FinalWin Prob.pScore
255%104
94
745%102
101
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
94.010094.6
DAL logo DAL
103.198104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL94
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASAyres Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASAyres Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)93
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASWilliams 13' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALEllis 17' Pullup Jump Shot (38 PTS)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DALAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:05SASMISS Diaw 15' Jump Shot90
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 1:22DALParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 1:22DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 1:43SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)90
2.8%
97
97.2%
Q4 - 1:53DALEllis 8' Driving Jump Shot (36 PTS)87
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 2:08DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 2:09SASMISS Diaw 3PT Jump Shot87
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 2:31DALChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T16)87
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 2:48SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)87
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 2:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 2:53DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot84
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 3:04SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 3:04SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 283
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 3:06DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)83
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 3:08DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:10DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Tip Shot83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 3:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:10DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Tip Shot83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 3:12DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 3:20DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:21SASMISS Mills 18' Jump Shot83
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 3:30DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)83
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 3:30DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)83
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 3:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)83
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 3:30DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot83
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 3:54SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)83
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 4:09SASSpurs Rebound80
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 4:09SASMISS Mills 14' Driving Jump Shot80
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 4:29DALEllis 20' Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)80
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 4:51SASGinobili 6' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)80
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 4:58DALChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)78
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 5:01DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 5:02SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 5:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 5:20DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot78
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 5:26DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 5:28SASMISS Leonard 1' Driving Layup78
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 5:41DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)78
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 5:41DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)78
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 5:57SASMills 24' 3PT Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)78
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 6:13DALEllis 19' Pullup Jump Shot (30 PTS)75
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 6:32SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P4.T16)75
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 6:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 6:42DALMISS Rondo 8' Jump Hook Shot75
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 6:58SASBelinelli Driving Layup (7 PTS)75
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 7:13DALChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T13)73
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 7:29SASMills 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)73
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 7:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 7:41DALMISS Aminu 3PT Jump Shot71
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 8:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)71
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 8:09SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot71
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 8:20SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 8:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 8:31DALHarris 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)71
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 8:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 8:38SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 8:48SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 8:49DALMISS Aminu 3PT Jump Shot71
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 9:04SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)71
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 9:17SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 9:18DALMISS Rondo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup69
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 9:27DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 9:28SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 9:33SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q4 - 9:34DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 9:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 9:45SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 269
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 9:45SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 9:55SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 9:55DALMISS Aminu Free Throw 1 of 168
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 10:06SASBelinelli 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)68
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 10:22DALFelton 2' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 10:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot66
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 11:02DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)66
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q4 - 11:06DALAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q4 - 11:07DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q4 - 11:11SASParsons STEAL (2 STL)66
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 11:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
10.1%
78
89.9%
Q4 - 11:15DALMISS Harris 3' Driving Jump Shot66
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q4 - 11:22DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Mills 18' Jump Shot66
8.7%
78
91.3%
Q4 - 11:39DALParsons 3' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS)66
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS66
12.0%
76
88.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMISS Ellis 7' Step Back Jump Shot66
15.1%
76
84.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)66
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0DALHarris 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)66
15.8%
76
84.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)66
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALMISS Stoudemire 4' Driving Jump Shot63
12.6%
74
87.4%
Q3 - 1:03SASAyres Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)63
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q3 - 1:08SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
14.6%
74
85.4%
Q3 - 1:09SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q3 - 1:31SASSpurs Rebound63
14.5%
74
85.5%
Q3 - 1:32DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 1:54SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
12.2%
74
87.8%
Q3 - 1:54SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 1:54SASGreen Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)61
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q3 - 2:03DALEllis 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS)60
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q3 - 2:09SASVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)60
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 2:32DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
13.5%
72
86.5%
Q3 - 2:32DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)60
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q3 - 2:35DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
15.7%
70
84.3%
Q3 - 2:36SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
16.5%
70
83.5%
Q3 - 2:56DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)60
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 3:03DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
25.7%
67
74.3%
Q3 - 3:04SASMISS Diaw 5' Driving Hook Shot60
26.8%
67
73.2%
Q3 - 3:16DALVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)60
29.4%
67
70.6%
Q3 - 3:34SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)60
36.9%
64
63.1%
Q3 - 3:51DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (26 PTS)58
33.1%
64
66.9%
Q3 - 4:01DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
37.3%
62
62.7%
Q3 - 4:02SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot58
38.8%
62
61.2%
Q3 - 4:17DALEllis 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)58
42.2%
62
57.8%
Q3 - 4:44DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
49.8%
59
50.2%
Q3 - 4:44SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot58
51.4%
59
48.6%
Q3 - 4:51SASSpurs Rebound58
54.9%
59
45.1%
Q3 - 4:51SASHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)58
51.4%
59
48.6%
Q3 - 4:54DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)58
54.9%
59
45.1%
Q3 - 5:03SASLeonard 11' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)58
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q3 - 5:21DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)56
46.6%
59
53.4%
Q3 - 5:41SASDiaw 20' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
50.1%
57
49.9%
Q3 - 5:59DALNowitzki 9' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)54
46.6%
57
53.4%
Q3 - 6:08DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q3 - 6:09SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
51.9%
55
48.1%
Q3 - 6:35DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)54
55.0%
55
45.0%
Q3 - 6:54SASMISS Green Free Throw Technical54
58.3%
53
41.7%
Q3 - 6:55SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)54
58.3%
53
41.7%
Q3 - 7:02SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
51.1%
53
48.9%
Q3 - 7:04DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup51
49.8%
53
50.2%
Q3 - 7:09DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
46.8%
53
53.2%
Q3 - 7:10SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
48.1%
53
51.9%
Q3 - 7:22DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)51
51.1%
53
48.9%
Q3 - 7:43SASLeonard 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
54.4%
51
45.6%
Q3 - 7:59DALRondo Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)49
51.1%
51
48.9%
Q3 - 8:11SASSplitter Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)49
47.0%
51
53.0%
Q3 - 8:25DALParsons Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)49
51.4%
51
48.6%
Q3 - 8:33SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
47.0%
51
53.0%
Q3 - 8:33SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 248
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q3 - 8:45DALChandler Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)48
47.6%
51
52.4%
Q3 - 8:54SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)48
50.7%
49
49.3%
Q3 - 9:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
54.8%
49
45.2%
Q3 - 9:07DALMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot48
53.7%
49
46.3%
Q3 - 9:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
51.1%
49
48.9%
Q3 - 9:13SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot48
52.2%
49
47.8%
Q3 - 9:16DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)48
54.8%
49
45.2%
Q3 - 9:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
51.1%
49
48.9%
Q3 - 9:19SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot48
52.2%
49
47.8%
Q3 - 9:37DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)48
54.9%
49
45.1%
Q3 - 9:46SASSplitter 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)48
58.3%
47
41.7%
Q3 - 10:05DALEllis 9' Driving Jump Shot (19 PTS)48
62.1%
47
37.9%
Q3 - 10:11DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
65.3%
45
34.7%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot48
66.2%
45
33.8%
Q3 - 10:25DALEllis 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)48
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q3 - 10:33SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)48
71.4%
43
28.6%
Q3 - 10:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
74.2%
43
25.8%
Q3 - 10:57DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot48
73.3%
43
26.7%
Q3 - 11:22SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T7)48
71.2%
43
28.8%
Q3 - 11:27DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)48
74.0%
43
26.0%
Q3 - 11:44SASParker 8' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)48
71.2%
43
28.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS46
68.5%
43
31.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
68.5%
43
31.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q2 - 0:19.0DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
65.5%
43
34.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot46
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound46
65.5%
43
34.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALMISS Parsons Free Throw 1 of 146
67.4%
43
32.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot46
74.4%
40
25.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Duncan: Tip to Splitter46
75.7%
40
24.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup46
75.1%
40
24.9%
Q2 - 1:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
73.7%
40
26.3%
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Duncan 6' Fadeaway Bank Shot46
74.1%
40
25.9%
Q2 - 1:23DALEllis 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)46
75.0%
40
25.0%
Q2 - 1:37SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
78.3%
38
21.7%
Q2 - 1:37SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
77.7%
38
22.3%
Q2 - 1:57DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)44
75.0%
38
25.0%
Q2 - 2:06SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
77.4%
36
22.6%
Q2 - 2:06SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
72.7%
36
27.3%
Q2 - 2:07SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
71.0%
36
29.0%
Q2 - 2:14SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
72.7%
36
27.3%
Q2 - 2:15DALMISS Harris 3' Driving Layup41
72.0%
36
28.0%
Q2 - 2:21DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
70.3%
36
29.7%
Q2 - 2:22SASMISS Diaw 5' Turnaround Jump Shot41
71.0%
36
29.0%
Q2 - 2:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
72.7%
36
27.3%
Q2 - 2:35DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
72.0%
36
28.0%
Q2 - 2:43SASEllis STEAL (2 STL)41
70.3%
36
29.7%
Q2 - 3:04DALParsons 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)41
72.7%
36
27.3%
Q2 - 3:21SASDiaw 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)41
74.6%
34
25.4%
Q2 - 3:33SASSpurs Rebound41
77.2%
34
22.8%
Q2 - 3:34DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
76.4%
34
23.6%
Q2 - 3:44SASDiaw 4' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
74.6%
34
25.4%
Q2 - 4:03SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
71.9%
34
28.1%
Q2 - 4:03SASMISS Leonard 23' Jump Shot39
70.2%
34
29.8%
Q2 - 4:12SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
71.9%
34
28.1%
Q2 - 4:14DALMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup39
71.2%
34
28.8%
Q2 - 4:22SASParsons STEAL (1 STL)39
69.5%
34
30.5%
Q2 - 4:36SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
72.0%
34
28.0%
Q2 - 4:37DALMISS Parsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
71.2%
34
28.8%
Q2 - 4:42DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
69.5%
34
30.5%
Q2 - 4:45DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
71.2%
34
28.8%
Q2 - 5:04DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
69.5%
34
30.5%
Q2 - 5:04SASMISS Parker 5' Driving Jump Shot39
70.2%
34
29.8%
Q2 - 5:20DALParsons Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)39
71.8%
34
28.2%
Q2 - 5:24SASEllis STEAL (1 STL)39
74.0%
32
26.0%
Q2 - 5:38DALEllis 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)39
76.1%
32
23.9%
Q2 - 5:43SASHarris STEAL (1 STL)39
78.1%
30
21.9%
Q2 - 6:06DALChandler 1' Layup (4 PTS)39
79.7%
30
20.3%
Q2 - 6:21SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)39
81.1%
28
18.9%
Q2 - 6:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
77.9%
28
22.1%
Q2 - 6:28SASMISS Leonard 12' Running Jump Shot36
76.3%
28
23.7%
Q2 - 6:34SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
77.9%
28
22.1%
Q2 - 6:35DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot36
77.2%
28
22.8%
Q2 - 6:41DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)36
75.6%
28
24.4%
Q2 - 6:42SASMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
76.3%
28
23.7%
Q2 - 6:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
78.0%
28
22.0%
Q2 - 6:51DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
77.3%
28
22.7%
Q2 - 6:57DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
75.6%
28
24.4%
Q2 - 6:58SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot36
76.4%
28
23.6%
Q2 - 7:14DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
77.4%
28
22.6%
Q2 - 7:14DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
77.7%
27
22.3%
Q2 - 7:20DALFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
79.0%
26
21.0%
Q2 - 7:22SASMISS Leonard 7' Jump Shot36
79.6%
26
20.4%
Q2 - 7:41DALNowitzki 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)36
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 7:58DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
82.4%
24
17.6%
Q2 - 7:59SASMISS Splitter 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot36
82.9%
24
17.1%
Q2 - 8:24DALParsons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)36
83.4%
24
16.6%
Q2 - 8:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
84.7%
22
15.3%
Q2 - 8:32SASMISS Leonard 21' Pullup Jump Shot36
85.2%
22
14.8%
Q2 - 8:40SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
86.1%
22
13.9%
Q2 - 8:42DALMISS Ellis 7' Driving Jump Shot36
85.7%
22
14.3%
Q2 - 8:48SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)36
84.8%
22
15.2%
Q2 - 8:53SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
86.1%
22
13.9%
Q2 - 8:54DALMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
85.7%
22
14.3%
Q2 - 9:16SASBonner 5' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS)36
84.2%
22
15.8%
Q2 - 9:37DALStoudemire 3' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)34
83.0%
22
17.0%
Q2 - 9:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
84.2%
20
15.8%
Q2 - 9:50SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot34
84.7%
20
15.3%
Q2 - 9:59DALStoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)34
85.7%
20
14.3%
Q2 - 10:18SASDiaw 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)34
83.9%
20
16.1%
Q2 - 10:28SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
82.8%
20
17.2%
Q2 - 10:29DALMISS Aminu 6' Driving Jump Shot32
82.3%
20
17.7%
Q2 - 10:50SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)32
81.0%
20
19.0%
Q2 - 11:12DALJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)29
77.4%
20
22.6%
Q2 - 11:17DALFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
80.6%
17
19.4%
Q2 - 11:19DALMISS Felton 1' Driving Layup29
81.6%
17
18.4%
Q2 - 11:39DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
80.6%
17
19.4%
Q2 - 11:40SASMISS Diaw 14' Jump Shot29
81.1%
17
18.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL29
82.2%
17
17.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
80.3%
17
19.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper29
80.6%
17
19.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0DALStoudemire 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
81.4%
17
18.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
83.1%
15
16.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
81.4%
15
18.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
80.6%
15
19.4%
Q1 - 1:03DALHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
81.1%
15
18.9%
Q1 - 1:05SASLeonard 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)27
80.0%
15
20.0%
Q1 - 1:16SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
78.1%
15
21.9%
Q1 - 1:17SASMISS Diaw 5' Hook Shot25
77.3%
15
22.7%
Q1 - 1:30DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)25
78.1%
15
21.9%
Q1 - 1:47SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
76.9%
15
23.1%
Q1 - 1:47SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
76.6%
15
23.4%
Q1 - 1:50DALAminu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
74.8%
15
25.2%
Q1 - 2:09SASDiaw 2' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)23
73.2%
15
26.8%
Q1 - 2:28DALParsons 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)21
71.3%
15
28.7%
Q1 - 2:34DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
73.2%
13
26.8%
Q1 - 2:35SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot21
73.7%
13
26.3%
Q1 - 2:47SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
74.9%
13
25.1%
Q1 - 2:48DALMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 121
74.6%
13
25.4%
Q1 - 3:08SASLeonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
76.2%
11
23.8%
Q1 - 3:25DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
74.7%
11
25.3%
Q1 - 3:35DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
72.8%
11
27.2%
Q1 - 3:35DALMISS Stoudemire 5' Jump Hook Shot19
74.2%
11
25.8%
Q1 - 3:54DALMAVERICKS Rebound19
72.8%
11
27.2%
Q1 - 3:55SASMISS Diaw 16' Jump Shot19
73.4%
11
26.6%
Q1 - 4:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 4:20SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot19
73.2%
11
26.8%
Q1 - 4:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 4:29DALMISS Chandler 3' Driving Layup19
73.9%
11
26.1%
Q1 - 4:58SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)19
72.6%
11
27.4%
Q1 - 5:17DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)16
68.4%
11
31.6%
Q1 - 5:28SASParker 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
66.5%
11
33.5%
Q1 - 5:50SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
64.8%
11
35.2%
Q1 - 5:51DALMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot14
64.2%
11
35.8%
Q1 - 5:58DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
62.7%
11
37.3%
Q1 - 5:59SASMISS Splitter 6' Hook Shot14
63.3%
11
36.7%
Q1 - 6:14SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 6:15DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot14
63.8%
11
36.2%
Q1 - 6:27SASSplitter 3' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
62.4%
11
37.6%
Q1 - 6:44SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
60.7%
11
39.3%
Q1 - 6:45DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot12
60.0%
11
40.0%
Q1 - 6:59SASSplitter 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
58.6%
11
41.4%
Q1 - 7:24DALChandler 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)10
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 7:26DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 7:27DALMISS Rondo 18' Jump Shot10
60.1%
9
39.9%
Q1 - 7:34DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 7:36SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot10
59.3%
9
40.7%
Q1 - 7:45SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
60.8%
9
39.2%
Q1 - 7:46DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper10
60.1%
9
39.9%
Q1 - 8:03SASGreen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
59.1%
9
40.9%
Q1 - 8:08DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 8:15SASSplitter 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
55.4%
9
44.6%
Q1 - 8:29SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.6%
9
46.4%
Q1 - 8:30DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 8:41SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)6
51.5%
9
48.5%
Q1 - 8:55DALEllis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)4
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 9:01DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
51.7%
7
48.3%
Q1 - 9:02SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
52.3%
7
47.7%
Q1 - 9:18DALEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)4
53.7%
7
46.3%
Q1 - 9:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 9:31SASMISS Green 6' Running Jump Shot4
57.9%
4
42.1%
Q1 - 9:50DALRondo 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 9:58DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
61.0%
2
39.0%
Q1 - 9:59SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:08DALMISS Ellis 6' Driving Jump Shot4
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 10:16SASDuncan 6' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 10:43DALEllis 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
59.3%
2
40.7%
Q1 - 11:05SASLeonard 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 11:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 11:11DALMISS Parsons 3' Driving Jump Shot0
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 11:24DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 11:25SASParsons BLOCK (1 BLK)0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 11:42SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 11:43DALMISS Parsons 2' Driving Layup0
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Chandler vs. Duncan: Tip to Rondo0
57.4%
0
42.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
DAL
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
22
64%
DAL
22
36
61%
Midrange
SAS
14
35
40%
DAL
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
DAL
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
SAS
14
18
78%
DAL
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard1953%9.5 / 18
D. Green1794%8.5 / 9
T. Parker833%4.0 / 12
T. Splitter857%4.0 / 7
B. Diaw833%4.0 / 12
M. Belinelli744%3.5 / 8
M. Ginobili750%3.5 / 7
T. Duncan643%3.0 / 7
P. Mills531%2.5 / 8
M. Bonner5125%2.5 / 2
J. Ayres2100%1.0 / 1
R. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis3866%19.0 / 29
C. Parsons1558%7.5 / 13
D. Nowitzki1544%7.5 / 17
D. Harris950%4.5 / 9
T. Chandler675%3.0 / 4
A. Stoudemire650%3.0 / 6
C. Villanueva3150%1.5 / 1
R. Jefferson3150%1.5 / 1
R. Rondo220%1.0 / 5
A. Aminu225%1.0 / 4
R. Felton233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
84
+10
-16
94
DAL
82
+11
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
DAL
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
109.3
SAS 94.0 +9.1
DAL 103.1
Pace
93.9
95.4
SAS 94.6
DAL 104.0 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.1
SAS 15.2
DAL 13.8 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
51.5%
SAS 47.1%
DAL 52.3% +5.2%
TO %
14.2%
13.0%
SAS 14.7% +0.8%
DAL 15.5%
ORB %
23.4%
23.7%
SAS 17.0%
DAL 22.2% +5.2%
FTrt
25.6
26.2
SAS 21.2 +6.3
DAL 14.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
56.7%
SAS 44.4%
DAL 50.0% +5.6%
STL %
8.5%
8.4%
SAS 12.0% +5.9%
DAL 6.1%
BLK %
8.4%
7.6%
SAS 7.7% +4.2%
DAL 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
53.7%
SAS 50.0%
DAL 53.2% +3.2%
Rim FG%
59.6%
60.3%
SAS 63.6% +2.5%
DAL 61.1%
Mid FG%
42.1%
41.5%
SAS 40.0%
DAL 44.8% +4.8%
3P %
36.7%
35.2%
SAS 28.6%
DAL 31.8% +3.2%
FT %
78.0%
75.2%
SAS 77.8% +0.9%
DAL 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
35.3%
SAS 25.9%
DAL 41.4% +15.5%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
35.1%
SAS 41.2%
DAL 33.3% +7.8%
3P Att. %
26.9%
29.6%
SAS 32.9% +7.7%
DAL 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions10098
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points94101
Rebounds4349
Assists1621
Steals126
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)39 (1)
Field Goals36-8542-87
At-the-Rim FG14-2222-36
Midrange FG14-3513-29
2-Point FG28-5735-65
3-Point FG8-287-22
Free Throws14-1810-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
35.9
19
53%
9
3
4
1
0
4
2
7
5-6
83%
7-13
54%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
27.9
17
94%
4
1
2
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
26.0
8
33%
1
3
2
0
4
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 250 · 39
24.0
6
43%
7
0
0
2
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 30
21.8
8
57%
4
1
3
1
4
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33
29.4
8
33%
4
1
0
0
3
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
20.6
5
31%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29
18.9
7
44%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
G · 6'6" 205 · 38
16.0
7
50%
4
3
1
0
3
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35
11.1
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28
5.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 205 · 29
1.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#16 · C · 6'10" 260 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
50%
43
16
12
5
16
0
8
35
14-18
78%
28-57
49%
8-28
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.