FinalWin Prob.pScore
1251%101
91
2249%100
107
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
97.89386.1
DEN logo DEN
115.193102.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENNUGGETS Rebound91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Nurkic 4' Jump Shot91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0UTAMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENLauvergne Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0UTAMillsap Driving Dunk (13 PTS)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DENNurkic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 286
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32DENBarton Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36UTAHarris STEAL (1 STL)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45UTAJazz Rebound86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45UTAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DENHarris 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09UTAMISS Cotton 18' Jump Shot86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:26DENMISS Lauvergne Free Throw 2 of 286
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26DENLauvergne Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40UTAEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40UTAEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DENLauvergne Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56UTAJohnson Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56UTAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56UTAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20DENHarris 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38UTAMillsap 1' Layup (11 PTS)81
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:41DENNurkic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48UTAMISS Millsap 9' Running Jump Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12UTALawson STEAL (3 STL)79
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:17DENNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)79
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:38UTAHayward 1' Layup (24 PTS) (Booker 5 AST)79
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 4:43DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)77
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:03UTAHayward 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Booker 4 AST)77
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:15UTABooker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)75
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:18UTAMISS Cotton 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 5:29DENChandler 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)75
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:50UTABooker 3' Putback Layup (6 PTS)75
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 5:53UTABooker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)73
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 5:54UTAMISS Cotton 17' Fadeaway Jumper73
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 6:18DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 6:18DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)73
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 6:33DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 6:34UTAMISS Ingles 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 6:42UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 6:43UTAMISS Hayward 15' Turnaround Jump Shot73
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 6:48UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 6:52DENMISS Barton 18' Pullup Jump Shot73
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 6:58DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 6:59UTAMISS Hayward 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 7:15DENNelson 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 7:27DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 7:29UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 2 of 273
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 7:29UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)73
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 7:32UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)72
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 7:33UTAMISS Ingles 3PT Jump Shot72
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 7:57DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 7:57DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)72
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 8:01DENNUGGETS Rebound72
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 8:02DENMISS Barton 2' Driving Layup72
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 8:06DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 8:07UTAMISS Ingles 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 8:23UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
5.5%
84
94.5%
Q4 - 8:24DENMISS Lauvergne 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q4 - 8:46UTAGobert Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Ingles 2 AST)72
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 8:54DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)70
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q4 - 9:08UTAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ingles 1 AST)70
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 9:23DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 9:40UTABurke 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gobert 3 AST)67
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 10:00DENNelson 21' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)65
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 10:16UTAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)65
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 10:41DENGreen Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)65
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 10:47DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q4 - 10:48UTAMISS Ingles 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q4 - 11:02DENBarton 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)65
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q4 - 11:07DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q4 - 11:09DENMISS Barton 2' Driving Layup65
11.8%
75
88.2%
Q4 - 11:27UTAGobert Reverse Dunk (12 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)65
10.2%
75
89.8%
Q4 - 11:41UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)63
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q4 - 11:43DENMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA63
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)63
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)63
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
9.4%
75
90.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0DENMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot63
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0UTAMillsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)63
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q3 - 1:07DENBarton 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)60
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 1:11DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 1:13DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 1:33DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 1:35UTAMISS Burke 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 1:46UTAJazz Rebound60
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q3 - 1:48UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 2:05DENNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)60
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q3 - 2:16DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
13.3%
70
86.7%
Q3 - 2:17UTAMISS Burke 13' Fadeaway Jumper60
14.0%
70
86.0%
Q3 - 2:37DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
15.6%
70
84.4%
Q3 - 2:37DENHickson Tip Shot (9 PTS)60
15.6%
70
84.4%
Q3 - 2:39DENMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup60
20.2%
68
79.8%
Q3 - 2:51UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
18.1%
68
81.9%
Q3 - 2:51UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)59
17.6%
68
82.4%
Q3 - 3:05UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
16.7%
68
83.3%
Q3 - 3:06DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 158
16.4%
68
83.6%
Q3 - 3:14UTACotton 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
19.1%
66
80.9%
Q3 - 3:17UTACotton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 3:20UTAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot56
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q3 - 3:26DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)56
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 3:38DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q3 - 3:40UTAMISS Cotton 20' Jump Shot56
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q3 - 3:47UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
16.6%
66
83.4%
Q3 - 3:49DENMISS Foye 2' Running Layup56
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 4:08UTACotton 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Booker 3 AST)56
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q3 - 4:13DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)54
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q3 - 4:35UTAIngles 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 5:01DENChandler Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)52
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 5:06UTALawson STEAL (2 STL)52
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 5:17UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)52
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 5:20DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot52
13.2%
64
86.8%
Q3 - 5:26DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 5:28UTAMISS Hayward 3PT Jump Shot52
12.4%
64
87.6%
Q3 - 5:48DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)52
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 5:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q3 - 5:56UTAMISS Ingles 17' Jump Shot52
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 6:14DENLawson 11' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
21.8%
61
78.2%
Q3 - 6:44UTAHayward 14' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
24.1%
59
75.9%
Q3 - 6:51UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
21.7%
59
78.3%
Q3 - 6:54DENMISS Lawson 15' Step Back Jump Shot50
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 7:03DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 7:05UTAMISS Burke 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 7:18UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q3 - 7:19DENMISS Gallinari 20' Jump Shot50
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 7:37DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
19.4%
59
80.6%
Q3 - 7:39UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q3 - 7:39UTAMISS Gobert 1' Tip Shot50
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 7:42UTAMISS Favors 16' Jump Shot50
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 7:52UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q3 - 7:53DENMISS Faried 2' Layup50
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 8:12UTAGobert Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)50
20.0%
59
80.0%
Q3 - 8:25UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 8:26DENMISS Gallinari 21' Fadeaway Jumper48
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 8:44UTAFavors 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Burke 4 AST)48
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q3 - 9:09DENFaried 3' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)46
14.6%
59
85.4%
Q3 - 9:20UTABurke 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)46
16.4%
57
83.6%
Q3 - 9:37DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 4 AST)44
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q3 - 9:54UTAHayward Dunk (15 PTS)44
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 9:58DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)42
16.5%
54
83.5%
Q3 - 10:17UTAFavors Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)42
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q3 - 10:30DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)42
17.1%
54
82.9%
Q3 - 10:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q3 - 10:37DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 10:39DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q3 - 10:41DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup42
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 10:51UTAFavors 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Burke 3 AST)42
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q3 - 11:02UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
18.1%
52
81.9%
Q3 - 11:03DENMISS Gallinari 23' Jump Shot40
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 11:26DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q3 - 11:28UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 240
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q3 - 11:28UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 11:43UTAJazz Rebound39
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q3 - 11:43UTAMISS Favors 2' Layup39
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA39
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound39
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Booker 10' Jump Shot39
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTABooker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)39
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Booker 3PT Jump Shot39
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 2 of 239
16.7%
52
83.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 239
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAHayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Booker 2 AST)39
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)36
12.0%
52
88.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q2 - 1:02UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)34
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Lawson 11' Fadeaway Jumper34
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 1:10DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 1:11UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q2 - 1:27DENHickson Dunk (7 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)34
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 1:33UTAGallinari STEAL (1 STL)34
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 1:49DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 234
16.3%
47
83.7%
Q2 - 1:49DENNUGGETS Rebound34
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 1:49UTAMISS Burke 3' Driving Reverse Layup34
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 1:57DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)34
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 1:57DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q2 - 2:11UTAGobert Dunk (8 PTS) (Burke 2 AST)34
20.4%
45
79.6%
Q2 - 2:23UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
18.4%
45
81.6%
Q2 - 2:24DENMISS Gallinari 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q2 - 2:28DENNUGGETS Rebound32
16.7%
45
83.3%
Q2 - 2:29DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.8%
45
82.2%
Q2 - 2:49UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
16.7%
45
83.3%
Q2 - 2:49UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 231
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 3:01DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)31
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 3:07DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 3:09UTAMISS Ingles 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 3:25DENLauvergne 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)31
23.4%
42
76.6%
Q2 - 3:31DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
21.0%
42
79.0%
Q2 - 3:32UTAMISS Hayward 4' Jump Bank Shot31
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 3:57DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)31
23.4%
42
76.6%
Q2 - 4:15DENNUGGETS Rebound31
28.4%
39
71.6%
Q2 - 4:16UTALawson BLOCK (1 BLK)31
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 4:25DENLawson 1' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)31
30.9%
39
69.1%
Q2 - 4:30UTAChandler STEAL (2 STL)31
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 4:45DENGallinari 2' Layup (8 PTS)31
36.0%
37
64.0%
Q2 - 4:46DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
38.6%
35
61.4%
Q2 - 4:47DENMISS Gallinari 3' Layup31
40.6%
35
59.4%
Q2 - 5:00UTAIngles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)31
38.6%
35
61.4%
Q2 - 5:15UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
33.9%
35
66.1%
Q2 - 5:16DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
33.1%
35
66.9%
Q2 - 5:31UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
31.4%
35
68.6%
Q2 - 5:31UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 5:39UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)26
29.0%
35
71.0%
Q2 - 5:40DENMISS Nurkic 3' Jump Hook Shot26
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 5:55UTABooker Dunk (4 PTS) (Gobert 2 AST)26
26.7%
35
73.3%
Q2 - 6:15DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)24
25.5%
35
74.5%
Q2 - 6:25UTABurke 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Booker 1 AST)24
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 6:28DENLauvergne Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)22
21.6%
35
78.4%
Q2 - 6:32DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 6:34UTAMISS Ingles 10' Jump Shot22
20.1%
35
79.9%
Q2 - 6:58DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T5)22
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 6:59DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 7:01DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
21.6%
35
78.4%
Q2 - 7:06DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 7:07DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup22
21.6%
35
78.4%
Q2 - 7:25UTAIngles Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 7:25UTAMISS Ingles Free Throw 1 of 221
19.9%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 7:42DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 7:42DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 221
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 7:44UTALawson STEAL (1 STL)21
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 7:48DENLawson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
22.1%
34
77.9%
Q2 - 7:56UTAChandler STEAL (1 STL)21
23.8%
32
76.2%
Q2 - 8:16UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
26.4%
32
73.6%
Q2 - 8:17DENMISS Chandler 19' Step Back Jump Shot21
25.7%
32
74.3%
Q2 - 8:35DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
24.3%
32
75.7%
Q2 - 8:37UTAMISS Booker 12' Running Bank Shot21
24.9%
32
75.1%
Q2 - 9:04DENHickson Layup (4 PTS)21
27.1%
32
72.9%
Q2 - 9:08UTAHickson STEAL (1 STL)21
28.8%
30
71.2%
Q2 - 9:27DENNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)21
31.2%
30
68.8%
Q2 - 9:35DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
35.3%
27
64.7%
Q2 - 9:36UTAMISS Favors 15' Jump Shot21
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q2 - 9:53DENNurkic 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)21
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q2 - 10:05DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
40.1%
25
59.9%
Q2 - 10:07UTAMISS Burke 17' Jump Shot21
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q2 - 10:22DENNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q2 - 10:41DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
47.4%
22
52.6%
Q2 - 10:42UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 221
47.8%
22
52.2%
Q2 - 10:42UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q2 - 10:46DENBarton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
47.9%
22
52.1%
Q2 - 10:55DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
44.9%
22
55.1%
Q2 - 10:57UTAMISS Favors 15' Jump Shot20
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q2 - 11:12UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q2 - 11:15DENMISS Hickson 1' Layup20
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q2 - 11:24DENNUGGETS Rebound20
45.1%
22
54.9%
Q2 - 11:25DENMISS Hickson 2' Layup20
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q2 - 11:36DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
45.1%
22
54.9%
Q2 - 11:37UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
45.8%
22
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA20
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENNelson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
47.2%
22
52.8%
Q1 - 0:20.0UTAMillsap 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
50.2%
20
49.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
47.3%
20
52.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMISS Barton 16' Jump Shot18
46.7%
20
53.3%
Q1 - 1:05UTAMillsap 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)18
45.7%
20
54.3%
Q1 - 1:11DENNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
42.9%
20
57.1%
Q1 - 1:23UTAGobert 1' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)16
41.2%
20
58.8%
Q1 - 1:29UTABooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 1:33UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 1:55DENHickson Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)14
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 2:01DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 2:02UTAMISS Burke 5' Running Bank Shot14
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 2:13UTABooker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 2:14UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 2:37UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 2:39DENMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
42.6%
18
57.4%
Q1 - 2:51UTAHayward 5' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)14
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 3:13DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)12
39.3%
18
60.7%
Q1 - 3:26UTABooker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 3:26UTABooker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
42.6%
15
57.4%
Q1 - 3:26UTAJazz Rebound10
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 3:27UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 3:27UTAMISS Millsap 1' Tip Shot10
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 3:29UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 3:50UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)10
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 3:52DENMISS Chandler 10' Jump Shot10
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 4:07UTAHayward 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 4:20UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
37.4%
15
62.6%
Q1 - 4:21DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot8
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 4:40UTAMillsap Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
35.1%
15
64.9%
Q1 - 4:46UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.4%
15
62.6%
Q1 - 4:48DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot8
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 5:02UTAFavors Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
35.8%
15
64.2%
Q1 - 5:11UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 5:12DENMISS Hickson 2' Layup8
37.2%
15
62.8%
Q1 - 5:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 5:24UTAMISS Favors 11' Turnaround Jump Shot8
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 5:41DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)8
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 5:59UTAHayward 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gobert 1 AST)8
41.6%
12
58.4%
Q1 - 6:16UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
40.2%
12
59.8%
Q1 - 6:17UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
38.8%
12
61.2%
Q1 - 6:30DENChandler Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)6
40.2%
12
59.8%
Q1 - 6:34DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
42.0%
10
58.0%
Q1 - 6:36UTAGallinari BLOCK (3 BLK)6
42.6%
10
57.4%
Q1 - 6:56DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)6
44.1%
10
55.9%
Q1 - 7:08UTAHayward 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 7:27DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
44.3%
8
55.7%
Q1 - 7:40UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
42.2%
8
57.8%
Q1 - 7:40UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
41.6%
8
58.4%
Q1 - 7:52UTAJazz Rebound2
40.6%
8
59.4%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Foye 4' Jump Shot2
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 7:55DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 7:57UTAGallinari BLOCK (2 BLK)2
39.1%
8
60.9%
Q1 - 8:25DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
40.9%
8
59.1%
Q1 - 8:25DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 8:38UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 8:38UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 8:39UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 8:40UTAMISS Exum 3PT Jump Shot0
39.5%
6
60.5%
Q1 - 8:51UTAExum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 8:52UTAMISS Exum 3' Finger Roll Layup0
39.5%
6
60.5%
Q1 - 9:17DENLawson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 9:31DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 9:33UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 20
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 9:33UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 20
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 9:43DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 9:50DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.7%
4
57.3%
Q1 - 9:53UTAMISS Ingles 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 10:09UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 10:11DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 20
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 10:11DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 10:27DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.6%
3
55.4%
Q1 - 10:30UTAMISS Favors 16' Jump Shot0
45.2%
3
54.8%
Q1 - 10:45UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
46.6%
3
53.4%
Q1 - 10:47DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 11:11UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
44.7%
3
55.3%
Q1 - 11:12UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
46.4%
3
53.6%
Q1 - 11:13UTAGallinari BLOCK (1 BLK)0
45.3%
3
54.7%
Q1 - 11:38DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)0
46.5%
3
53.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Faried vs. Gobert: Tip to Gallinari0
50.3%
0
49.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.90 45.0%
DEN
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
17
28
61%
DEN
18
32
56%
Midrange
UTA
10
26
38%
DEN
8
20
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
5
7.5
27
19%
28%
DEN
13
19.5
24
54%
81%
Free Throws
UTA
22
31
71%
DEN
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hayward2455%12.0 / 22
E. Millsap1673%8.0 / 11
R. Gobert1478%7.0 / 9
D. Favors729%3.5 / 12
J. Ingles627%3.0 / 11
T. Burke625%3.0 / 12
T. Booker650%3.0 / 6
C. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
B. Cotton433%2.0 / 6
J. Evans2100%1.0 / 1
D. Exum0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson1864%9.0 / 14
J. Nelson1890%9.0 / 10
D. Gallinari1343%6.5 / 15
W. Barton1267%6.0 / 9
W. Chandler1169%5.5 / 8
R. Foye964%4.5 / 7
J. Hickson950%4.5 / 9
K. Faried563%2.5 / 4
G. Harris4100%2.0 / 2
J. Lauvergne350%1.5 / 3
J. Nurkić338%1.5 / 4
E. Green250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
80
+19
-13
99
DEN
76
+12
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.90 45.0%
DEN
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
104.8
UTA 97.8 +17.2
DEN 115.1
Pace
90.2
95.9
UTA 86.1
DEN 102.8 +16.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.4
UTA 16.7
DEN 14.0 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
47.9%
UTA 42.6%
DEN 59.9% +17.3%
TO %
15.8%
14.3%
UTA 12.9% +4.4%
DEN 17.3%
ORB %
29.2%
26.5%
UTA 29.8% +7.6%
DEN 22.2%
FTrt
29.7
27.8
UTA 38.3 +8.0
DEN 30.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
57.7%
UTA 62.5% +3.5%
DEN 59.0%
STL %
8.4%
8.0%
UTA 12.9% +4.3%
DEN 8.6%
BLK %
9.9%
7.2%
UTA 13.5% +6.1%
DEN 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
50.8%
UTA 45.0%
DEN 60.8% +15.8%
Rim FG%
59.4%
56.1%
UTA 60.7% +4.4%
DEN 56.3%
Mid FG%
36.6%
37.9%
UTA 38.5%
DEN 40.0% +1.5%
3P %
34.3%
32.5%
UTA 18.5%
DEN 54.2% +35.7%
FT %
72.1%
73.5%
UTA 71.0% +1.4%
DEN 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
38.2%
UTA 34.6%
DEN 42.1% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
34.3%
33.4%
UTA 32.1%
DEN 26.3% +5.8%
3P Att. %
27.4%
28.4%
UTA 33.3% +1.8%
DEN 31.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes25.921.7
Points91107
Rebounds4241
Assists2023
Steals128
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals32-8139-76
At-the-Rim FG17-2818-32
Midrange FG10-268-20
2-Point FG27-5426-52
3-Point FG5-2713-24
Free Throws22-3116-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'1" 258 · 23
34.6
14
78%
14
3
0
1
1
0
4
10
4-4
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 226 · 25
31.6
24
55%
7
3
1
1
2
1
0
7
5-6
83%
8-12
67%
1-7
14%
F · 6'8" 220 · 27
30.0
6
27%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-7
14%
F · 6'10" 265 · 24
18.6
7
29%
5
1
0
2
4
4
1
4
3-6
50%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 214 · 20
11.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 191 · 22
28.4
6
25%
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-5
0%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
19.6
6
50%
5
5
2
1
0
1
5
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
17.1
16
73%
3
0
3
1
3
3
1
2
2-6
33%
4-6
67%
2-2
100%
F · 6'6" 206 · 25
16.9
6
75%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 165 · 23
12.6
4
33%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 200 · 27
12.3
2
100%
2
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 274 · 24
6.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#17 · F · 6'10" 232 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'5" 214 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'8" 206 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
45%
42
20
12
7
13
0
14
28
22-31
71%
27-54
50%
5-27
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.