FinalWin Prob.pScore
159%102
92
1641%99
106
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
96.89597.2
MIA logo MIA
112.89491.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CLEChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (32 PTS)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0CLEMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:28CLEWade STEAL (5 STL)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:34CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:57CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:57CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)88
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 2:09MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (30 PTS)87
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 2:28CLEJames Driving Slam Dunk (24 PTS)87
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 2:41MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 2:41MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 2:49CLEDellavedova Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)85
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 2:49CLEDellavedova Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:05CLEPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 283
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:15CLEJames Driving Dunk (22 PTS)83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 3:25MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)81
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 3:40CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)81
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 3:49CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 3:50CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:07CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS Beasley 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup78
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:19CLEWade STEAL (4 STL)78
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 4:21CLEPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot78
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:32MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot78
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:01CLEJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dellavedova 1 AST)78
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound75
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 5:38CLEJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)75
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:51MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09CLEJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:25MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)72
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:52CLEMarion 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)72
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:53CLEMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:54CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Andersen 12' Turnaround Jump Shot70
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:34CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:34CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:41CLECavaliers Rebound68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:42CLEMISS Marion 1' Layup68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:58CLEMISS Marion 3' Driving Layup68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:21MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)68
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 8:48CLEJames Driving Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)68
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:00CLEShumpert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 9:01CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:11MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)66
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:15MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:16CLEMISS James 2' Driving Layup66
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 9:45MIABeasley Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)66
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 9:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 9:58MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 9:59CLEAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)66
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 10:09MIAAndersen 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)66
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 10:24CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)66
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 10:39MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)66
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 11:12CLEJones 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)66
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 11:22CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 11:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 11:43CLEMISS James 19' Jump Shot63
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE63
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound63
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Shumpert 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEShumpert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Alley Oop Layup63
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0CLEMISS Irving 14' Jump Shot63
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 263
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAHEAT Rebound63
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot63
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0CLEShumpert 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Irving 6 AST)63
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0CLEMISS Irving 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot60
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 1:12MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 1:12MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 1:22CLEIrving Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)60
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 1:22CLEIrving Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS)59
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 1:22CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)58
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)57
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 1:55CLEJones Foul Turnover (P1.T10)57
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 1:57CLEDellavedova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Driving Jump Shot57
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 2:15CLEIrving 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)57
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)54
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 2:27CLEIrving Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 2:27CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 2:27CLECavaliers Rebound52
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 2:28CLEMISS Dellavedova 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 2:42CLEShumpert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 152
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 2:56CLEIrving Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 2:56CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)50
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 3:24CLEWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)50
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 3:44MIAWade 20' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)50
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 4:08MIAHEAT Rebound50
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 4:10CLEMISS Irving 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 4:21MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)50
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 4:27CLEChalmers STEAL (1 STL)50
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 4:30CLESmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 4:31MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot50
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 4:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)50
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 4:57CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 250
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 4:57CLEThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 5:08MIAWade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)49
3.1%
73
96.9%
Q3 - 5:27CLEJames 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 5:43MIAChalmers 8' Driving Bank Shot (13 PTS)46
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)46
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 6:02CLEMISS Irving Free Throw 2 of 246
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 6:02CLEMISS Irving Free Throw 1 of 246
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 6:04CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade 16' Step Back Jump Shot46
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)46
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 6:20CLEMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 6:28MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)46
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 6:46CLEMozgov Dunk (10 PTS) (Irving 5 AST)46
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)44
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 7:22CLEMozgov Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)44
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 7:37CLECavaliers Rebound42
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup42
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 7:41CLEWade STEAL (3 STL)42
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 7:50CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot42
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 8:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)42
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 8:06CLEMISS Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 242
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 8:06CLEMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 8:15CLECavaliers Rebound41
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 8:16CLEMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup41
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 8:19MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)41
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 8:24CLEMISS Thompson 8' Jump Shot41
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIAWhiteside Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)41
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 8:54CLEIrving Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)41
5.7%
62
94.3%
Q3 - 9:11MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 9:11MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q3 - 9:19CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
8.7%
60
91.3%
Q3 - 9:43MIADragic 3' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)41
9.6%
60
90.4%
Q3 - 10:12CLESmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Irving 4 AST)41
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q3 - 10:22CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot38
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 10:36CLESmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)38
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q3 - 10:43CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
9.0%
58
91.0%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot38
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 10:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q3 - 10:57CLEMISS Mozgov 15' Jump Shot38
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 11:19MIADeng 1' Layup (8 PTS)38
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 11:20MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot38
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q3 - 11:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 11:31CLEMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 11:43CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
12.8%
56
87.2%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot38
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE38
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound38
12.7%
56
87.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEMISS James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup38
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)38
13.8%
56
86.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)38
14.1%
55
85.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0CLESmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Irving 3 AST)38
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)35
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q2 - 1:04CLEWade STEAL (2 STL)35
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 1:16CLESmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 1:17CLEMISS Irving 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)35
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 1:56CLEIrving 2' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)35
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)33
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 2:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q2 - 2:25CLEMISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper33
21.8%
47
78.2%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)33
23.2%
47
76.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
26.8%
45
73.2%
Q2 - 3:05CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 233
27.1%
45
72.9%
Q2 - 3:05CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 233
28.6%
45
71.4%
Q2 - 3:23MIAWade 5' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS)33
29.5%
45
70.5%
Q2 - 3:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
31.6%
43
68.4%
Q2 - 3:32CLEMISS Mozgov 2' Layup33
32.5%
43
67.5%
Q2 - 3:49MIAChalmers 5' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)33
34.6%
43
65.4%
Q2 - 3:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 4:00CLEMISS Irving 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
37.9%
41
62.1%
Q2 - 4:21CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
40.9%
41
59.1%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot33
40.0%
41
60.0%
Q2 - 4:38CLEShumpert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)33
38.0%
41
62.0%
Q2 - 4:47MIAWade Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)33
40.8%
41
59.2%
Q2 - 4:52CLEDragic STEAL (2 STL)33
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
47.1%
39
52.9%
Q2 - 5:35CLEShumpert 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)33
49.9%
37
50.1%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)31
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 5:57CLEShumpert Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)31
44.2%
37
55.8%
Q2 - 6:02MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)29
42.6%
37
57.4%
Q2 - 6:14MIAHEAT Rebound29
39.4%
37
60.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot29
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
39.3%
37
60.7%
Q2 - 6:31CLEMISS Irving 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
42.5%
37
57.5%
Q2 - 6:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
43.1%
36
56.9%
Q2 - 6:46CLEDragic STEAL (1 STL)29
44.7%
35
55.3%
Q2 - 6:53CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot29
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 7:11CLEIrving Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
45.5%
35
54.5%
Q2 - 7:11CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 7:17MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)27
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 7:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
40.2%
35
59.8%
Q2 - 7:37CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 7:51MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 8:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
40.8%
35
59.2%
Q2 - 8:04CLEMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot27
41.6%
35
58.4%
Q2 - 8:12CLEShumpert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Andersen 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
42.6%
35
57.4%
Q2 - 8:23MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
40.8%
35
59.2%
Q2 - 8:24CLEMISS Thompson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot27
41.6%
35
58.4%
Q2 - 8:37MIAAndersen Dunk (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)27
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 8:51CLEIrving 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)27
45.8%
33
54.2%
Q2 - 9:07CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
44.2%
33
55.8%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
41.4%
33
58.6%
Q2 - 9:20CLEMISS Thompson 2' Layup25
42.2%
33
57.8%
Q2 - 9:37CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
44.1%
33
55.9%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup25
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q2 - 9:57CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 10:17MIADragic 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q2 - 10:23MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
39.1%
31
60.9%
Q2 - 10:24CLEMISS James 1' Driving Layup22
39.9%
31
60.1%
Q2 - 10:47MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
41.9%
31
58.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
44.3%
29
55.7%
Q2 - 11:05CLEMISS Dellavedova 19' Jump Shot22
45.1%
29
54.9%
Q2 - 11:34MIADragic 9' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE22
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound22
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Mozgov Tip Shot22
49.9%
27
50.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAAndersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
49.8%
27
50.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0CLEMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
50.3%
27
49.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
52.1%
26
47.9%
Q1 - 1:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
54.9%
25
45.1%
Q1 - 1:10CLEMISS Shumpert 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
55.4%
25
44.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)22
56.6%
25
43.4%
Q1 - 1:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
54.9%
25
45.1%
Q1 - 1:27CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
55.4%
25
44.6%
Q1 - 1:34MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
56.6%
25
43.4%
Q1 - 1:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
54.9%
25
45.1%
Q1 - 1:52CLEMISS Shumpert 18' Jump Shot22
55.4%
25
44.6%
Q1 - 2:11MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)22
56.9%
25
43.1%
Q1 - 2:19MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
61.5%
22
38.5%
Q1 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
62.9%
22
37.1%
Q1 - 2:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
61.5%
22
38.5%
Q1 - 2:26CLEWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)22
62.1%
22
37.9%
Q1 - 2:34CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Deng 3' Driving Jump Shot22
62.9%
22
37.1%
Q1 - 2:51CLEMozgov Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
61.5%
22
38.5%
Q1 - 2:59CLEMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Dragic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot19
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 3:23CLEIrving 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)19
55.0%
22
45.0%
Q1 - 3:40MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q1 - 3:54CLESmith 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q1 - 4:20MIAChalmers 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)15
48.9%
22
51.1%
Q1 - 4:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 4:32CLEMISS Thompson 3' Hook Shot15
51.5%
20
48.5%
Q1 - 4:52CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
53.3%
20
46.7%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Whiteside 14' Jump Shot15
52.5%
20
47.5%
Q1 - 5:07CLEThompson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)15
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q1 - 5:28MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
49.4%
20
50.6%
Q1 - 5:45CLEThompson Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Irving 1 AST)13
47.0%
20
53.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 6:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
47.9%
18
52.1%
Q1 - 6:06CLEMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot11
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 6:19CLESmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
50.0%
18
50.0%
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Wade 12' Step Back Jump Shot11
49.3%
18
50.7%
Q1 - 6:37CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
47.8%
18
52.2%
Q1 - 6:37CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
47.4%
18
52.6%
Q1 - 6:48CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
46.0%
18
54.0%
Q1 - 6:49CLEMISS Thompson 3' Jump Shot9
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
46.0%
18
54.0%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 29
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 7:13CLEThompson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 7:30MIADeng 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
44.8%
17
55.2%
Q1 - 7:48CLEMozgov 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 8:01MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)5
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 8:08CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)5
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 8:20MIADragic 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)5
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 8:29MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 8:30CLEWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)5
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 8:43MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)5
53.0%
11
47.0%
Q1 - 8:57CLEIrving 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
54.8%
9
45.2%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
51.3%
9
48.7%
Q1 - 9:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
53.1%
7
46.9%
Q1 - 9:24CLEMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.7%
7
46.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIAWhiteside 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
55.1%
7
44.9%
Q1 - 10:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
56.9%
5
43.1%
Q1 - 10:02CLEMISS Irving 20' Jump Shot2
57.5%
5
42.5%
Q1 - 10:23MIADragic 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)2
58.9%
5
41.1%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.5%
3
39.5%
Q1 - 10:29CLEMISS Irving 4' Jump Shot2
61.1%
3
38.9%
Q1 - 10:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
62.5%
3
37.5%
Q1 - 10:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup2
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 10:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 11:00CLEMISS James 13' Fadeaway Jumper2
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 11:18CLECavaliers Rebound2
67.4%
0
32.6%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade 12' Step Back Jump Shot2
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 11:40CLEJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
65.9%
0
34.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Mozgov: Tip to Thompson0
64.1%
0
35.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
14
31
45%
MIA
17
26
65%
Midrange
CLE
5
15
33%
MIA
21
35
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
CLE
21
27
78%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2657%13.0 / 23
K. Irving2153%10.5 / 20
T. Mozgov1063%5.0 / 8
J. Smith850%4.0 / 8
T. Thompson739%3.5 / 9
I. Shumpert750%3.5 / 7
J. Jones638%3.0 / 8
S. Marion563%2.5 / 4
M. Dellavedova225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3273%16.0 / 22
G. Dragic2063%10.0 / 16
H. Whiteside1662%8.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1673%8.0 / 11
L. Deng1161%5.5 / 9
M. Beasley433%2.0 / 6
C. Andersen450%2.0 / 4
H. Walker338%1.5 / 4
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
81
+13
-14
94
MIA
79
+9
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.98 48.9%
MIA
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
103.9
CLE 96.8 +15.9
MIA 112.8
Pace
92.3
91.0
CLE 97.2 +5.3
MIA 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
CLE 14.8 +0.9
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.0%
CLE 44.9%
MIA 57.9% +13.0%
TO %
14.7%
15.2%
CLE 13.3% +3.3%
MIA 16.6%
ORB %
26.8%
23.3%
CLE 15.2%
MIA 19.4% +4.2%
FTrt
28.7
30.6
CLE 34.2 +5.3
MIA 28.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.7%
56.4%
CLE 56.7% +6.7%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
7.9%
8.6%
CLE 8.4%
MIA 8.5% +0.1%
BLK %
6.8%
8.0%
CLE 6.6%
MIA 10.9% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.3%
52.2%
CLE 48.9%
MIA 60.2% +11.3%
Rim FG%
59.7%
59.7%
CLE 45.2%
MIA 65.4% +20.2%
Mid FG%
39.8%
40.9%
CLE 33.3%
MIA 60.0% +26.7%
3P %
36.7%
33.5%
CLE 33.3% +6.6%
MIA 26.7%
FT %
75.1%
74.1%
CLE 77.8%
MIA 81.8% +4.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
35.1%
CLE 39.2% +5.0%
MIA 34.2%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
38.7%
CLE 19.0% +27.1%
MIA 46.1%
3P Att. %
33.4%
26.2%
CLE 41.8% +22.0%
MIA 19.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points92106
Rebounds3245
Assists1721
Steals88
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)39 (1)
Field Goals30-7942-76
At-the-Rim FG14-3117-26
Midrange FG5-1521-35
2-Point FG19-4638-61
3-Point FG11-334-15
Free Throws21-2718-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
35.3
26
57%
2
4
0
0
4
2
1
1
6-8
75%
4-11
36%
4-8
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
34.5
21
53%
2
6
0
1
2
2
0
2
9-11
82%
3-8
38%
2-7
29%
C · 7'1" 275 · 29
28.4
10
63%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 30
27.9
8
50%
4
2
1
1
3
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 254 · 24
26.5
7
39%
8
0
0
0
0
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34
31.2
6
38%
3
2
1
1
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-8
25%
G · 6'5" 212 · 25
21.9
7
50%
4
0
4
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 198 · 25
16.4
2
25%
1
2
2
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 37
8.6
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 30
8.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24
C · 7'0" 263 · 35
#0 · F-C · 6'8" 251 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · F · 6'11" 260 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
49%
32
17
8
4
14
0
7
25
21-27
78%
19-46
41%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.