FinalWin Prob.pScore
1243%96
107
1857%98
111
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
112.69590.4
MIL logo MIL
115.696101.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0IND107
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)107
7.2%
110
92.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2107
7.1%
110
92.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)107
3.9%
110
96.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 5 AST)107
6.7%
109
93.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILMiddleton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)105
5.1%
109
94.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
1.9%
109
98.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0INDMISS Miles 27' 3PT Jump Shot105
2.5%
109
97.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0MILBayless Foul Turnover (P3.T15)105
7.8%
109
92.2%
Q4 - 1:09MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)105
5.3%
109
94.7%
Q4 - 1:10MILMISS Bayless 19' Jump Shot105
8.4%
109
91.6%
Q4 - 1:31INDWatson Free Throw 3 of 3 (23 PTS)105
7.6%
109
92.4%
Q4 - 1:31INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 3 (22 PTS)104
7.0%
109
93.0%
Q4 - 1:31INDMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 3103
6.3%
109
93.7%
Q4 - 1:48MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)103
5.9%
109
94.1%
Q4 - 1:48MILMISS Carter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2103
6.6%
108
93.4%
Q4 - 2:02INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)103
6.0%
108
94.0%
Q4 - 2:02INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)102
5.4%
108
94.6%
Q4 - 2:02MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)101
4.6%
108
95.4%
Q4 - 2:16MILJump Ball Bayless vs. Watson: Tip to Ilyasova101
2.4%
108
97.6%
Q4 - 2:32MILBayless 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)101
4.9%
108
95.1%
Q4 - 2:45INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)101
6.0%
106
94.0%
Q4 - 2:45INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)100
5.6%
106
94.4%
Q4 - 2:57MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)99
5.6%
106
94.4%
Q4 - 2:57MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)99
6.1%
105
93.9%
Q4 - 2:57MILBUCKS Rebound99
7.4%
104
92.6%
Q4 - 2:57INDMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot99
8.6%
104
91.4%
Q4 - 3:19MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)99
12.6%
104
87.4%
Q4 - 3:19MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)99
13.5%
103
86.5%
Q4 - 3:23MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)99
15.6%
102
84.4%
Q4 - 3:25MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup99
22.1%
102
77.9%
Q4 - 3:42INDScola Layup (13 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST)99
19.4%
102
80.6%
Q4 - 3:47MILPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)97
14.6%
102
85.4%
Q4 - 4:06INDWatson 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)97
10.0%
102
90.0%
Q4 - 4:22MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)94
5.1%
102
94.9%
Q4 - 4:22MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)94
5.5%
101
94.5%
Q4 - 4:22MILBUCKS Rebound94
7.0%
100
93.0%
Q4 - 4:22MILMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot94
9.1%
100
90.9%
Q4 - 4:41INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
6.9%
100
93.1%
Q4 - 4:41INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
6.5%
100
93.5%
Q4 - 4:54MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Carter-Williams 8 AST)92
5.0%
100
95.0%
Q4 - 5:01INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#22)92
12.2%
97
87.8%
Q4 - 5:01INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q4 - 5:02INDAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)92
13.4%
97
86.6%
Q4 - 5:25MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)92
16.5%
97
83.5%
Q4 - 5:42INDG. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)92
27.1%
94
72.9%
Q4 - 6:04INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
18.6%
94
81.4%
Q4 - 6:05MILMISS Carter-Williams 2' Layup89
17.0%
94
83.0%
Q4 - 6:17MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q4 - 6:18INDMISS G. Hill 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
15.1%
94
84.9%
Q4 - 6:34MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P1.T12)89
18.4%
94
81.6%
Q4 - 6:53INDG. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (S. Hill 2 AST)89
13.7%
94
86.3%
Q4 - 6:58INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
8.3%
94
91.7%
Q4 - 6:59INDMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
6.7%
94
93.3%
Q4 - 7:19INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
9.8%
94
90.2%
Q4 - 7:20MILMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot86
9.0%
94
91.0%
Q4 - 7:32INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)86
7.4%
94
92.6%
Q4 - 7:33INDPacers Rebound86
9.8%
94
90.2%
Q4 - 7:33INDMISS S. Hill 3' Layup86
8.1%
94
91.9%
Q4 - 7:59MILIlyasova 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Mayo 4 AST)86
9.8%
94
90.2%
Q4 - 8:22INDG. Hill 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)86
13.9%
92
86.1%
Q4 - 8:36INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
8.8%
92
91.2%
Q4 - 8:38MILMISS Mayo 1' Layup83
8.2%
92
91.8%
Q4 - 8:53INDCarter-Williams STEAL (4 STL)83
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 9:08INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
10.2%
92
89.8%
Q4 - 9:09MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 2 of 283
9.9%
92
90.1%
Q4 - 9:09MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)83
8.6%
92
91.4%
Q4 - 9:23INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q4 - 9:23INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
9.7%
91
90.3%
Q4 - 9:37MILPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)81
8.2%
91
91.8%
Q4 - 9:56INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 9:56INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
6.2%
91
93.8%
Q4 - 10:14MILIlyasova 1' Running Layup (27 PTS)79
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 10:30INDMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)79
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 10:30INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 278
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 10:45INDPacers Rebound78
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 10:46INDMISS Mahinmi 3' Jump Shot78
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 11:11MILAntetokounmpo 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 11:29INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)78
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 11:48MILAntetokounmpo 1' Running Layup (13 PTS)74
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND74
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBayless Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)74
8.1%
85
91.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDMiles 27' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)74
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)71
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDWatson Layup (12 PTS)71
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILHenson Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T9)69
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q3 - 1:07INDMiles 4' Jump Shot (23 PTS)69
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q3 - 1:17INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 1:18MILMISS Antetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot67
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q3 - 1:32MILBUCKS Rebound67
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q3 - 1:32INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 1:35INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 1:38INDMISS Rudez 3PT Jump Shot67
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 1:52INDRudez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 1:54MILMISS Henson Free Throw 2 of 267
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 1:54MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 267
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 2:10INDWatson Foul Turnover (P4.T19)67
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q3 - 2:17INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 2:18MILMISS Dudley 14' Jump Shot67
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q3 - 2:39MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q3 - 2:41INDMISS Hibbert 16' Jump Shot67
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q3 - 2:51INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 2:53MILMISS Dudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q3 - 3:02INDHenson STEAL (2 STL)67
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q3 - 3:21MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)67
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q3 - 3:41MILMiddleton Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)67
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q3 - 3:41INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q3 - 3:41INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q3 - 3:52INDRudez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q3 - 3:53MILMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q3 - 4:08INDS. Hill Foul Turnover (P4.T17)65
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q3 - 4:19INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 4:22MILMISS Middleton 1' Layup65
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q3 - 4:31INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q3 - 4:31INDMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 264
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 4:37MILDudley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)64
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 4:44MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 4:45INDMISS S. Hill 18' Jump Shot64
6.6%
78
93.4%
Q3 - 4:58INDScola REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)64
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 4:59MILMISS Middleton 18' Jump Shot64
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 5:12INDScola Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)64
6.8%
78
93.2%
Q3 - 5:29MILHenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
8.0%
78
92.0%
Q3 - 5:29MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q3 - 5:34MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
9.1%
76
90.9%
Q3 - 5:36INDHenson BLOCK (2 BLK)64
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 5:56MILCarter-Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)64
10.8%
76
89.2%
Q3 - 6:09INDScola REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)64
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q3 - 6:09INDScola Tip Shot (11 PTS)64
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q3 - 6:11INDMISS Watson 1' Layup62
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 6:23MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q3 - 6:23MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q3 - 6:23MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 6:23MILMISS Carter-Williams 2' Layup62
10.9%
74
89.1%
Q3 - 6:34INDG. Hill Foul Turnover (P4.T15)62
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 6:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
11.4%
74
88.6%
Q3 - 6:40MILMISS Henson 8' Hook Shot62
10.8%
74
89.2%
Q3 - 6:54INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 6:54INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 7:04MILAntetokounmpo 2' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Carter-Williams 7 AST)60
9.0%
74
91.0%
Q3 - 7:18INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)60
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 7:18INDMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 259
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 7:20INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 7:21INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 7:30MILHenson 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Carter-Williams 6 AST)59
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 7:41INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
11.6%
70
88.4%
Q3 - 7:41INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 7:41INDPacers Rebound57
10.3%
70
89.7%
Q3 - 7:42MILMISS Carter-Williams 3' Layup57
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q3 - 7:57INDS. Hill Layup (5 PTS)57
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 8:03INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 8:04MILMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot55
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 8:18MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
7.0%
70
93.0%
Q3 - 8:19INDMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 255
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 8:19INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 8:19INDScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)54
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 8:19INDMISS Miles Layup54
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 8:28MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)54
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 8:52INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)54
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 9:07MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 9:27MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 9:29INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 9:29INDMISS Hibbert 2' Tip Shot52
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 9:31INDMISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 252
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 9:31INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)52
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 9:52MILMiddleton Dunk (10 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)51
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 9:55INDPachulia STEAL (2 STL)51
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 10:07MILAntetokounmpo 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
10.1%
65
89.9%
Q3 - 10:23MILCarter-Williams Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q3 - 10:23MILMISS Carter-Williams Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 251
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 10:28INDG. Hill Layup (9 PTS)51
13.0%
62
87.0%
Q3 - 10:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 10:38MILMISS Carter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 249
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 10:38MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 10:46MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
11.4%
61
88.6%
Q3 - 10:47INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q3 - 10:57INDPacers Rebound49
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 10:57INDMISS Scola 3' Layup49
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q3 - 11:20MILAntetokounmpo Layup (7 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)49
13.6%
61
86.4%
Q3 - 11:32INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)49
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 11:32INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)48
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL47
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound47
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 30' 3PT Jump Shot47
13.1%
59
86.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
13.1%
59
86.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0INDMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 147
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0INDMISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0INDRudez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILMISS Carter-Williams 5' Jump Shot45
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)45
10.3%
59
89.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)44
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
9.1%
58
90.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILBUCKS Rebound43
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILMISS Carter-Williams 5' Jump Shot43
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q2 - 1:06MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q2 - 1:08INDMISS Scola 1' Layup43
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q2 - 1:26MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Carter-Williams 5 AST)43
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q2 - 1:37INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q2 - 1:37INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)42
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q2 - 1:51MILAntetokounmpo 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)41
11.7%
55
88.3%
Q2 - 2:06INDScola Layup (6 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)41
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q2 - 2:13INDScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 2:14MILMISS Middleton 17' Fadeaway Jumper39
12.1%
53
87.9%
Q2 - 2:31INDWatson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)39
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q2 - 2:40MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
12.4%
53
87.6%
Q2 - 2:40MILMISS Carter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 239
12.8%
52
87.2%
Q2 - 2:54MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q2 - 2:55INDMISS Miles 8' Jump Shot39
12.9%
52
87.1%
Q2 - 3:17MILPachulia Layup (8 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)39
14.6%
52
85.4%
Q2 - 3:40INDG. Hill 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (S. Hill 1 AST)39
15.9%
50
84.1%
Q2 - 3:57INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q2 - 3:58MILMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot36
12.7%
50
87.3%
Q2 - 4:15INDHibbert 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)36
12.3%
50
87.7%
Q2 - 4:34MILCarter-Williams Dunk (4 PTS)34
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 4:37INDCarter-Williams STEAL (3 STL)34
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q2 - 4:55MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)34
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q2 - 5:04MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
17.0%
45
83.0%
Q2 - 5:05INDMISS Watson 21' Jump Shot34
17.5%
45
82.5%
Q2 - 5:12MILIlyasova 2' Layup (19 PTS)34
18.7%
45
81.3%
Q2 - 5:16INDCarter-Williams STEAL (2 STL)34
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 5:19INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
22.3%
43
77.7%
Q2 - 5:20MILMISS Carter-Williams 8' Jump Shot34
21.7%
43
78.3%
Q2 - 5:39INDWatson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)34
20.4%
43
79.6%
Q2 - 5:54MILDudley Layup (2 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)34
22.3%
43
77.7%
Q2 - 6:18INDMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 6:39INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
21.1%
41
78.9%
Q2 - 6:41MILMISS Carter-Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
20.4%
41
79.6%
Q2 - 7:03INDMiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)31
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 7:10INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
16.6%
41
83.4%
Q2 - 7:11MILMISS Bayless 17' Jump Shot28
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q2 - 7:23INDMiles 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)28
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 7:44INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
12.6%
41
87.4%
Q2 - 7:45MILMISS Middleton 14' Jump Shot25
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q2 - 8:02INDMiles 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
11.8%
41
88.2%
Q2 - 8:13INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 8:16MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 8:16MILMISS Henson Dunk23
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 8:18MILMISS Middleton 1' Layup23
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 8:23INDHenson STEAL (1 STL)23
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 8:56MILHenson 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)23
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 9:05MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
12.2%
39
87.8%
Q2 - 9:07INDMISS Allen 1' Layup23
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 9:22MILBayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)23
13.4%
39
86.6%
Q2 - 9:41MILDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 9:42INDMISS Rudez 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.2%
36
83.8%
Q2 - 9:50MILMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)23
17.3%
36
82.7%
Q2 - 10:03INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 10:03INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 10:22MILHenson Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)21
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q2 - 10:38INDRudez 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)21
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q2 - 10:52INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 10:53MILMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 11:13MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 11:14INDMISS Allen 9' Hook Shot18
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 11:20INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.0%
34
86.0%
Q2 - 11:22MILMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 11:30INDWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)18
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 11:37INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 11:40INDHenson BLOCK (1 BLK)15
10.1%
34
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL15
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q1 - 0:12.0INDWatson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)15
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMayo Foul Turnover (P1.T4)13
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDMiles 2' Layup (2 PTS)13
8.8%
34
91.2%
Q1 - 1:01MILIlyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)11
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q1 - 1:10MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
9.9%
31
90.1%
Q1 - 1:11INDMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot11
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 1:30MILPachulia 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)11
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q1 - 1:54INDMiles Foul Turnover (P1.T8)11
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q1 - 2:07MILMiddleton 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q1 - 2:14MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
13.9%
27
86.1%
Q1 - 2:16INDMISS Watson 3PT Jump Shot11
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 2:35MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter-Williams 4 AST)11
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 2:47INDScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 2:47INDScola 1' Layup (4 PTS)11
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 2:49INDMISS Mahinmi 1' Layup9
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 2:51INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 2:52INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 2:52INDMISS Scola 1' Layup9
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 2:53INDMISS Miles 1' Layup9
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 3:11MILIlyasova 1' Layup (11 PTS)9
16.7%
24
83.3%
Q1 - 3:16MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q1 - 3:20INDMISS Rudez 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 3:30MILIlyasova 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)9
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 3:46MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
20.5%
20
79.5%
Q1 - 3:47INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 29
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 3:47INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 29
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 3:53MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 4:00INDCarter-Williams STEAL (1 STL)9
20.5%
20
79.5%
Q1 - 4:17MILIlyasova 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)9
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 4:25MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
25.4%
17
74.6%
Q1 - 4:27INDMISS G. Hill 1' Driving Layup9
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 4:39MILIlyasova 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)9
27.3%
17
72.7%
Q1 - 4:54INDScola Layup (2 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)9
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 5:15MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
27.7%
15
72.3%
Q1 - 5:15MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 27
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 5:15MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 5:16MILMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Bank Shot7
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 5:38MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 5:39INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 6:04MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
29.8%
14
70.2%
Q1 - 6:04MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 6:15INDG. Hill 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 6:33MILMiddleton 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)4
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 6:45INDIlyasova STEAL (2 STL)4
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 7:00INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 7:01MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 7:19INDS. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)4
29.8%
10
70.2%
Q1 - 7:24INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 7:27MILMISS Carter-Williams 4' Jump Shot1
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 7:45INDPachulia STEAL (1 STL)1
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 7:55MILCarter-Williams 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)1
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 8:01MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 8:03INDMISS S. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot1
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 8:20MILIlyasova 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)1
30.2%
8
69.8%
Q1 - 8:30MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
31.7%
6
68.3%
Q1 - 8:31INDMISS Rudez 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 8:42INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 8:43MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot1
33.0%
6
67.0%
Q1 - 9:00INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
31.7%
6
68.3%
Q1 - 9:00INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 1 of 20
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 9:17MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.9%
6
68.1%
Q1 - 9:17MILPachulia Tip Shot (4 PTS)0
31.9%
6
68.1%
Q1 - 9:19MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Layup0
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 9:23INDIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)0
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 9:33INDPacers Rebound0
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:33INDMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot0
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 9:53MILCarter-Williams Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 10:03INDG. Hill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)0
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 10:14MILPachulia Layup (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)0
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 10:35INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)0
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 10:35INDPacers Rebound0
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:35INDMISS Rudez 11' Jump Shot0
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 10:59MILMiddleton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 11:15INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 11:15INDPacers Rebound0
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 11:15INDMISS Scola 4' Jump Shot0
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 11:40MILMiddleton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)0
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Hibbert: Tip to Carter-Williams0
40.4%
0
59.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.10 55.2%
MIL
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
27
44%
MIL
17
29
59%
Midrange
IND
4
14
29%
MIL
13
25
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
MIL
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
IND
33
43
77%
MIL
24
34
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Miles2668%13.0 / 19
G. Hill2486%12.0 / 14
C. Watson2372%11.5 / 16
L. Scola1554%7.5 / 14
R. Hibbert1071%5.0 / 7
S. Hill536%2.5 / 7
D. Rudez325%1.5 / 6
I. Mahinmi113%0.5 / 4
L. Allen0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova34100%17.0 / 17
K. Middleton1765%8.5 / 13
G. Antetokounmpo1667%8.0 / 12
M. Carter-Williams1343%6.5 / 15
Z. Pachulia1267%6.0 / 9
J. Henson857%4.0 / 7
J. Bayless643%3.0 / 7
O. Mayo330%1.5 / 5
J. Dudley233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
76
+19
-19
95
MIL
80
+9
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.10 55.2%
MIL
1.23 61.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.1
IND 112.6
MIL 115.6 +3.0
Pace
92.9
93.7
IND 90.4
MIL 101.1 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.8
IND 15.9
MIL 14.2 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
49.9%
IND 52.1%
MIL 59.6% +7.5%
TO %
14.2%
16.8%
IND 20.4%
MIL 15.4% +5.0%
ORB %
24.0%
25.5%
IND 33.3% +16.2%
MIL 17.1%
FTrt
26.6
25.8
IND 60.6 +14.0
MIL 46.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
62.7%
IND 60.0%
MIL 66.7% +6.7%
STL %
6.6%
10.1%
IND 7.4%
MIL 10.4% +3.0%
BLK %
7.4%
8.6%
IND 7.4% +0.1%
MIL 7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.1%
IND 55.2%
MIL 61.7% +6.5%
Rim FG%
55.7%
56.4%
IND 44.4%
MIL 58.6% +14.2%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.4%
IND 28.6%
MIL 52.0% +23.4%
3P %
35.2%
36.3%
IND 46.7%
MIL 47.4% +0.7%
FT %
75.6%
75.7%
IND 76.7% +6.1%
MIL 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
39.8%
IND 38.0%
MIL 39.7% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
37.8%
IND 19.7% +14.5%
MIL 34.2%
3P Att. %
25.5%
22.3%
IND 42.3% +16.2%
MIL 26.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points107111
Rebounds4130
Assists1826
Steals710
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)19 (4)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (7)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)24 (2)
Field Goals30-7139-73
At-the-Rim FG12-2717-29
Midrange FG4-1413-25
2-Point FG16-4130-54
3-Point FG14-309-19
Free Throws33-4324-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 188 · 29
33.7
24
86%
3
5
1
0
5
4
1
2
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
32.2
26
68%
3
1
1
0
2
3
1
2
8-10
80%
3-6
50%
4-8
50%
F · 6'9" 241 · 35
29.3
15
54%
8
2
1
1
2
4
5
3
3-5
60%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 28
27.3
10
71%
3
0
1
2
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
22.9
5
36%
6
2
0
0
4
4
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 31
31.9
23
72%
7
7
2
0
4
5
1
6
13-15
87%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
F · 6'10" 228 · 29
23.5
3
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
20.5
1
13%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26
18.7
0
0%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24
F · 6'9" 239 · 31
#13 · F · 6'8" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'5" 205 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
41
18
7
4
19
0
12
29
33-43
77%
16-41
39%
14-30
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.