FinalWin Prob.pScore
1843%99
100
2257%102
90
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
113.68884.1
MIA logo MIA
103.48792.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS100
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)100
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHEAT Rebound100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 3100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 3100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJump Ball Johnson vs. Bass: Tip to Chalmers100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0BOSBass Reverse Dunk (14 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0BOSBass REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)98
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot98
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 1:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 1:07BOSMISS Crowder 3PT Jump Shot98
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)98
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)98
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 1:37BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)98
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 1:37BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)97
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 1:56BOSBass REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)96
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q4 - 1:57BOSMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
98.5%
87
1.5%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)96
98.8%
87
1.2%
Q4 - 2:36BOSThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)96
97.7%
87
2.3%
Q4 - 2:53BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
93.8%
87
6.2%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 293
93.4%
87
6.6%
Q4 - 2:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)93
91.6%
87
8.4%
Q4 - 2:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
93.1%
86
6.9%
Q4 - 3:00BOSMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
94.2%
86
5.8%
Q4 - 3:23MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
96.1%
86
3.9%
Q4 - 3:23MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
96.3%
85
3.7%
Q4 - 3:23MIAHEAT Rebound93
97.0%
84
3.0%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.0%
84
2.0%
Q4 - 3:44BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)93
95.1%
84
4.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)90
90.9%
84
9.1%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)90
91.5%
83
8.5%
Q4 - 4:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
93.4%
82
6.6%
Q4 - 4:06BOSMISS Datome 13' Jump Shot90
94.1%
82
5.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
95.6%
82
4.4%
Q4 - 4:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
96.8%
80
3.2%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot90
97.6%
80
2.4%
Q4 - 4:54BOSThomas 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)90
96.9%
80
3.1%
Q4 - 5:14MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)88
93.4%
80
6.6%
Q4 - 5:14MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)88
93.7%
79
6.3%
Q4 - 5:38BOSJerebko 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)88
95.1%
78
4.9%
Q4 - 5:44BOSDatome REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
93.5%
78
6.5%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Beasley 3' Driving Layup86
92.8%
78
7.2%
Q4 - 6:03BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
88.5%
78
11.5%
Q4 - 6:03BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
88.2%
78
11.8%
Q4 - 6:05BOSThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
85.7%
78
14.3%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
84.4%
78
15.6%
Q4 - 6:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
81.0%
78
19.0%
Q4 - 6:15BOSMISS Jerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
82.6%
78
17.4%
Q4 - 6:34BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
85.8%
78
14.2%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot84
84.5%
78
15.5%
Q4 - 6:59BOSJerebko Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)84
81.2%
78
18.8%
Q4 - 7:16MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)81
69.0%
78
31.0%
Q4 - 7:40BOSSmart 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)81
79.1%
75
20.9%
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)79
72.4%
75
27.6%
Q4 - 8:25BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)79
81.5%
72
18.5%
Q4 - 8:25BOSCeltics Rebound79
85.1%
72
14.9%
Q4 - 8:26BOSMISS Olynyk 3' Driving Layup79
82.6%
72
17.4%
Q4 - 8:47BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
85.1%
72
14.9%
Q4 - 8:48BOSMISS Jerebko 14' Fadeaway Jumper79
82.7%
72
17.3%
Q4 - 9:13MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)79
83.3%
72
16.7%
Q4 - 9:23MIAHEAT Rebound79
86.2%
70
13.8%
Q4 - 9:24BOSMISS Jerebko 12' Jump Shot79
87.1%
70
12.9%
Q4 - 9:45MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
89.0%
70
11.0%
Q4 - 9:45MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
89.5%
69
10.5%
Q4 - 10:00BOSDatome 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)79
91.1%
68
8.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWade 11' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)77
87.4%
68
12.6%
Q4 - 10:35BOSWallace 1' Layup (2 PTS)77
89.7%
66
10.3%
Q4 - 10:49BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
87.5%
66
12.5%
Q4 - 10:50BOSMISS Olynyk 20' Jump Shot75
85.6%
66
14.4%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)75
86.1%
66
13.9%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)75
86.6%
65
13.4%
Q4 - 11:24BOSDatome 20' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
88.4%
64
11.6%
Q4 - 11:41BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
86.2%
64
13.8%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
85.3%
64
14.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS73
83.3%
64
16.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
84.8%
64
15.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
82.9%
64
17.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)73
84.8%
64
15.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0BOSJerebko 2' Layup (4 PTS)73
87.3%
62
12.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
84.9%
62
15.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)71
83.0%
62
17.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)71
84.9%
62
15.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
82.1%
62
17.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Deng 1' Reverse Layup71
84.1%
62
15.9%
Q3 - 1:11MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
80.7%
62
19.3%
Q3 - 1:12BOSMISS Bass 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
81.6%
62
18.4%
Q3 - 1:30MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
83.7%
62
16.3%
Q3 - 1:30MIAAndersen 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)71
83.7%
62
16.3%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
87.7%
60
12.3%
Q3 - 1:47BOSBass Dunk (12 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)71
86.1%
60
13.9%
Q3 - 2:12MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)69
82.0%
60
18.0%
Q3 - 2:30BOSOlynyk 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)69
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 2:45BOSOlynyk Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
82.1%
58
17.9%
Q3 - 2:45BOSMISS Olynyk Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 266
81.4%
58
18.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T11)66
79.2%
58
20.8%
Q3 - 2:59BOSBass Dunk (10 PTS)66
75.8%
58
24.2%
Q3 - 3:00BOSBass REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)64
72.5%
58
27.5%
Q3 - 3:01BOSMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
68.5%
58
31.5%
Q3 - 3:06BOSBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
71.3%
58
28.7%
Q3 - 3:07MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup64
70.1%
58
29.9%
Q3 - 3:23BOSTurner 2' Layup (8 PTS)64
67.3%
58
32.7%
Q3 - 3:32BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
63.6%
58
36.4%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
62.3%
58
37.7%
Q3 - 3:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
59.1%
58
40.9%
Q3 - 3:46BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
60.5%
58
39.5%
Q3 - 4:01BOSBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)62
62.9%
58
37.1%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Hook Shot62
61.4%
58
38.6%
Q3 - 4:24BOSOlynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bass 4 AST)62
58.0%
58
42.0%
Q3 - 4:39MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
50.5%
58
49.5%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 259
51.9%
57
48.1%
Q3 - 4:39MIAHEAT Rebound59
49.6%
57
50.4%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot59
53.2%
57
46.8%
Q3 - 4:59BOSThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Olynyk 1 AST)59
49.6%
57
50.4%
Q3 - 5:05BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
41.7%
57
58.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot56
40.3%
57
59.7%
Q3 - 5:23BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
37.2%
57
62.8%
Q3 - 5:23BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
36.8%
57
63.2%
Q3 - 5:34MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)54
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
29.9%
57
70.1%
Q3 - 5:45BOSJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)54
31.1%
57
68.9%
Q3 - 5:53BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 5:54BOSMISS Bass 1' Tip Shot54
31.1%
57
68.9%
Q3 - 5:55BOSBass REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)54
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 5:56BOSMISS Turner 1' Driving Layup54
31.1%
57
68.9%
Q3 - 6:12MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
34.1%
57
65.9%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
37.2%
55
62.8%
Q3 - 6:29BOSMISS Bass 12' Jump Shot54
38.5%
55
61.5%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)54
41.6%
55
58.4%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
44.9%
53
55.1%
Q3 - 6:58BOSMISS Turner 17' Jump Shot54
46.3%
53
53.7%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
48.8%
53
51.2%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 254
50.1%
52
49.9%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
48.3%
52
51.7%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot54
51.3%
52
48.7%
Q3 - 7:33BOSBass Dunk (8 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)54
48.3%
52
51.7%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWade Dunk (17 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)52
45.0%
52
55.0%
Q3 - 7:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
48.4%
50
51.6%
Q3 - 8:00BOSMISS Turner 12' Step Back Jump Shot52
49.7%
50
50.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
52.4%
50
47.6%
Q3 - 8:14MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)52
53.1%
49
46.9%
Q3 - 8:23BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)52
55.4%
48
44.6%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)49
48.6%
48
51.4%
Q3 - 8:39BOSTurner 12' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q3 - 8:52MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
41.2%
48
58.8%
Q3 - 8:52MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
41.9%
47
58.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
44.3%
46
55.7%
Q3 - 8:56BOSMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot47
45.6%
46
54.4%
Q3 - 9:12BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 247
47.3%
46
52.7%
Q3 - 9:13MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
45.5%
46
54.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q3 - 9:22BOSMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot47
48.9%
45
51.1%
Q3 - 9:29BOSBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)47
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q3 - 9:30BOSMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot47
48.9%
45
51.1%
Q3 - 9:51MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
51.5%
45
48.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
58.5%
42
41.5%
Q3 - 9:59BOSMISS Smart 6' Driving Jump Shot47
59.7%
42
40.3%
Q3 - 10:09MIAWade Layup (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)47
61.5%
42
38.5%
Q3 - 10:23BOSBass Putback Dunk (6 PTS)47
64.7%
40
35.3%
Q3 - 10:24BOSBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
61.5%
40
38.5%
Q3 - 10:25BOSMISS Zeller 1' Layup45
59.1%
40
40.9%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T8)45
61.5%
40
38.5%
Q3 - 10:45MIAHEAT Rebound45
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot45
60.5%
40
39.5%
Q3 - 11:00BOSSmart 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q3 - 11:14BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
54.2%
40
45.8%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot43
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q3 - 11:36BOSCeltics Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)43
50.7%
40
49.3%
Q3 - 11:36BOSCeltics Rebound43
54.2%
40
45.8%
Q3 - 11:37BOSMISS Bass 11' Turnaround Jump Shot43
51.8%
40
48.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS43
54.2%
40
45.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)43
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
57.3%
38
42.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSMISS Thomas 20' Step Back Jump Shot43
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
59.7%
38
40.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
60.3%
37
39.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
63.6%
36
36.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0BOSMISS Turner 1' Driving Layup43
64.2%
36
35.8%
Q2 - 1:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
64.9%
36
35.1%
Q2 - 1:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
65.5%
35
34.5%
Q2 - 1:08BOSCrowder Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
69.0%
34
31.0%
Q2 - 1:08BOSCrowder Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
68.3%
34
31.7%
Q2 - 1:22MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 1:22MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
65.8%
33
34.2%
Q2 - 1:31MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
69.0%
32
31.0%
Q2 - 1:32BOSMISS Turner 12' Jump Shot41
69.5%
32
30.5%
Q2 - 1:53BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
70.5%
32
29.5%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot41
70.1%
32
29.9%
Q2 - 2:00BOSJohnson STEAL (1 STL)41
69.0%
32
31.0%
Q2 - 2:09BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
70.2%
32
29.8%
Q2 - 2:10BOSMISS Turner 15' Jump Shot41
68.4%
32
31.6%
Q2 - 2:34BOSCeltics Rebound41
70.2%
32
29.8%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot41
69.4%
32
30.6%
Q2 - 2:53MIAHEAT Rebound41
67.7%
32
32.3%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
69.4%
32
30.6%
Q2 - 3:08BOSSmart Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
66.5%
32
33.5%
Q2 - 3:08BOSSmart Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
65.8%
32
34.2%
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)39
64.3%
32
35.7%
Q2 - 4:04BOSDatome 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)39
65.5%
30
34.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIADeng Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)36
60.3%
30
39.7%
Q2 - 4:41BOSDatome 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
57.5%
30
42.5%
Q2 - 4:57BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
54.8%
30
45.2%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot34
53.9%
30
46.1%
Q2 - 5:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
51.6%
30
48.4%
Q2 - 5:05BOSMISS Jerebko 20' Jump Shot34
52.5%
30
47.5%
Q2 - 5:26MIABeasley 9' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)34
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 5:40BOSDatome Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)34
57.2%
28
42.8%
Q2 - 5:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
54.4%
28
45.6%
Q2 - 6:00BOSBass 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
51.6%
28
48.4%
Q2 - 6:14MIAWade Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)30
48.9%
28
51.1%
Q2 - 6:18BOSDeng STEAL (1 STL)30
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q2 - 6:27BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
54.4%
26
45.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup30
53.4%
26
46.6%
Q2 - 6:46BOSThomas 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q2 - 7:01MIABeasley 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
48.4%
26
51.6%
Q2 - 7:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q2 - 7:14BOSMISS Wallace 2' Driving Layup28
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 7:23BOSCeltics Rebound28
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q2 - 7:24BOSMISS Datome Layup28
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 7:27BOSDatome REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q2 - 7:28BOSMISS Jerebko 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 7:37MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)28
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q2 - 7:44BOSJerebko Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q2 - 7:52BOSDatome REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Beasley 14' Fadeaway Jumper28
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q2 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q2 - 8:08BOSMISS Bass 9' Hook Shot28
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q2 - 8:32MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
53.2%
24
46.8%
Q2 - 8:48BOSThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)28
50.5%
24
49.5%
Q2 - 9:01BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
52.7%
24
47.3%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Beasley 8' Turnaround Jump Shot28
51.9%
24
48.1%
Q2 - 9:22BOSDatome 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)28
49.9%
24
50.1%
Q2 - 9:34BOSCeltics Rebound26
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot26
46.9%
24
53.1%
Q2 - 9:47MIAHEAT Rebound26
44.9%
24
55.1%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup26
46.9%
24
53.1%
Q2 - 9:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
44.9%
24
55.1%
Q2 - 9:53BOSMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
45.8%
24
54.2%
Q2 - 10:19MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
47.7%
24
52.3%
Q2 - 10:28MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q2 - 10:29BOSMISS Datome 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
53.1%
21
46.9%
Q2 - 10:44MIABeasley 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
55.2%
21
44.8%
Q2 - 10:53BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)26
57.2%
19
42.8%
Q2 - 11:08BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
59.2%
19
40.8%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
58.5%
19
41.5%
Q2 - 11:38BOSJerebko 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)26
56.8%
19
43.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
54.5%
19
45.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
52.0%
19
48.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)24
53.6%
19
46.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
56.6%
17
43.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0BOSMISS Smart 7' Running Hook Shot24
57.1%
17
42.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAJohnson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)24
58.3%
17
41.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0BOSOlynyk 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
61.2%
15
38.8%
Q1 - 1:08BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot22
57.5%
15
42.5%
Q1 - 1:25MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
56.3%
15
43.7%
Q1 - 1:26BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q1 - 1:39BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 1:40BOSMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
56.8%
15
43.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)22
58.0%
15
42.0%
Q1 - 2:11BOSOlynyk 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
55.9%
15
44.1%
Q1 - 2:34BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
53.5%
15
46.5%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup20
52.9%
15
47.1%
Q1 - 2:48BOSTurner Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
51.4%
15
48.6%
Q1 - 3:04MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
53.3%
15
46.7%
Q1 - 3:26BOSThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)20
55.3%
13
44.7%
Q1 - 3:42BOSCeltics Rebound17
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Beasley 17' Turnaround Jump Shot17
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 3:57MIAHEAT Rebound17
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 3:58BOSMISS Smart 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
49.4%
13
50.6%
Q1 - 4:18BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot17
50.1%
13
49.9%
Q1 - 4:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 4:31BOSMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot17
49.1%
13
50.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 4:51BOSBeasley STEAL (1 STL)17
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 4:54BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 4:55BOSMISS Turner 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
49.1%
13
50.9%
Q1 - 5:12MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)17
50.0%
13
50.0%
Q1 - 5:17MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 5:52BOSTurner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 6:15MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)15
51.3%
10
48.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAHEAT Rebound15
53.1%
8
46.9%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup15
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 6:41BOSBass 10' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
53.1%
8
46.9%
Q1 - 6:58MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)13
51.3%
8
48.7%
Q1 - 7:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
52.7%
6
47.3%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Deng 10' Driving Jump Shot13
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 7:27BOSZeller 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)13
52.7%
6
47.3%
Q1 - 7:30BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 7:31BOSMISS Crowder 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
49.5%
6
50.5%
Q1 - 7:37BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Hook Shot11
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 7:55BOSCrowder Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
48.8%
6
51.2%
Q1 - 7:55BOSCrowder Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
48.4%
6
51.6%
Q1 - 8:02BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot9
46.5%
6
53.5%
Q1 - 8:16MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
45.1%
6
54.9%
Q1 - 8:17BOSMISS Zeller 19' Jump Shot9
45.7%
6
54.3%
Q1 - 8:30MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 8:42BOSTurner 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)9
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 9:01MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
47.0%
4
53.0%
Q1 - 9:16BOSCrowder Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 9:19MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 9:33BOSZeller 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)7
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 9:48BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 10:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 10:08BOSMISS Smart 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 10:11BOSZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 10:12BOSMISS Crowder 21' Jump Shot5
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 10:28BOSTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot5
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 10:50BOSZeller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Smart 1 AST)5
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 10:55BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Whiteside 14' Turnaround Jump Shot3
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 11:22BOSSmart 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)3
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:40MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Zeller: Tip to Walker0
39.4%
0
60.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
18
26
69%
MIA
12
19
63%
Midrange
BOS
15
36
42%
MIA
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
BOS
16
17
94%
MIA
28
34
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Thomas2563%12.5 / 20
B. Bass1450%7.0 / 14
G. Datome1372%6.5 / 9
K. Olynyk1056%5.0 / 9
M. Smart956%4.5 / 8
J. Jerebko950%4.5 / 9
E. Turner833%4.0 / 12
T. Zeller660%3.0 / 5
J. Crowder440%2.0 / 5
G. Wallace250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3465%17.0 / 26
M. Beasley1441%7.0 / 17
M. Chalmers1286%6.0 / 7
L. Deng1146%5.5 / 12
H. Whiteside739%3.5 / 9
C. Andersen6100%3.0 / 3
H. Walker233%1.0 / 3
T. Johnson214%1.0 / 7
S. Napier2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
79
+19
-9
98
MIA
74
+13
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
103.9
BOS 113.6 +10.2
MIA 103.4
Pace
95.8
91.0
BOS 84.1
MIA 92.4 +8.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
16.3
BOS 17.1
MIA 15.6 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
50.0%
BOS 48.3% +3.4%
MIA 44.9%
TO %
13.7%
15.2%
BOS 10.4% +3.0%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
24.7%
23.3%
BOS 37.2% +21.6%
MIA 15.6%
FTrt
23.3
30.6
BOS 19.5
MIA 49.3 +29.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.9%
56.4%
BOS 43.6%
MIA 51.7% +8.1%
STL %
8.5%
8.6%
BOS 8.0% +2.3%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
5.7%
8.0%
BOS 3.8% +0.6%
MIA 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.1%
52.2%
BOS 51.0%
MIA 52.3% +1.3%
Rim FG%
57.3%
59.7%
BOS 69.2% +6.0%
MIA 63.2%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.9%
BOS 41.7% +2.3%
MIA 39.4%
3P %
32.7%
33.5%
BOS 24.0% +0.5%
MIA 23.5%
FT %
75.4%
74.1%
BOS 94.1% +11.7%
MIA 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.7%
35.1%
BOS 29.9% +2.3%
MIA 27.5%
Mid Att. %
37.3%
38.7%
BOS 41.4% +6.4%
MIA 47.8%
3P Att. %
28.0%
26.2%
BOS 28.7% +4.1%
MIA 24.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes25.122.6
Points10090
Rebounds4332
Assists1715
Steals75
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)5 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals39-8729-69
At-the-Rim FG18-2612-19
Midrange FG15-3613-33
2-Point FG33-6225-52
3-Point FG6-254-17
Free Throws16-1728-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 250 · 30
32.7
14
50%
9
4
3
0
1
1
6
3
0-0
-
7-13
54%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 25
28.0
4
40%
5
1
2
0
1
3
1
4
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 220 · 21
27.5
9
56%
5
1
0
0
2
6
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
27.1
8
33%
6
2
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 25
14.8
6
60%
3
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 5'9" 185 · 26
31.5
25
63%
1
4
0
0
3
2
0
1
8-8
100%
4-7
57%
3-10
30%
F · 6'10" 231 · 28
23.4
9
50%
6
1
0
0
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24
20.8
10
56%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
20.7
13
72%
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 220 · 33
13.1
2
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 175 · 24
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20
F · 6'10" 236 · 31
#0 · G · 6'2" 180 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
51%
43
17
7
2
9
0
16
27
16-17
94%
33-62
53%
6-25
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.