FinalWin Prob.pScore
354%102
114
846%100
95
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
120.09594.7
ATL logo ATL
100.09595.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASATL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS114
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLMuscala Dunk (4 PTS) (Jenkins 1 AST)114
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASAnderson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)114
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Brand 15' Jump Shot112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13ATLMuscala 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)112
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14ATLMISS Daye 24' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33SASMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52ATLJenkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)112
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02SASWilliams 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13SASSpurs Rebound110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13ATLMISS Daye 13' Fadeaway Jumper110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24SASMISS Anderson 19' Fadeaway Jumper110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39ATLBrand Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47SASBonner 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49SASMISS Mills 3' Driving Layup108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08ATLMack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20SASDiaw 1' Running Layup (17 PTS) (Duncan 7 AST)108
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)106
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 4:01SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)103
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 4:03ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot103
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 4:14SASTeague STEAL (3 STL)103
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 4:27ATLCarroll Dunk (12 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)103
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 4:33SASTeague STEAL (2 STL)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:53ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11SASDiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)103
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 5:27SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 5:29SASMISS Green 17' Jump Shot100
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 5:49ATLSchroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)100
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 6:01SASDiaw 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)100
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 6:22ATLCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)98
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 6:46SASDiaw 4' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)98
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 7:02ATLCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)96
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 7:13ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 7:14ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Layup96
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 7:40SASDiaw 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)96
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 7:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 7:47ATLMISS Millsap 1' Driving Layup94
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 8:08SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)94
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 8:25ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)91
98.5%
76
1.5%
Q4 - 8:33ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 8:35SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot91
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 8:54ATLSchroder 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)91
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 9:13SASDiaw 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Green 3 AST)91
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 9:25SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 9:27ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 9:41SASSplitter 2' Layup (23 PTS)89
98.4%
72
1.6%
Q4 - 9:53ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
98.1%
72
1.9%
Q4 - 10:06SASDiaw 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)87
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 10:16ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)85
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 10:26SASDiaw Foul Turnover (P2.T14)85
98.0%
68
2.0%
Q4 - 10:28SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
98.4%
68
1.6%
Q4 - 10:29ATLMISS Horford 3' Layup85
98.3%
68
1.7%
Q4 - 10:43SASGreen 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)85
98.1%
68
1.9%
Q4 - 10:57ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)83
97.6%
68
2.4%
Q4 - 11:02ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 11:03SASMISS Splitter 1' Layup83
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q4 - 11:12SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q4 - 11:13ATLMISS Bazemore 4' Driving Jump Shot83
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q4 - 11:25ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 11:26ATLMISS Schroder 19' Jump Shot83
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q4 - 11:37ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q4 - 11:38SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
98.2%
65
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL83
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound83
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
98.4%
65
1.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASLeonard Putback Layup (17 PTS)83
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASKorver BLOCK (1 BLK)81
96.8%
65
3.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLAntic 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)81
97.3%
65
2.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
97.8%
63
2.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASMISS Splitter 1' Putback Layup81
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)81
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q3 - 1:03SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)81
97.8%
63
2.2%
Q3 - 1:04ATLMISS Horford 3' Driving Layup81
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q3 - 1:16SASDiaw 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Splitter 2 AST)81
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q3 - 1:33SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
96.9%
63
3.1%
Q3 - 1:34ATLMISS Korver 21' Jump Shot79
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q3 - 1:49SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q3 - 1:49SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
96.1%
63
3.9%
Q3 - 2:08ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)77
94.6%
63
5.4%
Q3 - 2:30ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
96.2%
60
3.8%
Q3 - 2:31SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot77
96.4%
60
3.6%
Q3 - 2:47ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)77
96.9%
60
3.1%
Q3 - 3:03SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)77
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 3:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q3 - 3:15ATLMISS Millsap 14' Fadeaway Jumper75
96.2%
58
3.8%
Q3 - 3:35SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T13)75
95.8%
58
4.2%
Q3 - 3:52ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)75
96.5%
58
3.5%
Q3 - 4:03ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
95.2%
58
4.8%
Q3 - 4:05ATLMISS Carroll 3' Jump Shot75
95.8%
58
4.2%
Q3 - 4:10SASCarroll STEAL (2 STL)75
95.2%
58
4.8%
Q3 - 4:13SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
96.1%
58
3.9%
Q3 - 4:14ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
95.8%
58
4.2%
Q3 - 4:24ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
95.2%
58
4.8%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Leonard 6' Turnaround Jump Shot75
95.5%
58
4.5%
Q3 - 4:49ATLTeague 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)75
96.1%
58
3.9%
Q3 - 4:54SASCarroll STEAL (1 STL)75
96.6%
56
3.4%
Q3 - 4:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
97.2%
56
2.8%
Q3 - 4:59ATLMISS Antic 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 5:07ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q3 - 5:08SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot75
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q3 - 5:25ATLTeague 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)75
96.8%
56
3.2%
Q3 - 5:42SASParker 6' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 7 AST)75
97.2%
54
2.8%
Q3 - 5:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
96.8%
54
3.2%
Q3 - 5:56ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot73
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 6:09ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
95.7%
54
4.3%
Q3 - 6:11SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot73
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q3 - 6:37ATLMillsap 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)73
96.4%
54
3.6%
Q3 - 6:50SASSplitter 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Leonard 6 AST)73
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q3 - 6:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 6:55ATLMISS Millsap Dunk71
96.8%
51
3.2%
Q3 - 7:06ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q3 - 7:08SASMISS Splitter 1' Putback Layup71
96.2%
51
3.8%
Q3 - 7:09SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
96.6%
51
3.4%
Q3 - 7:10SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot71
96.2%
51
3.8%
Q3 - 7:32ATLMillsap 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)71
96.6%
51
3.4%
Q3 - 7:44SASMillsap STEAL (2 STL)71
97.0%
49
3.0%
Q3 - 8:07ATLMillsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)71
97.2%
49
2.8%
Q3 - 8:19SASSplitter 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)71
97.9%
46
2.1%
Q3 - 8:41ATLMillsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)69
97.6%
46
2.4%
Q3 - 8:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q3 - 8:53SASMISS Leonard 3' Driving Jump Shot69
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q3 - 9:07SASGreen Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)69
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q3 - 9:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
98.0%
43
2.0%
Q3 - 9:07ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup68
97.9%
43
2.1%
Q3 - 9:20SASDuncan 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)68
97.7%
43
2.3%
Q3 - 9:28SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
97.3%
43
2.7%
Q3 - 9:29ATLMISS Teague 6' Driving Jump Shot66
97.2%
43
2.8%
Q3 - 9:49SASSplitter 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)66
96.9%
43
3.1%
Q3 - 9:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
96.5%
43
3.5%
Q3 - 9:58SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Jump Shot64
96.1%
43
3.9%
Q3 - 10:06ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)64
96.2%
43
3.8%
Q3 - 10:16SASGreen Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)64
95.7%
43
4.3%
Q3 - 10:19SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)63
95.1%
43
4.9%
Q3 - 10:24SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
94.4%
43
5.6%
Q3 - 10:26ATLMISS Teague Dunk61
94.1%
43
5.9%
Q3 - 10:31SASKorver STEAL (1 STL)61
93.5%
43
6.5%
Q3 - 10:50ATLCarroll Layup (4 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)61
94.4%
43
5.6%
Q3 - 11:05ATLHAWKS Rebound61
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q3 - 11:07SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
94.9%
41
5.1%
Q3 - 11:22ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P3.T14)61
95.3%
41
4.7%
Q3 - 11:41SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)61
94.7%
41
5.3%
Q3 - 11:45ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)59
94.0%
41
6.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL59
93.1%
41
6.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
93.1%
41
6.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
92.7%
41
7.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
93.2%
41
6.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
93.0%
41
7.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASSplitter 3' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)59
92.6%
41
7.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
91.4%
41
8.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
91.6%
40
8.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLHAWKS Rebound57
92.6%
39
7.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot57
92.8%
39
7.2%
Q2 - 1:07ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
92.7%
39
7.3%
Q2 - 1:07ATLMillsap Putback Layup (11 PTS)57
92.7%
39
7.3%
Q2 - 1:08ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Jump Shot57
94.1%
37
5.9%
Q2 - 1:18SASLeonard 10' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)57
93.9%
37
6.1%
Q2 - 1:26ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)55
92.7%
37
7.3%
Q2 - 1:42SASTeague STEAL (1 STL)55
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q2 - 1:54ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)55
92.7%
37
7.3%
Q2 - 2:04SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
91.5%
37
8.5%
Q2 - 2:04SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 254
91.3%
37
8.7%
Q2 - 2:04SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
91.5%
37
8.5%
Q2 - 2:06ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
91.2%
37
8.8%
Q2 - 2:17SASSplitter Running Layup (13 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)54
90.6%
37
9.4%
Q2 - 2:21SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
89.4%
37
10.6%
Q2 - 2:23ATLMISS Millsap 11' Jump Shot52
89.1%
37
10.9%
Q2 - 2:45SASDuncan 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)52
88.3%
37
11.7%
Q2 - 3:01ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)50
86.4%
37
13.6%
Q2 - 3:15SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
87.5%
35
12.5%
Q2 - 3:15SASSplitter Putback Layup (11 PTS)50
87.5%
35
12.5%
Q2 - 3:15SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup48
85.2%
35
14.8%
Q2 - 3:25SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
86.4%
35
13.6%
Q2 - 3:28ATLMISS Millsap 4' Driving Jump Shot48
85.9%
35
14.1%
Q2 - 3:42SASBrand STEAL (1 STL)48
84.7%
35
15.3%
Q2 - 3:54ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)48
86.4%
35
13.6%
Q2 - 4:04ATLBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
83.9%
35
16.1%
Q2 - 4:07SASMISS Splitter 8' Hook Shot48
84.4%
35
15.6%
Q2 - 4:33ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)48
85.6%
35
14.4%
Q2 - 4:41SASMillsap STEAL (1 STL)48
88.1%
32
11.9%
Q2 - 4:49SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
89.3%
32
10.7%
Q2 - 4:51ATLMISS Brand 18' Jump Shot48
89.0%
32
11.0%
Q2 - 5:06SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)48
87.8%
32
12.2%
Q2 - 5:18ATLSchroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)45
85.2%
32
14.8%
Q2 - 5:27SASSchroder STEAL (1 STL)45
87.8%
29
12.2%
Q2 - 5:42ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
89.0%
29
11.0%
Q2 - 5:42ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
89.2%
28
10.8%
Q2 - 5:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
90.0%
27
10.0%
Q2 - 5:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)44
89.8%
27
10.2%
Q2 - 6:07SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
88.6%
27
11.4%
Q2 - 6:09ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
88.2%
27
11.8%
Q2 - 6:24SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
87.2%
27
12.8%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 242
86.9%
27
13.1%
Q2 - 6:24SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
87.4%
27
12.6%
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot42
86.4%
27
13.6%
Q2 - 6:46ATLBrand 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)42
87.5%
27
12.5%
Q2 - 7:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
87.9%
25
12.1%
Q2 - 7:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
87.7%
25
12.3%
Q2 - 7:15ATLSchroder 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
86.8%
25
13.2%
Q2 - 7:28SASBelinelli 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
87.9%
23
12.1%
Q2 - 7:45ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)38
86.9%
23
13.1%
Q2 - 8:03SASSplitter 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)38
84.9%
23
15.1%
Q2 - 8:15SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
83.6%
23
16.4%
Q2 - 8:18SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
82.6%
23
17.4%
Q2 - 8:29ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)36
83.6%
23
16.4%
Q2 - 8:39ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
86.2%
20
13.8%
Q2 - 8:41SASMISS Green 21' Jump Shot36
86.6%
20
13.4%
Q2 - 8:53ATLHorford 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
87.5%
20
12.5%
Q2 - 9:13SASBelinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)36
87.9%
18
12.1%
Q2 - 9:38ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)33
85.8%
18
14.2%
Q2 - 9:49SASBelinelli 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)33
88.0%
15
12.0%
Q2 - 10:09ATLSchroder 9' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)31
86.8%
15
13.2%
Q2 - 10:31SASBelinelli Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)31
87.7%
13
12.3%
Q2 - 10:31SASBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)30
87.5%
13
12.5%
Q2 - 10:31SASBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)29
87.3%
13
12.7%
Q2 - 10:39SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
85.6%
13
14.4%
Q2 - 10:40ATLMISS Antic 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
85.1%
13
14.9%
Q2 - 10:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
84.1%
13
15.9%
Q2 - 10:52SASSchroder BLOCK (1 BLK)28
84.5%
13
15.5%
Q2 - 11:08SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
84.9%
13
15.1%
Q2 - 11:09ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot28
84.5%
13
15.5%
Q2 - 11:30SASGreen 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)28
83.6%
13
16.4%
Q2 - 11:43SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
82.3%
13
17.7%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMISS Schroder 18' Pullup Jump Shot26
81.8%
13
18.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
80.8%
13
19.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound26
82.3%
13
17.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bonner 47' 3PT Jump Shot26
81.2%
13
18.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)26
81.4%
13
18.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
80.4%
13
19.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Schroder 1' Layup26
81.1%
13
18.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
80.4%
13
19.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
80.7%
13
19.3%
Q1 - 1:01ATLHorford 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)26
81.2%
13
18.8%
Q1 - 1:12ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
82.9%
11
17.1%
Q1 - 1:14SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
83.8%
11
16.2%
Q1 - 1:14SASMISS Bonner 2' Layup26
83.2%
11
16.8%
Q1 - 1:16SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot26
83.2%
11
16.8%
Q1 - 1:41SASSpurs Rebound26
83.9%
11
16.1%
Q1 - 1:42ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
83.6%
11
16.4%
Q1 - 1:58SASBelinelli Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)26
82.9%
11
17.1%
Q1 - 2:01ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)26
83.8%
11
16.2%
Q1 - 2:08SASAntic STEAL (2 STL)26
82.6%
11
17.4%
Q1 - 2:24ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
83.8%
11
16.2%
Q1 - 2:46ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
82.6%
11
17.4%
Q1 - 2:48SASMISS Diaw 17' Jump Shot26
83.0%
11
17.0%
Q1 - 3:04ATLAntic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)26
83.4%
11
16.6%
Q1 - 3:21SASAntic STEAL (1 STL)26
85.7%
8
14.3%
Q1 - 3:40ATLMillsap 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)26
86.9%
8
13.1%
Q1 - 4:04SASLeonard 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
87.4%
6
12.6%
Q1 - 4:19SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
86.5%
6
13.5%
Q1 - 4:19ATLMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
86.2%
6
13.8%
Q1 - 4:30SASLeonard 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
85.3%
6
14.7%
Q1 - 4:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
84.4%
6
15.6%
Q1 - 4:56ATLMISS Carroll 9' Jump Shot22
83.9%
6
16.1%
Q1 - 5:09SASLeonard 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
81.8%
6
18.2%
Q1 - 5:25ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)20
80.7%
6
19.3%
Q1 - 5:48SASParker 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)20
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 5:59ATLKorver Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)18
80.8%
4
19.2%
Q1 - 6:10SASParker 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)18
78.3%
4
21.7%
Q1 - 6:20SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
77.0%
4
23.0%
Q1 - 6:20ATLMISS Millsap 5' Jump Shot16
76.6%
4
23.4%
Q1 - 6:37SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 6:43ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)13
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 7:02SASSplitter 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)13
70.5%
4
29.5%
Q1 - 7:15SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
69.2%
4
30.8%
Q1 - 7:17ATLMISS Teague 11' Floating Jump Shot11
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 7:28SASLeonard 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)11
67.2%
4
32.8%
Q1 - 7:37ATLMillsap 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)9
65.8%
4
34.2%
Q1 - 7:57SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
67.2%
2
32.8%
Q1 - 7:57SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
66.8%
2
33.2%
Q1 - 8:12SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 8:13ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot7
65.4%
2
34.6%
Q1 - 8:37SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)7
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 8:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 9:01ATLMISS Carroll 2' Reverse Layup4
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 9:27SASSplitter 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 9:45ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
56.9%
2
43.1%
Q1 - 9:51SASHorford STEAL (1 STL)2
55.0%
2
45.0%
Q1 - 10:00ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
56.9%
2
43.1%
Q1 - 10:13ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 10:14SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Bank Shot2
59.2%
0
40.8%
Q1 - 10:26ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 10:30ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 10:31SASMISS Leonard 21' Jump Shot2
59.2%
0
40.8%
Q1 - 10:40SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 10:42ATLMISS Carroll 2' Running Layup2
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 10:56SASLeonard 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 11:13ATLCarroll Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 11:41ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot0
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
56.8%
0
43.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.25 62.6%
ATL
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
26
35
74%
ATL
19
34
56%
Midrange
SAS
13
30
43%
ATL
7
22
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
ATL
12
18.0
24
50%
75%
Free Throws
SAS
15
17
88%
ATL
7
7
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Splitter2372%11.5 / 16
K. Leonard2063%10.0 / 16
B. Diaw1785%8.5 / 10
D. Green1568%7.5 / 11
M. Belinelli1381%6.5 / 8
T. Duncan1255%6.0 / 11
T. Parker857%4.0 / 7
M. Bonner233%1.0 / 3
R. Williams250%1.0 / 2
K. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
P. Mills0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap2261%11.0 / 18
D. Schröder1869%9.0 / 13
D. Carroll1246%6.0 / 13
P. Antic1192%5.5 / 6
J. Teague850%4.0 / 8
A. Horford836%4.0 / 11
K. Korver675%3.0 / 4
J. Jenkins4200%2.0 / 1
M. Muscala4100%2.0 / 2
E. Brand233%1.0 / 3
K. Bazemore0-0.0 / 1
A. Daye0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+11
-16
90
ATL
77
+7
-18
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.25 62.6%
ATL
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
108.9
SAS 120.0 +20.0
ATL 100.0
Pace
93.9
94.0
SAS 94.7
ATL 95.5 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.1
SAS 15.2
ATL 15.1 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
52.7%
SAS 60.4% +5.4%
ATL 55.0%
TO %
14.2%
14.3%
SAS 15.2% +3.4%
ATL 18.6%
ORB %
23.4%
21.4%
SAS 30.3% +14.9%
ATL 15.4%
FTrt
25.6
25.9
SAS 20.7 +11.9
ATL 8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
67.6%
SAS 65.2%
ATL 65.8% +0.6%
STL %
8.5%
9.6%
SAS 8.4%
ATL 13.7% +5.3%
BLK %
8.4%
8.1%
SAS 7.1% +4.0%
ATL 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
54.7%
SAS 62.6% +6.7%
ATL 55.9%
Rim FG%
59.6%
58.1%
SAS 74.3% +18.4%
ATL 55.9%
Mid FG%
42.1%
42.2%
SAS 43.3% +11.5%
ATL 31.8%
3P %
36.7%
38.0%
SAS 41.2%
ATL 50.0% +8.8%
FT %
78.0%
77.8%
SAS 88.2%
ATL 100.0% +11.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
36.1%
SAS 42.7% +0.2%
ATL 42.5%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
31.8%
SAS 36.6%
ATL 27.5% +9.1%
3P Att. %
26.9%
32.1%
SAS 20.7%
ATL 30.0% +9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASATL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points11495
Rebounds4329
Assists3025
Steals813
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)23 (2)
Field Goals46-8238-80
At-the-Rim FG26-3519-34
Midrange FG13-307-22
2-Point FG39-6526-56
3-Point FG7-1712-24
Free Throws15-177-7
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
33.2
15
68%
7
3
1
0
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
3-5
60%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
31.7
20
63%
10
7
4
0
4
2
1
9
3-4
75%
7-11
64%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 250 · 39
31.3
12
55%
7
7
1
4
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
29.9
8
57%
1
5
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 30
27.1
23
72%
8
2
0
0
2
1
5
3
3-4
75%
10-14
71%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29
24.4
13
81%
5
2
1
0
2
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33
22.1
17
85%
2
2
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-8
88%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
16.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 28
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
5.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35
5.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 205 · 29
3.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
3.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#11 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
63%
43
30
8
4
16
0
10
33
15-17
88%
39-65
60%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.