FinalWin Prob.pScore
1947%98
102
2153%99
109
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
115.98892.8
MIA logo MIA
121.19085.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)102
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)102
0.2%
109
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)102
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)102
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)99
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)99
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETDrummond 2' Alley Oop Layup (29 PTS) (Jackson 9 AST)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)94
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETMeeks 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)94
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)92
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)92
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETJackson 3' Layup (26 PTS)90
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:00DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:07DETJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 288
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 1:07MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)88
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:25DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:38MIAHaslem Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)86
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)86
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 17' Step Back Jump Shot86
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 2:14DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)86
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 2:17DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 2:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 2:40DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 1' Layup86
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 2:44DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot86
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 2:49MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot86
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 3:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 3:06DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)86
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)86
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 3:36DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)86
6.0%
93
94.0%
Q4 - 3:50MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)83
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 4:04MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 4:05DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 283
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 4:05DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 4:16MIADragic 12' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 4:40DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (27 PTS) (Jackson 8 AST)82
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 4:51MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)80
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 5:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 5:12DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 280
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 5:12DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)80
6.3%
88
93.7%
Q4 - 5:23DETJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot79
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 5:44DETDrummond Reverse Dunk (24 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)79
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 5:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)77
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot77
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 6:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 6:10DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)77
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 6:43DETJackson 1' Layup (22 PTS)77
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q4 - 6:48DETJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 6:49DETMISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 7:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot75
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 7:36DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)75
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 7:44DETPistons Rebound73
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 7:45DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot73
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 7:55MIAEnnis 2' Layup (16 PTS)73
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 8:00MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Ennis 2' Layup73
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 8:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q4 - 8:14DETMISS Dinwiddie 2' Driving Layup73
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 8:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)73
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup73
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 8:45DETDrummond 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Meeks 3 AST)73
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)71
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q4 - 9:18MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q4 - 9:19DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q4 - 9:30MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)71
11.4%
80
88.6%
Q4 - 9:55DETMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)71
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q4 - 10:11MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (27 PTS)68
12.5%
77
87.5%
Q4 - 10:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
15.1%
75
84.9%
Q4 - 10:26DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 268
15.5%
75
84.5%
Q4 - 10:26DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)68
16.6%
75
83.4%
Q4 - 10:41MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)67
15.1%
75
84.9%
Q4 - 10:58MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
18.1%
73
81.9%
Q4 - 10:59DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot67
19.2%
73
80.8%
Q4 - 11:21MIAWade 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (23 PTS)67
22.8%
73
77.2%
Q4 - 11:44DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)67
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
22.7%
71
77.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
19.0%
71
81.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot65
22.6%
71
77.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0DETJackson 2' Layup (18 PTS)65
20.2%
71
79.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
17.0%
71
83.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot63
16.2%
71
83.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0DETCaldwell-Pope Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)63
14.3%
71
85.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
17.0%
71
83.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot63
16.1%
71
83.9%
Q3 - 1:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)63
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 1:08DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 263
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q3 - 1:08DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)63
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 1:08DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 1:09DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 12' Jump Shot62
13.6%
71
86.4%
Q3 - 1:23DETJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot62
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q3 - 1:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
12.9%
71
87.1%
Q3 - 1:43DETMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot62
13.6%
71
86.4%
Q3 - 2:00DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
15.2%
71
84.8%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q3 - 2:18DETMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)62
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 2:33MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)59
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 2:33MIAHEAT Rebound59
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q3 - 3:04DETMeeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tolliver 4 AST)59
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 3:42DETDrummond 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)56
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 4:03MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 4:03MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q3 - 4:21DETDrummond 2' Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)54
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 4:45MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 4:45MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 4:49DETMISS Jackson 3' Driving Layup52
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 5:05MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)52
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 5:24MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 5:25DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot52
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 5:41MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 5:41MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 6:02MIAHEAT Rebound52
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 6:03DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot52
13.4%
63
86.6%
Q3 - 6:28DETPistons Rebound52
14.9%
63
85.1%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Dragic 18' Step Back Jump Shot52
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 6:42DETCaldwell-Pope Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)52
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 6:53MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
14.9%
63
85.1%
Q3 - 7:15DETCaldwell-Pope 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)52
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 7:34DETPistons Rebound50
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 7:35DETMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)50
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 8:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 8:06DETMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot50
14.4%
61
85.6%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)50
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 8:49DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)50
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 9:03MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)48
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 9:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)48
14.4%
59
85.6%
Q3 - 9:15DETMISS Drummond 20' Jump Shot48
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 9:40MIAHaslem 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)48
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 9:57DETTolliver Dunk (7 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)48
18.3%
57
81.7%
Q3 - 10:14MIAEnnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)46
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 10:33DETJackson 1' Layup (16 PTS)46
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q3 - 10:34DETJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
18.9%
54
81.1%
Q3 - 10:35DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q3 - 10:46MIADragic 14' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)44
18.9%
54
81.1%
Q3 - 11:08DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)44
21.9%
52
78.1%
Q3 - 11:26MIAEnnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)44
24.4%
52
75.6%
Q3 - 11:38MIAHEAT Rebound44
29.6%
49
70.4%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot44
31.7%
49
68.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
29.6%
49
70.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound44
29.6%
49
70.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 3PT Jump Shot44
31.7%
49
68.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0DETJackson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)44
30.8%
49
69.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)42
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)42
30.7%
47
69.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot42
32.2%
47
67.8%
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)42
30.7%
47
69.3%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot42
32.6%
47
67.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)42
31.5%
47
68.5%
Q2 - 1:19DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 242
31.7%
47
68.3%
Q2 - 1:19DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 242
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q2 - 1:29MIAHaslem 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q2 - 2:13DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Meeks 2 AST)42
36.8%
45
63.2%
Q2 - 2:17MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
33.9%
45
66.1%
Q2 - 2:22DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)40
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 2:32DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
33.9%
45
66.1%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot40
33.1%
45
66.9%
Q2 - 2:54DETTolliver 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)40
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 2:59MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)38
28.5%
45
71.5%
Q2 - 3:13DETDrummond 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Meeks 1 AST)38
26.6%
45
73.4%
Q2 - 3:25MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)36
24.7%
45
75.3%
Q2 - 3:32DETWade STEAL (1 STL)36
26.6%
43
73.4%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHaslem 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)36
29.4%
43
70.6%
Q2 - 4:03DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
32.0%
41
68.0%
Q2 - 4:03DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
31.8%
41
68.2%
Q2 - 4:21MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)34
29.7%
41
70.3%
Q2 - 4:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)34
34.6%
38
65.4%
Q2 - 4:38DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup34
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 4:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
37.3%
38
62.7%
Q2 - 4:44DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 234
34.9%
38
65.1%
Q2 - 4:44DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 234
36.9%
38
63.1%
Q2 - 5:00MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)34
37.3%
38
62.7%
Q2 - 5:17DETDinwiddie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
40.2%
36
59.8%
Q2 - 5:17DETDinwiddie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 5:22DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
37.6%
36
62.4%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 5:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
35.0%
36
65.0%
Q2 - 5:32DETMISS Williams 1' Driving Layup32
35.7%
36
64.3%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade 11' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)32
37.5%
36
62.5%
Q2 - 6:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
40.2%
34
59.8%
Q2 - 6:06DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 6:06DETMISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot32
41.2%
34
58.8%
Q2 - 6:10DETMISS Dinwiddie 18' Jump Shot32
41.2%
34
58.8%
Q2 - 6:20DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Beasley 1' Reverse Layup32
42.5%
34
57.5%
Q2 - 6:44DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
40.2%
34
59.8%
Q2 - 6:49MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)29
35.6%
34
64.4%
Q2 - 6:51MIAHEAT Rebound29
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot29
34.7%
34
65.3%
Q2 - 7:03DETWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
33.2%
34
66.8%
Q2 - 7:03DETWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
32.8%
34
67.2%
Q2 - 7:13MIAEnnis 2' Layup (4 PTS)27
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 7:15MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Ennis Layup27
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 7:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 7:25DETMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot27
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 7:31DETWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 7:35DETMISS Anthony 7' Turnaround Jump Shot27
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 7:56MIABeasley 8' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
35.8%
32
64.2%
Q2 - 8:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q2 - 8:18DETMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
38.9%
30
61.1%
Q2 - 8:31DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 8:32DETMISS Dinwiddie 2' Driving Layup27
38.9%
30
61.1%
Q2 - 8:51MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)27
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 9:06DETDinwiddie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q2 - 9:16MIAChalmers 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
48.3%
27
51.7%
Q2 - 9:30DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
50.5%
25
49.5%
Q2 - 9:45DETDinwiddie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot27
52.5%
25
47.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q2 - 10:02DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
51.2%
25
48.8%
Q2 - 10:13DETWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 2 of 227
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 1 of 227
51.2%
25
48.8%
Q2 - 10:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q2 - 10:17DETMISS Meeks 14' Jump Shot27
51.2%
25
48.8%
Q2 - 10:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot27
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q2 - 10:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q2 - 10:59DETMISS Dinwiddie 6' Floating Jump Shot27
51.2%
25
48.8%
Q2 - 11:20MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q2 - 11:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q2 - 11:22DETMISS Meeks 20' Jump Shot27
51.0%
25
49.0%
Q2 - 11:41DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot27
52.0%
25
48.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETAnthony 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Prince 3' Jump Shot25
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETMISS Dinwiddie 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIABeasley 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETMISS Prince 9' Jump Shot25
51.0%
23
49.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
51.6%
23
48.4%
Q1 - 1:01MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot25
51.6%
23
48.4%
Q1 - 1:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q1 - 1:24DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot25
50.9%
23
49.1%
Q1 - 1:36MIAEnnis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)25
52.1%
23
47.9%
Q1 - 1:49MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
55.0%
21
45.0%
Q1 - 1:50DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
55.5%
21
44.5%
Q1 - 2:05MIADeng 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
56.9%
21
43.1%
Q1 - 2:15MIAHEAT Rebound25
59.2%
19
40.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
60.6%
19
39.4%
Q1 - 2:40DETJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T3)25
59.2%
19
40.8%
Q1 - 3:01MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)25
61.1%
19
38.9%
Q1 - 3:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)25
62.9%
17
37.1%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup25
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 3:23DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)25
63.0%
17
37.0%
Q1 - 3:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)22
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 3:29DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
57.3%
17
42.7%
Q1 - 3:52MIAWade 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)22
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 4:10DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tolliver 3 AST)22
60.5%
15
39.5%
Q1 - 4:29DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Dragic 19' Jump Shot19
55.8%
15
44.2%
Q1 - 4:43MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
54.1%
15
45.9%
Q1 - 4:44DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Layup19
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)19
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)19
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup19
60.1%
13
39.9%
Q1 - 4:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
58.4%
13
41.6%
Q1 - 5:00DETMISS Drummond 2' Layup19
59.1%
13
40.9%
Q1 - 5:06DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
59.1%
13
40.9%
Q1 - 5:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)19
57.6%
13
42.4%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup19
59.1%
13
40.9%
Q1 - 5:30DETJackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
57.6%
13
42.4%
Q1 - 5:49MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
55.8%
13
44.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
56.2%
12
43.8%
Q1 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
57.7%
11
42.3%
Q1 - 5:54DETDragic BLOCK (1 BLK)17
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 6:07MIAWade Dunk (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)17
59.0%
11
41.0%
Q1 - 6:11DETWalker STEAL (1 STL)17
60.7%
9
39.3%
Q1 - 6:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
62.8%
9
37.2%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
62.2%
9
37.8%
Q1 - 6:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)17
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Wade 2' Jump Shot17
62.2%
9
37.8%
Q1 - 6:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup17
62.2%
9
37.8%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot17
62.2%
9
37.8%
Q1 - 6:48DETDrummond 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)17
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 7:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 215
59.2%
8
40.8%
Q1 - 7:16DETDrummond 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Tolliver 2 AST)15
58.5%
8
41.5%
Q1 - 7:31MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)13
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 7:49DETDrummond Putback Dunk (4 PTS)13
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 7:51DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
53.1%
8
46.9%
Q1 - 7:52DETMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot11
51.5%
8
48.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWade 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)11
53.1%
8
46.9%
Q1 - 8:21DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)11
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 8:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.2%
6
48.8%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot8
50.6%
6
49.4%
Q1 - 8:50DETCaldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
49.1%
6
50.9%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWade 8' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
47.4%
6
52.6%
Q1 - 9:39DETDeng STEAL (1 STL)6
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 9:55MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 9:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
52.9%
2
47.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot6
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 10:14DETJackson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
52.7%
2
47.3%
Q1 - 10:28MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 10:44DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 11:12MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 11:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot2
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 11:43DETDrummond 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)2
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Drummond: Tip to Jackson0
47.1%
0
52.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.10 54.8%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
24
36
67%
MIA
16
26
62%
Midrange
DET
8
22
36%
MIA
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
DET
14
22
64%
MIA
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond3280%16.0 / 20
R. Jackson3178%15.5 / 20
J. Meeks1169%5.5 / 8
K. Caldwell-Pope928%4.5 / 16
A. Tolliver758%3.5 / 6
T. Prince638%3.0 / 8
S. Dinwiddie217%1.0 / 6
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
S. Williams225%1.0 / 4
C. Butler0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4061%20.0 / 33
U. Haslem1864%9.0 / 14
J. Ennis III1680%8.0 / 10
M. Chalmers1161%5.5 / 9
G. Dragic1045%5.0 / 11
H. Walker660%3.0 / 5
L. Deng433%2.0 / 6
M. Beasley433%2.0 / 6
T. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
77
+15
-11
92
MIA
80
+20
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.10 54.8%
MIA
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
103.9
DET 115.9
MIA 121.1 +5.2
Pace
93.1
91.0
DET 92.8 +7.3
MIA 85.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.3
DET 15.5 +1.3
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
50.0%
DET 53.0% +1.2%
MIA 51.8%
TO %
13.5%
15.2%
DET 10.6%
MIA 10.4% +0.2%
ORB %
27.7%
23.3%
DET 28.9%
MIA 36.8% +7.9%
FTrt
26.1
30.6
DET 26.5
MIA 35.4 +8.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
56.4%
DET 60.0% +8.7%
MIA 51.3%
STL %
8.1%
8.6%
DET 5.7% +1.3%
MIA 4.4%
BLK %
7.6%
8.0%
DET 7.8% +6.1%
MIA 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
52.2%
DET 54.8% +0.8%
MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%
53.4%
59.7%
DET 66.7% +5.2%
MIA 61.5%
Mid FG%
37.8%
40.9%
DET 36.4%
MIA 42.1% +5.7%
3P %
34.4%
33.5%
DET 32.0%
MIA 38.9% +6.9%
FT %
70.3%
74.1%
DET 63.6%
MIA 82.8% +19.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.8%
35.1%
DET 43.4% +11.7%
MIA 31.7%
Mid Att. %
30.1%
38.7%
DET 26.5% +19.8%
MIA 46.3%
3P Att. %
29.0%
26.2%
DET 30.1% +8.2%
MIA 22.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes22.825.3
Points102109
Rebounds3746
Assists2420
Steals54
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)32 (2)
Field Goals40-8339-82
At-the-Rim FG24-3616-26
Midrange FG8-2216-38
2-Point FG32-5832-64
3-Point FG8-257-18
Free Throws14-2224-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 204 · 22
40.6
9
28%
4
1
2
0
4
4
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-6
0%
C · 6'11" 279 · 22
39.0
32
80%
14
2
1
2
0
3
5
9
4-7
57%
14-17
82%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 208 · 25
36.0
31
78%
6
9
0
0
4
4
3
3
4-8
50%
9-13
69%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
27.9
7
58%
2
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 228 · 35
16.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 28
27.7
11
69%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 212 · 35
23.7
6
38%
4
2
0
0
1
3
1
3
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 215 · 22
12.0
2
17%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 33
9.0
2
33%
4
0
0
3
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
7.3
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 30
G · 5'11" 166 · 32
F · 6'9" 210 · 22
#10 · C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'1" 170 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
55%
37
24
5
5
11
0
13
24
14-22
64%
32-58
55%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.