for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, March 24, 2015
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Heat
47%95
88
22
Bucks
53%96
89
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.89093.3
MIL logo MIL
101.18885.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pachulia 7 AST)88
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
97.7%
86
2.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMISS Bayless 1' Layup88
97.2%
86
2.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILJump Ball Bayless vs. Beasley: Tip to Middleton88
80.5%
86
19.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
93.9%
86
6.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 2 of 288
92.7%
86
7.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
86.9%
86
13.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
91.9%
85
8.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Middleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
96.6%
85
3.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)88
91.1%
85
8.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 288
92.4%
85
7.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
95.7%
85
4.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHeat Rebound87
93.2%
85
6.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILMISS Pachulia Layup87
90.4%
85
9.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
75.8%
85
24.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot87
80.6%
85
19.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)87
85.3%
85
14.7%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWade 1' Layup (20 PTS)87
70.1%
85
29.9%
Q4 - 1:20MILPachulia Layup (14 PTS)85
57.0%
85
43.0%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)85
67.2%
83
32.8%
Q4 - 2:03MILBayless 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pachulia 6 AST)85
77.9%
83
22.1%
Q4 - 2:12MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)85
82.6%
81
17.4%
Q4 - 2:14MIAIlyasova BLOCK (3 BLK)85
85.3%
81
14.7%
Q4 - 2:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
90.3%
81
9.7%
Q4 - 2:38MILMISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
88.3%
81
11.7%
Q4 - 3:00MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
80.6%
81
19.4%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup85
83.3%
81
16.7%
Q4 - 3:18MILIlyasova 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)85
88.3%
81
11.7%
Q4 - 3:29MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
90.8%
79
9.2%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot85
92.2%
79
7.8%
Q4 - 3:52MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)85
91.7%
79
8.3%
Q4 - 4:10MIAAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T18)85
95.8%
76
4.2%
Q4 - 4:25MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
97.2%
76
2.8%
Q4 - 4:27MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
96.9%
76
3.1%
Q4 - 4:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
96.0%
76
4.0%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot85
96.4%
76
3.6%
Q4 - 4:59MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)85
97.3%
76
2.7%
Q4 - 5:12MIAPachulia STEAL (5 STL)85
97.6%
73
2.4%
Q4 - 5:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
98.4%
73
1.6%
Q4 - 5:22MILMISS Ilyasova 11' Jump Shot85
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 5:36MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot85
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 6:03MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST)85
97.6%
73
2.4%
Q4 - 6:13MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
98.2%
71
1.8%
Q4 - 6:14MILMISS Antetokounmpo 20' Jump Shot85
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS)85
98.2%
71
1.8%
Q4 - 6:37MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T20)83
97.7%
71
2.3%
Q4 - 6:42MIABayless STEAL (2 STL)83
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q4 - 6:56MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
97.7%
71
2.3%
Q4 - 6:56MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 6:56MILPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)81
95.9%
71
4.1%
Q4 - 7:15MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
92.9%
71
7.1%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot81
93.5%
71
6.5%
Q4 - 7:41MIAHeat Rebound81
94.7%
71
5.3%
Q4 - 7:41MILMISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
94.2%
71
5.8%
Q4 - 7:57MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T15)81
93.0%
71
7.0%
Q4 - 8:07MILBayless 1' Layup (8 PTS)81
93.3%
71
6.7%
Q4 - 8:11MIAPachulia STEAL (4 STL)81
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q4 - 8:36MILAntetokounmpo 4' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)81
96.0%
69
4.0%
Q4 - 9:02MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T13)81
95.9%
67
4.1%
Q4 - 9:19MILAntetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
96.8%
67
3.2%
Q4 - 9:26MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.6%
65
2.4%
Q4 - 9:42MILCarter-Williams Foul Turnover (P6.T18)81
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q4 - 9:53MIADragic Layup (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)81
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q4 - 10:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
96.1%
65
3.9%
Q4 - 10:17MILMISS Plumlee 1' Layup79
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q4 - 10:21MILBUCKS Rebound79
95.2%
65
4.8%
Q4 - 10:21MILMISS Bayless 1' Layup79
95.9%
65
4.1%
Q4 - 10:43MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
95.2%
65
4.8%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q4 - 10:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
96.2%
65
3.8%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup79
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q4 - 11:09MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)79
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q4 - 11:15MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q4 - 11:17MIAPlumlee BLOCK (1 BLK)79
94.7%
65
5.3%
Q4 - 11:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q4 - 11:37MILMISS Middleton 2' Layup79
95.2%
65
4.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound79
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P4.T16)79
94.7%
65
5.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILBayless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
93.6%
65
6.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
94.0%
65
6.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 8' Jump Shot79
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILHenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)79
93.7%
65
6.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0MILMISS Plumlee Alley Oop Dunk79
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
93.7%
65
6.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q3 - 1:02MILBayless REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
92.8%
65
7.2%
Q3 - 1:03MILMISS Bayless 8' Jump Shot79
93.7%
65
6.3%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)79
92.8%
65
7.2%
Q3 - 1:31MILBayless 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Henson 1 AST)76
89.8%
65
10.2%
Q3 - 1:49MIADragic Driving Layup (14 PTS)76
91.5%
63
8.5%
Q3 - 2:15MILPlumlee 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)74
88.5%
63
11.5%
Q3 - 2:20MILMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
90.2%
61
9.8%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
90.7%
61
9.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
91.8%
61
8.2%
Q3 - 2:32MILMISS Mayo 16' Jump Shot74
91.4%
61
8.6%
Q3 - 2:47MIAAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)74
90.3%
61
9.7%
Q3 - 3:05MILPlumlee 1' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)72
87.6%
61
12.4%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWalker 29' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)72
89.3%
59
10.7%
Q3 - 3:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
85.6%
59
14.4%
Q3 - 3:33MILMISS Henson 1' Layup69
84.9%
59
15.1%
Q3 - 3:45MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)69
83.1%
59
16.9%
Q3 - 3:55MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
80.7%
59
19.3%
Q3 - 3:56MILHenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
77.6%
59
22.4%
Q3 - 3:56MILMISS Henson 1' Tip Shot67
79.8%
59
20.2%
Q3 - 3:57MILMISS Mayo 1' Layup67
79.8%
59
20.2%
Q3 - 3:58MILMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
77.6%
59
22.4%
Q3 - 3:59MILMISS Mayo 9' Jump Shot67
79.8%
59
20.2%
Q3 - 4:10MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T12)67
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 4:26MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T15)67
79.8%
59
20.2%
Q3 - 4:40MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
76.4%
59
23.6%
Q3 - 4:42MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (3 BLK)67
77.5%
59
22.5%
Q3 - 5:02MILPachulia 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
78.7%
59
21.3%
Q3 - 5:06MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
81.0%
57
19.0%
Q3 - 5:09MILMISS Bayless 1' Layup67
82.9%
57
17.1%
Q3 - 5:15MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)67
81.0%
57
19.0%
Q3 - 5:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
75.9%
57
24.1%
Q3 - 5:29MILMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot64
74.8%
57
25.2%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)64
72.3%
57
27.7%
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)64
74.9%
57
25.1%
Q3 - 6:20MIAHeat Rebound63
71.9%
57
28.1%
Q3 - 6:21MILMISS Antetokounmpo 19' Jump Shot63
70.7%
57
29.3%
Q3 - 6:40MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot63
69.3%
57
30.7%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
71.9%
57
28.1%
Q3 - 6:52MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 6:52MILMISS Ilyasova Tip Shot63
70.8%
57
29.2%
Q3 - 6:53MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
70.8%
57
29.2%
Q3 - 7:06MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)63
67.2%
57
32.8%
Q3 - 7:19MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
60.7%
57
39.3%
Q3 - 7:19MILIlyasova 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)60
60.7%
57
39.3%
Q3 - 7:21MILMISS Pachulia 2' Reverse Layup60
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
63.8%
55
36.2%
Q3 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
63.1%
55
36.9%
Q3 - 7:45MILMiddleton Dunk (7 PTS) (Pachulia 5 AST)58
60.7%
55
39.3%
Q3 - 8:01MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)58
63.2%
53
36.8%
Q3 - 8:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
56.7%
53
43.3%
Q3 - 8:14MILMISS Middleton 16' Jump Shot55
55.4%
53
44.6%
Q3 - 8:19MILBUCKS Rebound55
52.4%
53
47.6%
Q3 - 8:19MILMISS Middleton 10' Jump Shot55
55.4%
53
44.6%
Q3 - 8:43MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)55
52.4%
53
47.6%
Q3 - 9:03MILCarter-Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)53
48.7%
53
51.3%
Q3 - 9:17MIABeasley 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
45.0%
53
55.0%
Q3 - 9:28MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
41.6%
53
58.4%
Q3 - 9:28MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
42.4%
52
57.6%
Q3 - 9:32MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
45.0%
51
55.0%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
46.1%
51
53.9%
Q3 - 9:49MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)51
48.8%
51
51.2%
Q3 - 10:12MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
45.1%
51
54.9%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot51
46.2%
51
53.8%
Q3 - 10:25MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P2.T12)51
48.7%
51
51.3%
Q3 - 10:28MIAIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)51
45.1%
51
54.9%
Q3 - 10:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
48.7%
51
51.3%
Q3 - 10:47MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup51
47.6%
51
52.4%
Q3 - 10:56MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
45.1%
51
54.9%
Q3 - 10:56MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Hook Shot51
47.6%
51
52.4%
Q3 - 11:00MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
45.1%
51
54.9%
Q3 - 11:02MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 151
48.3%
51
51.7%
Q3 - 11:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)51
52.0%
49
48.0%
Q3 - 11:21MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T11)51
55.5%
49
44.5%
Q3 - 11:31MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
52.0%
49
48.0%
Q3 - 11:34MIAIlyasova BLOCK (2 BLK)51
53.1%
49
46.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
55.6%
49
44.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound51
55.6%
49
44.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 71' 3PT Jump Shot51
53.1%
49
46.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)51
55.6%
49
44.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
52.4%
49
47.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK)51
53.1%
49
46.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
54.7%
49
45.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILMISS Middleton 20' Jump Shot51
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIABeasley 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
52.3%
49
47.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILIlyasova Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)49
48.2%
49
51.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
45.8%
49
54.2%
Q2 - 1:17MILMiddleton 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)47
41.7%
49
58.3%
Q2 - 1:30MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
46.2%
47
53.8%
Q2 - 1:54MILPachulia 1' Layup (8 PTS)44
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 1:56MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
43.1%
45
56.9%
Q2 - 1:57MILMISS Ilyasova Layup44
44.3%
45
55.7%
Q2 - 2:02MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 2:04MIABayless BLOCK (1 BLK)44
43.3%
45
56.7%
Q2 - 2:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot44
43.3%
45
56.7%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup44
43.3%
45
56.7%
Q2 - 2:33MILAntetokounmpo Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)44
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q2 - 2:43MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
48.6%
43
51.4%
Q2 - 2:46MILMiddleton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)41
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)41
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q2 - 3:25MILPlumlee Dunk (4 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST)38
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 3:40MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
36.6%
41
63.4%
Q2 - 3:41MILMISS Middleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
38.9%
41
61.1%
Q2 - 4:04MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
37.0%
41
63.0%
Q2 - 4:21MILAntetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Plumlee 1 AST)36
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 4:32MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
37.8%
39
62.2%
Q2 - 4:52MILPachulia Dunk (6 PTS)36
39.8%
39
60.2%
Q2 - 4:56MIAPachulia STEAL (3 STL)36
42.4%
37
57.6%
Q2 - 5:00MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
45.4%
37
54.6%
Q2 - 5:00MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
45.9%
36
54.1%
Q2 - 5:21MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
48.3%
35
51.7%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
49.1%
35
50.9%
Q2 - 5:50MILPlumlee Layup (2 PTS) (Pachulia 4 AST)36
51.1%
35
48.9%
Q2 - 6:00MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 6:02MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)36
54.4%
33
45.6%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)36
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot36
54.4%
33
45.6%
Q2 - 6:27MILCarter-Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)36
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 6:31MIAPachulia STEAL (2 STL)36
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 6:44MILMISS Carter-Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
55.7%
33
44.3%
Q2 - 7:01MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
53.4%
33
46.6%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot36
54.3%
33
45.7%
Q2 - 7:21MILBayless Layup (4 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)36
56.2%
33
43.8%
Q2 - 7:37MIAWade 2' Layup (9 PTS)36
58.6%
31
41.4%
Q2 - 7:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
56.3%
31
43.7%
Q2 - 7:48MILMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
55.4%
31
44.6%
Q2 - 7:54MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
53.4%
31
46.6%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot34
54.3%
31
45.7%
Q2 - 8:11MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)34
55.8%
31
44.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIABayless STEAL (1 STL)34
58.2%
29
41.8%
Q2 - 8:38MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 8:38MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
61.4%
28
38.6%
Q2 - 8:43MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
63.2%
27
36.8%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot34
63.9%
27
36.1%
Q2 - 9:06MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
65.1%
27
34.9%
Q2 - 9:06MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
65.6%
26
34.4%
Q2 - 9:22MIAWade 19' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)34
67.1%
25
32.9%
Q2 - 9:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
65.1%
25
34.9%
Q2 - 9:34MILMISS Plumlee 6' Hook Shot32
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q2 - 9:53MIAWalker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)32
62.5%
25
37.5%
Q2 - 10:08MILHenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
65.0%
25
35.0%
Q2 - 10:25MIAChalmers 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)32
68.9%
22
31.1%
Q2 - 10:34MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)30
67.2%
22
32.8%
Q2 - 10:58MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q2 - 11:17MIAHeat Rebound27
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q2 - 11:17MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q2 - 11:17MILMISS Plumlee 1' Layup27
58.9%
22
41.1%
Q2 - 11:17MILMISS Henson 1' Layup27
58.9%
22
41.1%
Q2 - 11:31MIAAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)27
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q2 - 11:38MIAHeat Rebound27
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot27
57.9%
22
42.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
59.7%
22
40.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound27
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot27
58.9%
22
41.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAAndersen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
57.1%
22
42.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
54.2%
22
45.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILMISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
53.7%
22
46.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
52.5%
22
47.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot25
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
54.2%
22
45.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
53.7%
22
46.3%
Q1 - 1:07MIADragic Layup (4 PTS)25
52.4%
22
47.6%
Q1 - 1:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 223
48.0%
22
52.0%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 223
49.6%
22
50.4%
Q1 - 1:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 1:37MILMISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 123
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 1:37MILHenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q1 - 1:37MILMISS Bayless 8' Jump Shot23
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q1 - 1:57MIAChalmers Layup (4 PTS)23
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q1 - 2:01MILEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
49.7%
20
50.3%
Q1 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
47.1%
20
52.9%
Q1 - 2:24MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)19
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 2:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)16
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot16
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q1 - 2:55MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 2:57MILMISS Middleton Free Throw 2 of 216
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 2:57MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 2:57MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 2:57MILMISS Middleton 1' Layup16
40.0%
19
60.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 3:25MILBayless 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)16
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 3:38MILBUCKS Rebound16
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 3:38MILMISS Bayless 16' Jump Shot16
44.6%
17
55.4%
Q1 - 3:41MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 3:42MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot16
44.6%
17
55.4%
Q1 - 3:59MIADragic 1' Layup (2 PTS)16
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 4:18MILIlyasova Layup (11 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)14
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 4:29MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
42.8%
15
57.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)14
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
45.3%
15
54.7%
Q1 - 4:42MILMISS Middleton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot14
44.6%
15
55.4%
Q1 - 4:56MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
42.8%
15
57.2%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Shot14
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup14
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 5:13MILIlyasova Layup (9 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)14
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 5:24MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
47.0%
13
53.0%
Q1 - 5:47MILPachulia Dunk (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)14
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 6:08MIADeng Layup (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)14
50.7%
11
49.3%
Q1 - 6:12MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
48.9%
11
51.1%
Q1 - 6:25MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)12
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
43.0%
11
57.0%
Q1 - 6:33MILMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot9
42.3%
11
57.7%
Q1 - 6:41MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
40.9%
11
59.1%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot9
41.5%
11
58.5%
Q1 - 7:01MILCarter-Williams 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
43.1%
11
56.9%
Q1 - 7:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
44.7%
9
55.3%
Q1 - 7:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
44.3%
9
55.7%
Q1 - 7:28MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 7:28MILIlyasova 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)7
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 7:32MILMISS Pachulia 3' Layup7
46.3%
7
53.7%
Q1 - 7:40MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)7
45.4%
7
54.6%
Q1 - 7:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 7:50MILMISS Carter-Williams 8' Jump Shot7
46.3%
7
53.7%
Q1 - 8:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
45.0%
7
55.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
45.0%
7
55.0%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup5
41.9%
7
58.1%
Q1 - 8:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
43.3%
7
56.7%
Q1 - 8:27MILMISS Carter-Williams 16' Jump Shot5
42.6%
7
57.4%
Q1 - 8:49MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
41.2%
7
58.8%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 24
40.9%
7
59.1%
Q1 - 9:04MILMiddleton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)4
41.4%
7
58.6%
Q1 - 9:26MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 9:54MIAHeat Rebound2
41.4%
5
58.6%
Q1 - 9:54MILMISS Ilyasova 3PT Jump Shot2
40.8%
5
59.2%
Q1 - 10:12MIADeng 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
39.5%
5
60.5%
Q1 - 10:23MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)0
37.9%
5
62.1%
Q1 - 10:23MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)0
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 10:33MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
39.5%
3
60.5%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Deng 11' Running Jump Shot0
40.1%
3
59.9%
Q1 - 11:00MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)0
41.4%
3
58.6%
Q1 - 11:12MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:28MILAntetokounmpo Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 11:35MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)0
45.0%
0
55.0%
Q1 - 11:40MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Pachulia vs. Whiteside: Tip to Antetokounmpo0
45.0%
0
55.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
MIL
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
33
55%
MIL
23
42
55%
Midrange
MIA
7
23
30%
MIL
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIL
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
MIL
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2162%10.5 / 17
G. Dragic1662%8.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1464%7.0 / 11
L. Deng1350%6.5 / 13
H. Walker9113%4.5 / 4
H. Whiteside750%3.5 / 7
M. Beasley422%2.0 / 9
C. Andersen450%2.0 / 4
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova1956%9.5 / 17
G. Antetokounmpo1667%8.0 / 12
Z. Pachulia1458%7.0 / 12
K. Middleton1336%6.5 / 18
J. Bayless1038%5.0 / 13
M. Plumlee850%4.0 / 8
J. Henson550%2.5 / 5
M. Carter-Williams440%2.0 / 5
O. Mayo0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+11
-18
83
MIL
68
+24
-20
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
MIL
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.1
MIA 97.8 +3.4
MIL 101.1
Pace
91.0
93.7
MIA 93.3 +8.3
MIL 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.8
MIA 15.4 +1.5
MIL 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.9%
MIA 49.3% +5.6%
MIL 43.7%
TO %
15.2%
16.8%
MIA 19.4%
MIL 18.2% +1.2%
ORB %
23.3%
25.5%
MIA 19.5%
MIL 43.5% +24.0%
FTrt
30.6
25.8
MIA 24.0 +4.5
MIL 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.7%
MIA 54.5%
MIL 69.4% +14.9%
STL %
8.6%
10.1%
MIA 12.2% +3.1%
MIL 9.1%
BLK %
8.0%
8.6%
MIA 5.7%
MIL 16.1% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.1%
MIA 51.2% +4.8%
MIL 46.4%
Rim FG%
59.7%
56.4%
MIA 54.5%
MIL 54.8% +0.3%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.4%
MIA 30.4%
MIL 32.1% +1.7%
3P %
33.5%
36.3%
MIA 42.1% +18.6%
MIL 23.5%
FT %
74.1%
75.7%
MIA 77.8% +1.3%
MIL 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
39.8%
MIA 44.0%
MIL 48.3% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
37.8%
MIA 30.7% +1.5%
MIL 32.2%
3P Att. %
26.2%
22.3%
MIA 25.3% +5.8%
MIL 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8889
Rebounds3453
Assists1825
Steals118
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)20 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)33 (0)
Field Goals33-7536-87
At-the-Rim FG18-3323-42
Midrange FG7-239-28
2-Point FG25-5632-70
3-Point FG8-194-17
Free Throws14-1813-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
40.2
16
62%
3
6
2
0
3
2
0
3
1-3
33%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
34.5
13
50%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
30.8
21
62%
2
4
3
0
5
1
0
2
6-7
86%
6-11
55%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
15.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
12.0
7
50%
8
0
1
2
1
1
4
4
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
27.0
14
64%
1
2
3
0
2
4
1
0
5-5
100%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
26.8
9
113%
4
0
1
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
26.7
4
22%
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
26.4
4
50%
6
2
0
1
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26
Chris Bosh
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
51%
34
18
11
4
18
0
8
26
14-18
78%
25-56
45%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.