FinalWin Prob.pScore
2133%98
91
1367%104
108
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
98.992100.4
MIA logo MIA
113.79588.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENGreen 10' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)91
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)89
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)89
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00DENHarris 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DENWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 287
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36DENMISS Lawson 5' Driving Bank Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Beasley 7 AST)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DENLawson 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05DENDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)85
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:08DENNurkic 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Lawson 12 AST)85
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:21MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)83
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:36DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:36DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 281
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:52DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 281
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (12 PTS)81
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 4:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:15DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T13)81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:36DENWalker BLOCK (2 BLK)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:44DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:45DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:58DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:19DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 281
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:19DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 281
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:42MIAWade 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)81
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 5:47DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 6:11MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)81
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 6:50DENFaried Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)81
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 6:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 6:57DENMISS Green 9' Driving Jump Shot81
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 7:06DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
5.4%
90
94.6%
Q4 - 7:07DENMISS Arthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 7:22DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
5.4%
90
94.6%
Q4 - 7:23MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 7:37MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)81
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 7:54MIAJump Ball Walker vs. Harris: Tip to Andersen81
5.2%
89
94.8%
Q4 - 7:55DENWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)81
5.6%
89
94.4%
Q4 - 8:04DENGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Layup81
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 8:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
6.2%
89
93.8%
Q4 - 8:26DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
6.7%
89
93.3%
Q4 - 8:44DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
7.8%
89
92.2%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot81
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 9:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
7.1%
89
92.9%
Q4 - 9:08DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
7.6%
89
92.4%
Q4 - 9:24MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)81
8.8%
89
91.2%
Q4 - 9:28MIADragic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)81
7.0%
89
93.0%
Q4 - 9:29DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
7.5%
89
92.5%
Q4 - 9:37MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)81
8.8%
89
91.2%
Q4 - 9:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
7.0%
89
93.0%
Q4 - 9:53DENMISS Barton 1' Layup81
7.5%
89
92.5%
Q4 - 9:58DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
8.8%
89
91.2%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup81
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 10:18DENBarton 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)81
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 10:38MIAAndersen 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)78
5.1%
89
94.9%
Q4 - 10:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
6.2%
87
93.8%
Q4 - 10:51DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 278
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q4 - 10:51DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 278
7.4%
87
92.6%
Q4 - 11:04DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
8.4%
87
91.6%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 11:22MIADragic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)78
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot78
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 11:27MIAHEAT Rebound78
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Walker 3' Driving Layup78
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 11:43MIADragic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)78
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 11:44DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)78
7.4%
87
92.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
6.1%
87
93.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 276
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 6 AST)74
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q3 - 1:15DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)74
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 1:21DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
6.6%
83
93.4%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup72
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q3 - 1:39DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)72
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Beasley 5 AST)72
7.1%
83
92.9%
Q3 - 2:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)72
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q3 - 2:17DENMISS Faried 1' Layup72
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q3 - 2:25MIADragic 1' Layup (14 PTS)72
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q3 - 2:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)72
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup72
13.1%
79
86.9%
Q3 - 2:27MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)72
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk72
13.1%
79
86.9%
Q3 - 2:31DENDragic STEAL (2 STL)72
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q3 - 2:33MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)72
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q3 - 2:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q3 - 2:43DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q3 - 2:59MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beasley 4 AST)72
13.7%
79
86.3%
Q3 - 3:14DENHickson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)72
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q3 - 3:21MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)72
19.2%
77
80.8%
Q3 - 3:45DENFaried 5' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Lawson 11 AST)72
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q3 - 3:59MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q3 - 4:20DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)70
16.5%
75
83.5%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)67
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q3 - 4:45DENChandler 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)67
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 5:06MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)65
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 5:18DENFoye Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)65
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 5:21DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot65
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q3 - 5:27MIAHEAT Rebound65
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup65
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q3 - 6:00DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 6:17DENNuggets Rebound62
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 6:18DENMISS Foye 2' Driving Layup62
7.7%
73
92.3%
Q3 - 6:30MIAWhiteside Running Dunk (8 PTS)62
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q3 - 6:33DENWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)62
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 6:44MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)62
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 7:01DENFaried Dunk (18 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)62
13.3%
69
86.7%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade 12' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
11.8%
69
88.2%
Q3 - 7:31DENHickson 13' Fadeaway Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)60
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 7:54MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)58
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
10.3%
67
89.7%
Q3 - 8:03DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 8:26MIAHaslem Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)58
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 8:40DENFaried Tip Shot (16 PTS)58
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q3 - 8:41DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q3 - 8:42DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot56
10.8%
65
89.2%
Q3 - 8:54MIADeng 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)56
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q3 - 9:16DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)56
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 9:22DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
10.7%
63
89.3%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Jump Shot53
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 9:40DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 10:00MIADragic 1' Layup (10 PTS)50
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q3 - 10:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 10:09DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 10:21DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot50
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q3 - 10:48DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)50
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q3 - 10:57DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 11:21DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)48
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 11:21DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 11:46MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)46
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
6.7%
59
93.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENNurkic 1' Layup (12 PTS)46
7.3%
59
92.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Nurkic 1' Layup44
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)44
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENFaried Dunk (14 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)44
7.3%
57
92.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
7.3%
55
92.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)42
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q2 - 1:36DENNurkic 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)42
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q2 - 2:08MIABeasley 13' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 2:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q2 - 2:21DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 2:29DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
10.9%
51
89.1%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot40
10.5%
51
89.5%
Q2 - 2:51DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q2 - 2:51DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q2 - 3:13DENNurkic 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 3:17DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 3:18DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWade Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)36
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 3:37DENBeasley STEAL (3 STL)36
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 4:04DENNurkic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)36
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 4:05DENFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
11.5%
47
88.5%
Q2 - 4:06DENMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q2 - 4:18MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)36
11.5%
47
88.5%
Q2 - 4:38DENFaried 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)36
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 4:57MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)34
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 5:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 5:04DENWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)34
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 5:17MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)34
15.7%
42
84.3%
Q2 - 5:48DENFaried Dunk (10 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)34
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 5:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)32
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 6:02MIAHEAT Rebound32
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot32
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 6:15DENBarton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)32
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 6:33MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)32
16.1%
40
83.9%
Q2 - 6:50DENBarton 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 6:54MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
16.1%
38
83.9%
Q2 - 7:03DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 7:03DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
14.5%
38
85.5%
Q2 - 7:16MIADragic 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)28
13.6%
38
86.4%
Q2 - 7:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
14.8%
36
85.2%
Q2 - 7:27DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot28
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 7:43MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
16.3%
36
83.7%
Q2 - 7:43MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
16.6%
35
83.4%
Q2 - 7:58DENFaried 5' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)28
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 8:13MIADragic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 8:30MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 8:31DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 226
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 8:31DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 226
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 8:35DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
19.3%
32
80.7%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup26
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q2 - 8:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 8:55DENMISS Faried 5' Driving Jump Shot26
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q2 - 9:10MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
19.4%
32
80.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
20.8%
30
79.2%
Q2 - 9:20DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
21.4%
30
78.6%
Q2 - 9:36DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 9:37DENMISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot26
21.4%
30
78.6%
Q2 - 9:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 9:53MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 9:57MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q2 - 9:58DENBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)26
25.0%
28
75.0%
Q2 - 10:15DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 226
26.3%
28
73.7%
Q2 - 10:16MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
25.2%
28
74.8%
Q2 - 10:16MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
26.3%
27
73.7%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot26
27.9%
27
72.1%
Q2 - 10:35DENGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)26
26.3%
27
73.7%
Q2 - 10:50MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)23
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q2 - 11:05DENMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q2 - 11:37MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)23
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound23
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot23
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENMISS Barton 1' Reverse Layup23
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENMISS Chandler 14' Step Back Jump Shot23
30.9%
22
69.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIAChalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)23
31.8%
22
68.2%
Q1 - 1:09MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot23
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q1 - 1:26DENHickson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)23
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q1 - 1:41MIAAndersen 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)23
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 1:45MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
38.7%
18
61.3%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot23
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 2:03DENDragic STEAL (1 STL)23
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 2:12DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 2:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 2:30DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
39.0%
18
61.0%
Q1 - 2:37DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup23
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 2:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
38.4%
18
61.6%
Q1 - 2:50DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot23
39.0%
18
61.0%
Q1 - 2:59DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Beasley 4' Driving Layup23
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 3:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 3:16DENMISS Faried 8' Jump Hook Shot23
38.4%
18
61.6%
Q1 - 3:31DENHickson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
40.1%
18
59.9%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup23
39.4%
18
60.6%
Q1 - 3:38DENBeasley STEAL (2 STL)23
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 3:54MIADeng 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)23
40.1%
18
59.9%
Q1 - 3:59DENBeasley STEAL (1 STL)23
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
43.9%
16
56.1%
Q1 - 4:29DENNurkic Foul Turnover (P2.T2)23
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 4:40DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Turnaround Hook Shot23
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 4:57DENNurkic 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)23
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 5:08MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)21
42.7%
14
57.3%
Q1 - 5:20DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
46.7%
11
53.3%
Q1 - 5:20DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 5:25DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup19
44.1%
11
55.9%
Q1 - 5:42DENChandler 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)19
42.6%
11
57.4%
Q1 - 5:48MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 5:59DENChandler 1' Layup (4 PTS)17
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 6:00DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
36.8%
11
63.2%
Q1 - 6:04DENWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)15
34.6%
11
65.4%
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade 16' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
36.0%
11
64.0%
Q1 - 6:41DENChandler 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
37.7%
9
62.3%
Q1 - 6:48DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
36.0%
9
64.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot13
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 7:03DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)13
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 7:08MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 7:30DENNurkic 3' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)11
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 7:50MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 8:11DENFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)9
30.2%
7
69.8%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
27.2%
7
72.8%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
28.6%
5
71.4%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
28.6%
5
71.4%
Q1 - 8:52DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 16
28.8%
5
71.2%
Q1 - 9:06DENNuggets Rebound4
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Shot4
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 9:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 9:13DENDragic BLOCK (1 BLK)4
25.9%
5
74.1%
Q1 - 9:21DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.0%
5
73.0%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Haslem 3PT Jump Shot4
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHEAT Rebound4
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot4
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 10:07DENNurkic 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)4
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 10:26MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.2%
5
75.8%
Q1 - 10:31MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.4%
3
74.6%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot2
26.5%
3
73.5%
Q1 - 10:48DENFaried 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)2
25.4%
3
74.6%
Q1 - 10:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.2%
3
75.8%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Deng 16' Step Back Jump Shot0
23.7%
3
76.3%
Q1 - 11:16MIAHEAT Rebound0
22.6%
3
77.4%
Q1 - 11:17DENMISS Nurkic 5' Jump Shot0
23.0%
3
77.0%
Q1 - 11:32MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
23.9%
3
76.1%
Q1 - 11:53DENWade STEAL (1 STL)0
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Faried: Tip to Nurkic0
28.2%
0
71.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
33
64%
MIA
22
36
61%
Midrange
DEN
9
19
47%
MIA
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
DEN
10
19
53%
MIA
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Faried2059%10.0 / 17
R. Foye1657%8.0 / 14
J. Nurkić1673%8.0 / 11
W. Chandler1372%6.5 / 9
T. Lawson1036%5.0 / 14
W. Barton758%3.5 / 6
E. Green563%2.5 / 4
J. Hickson2100%1.0 / 1
G. Harris214%1.0 / 7
D. Arthur0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2255%11.0 / 20
G. Dragic1864%9.0 / 14
L. Deng1575%7.5 / 10
H. Whiteside1458%7.0 / 12
M. Chalmers1071%5.0 / 7
M. Beasley935%4.5 / 13
H. Walker975%4.5 / 6
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+11
-16
87
MIA
79
+15
-16
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.7%
MIA
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
103.9
DEN 98.9 +14.8
MIA 113.7
Pace
95.9
91.0
DEN 100.4 +12.0
MIA 88.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
16.3
DEN 14.3 +1.9
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
50.0%
DEN 51.3%
MIA 57.4% +6.1%
TO %
14.3%
15.2%
DEN 15.5%
MIA 15.2% +0.3%
ORB %
26.5%
23.3%
DEN 22.7%
MIA 28.6% +5.9%
FTrt
27.8
30.6
DEN 24.1 +0.6
MIA 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.7%
56.4%
DEN 56.8% +3.3%
MIA 53.5%
STL %
8.0%
8.6%
DEN 12.0% +3.6%
MIA 8.4%
BLK %
7.2%
8.0%
DEN 10.8%
MIA 13.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.2%
DEN 51.7%
MIA 57.4% +5.7%
Rim FG%
56.1%
59.7%
DEN 63.6% +2.5%
MIA 61.1%
Mid FG%
37.9%
40.9%
DEN 47.4%
MIA 48.3% +0.9%
3P %
32.5%
33.5%
DEN 25.9%
MIA 43.8% +17.9%
FT %
73.5%
74.1%
DEN 52.6%
MIA 78.9% +26.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
35.1%
DEN 41.8%
MIA 44.4% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
33.4%
38.7%
DEN 24.1% +11.8%
MIA 35.8%
3P Att. %
28.4%
26.2%
DEN 34.2% +14.4%
MIA 19.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9295
Possession Minutes22.025.8
Points91108
Rebounds3544
Assists2123
Steals118
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals37-7943-81
At-the-Rim FG21-3322-36
Midrange FG9-1914-29
2-Point FG30-5236-65
3-Point FG7-277-16
Free Throws10-1915-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 27
38.0
10
36%
5
12
1
1
2
1
2
3
0-4
0%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
36.4
13
72%
7
3
0
0
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 228 · 25
35.5
20
59%
6
2
4
2
1
3
2
4
0-5
0%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 218 · 31
30.2
16
57%
1
1
0
0
3
3
1
0
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
4-11
36%
C · 7'0" 290 · 21
30.0
16
73%
7
0
2
1
4
5
3
4
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24
17.4
7
58%
2
1
2
1
3
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27
14.1
2
100%
3
0
1
2
3
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
13.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 21
12.6
2
14%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
G · 6'4" 185 · 24
11.1
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 260 · 23
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 27
G · 6'0" 190 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
52%
35
21
11
7
16
0
10
25
10-19
53%
30-52
58%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.