FinalWin Prob.pScore
2030%95
86
770%102
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.59385.5
ATL logo ATL
105.394103.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Muscala 20' Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHeat Rebound86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ATLHAWKS Rebound86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAHeat Rebound86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22ATLCarroll Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAHaslem Putback Layup (6 PTS)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Ennis 2' Driving Layup84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHeat Rebound84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAKorver BLOCK (1 BLK)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28ATLMISS Schroder 3' Layup84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P3.T19)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIAHeat Rebound84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMillsap BLOCK (2 BLK)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17ATLMISS Muscala 2' Layup84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 4:07ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Schroder 11 AST)84
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMuscala STEAL (1 STL)84
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:52ATLMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot84
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 5:11ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 5:14ATLMISS Schroder 17' Pullup Jump Shot84
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 5:38MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 6:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 6:01ATLMISS Muscala 5' Jump Shot81
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 6:24MIABeasley 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 6:47ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 6:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 7:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 7:05ATLMISS Mack 2' Layup79
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMack STEAL (3 STL)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 7:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 7:11ATLMISS Mack 16' Jump Shot79
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 7:31MIAKorver STEAL (2 STL)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 7:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 7:38ATLMISS Carroll 5' Driving Jump Shot79
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 7:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 8:06ATLHorford 3' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)77
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 8:17ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 8:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 8:31ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)77
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 9:00MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 9:02ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 275
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 9:02ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 9:12ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Johnson Putback Dunk75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 9:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 9:23ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 9:36MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 9:55ATLMack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)72
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 10:12MIABeasley 12' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)72
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 10:31ATLHorford 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)70
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 10:41MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)70
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 10:45ATLBazemore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMack STEAL (2 STL)67
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 11:09MIAHeat Rebound67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 11:11ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 11:23ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 11:45ATLBazemore 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)67
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL67
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0ATLHorford 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)65
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAEnnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)65
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)62
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAEnnis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)62
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLBazemore Running Dunk (3 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)60
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 1:00MIABeasley 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)60
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 1:19ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 1:19ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 1:32MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)58
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 1:44ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 1:58ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot55
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 2:24ATLMuscala 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Schroder 10 AST)55
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 2:42MIABazemore STEAL (1 STL)55
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 3:03ATLMack 16' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)55
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 3:29MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)55
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 3:40ATLSchroder 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Mack 5 AST)55
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)55
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMuscala Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMISS Muscala Free Throw 1 of 255
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 4:15ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 4:17ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 2 of 255
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 4:17ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)55
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 4:41ATLMillsap 20' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)55
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 5:05MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)55
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 5:29ATLSchroder Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)52
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q3 - 5:44MIASchroder STEAL (1 STL)52
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 6:06ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Schroder 9 AST)52
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWade Dunk (13 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)52
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 6:24ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)50
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 6:29MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)50
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 6:45ATLCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Schroder 8 AST)50
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 6:59ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)50
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 7:16ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 7:26MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)50
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 249
3.8%
65
96.2%
Q3 - 7:49ATLMillsap Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)49
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)49
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 8:08ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup46
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 8:21MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Dragic 23' Jump Shot44
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 8:39ATLMillsap 1' Reverse Layup (17 PTS) (Schroder 7 AST)44
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q3 - 9:05ATLMillsap 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)44
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q3 - 9:22MIADeng Dunk (14 PTS)44
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 9:33MIADeng REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)42
3.8%
59
96.2%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
3.4%
59
96.6%
Q3 - 10:01ATLMillsap 8' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)42
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)42
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 10:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)39
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q3 - 10:51ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 139
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q3 - 11:04MIADeng 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)39
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q3 - 11:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)37
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Dragic 6' Jump Shot37
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 11:27ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T9)37
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q3 - 11:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Deng 14' Jump Shot37
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMillsap 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)37
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot37
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)37
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 1:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 1:03ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 1:20MIADeng 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)35
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 1:33MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 1:35ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 1:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup33
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 1:51ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 1:51ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 2:17MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)33
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 2:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)30
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 2:32ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 2:46MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)30
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 3:06ATLMuscala 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)30
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 3:14ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)30
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Jump Shot30
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 3:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 3:22ATLMISS Millsap 2' Alley Oop Layup30
5.6%
46
94.4%
Q2 - 3:35ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
5.1%
46
94.9%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot30
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 3:56ATLSefolosha 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)30
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 4:07ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 4:40ATLMillsap 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)30
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 4:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q2 - 4:51MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
8.1%
42
91.9%
Q2 - 5:09ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q2 - 5:09ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
7.9%
41
92.1%
Q2 - 5:15ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
8.6%
40
91.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot28
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 5:34ATLMack 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)28
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 5:39MIASefolosha STEAL (1 STL)28
10.5%
38
89.5%
Q2 - 5:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 5:52ATLMISS Mack 19' Pullup Jump Shot28
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 6:01MIADeng Putback Layup (6 PTS)28
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 6:01MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Deng 5' Jump Shot26
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 6:21ATLCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)26
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIACarroll STEAL (2 STL)26
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 6:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 6:39ATLMISS Carroll 1' Putback Layup26
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 6:40ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 6:41ATLMISS Sefolosha 3' Running Layup26
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 6:46ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot26
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 7:03ATLCarroll Putback Layup (16 PTS)26
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 7:05ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 7:07ATLMISS Sefolosha 15' Jump Shot26
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 7:24ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 7:40ATLCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)26
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 7:51ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 226
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 7:53MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)26
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMack Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 8:06MIAWade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)25
10.2%
36
89.8%
Q2 - 8:28ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)23
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 8:28ATLHAWKS Rebound23
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 8:28ATLMISS Sefolosha 17' Jump Shot23
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 8:53ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot23
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 9:05ATLCarroll 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)23
9.5%
36
90.5%
Q2 - 9:12ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
10.3%
34
89.7%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot23
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q2 - 9:33ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)23
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 9:33ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)23
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 9:36MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)23
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q2 - 9:59ATLKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)23
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 10:07ATLHAWKS Rebound23
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 10:08MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)23
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 10:18MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 10:20ATLMISS Mack 2' Running Layup23
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMack STEAL (1 STL)23
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 10:39ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)23
17.7%
29
82.3%
Q2 - 10:59MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)23
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 11:22ATLKorver 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)20
13.9%
29
86.1%
Q2 - 11:39ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot20
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL20
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound20
15.0%
27
85.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
15.7%
27
84.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMuscala 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)20
16.3%
27
83.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Mack 11' Floating Jump Shot20
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 1:05MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)20
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 1:25ATLHorford Dunk (6 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)18
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 1:34MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 217
17.8%
23
82.2%
Q1 - 1:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 1:48ATLMISS Muscala Putback Slam Dunk17
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 1:49ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q1 - 1:49ATLMISS Millsap 12' Fadeaway Jumper17
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 2:00ATLHAWKS Rebound17
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot17
17.1%
23
82.9%
Q1 - 2:07MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 2:09ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup17
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q1 - 2:26ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 217
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 2:41ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
16.6%
23
83.4%
Q1 - 2:41ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 2:51MIADragic 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)16
18.0%
21
82.0%
Q1 - 3:05ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)14
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 3:39ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
13.4%
21
86.6%
Q1 - 3:39ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q1 - 3:52ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Dragic 18' Fadeaway Jumper11
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 4:07ATLCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIADeng 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)11
14.3%
19
85.7%
Q1 - 4:38ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)9
13.5%
19
86.5%
Q1 - 4:38ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)9
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 4:38ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
14.3%
17
85.7%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup9
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 5:03ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)9
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 5:19MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 5:19MIADeng Putback Layup (2 PTS)9
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot7
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 5:28MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
17.0%
14
83.0%
Q1 - 5:30ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup7
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 5:49ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)7
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 6:07ATLHorford 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)7
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 6:17ATLHAWKS Rebound7
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 6:17ATLMISS Schroder 4' Driving Jump Shot7
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 6:29MIADragic 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)7
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 6:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 6:39ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
16.8%
12
83.2%
Q1 - 6:56MIADragic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 7:09ATLCarroll 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)3
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 7:14ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 7:31ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
16.8%
10
83.2%
Q1 - 7:51MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T1)3
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 7:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot3
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 8:23ATLHorford 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)3
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 8:42ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot3
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 8:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 8:57ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 23
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 8:57ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)3
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 9:11ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.2%
7
80.8%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot3
19.6%
7
80.4%
Q1 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
20.5%
7
79.5%
Q1 - 9:24ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot3
20.1%
7
79.9%
Q1 - 9:42MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)3
19.2%
7
80.8%
Q1 - 10:00ATLCarroll 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)0
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 10:12ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
18.1%
5
81.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.5%
5
81.5%
Q1 - 10:30ATLCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)0
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 10:48ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot0
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 11:09ATLSchroder 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:30ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:41ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Haslem: Tip to Schroder0
24.2%
0
75.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
ATL
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
24
50%
ATL
18
32
56%
Midrange
MIA
9
23
39%
ATL
13
22
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
35
31%
47%
ATL
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
11
15
73%
ATL
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng1750%8.5 / 17
D. Wade1350%6.5 / 13
M. Chalmers1372%6.5 / 9
H. Walker1250%6.0 / 12
M. Beasley964%4.5 / 7
J. Ennis III880%4.0 / 5
G. Dragic627%3.0 / 11
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
T. Johnson211%1.0 / 9
Z. Dragic0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Carroll2480%12.0 / 15
P. Millsap2175%10.5 / 14
A. Horford1575%7.5 / 10
D. Schröder1246%6.0 / 13
K. Korver867%4.0 / 6
M. Muscala850%4.0 / 8
K. Bazemore583%2.5 / 3
S. Mack422%2.0 / 9
T. Sefolosha220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+15
-18
90
ATL
78
+7
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
ATL
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
108.9
MIA 92.5 +12.8
ATL 105.3
Pace
91.0
94.0
MIA 85.5
ATL 103.1 +17.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 16.8
ATL 14.0 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
52.7%
MIA 45.7%
ATL 55.6% +9.9%
TO %
15.2%
14.3%
MIA 17.7%
ATL 17.1% +0.6%
ORB %
23.3%
21.4%
MIA 25.0% +10.7%
ATL 14.3%
FTrt
30.6
25.9
MIA 18.3
ATL 33.3 +15.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
67.6%
MIA 62.5%
ATL 83.8% +21.3%
STL %
8.6%
9.6%
MIA 9.7%
ATL 12.8% +3.1%
BLK %
8.0%
8.1%
MIA 11.1% +2.6%
ATL 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
54.7%
MIA 46.7%
ATL 57.6% +10.9%
Rim FG%
59.7%
58.1%
MIA 50.0%
ATL 56.3% +6.3%
Mid FG%
40.9%
42.2%
MIA 39.1%
ATL 59.1% +20.0%
3P %
33.5%
38.0%
MIA 31.4%
ATL 33.3% +1.9%
FT %
74.1%
77.8%
MIA 73.3%
ATL 79.2% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
36.1%
MIA 29.3%
ATL 44.4% +15.2%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
31.8%
MIA 28.0% +2.5%
ATL 30.6%
3P Att. %
26.2%
32.1%
MIA 42.7% +17.7%
ATL 25.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points8699
Rebounds4138
Assists2031
Steals912
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)33 (4)
Field Goals32-8237-72
At-the-Rim FG12-2418-32
Midrange FG9-2313-22
2-Point FG21-4731-54
3-Point FG11-356-18
Free Throws11-1519-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
39.5
12
50%
9
5
4
0
3
3
2
7
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-11
36%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
33.1
17
50%
11
1
0
1
3
3
4
7
3-4
75%
7-11
64%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
27.4
6
27%
2
3
1
1
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-3
0%
C · 6'8" 235 · 35
25.6
6
75%
8
2
0
0
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
21.6
13
50%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
25%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
30.4
13
72%
1
5
2
1
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
22.8
2
11%
6
0
2
1
1
0
2
4
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
22.4
9
64%
3
3
0
2
4
5
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
15.1
8
80%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
47%
41
20
9
6
18
0
11
30
11-15
73%
21-47
45%
11-35
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.