Driving Jump Shot49
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 7:49MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)49
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 8:12ORLOladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)49
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 8:21ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 8:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 8:31ORLMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot46
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)46
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 8:59ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 8:59ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 1 of 245
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 9:04ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot45
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 9:12MIAHEAT Rebound45
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup45
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 9:25ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)45
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 9:28MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)42
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q3 - 9:51ORLGordon Tip Shot (3 PTS)42
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 9:52ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 9:53ORLMISS Gordon 1' Tip Shot40
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 9:54ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 9:55ORLMISS Payton 10' Driving Jump Shot40
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 10:09MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 10:09MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
2.2%
61
97.8%
Q3 - 10:20ORLGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 10:20ORLMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 239
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 10:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)39
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 11:01MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup39
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 11:14ORLMISS Vucevic 16' Jump Shot39
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 11:22ORLMagic Rebound39
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 11:23ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)39
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 11:25MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)39
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 11:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 11:29ORLMISS Oladipo 1' Driving Layup39
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q3 - 11:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)39
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLOladipo 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)39
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIADragic 2' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Dedmon Free Throw 2 of 237
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLDedmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup36
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Oladipo 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot36
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLOladipo 12' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAWade 3' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 1:19ORLDeng STEAL (2 STL)34
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 1:34ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot34
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 1:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 1:48ORLMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 2:02MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS)34
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 2:21MIAHEAT Rebound34
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 2:22ORLWhiteside BLOCK (5 BLK)34
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 2:30MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 2:33MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)34
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot34
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 2:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)34
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 2:44ORLMISS Green 16' Jump Shot34
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)34
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 3:19ORLOladipo 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 3:29ORLMagic Rebound32
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 3:30ORLWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)32
4.2%
51
95.8%
Q2 - 3:38ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q2 - 4:06ORLGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)32
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 4:18MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)29
3.5%
51
96.5%
Q2 - 4:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 4:27ORLMISS Vucevic 4' Jump Shot29
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 4:29ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:30ORLEnnis BLOCK (1 BLK)29
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 4:50MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)29
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 4:59ORLWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)29
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)29
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 5:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)29
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 5:19ORLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
5.7%
47
94.3%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)29
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 6:01ORLHarris 3' Layup (13 PTS)29
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 6:02ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
6.1%
45
93.9%
Q2 - 6:03ORLMISS Vucevic 12' Step Back Jump Shot27
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 6:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
6.1%
45
93.9%
Q2 - 6:33ORLHarris 2' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)27
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 6:53MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 7:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)25
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 7:14ORLMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot25
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 7:40MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 7:40MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 7:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 7:57ORLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 8:17ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
8.6%
40
91.4%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup25
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 8:31MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Ennis 21' Jump Shot25
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 8:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 8:58ORLMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 225
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 8:58ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 9:09ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot24
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 9:27MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 9:28ORLMISS Gordon 10' Step Back Jump Shot24
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 9:44ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 9:45ORLMISS Oladipo 19' Jump Shot24
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 10:02MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 10:22ORLOladipo 1' Layup (7 PTS)24
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 10:26ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup22
8.8%
37
91.2%
Q2 - 10:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
8.1%
37
91.9%
Q2 - 10:51ORLMISS Gordon 4' Driving Jump Shot22
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 11:12MIAAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)22
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 11:26ORLNicholson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
10.1%
35
89.9%
Q2 - 11:37MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)22
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot22
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLPayton 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
11.2%
33
88.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)20
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)20
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 1:12MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)20
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q1 - 1:34ORLDedmon 1' Layup (2 PTS)20
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 1:36ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 1:37ORLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)18
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q1 - 1:45MIADragic Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 1:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 1:53ORLMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q1 - 2:00MIAEnnis Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)18
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 2:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
19.9%
23
80.1%
Q1 - 2:19ORLMISS Harkless 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 2:34MIAWhiteside Dunk (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)18
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 2:51ORLHarris 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)18
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 3:03MIAEnnis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)16
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 3:06ORLDeng STEAL (1 STL)16
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 3:25MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)16
24.7%
19
75.3%
Q1 - 3:51ORLOladipo 2' Layup (5 PTS)16
27.9%
16
72.1%
Q1 - 3:52ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 3:53ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Layup14
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 4:12MIAHEAT Rebound14
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot14
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 4:37ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 2 of 214
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 4:37ORLMISS Harkless Free Throw 1 of 214
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 4:49ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 4:50ORLMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot14
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 5:00MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Deng 12' Turnaround Jump Shot14
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 5:30ORLVucevic 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)14
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 5:38MIADeng 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
23.0%
16
77.0%
Q1 - 5:51ORLHarris 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)12
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
23.0%
14
77.0%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 210
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 6:22ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 6:22ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 29
22.6%
13
77.4%
Q1 - 6:29MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (7 PTS)9
23.0%
13
77.0%
Q1 - 6:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup9
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot9
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 6:58ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 7:13MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 7:21ORLMISS Gordon 10' Hook Shot9
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 7:29ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot9
29.9%
8
70.1%
Q1 - 7:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 7:43ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Jump Hook Shot9
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 8:07MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)9
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 8:22ORLHarris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 8:29ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot7
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 8:59ORLHarris 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 9:20ORLMagic Rebound5
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 9:45ORLPayton 9' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)5
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 9:55MIADeng 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)3
24.1%
6
75.9%
Q1 - 10:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 10:02ORLMISS Oladipo 1' Layup3
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 10:09ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot3
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 10:36ORLOladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)3
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 10:52MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)0
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 11:13MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 11:14ORLMISS Vucevic 16' Jump Shot0
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:31MIADragic 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:56ORLGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Vucevic: Tip to Gordon0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 47.0%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
17
31
55%
MIA
27
37
73%
Midrange
ORL
12
33
36%
MIA
9
36
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
MIA
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
ORL
17
28
61%
MIA
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo3052%15.0 / 29
T. Harris2681%13.0 / 16
E. Payton1050%5.0 / 10
M. Harkless857%4.0 / 7
A. Gordon517%2.5 / 15
W. Green536%2.5 / 7
N. Vučević319%1.5 / 8
D. Dedmon350%1.5 / 3
C. Frye350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2480%12.0 / 15
D. Wade2246%11.0 / 24
L. Deng1450%7.0 / 14
G. Dragic1343%6.5 / 15
C. Andersen1083%5.0 / 6
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
J. Ennis III440%2.0 / 5
M. Beasley0-0.0 / 1
T. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
84
+14
-8
98
MIA
78
+15
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.94 47.0%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.1
103.9
ORL 101.1
MIA 109.9 +8.8
Pace
93.4
91.0
ORL 121.3 +47.9
MIA 73.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.3
ORL 11.9 +7.7
MIA 19.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
50.0%
ORL 44.7%
MIA 48.8% +4.1%
TO %
15.3%
15.2%
ORL 7.6% +5.5%
MIA 13.1%
ORB %
23.1%
23.3%
ORL 22.0%
MIA 26.8% +4.8%
FTrt
23.0
30.6
ORL 32.9 +5.2
MIA 27.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
56.4%
ORL 40.0%
MIA 53.8% +13.8%
STL %
8.4%
8.6%
ORL 10.9% +8.7%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
6.5%
8.0%
ORL 5.5%
MIA 14.1% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.1%
52.2%
ORL 47.0%
MIA 52.1% +5.1%
Rim FG%
56.7%
59.7%
ORL 54.8%
MIA 73.0% +18.2%
Mid FG%
40.1%
40.9%
ORL 36.4% +11.4%
MIA 25.0%
3P %
34.7%
33.5%
ORL 28.6%
MIA 30.0% +1.4%
FT %
72.9%
74.1%
ORL 60.7%
MIA 82.6% +21.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.9%
35.1%
ORL 36.5%
MIA 44.6% +8.1%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
38.7%
ORL 38.8% +4.5%
MIA 43.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
26.2%
ORL 24.7% +12.7%
MIA 12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes18.229.8
Points93100
Rebounds4150
Assists1421
Steals102
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)39 (2)
Field Goals35-8539-83
At-the-Rim FG17-3127-37
Midrange FG12-339-36
2-Point FG29-6436-73
3-Point FG6-213-10
Free Throws17-2819-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
42.1
30
52%
6
1
4
2
4
4
2
4
8-12
67%
8-16
50%
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 226 · 23
40.0
26
81%
12
1
0
0
0
3
2
10
2-3
67%
9-11
82%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 185 · 21
37.9
10
50%
1
7
3
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 20
31.9
5
17%
6
2
2
2
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
2-12
17%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 24
19.1
3
19%
4
2
0
0
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
20.2
5
36%
4
0
1
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 220 · 22
19.8
8
57%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 245 · 26
12.6
3
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 255 · 32
12.0
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22
G · 6'2" 175 · 34
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25
#7 · G · 6'3" 205 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F · 6'6" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
41
14
10
4
8
0
11
30
17-28
61%
29-64
45%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.